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qv7fk7rmbx
will-china-execute-any-taiwanese-se
Will China execute any Taiwanese separatists in 2024?
null
1,720,320,333,753
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,718,832,616
NO
0.039774
4,513
q7ohwpperj
will-reducing-sycophancy-and-improv
Will "Reducing sycophancy and improving honesty via..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,720,304,985,723
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,305,353,203
NO
0.138487
11
bpf4tw7abg
chance-i-get-back-with-my-ex-within
Chance I get back with my ex within 6 months
null
1,720,303,425,333
1,736,402,340,000
1,739,858,724,209
NO
0.017379
1,521.267978
86foz77haq
will-alexey-guzey-find-a-new-job-or
Will Alexey guzey find a new job or girlfriend before qiaochu yuan does
null
1,720,301,812,104
1,744,208,065,056
1,744,208,065,056
YES
0.913538
235
6unavmpfjd
will-we-learn-that-joe-biden-has-pa
Will we learn that Joe Biden has Parkinson's disease before the end of 2024?
null
1,720,298,970,505
1,735,718,340,000
1,736,406,441,514
NO
0.012606
63,144.461394
tujum5aaiy
will-anyone-at-reform-uk-be-arreste
Will anyone at Reform UK be arrested for fielding fake / AI candidates in the 2024 election?
null
1,720,291,022,749
1,735,689,540,000
1,735,714,940,764
NO
0.055251
4,488.431127
v4rpc9p9my
will-alexey-guzey-find-a-new-girlfr
Will Alexey guzey find a new girlfriend by EOY 2025
null
1,720,284,837,035
1,736,716,122,712
1,736,716,122,712
YES
0.903154
50,098.38682
0y8c9giyq3
will-spacexs-starship-cross-the-int-v015ljpg00
Will SpaceX's Starship cross the International Date Line by the end of Q2 2025.
null
1,720,275,137,001
1,751,351,432,304
1,751,351,432,304
NO
0.009791
14,699.856315
pi9pfecmbw
will-openai-the-battle-of-the-board
Will "OpenAI: The Battle of the Board" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,720,250,304,008
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,305,383,830
NO
0.151798
20
x5hcor4ibd
will-manifold-add-a-way-for-creator-cnxy569d74
Will Manifold add a way for creators to initialize binary markets at non-50% probabilities in the UI? (by July 2025)
null
1,720,226,577,132
1,751,349,540,000
1,751,374,926,990
NO
0.029789
5,094.749228
cgb6ifvfzb
will-andrew-tate-aka-top-g-be-spott
Will Andrew Tate aka Top G be spotted outside of the EU in 2024, after Romanian judge ruled he must stay within EU?
null
1,720,219,615,591
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,955,643,817
NO
0.034587
8,217.422367
lbw6ff5ksk
will-i-get-a-boyfriend-before-i-get
Will I get a boyfriend before I get an award on the USAMO?
null
1,720,201,816,629
1,737,252,423,372
1,737,252,423,372
YES
0.99
8,312.405067
lqgl3op27t
will-tesla-cease-to-be-the-most-val-w9d4l5y1al
Will Tesla cease to be the most valuable automaker by market cap for any amount of time before the end of 2024?
null
1,720,200,936,812
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,721,434,221
NO
0.033683
640
doawhtg0u3
will-i-make-imo-2025-ce26w5jwer
Will I make IMO 2025?
null
1,720,199,483,906
1,745,020,005,444
1,745,020,005,444
NO
0.019589
21,432.049245
9ag1zt93jk
will-i-make-rmm-2025
Will I make RMM 2025?
null
1,720,199,318,603
1,737,343,872,847
1,737,343,872,847
YES
0.99
1,035.776139
pg3tssamkz
will-stephen-hsu-visit-agi-house-by
Will Stephen Hsu visit AGI House by EOY 2027
null
1,720,113,951,883
1,742,164,398,490
1,742,164,398,490
YES
0.52359
5
89el6ac6sm
will-the-2024-atlantic-hurricane-se-ed3zw26k1p
Will the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season be more active than the 2024 Pacific typhoon season?
null
1,720,108,031,533
1,725,260,340,000
1,735,730,020,118
NO
0.177431
796.166539
crzzsm1idb
will-the-2024-atlantic-hurricane-se
Will the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season be more active than the 2024 Pacific hurricane season?
null
1,720,107,970,551
1,725,260,340,000
1,735,729,986,396
YES
0.203008
444.060167
9gbe8pda0j
will-a-president-die-on-the-fourth
Will a USA president die on the fourth of July in 2024 or 2025?
null
1,720,080,345,633
1,751,685,302,201
1,751,685,302,201
NO
0.01
2,741.152974
gfj6n3l5o2
will-any-one-of-the-34-trump-feloni
Will any one of the 34 Trump felonies in NYC be overturned by the end of June 2025?
null
1,720,047,290,351
1,751,327,907,892
1,751,327,907,892
NO
0.01
1,836.470924
jqowkyoyzr
will-any-one-of-the-34-criminal-cha
Will any one of the 34 Trump felonies in NYC be overturned by the end of 2024?
null
1,720,047,239,797
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,775,743,744
NO
0.01
1,000.826334
1qcmennj3v
will-bronny-james-score-10-points-i
Will Bronny James score 10 total points in the 2024-25 season (not inclusive of preseason)
null
1,720,039,251,038
1,738,472,172,944
1,738,472,172,944
YES
0.99
1,295.135887
jyvbcs9o14
will-starship-launch-at-least-2-sta
Will Starship launch at least 2 Starlink satellites to orbit in 2024
null
1,720,027,469,823
1,735,707,540,000
1,736,377,174,717
NO
0.012427
29,797.593232
0try236b7a
will-presidential-immunity-be-rever
Will presidential immunity be reverted by a constitutional amendment in 2024?
null
1,720,019,101,300
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,720,980,080
NO
0.010513
14,409.115445
tnjuup1zzr
will-grant-applications-and-grand-n
Will "Grant applications and grand narratives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,961,706,388
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,306,068,034
NO
0.14
0
ioxcfdmhdr
will-grant-applications-and-grand-n
Will "Grant applications and grand narratives" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,961,706,385
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,305,306,934
NO
0.1217
150
6kel5pf5su
will-i-recommend-using-aws-lambda-f
Will I recommend using AWS Lambda for your B2B startup?
null
1,719,960,324,159
1,740,902,340,000
1,741,373,974,787
NO
0.358562
2,194.470747
5uvzuytwcn
will-ufo-betting-put-up-or-shut-up
Will "UFO Betting: Put Up or Shut Up" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,947,613,863
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,443,852
NO
0.09
591.788712
3m3j2g6m7e
will-i-qualify-for-mop-in-2025
Will I qualify for MOP in 2025?
null
1,719,944,795,227
1,738,892,889,038
1,738,892,889,038
NO
0.423561
1,158.456337
u0v0oxyn12
will-karen-read-be-tried-again-afte
Will Karen Read be tried again after the jury deadlocked and a mistrial was declared on July 1, 2024?
null
1,719,942,642,650
1,745,353,441,242
1,745,353,441,242
YES
0.99
8,966.993118
okyhckj1iz
will-an-h5n1-mrna-vaccine-be-develo
Will an H5N1 mRNA vaccine be developed and enter "late stage" human trials (or wider release) by July 2025?
null
1,719,942,169,197
1,751,405,032,598
1,751,405,032,598
NO
0.010143
101,077.552976
nkihpxibhu
will-the-mystery-of-the-capital-hil
Will the mystery of the Capital Hill Pipe Bomber from right before January 6th be "solved" before May 2025?
null
1,719,940,561,773
1,746,169,140,000
1,746,169,298,862
NO
0.050125
363
mhc9kexdsp
will-the-boston-celtics-be-sold-for
Will the Boston Celtics be sold for more than $5 billion by year end 2025?
null
1,719,921,683,138
1,742,481,186,191
1,742,481,186,191
YES
0.99
9,867.461964
qbq48lynif
will-either-the-house-or-the-senate
Will either the House or the Senate vote on a constitutional amendment overturning Trump v. United States?
null
1,719,911,355,359
1,735,685,940,000
1,735,690,039,173
NO
0.110816
4,448.564253
slf8viq4dt
will-the-number-of-manifold-league
Will the number of Manifold league types have changed at any point in time before 2025?
null
1,719,883,452,803
1,735,772,340,000
1,738,719,307,346
NO
0.010006
895
ot6fxz4he8
will-openai-api-base-models-are-not
Will "OpenAI API base models are not sycophantic, a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,869,406,997
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,988,126
NO
0.127181
100
yh9gl5qtom
will-a-supreme-court-justice-be-imp
Will a Supreme Court justice be impeached this year?
null
1,719,863,969,466
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,761,700,357
NO
0.016553
8,392.987147
ddklry9076
will-sam-altmans-sister-annie-altma
Will "Sam Altman's sister, Annie Altman, claims Sam..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,822,879,930
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,962,619
NO
0.081263
1,105
zfi78oaapm
will-the-sohu-ai-chip-ship-to-custo
Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?
null
1,719,813,935,549
1,750,834,740,000
1,751,472,963,606
NO
0.026083
6,053.783479
wbf3hxvnlq
will-fernando-alonso-receive-an-aut
Will Fernando Alonso receive an automatic race ban before March 24th 2025?
null
1,719,811,208,519
1,742,885,940,000
1,742,913,685,580
NO
0.01
1,004.936939
cd9xhpsbs0
will-ai-agents-be-able-to-code-a-sm
Will AI agents be able to regularly code small features for us in a year?
null
1,719,802,886,715
1,751,439,540,000
1,751,659,859,290
YES
0.98831
489,743.324299
axdguyaqbb
will-overwatch-2-implement-a-6v6-ga
Will Overwatch 2 implement a 6v6 game mode outside of the Arcade at any point in 2024?
null
1,719,793,397,726
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,721,684,196
YES
0.948618
355.245251
en29wk5qxy
will-joseph-anderson-release-his-hi-kwsbpb9idd
Will Joseph Anderson release his highly anticipated Witcher 3 review before the end of August?
null
1,719,782,486,381
1,743,782,603,553
1,743,782,603,553
YES
0.947987
2,939.457752
y1mrv7fdys
will-joseph-anderson-release-his-hi
Will Joseph Anderson release his highly anticipated Witcher 3 review before the end of Blue Monday?
null
1,719,782,314,074
1,737,349,140,000
1,737,349,808,867
NO
0.01
904.937072
x3t4y1cd05
will-beff-jezos-renounce-eacc-by-eo
Will Beff Jezos renounce e/acc by EOY?
null
1,719,759,071,374
1,735,642,740,000
1,735,824,871,631
NO
0.072829
324.469178
a9olurgcmw
will-tame-impala-release-a-consumer
Will Tame Impala release a consumer analog synthesizer in 2024?
null
1,719,757,679,239
1,738,472,340,000
1,738,482,548,949
NO
0.567403
15
i7v26sr47v
will-notes-on-teaching-in-prison-ma
Will "Notes on Teaching in Prison" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,755,071,413
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,577,510
NO
0.14
0
dei4ssmcwz
will-biden-finish-his-term
Will Biden finish his term?
null
1,719,729,720,157
1,737,370,740,000
1,737,403,122,033
YES
0.990211
6,933,547.153207
e2vmrasfyn
will-interactive-brokers-prediction
Will Interactive Broker's prediction market platform have $100mm in volume in 2024?
null
1,719,721,733,939
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,771,228,496
YES
0.980018
87,650.670754
bgouw4kyjs
will-81kilograms-be-regularly-takin
Will 81kilograms be regularly taking estrogen by June 2025?
null
1,719,709,259,150
1,735,718,340,000
1,736,291,325,610
NO
0.392298
350
h9isquulpn
will-the-witching-hour-make-the-top
Will "The Witching Hour" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,703,430,526
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,330,018
NO
0.161284
25
ug7m9a14l9
will-you-can-just-spontaneously-cal
Will "You can just spontaneously call people you ha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,679,847,345
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,305,302,577
NO
0.180786
233
ra03enxo4p
will-sam-darnold-start-10-or-more-g
Will Sam Darnold start 10 or more games at QB in 2024?
null
1,719,628,376,379
1,737,521,940,000
1,737,568,346,732
YES
0.99
12,414.149184
r7r2ouulf7
will-dr-disrespect-sign-a-contract
Will Dr Disrespect sign a contract with Kick by the end of June 2025?
null
1,719,622,905,658
1,751,327,523,034
1,751,327,523,034
NO
0.01
2,216.59355
97akxlkxz2
at-the-end-of-juneteenth-2025-june
At the end of Juneteenth 2025 (June 19) will Manifold have sold enough Mana in the last 30 days to buy one bitcoin?
null
1,719,620,957,495
1,750,391,940,000
1,750,541,418,457
NO
0.01
1,475.443765
3ef882zwka
will-slasher-win-his-bet-with-dan-t
Will the Dr Disrespect chat logs with the minor leak by the end of the year?
null
1,719,620,588,230
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,953,042,063
NO
0.104112
195
2oxzokvgcb
will-jimmy-carter-out-live-biden
Will jimmy carter out live Biden?
null
1,719,609,382,080
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,725,491,965
NO
0.01
1,825.710222
ntzm68c91n
will-explaining-grokking-through-ci
Will "Explaining grokking through circuit efficiency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,576,540,686
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,404,429
NO
0.10324
350
ym66bnks5l
will-manifold-implement-some-form-o
Will Manifold implement some form of automatic growth of invested mana?
null
1,719,566,261,289
1,749,453,213,263
1,749,453,213,263
NO
0.035381
72,046.317562
d8f53u6t4d
will-conor-mcgregor-announce-a-run
Will Conor McGregor Announce a Run for Political Office in Ireland by the End of 2025?
null
1,719,560,440,576
1,735,718,340,000
1,736,585,550,784
NO
0.03
567.054685
y6mvojbc6l
if-trump-is-elected-will-the-2023-i
If Trump is elected, will the 2023 Israel-Gaza war be ongoing in June 2025?
null
1,719,520,983,180
1,748,847,540,000
1,749,104,910,010
YES
0.99
984.856962
y5x8hbu6ot
will-givewell-donations-be-higher-t
Will GiveWell donations be higher this year than last year?
null
1,719,519,628,735
1,738,396,740,000
1,748,706,792,547
YES
0.5
0
sjrnt2meeh
will-givewell-fund-an-airelated-int
Will GiveWell fund an AI-related intervention this year?
null
1,719,519,530,678
1,735,718,340,000
1,735,761,588,597
NO
0.035018
6,407.375402
ztomkvqqc2
will-there-be-proof-that-joe-biden
Will there be proof that Joe Biden is using stimulant drugs (besides caffeine) during the 2024 campaign?
null
1,719,509,987,351
1,730,879,940,000
1,738,448,339,443
NO
0.020096
88,292.604658
trlk0kfl32
will-why-not-just-build-weak-ai-too
Will "Why Not Just... Build Weak AI Tools For AI Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,502,747,141
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,358,882
NO
0.238041
101
paitses2f9
will-china-have-invaded-taiwan-by-d
Will 🇨🇳 China have invaded Taiwan 🇹🇼 by December 31st? 🏳️
null
1,719,493,947,804
1,735,718,340,000
1,738,479,989,950
NO
0.03098
2,238.120667
ytpiuad0nj
did-the-rms-titanic-sink-because-of
Did the RMS Titanic sink because of an iceberg?
null
1,719,483,797,021
1,744,646,340,000
1,750,769,776,272
YES
0.952183
561.644998
eegbr9bc7i
will-donald-trump-express-remorse-t
Will Donald Trump express remorse that Bolivian General Juan José Zúñiga‘s coup attempt failed?
null
1,719,452,822,039
1,735,766,178,287
1,735,766,178,287
NO
0.04941
3,616.469038
z81640cwd
will-flowers-have-a-verified-user-b
will @Flowers have a verified user badge by the end of 2024?
null
1,719,438,509,977
1,735,718,340,000
1,739,215,546,811
NO
0.169802
1,370.091706
08mcu212pu
will-the-united-state-recognize-a-n
Will the United State recognize a new government in Bolivia by the end of 2024?
null
1,719,435,219,657
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,780,860,995
NO
0.101689
386
v1rg6i4i2k
will-women-will-be-having-more-sex
Will women will be having more sex with robots than men by 2025?
null
1,719,384,080,698
1,735,694,026,789
1,735,694,026,789
NO
0.01
899.573625
i3wnkdkq0z
a-year-from-now-will-manifold-think
A year from now, will Manifold think this prediction about the future of LLM's has held up?
null
1,719,379,429,007
1,735,649,940,000
1,751,776,522,656
NO
0.584539
1,362.67891
bczq099bmu
will-i-make-both-usapho-or-the-fide
Will I make both USApHO and the FIDE IM title before the summer of 2025?
null
1,719,366,605,389
1,750,478,340,000
1,750,916,606,436
NO
0.26338
976
t7nckwdc29
would-creating-a-manifold-minecraft
Would creating a Manifold Minecraft server be successful?
null
1,719,362,357,591
1,735,649,940,000
1,747,825,607,867
NO
0.351647
65
9y1gxuntth
will-openai-dissolve-by-july-2025
Will OpenAI dissolve by July 2025?
null
1,719,347,314,275
1,751,432,340,000
1,751,473,381,109
NO
0.010844
13,443.801707
h21yoxpegf
will-the-team-that-is-the-2025-nhl
Will the team that is the 2025 NHL Stanley Cup winner be a first-time champion?
null
1,719,344,648,615
1,747,577,618,001
1,747,577,618,001
NO
0.058189
3,050.836428
evwmukfzrc
a-reputable-news-outlet-reports-on
A reputable news outlet reports on a Twitter Julian Assange disinformation campaign by EOY 2024.
null
1,719,321,420,070
1,735,685,940,000
1,735,735,340,000
NO
0.374949
30
vo4lts2216
will-julian-assange-be-guest-of-the
Will Julian Assange be guest of The Joe Rogan Experience podcast in 2024?
null
1,719,309,321,589
1,735,685,940,000
1,735,818,973,072
NO
0.014204
8,547.831277
d69sh8g863
will-the-memecoin-slerf-reach-1b-ma
Will the memecoin $Slerf reach 1B Market cap by the end of 2024
null
1,719,302,547,879
1,735,660,740,000
1,736,598,367,836
NO
0.01
937.477757
av5yv360gn
will-sapirwhorf-for-rationalists-ma
Will "Sapir-Whorf for Rationalists" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,300,839,182
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,305,908,098
NO
0.157863
80
h3zr6f4bg5
will-assange-survive-the-next-six-m
Will Assange survive the next six months?
null
1,719,292,036,797
1,735,685,940,000
1,741,978,128,880
YES
0.963784
6,928.565684
un1i1vwsm9
will-one-day-sooner-make-the-top-fi-60ybgvcqep
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,255,171,988
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,937,462
NO
0.161285
25
7c30o25ncd
will-one-day-sooner-make-the-top-fi
Will "One Day Sooner" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,255,171,702
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,305,987,411
NO
0.15
12.040495
t1ak19om8g
will-i-subvert-my-internet-blocks-o-5thpkt347s
Will I subvert my internet blocks on a day that is not covered by one of my rolling commitment markets by EOY 2024.
null
1,719,249,161,453
1,735,689,540,000
1,736,178,000,302
YES
0.203723
158.985507
lu8p5uunog
will-big-mac-subsidy-make-the-top-f
Will "Big Mac Subsidy?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,239,658,178
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,376,360
NO
0.12729
100
366yctldkr
will-but-why-would-the-ai-kill-us-m
Will "But why would the AI kill us?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,239,219,878
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,522,803
NO
0.127181
100
mws7iij5nw
will-the-claude-4-series-of-models
Will the Claude 4 series of models come out before 2026?
null
1,719,235,629,110
1,747,944,239,731
1,747,944,239,731
YES
0.99
2,767.843096
ntwinyr4ax
will-the-uk-foreign-secretary-go-to
Will the UK Foreign Secretary go to China before 2025?
null
1,719,226,073,200
1,735,660,740,000
1,735,765,959,858
YES
0.898365
215
bv7x3ej82b
will-there-are-probably-no-superhum
Will "There are (probably) no superhuman Go AIs: st..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,719,224,312,759
1,738,368,000,000
1,739,304,335,025
NO
0.099625
393.832915
lj646b5bkb
will-russia-and-ukraine-sign-or-pro
Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025?
null
1,719,215,086,321
1,735,689,540,000
1,736,450,385,283
NO
0.036039
4,363.351591
yl5pkook7t
will-there-be-50-or-more-inches-of
Will there be 50 inches of rain in Central Park this year?
null
1,719,202,393,580
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,775,238,618
NO
0.013929
1,145.298837
yzmlrhy43r
will-there-be-fourty-or-more-inches
Will there be 40 inches of rain in Central Park this year?
null
1,719,202,256,142
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,789,307,903
YES
0.938884
388.666423
apwoohx5rw
will-contrapoints-release-a-video-f
Will Contrapoints release a video after Twilight on YouTube by the end of 2024?
null
1,719,178,275,639
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,775,233,789
NO
0.01
1,072.479429
z08qm5fsvu
will-nvidia-nvda-end-22-at-or-above
Will Nvidia NVDA end 2/2 at or above $222 USD per share?
null
1,719,152,076,271
1,738,558,740,000
1,738,645,437,871
NO
0.009815
2,157.180436
2af0dzfwmw
will-nvidia-nvda-end-33-at-or-above
Will Nvidia NVDA end 3/3 at or above $333 USD per share?
null
1,719,151,536,489
1,741,064,340,000
1,741,316,667,877
NO
0.01
2,206.710066
4io96hv9xj
will-petrobras-be-granted-permissio
Will Petrobras be granted permission to search for oil in the mouth of the Amazon River by the end of 2024?
null
1,719,148,712,106
1,735,700,340,000
1,735,738,439,829
NO
0.238109
296.761295
t1ydemq1mt
will-argentina-grant-asylum-or-shel
Will Argentina grant asylum or shelter to any fugitives from the 1/8/2023 attempted coup in Brazil by the end of 2024?
null
1,719,147,740,032
1,735,700,340,000
1,735,738,476,129
NO
0.098201
279.207923
rns2bx68ph
will-apple-intelligence-be-delayed
Will Apple Intelligence be deployed in the EU within 12 months of deployment in the USA?
null
1,719,147,346,046
1,743,970,436,311
1,743,970,436,311
YES
0.954571
7,685.044638
pxay673x2u
will-anyone-be-charged-with-a-crimi
Will anyone be charged with a criminal offence in connection with gambling on the timing of the UK General Election?
null
1,719,142,102,310
1,744,634,395,731
1,744,634,395,731
YES
0.99
22,926.430044
q91xzltuqc
will-nvidia-nvda-end-44-at-or-above
Will Nvidia NVDA end 4/4 at or above $444 USD per share?
null
1,719,110,528,163
1,743,825,540,000
1,743,827,153,238
NO
0.01
12,818.441469