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0.32655538334370504 | SaRD2TNhZFfEPDKkLO7J | {"NO": 857.5679931358134, "YES": 1255.477215623101} | 0.24880856114072347 | will-twitter-be-valued-at-100b | 1218.3110753508636 | Will Twitter be valued at >100B? | 1893477540000 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.185125122835117 | False | basic | public | 1667621008162 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Public offering or buyout. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.3736974405394755, "platformFee": 2.4989475558401106, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Gigacasting | 1716571432919 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1668880801812}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1716571429358 | 1668298043493 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | zEVK6BJZ28Tk7h53CILQ | {"NO": 50, "YES": 50} | 0.5 | republicans-win-democratically-and-267d4343edc8 | 0 | Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028 | 1667661367544 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.3944491546724365 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1667661286134 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if, in my best judgement, all the things in the headline description happen, and NO otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Inspired by a market of ", "type": "text... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667661367544 | 50 | Boklam | 1667661402765 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1667661286534}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1667661400672 | 0.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.06368119022535772 | zynFKVL38JLPzD78Ex5m | {"NO": 963.1455785585266, "YES": 1080.2159797185873} | 0.05717421531540328 | republicans-win-democratically-and-88c259979478 | 1465.0331212234419 | Republicans win democratically and then end democracy swiftly, satisfying militiants and quelling uprisings; civil war is avoided, but democracy becomes an empty shell and no part of the federal government regains democratic control by 2028 | 2051247600000 | uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.581477676925186 | False | basic | public | 1667661578394 | Boklam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if, in my best judgement, all the things in the headline description happen, and NO otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Inspired by a market of ", "type": "text... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.014539996429390571, "month": 0.014539996429390571} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2480088114056103, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Boklam | 1719817600881 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3ibnjA23Hs3sitZ0cbnPDtIZRleyLSrM_fYI6l=s96-c | 15 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "uRLBoyv6dUa1usD5rEFlr46OorF3", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1667661578877}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.10742522727617816 | 0.5 | 1719817597705 | 1667661618297 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16168890088557752 | qZEEfOEZ2npH08N8FTVp | {"NO": 47.72302938895218, "YES": 363.0000000000003} | 1 | will-abigail-spanberger-win-electio | 273 | Will Abigail Spanberger win election in the new VA-7 district? | 1667952000000 | QFNGzdi9jhVEmDu7sTfBc1OYE6V2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.278521096971012 | True | play | YES | public | 1667662561272 | Stuart F. | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://ballotpedia.org/Virginia%27s_7th_Congressional_District_election,_2022", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://ballotpedia.org/Virginia%27s_7th_Congressional_District_election,_2022", "class": "z-10 break-any... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667988909923 | 90 | StuartF | 1667948403311 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpSRG0jCyDuf3kaI5eANHjZi7p_3iZUvs1jdCJZegY=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "QFNGzdi9jhVEmDu7sTfBc1OYE6V2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1667662561516}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1667948403162 | 1667662688375 | 0.024729840100664136 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.08161510499772873 | LhF6axszSzo9WMTVDZM1 | {"NO": 941.2564257195756, "YES": 1410.1221548951523} | 0.05599768691468188 | after-republicans-next-win-control | 5337.224595647966 | Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power? | 1983311940000 | jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.687517559453035 | False | basic | public | 1667663369145 | Michael Wheatley | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After Republicans next win control of the presidency and both houses of Congress, will they maintain control for the following ten years?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "In oth... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.05804939156054894, "platformFee": 0.05804939156054894, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MichaelWheatley | 1713975226655 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1667663369389}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.1045321927426972 | 0.5 | 1713975223322 | 1710094412885 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10574287948536178 | ayAHiwYurXffPzLZssZF | {"NO": 376.87395006298107, "YES": 2322.5687284959595} | 0 | china-will-ccp-see-an-internal-coup | 2560.1492191174393 | China; Will CCP see an internal coup within 2023? | 1703962800000 | jFteeWsZA9Uex7zMhY8Wr1pxl603 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2727399223118647 | True | play | NO | public | 1667663594174 | Navaf Jd | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Zero Covid policy failure increasingly shows internal discontent among party members and the general populace. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Due to the Covid policy and the recent Russia-Ukraine war, the Chinese economy has ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704155244730 | 490 | NavafJd | 1704155244938 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu_2L2R03ihwFD232nKGodremUt-W8NXLURbKkq31Y0=s96-c | 1 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "jFteeWsZA9Uex7zMhY8Wr1pxl603", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1667663594847}, {"name": "coup d'état", "slug": "coup-detat", "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "groupId": "wiaUz7jXkuNBbkBpCwdD", "createdTime": 1670540267752}, {"name":... | ["politics-default", "coup-detat", "new-years-resolutions-2024", "asia", "china"] | 0.5 | 1703953609877 | 1704155239579 | False | 0.02 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6918438851003014 | 8rPTOqEreC4u7rGRL803 | {"NO": 250.381631943817, "YES": 151.33043959914818} | 1 | i-will-refrain-from-doing-anything-097b67579fd9 | 434.2351925069843 | I will refrain from doing anything Manifold-related on Mon-Fri between 00:00 and 08:00 EST | 1668175200000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.131964191721896 | True | play | YES | public | 1667665770966 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if I do any of the following:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On manifold itself: bet, comment, create markets, resolve markets.", "typ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668180633386 | 190 | Jenny | 1668171602350 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Commitment Devices", "slug": "commitment-devices", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ISVja50LAxuGN0QqycWz", "createdTime": 1667665787713}, {"name": "Sleep Management", "slug": "sleep-management", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "gfjnZX83RUVNwW2tfG8G", "createdTime": 1... | ["sleep-management", "commitment-devices", "personal-goals"] | 0.5 | 1668171602112 | 1667665855342 | 0.7878934803044217 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7995565283189429 | K2YJ77WO1CiNkf21NIcK | {"NO": 24121.952115119202, "YES": 971.9289402173166} | 1 | will-aapl-hit-200-before-hitting-10 | 117102.34931329821 | Will AAPL hit $200 before hitting $100? | 1718152227136 | KVTphoQbaDbmPTayI06VSlf2Sao2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.321982502120736 | True | basic | YES | public | 1667667529620 | nic | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve YES when AAPL (Nasdaq) closes above $200. Will resolve NO when AAPL (Nasdaq) hits $100.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date updated to 2025-01-01 12:59 am", "type": "text"}... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.05746324321190821} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 48.9762266626466, "platformFee": 9.941985298718272, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718152227136 | 1900 | nic_kup | 1718183828852 | 0.4 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi1nJQXNQ3PA-wqCPsU9jqSly3kAwGkSulM3lRmYw=s96-c | 0 | 103 | 0 | 2 | 27 | [{"name": "Finance", "slug": "finance", "userId": "KVTphoQbaDbmPTayI06VSlf2Sao2", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1667667529869}] | ["finance"] | 0.13723894498481667 | 0.5 | 1718151777264 | 1718183814335 | 0.99 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7460190547959389 | sNwqpDg7MziSJsnowH1u | {"NO": 217.15166599382795, "YES": 108.85153329596214} | 1 | i-will-refrain-from-using-any-elect | 154 | I will refrain from using any electronic devices this Monday between 02:00 and 07:00 EST | 1667823300000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.571453064114322 | True | play | YES | public | 1667668945031 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if I use any electronic devices (such as phone, laptop, or even microwave) for more than 2 minutes at a time.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will not own NO shares.", "type": "t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667827860273 | 150 | Jenny | 1710462520179 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p"}, {"name": "Commitment Devices", "slug": "commitment-devices", "groupId": "ISVja50LAxuGN0QqycWz"}, {"name": "Sleep Management", "slug": "sleep-management", "groupId": "gfjnZX83RUVNwW2tfG8G"}, {"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short... | ["personal-goals", "commitment-devices", "sleep-management", "short-fuse"] | 0.5 | 1667819701077 | 1667669016643 | 0.8542216086994207 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3200129340074053 | M5CDaces5zll1813yP13 | {"NO": 58.03539618362134, "YES": 260.763885881155} | 0.09480960275168822 | home-prices-in-most-us-cities-will | 341.2256878590006 | Home prices in most US cities will be at February 2020 prices by September of 2024 | 1727740740000 | 8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1667670275896 | Michaelscott | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "at = within 5%", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 110 | Michaelscott | 1697659925739 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Real Estate", "slug": "real-estate", "userId": "8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13", "groupId": "JCSx09py8PNgRaE9gc2u", "createdTime": 1667670413399}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1667670424526}] | ["real-estate", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1697659925619 | 1684526013055 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5015592290177264 | kOSB4yyRCJXMyKHS48iW | {"NO": 294.69931505340355, "YES": 285.38461538461513} | 0.55 | how-much-soda-in-l-will-i-drink-on | 15 | How much soda (in L) will I drink on Nov 7-13? | 1668401940000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1852083296398843 | True | play | MKT | public | 1667670556705 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A standard can is 0.355L (12 fl oz).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will not own HIGHER shares.", "type": "text"}]}]} | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668408444076 | 290 | Jenny | 1668223642748 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Commitment Devices", "slug": "commitment-devices", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "ISVja50LAxuGN0QqycWz", "createdTime": 1667670561968}, {"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 16676... | ["personal-goals", "commitment-devices", "health"] | 0.5 | 1667685309687 | 1668223628625 | 0.55 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3155505285692686 | qTatTTzZm1OVwmdOmaX6 | {"NO": 69.4142510448809, "YES": 377.47145742442297} | 0.07815386873837311 | rent-prices-will-begin-decreasing-i | 423.77854257557715 | Rent prices will begin decreasing in December of 2022 in most US cities. Rents will continue to decrease for 3 years. | 1767225540000 | 8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1667670562443 | Michaelscott | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 130 | Michaelscott | 1695024456996 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1667670562687}, {"name": "Real Estate", "slug": "real-estate", "userId": "8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13", "groupId": "JCSx09py8PNgRaE9gc2u", "createdTime": 1667670634853}, {"name": ... | ["us-politics", "real-estate", "ancient-markets"] | 0.5 | 1695024456699 | 1667670644756 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1354087774545474 | 9NMZKN82mNKISfFUXQfO | {"NO": 280.99426371454445, "YES": 2651.965836956458} | 0 | average-30-year-fixed-mortgage-rate | 3248.01949699065 | Average 30 year fixed mortgage rate will be above 10% by May of 2023 | 1682985540000 | 8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2911889612788974 | True | play | NO | public | 1667670736901 | Michaelscott | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1683472396706 | 430 | Michaelscott | 1683408531352 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 8 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1667670737209}, {"name": "Real Estate", "slug": "real-estate", "userId": "8p8ip42Ib0bFD4DzIIgkMcZa8B13", "groupId": "JCSx09py8PNgRaE9gc2u", "createdTime": 1667670831651}] | ["economics-default", "real-estate"] | 0.5 | 1682983414884 | 1683408528235 | 0.02 |
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