id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 4 54 | question stringlengths 1 120 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,715B 1,752B | closeTime int64 1,717B 1,752B | resolvedTime int64 1,736B 1,752B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 | volume float64 0 6.93M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
lRRZgN5U29 | 5-or-more-confirmed-violent-tornado | Will there be 5 or more confirmed violent tornadoes (EF4 or EF5) occur in the USA during 2025? | null | 1,738,161,451,270 | 1,747,780,485,664 | 1,747,780,485,664 | YES | 0.829362 | 344.960303 |
q6OdRIUI60 | will-bitcoin-surpass-115000-by-the | Will bitcoin surpass $115,000 by the end of February 2025? | null | 1,738,153,466,509 | 1,740,880,691,838 | 1,740,880,691,838 | NO | 0.01 | 5,218.710948 |
UgEsLtUsIg | will-openai-reveal-thinking-tokens | Will OpenAI reveal thinking tokens by the end of June 2025? | null | 1,738,151,438,831 | 1,751,324,340,000 | 1,751,354,964,224 | NO | 0.01 | 28,105.031787 |
zInuc6u0cU | will-an-italian-tennis-player-win-a | Will an Italian tennis player win a title at the 2025 Italian Open? | null | 1,738,150,068,535 | 1,747,694,283,888 | 1,747,694,283,888 | YES | 0.994519 | 1,635.066729 |
ZtpEyOSNs5 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-6IQzndsC6p | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 29 than it closed on Jan 28? | null | 1,738,149,043,586 | 1,738,187,345,191 | 1,738,187,345,191 | NO | 0.029867 | 8,049.008149 |
EL89cOdSn0 | will-the-us-rise-in-the-happiness-r | Will the US rise in the happiness rankings from 2024 to 2025? | null | 1,738,147,683,033 | 1,743,528,201,607 | 1,743,528,201,607 | NO | 0.028668 | 13,641.932362 |
C8zpgUnZQR | will-trump-again-express-intent-to | Will Trump again express intent to run for a third term while he is president, before the end of Febuary 2025? | null | 1,738,140,685,500 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,741,030,483,047 | YES | 0.678134 | 9,327.308316 |
sA685lh9ZA | bitcoin-above-102k-on-feb-10 | Bitcoin above $102K on Feb 10? | null | 1,738,137,849,173 | 1,739,260,740,000 | 1,739,308,692,856 | NO | 0.01 | 37,263.878202 |
UOqhNQZC2s | will-mayor-eric-adams-of-nyc-resign | Will Mayor Eric Adam’s of NYC resign by 10pm, Jan 31, 2025? | null | 1,738,130,163,828 | 1,738,379,662,572 | 1,738,379,662,572 | NO | 0.01 | 1,442.766 |
g6uuuP0LdR | will-i-lift-weights-today-EhhtRhuOPZ | Will I lift weights today? | null | 1,738,129,842,555 | 1,738,213,140,000 | 1,738,218,309,527 | NO | 0.45 | 53.696345 |
QQN6ncZ95I | will-there-be-market-manipulation-i | Will the market based questions in ACX 2025 be annulled? | null | 1,738,124,187,243 | 1,738,779,518,755 | 1,738,779,518,755 | YES | 0.983477 | 14,836.078211 |
lsplIEPgdn | will-o3-openai-model-be-released-be | Will o3 (OpenAI model) be released before March 2025? | null | 1,738,120,100,741 | 1,740,891,540,000 | 1,740,965,836,933 | NO | 0.02257 | 23,133.470456 |
RnngsIuu65 | will-i-get-a-special-illustration-r | Will I get a Special Illustration Rare from Prismatic Evolutions before Valentines day? | null | 1,738,119,428,706 | 1,739,599,140,000 | 1,739,734,547,312 | NO | 0.145347 | 142.488702 |
tPN8gSdLR0 | will-trump-announce-mass-layoffs-on | Will Trump announce mass layoffs on Feb 7? | null | 1,738,112,628,325 | 1,738,967,686,902 | 1,738,967,686,902 | NO | 0.148166 | 28,111.581376 |
ISApEyZ6Et | will-anthropic-release-a-reasoning-2hnyyyQcp9 | Will Anthropic release a reasoning model before March 2025? | null | 1,738,103,905,345 | 1,740,430,759,818 | 1,740,430,759,818 | YES | 0.986246 | 37,912.568793 |
ROCCnIRNzg | will-5han-be-the-1-tetra-league-pla | Will 5han be the #1 tetra league player on tetr.io on february 7th? | null | 1,738,101,581,903 | 1,738,960,200,000 | 1,738,962,437,373 | NO | 0.090783 | 255.69889 |
Q5c22S88S9 | will-taylor-swift-perform-at-the-su-8CghNQ5SuR | Will Taylor Swift Perform at the Super Bowl LIX Halftime Show | null | 1,738,098,782,909 | 1,739,159,789,178 | 1,739,159,789,178 | NO | 0.01 | 9,938.868523 |
9s0OhsP9UL | will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-5OntP5PQ0n | Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 192 and 193? | null | 1,738,094,498,687 | 1,738,705,909,061 | 1,738,705,912,192 | NO | 0.300695 | 525 |
8tt9qSpqPL | pepfar-funding-unfrozen-by-apr-15-2 | PEPFAR funding unfrozen by Apr 15, 2025 | null | 1,738,092,486,202 | 1,738,853,155,091 | 1,738,853,155,091 | YES | 0.93937 | 29,576.026587 |
z8RtluPuCP | will-the-super-bowl-coin-flip-to-he | Will the Super Bowl Coin flip to heads? | null | 1,738,089,889,486 | 1,739,144,198,634 | 1,739,144,198,634 | NO | 0.015061 | 890.583734 |
ls6StqZQdR | will-xai-be-ahead-of-deepseek-on-ju | Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30 | null | 1,738,088,202,875 | 1,751,284,740,000 | 1,751,285,992,381 | NO | 0.022237 | 23,541.967724 |
tlLntLEz22 | will-nvda-reach-usd-before-et-hits | Will NVDA reach 200 USD before it hits 100 USD? | null | 1,738,081,778,563 | 1,743,847,570,667 | 1,743,847,570,667 | NO | 0.31 | 136.026687 |
5pdZhggPyh | will-i-play-magic-the-gathering-wit | Will I play Magic: The Gathering with friends this weekend? | null | 1,738,080,740,480 | 1,738,540,800,000 | 1,738,567,026,153 | NO | 0.493848 | 11 |
RRtz6dtSIU | average-lifespan-of-domesticated-ho | Average lifespan of domesticated horses increases beyond 30 years by March 2025 | null | 1,738,077,883,648 | 1,738,078,994,789 | 1,738,078,994,789 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
UNuthRL2SC | according-to-trump-microsoft-is-in | Will Microsoft acquire TikTok before 4th April, 2025? [Read description] | null | 1,738,067,595,849 | 1,743,793,140,000 | 1,743,793,841,941 | NO | 0.01 | 6,239.566094 |
IUEALnn9y5 | will-this-question-get-70-traders-i | Will this question get 70 traders in 1 week? | null | 1,738,065,925,166 | 1,738,731,540,000 | 1,738,757,261,311 | YES | 0.99 | 9,580.234642 |
LZCOuEyUzc | daily-coinflip-qc9q2t5dZt | Daily coinflip | null | 1,738,047,017,797 | 1,738,213,140,000 | 1,738,226,892,723 | YES | 0.504905 | 5,192.164482 |
uPdA0Ny5sS | will-deepseek-still-to-rank-higher | Will DeepSeek still to rank higher on the app store than ChatGPT in a month? | null | 1,738,044,360,439 | 1,740,877,200,000 | 1,740,883,207,030 | NO | 0.097968 | 493.085258 |
qAcPdCdhIz | deepseek-35-released-tomorrow | DeepSeek 3.5 released tomorrow? | null | 1,738,041,830,572 | 1,738,148,340,000 | 1,738,196,316,497 | NO | 0.103455 | 2,709 |
8LAIyN8zZt | will-i-lift-weights-today-nR2dhg2ZCQ | Will I lift weights today? | null | 1,738,041,553,704 | 1,738,126,740,000 | 1,738,129,830,433 | YES | 0.567378 | 75 |
dgRA2p0Ich | will-manifold-be-able-to-solve-this | Will Manifold be able to solve this NYT Connections-style puzzle? | null | 1,738,025,465,128 | 1,738,052,070,551 | 1,738,052,070,551 | YES | 0.99 | 4,954.717063 |
CAUp0EhCt5 | will-eric-adams-be-mayor-of-nyc-whe | Will Eric Adams be mayor of NYC when grok 3 releases? | null | 1,738,022,081,010 | 1,740,062,432,719 | 1,740,062,432,719 | YES | 0.99 | 1,633.897736 |
A9sdll6lug | will-i-qualify-for-usapho-this-year | Will I qualify for USAPhO this year? | null | 1,738,021,257,724 | 1,739,350,800,000 | 1,742,185,220,319 | YES | 0.652486 | 768.494624 |
g9CSn9OUsu | will-this-question-get-over-395-tra | Will this question get over 39.5 traders by Feb 17 2025? | null | 1,738,019,776,894 | 1,739,838,019,518 | 1,739,838,019,518 | NO | 0.043376 | 2,057.099811 |
uQ826nQh2I | will-o3mini-beat-deepseek-r1-in-liv | Will o3-mini beat DeepSeek r1 in LiveBench? | null | 1,738,019,580,046 | 1,738,372,921,298 | 1,738,372,921,298 | YES | 0.988563 | 1,051.481567 |
6PgZdpZAqU | jimmy-butler-plays-another-game-for | Jimmy Butler plays another game for the Miami Heat before playing a game for another NBA team | null | 1,738,017,880,328 | 1,738,655,940,000 | 1,739,093,791,918 | NO | 0.124403 | 4,688.558953 |
pEnCE0lANd | will-marvel-rivals-fall-off-in-popu | Will Marvel Rivals fall off in popularity before the new Captain America movie? | null | 1,738,017,167,648 | 1,739,599,140,000 | 1,739,734,535,417 | NO | 0.121804 | 366.529832 |
qUzIlQEN9N | baron-trump-meme-coin-before-march | Will Baron Trump release his own meme coin before March 1st? | null | 1,738,014,602,474 | 1,740,815,940,000 | 1,740,841,298,201 | NO | 0.014526 | 8,718.877976 |
Ls9sc5PdsL | will-ww3-break-out-within-the-next | Will WW3 break out within the next four years as a result of the Russia v. Ukraine conflict. | null | 1,738,008,419,462 | 1,738,608,824,655 | 1,738,608,824,655 | NO | 0.084104 | 230 |
lSSZhuzg9t | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-OLU0ZQyu2O | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 28 than it closed on Jan 27? | null | 1,738,005,711,610 | 1,738,098,539,524 | 1,738,098,539,524 | YES | 0.834987 | 177.290472 |
S2ALNEcsyt | will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-4peat | Will the Kansas City Chiefs 4-peat as NFL Champions? | null | 1,738,004,003,000 | 1,739,157,751,305 | 1,739,157,751,305 | NO | 0.01 | 16,852.57058 |
L02zzglSUl | will-jannik-sinner-be-suspended-in | Will Jannik Sinner be suspended in 2025 as a result of his positive clostebol tests from 2024? | null | 1,738,004,001,257 | 1,739,627,067,691 | 1,739,627,067,691 | YES | 0.967248 | 4,486 |
PQcOnqEty5 | will-nvda-recover-this-month | Will NVDA recover this month? | null | 1,738,003,460,485 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,368,537,785 | NO | 0.091848 | 23,603.75882 |
qNLOIuy0zA | will-this-post-regarding-the-deepse | Will this post regarding the DeepSeek stock market crash and a "scam angle" be proven correct? | null | 1,738,001,792,354 | 1,746,071,940,000 | 1,746,100,404,378 | NO | 0.048267 | 4,065.332221 |
QE05dPht5L | will-president-trump-speak-negative | Will President Trump speak negatively about Sam Altman by the end of February 2025? | null | 1,737,998,371,042 | 1,740,783,540,000 | 1,740,819,505,318 | NO | 0.01 | 5,025.265238 |
SZslRAZOIu | nvidia-nvda-stock-price-above-140-b | NVIDIA (NVDA) stock price above $140 by February 10, 2025 | null | 1,737,993,689,857 | 1,739,145,600,000 | 1,740,075,234,280 | NO | 0.06456 | 14,024.414838 |
lE2c9y8q6l | war-in-ukraine-ends-by-may-9-2025 | War in Ukraine ends by May 9, 2025? | null | 1,737,993,433,138 | 1,746,849,540,000 | 1,746,869,114,492 | NO | 0.008013 | 3,656.275835 |
8NAANS99C2 | will-the-sp-500-spx-finish-on-a-pri | Will the S&P 500 ($SPX) finish on a prime number at the end of this week (excluding decimal place, no rounding) | null | 1,737,990,542,530 | 1,738,360,800,000 | 1,738,363,408,410 | NO | 0.15 | 235.400711 |
qLP0EQLl80 | trump-imposes-new-tariffs-on-canada | Trump imposes new tariffs on Canada by EOD February 1st, 2025 | null | 1,737,988,819,853 | 1,738,449,400,656 | 1,738,449,400,656 | YES | 0.930942 | 58,465.08361 |
A2RP9nCLpz | will-the-sp-500-spx-finish-over-610 | Will the S&P 500 ($SPX) Finish over $6100 at the end of today's trading day? | null | 1,737,988,263,075 | 1,738,011,627,169 | 1,738,011,627,169 | NO | 0.01 | 914.987437 |
LESsgut8UU | will-british-airways-announce-effec | Will British Airways announce effectively lower thresholds for achieving status? | null | 1,737,986,801,008 | 1,738,755,134,017 | 1,738,755,134,017 | YES | 0.84 | 129.128785 |
59uZNlNd02 | will-i-double-my-net-worth-by-april | Will I double my net worth by April 1st, 2025? | null | 1,737,986,639,970 | 1,743,566,340,000 | 1,743,711,790,975 | NO | 0.010224 | 1,026.355604 |
52P6szA5tc | will-any-player-or-coach-cry-during | Will any player or coach cry during National Anthem at the Superbowl? | null | 1,737,984,913,308 | 1,739,228,340,000 | 1,739,658,787,018 | YES | 0.99 | 9,014.401609 |
s6sQ62d5PZ | holy-shit-my-reaction-to-deepseek-r | "Holy shit!" -> my reaction to deepseek r1. Will I feel the same about any AI developments in the next 5 months? | null | 1,737,984,860,605 | 1,751,043,540,000 | 1,751,083,798,743 | NO | 0.014313 | 23,385.750554 |
2dpZ6ysnAI | ceasefire-agreement-between-drc-and | Ceasefire agreement between DRC and M23 Rebels signed before March 31, 2025 | null | 1,737,977,970,003 | 1,738,685,733,381 | 1,738,685,733,381 | YES | 0.956309 | 431.548759 |
ZzU0A6AyE6 | test-E2n8L9u2l5 | test | null | 1,737,968,405,542 | 1,738,018,740,000 | 1,745,827,653,744 | NO | 0.479706 | 14 |
LzCl9PqOIU | will-i-reach-a-30-day-streak-on-nyt | Will I reach a 30 day streak on NYT connections in 2025? | null | 1,737,960,724,329 | 1,739,236,481,607 | 1,739,236,481,607 | YES | 0.9 | 210.734597 |
PllAPlLg2L | will-elon-musk-be-out-of-trumps-adm | Will Elon Musk be out of Trump's administration before any of Trump's cabinet? | null | 1,737,955,834,867 | 1,748,486,934,252 | 1,748,486,934,252 | YES | 0.412507 | 682.672481 |
296qyOzud8 | will-trump-announce-new-sanctions-o | Will Trump announce new sanctions on any country this week? | null | 1,737,955,467,571 | 1,738,419,428,889 | 1,738,419,428,889 | YES | 0.48 | 289.319527 |
UO2OQ09QlI | will-i-lift-weights-today-CQPhhQunUR | Will I lift weights today? | null | 1,737,955,151,951 | 1,738,040,340,000 | 1,738,041,537,811 | NO | 0.700127 | 102.110435 |
Elun80zN8p | will-grok-3-beat-deepseek-r1-on-the | Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek R1 on the chatbot leaderboard? | null | 1,737,948,023,369 | 1,741,840,925,946 | 1,741,840,925,946 | YES | 0.985655 | 36,688.526987 |
CAgULR5ASz | will-grok-3-beat-deepseek-3-on-the | Will Grok 3 beat DeepSeek 3 on the chatbot leaderboard? | null | 1,737,946,138,484 | 1,742,482,668,928 | 1,742,482,668,928 | YES | 0.98952 | 1,853.73163 |
UC9pu9cAhp | will-the-philadelphia-eagles-swoop-IAPZqhzypP | Super Bowl LIX: Will the Philadelphia Eagles win? | null | 1,737,943,197,845 | 1,739,157,678,861 | 1,739,157,678,861 | YES | 0.995645 | 713,956.211245 |
StUqlPzduO | will-the-next-78th-episode-of-skibi | Will the next (78th) episode of Skibidi Toilet be released by the end of February 2025? | null | 1,737,939,032,370 | 1,740,783,540,000 | 1,740,819,491,751 | NO | 0.102554 | 265.876407 |
sy689hzRqQ | us-imposes-new-economic-sanctions-o | U.S. imposes new tariffs, sanctions, or visa restrictions on Colombia before February 1st, 2025 | null | 1,737,936,680,849 | 1,737,957,514,781 | 1,737,957,514,781 | YES | 0.419019 | 1,200 |
06LntQdc52 | will-neymar-jr-be-announced-by-sant | Will Neymar Jr. be announced by Santos FC by Wednesday? | null | 1,737,933,921,151 | 1,738,267,858,564 | 1,738,267,858,564 | NO | 0.030578 | 11,418.856643 |
llZdRNQ5gz | will-openais-o3-mini-support-image | Will Openai's O3 mini Support Image uploads? | null | 1,737,929,818,394 | 1,738,365,059,275 | 1,738,365,059,275 | NO | 0.014801 | 3,518.078489 |
ltUuszC2S0 | will-jannik-sinner-win-all-four-gra | Will Jannik Sinner win all four Grand Slams in 2025? | null | 1,737,929,498,494 | 1,749,425,561,354 | 1,749,425,561,354 | NO | 0.01 | 8,057.112757 |
NPSyN0gEpg | openai-announces-a-successor-to-o3 | OpenAI announces a successor to o3 before June 30, 2025 | null | 1,737,917,521,669 | 1,743,791,103,026 | 1,743,791,103,026 | YES | 0.91642 | 700.574793 |
O05yQgphzy | will-togashi-yoshihiro-tweet-again-IAquCsAR5S | Will Togashi Yoshihiro tweet again before the end of January 2025? | null | 1,737,913,999,666 | 1,738,403,312,609 | 1,738,403,312,609 | NO | 0.36 | 216.396139 |
56PEP2zpZS | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-afc-dEZNP9I0qc | Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC championship | null | 1,737,910,627,269 | 1,737,957,540,000 | 1,737,988,034,566 | NO | 0.015483 | 2,779.433002 |
tplLgqPdI2 | will-the-washington-commanders-win-22OURqChEh | Will the Washington commanders win the NFC championship | null | 1,737,910,518,063 | 1,737,940,984,484 | 1,737,940,984,484 | NO | 0.01 | 1,105.281616 |
u09Qdp0QSq | will-openai-confirm-that-access-to | Will OpenAI confirm that access to FrontierMath was not used to guide the development of o3 release version? | null | 1,737,909,337,581 | 1,738,645,803,706 | 1,738,645,803,706 | YES | 0.95 | 459.317781 |
LhgZ9ZqU0E | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-yh25SpQ5ER | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 66 and 67? | null | 1,737,904,849,227 | 1,738,510,482,757 | 1,738,510,487,945 | NO | 0.210023 | 1,260.574 |
tdqtntsLqO | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-8INN68q6lz | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1138 and 1139? | null | 1,737,904,780,722 | 1,738,509,474,520 | 1,738,509,477,447 | NO | 0.202491 | 12,796.297178 |
9Cz6AE2IzR | will-i-make-usaco-camp-in-2025 | Will I make USACO camp in 2025 | null | 1,737,902,537,587 | 1,745,836,369,074 | 1,745,836,369,074 | YES | 0.842861 | 4,681.875704 |
yty68Oup8c | will-the-us-government-ask-china-to | Will the US ask China to pay for COVID before the 2026 midterms? | null | 1,737,896,996,580 | 1,742,101,686,424 | 1,742,101,686,424 | YES | 0.99 | 1,548.524373 |
lLlh9cAu68 | will-i-lift-weights-today-gOEplltUZc | Will I lift weights today? | null | 1,737,872,656,211 | 1,737,953,940,000 | 1,737,955,140,537 | NO | 0.647806 | 86.377645 |
SOCnUR8pA8 | pepfar-funding-unfrozen-by-february | PEPFAR funding unfrozen by February 15, 2025 | null | 1,737,851,538,506 | 1,739,664,000,000 | 1,740,863,397,555 | NO | 0.137965 | 34,949.996676 |
2Ct9zpERIg | will-musks-cozying-up-to-far-the-ri | Will Musk's cozying up to far the right hurt Tesla sales? | null | 1,737,849,238,515 | 1,745,488,533,048 | 1,745,488,560,445 | YES | 0.98998 | 2,359.679794 |
nI5lNt98uS | this-market-has-an-85-percent-chanc | This Market has an 85 percent chance of a positive resolution at 4et today. (random # generator) | null | 1,737,835,244,704 | 1,737,839,056,965 | 1,737,839,056,965 | NO | 0.821228 | 4,089.89937 |
8zuCCUSUUg | civil-lawsuit-filed-against-trump-m | Civil lawsuit filed against $TRUMP memecoin by May 31st, 2025 | null | 1,737,830,207,572 | 1,748,646,000,000 | 1,749,987,581,653 | NO | 0.06 | 665.223204 |
tP6UChIqpP | will-nikola-jokic-score-25-or-more | Will Nikola Jokic Score 25 or More Points Today Versus the Timberwolves? | null | 1,737,819,877,290 | 1,737,949,386,264 | 1,737,949,386,264 | NO | 0.01 | 951.11955 |
qP5UhpSscC | will-bychkov-go-to-the-gym-tomorrow | Will Bychkov go to the gym tomorrow | null | 1,737,806,089,958 | 1,737,925,140,000 | 1,739,679,249,291 | NO | 0.206543 | 96 |
ZS9tyZsLIQ | will-openais-operator-be-available | Will OpenAI's Operator be available in the EU by the end of 2025? | null | 1,737,805,803,309 | 1,748,966,507,121 | 1,748,966,507,121 | YES | 0.981602 | 6,496.054643 |
89qQstLIIh | will-openais-sora-be-available-in-t | Will OpenAI's Sora be available in the EU by the end of 2025? | null | 1,737,805,758,298 | 1,748,966,536,395 | 1,748,966,536,395 | YES | 0.99 | 9,250.985781 |
gZyLg0unhg | 2025-february-hottest-on-record | 2025 February hottest on record? | null | 1,737,793,658,195 | 1,743,392,538,165 | 1,743,392,538,165 | NO | 0.01 | 1,143.59517 |
0UlulyZgC0 | 2025-january-hottest-on-record-reso | 2025 January hottest on record? (Resolves from GISTemp data) | null | 1,737,793,430,758 | 1,740,350,523,305 | 1,740,350,523,305 | YES | 0.990493 | 1,098.624636 |
Qzsdl0nhZO | will-trump-sign-a-bill-into-law-in | Will Trump sign a bill into law in his first week? | null | 1,737,792,959,047 | 1,738,080,907,117 | 1,738,080,907,117 | NO | 0.01 | 975.800337 |
0On5cc6Rd8 | will-i-lift-weights-today-nEyppSuptz | Will I lift weights today? | null | 1,737,789,709,180 | 1,737,867,540,000 | 1,737,872,634,325 | NO | 0.430571 | 15 |
nquCCn6qRh | daily-coinflip-NPhZhtnQdR | Daily coinflip | null | 1,737,787,451,525 | 1,737,953,940,000 | 1,738,047,000,645 | YES | 0.5 | 2,938.521101 |
gc2uq5AypO | will-donald-trump-publicly-express | Will Donald Trump publicly express interest in serving a third term as president in his first quarter? | null | 1,737,774,851,339 | 1,743,357,801,976 | 1,743,357,801,976 | YES | 0.977368 | 861 |
ldPUOQlQUz | will-trump-be-nominated-for-the-nob | Will Trump be Nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | null | 1,737,768,045,727 | 1,738,766,433,362 | 1,738,766,433,362 | YES | 0.97 | 25,598.783776 |
OgPy6Ay0Zg | will-manifold-hire-me-by-the-end-of-RQOcqhZnud | Will Manifold hire me by the end of March? | null | 1,737,765,591,856 | 1,743,577,140,000 | 1,743,616,923,423 | NO | 0.039181 | 4,297.051967 |
AuPd598ngI | average-domestic-usa-flight-fare-38 | Average domestic USA flight fare >=$385, Q4 2024 | null | 1,737,763,532,080 | 1,745,380,740,000 | 1,745,854,322,353 | YES | 0.99 | 915.608483 |
dpPNU20IcQ | will-amazon-amzn-close-higher-on-ja-2tP20tAC6p | Will Amazon (AMZN) close higher on January 31st than it did on January 24th | null | 1,737,759,542,349 | 1,738,360,204,773 | 1,738,360,204,773 | YES | 0.86 | 2,460.574265 |
gsIl5Ad9cs | will-reputation-taylors-version-be-u0yhL9EZlC | Will reputation (Taylor's Version) be officially announced in January 2025? | null | 1,737,754,220,427 | 1,738,396,740,000 | 1,738,397,478,643 | NO | 0.111686 | 197.977202 |
pSlPd9zQuU | sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-janu-28E5su02hy | S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday January 31st 2025 Than It Closed On Friday January 24th 2025? (SP500F-#5) | null | 1,737,753,414,813 | 1,738,357,200,000 | 1,738,371,332,493 | NO | 0.014703 | 11,281.086842 |
nlCZgsuyAs | will-i-track-my-mood-every-day-for | Will I track my mood every day for 7 days? | null | 1,737,750,064,830 | 1,738,346,605,141 | 1,738,346,605,141 | YES | 0.9 | 200 |
CqEgy2Z8Qz | will-fox-news-report-about-the-isra | Will fox news report about an Israeli sniper killing a young Palestinian child despite ceasefire? | null | 1,737,745,433,795 | 1,740,373,140,000 | 1,740,845,224,084 | NO | 0.010016 | 1,013.322346 |
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