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69E00qpZtP
will-o3-be-released-on-pi-day-2025
Will o3 be released on Pi Day 2025?
null
1,738,533,191,696
1,742,097,540,000
1,742,593,600,578
NO
0.01
2,734.743157
ugUuysuqy5
will-there-be-another-notable-us-pl
Will there be another notable US plane crash in February?
null
1,738,532,885,963
1,738,976,871,703
1,738,976,871,703
YES
0.989849
18,295.772711
RsP2NptCqg
is-someone-living-today-on-loop-unt
Is someone living today on loop until this market resolves YES?
null
1,738,531,274,341
1,738,569,540,000
1,738,571,064,251
NO
0.01
1,234.242027
dus2hQ6ust
will-iran-hit-israel-within-2-years
Will Iran hit Israel within 2 years of being attacked by them?
null
1,738,530,962,489
1,749,949,730,990
1,749,949,730,990
YES
0.964282
436.367036
sh9y0dCpLQ
will-trump-increase-its-tariffs-on
Will Trump increase its tariffs on Canada to 50% or higher by June 30th?
null
1,738,528,154,122
1,751,342,340,000
1,751,346,070,770
NO
0.010013
1,826.307051
Pdd9cnN66z
trump-positive-favorability-on-day
Trump positive favorability on Day 100? (April 29) (Polymarket)
null
1,738,526,210,689
1,745,992,740,000
1,745,992,911,797
NO
0.01
264,371.629882
phS96cA6Is
will-i-get-hired-by-one-of-the-agi
Will I get hired by one of the AGI labs in the next 5 years?
null
1,738,521,863,863
1,749,584,004,173
1,749,584,004,173
YES
0.542843
29.751359
pShE2lC8dR
lula-out-before-april
Lula out before April?
null
1,738,516,881,753
1,745,485,676,519
1,745,485,676,519
NO
0.01
912.85724
gc2NZqdQnO
solana-above-240-on-february-7
Solana above $240 on February 7?
null
1,738,516,687,836
1,739,249,940,000
1,740,075,206,551
NO
0.012064
971.193826
9IURE2UqR5
will-microstrategy-purchase-more-bi
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by February 3rd?
null
1,738,516,378,246
1,738,692,812,834
1,738,692,812,834
NO
0.01
2,520.669713
I68ud6tyhc
will-i-go-to-the-gym-3-times-next-w
Will I go to the gym 3+ times next week?
null
1,738,515,214,913
1,739,141,940,000
1,739,169,268,616
NO
0.01
1,075.821955
CuNIsAP69U
sp-500-drops-more-than-6-on-februar
S&P 500 drops more than 6% on February 3rd, 2025 compared to January 31st close
null
1,738,514,960,686
1,738,627,200,000
1,738,765,743,103
NO
0.01
12,810.937477
ys2cPu99AE
will-the-dow-jones-industrial-avera-ldpN9AtS8S
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average fall more than 2000 points at any point on February 3?
null
1,738,512,174,394
1,738,645,140,000
1,738,670,072,603
NO
0.010492
1,322.883013
ng6AZqz66p
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-98UqgpRhII
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 67 and 68?
null
1,738,510,503,720
1,739,116,347,318
1,739,116,349,760
NO
0.164948
1,250
u5yzg9ECpz
will-the-lakers-and-mavericks-meet
Will the Lakers and Mavericks meet in the 2025 NBA Playoffs (not Play-In)?
null
1,738,509,758,378
1,745,115,162,440
1,745,115,162,440
NO
0.01
1,042.332816
lI8082U9SN
will-alex-pereira-defeat-magomed-an
Will Alex Pereira defeat Magomed Ankalaev at UFC 313?
null
1,738,509,495,228
1,741,500,174,296
1,741,500,174,296
NO
0.01
59,096.727395
clUsllpLhO
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-UpARC8SzSu
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1139 and 1140?
null
1,738,509,493,134
1,739,116,378,539
1,739,116,383,573
YES
0.985337
18,233.051129
pS06ny9lg0
will-dricus-du-plessis-defeat-sean
Will Dricus Du Plessis defeat Sean Strickland at UFC 312?
null
1,738,509,388,276
1,739,081,754,110
1,739,081,754,110
YES
0.990794
38,511.431234
LuqCASd8QN
will-there-be-another-place-crash-i
Will there be another plane crash in US airspace with >= 10 victims (fatalities) in 2025?
null
1,738,507,305,506
1,738,993,490,494
1,738,993,490,494
YES
0.99
1,598.73531
phSL2C2Npp
will-my-wife-who-works-at-usaid-exp
Will my wife, who works at USAID, experience an involuntary loss of pay before April?
null
1,738,506,973,863
1,740,016,113,478
1,740,016,113,478
YES
0.693177
1,664.567335
gqP00y5Oy2
will-amazon-amzn-close-higher-on-fe
Will Amazon (AMZN) close higher on Feb 7th, 2025 than it did on Jan 31st, 2025
null
1,738,506,840,300
1,738,967,415,157
1,738,967,415,157
NO
0.28
1,004.752163
OPNqOyPO60
will-the-faas-primary-warning-syste
Will the FAA's primary warning system, NOTAM, be out for more than a day?
null
1,738,506,825,057
1,738,532,258,557
1,738,532,258,557
NO
0.01
894.987437
LsqZqRgCEp
will-the-finale-of-severance-season
Will the finale of Severance season 2 be a disappointment?
null
1,738,505,500,311
1,743,286,966,428
1,743,286,966,428
NO
0.01253
12,104.543797
RI8OCOdC8u
will-there-be-a-stock-market-crash
Will there be a stock market crash attributed to a Trump tariff in 2025?
null
1,738,499,033,135
1,745,416,138,168
1,745,416,138,168
YES
0.989982
2,999.747516
qgzEhNuSn6
will-the-google-nest-mini-setup-pro
Will the Google Nest Mini setup process be fixed for Google Pixel phones by May 2025?
null
1,738,498,912,359
1,746,147,620,702
1,746,147,620,702
NO
0.198078
1,328.382857
gnzLQu9hUC
will-manifold-give-me-a-game-recomm
Will Manifold give me a game recommendation that will stick?
null
1,738,492,370,246
1,742,025,808,169
1,742,025,808,169
YES
0.58201
18
82ZAnEgEhh
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-NtOsA5C2AS
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Feb 3 than it closed on Jan 31?
null
1,738,487,906,548
1,738,619,425,179
1,738,619,425,179
NO
0.01
11,402.558872
tlscpq9Q8I
will-i-lift-weights-today-gLALE9S5Un
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,738,477,985,337
1,738,558,740,000
1,738,562,701,902
NO
0.36
69.564787
Ocz6C6qIpC
will-andrew-cuomo-announce-he-is-ru-5LRsElZAps
Will Andrew Cuomo announce he is running for NYC mayor by the end of February?
null
1,738,472,589,316
1,740,803,035,380
1,740,803,035,380
NO
0.02542
1,374.671976
sIZqnulOlO
will-trump-reverse-canada-tariffs-b
Will Trump reverse Canada Tariffs before The Ides of March?
null
1,738,469,431,315
1,742,054,340,000
1,742,092,482,272
NO
0.009916
87,104.602113
EUUSlPUu8E
march-2025-arabica-coffee-futures-c
March 2025 Arabica Coffee Futures close above 400?
null
1,738,461,669,443
1,742,410,800,000
1,742,419,772,608
NO
0.228213
262.381376
QAg8RsuRu2
will-i-qualify-for-the-usajmo
Will I qualify for the USAJMO?
null
1,738,460,115,404
1,740,891,540,000
1,741,125,151,028
YES
0.962356
568.756948
RzAcEQO62A
will-my-wife-lose-her-job-at-usaid
Will my wife lose her job at USAID* before April?
null
1,738,459,195,825
1,740,016,089,735
1,740,016,089,735
YES
0.66554
3,009.844741
N95A9tLsn2
any-zizians-found-to-have-traded-on
Any Zizians found to have traded on Manifold before the end of February 2025?
null
1,738,458,573,961
1,738,489,930,935
1,738,489,930,935
YES
0.945972
393.224695
gEggZpyzQ2
will-becky-emeet-euan-this-week
Will Becky e-meet Euan this week?
null
1,738,441,792,904
1,739,413,268,169
1,739,413,271,457
YES
0.498811
10
NldyN2cn5d
who-will-win-the-2025-wisconsin-sta
Will the more liberal/Democratic side win the 2025 Wisconsin state supreme court election?
null
1,738,441,733,611
1,743,564,288,438
1,743,564,288,438
YES
0.99
1,645.428585
A8EPZEd0LL
will-another-plane-crash-in-us-airs
Will another plane crash in US airspace in February?
null
1,738,434,147,738
1,738,529,933,177
1,738,529,933,177
YES
0.52
1,313.71518
qn0QzC6uZN
will-iran-hit-israel-within-1-year
Will Iran hit Israel within 1 year of being attacked by them?
null
1,738,429,347,590
1,741,463,697,785
1,741,463,697,785
NO
0.181339
112.474487
2hpgPZA62Q
will-iran-hit-israel-within-11-mont
Will Iran hit Israel within 11 months of being attacked by them?
null
1,738,417,384,331
1,749,949,721,525
1,749,949,721,525
YES
0.972241
1,118.410507
QIEnqu2s8P
will-another-plane-crash-in-februar
Will another plane crash in February?
null
1,738,397,357,095
1,738,529,922,591
1,738,529,922,591
YES
0.951967
1,160.018652
PE6PqzlSn9
daily-coinflip-tR25pSucOl
Daily coinflip
null
1,738,389,111,223
1,738,558,740,000
1,738,562,329,384
YES
0.503488
9,220.06277
ZQhRsQgPyg
will-i-lift-weights-today-SpPqRCINLZ
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,738,387,234,500
1,738,472,340,000
1,738,477,883,490
NO
0.504651
88.220225
PU6O9gAd0y
will-this-question-get-5-traders-to
Will this question get 5 traders today
null
1,738,386,912,094
1,738,399,634,142
1,738,399,634,142
YES
0.99
1,747.714171
NEh0ghpz2P
will-teslas-market-cap-exceed-all-o
Will Tesla's market cap exceed all other automakers combined on April 26, 2025?
null
1,738,384,402,586
1,745,625,600,000
1,745,630,971,342
NO
0.01
911.918367
sPth6nAI2A
will-i-return-to-america-in-februar
Will I return to America in February 2025 as a free citizen?
null
1,738,380,271,064
1,738,728,471,422
1,738,998,080,767
YES
0.787099
10,455.839671
yhzzUu9hCn
will-benjamin-netanyahu-never-retur
Will Benjamin Netanyahu never return to Israel following his February 2025 meeting with Trump?
null
1,738,379,757,439
1,739,191,811,599
1,739,191,811,599
NO
0.010207
5,409.94782
ysczPR9su8
will-wti-crude-hit-100-per-barrel-w
Will WTI crude hit $100 per barrel within the month of February 2025?
null
1,738,373,537,112
1,740,805,140,000
1,741,739,998,059
NO
0.010194
941.481194
ONSO2p8uz2
will-iran-hit-israel-within-10-mont
Will Iran hit Israel within 10 months of being attacked by them?
null
1,738,372,674,947
1,741,463,673,486
1,741,463,673,486
NO
0.156142
191.598183
IhL8czhs65
sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-febr
S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday February 7th 2025 Than It Closed On Friday January 31st 2025? (SP500F-#6)
null
1,738,371,375,299
1,738,990,740,000
1,739,011,076,807
NO
0.008312
23,745.457304
PZ5n6QNUu6
wwill-nvidia-outperform-the-sp-500
Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2025?
null
1,738,357,847,240
1,751,439,540,000
1,751,471,131,403
YES
0.991185
1,718.415614
AgSORI8zpO
will-canada-tariffs-last-until-marc
Will Canada tariffs last until March?
null
1,738,354,936,272
1,738,625,528,228
1,738,625,528,228
NO
0.08
3,101.884993
hNZ9Sc2ANP
will-trump-issue-an-executive-order
Will Trump issue an executive order in February to shut down the Department of Education?
null
1,738,354,709,314
1,739,001,540,000
1,741,129,929,061
NO
0.160074
19,190.885406
I5n9AUA0N9
will-manifold-charge-sweepstakes-fe
Will Manifold Charge Sweepstakes Fees based on Net Profit, for Multiple Choice Markets?
null
1,738,349,294,315
1,739,163,540,000
1,739,304,436,583
YES
0.99
983.533259
09u0IZdS5Q
will-a-switch-version-of-metroid-pr
Will a Switch version of Metroid Prime 2: Echoes release before March?
null
1,738,347,985,567
1,740,787,140,000
1,740,811,071,930
NO
0.011431
9,307.493419
6nnhO6Aql0
will-street-protests-against-trumps
Will street protests against Trump's agenda result in at least one death in 2025?
null
1,738,345,777,918
1,750,880,506,700
1,750,880,506,700
YES
0.990125
15,180.845202
nO6R6Lu20Q
will-i-get-promoted-to-manifolds-ma
Will I get promoted to Manifold's Masters League this season for the first time?
null
1,738,344,497,857
1,738,487,601,355
1,738,487,601,355
YES
0.99
901.269234
tUnR8PZZEz
will-openai-run-a-super-bowl-ad
Will OpenAI run a Super Bowl ad?
null
1,738,342,640,270
1,739,143,200,000
1,739,162,454,552
YES
0.976894
9,067.490894
LpAQql2OA2
will-jesus-christ-have-a-top-10-sup
Will Jesus Christ have a top 10 Super Bowl commercial this year?
null
1,738,338,570,355
1,739,174,340,000
1,739,204,821,512
YES
0.400495
931.350651
chSnLd5NnE
will-cosmic-exploration-contain-a-r
Will Cosmic Exploration contain a ranking system similar to that of Ishgardian Restoration
null
1,738,338,112,652
1,743,781,224,077
1,743,781,224,077
YES
0.524376
5
IIgl9NcS0s
will-jalen-hurts-score-a-touchdown
Will Jalen Hurts score a touchdown in Super Bowl LIX?
null
1,738,332,591,450
1,739,146,282,029
1,739,146,282,029
YES
0.99
9,821.660309
2t0ANIURCO
will-this-question-get-20-traders-i
Will this question get 20 traders in 1 day?
null
1,738,323,757,213
1,738,395,824,366
1,738,462,193,344
YES
0.99343
7,141.131338
qpRZgypgqU
can-anyone-post-a-reply-below-that-c9uR9Zz86Z
Can anyone post a reply below that can convince me that they're a complete idiot?
null
1,738,317,221,343
1,738,522,653,810
1,738,522,653,810
YES
0.59
140.711755
Nq8Z9tO9SL
will-accelerations-acc-alltime-prof
Will Acceleration's (@acc) all-time profit be below 1,400,000 on March 3?
null
1,738,303,082,700
1,741,028,400,000
1,741,031,569,244
YES
0.99
5,696.017725
II2g8RPsq9
will-i-lift-weights-today-dnRs5gn6R0
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,738,300,834,978
1,738,385,940,000
1,738,387,214,158
NO
0.5
130.016666
OPl99N5Aun
will-the-philadelphia-eagles-swoop-IAPZqhzypP--cash
Super Bowl LIX: Will the Philadelphia Eagles win?
null
1,738,292,208,068
1,739,157,678,861
1,739,159,229,100
YES
0.992806
7,819.037493
9zzZZlCLZt
at-least-50-of-traders-on-this-mark
At least 50% of traders on this market are active on Manifold in March 2025
null
1,738,284,292,433
1,741,340,210,975
1,741,340,210,975
YES
0.975233
616.348032
LQzAZNtOsg
polymarket-the-grand-taylor-swift-s
[Polymarket] The Grand Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay
null
1,738,283,446,874
1,739,143,500,000
1,739,162,473,470
NO
0.253649
2,732.394428
I9RE828QC0
will-i-publish-at-least-six-blog-po
Will I publish at least six blog posts in February of 2025?
null
1,738,280,311,738
1,740,735,168,458
1,740,735,168,458
YES
0.932789
342.158162
zdzEzcytyp
will-elon-musk-publicly-criticizes
Will Elon Musk publicly criticizes Donald Trump through its Twitter account before the end of 2025?
null
1,738,278,440,067
1,749,165,045,253
1,749,203,769,784
YES
0.977906
1,204.193578
9Zcpq2lZOU
will-i-be-well-enough-to-work-tomor
Will I feel well enough to work tomorrow?
null
1,738,274,834,427
1,738,335,600,000
1,738,340,433,484
NO
0.33
53.514336
nt5PpSyAEE
will-the-cducsu-lose-ground-in-the
Will the CDU/CSU lose ground in the polls after their vote with the AfD?
null
1,738,274,603,171
1,740,353,503,151
1,740,353,503,151
NO
0.01
1,141.671417
hEcLAu9lEu
will-travis-kelce-propose-to-taylor-RC6CZREQRt
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift during Superbowl LIX?
null
1,738,274,269,818
1,739,159,306,951
1,739,159,306,951
NO
0.01
1,075.062587
9I8nPL29S9
will-there-be-another-nyc-manifold
Will there be another NYC manifold meetup by the end of March?
null
1,738,270,376,770
1,742,704,292,483
1,742,704,292,483
YES
0.99
894.987437
Q0Sts5O0qC
this-market-resolves-yes-at-market
This market resolves YES at market close.
null
1,738,269,341,735
1,738,389,540,000
1,738,389,545,074
YES
0.99
2,629.734429
P2gZp5SnuQ
christianity-vs-sec-humanism-which
Christianity Vs Sec. Humanism, Which Is Best? - Andrew Wilson Vs Craig/FTFE - Will Andrew Wilson Defeat Craig?
null
1,738,268,039,627
1,739,646,393,651
1,739,646,393,651
YES
0.94554
58,369.654728
d0dSQRZ0tc
trumps-vs-bidens-policies-will-nots
Trump's Vs Biden's Policies - Will Pisco Defeat Sean Fitzgerald?
null
1,738,267,810,748
1,739,764,836,700
1,739,764,836,700
NO
0.291558
21,633.110836
RCt9CI05Q6
separation-of-church-state-will-ale
Christian Nationalism on Trial - Will Gnostic Informant Defeat Andrew Wilson?
null
1,738,266,793,059
1,739,744,494,390
1,739,744,494,390
NO
0.027865
41,872.51674
55EqU0En5C
will-jim-post-bangers-on-the-manifo
Will @jim post bangers? (on the Manifold Twitter account)
null
1,738,266,131,844
1,740,902,340,000
1,740,975,271,995
NO
0.01
4,139.525193
gq56UlRNl5
should-transchildren-be-able-to-tra
Should Trans-Children Be Able to Transition? - Will Brianna Wu Defeat WitsitGetsIt?
null
1,738,261,715,678
1,739,744,580,890
1,739,744,580,890
YES
0.989272
34,452.664101
NS9pNU92EL
is-onlyfans-bad-for-society-jazmen
Is OnlyFans Bad for Society? | Will Jazmen Jafar Defeat Alex Stein?
null
1,738,261,300,480
1,739,731,093,155
1,739,731,093,155
NO
0.046442
13,282.665247
zUIRnEZySR
will-a-nintendo-direct-occur-in-feb
Will a Nintendo direct occur in February?
null
1,738,244,282,684
1,740,873,540,000
1,741,336,815,983
NO
0.01
1,304.411791
n2St9sCgUd
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-S9gRQ5pInS
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 30 than it closed on Jan 29?
null
1,738,233,729,678
1,738,270,824,548
1,738,270,824,548
YES
0.99
11,917.968123
u9hLh0snN6
will-any-connections-puzzle-in-febr
Will any Connections puzzle in February 2025 have a solve rate below 50%?
null
1,738,229,268,863
1,738,552,430,501
1,738,552,430,501
YES
0.7871
150.266188
0SZ0EOEIOE
daily-coinflip-pIQp96hu2R
Daily coinflip
null
1,738,226,906,408
1,738,385,940,000
1,738,389,096,602
NO
0.51
10,086.17851
PAcCnSQI06
government-moon-landing-hoax-will-a
Government Moon Landing Hoax - Will Alex Stein Defeat Craig McNeill?
null
1,738,223,754,951
1,739,730,271,024
1,739,730,271,024
NO
0.212912
3,432.739413
8NUA6LsysN
bitcoin-above-105k-on-valentines-da
Bitcoin above $105K on Valentine's Day?
null
1,738,222,847,267
1,739,606,340,000
1,739,639,382,724
NO
0.01
40,032.469163
zy8RcLd2zu
will-manifold-change-the-trade-ui-a
Will Manifold change the trade UI *again* in 2025?
null
1,738,219,529,685
1,738,739,348,465
1,738,739,348,465
YES
0.989859
1,012.161277
ALCAcPLsL8
will-i-lift-weights-today-8NlshR6qsZ
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,738,218,322,176
1,738,299,540,000
1,738,300,819,713
NO
0.637017
99.967395
LnA6SP8Acn
will-usman-khawaja-make-a-double-ce
Will Usman Khawaja make a double century for the Australian test side?
null
1,738,215,133,924
1,738,217,834,273
1,738,217,834,273
YES
0.6
22.474487
UyuZpIzR9g
at-least-5-of-federal-workers-accep
At least 5% of federal workers accept Trump administration buyout offer by February 6th 2025
null
1,738,213,632,713
1,738,886,400,000
1,739,466,276,457
NO
0.054675
9,764.49607
EUCtpdlgCp
will-the-midair-collision-at-reagan
Will the midair collision at Reagan Airport be shown to be terrorism?
null
1,738,211,551,844
1,741,194,160,776
1,741,194,160,776
NO
0.034074
10,445.220557
9QccdlRO8I
will-there-be-a-tangible-policy-cha
Will there be a tangible policy change as a result of the Potomac airline crash?
null
1,738,209,901,657
1,748,469,917,543
1,748,469,917,543
YES
0.822495
2,166.341641
luqsqd8dAq
will-todays-washington-dc-plane-cra
Will 2025 Potomac River plane-helicopter crash be deemed an accident?
null
1,738,209,181,343
1,740,772,740,000
1,741,180,417,825
YES
0.99
1,222.757828
Lup0dt6tSI
was-the-plane-helicopter-crash-in-d
Was the plane - helicopter crash in DC over the Potomac intentional?
null
1,738,209,085,518
1,740,805,140,000
1,740,865,516,597
NO
0.02099
4,702.786612
pO8SE9nOZz
will-the-zizian-news-be-mainstream
Will the Zizian news reach mainstream media by the end of March?
null
1,738,201,182,232
1,739,298,810,986
1,739,298,810,986
YES
0.991856
20,425.754781
8gLgq9yd8d
will-the-manifold-office-lock-be-fi
Will the Manifold office lock be fixed before 5pm?
null
1,738,194,923,189
1,738,197,416,747
1,738,197,425,772
YES
0.88
1,805.631849
cAU25Ud2p9
can-anyone-post-a-reply-below-that
Can anyone post a reply below that can convince me that they're a genius?
null
1,738,186,485,740
1,738,799,940,000
1,738,951,238,147
NO
0.180647
220.636981
L8Pt0tUhuc
in-two-weeks-will-i-believe-the-for
In two weeks, will I believe the "fork in the road" letter was offering people to be fired with 8 months' severance?
null
1,738,174,959,505
1,739,433,540,000
1,739,465,583,936
YES
0.975097
8,876.825221
EzPnultshI
is-daniel-blank-still-alive-on-mark
Is Daniel Blank still alive? (on market CREATION 1/29/2025)
null
1,738,172,647,259
1,739,834,000,356
1,739,834,000,356
YES
0.975461
735.521244
59QPz2PRLI
will-taylor-swift-be-shown-at-least
Will Taylor Swift be shown at least 10 times during the Super Bowl broadcast?
null
1,738,165,193,271
1,739,144,100,000
1,739,204,568,158
NO
0.57
7,077.600058