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b89dkG4vubyw7zqnAmj3 | by-when-will-an-be-artificial-agent | 1806.7446107570731 | By when will an be artificial agent be appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company? | 1925009940000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711977315882 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If S&P 500 was renamed to something different (e.g. S&P 1000) while the core idea of S&P 500 continues to exist, the replacement will be used for resolution of this market", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If stock market in the U... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.444130820726909, "platformFee": 0.6185622718970988, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1015 | AmmonLam | 1719665785632 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 21 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "893a0b78c593", "prob": 0.09999999999999999, "text": "2030", "index": 0, "poolNo": 61.346722778674945, "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 552.1205050080746, "textFts": "'2030':1", "contractId": "b89dkG4vubyw7zqnAmj3", "createdTime": 1711977315883, "probChanges": {"day": -4.16... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1711977323691}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1711977328173}, {"name": "AI in S&P500 Board of Directors", "slug": "ai-in-sp500-board-of-directors", "groupId": "fb8909c9-6edc-407... | ["ai", "stocks", "ai-in-sp500-board-of-directors"] | 0.25 | 1719665782407 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9297685099866799 | SRCZueFKREx3XPKiQ6B8 | {"NO": 6246.487410410962, "YES": 788.0446781666006} | 1 | will-jimmy-carter-make-it-through-m-d670ef091d8d | 19463.242323028535 | Will Jimmy Carter make it through Memorial Day? | 1716892324017 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | YES | public | 1711977785482 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Mon, May 27, 2024 in us et", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 27.215905136692378, "platformFee": 21.28762493064728, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716892324017 | 1000 | Predictor | 1716892324017 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644461353687 | 0 | [{"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1711977785630}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1711977785632}, {"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "creat... | ["longevity", "jimmy-carter", "death-markets"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716892034691 | 0.99 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5811687916440489 | dKwBVNmz3hFrRVVbH3kE | {"NO": 197.5785730565225, "YES": 103.10850045437942} | 0.7266968424607405 | will-monster-hunter-wilds-be-cross | 149.63023958481418 | Will Monster Hunter Wilds be cross platform? | 1767243540000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711977935984 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if within 3 months of initial release, ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Steam, Xbox and PS5 players of Monster Hunter Wilds will be able to do joint hunter with each other. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"},... | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | AmmonLam | 1712026847071 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1711977941829}] | ["gaming"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712026843526 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Clgpo6fl17nhMniDl9W5 | what-will-trumps-polling-lead-over-23248ac7e834 | 4153.066609419313 | What will Trump's polling lead over Joe Biden on RCP be on May 1st 2024? | 1714569382367 | ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | basic | 343a51c41c74 | public | 1711978112012 | Captain Jack Sparrow | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Trump's current (1st April) lead is 1.0 points.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"hr... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 44.63494465891274, "platformFee": 44.63494465891274, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714569382367 | 1396 | diadematus | 1714569533386 | 0 | 28 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "84203d152b30", "prob": 0.023666936952602274, "text": "0.1-0.5%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 44.93796049192086, "userId": "ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1853.8274176352961, "textFts": "'-0.5':2 '0.1':1", "contractId": "Clgpo6fl17nhMniDl9W5", "resolverId": "ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1",... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697566520755 | 0 | [{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1711978112245}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1711978112248}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgo... | ["the-life-of-biden", "magaland", "politics-default", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 1714567224462 | 1714569529457 | {"343a51c41c74": 100} | ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25849976758003723 | mQie5CNcxhcfO71fIhL3 | {"NO": 412.3335223094824, "YES": 15969.32992864854} | 0 | israelhamas-ceasefire-in-april | 30625.945665132615 | Israel:Hamas ceasefire in April? 🇮🇱🤝🇵🇸 | 1714535940000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | NO | public | 1711978300438 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is my 3rd time making this market. For the love of whichever God you believe in, please let this one finally be a YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At any point in the month of April w... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 100.66510580363273, "platformFee": 100.66510580363273, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714536557425 | 1115 | mattyb | 1714536577375 | 0 | 66 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwIFhI", "createdTime": 1711978300584}, {"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1711978300586}, {"name": "Gaza", "slug": ... | ["arabisraeli-conflict", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "gaza", "israeli-politics", "israel", "israelsaudi-arabia-relations", "israeli-domestic-politics", "hamas", "wars"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714487039672 | 1714536575923 | 0.01 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5446764351775959 | gJiqCCaRh0XL5DkmvEF4 | {"NO": 300.26388286386725, "YES": 228.48197672055747} | 0.6112068498699843 | will-manifold-allow-you-to-delete-y-fb5b1d44ce78 | 96.94744167559314 | Will Manifold allow you to delete your own comments by the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711978327851 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Many highly informative discussions happen in the per-market comment sections. However sometimes a user leaves a comment that they think better of later, and wish to remove.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 260 | AmmonLam | 1713242971591 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1711978327994}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1711978328028}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713242968117 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YGAEGDuik65CGyQpDbsQ | which-number-feels-bigger-476-or-10 | 0 | Which number *feels* bigger, 47^6 or 1.077921533 × 10^10? | 1712635140000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711978408056 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Just what the question says on the tin. This is about your ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "feelings", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": ", regardless of whether those feelings align with conventional ideas of number bigness or ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712635140989 | Panfilo | 1711978408289 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "CoolFold", "slug": "coolfold", "groupId": "0d4cf3f7-3da6-4b58-908a-34a6758fcf19", "createdTime": 1711978408293}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1711978408288}, {"name": "Numberfeels", "slug": "numberfeels", "groupId": "bb53e386-0852-4a5e-bb50-f73125283af8... | ["coolfold", "polls", "numberfeels", "mathematics", "rationality", "fun"] | 0.25 | ["85ecb84fe647"] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
C5HGPsWYqsTurT8ZxLbk | which-number-feels-bigger-mmmmdcccx | 0 | Which number *feels* bigger, MMMMDCCCXCIX or 4900? | 1712635140000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711978589387 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Just what the question says on the tin. This is about your ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "feelings", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": ", regardless of whether those feelings align with conventional ideas of number bigness or ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712635140989 | Panfilo | 1712132687610 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "Roman Empire", "slug": "roman-empire", "groupId": "a2b3bfb2-5425-4c7f-853b-1cf097399263", "createdTime": 1711978589662}, {"name": "Numberfeels", "slug": "numberfeels", "groupId": "bb53e386-0852-4a5e-bb50-f73125283af8", "createdTime": 1711978589694}, {"name": "CoolFold", "slug": "coolfold", "groupId": "0d4cf3... | ["roman-empire", "numberfeels", "coolfold", "rationality", "polls", "fun", "mathematics"] | 0.25 | 1712132686859 | ["e8c87baf448d"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5205745144666811 | 4exzPUfZN3KIr8MKbOFU | {"NO": 991.9473341505901, "YES": 1005.6545820635721} | 0.5171484306703467 | alex-garland-claims-he-will-quit-di | 153.89845346697993 | Alex Garland claims he will quit directing after "Civil War". Will he direct another film before the end of the decade? | 1893473940000 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.589929338991709 | False | basic | public | 1711978597150 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "a recent interview with the Guardian", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.theguardian.com/film/2024/mar/30/alex-garland-civil-war-interview", "class": "break-anywhere hover:und... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Ziddletwix | 1714489665064 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "Hollywood", "slug": "hollywood", "groupId": "qnJlrpEJJ1i5tEJ6J2jM", "createdTime": 1711978597354}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1711978597346}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU... | ["hollywood", "television-film", "entertainment", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "movies", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714489661711 | 1712177417149 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BpCVyqs5SNGO1wHqW9jP | asian-stock-nifty-3-how-will-each-o-d468b49bf36e | 2776.427043044384 | Asian Stock (Nifty + 3): How Will Each Of The Indian Indices Close On April 2 Compared To Its Close On April 1? | 1712060676776 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711978653786 | Grey Box | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The markets are open from 5.50 am - 4.30 pm IST (different time fo... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712060676776 | 260 | GreyBox | 1712060676776 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcgcLF6_hQzuAGLru0yBQSqgd02HTNIqX1dO_RW6M3v=s96-c | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "7e48c7fc4e86", "prob": 0.00410227451910752, "text": "Nifty - NIFTY_50: Higher", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.4344309448260306, "userId": "kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 590.9999999999999, "textFts": "'50':3 'higher':4 'nifti':1,2", "contractId": "BpCVyqs5SNGO1wHqW9jP", "resolution": "NO... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1692725309128 | 0 | [{"name": "Nifty", "slug": "nifty", "groupId": "51e933dd-5102-4766-ad56-c8b5634a0028", "createdTime": 1711978653987}, {"name": "Stock Market-Daily", "slug": "stock-marketdaily", "groupId": "fb5495b0-7695-4ff4-92f1-4357551d8536", "createdTime": 1711978653995}, {"name": "Asia", "slug": "asia", "groupId": "bPTxMZhUYsIUXsW... | ["nifty", "stock-marketdaily", "asia", "india", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 1712059937946 | 0.24 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.7458536189138045 | RTMxkY0WAwJRIxkCjaBp | {"NO": 1289.4659276216785, "YES": 956.5261887036633} | 0.7982341629058401 | steve-bannon-is-scheduled-to-go-to | 873.1192103468859 | Steve Bannon is scheduled to go to trial in the "We Build the Wall" case in Sept. 2024. Will Bannon be found guilty? | 1728705540000 | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.573577856327043 | False | basic | public | 1711979585951 | Bruce | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010329098621793209} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.2915900652647636, "platformFee": 0.08505447082568669, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1050 | Bruce54df | 1717668551909 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697633597735 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1711979586094}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1711979586110}] | ["us-politics", "donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717668548288 | 1717594267993 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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ctfqvsdbGcwVN4WKBDsD | will-i-lose-weight-today-april-2024 | 22166.372482222552 | Will I lose weight today? April 2024 edition | 1714488649597 | JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1711987524085 | mr_mino | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will record my weight at a consistent time every day and post the results below. Resolves YES if this number decreases by any amount compared to the previous day and NO otherwise. If I miss a recording a day, I will resolve that day N/A and compa... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.974477297812541, "platformFee": 13.974477297812541, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714488649597 | 1485 | mr_mino | 1714488649597 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhpVDFQAVKbt-9Od9WSi01Lp_CQJnMybA5BxSxLa6a=s96-c | 10 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "c77c37db4e34", "prob": 0, "text": "April 2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.30864197530854653, "userId": "JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2025, "textFts": "'2':2 'april':1", "contractId": "ctfqvsdbGcwVN4WKBDsD", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83", "createdTime... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700547753036 | 0 | [{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1711987524462}, {"name": "Weight", "slug": "weight", "groupId": "gsUwohSpI9GiN4gtck12", "createdTime": 1711987814834}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ce... | ["personal-goals", "weight", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | False | 1714488619772 | 0.99 | JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83 | False | old | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.05845686686741068 | pd0mIeW9UgCbsYnE8IwY | {"NO": 884.8741006409161, "YES": 2068.6618371008008} | 0.02587045176005872 | will-bitcoin-reach-1m-by-eoy-2024 | 3184.98698053057 | Will Bitcoin reach 1M$ by EOY 2024? | 1735707540000 | eieeU345lwUIithZDydMfum1WKG2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1711987712585 | Alex Litzenberger | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 6.938893903907228e-18, "week": 6.938893903907228e-18, "month": 6.938893903907228e-18} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8243227867010569, "platformFee": 0.8243227867010569, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | alexlitz | 1714059201745 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1693450992990 | 0 | [{"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1711987712819}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1711987712831}, {"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "created... | ["bitcoin", "crypto-speculation", "bitcoin-maxi"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714059198200 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4450268416730913 | XXlrV9kojGTg3O9qI1qb | {"NO": 574.9364409668874, "YES": 154.1057569581592} | 1 | will-i-be-able-to-view-the-total-so | 816.5040442611024 | Will I be able to view the Total Solar Eclipse on 04/08/2024? | 1712611189601 | kkYhA0swWHZpOLalCdzpDQzu7572 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2249238539641807 | True | play | YES | public | 1711988013717 | Ben Nelson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the weather cooperate here in Texas, allowing me to view the Total Eclipse on 04/08/2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Or will weather conditions make it impossible to view the event?"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.25052105681411974} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712611189601 | 340 | nelsonbj | 1712611189601 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697567330275 | 0 | [{"name": "April 8, 2023 Total Eclipse", "slug": "april-8-2023-total-eclipse", "groupId": "eefb8d27-2fe8-4edb-8e13-92ff018778e3", "createdTime": 1711988013990}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1711988013980}, {"name": "Eclipse", "slug": "eclipse", "gro... | ["april-8-2023-total-eclipse", "science-default", "eclipse"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712609066664 | 1712608882978 | 0.75 | kkYhA0swWHZpOLalCdzpDQzu7572 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.7104735257252319 | 07NLGlwLykQsRaiB9TLp | {"NO": 19866.726357475418, "YES": 30.41254074916651} | 1 | will-inter-milan-beat-empoli-on-mon | 19885.764992679204 | Will Inter Milan beat Empoli on Mon, Apr 1, 2024? - Serie A 🇮🇹 | 1712004493205 | gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.765113256729734 | True | play | YES | public | 1711989154455 | DAC | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Monday, April 1, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 19:45", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: Serie A", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🔑 Market Resolution:", "type": "text... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0028924789382792637} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712004493205 | 220 | DaAdCh | 1712004493205 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704630344002 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1711989154617}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1711989154630}, {"name": "Serie A (Football)", "slug": "serie-a-football", "groupId": "786730b8-8cc1-4315-b1... | ["football", "sports-default", "serie-a-football", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712004433813 | 1712004484721 | 1 | gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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7kFr00dK4hjd2klVUnfg | grew-up-listening-to-aphex-twin-rec | 0 | Grew up listening to Aphex Twin. Recommend me some other artists. | siDe1pSNf6bx7WW9Rz0UPX1ATmX2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1711992852003 | AMB | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is my first question on MM. I first learned about MM during a random conversation with strangers at a public park. It's a fascinating concept, just trying to explore by asking this question.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | Eyeamb | 1712172680507 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLzjEIt702c3NqKq16rE4-8Xo5T_nPqisx2_D11pnxg=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 0 | ["MwoPP56yGsXdkjD8QFao"] | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711991197371 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1711992852194}, {"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1711992852198}] | ["culture-default", "music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.25 | 1712172679799 | 250 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23188478323533346 | wCjMDnYjpUEQUMI3NSgL | {"NO": 750.4597919841774, "YES": 2377.7623815336005} | 0.08699202296501528 | will-jk-rowling-be-charged-under-th | 1963.628508768076 | Will JK Rowling be charged under The Hate Crime and Public Order (Scotland) Act 2021 by the end of 2026? | 1798761540000 | QFFbPgs5JEcJJJoNU7zg9pWWOk12 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.787915097647232 | False | basic | public | 1711992947279 | Mh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c51j64lk2l8o", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c51j64lk2l8o", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hove... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -0.009458283453732536} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 18.41190686103774, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Mh | 1717671873723 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJmQ6DxoAPU2_q79ozGPerdsooLSqBLBoPo2IiVSR3wKCM=s96-c | 14 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705005178939 | 0 | [{"name": "🏳️🌈 LGBTQIA+", "slug": "lgbtqia", "groupId": "cLtLfm3NSrhXU6lV6Cuy", "createdTime": 1711992947623}, {"name": "Scotland", "slug": "scotland", "groupId": "0NcQ0rf4rcCvny12bk3g", "createdTime": 1711993021700}] | ["lgbtqia", "scotland"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717671870588 | 1711993932796 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PhEN7JduMAL76hQioNJX | mlb-who-will-win-the-3game-red-soxa | 5109 | MLB — Who will win the 3-game Red Sox-Athletics series from April 1-3? | 1712152728526 | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 03627a655e07 | public | 1711993036077 | Alexander Miller | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Seeing how popular series markets will be. If this gets enough traders I'll make more.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712152728526 | 180 | AlexanderMiller | 1720053161621 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "03627a655e07", "prob": 0.9991013012449543, "text": "Red Sox", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3621.8767948853506, "userId": "Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.257904040797712, "textFts": "'red':1 'sox':2", "contractId": "PhEN7JduMAL76hQioNJX", "resolverId": "Rcnau899SsWFEu... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698758419090 | 0 | [{"name": "⚾ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "786nRQzgVyUnuUtaLTGW", "createdTime": 1711993036428}, {"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "createdTime": 1711993036435}, {"name": "Boston Red Sox", "slug": "boston-red-sox", "groupId": "b3f157ab-5a42-45ef-bd42-98aeb010f1f2", "createdT... | ["baseball", "mlb", "boston-red-sox", "sports-default", "oakland-athletics"] | 0.25 | 1712152716361 | {"03627a655e07": 100} | Rcnau899SsWFEuL0ukY1hMGkath2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5430820234325796 | LfX1GwCriLZI7BilVi4h | {"NO": 356.9334247069188, "YES": 166.80089808845037} | 0.7177858077383149 | will-manor-lords-have-a-metacritic | 206.06771158598082 | Will Manor Lords have a Metacritic score of 80 or higher as of April 28th? | 1714363140000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1711993041871 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve based on the overall Metascore rating from journalists, not any one particular console. The target score was based on past entries in the franchise, if applicable.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.7942038621026601, "platformFee": 1.7942038621026601, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714398206808 | 240 | Panfilo | 1714398233185 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1711993042094}, {"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJyu6pUD", "createdTime": 1711993042094}, {"name": "Metacritic", "slug": "metacritic", "groupId": "e657c1b9-f8c5-40b8-aa27-858c85409a23", "cre... | ["gaming", "video-games", "metacritic", "entertainment"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714359144717 | 1714398231780 | 0.72 | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.33110339639099196 | JaWNOkA6hBVCoLktBtVi | {"NO": 952.9429193032166, "YES": 1076.6922676641705} | 0.30464132483781836 | will-prison-architect-2-have-a-meta | 155.9576291305056 | Will Prison Architect 2 have a Metacritic score of 85 or higher as of September 5th? | 1725595140000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.597574776937087 | False | basic | public | 1711993186636 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve based on the overall Metascore rating from journalists, not any one particular console. The target score was based on past entries in the franchise, if applicable.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5787404611393518, "platformFee": 0.5787404611393518, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Panfilo | 1715177773169 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "Prison Markets", "slug": "prison-markets", "groupId": "ybPe7R5zhvOzOIs3n3yM", "createdTime": 1711993186948}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1711993186961}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTS... | ["prison-markets", "entertainment", "gaming", "video-games", "metacritic"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715168961658 | 1715177771629 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SgVoz0kMSzY3u1kqY327 | void-piece-post-your-best-one-piece | 0 | Void Piece: Post your best One Piece memes in the comments | 1713480450066 | PpbF5NuIgBV8q8MC8ktfY8cRDef1 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1711993760548 | Fast YES/NO One Piece | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The 3-week break is already well under way, but we still have some time to wait. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Post your best memes and slanders about One Piece in the comments, and put your agenda under the spot... | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713480450066 | FYNOP | 1712353972156 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ["90JrtMZZWz2rRTpYFVx5", "EcOOWIendLGX5qWtpcg9", "JSmB2pLbX3Imqf0a3Sr2", "ksQPPQbzR0CJmv3qVZgB", "NvtRrGuCdiORxvvwErWV", "1v3o8Wa5GdUKwSDht6SQ", "G9ZS3K8GuKB8E3kdIwbw", "8nTmjI5EONxYVC2b61m7", "r0aOBSPKdGdBn7eMhaSS", "W74y4pKCeC8hMamgQBvn", "ZSSOpayo0NPvUpWMgOVy", "WNJj22R2QYpj6Dll3W7g", "UsPV2EXnQqwXfBC2sHhG", "G7903e... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707774054436 | 0 | [{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1711993760699}, {"name": "Free Mana", "slug": "free-mana", "groupId": "6Kc95X62qKLbgghiIhu0", "createdTime": 1711993760701}, {"name": "🏴☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "created... | ["free-money", "free-mana", "one-piece-stocks"] | 0.25 | 1712353971600 | PpbF5NuIgBV8q8MC8ktfY8cRDef1 | 1000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
eJeAMDGWXmuU04CIZ8do | which-teams-that-have-never-made-th | 105.97067158836788 | Which teams that have never made the NCAA men's March Madness Basketball bracket will be in it before the end of 2030? | 1925009940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1711993969849 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of this question posting in 2024:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "School \tCONFERENCE", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Army \tPatriot", "type": "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 620 | strutheo | 1712465578609 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "4cfa2e593ac7", "prob": 0.325351379489849, "text": "Army", "index": 0, "poolNo": 38.58024691358023, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 80, "textFts": "'armi':1", "contractId": "eJeAMDGWXmuU04CIZ8do", "createdTime": 1711993969849, "probChanges": {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17,... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🏀 College Basketball", "slug": "college-basketball", "groupId": "beeb69e0-b36f-451a-80e1-e059df456bb1", "createdTime": 1711993970127}, {"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1711993970143}, {"name": "Athletics", "slug": "athletics", "groupId": "NGvS... | ["college-basketball", "basketball", "athletics", "sports-default", "march-madness", "oakland-athletics"] | 0.25 | 1712465575193 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49873663543224794 | 2k1MFxN2cXzjZYAbNmwD | {"NO": 920.769716301517, "YES": 1055.2693936756798} | 0.4647100591038897 | 2000-engaged-users-on-manifold-in-2 | 16992.30486799105 | ≥2000 engaged users on Manifold in 2024? | 1735718340000 | XtJuqIcTwEa5WnmBtmypEKyjlfu1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.41290548056928 | False | basic | public | 1711994073867 | Henri Thunberg | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any single day has at least 2000 Engaged users, e.g. as Jan 31 has 1582 in the below screenshot.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-ima... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.010062853703751262, "month": -0.005289940896110901} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 307.02844181566434, "platformFee": 21.764924761184076, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | HenriThunberg | 1720115586002 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1665991918794 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold User Retention", "slug": "manifold-user-retention", "groupId": "6b8FKYZGzLnb5hYtn8oG", "createdTime": 1711994074323}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1711994074332}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-busi... | ["manifold-user-retention", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-business-future"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720115582947 | 1718311971072 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
lH0ZBsShbfimy6xA94Qk | is-messing-with-the-yes-and-no-trad | 0 | Is messing with the "Yes" and "No" trade button for April's Fool a good idea? | 1735707540000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1711994201372 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | AmmonLam | 1712019894925 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 67 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1711994201552}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 1712019893935 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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