p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.6133364893134521
n1o8BlwSsl3Nm3u7fxMI
{"NO": 2528.6071397788814, "YES": 40.51462080552119}
1
will-taylor-swifts-youtube-channel-3625e42f5bf9
2808.2770732910512
Will Taylor Swift's youtube channel reach 57.6M subscribers in April 2024?
1713620229829
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
3.1611888983915004
True
play
YES
public
1711999115074
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves according to numbers reported on socialblade page ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://socialblade.com/youtube/c/taylor_swift/monthly", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.015009133153744858}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.55856123115074, "platformFee": 7.55856123115074, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713620229829
340
AmmonLam
1713620229829
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
14
0
0.3333333333333333
1668192587343
0
[{"name": "Subscriber Milestones", "slug": "subscriber-milestones", "groupId": "if2RfO5Jwj5bOuJEudCG", "createdTime": 1711999115212}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‘ธ Taylor Swift", "slug": "taylor-swift", "groupId": "TgyXEpID2HktDrf1QYfB", "createdTime": 1711999115218}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu...
["subscriber-milestones", "taylor-swift", "youtube"]
0.25
0.5
1713620190825
0.99
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
0.6626225726348641
9gHyWIjtWvx8yzNExyg6
{"NO": 3669.51976179536, "YES": 72.79880331815775}
1
will-taylor-swifts-youtube-channel-f5263a30e3dd
4285.090913825684
Will Taylor Swift's youtube channel reach 57.4M subscribers in April 2024?
1713666624855
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
8.188597686137765
True
play
YES
public
1711999142416
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves according to numbers reported on socialblade page ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://socialblade.com/youtube/c/taylor_swift/monthly", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.050367646400140687}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.003465252192342, "platformFee": 2.003465252192342, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713666624855
300
AmmonLam
1713666624855
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
14
0
0.3333333333333333
1668192587343
0
[{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1711999142564}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‘ธ Taylor Swift", "slug": "taylor-swift", "groupId": "TgyXEpID2HktDrf1QYfB", "createdTime": 1711999142570}, {"name": "Subscriber Milestones", "slug": "subscriber-milestones", "groupId": "if2RfO5Jwj5bOuJEu...
["youtube", "taylor-swift", "subscriber-milestones"]
0.25
0.5
1713666616704
0.99
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
0.4162752473829275
skbDOw9gwMDWLaywW1Mh
{"NO": 26.403498818049457, "YES": 1864.099770217203}
0
will-manifold-market-be-more-popula-cff84d7a18ad
1708.8086574521826
Will Manifold Market be more popular than Kalshi during April 2024?
1714601467392
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1711999214873
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll look at the google trend search volume of \"Manifold Markets\" and \"Kalshi\" over April 2024 and visually decide if Manifold Markets have more search volume than Kalshi", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://trends.google...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.354443617489875, "platformFee": 2.354443617489875, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714601467392
160
AmmonLam
1714601467392
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
3
0
0.3333333333333333
1668192587343
0
[{"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1711999215259}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1711999215266}, {"name": "Manifold User Retention", "slug": "manifold-use...
["manifold-business-future", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-user-retention"]
0.25
0.5
1714555449116
1714556398573
0.01
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
0.6461954010630563
sZ8f22mAUcEtMxUFDXdP
{"NO": 3598.542120136932, "YES": 66.38833622553261}
1
will-reddit-drop-below-420-before-t-e9ba59438d86
3450.3102490040283
Will reddit drop below $42.0 before the end of April 2024?
1713618699613
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
2.5293512415727735
True
play
YES
public
1711999315606
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RDDT/history", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/R...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010000000000000009}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.81842287056458, "platformFee": 5.81842287056458, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713618699613
300
AmmonLam
1713618699613
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
10
0
0.3333333333333333
1668192587343
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1711999315760}, {"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1711999315764}]
["finance", "stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1713604005940
1713604045474
0.99
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
0.4086984633254962
72GNEhX7gzBiVnnJopng
{"NO": 126.09904790791478, "YES": 282.569408669071}
0.2357352345300543
will-reddit-surpass-69-before-the-e
147
Will reddit surpass $69 before the end of 2024?
1735707540000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1711999373872
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RDDT/history", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/R...
BINARY
{"day": -3.0531133177191805e-16, "week": -3.0531133177191805e-16, "month": -3.0531133177191805e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
AmmonLam
1712240780708
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
5
0
0.3333333333333333
1668192587343
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1711999374028}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1711999374056}]
["stocks", "finance"]
0.25
0.5
1712240777383
0.2502675525254412
xHe7paNBUdl0pZq5eKoC
{"NO": 149.33868897172974, "YES": 4885.235641805964}
0
will-reddit-surpass-69-before-the-e-fae91ca821f9
5611.37166462922
Will reddit surpass $69 before the end of April 2024?
1714622340000
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1711999385423
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/RDDT/history", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/R...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.63158580350907, "platformFee": 8.63158580350907, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714660827107
400
AmmonLam
1714622340000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
18
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1668192587343
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1711999385610}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1711999385611}]
["stocks", "finance"]
0.25
0.5
1714617433153
0.01
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
3FM0cq7VOKLRcRIXLWbw
20242025-sec-mens-basketball-confer
456.6737534129143
2024-2025 SEC Men's Basketball Conference Win%
1741669140000
Pz0pin44RWh4Mh2FrEUWX1hxD0M2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1711999538643
AnAnonymousSource
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each option will resolve to the percentage of games won in SEC play by the corresponding team.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
900
AnAnonymousSource
1712134483772
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ0e6-b3b377e77da8
2
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "738ca36cdfdc", "prob": 0.7293309887961754, "text": "Auburn", "index": 0, "poolNo": 84.48782343077222, "userId": "Pz0pin44RWh4Mh2FrEUWX1hxD0M2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 31.35508565804458, "textFts": "'auburn':1", "contractId": "3FM0cq7VOKLRcRIXLWbw", "createdTime": 1711999538643, "probChanges": {"day": 0, ...
0.3333333333333333
1711946691323
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ€ College Basketball", "slug": "college-basketball", "groupId": "beeb69e0-b36f-451a-80e1-e059df456bb1", "createdTime": 1711999538930}, {"name": "SEC", "slug": "sec", "groupId": "fced6b02-8033-4522-bfae-c3b9c0f9744d", "createdTime": 1711999538932}, {"name": "๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": ...
["college-basketball", "sec", "sports-default", "basketball"]
0.25
1712134480519
False
G03A2qPsbdJTpHMg79mD
20242025-big-east-mens-basketball-c
272.56088284613895
2024-2025 Big East Men's Basketball Conference Win%
1741669140000
Pz0pin44RWh4Mh2FrEUWX1hxD0M2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1711999700230
AnAnonymousSource
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each option will resolve to the percentage of games won in Big East play by the corresponding team.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
595
AnAnonymousSource
1712134402042
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ0e6-b3b377e77da8
2
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "bb97da260784", "prob": 0.8222246453091576, "text": "UConn", "index": 0, "poolNo": 104.48782343077221, "userId": "Pz0pin44RWh4Mh2FrEUWX1hxD0M2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 22.591587320148115, "textFts": "'uconn':1", "contractId": "G03A2qPsbdJTpHMg79mD", "createdTime": 1711999700230, "probChanges": {"day": -1....
0.3333333333333333
1711946691323
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ€ College Basketball", "slug": "college-basketball", "groupId": "beeb69e0-b36f-451a-80e1-e059df456bb1", "createdTime": 1711999700470}, {"name": "๐Ÿ€ Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1711999700468}, {"name": "๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId":...
["college-basketball", "basketball", "sports-default", "big-east"]
0.25
1712134398756
False
0.7534661462803235
SpAfcPaLK9MaxCBzPrOl
{"NO": 2559.3204712922043, "YES": 445.8582584779629}
1
will-elon-tweet-about-420-on-420
3761.312370148932
Will Elon tweet about โ€œ4/20โ€ on 4/20? ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ’จ
1713634955093
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
cpmm-1
0
0.8261308214672036
True
play
YES
public
1712000196726
Matty B
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Should be pretty self-explanatory - the tweet must mention โ€œ4/20โ€ in some capacity. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Elonโ€™s page is here", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://twitter.com/elonmusk", "class": "break-anyw...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.10226275747765112}
0
{"creatorFee": 16.903208041548194, "platformFee": 16.903208041548194, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713634955093
740
mattyb
1713634955093
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ6aa-3b42c0d89c03
36
0
0.3333333333333333
1697395701475
0
[{"name": "โœ–๏ธ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1712000196869}, {"name": "420 baby", "slug": "420-baby", "groupId": "r6A8yqhwedPg0kW29p6u", "createdTime": 1712000196871}, {"name": "๐Ÿš— Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "creat...
["twitter", "420-baby", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "drugs", "weed", "twitter-ceo-ce5b7980a96a", "marijuana"]
0.25
0.5
1713634891541
1713634943822
0.95
oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2
0.850892296681805
cJTt1xGjK20TVrlRjBFW
{"NO": 1662.7935573822197, "YES": 271.71684264946214}
1
will-amanabot-receive-20-unique-dep
1921.3511003355995
Will AMANABOT receive deposits from >20 unique manifold accounts by April 8th 2024?
1712534757668
2yBGlqecngd9lGMIFXnaJfE86nn2
cpmm-1
0
2.003415809655599
True
play
YES
public
1712000587035
Anton Makiievskyi
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "AMANABOT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/AMANABOT", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", "...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.02783826958225566}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712534757668
465
mckiev
1712534757668
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ974-e110b0dd226d
10
0
0.3333333333333333
1670333970933
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1712000587202}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712000587205}, {"name": "Privacy", "slug": "privacy", "groupId": "1f1f4a4c-8f62-4b4b-b06c-efc...
["crypto-speculation", "manifold-6748e065087e", "privacy"]
0.25
0.5
1712096160458
1712073854379
0.97
2yBGlqecngd9lGMIFXnaJfE86nn2
0.29864525141845444
VJM63qDzasRfBOPXF4wW
{"NO": 133.01356661458112, "YES": 376.02655869370295}
0.13090665217307063
ethena-crashdepeg-in-2024
3625
Ethena USDe crash/depeg in 2024?
1735685940000
85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712000953307
Simon
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Ethena stays below 90 cents for a period of 12 hours or more in 2024 (same rules as Polymarket)", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 8.326672684688674e-17, "week": 8.326672684688674e-17, "month": 8.326672684688674e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
Simon74fe
1713064782118
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ9cf-f4888550befa
6
0
0.3333333333333333
1645874228924
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1712001080767}, {"name": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1712001084472}, {"name": "Stablecoins", "slug": "stablecoins", "groupId": "hUhfLNjwuIWIjGkMyoQT",...
["crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices", "stablecoins", "technology-default", "ethereum"]
0.25
0.5
1713064778854
0.8320261916538061
ayRSgyp3XHjZxefeerkj
{"NO": 1403.610672684141, "YES": 884.955814724521}
0.8870865929797932
will-jimmy-carter-die-before-manifo
448
Will Jimmy Carter die before Manifold bans markets on unrelated events?
1735711140000
ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1
cpmm-1
0
9.87024871502722
False
basic
public
1712001199374
Jimmy Carter Death Markets
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if Jimmy Carter dies before Manifold bans markets on unrelated events.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves No if Manifold bans markets on unrelated events and Jimmy Carter is still alive.", "type":...
BINARY
{"day": -6.661338147750939e-16, "week": -6.661338147750939e-16, "month": -6.661338147750939e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9122933717774835, "platformFee": 0.9122933717774835, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JCDM
1714632523228
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ31d-01d8ae732bec
12
0
0.3333333333333333
1703455433441
0
[{"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1712001199522}, {"name": "Manifold Drama", "slug": "manifold-drama", "groupId": "srdbxZea0H4L09GcXRMF", "createdTime": 1712001199542}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter League", "slug": "jimmy-carter-league", "groupId": "649604f0-9...
["jimmy-carter", "manifold-drama", "jimmy-carter-league", "manifold-6748e065087e", "death-markets"]
0.25
0.5
1714632519963
1712001490970
2852NGs86XpZpJ4eHORH
who-will-i-next-go-on-3-dates-with-c4f289127306
0
Who will I next go on 3 dates with?
1727553336808
AMV451ckOySUkfRNquEKhlkoyOM2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1000000
False
plus
public
1712001337113
Matthew Donovan
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "my profile", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.love/MatthewDonovan", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " to get more info on me and the candidates.", "type...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
10000
MatthewDonovan
1712001337319
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIxgtQ0suqGzJD7X9ZuW6T2DPBLGs6TPvMzQgPdv32g3h4A=s96-c
0
0
DISABLED
[]
0.3333333333333333
1711992368203
0
[{"name": "Manifold.love Relationships", "slug": "manifoldlove-relationships", "groupId": "2e9a87df-94e3-458c-bc5f-81e891b13101", "createdTime": 1712001337319}]
["manifoldlove-relationships"]
0.25
False
LNGxolmavTqCkSPMCRKO
which-accounts-on-twitter-will-twee
10825.875284015965
๐ŸชดWhich accounts on Twitter will Tweet on 4/20 in recognition of it? [ADD RESPONSES]
1713689940000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
basic
MKT
public
1712001455240
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It can be a positive or negative comment", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 51.781281835527736, "platformFee": 51.781281835527736, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713982744071
3490
strutheo
1713689940000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
42
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "0fc13df212c5", "prob": 0.975453275886759, "text": "Elon Musk", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1350.735140469724, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 33.99047772229674, "textFts": "'elon':1 'musk':2", "contractId": "LNGxolmavTqCkSPMCRKO", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "hDq0cvn68jb...
1
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "pop culture", "slug": "pop-culture", "groupId": "bdc98b41-9dd4-4eb8-8aa8-848b64e55cab", "createdTime": 1712001455446}, {"name": "โœ–๏ธ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1712001455448}, {"name": "Marijuana", "slug": "marijuana", "groupId": "3992f6e2-5650-4102-abf7...
["pop-culture", "twitter", "marijuana", "internet", "weed", "social-media", "internet-influencers"]
0.25
1713689854092
1713749426399
0.96
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
False
0.41702018401176
YqlD5Wdhh9Z9wVIqV87i
{"NO": 1558.8809051495143, "YES": 515.7961478580714}
0.6837358567495554
will-rashee-rice-play-in-at-least-9
2393.1518758702537
Will Rashee Rice play in at least 9 games this season?
1737273540000
O8G8KCAB2GbpAv20idcoxMUjtm72
cpmm-1
0
9.682376024441188
False
basic
public
1712001711420
Ajay
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Regular season games for this upcoming season", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.016749730034321786, "month": 0.016749730034321786}
0
{"creatorFee": 21.653976171630266, "platformFee": 19.374681753523355, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
AjayChabra
1719808373366
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJgdf3DaArO99YkHapDqpYYrksb0es05RCYyUJI5LiLOoY=s96-c
17
1
0.3333333333333333
1698510535494
0
[{"name": "Kansas City Chiefs", "slug": "kansas-city-chiefs", "groupId": "2abf714e-d387-4dc6-af68-455287828996", "createdTime": 1712001711573}, {"name": "๐Ÿˆ NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1712001711593}]
["kansas-city-chiefs", "nfl"]
0.25
0.5
1719808370277
0.5061150812387968
Lhd3U99nmDFTZ978PoYY
{"NO": 3611.507595719309, "YES": 3.49364668363296}
1
will-i-hold-yes-shares-at-close
4036.7467954988133
Will I hold YES shares at close?
1712003470892
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
cpmm-1
0
5.060071756009505
True
play
YES
public
1712001752484
nikki
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Closes whenever I want. Bet at your own risk", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.4958310549864128}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712003470892
120
nikki
1712003513291
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ497-f98cb9862793
5
0
0.3333333333333333
1678327601414
0
0.25
0.5
1712003465740
1712003512242
1
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
6Yz0eMKibcmxjmR55AMx
when-will-djts-price-first-close-be
11551.213127877227
When will $DJT's price first close below $30?
1713246774690
jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
4d8d78df357b
public
1712002321135
Hyperlincoln
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713246774690
345
Hyperlincoln
1713246808051
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆf8f-d22d2ae6d687
12
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "4d8d78df357b", "prob": 0.9996532942922963, "text": "April 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6980.959421338566, "userId": "jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2.4211779128273876, "textFts": "'2024':2 'april':1", "contractId": "6Yz0eMKibcmxjmR55AMx", "resolverId": "jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32...
0.3333333333333333
1690992837377
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712002321345}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1712002321348}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‘ด Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712002321...
["stocks", "finance", "donald-trump"]
0.25
1713215137756
1713246803084
{"4d8d78df357b": 100}
jpyISdL4APOg3400CHUBgylhwU32
True
0.5472363113283912
pAaiSWrVOkXc8EMvBUmN
{"NO": 255.62773382547266, "YES": 190.7650072502927}
0.6182649418344998
will-mathieu-van-der-poel-win-10-or
731.5364678673145
Will Mathieu van der Poel win 10 or more Monuments during his career?
2233886340000
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712002324869
JAAM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Monuments are five classic cycling races considered the oldest, hardest, longest and most prestigious one-day events: Milanโ€“San Remo, Tour of Flanders, Parisโ€“Roubaix, Liรจgeโ€“Bastogneโ€“Liรจge, and Giro di Lombardia.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "har...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.01687839528566404, "month": 0.01687839528566404}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.314230422842303, "platformFee": 1.6359653478905776, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
egroj
1720078011067
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ3f7-a770bebe9686
10
1
0.3333333333333333
1655411946178
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿšฒ Peloton Discord", "slug": "peloton-discord", "groupId": "rIVWY1mvCrXzAzPN8OcW", "createdTime": 1712002325015}, {"name": "๐Ÿšฒ Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1712002325665}]
["peloton-discord", "road-bicycle-racing"]
0.25
0.5
1720078007998
1712006933389
Hti3TQkBRMrL5DOi0oH7
london-warp
744
london warp
1712053842804
wafjm1hIwwRSzKmZd8s9MAH2qF32
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
CHOOSE_MULTIPLE
public
1712003522693
Aditya Gupta
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712053842804
140
AdityaGupta4830
1712053842804
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIbP2SEivBqEg1hTuRbZsvsjl3_Cp6D6eqx-U_XnxfQ=s96-c
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "0102cf07f434", "prob": 0.022803093316353152, "text": "0-1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.570806949190673, "userId": "wafjm1hIwwRSzKmZd8s9MAH2qF32", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 67.31488883771272, "textFts": "'-1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "Hti3TQkBRMrL5DOi0oH7", "resolverId": "wafjm1hIwwRSzKmZd8s9MAH2qF32", "createdT...
0.3333333333333333
1711812788150
0
0.25
1712053775501
{"21975a9de66d": 50, "ce9d1ffbf76e": 50}
wafjm1hIwwRSzKmZd8s9MAH2qF32
True
0.09693806834201961
mtdc7br1cDsPANDaupPe
{"NO": 866.7226911392222, "YES": 1736.4710198682747}
0.050853706191024355
will-martin-shkrelis-prediction-of
2749.2230752557725
Will Martin Shkrelis prediction of 1 BTC = $1 Mio. USD with P = 75% by the end of 2024 come true?
1735685999999
J4MKd19DkYZsLdx8hyGZzhAjq6E3
cpmm-1
0
10.334833679251254
False
basic
public
1712003931687
Philipp Nagel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On April 1st. Martin Shkreli tweeted: ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F0CnLTl8ylj.png?alt=media&token=c258776d-46...
BINARY
{"day": 4.163336342344337e-17, "week": 4.163336342344337e-17, "month": 4.163336342344337e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.5759424894149825, "platformFee": 0.5759424894149825, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
pmn
1714058688458
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ759-2c6e0f2a2ec9
11
0
0.3333333333333333
1711966338467
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ…ฑ๏ธ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1712003931827}, {"name": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1712003931848}, {"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "created...
["bitcoin", "crypto-speculation", "bitcoin-maxi"]
0.25
0.5
1714058684958
1712045268166
0.6067040485832547
ciyFSEnWalW6QlCoSv5J
{"NO": 306.54797335445295, "YES": 227.5458772115767}
0.6751345942432304
is-djt-shorting-djt-in-some-way
110
Is DJT shorting DJT in some way?
1735711140000
FGGwLq7n7tMJjZULYKRz3PDHtda2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712004142480
Jim Quinn
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.11375600322036347, "platformFee": 0.11375600322036347, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
260
JimQuinn
1714312189325
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLOpLC_WHGQhnMLbErxREjWQhlXsF3rM8xMLqMjx6HlqQ=s96-c
9
0
0.3333333333333333
1696771291071
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712004142631}]
["us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1714312185973
1713897153210
eVEy8bh07BeRH1M3FwOb
what-letterboxd-user-rating-will-ci
19370.13450595703
What Letterboxd user rating will "Civil War" (2024) have, two weeks after release?
1714139713334
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
bd8ca50a5073
public
1712004188788
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Civil War\" Letterboxd page: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://letterboxd.com/film/civil-war-2024/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://let...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9117843499440715, "platformFee": 0.9117843499440715, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714139713334
200
Ziddletwix
1714139767262
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ983-3ba213ef2b96
5
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "1c54f9fc7af3", "prob": 3.9697112603233246e-07, "text": "0-0.1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.00593642733838351, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 14954.299173158894, "textFts": "'-0.1':2 '0':1", "contractId": "eVEy8bh07BeRH1M3FwOb", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", ...
0.3333333333333333
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "Media Rating Futures", "slug": "media-rating-futures", "groupId": "JJuCBcjCZIv8AOPz4O8c", "createdTime": 1712004189141}]
["media-rating-futures"]
0.25
1714139669050
1714139766778
{"bd8ca50a5073": 100}
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
True
5DgXK53BappD4eIAvKZq
who-would-you-rather-be-marty-or-ru
0
Who would you rather be, Marty or Rust?
JCN5ptf5GGdFaakgcnJ4TPZa0no2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1712004287948
gpt_news_headlines
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
gpt_news_headlines
1712419935751
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgpt_news_headlines%2FkldFg_g8xa.07?alt=media&token=18eba95e-67d2-4e1f-9539-5d194eb20ba1
2
0
0.3333333333333333
1710363311888
0
[{"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1712004288103}]
["tv"]
0.25
1712419934356
0.23774380975397585
p42GhNeqidj0oecKA5iE
{"NO": 140.26456291629387, "YES": 1657.6014053036572}
0
will-i-catch-symptomatic-dengue-fev
4349.62432355965
Will I catch symptomatic dengue fever on a trip to Puerto Rico from April 9th-April 14th?
1714201140000
ZeYZlRQDHrXbZzFU1fcRrPH9GKn2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712004419450
Ryan
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Puerto Rico recently declared a public health emergency after >500 cases of dengue have been confirmed to start the year. I will be staying for 5 full days and will be taking precautions (mosquito net, DEET, and permethrin). I've had symptomatic de...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.025713592554214345}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.001798099176619731, "platformFee": 0.001798099176619731, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714410544192
280
arkd92
1714201140000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆb3d-6d251a64d9a7
13
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1710367057277
0
[{"name": "Public Health", "slug": "public-health", "groupId": "ybln6XDvz5ik7zO0aYe1", "createdTime": 1712004419599}, {"name": "๐Ÿงช Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1712004419618}]
["public-health", "science-default"]
0.25
0.5
1714179347153
1713240447639
0.03
ZeYZlRQDHrXbZzFU1fcRrPH9GKn2
KgePSJ6w1zB8AcsLA1Ib
-dow-jones-how-will-it-close-on-tue-abdd71cb77fa
2122.8408201814404
๐Ÿ“ˆ๐ŸŒŽ DOW JONES: How Will It Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Day?
1712088000000
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
2b45f3e03fda
public
1712005001760
SirCryptomind
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“ˆ๐ŸŒŽ DOW JONES: How Will It Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Day?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "par...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712089192574
200
SirCryptomind
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ340-2fe2428b1394
7
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "708702aca20b", "prob": 0.012490767955008619, "text": "Higher", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.19606967341451, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1043.2697714138883, "textFts": "'higher':1", "contractId": "KgePSJ6w1zB8AcsLA1Ib", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bac...
1
0.3333333333333333
1673375788573
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712005001974}, {"name": "Stock Market-Daily", "slug": "stock-marketdaily", "groupId": "fb5495b0-7695-4ff4-92f1-4357551d8536", "createdTime": 1712005001981}, {"name": "Dow Jones", "slug": "dow-jones", "groupId": "29c211ee-15c7-47...
["stocks", "stock-marketdaily", "dow-jones"]
0.25
1712065209214
{"2b45f3e03fda": 100}
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
True
0ICXkd49mG7HtiWQE0Qp
-russell-2000-how-will-it-close-on-6f9b4d319f43
2048.994066050964
๐Ÿ“ˆ๐ŸŒŽ RUSSELL 2000: How Will It Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Trading Day?
1712088000000
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
18c462603f68
public
1712005035528
SirCryptomind
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“ˆ๐ŸŒŽ RUSSELL 2000: How Will It Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Trading Day?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712089208197
200
SirCryptomind
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ340-2fe2428b1394
7
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "47408f52d287", "prob": 0.02926655692839074, "text": "Higher", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15.278973329652729, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 506.78357632513723, "textFts": "'higher':1", "contractId": "0ICXkd49mG7HtiWQE0Qp", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bac...
1
0.3333333333333333
1673375788573
0
[{"name": "Stock Market-Daily", "slug": "stock-marketdaily", "groupId": "fb5495b0-7695-4ff4-92f1-4357551d8536", "createdTime": 1712005035743}, {"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712005035741}, {"name": "Russel 2000", "slug": "russel-2000", "groupId": "5f1f606d-49b...
["stock-marketdaily", "stocks", "russel-2000"]
0.25
1712083338723
{"18c462603f68": 100}
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
True
kifZVw4AXoRqNBRn5ohL
-nasdaq-how-will-it-close-on-tue-ap
1485.3397120694535
๐Ÿ“ˆ๐ŸŒŽ NASDAQ : How Will It Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Trading Day?
1712088000000
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
a8b9346f0343
public
1712005064271
SirCryptomind
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿ“ˆ๐ŸŒŽ NASDAQ : How Will It Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Trading Day?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712089348444
220
SirCryptomind
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ340-2fe2428b1394
8
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "17f68699fec1", "prob": 0.019642670199575045, "text": "Higher", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 17.198914877313328, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 858.3905392329234, "textFts": "'higher':1", "contractId": "kifZVw4AXoRqNBRn5ohL", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bac...
1
0.3333333333333333
1673375788573
0
[{"name": "Stock Market-Daily", "slug": "stock-marketdaily", "groupId": "fb5495b0-7695-4ff4-92f1-4357551d8536", "createdTime": 1712005064480}, {"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712005064499}, {"name": "NASDAQ", "slug": "nasdaq", "groupId": "d3aaa6d9-84fa-42e5-905...
["stock-marketdaily", "stocks", "nasdaq"]
0.25
1712069727559
{"a8b9346f0343": 100}
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
True
0.46724183583216994
AGUHffD2txXlWQOA4UAk
{"NO": 63.75494233931599, "YES": 565.7017747346466}
0
will-lincoln-city-finish-the-2324-s
950.7626876176018
Will Lincoln City finish the 23/24 season in the League 1 playoffs?
1714258740000
bH6GrwWvotQb0HzmljJYgwrF8rh1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712005515507
Liz Mizzet
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Lincoln City are currently 6th in the EFL League One table at 67 points, 15 games unbeaten and with five games to go before the season ends.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will they finish the season in a playoff p...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.08995037892154961}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.270460564372042, "platformFee": 8.270460564372042, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717959993759
240
LizMizzet
1714258740000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK7mN1LpA9CoKIPzLzPuzDNUvReUFgYc2iqzIkFllmX55Jj=s96-c
16
0
9
0.3333333333333333
1708947678068
0
[{"name": "โšฝ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712005515704}, {"name": "๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712005515735}, {"name": "โšฝ ๐Ÿˆ Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 171...
["soccer", "sports-default", "football", "efl", "efl-league-one"]
0.25
0.5
1714257960898
1715716495256
0.09
bH6GrwWvotQb0HzmljJYgwrF8rh1
0.5186686427564636
DGp26PMKwnO6WDveTz19
{"NO": 115.28837396035757, "YES": 214.34172287130156}
0.3669263342048565
will-a-law-be-passed-in-germany-tha
124.43499280880908
Will a law be passed in Germany that limits the breeding of dogs? (2024)
1735707540000
PJ6ywFzkSDMvKoNuqjUS2ljyxVZ2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712006304642
GCS
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Germany passes a law in 2024 that effectively makes breeding certain dog breeds illegal.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/28/world/europe/dachshu...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.07508719881951098}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.9415761768176805, "platformFee": 0.09536491468119696, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
160
GCS
1718497084790
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ1df-8de0c52e5530
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1698338761425
0
[{"name": "Breeders' Cup", "slug": "breeders-cup", "groupId": "c3af2b35-03d3-465d-ab24-e8540135b454", "createdTime": 1712006304898}, {"name": "Pets", "slug": "pets", "groupId": "d98c1d1e-8d87-4e3d-ab51-cdf710eed2d4", "createdTime": 1712006304903}, {"name": "Vegan", "slug": "vegan", "groupId": "Xrhp6fk47Bx8oRUyB0vJ", "c...
["breeders-cup", "pets", "vegan", "germany", "dogs-cats"]
0.25
0.5
1718497081402
0.4733553977093994
kN55H9ROtn1cuwzSsMh8
{"NO": 53.61001122261962, "YES": 929.0862206220179}
0
will-nvidia-nasdaq-nvda-close-highe-b733f4d2f0df
988.3603482300753
Will Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) close higher Apr 2 than Apr 1?
1712086200000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
2.332720498979403
True
play
NO
public
1712006715605
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NVIDIA Corp - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Daily Dashboard", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/news/daily-markets-sports", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline h...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712093764807
320
KeenenW
1712086200000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa82-90bc3d0d0fbb
14
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "Tech Stocks", "slug": "tech-stocks", "groupId": "pK06hNX8MsNw8zaBsX2N", "createdTime": 1712006715776}, {"name": "NASDAQ", "slug": "nasdaq", "groupId": "d3aaa6d9-84fa-42e5-9053-690f91a51220", "createdTime": 1712006715779}, {"name": "Nvidia", "slug": "nvidia", "groupId": "43f31fc9-9568-44c6-842c-7c9e091b81c3",...
["tech-stocks", "nasdaq", "nvidia", "nvda", "ai-stocks", "gpu", "stocks", "finance"]
0.25
0.5
1712085367222
0.05
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
0.3829036638732868
CykWIMhPfizWSMtBXLWo
{"NO": 73.2396752623513, "YES": 1117.4273770570585}
0
will-apple-nasdaq-aapl-close-higher-b12c925a9e51
1996.7825329972836
Will Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) close higher Apr 2 than Apr 1?
1712086200000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
2.2963504542676825
True
play
NO
public
1712006797884
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Apple Inc - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Daily Dashboard", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/news/daily-markets-sports", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hov...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712093713619
320
KeenenW
1712086200000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa82-90bc3d0d0fbb
14
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "AI Stocks", "slug": "ai-stocks", "groupId": "Jf4rKNcxovEVEE8CyOgN", "createdTime": 1712006798038}, {"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712006798048}, {"name": "AAPL", "slug": "aapl", "groupId": "2b9a9be2-80c3-4e15-860a-55fbe48b31f5", "createdTime": 17120...
["ai-stocks", "stocks", "aapl", "nasdaq", "apple", "tech-stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1712085361246
0.04
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
TPMxp8FVyW1AvLbIzRFw
what-percentage-of-their-money-will-7140af8d9ac6
6675.713356009731
What percentage of their money will FTX customers get back?
1893538740000
85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712006811622
Simon
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is about the average FTX international customer", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "EDIT: If recovery percentages vary among customers, a weighted average will be used. For example, if 2% of custom...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 168.8256548099585, "platformFee": 123.67751608289699, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Simon74fe
1718919070108
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ9cf-f4888550befa
36
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "0cb1e45fd610", "prob": 0.0001270864176869657, "text": "0-5", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.3332995213329113, "userId": "85nJB0gHwPMXmUtBO72YrwlNDI22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2622.2878066450367, "textFts": "'-5':2 '0':1", "contractId": "TPMxp8FVyW1AvLbIzRFw", "createdTime": 1712006811622, "probChanges": {"day":...
0.3333333333333333
1645874228924
0
[{"name": "FTX", "slug": "ftx", "groupId": "0YV8Cv4WhFWcbUrk4hHV", "createdTime": 1712033718454}, {"name": "FTX Insolvency Crisis", "slug": "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "groupId": "DwXE6sNMFQ8hnEq1afHh", "createdTime": 1712033721957}, {"name": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRu...
["ftx", "ftx-liquidity-crisis-nov-2022", "crypto-speculation", "sbf", "sbf-wtf"]
0.25
1718919066537
1718798032997
True
0.47739935877612033
TeAlOIN8PD1drnR0oxSV
{"NO": 885.6149077574249, "YES": 37.833330756414796}
1
will-reddit-nyse-rddt-close-higher-53373ef74f4a
1118.829792285818
Will Reddit (NYSE: RDDT) close higher Apr 2 than Apr 1?
1712086200000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
2.616457595301914
True
play
YES
public
1712006854322
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Reddit Inc - ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "Daily Dashboard", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/news/daily-markets-sports", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ho...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712093657596
280
KeenenW
1712086200000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa82-90bc3d0d0fbb
12
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "RDDT", "slug": "rddt", "groupId": "e08066d9-d0a9-4047-9005-a16b8e966b9a", "createdTime": 1712006854471}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1712006854480}, {"name": "NYSE", "slug": "nyse", "groupId": "d3a9c972-8f8e-42fb-bb8e-e3d30bdca916", "createdTime...
["rddt", "finance", "nyse", "tech-stocks", "stocks", "nasdaq", "reddit"]
0.25
0.5
1712085379144
0.96
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
Q3FQM2acdBapp9UAeKFn
do-you-consider-veselin-topalov-a-l
0
Do you consider Veselin Topalov a legitimate world champion?
1714683540000
ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1
none
0
1
True
public
1712006967559
Captain Jack Sparrow
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Veselin Topalov was the last FIDE World Champion before re-unification. He won the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIDE_World_Chess_Championship_2005", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https:...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714683541151
diadematus
1714658767984
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ1fb-6f1bd0a31520
26
0
0.3333333333333333
1697566520755
0
[{"name": "โ™Ÿ๏ธ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1712006967716}]
["chess"]
0.25
1714658766406
["2aa340734cbf"]
0.6422693993900873
9aSfeum4RWNquZXaAdux
{"NO": 190.41926561479, "YES": 247.5673236974807}
1
will-i-complete-the-homework-assign-02caeae800f6
1324.65966150413
Will I complete the homework assignment due by midnight tonight?
1712033940000
5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2
cpmm-1
0
1.5673628177446552
True
play
YES
public
1712007664608
JKS
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have another assignment due tonight.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If I submit the completed assignment before 11:59 pm CDT tonight, this resolves YES. Otherwise, this resolves NO.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.204978719507932}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712043031068
240
jks
1712043134230
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ638-cbc4a0a8faa6
10
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1680049506454
0
[{"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short-fuse", "groupId": "a2ab3b95-588a-4e45-a855-51cd10e8427c", "createdTime": 1712007664791}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ช Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1712007664793}, {"name": "Commitment Devices", "slug": "commitment-devices", "groupId"...
["short-fuse", "personal-goals", "commitment-devices"]
0.25
0.5
1712032060788
1712043133802
0.58
5UEJDhfkuLNxnh3UKgg0rHesRCg2
0.5618073407884581
T1cyYhJOIslEbXj2A0Nl
{"NO": 4.109611599086293, "YES": 4219.937683586009}
0
will-the-last-digit-of-the-april-2s
4366.537326622505
Will the last digit of the April 2st S&P500 close be 4 or higher?
1712117348390
JNkmw38JICdw6ySJ9RgWK7WyBdE2
cpmm-1
0
4.2477477203787375
True
play
NO
public
1712007829553
Sylvie
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "for example, on March 7th the close was 5157.36, 6 is higher than 4, and this would resolve YES", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "using ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://finance.yahoo.com/qu...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.6}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712117348390
280
sylv
1712117348390
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyoOZtkrJBItDvRE0HvcRDn8txM-_v033jFIifZ=s96-c
11
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1645008108574
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1712007829716}, {"name": "๐Ÿฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1712007829723}, {"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1...
["finance", "economics-default", "stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1712117338355
0
JNkmw38JICdw6ySJ9RgWK7WyBdE2
UVPZnHtLKp3U7uQo4J2t
when-will-guantanamo-bay-naval-stat
104.99999999999987
When will Guantรกnamo Bay Naval Station cease to operate as a detention facility?
3281986740000
nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712007961495
Gaz Downright
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market attempts to use the numerical options to forecast the year something happens.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Resolution Criteria:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "att...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
GazDownright
1712165582125
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ03d-44c57f8e25b1
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "2b9b477d5aa4", "prob": 0.004181532245222924, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.7801563270187142, "userId": "nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 185.79172241670784, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "UVPZnHtLKp3U7uQo4J2t", "createdTime": 1712007961495, "probChange...
0.3333333333333333
1697568039966
0
[{"name": "Terrorism", "slug": "terrorism", "groupId": "dWSuGqoMKLTROX8ar0Fz", "createdTime": 1712007961987}, {"name": "โš”๏ธ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1712007962009}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "creat...
["terrorism", "wars", "united-states", "international-relations", "human-rights", "military"]
0.25
1712165577577
True
4e83h191hUCGW1F69PlN
osrs-which-days-will-sharks-cost-mo-33fcd005f647
17364.13321763503
[OSRS] Which days will Sharks cost more GP than the previous day? (Daily Market)
1714595570013
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
public
1712008056374
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://secure.runescape.com/m=itemdb_oldschool/Shark/viewitem?obj=385", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://secure.runescape.com/m=itemdb_oldschool/Shark/viewitem?obj=385", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 17.076998149317287, "platformFee": 17.076998149317287, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714595570013
1250
KeenenW
1714595570013
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa82-90bc3d0d0fbb
7
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "b78559274ac3", "prob": 1, "text": "April 1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1025, "userId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 0.6097560975608758, "textFts": "'1':2 'april':1", "contractId": "4e83h191hUCGW1F69PlN", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "createdTime...
1
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "Sharks", "slug": "sharks", "groupId": "d17ddcf4-5868-46c7-84f1-fa6d0b10902c", "createdTime": 1712008056691}, {"name": "Old School Runescape (OSRS)", "slug": "old-school-runescape-osrs", "groupId": "c9374a89-feda-4c2d-b26b-240a232736a5", "createdTime": 1712008056698}, {"name": "Runescape", "slug": "runescape"...
["sharks", "old-school-runescape-osrs", "runescape", "daily-markets"]
0.25
1714595561807
1714367200537
0.99
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
False
0.3004487219650644
3w7HdsnqEJWO7zNKA6Rn
{"NO": 1002.8677884454889, "YES": 949.120068160999}
0.31215184656395456
will-elon-musk-ever-orbit-or-walk-o
921.3609771456686
Will Elon Musk ever orbit or walk on the Moon?
2871781140000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.563210600055793
False
basic
public
1712008271597
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "XGmQf9p3f5VuaYBTCTSr", "label": "/strutheo/will-jeff-bezos-ever-fly-around-or"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.006788477112078861, "month": 0.04694377998986793}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.394078697965086, "platformFee": 1.0723767653104244, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1720019847938
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
27
1
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ”ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1712008271773}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712008271775}, {"name": "๐Ÿš— Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmB...
["space-exploration", "space", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "spacex", "commercial-spaceflight", "celebrities", "billionaires"]
0.25
0.5
1720019843812
1719608421473
0.40353184420456845
8goAUFZEeX9APFzvR65N
{"NO": 171.8316749714032, "YES": 302.4259709000087}
0.2776614016758993
will-mark-zuckerberg-ever-orbit-or
201
Will Mark Zuckerberg ever orbit or walk on the Moon?
2871781140000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712008284397
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "XGmQf9p3f5VuaYBTCTSr", "label": "/strutheo/will-jeff-bezos-ever-fly-around-or"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
220
strutheo
1713504366680
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
6
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Mark Zuckerberg", "slug": "mark-zuckerberg", "groupId": "TgiBcwgdBUStQtFlpg4w", "createdTime": 1712008284572}, {"name": "๐ŸŒ™ Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", "createdTime": 1712008284570}, {"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-9598065368...
["mark-zuckerberg", "moon", "billionaires", "space", "space-exploration", "commercial-spaceflight", "celebrities"]
0.25
0.5
1712501120610
BuxsHfo45bjZlBOjCz9d
who-will-be-the-first-billionaire-t
1386.6805814971387
Who will be the first Billionaire to walk on the Moon?
2556161940000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712008410506
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "8goAUFZEeX9APFzvR65N", "label": "/strutheo/will-mark-zuckerberg-ever-orbit-or"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "3w7HdsnqEJWO7zNKA...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 3.652134125168743, "platformFee": 1.8013783763522668, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1030
strutheo
1718725714688
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
20
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "60b87f13aa20", "prob": 0.003761069002260012, "text": "Mark Zuckerberg", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.143033458930126, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1097.4143845093636, "textFts": "'mark':1 'zuckerberg':2", "contractId": "BuxsHfo45bjZlBOjCz9d", "createdTime": 1712008410506, "...
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-95980653688b", "createdTime": 1712008411264}, {"name": "๐ŸŒ™ Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", "createdTime": 1712008411266}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime...
["billionaires", "moon", "space", "wealth", "artemis-3"]
0.25
1718725711392
1713504227231
True
prob-desc
ziM16WZUsLX9SegEX0K9
who-will-be-the-first-millionaire-t
0
Who will be the first Millionaire to walk on the Moon?
1712008493679
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712008479210
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "BuxsHfo45bjZlBOjCz9d", "label": "/strutheo/who-will-be-the-first-billionaire-t"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712008493679
100
strutheo
1712008493679
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
0
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "55aee79c3b41", "prob": 0.25, "text": "Mark Zuckerberg", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.666666666666668, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'mark':1 'zuckerberg':2", "contractId": "ziM16WZUsLX9SegEX0K9", "resolverId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "createdTime": 1...
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
True
0
[{"name": "Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing", "slug": "artemis-3", "groupId": "JFSueHSoflV6QCBPjC3l", "createdTime": 1712008479560}, {"name": "๐ŸŒ™ Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", "createdTime": 1712008479593}, {"name": "Billionaires", "slug": "billionaires", "groupId": "d7b8968a-3418-44f3-baa7-9...
["artemis-3", "moon", "billionaires", "space", "wealth"]
0.25
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
True
FhCVHP2m6EDRIERhVTTK
good-april-fool-today
10
Good April Fool today?
1712116740000
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
99ef0ef44665
public
1712008812179
Martin Randall
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712138971457
120
MartinRandall
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆd20-bee14ed5221b
1
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "99ef0ef44665", "prob": 0.5475113122171946, "text": "Yes", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 75.00000000000001, "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 61.983471074380176, "textFts": "'yes':1", "contractId": "FhCVHP2m6EDRIERhVTTK", "resolverId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekk...
1
0.3333333333333333
1644445070964
0
0.25
1712016217611
{"99ef0ef44665": 100}
sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1
True
0.5628194893661739
sYWcRth6EmJkYzP9IeUQ
{"NO": 245.70010940871583, "YES": 232.50341897700565}
0.57635295410523
will-kim-jong-un-stop-being-the-lea-d60fd2b2d7b0
179.57778979016845
Will Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before North Korea and South Korea go to war again.
3502933140000
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712009292208
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "North Korea and South Korea are in a state of semi-permanent ceasefire. I am not counting this ceasefire as a war. If they break this ceasefire or if they end the โ€œwarโ€ and go to war again this will resolve.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.42382102704726543, "platformFee": 0.42382102704726543, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
240
JamesF
1714253976141
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
7
0
0.3333333333333333
1701462146149
0
[{"name": "โš”๏ธ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1712009292359}, {"name": "Asia", "slug": "asia", "groupId": "bPTxMZhUYsIUXsWT969d", "createdTime": 1712009292358}, {"name": "North Korea", "slug": "north-korea", "groupId": "5aafMiQ5NeYij6TE1G1i", "createdTime": 1712009292364}, {"nam...
["wars", "asia", "north-korea", "world-default"]
0.25
0.5
1714253972656
wh3Jcbv1Lq9M6JBDCA3h
what-animal-will-be-the-first-to-wa
394.41003895349365
What animal will be the first to walk on the Moon?
2871781140000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712009359544
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Human does not count. Must be alive not a crashed dead animal. If multiple land in the same journey, they will split by percentage (50% if two, 33% if three resolve, etc)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.9046579565361883, "platformFee": 0.9174101437847063, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1400
strutheo
1719550977697
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
15
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "7ccbfa988c0d", "prob": 0.02511030044527916, "text": "Dog", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.420066794209703, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 482.20033096947884, "textFts": "'dog':1", "contractId": "wh3Jcbv1Lq9M6JBDCA3h", "createdTime": 1712009359545, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "we...
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ”ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1712009359798}, {"name": "Artemis 3 / Human Moon Landing", "slug": "artemis-3", "groupId": "JFSueHSoflV6QCBPjC3l", "createdTime": 1712009359815}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaL...
["space-exploration", "artemis-3", "space", "space-colonization", "moon", "animals", "pets", "dogs-cats"]
0.25
1718410747520
1719550974732
True
prob-desc
CT7fIZPsqTvKi5iGcoq0
what-animal-will-be-the-first-to-wa-24400de4665c
1229.9651778166358
What animal will be the first to walk on Mars?
2871781140000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712009519500
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Human does not count. Must be alive not a crashed dead animal. If multiple land in the same journey, they will split by percentage (50% if two, 33% if three resolve, etc)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"},...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1712198635212
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
18
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "420ec4c9e22a", "prob": 0.01648890880106796, "text": "Dog", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.240810212390866, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 491.5381813396228, "textFts": "'dog':1", "contractId": "CT7fIZPsqTvKi5iGcoq0", "createdTime": 1712009519501, "probChanges": {"day": 2.081668...
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Commercial spaceflight", "slug": "commercial-spaceflight", "groupId": "867eae28-05ff-4cae-8aca-875c18c57052", "createdTime": 1712009519745}, {"name": "๐ŸŒŒ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712009519735}, {"name": "๐Ÿ”ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "g...
["commercial-spaceflight", "space", "space-exploration", "space-colonization", "mars", "animals", "pets", "dogs-cats", "dog-markets"]
0.25
1712170628012
1712149467684
True
prob-desc
1k5lDH02txJ2a9E5zSa5
how-many-states-will-have-every-cou
156.62665229041076
How many states will have every county won by the 2024 Democratic presidential candidate?
1767254340000
xNZQawSuOdWPwqnVlFwQbIMT2x42
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712009819166
themightysalmon
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Looking at you, HI, MA, RI, VT, NH, ??", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves according to the Wikipedia page for the 2024 US presidential election: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en....
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
245
themightysalmon
1712576955293
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ270-0cf2a6f9e513
7
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "491d4b010aea", "prob": 0.025848160536429805, "text": "1 or less", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.044615574923263, "userId": "xNZQawSuOdWPwqnVlFwQbIMT2x42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 227.80628326966263, "textFts": "'1':1 'less':3", "contractId": "1k5lDH02txJ2a9E5zSa5", "createdTime": 1712009819166, "probChanges": {...
0.3333333333333333
1707978226998
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712009819372}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712009819394}, {"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-defa...
["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default"]
0.25
1712576952013
1712266467823
True
LwCoNb85Xd08AC7clFlR
who-will-be-the-2024-nba-finals-mvp-7ccdcc595ae0
38008.669155966265
Who will be the 2024 NBA FINALS MVP?
1718680906970
wf1FnYlBeYU5sGaGRsMhXvNWXv82
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
4fc2c6f923f2
public
1712009901257
Dan
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 318.58194111892794, "platformFee": 12.4313176116925, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718680906970
2350
cloontia
1718681971655
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLFYn6-3gJv7Zxvjj_BIY7UaZkXTWjYrn1xpD0KOjnlA4g=s96-c
66
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "bb0d539686af", "prob": 6.291786740441115e-05, "text": "Nikola Jokic", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0056484572091904, "userId": "wf1FnYlBeYU5sGaGRsMhXvNWXv82", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 15982.505851468242, "textFts": "'jokic':2 'nikola':1", "contractId": "LwCoNb85Xd08AC7clFlR", "resolverId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNo...
0.3333333333333333
1696860314359
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ€ Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1712009901547}, {"name": "NBA Finals", "slug": "nba-finals", "groupId": "c11d61b7-50e3-4e4a-af86-4c904e00ec9b", "createdTime": 1712009901558}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb", "createdTime...
["basketball", "nba-finals", "nba", "nba-playoffs"]
0.25
1718680565447
1718681969960
{"4fc2c6f923f2": 100}
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
True
0.6489803188007437
6cRZYJo6KK1aFiG99Ju3
{"NO": 1310.5191713885692, "YES": 834.5159540350437}
0.7438139290074318
will-a-humanoid-robot-walk-on-the-m
1532.777657104389
Will a humanoid robot walk on the moon before an animal does
2869793940000
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
cpmm-1
0
9.675079037897358
False
basic
public
1712009952443
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A humanoid robot is a robot meant to act like a human", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 0.08043134011457997, "month": 0.09752549165872959}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.91942049446081, "platformFee": 0.4562660461941709, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JamesF
1719916615122
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
32
2
0.3333333333333333
1701462146149
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŒ™ Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", "createdTime": 1712009952601}, {"name": "Robotics", "slug": "robotics", "groupId": "w6Q4c8YIK0W5GMslvGbd", "createdTime": 1712009952603}, {"name": "๐Ÿ”ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime...
["moon", "robotics", "space-exploration", "space"]
0.25
0.5
1719916610480
1713314820445
sex0q2o3kT7d3qPvnCTM
who-will-i-next-go-on-3-dates-with-2c2c88e89c45
0
Who will I next go on 3 dates with?
1727562169470
BgM0xobZ0dWJoBrCpFwUC2YcgDn1
cpmm-multi-1
0
9.141775576582349
False
plus
public
1712010169823
hath
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "my profile", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.love/hath", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " to get more info on me and the candidates.", "type": "text"}...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
10000
hath
1712010170530
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhCbmY0Lx380026nQ3agiA_FCJPd0SWGMms_z4GDHI=s96-c
0
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "c6d2c1ea5ce1", "prob": 0.02, "text": "Natalie (@Infinatalie)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 204.08163265306123, "userId": "BgM0xobZ0dWJoBrCpFwUC2YcgDn1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 10000, "textFts": "'infinatali':2 'natali':1", "contractId": "sex0q2o3kT7d3qPvnCTM", "createdTime": 1712010169824, "loverUserId": "BqOg...
0.3333333333333333
1644457982313
0
[{"name": "Manifold.love Relationships", "slug": "manifoldlove-relationships", "groupId": "2e9a87df-94e3-458c-bc5f-81e891b13101", "createdTime": 1712010170530}]
["manifoldlove-relationships"]
0.25
False
HfLwkotueG3vzg7g8MVC
which-of-these-potentially-worldcha
3066.220406030389
Which of these potentially world-changing discoveries will happen first?
1893495540000
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712011317018
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to my judgement. Happy April Fool's but this is a very serious market. Nothing melts like real cheese melts.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 12.819597151169711, "platformFee": 4.100649729145887, "liquidityFee": 0}
3
2615.25
NcyRocks
1720207560176
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ6b3-70181e9d9dc2
64
1
DISABLED
[{"id": "4fa3d221c206", "prob": 0.1456463180830606, "text": "AGI", "index": 0, "poolNo": 218.8054526146243, "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1283.5013375223002, "textFts": "'agi':1", "contractId": "HfLwkotueG3vzg7g8MVC", "createdTime": 1712011317018, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week...
0.3333333333333333
1644447319203
0
[{"name": "Vegan", "slug": "vegan", "groupId": "Xrhp6fk47Bx8oRUyB0vJ", "createdTime": 1712011317247}, {"name": "Physics Forecasting", "slug": "physics", "groupId": "0JWy5mbK5ML8EUh5NA3z", "createdTime": 1712011317252}, {"name": "No resolution", "slug": "no-resolution", "groupId": "C06T5cKa32YfIZD4Jfhv", "createdTime": ...
["vegan", "physics", "no-resolution"]
0.25
1720207557030
1712494320878
True
0.3726524671182519
PQe9zxF7AecUjRew4FqL
{"NO": 108.91093294461444, "YES": 499.2833598641553}
0.11471104554523329
was-the-gun-that-killed-tupac-found
310.1948911437942
Was the gun that killed Tupac found in one of Diddy's homes?
1861937940000
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712011806245
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.47500633244133056, "platformFee": 0.046742659609274664, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
BTE
1716964388130
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆae9-3fcd8f17498c
8
0
0.3333333333333333
1645484592545
0
[{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1712011806486}, {"name": "P. Diddy", "slug": "p-diddy", "groupId": "ac99f4e4-db1d-4b7e-b888-07999751ab6a", "createdTime": 1712011806488}]
["law-order", "p-diddy"]
0.25
0.5
1716964384663
0.5
U6XCABgt3F4MmqOVQweq
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-manifold-support-the-uploading
0
Will Manifold support the uploading of .AVIF files for banners anytime before the end of 2024?
1712011935980
9waNog3HOOgEm78VedimrDbeQ5F2
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712011883680
Rucker
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if I (or someone else on Manifold) can set a .AVIF image as a market banner before the end of the year.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}]...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712011935980
100
Rucker
1712011935980
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆf15-320ee88a6842
0
0
0.3333333333333333
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ217-dfd7782347d1
1698428728752
True
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712011883841}, {"name": "Image Formats", "slug": "image-formats", "groupId": "b55dfb1d-82e1-4506-8c3a-f86d140794a6", "createdTime": 1712011883837}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7...
["manifold-6748e065087e", "image-formats", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]
0.25
0.5
1712011906153
0.5
9waNog3HOOgEm78VedimrDbeQ5F2
0.22930875078453447
jst2IFUwaQVDhr03SOhq
{"NO": 921.3370046771819, "YES": 1194.4173385523652}
0.18666821020491883
will-there-be-another-major-bridge
379.7905204188041
Will there be another major bridge collapse in the US by the end of 2025?
1767243540000
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
9.665202397598893
False
basic
public
1712012229469
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.39024607657280597, "platformFee": 0.39024607657280597, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
BTE
1715979562463
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆae9-3fcd8f17498c
13
0
0.3333333333333333
1645484592545
0
[{"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1712012229636}, {"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1712012229633}, {"name": "Infrastructure", "slug": "infrastructure", "groupId": "uej971gmu...
["us-economy", "global-macro", "infrastructure"]
0.25
0.5
1715979559203
0.5079485238455711
pmfuWQeUCbb2bW5PkyLK
{"NO": 125.49506692152141, "YES": 114.76368458472643}
0.5302600061933862
will-the-keel-be-laid-for-a-third-r
211.29335089903856
Will the keel be laid for a third Royal Navy Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carrier prior to January 2030?
1798847940000
xh2QtJ0WuKQFK3nyXsxDRxBhqYB3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712013073521
IY
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.4260277126629475, "platformFee": 1.4260277126629475, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
vitamind
1715464258516
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ977-5917b2772a78
3
0
0.3333333333333333
1687797971742
0
0.25
0.5
1715464255328
TKNDX2tDkjdB411DvQRo
what-will-be-the-total-dollar-value
175.00000000000006
What will be the total dollar value of US arms sales to Taiwan in 2024?
1735707540000
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712013721938
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Numbers are in millions (so add six zeros) ranging from $500mm to $10B. You can see all historical sales below. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_US_arms_sales_to_Taiwan", "frameBorder"...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
BTE
1712148671386
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆae9-3fcd8f17498c
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "72fbae8b819e", "prob": 0.022410313687256746, "text": "500-592", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.4517697645734478, "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 63.32955301534697, "textFts": "'-592':2 '500':1", "contractId": "TKNDX2tDkjdB411DvQRo", "createdTime": 1712013721938, "probChanges": {...
0.3333333333333333
1645484592545
0
[{"name": "Taiwan", "slug": "taiwan", "groupId": "yVxGLCRxMXptN7l4Bw9p", "createdTime": 1712013722434}]
["taiwan"]
0.25
1712148667390
True
mFY2nqE5NxhDzzbt6gv5
what-is-the-best-steam-game-you-are
0
What is the best Steam game you are playing in 2024?
hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1712013730235
Ammon Lam
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
AmmonLam
1712342232741
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c
75
0
0.3333333333333333
1668192587343
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1712013731254}, {"name": "Steam", "slug": "steam", "groupId": "Y5rThqV7EajtoQh906Yz", "createdTime": 1712013731261}]
["gaming", "steam"]
0.25
1712342232217
0.1360527387115812
CJHrmWyAlNhzDfXu1GK6
{"NO": 117.0755879791134, "YES": 140.00000000000003}
0.11636710809591365
will-picking-mentors-for-research-p
20
Will "Picking Mentors For Research Programmes" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1738368000000
h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712013782617
Less Wrong
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom...
BINARY
{"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
LessWrong
1712025046104
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c
1
0
0.3333333333333333
1706554674237
0
[{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1712013787104}]
["lesswrong-annual-review"]
0.25
0.14
1712025042857
0.13501166734754924
E0RAEXwQ2lsJjS0mg1LK
{"NO": 137.06489353982437, "YES": 159.99999999999997}
0.11794103148091167
will-picking-mentors-for-research-p-f65d40a45012
20
Will "Picking Mentors For Research Programmes" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1738368000000
h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712013789898
Less Wrong
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom...
BINARY
{"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
LessWrong
1712690289300
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c
2
0
0.3333333333333333
1706554674237
0
[{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1712013794134}]
["lesswrong-annual-review"]
0.25
0.14
1712690286052
0.2273280545182086
GP9Iny5VV2UsKRk6AR2q
{"NO": 136.92873499501138, "YES": 3927.6664080789346}
0
polymarket-dune-part-two-total-dome
12206.27658223834
[Polymarket] 'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office '>300M$'
1715810340000
SAhdoZZDETdVBVVIDdIPQ92crsH3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712014131501
Ayers
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as the corresponding Polymarket market (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://polymarket.com/event/dune-part-two-total-domestic-box-office/will-dune-part-two-gross-more-than-300m-by-may-15?tid=1712013854803", "type": "text", "marks": [{"ty...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.4578267733249217, "platformFee": 2.4578267733249217, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715898335152
320
Ayers
1715810340000
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FAyers%2Flove-images%2F2C5EFbYdU1.31?alt=media&token=f31dba42-a629-4403-88f0-4027d197a77a
18
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1689270140845
0
[{"name": "Christopher Nolan", "slug": "christopher-nolan", "groupId": "0d03d789-3658-4f37-bce7-33bcbd1b1d56", "createdTime": 1712014134016}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฅ Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1712014134019}, {"name": "Cinema", "slug": "cinema", "groupId": "cwf259E8FrbeHwytqDqP", ...
["christopher-nolan", "movies", "cinema", "dune"]
0.25
0.5
1715802283694
1712938114906
0.01
SAhdoZZDETdVBVVIDdIPQ92crsH3
Lk1e4SljK6sNFODPrwwS
what-about-lesswrongxxxcom-is-true
387.1635623458653
What about lesswrongxxx.com is true (as far as Nate knows)?
1712107618160
3w34iAWAJtdAdQsi5nKQqF0Q5M33
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
MKT
public
1712014448627
Nate Soares
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I invite you to add your own questions. I'll answer on Tuesday, April 2.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'll resolve questions as N/A if I'm uncertain (defined as having a subjective credence...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712107618160
550
So8res
1712107618160
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ACNPEu-biSZFFDFK8ROG3Z28DDeaqPpehvj6lOe45lk--ek=s96-c
11
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "520d246743bb", "prob": 0.89, "text": "Did at least one person indicate sexual interest in Duncan through his new interest form?", "index": 0, "poolNo": 203.3333333333334, "userId": "3w34iAWAJtdAdQsi5nKQqF0Q5M33", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 26.405615286643425, "textFts": "'duncan':10 'form':15 'indic':6 'inte...
0.3333333333333333
1663767120640
0
[{"name": "โค๏ธโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1712014448887}]
["sex-and-love"]
0.25
1712075989837
1712079340186
0.6
3w34iAWAJtdAdQsi5nKQqF0Q5M33
False
0.5
yaIVkfTQNmem7PtJ7pwL
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-both-bald-eagle-chicks-at-duke
0
Will both bald eagle chicks at Duke Farms leave the nest by the end of May 11th?
1712016636375
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712014538271
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://www.youtube.com/embed/w_j90TWXti0", "frameBorder": 0}}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712016636375
100
strutheo
1712016636375
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
True
0
[{"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1712014540199}, {"name": "Livestreaming", "slug": "livestreaming", "groupId": "TZws4XJiarOAOewNxOje", "createdTime": 1712015187758}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "create...
["animals", "livestreaming", "youtube", "internet", "birding", "birds", "animal-welfare", "live-betting"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
0.6510258880968207
bCOyn97ECkEEVKqUS20H
{"NO": 52.729873815089334, "YES": 954.55036593502}
0
will-both-bald-eagle-chicks-at-duke-81d68ace6036
1289.7882200770232
Will both bald eagle chicks at Duke Farms leave the nest by the end of May 11th?
1715486340000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712014609795
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://www.youtube.com/embed/w_j90TWXti0", "frameBorder": 0}}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 10.390041923056534, "platformFee": 10.390041923056534, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715489142932
360
strutheo
1715486340000
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
21
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Animals", "slug": "animals", "groupId": "f1b6760b-1baa-46e4-ab4f-a70259273eba", "createdTime": 1712014610615}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1712171177029}, {"name": "Livestreaming", "slug": "livestreaming", "groupId": "TZws4XJiarOAOewNxOje", "create...
["animals", "youtube", "livestreaming", "birding", "birds", "nature"]
0.25
0.5
1715484280631
1715470752539
0.09
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
aGemiGIsdjq6drRNTs40
how-fast-will-us-gdp-grow-in-2024
0
How fast will US GDP grow in 2024?
1712289033557
hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712015163749
Zachariah Schwab
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will settle based on Q4/Q4 data provided by the BEA first estimate of Q4 2024 real GDP and the final estimate of Q4 2023. The numbers provided are the percentage growth and if it is higher than 4 or lower than -1 then it will settle on the highest ...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712289033557
100
ZachariahSchwab
1712289033557
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ6c4-5c41669d231a
0
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "d709cd25b326", "prob": 0.02, "text": "-1--0.9", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.0204081632653061, "userId": "hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'-0.9':2 '-1':1", "contractId": "aGemiGIsdjq6drRNTs40", "resolverId": "hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2", "createdTime": 1712015163749, "p...
0.3333333333333333
1688976129072
0
[{"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 1712015164501}, {"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1712015164504}, {"name": "GDP", "slug": "gdp", "groupId": "iwQCyAKU6dXiXgXR6dw6", "createdTime": 17...
["inflation", "us-economy", "gdp"]
0.25
hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2
True
uMxQrvVaQyEiiJaBO8Mq
how-fast-will-us-gdp-grow-in-2024-049d3c05a448
24.99999999999999
How fast will US GDP grow in 2024?
1712173898871
hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712015171206
Zachariah Schwab
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will settle based on Q4/Q4 data provided by the BEA first estimate of Q4 2024 real GDP and the final estimate of Q4 2023. The numbers provided are the percentage growth and if it is higher than 4 or lower than -1 then it will settle on the highest ...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712173898871
120
ZachariahSchwab
1712173898871
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ6c4-5c41669d231a
1
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "06efe3757d99", "prob": 0.007725404651333549, "text": "-1--0.9", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.7063639365476788, "userId": "hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 90.72754385568004, "textFts": "'-0.9':2 '-1':1", "contractId": "uMxQrvVaQyEiiJaBO8Mq", "resolverId": "hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2", "...
0.3333333333333333
1688976129072
0
[{"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1712015171672}, {"name": "GDP", "slug": "gdp", "groupId": "iwQCyAKU6dXiXgXR6dw6", "createdTime": 1712015171673}, {"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 17...
["us-economy", "gdp", "inflation"]
0.25
1712023433523
hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2
True
Hfdz5ItxuDI6SZWWrYnz
how-fast-will-us-gdp-grow-in-2024-d499d69ee99d
74.00000000000003
How fast will US GDP grow in 2024?
1739087940000
hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712015188592
Zachariah Schwab
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will settle based on year on year data provided by the BEA first estimate of Q4 2024 real GDP. The numbers provided are the percentage growth and if it is higher than 4 or lower than -1 then it will settle on the highest or lowest notch.", "type": ...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7105681945474999, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
120
ZachariahSchwab
1717081878283
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ6c4-5c41669d231a
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "1e7e97825be5", "prob": 0.003013485836019549, "text": "-1--0.9", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.4236157929485104, "userId": "hjU629P5HnP5sv0bdEkHZKjHDzO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 140.14973215019486, "textFts": "'-0.9':2 '-1':1", "contractId": "Hfdz5ItxuDI6SZWWrYnz", "createdTime": 1712015188592, "probChanges": {...
0.3333333333333333
1688976129072
0
[{"name": "Inflation", "slug": "inflation", "groupId": "OiDJ9KX5mar9H1asXCUa", "createdTime": 1712015189693}, {"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1712015189695}, {"name": "GDP", "slug": "gdp", "groupId": "iwQCyAKU6dXiXgXR6dw6", "createdTime": 17...
["inflation", "us-economy", "gdp"]
0.25
1717081869557
True
cjSzYonDZLM2QWYU3HBH
what-market-cap-will-rubrik-close-a
345.055020869581
What market cap will Rubrik close at on their first day of trading (billions)?
1714093485771
0K7k2uX11xXkzm71SAE30ri2lhf1
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
07e41e0e0f37
public
1712015247001
m
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Rubrik just filed their ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "S1", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1943896/000119312524083525/d359771ds1.htm", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ho...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 2.730563910284093, "platformFee": 2.730563910284093, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714093485771
120
m2
1714093485771
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fm2%2F2WJ7YfVg34.26?alt=media&token=f08bb2f8-f32a-4eba-a17c-877a2f4dac7e
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "37039ddbdaac", "prob": 0.0015564163894266118, "text": "0-2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.39482180760363406, "userId": "0K7k2uX11xXkzm71SAE30ri2lhf1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 253.2788160992084, "textFts": "'-2':2 '0':1", "contractId": "cjSzYonDZLM2QWYU3HBH", "resolverId": "0K7k2uX11xXkzm71SAE30ri2lhf1", "creat...
0.3333333333333333
1696279125225
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712015247304}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1712015247303}, {"name": "Tech Stocks", "slug": "tech-stocks", "groupId": "pK06hNX8MsNw8zaBsX2N", "creat...
["technology-default", "finance", "tech-stocks", "ipo-valuation", "stocks"]
0.25
1714064069573
1714087551022
{"07e41e0e0f37": 100}
0K7k2uX11xXkzm71SAE30ri2lhf1
True
0.49890542792790993
oVBvJXuXO2FxsEU5X6JZ
{"NO": 96.7993261994548, "YES": 110.34138227422112}
0.4662222015012356
if-the-dems-control-all-3-branches
7
If the Dems control all 3 branches, will there be a wealth tax passed?
1712016424504
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
cpmm-1
0
2.663614115428346
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712015300378
Semiotic Rivalry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.03377779849876439}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712016424504
120
SemioticRivalry
1712016424504
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆb1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
1
0
0.3333333333333333
1669063432873
True
0
0.25
0.5
1712015968316
0.47
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
0.18216677277943924
IwnEiI4FLM18OvcHIv8e
{"NO": 923.6176264079451, "YES": 1222.9057665741939}
0.14400423059398215
if-the-dems-control-all-3-branches-58a384a615a0
541.1081050795636
If the Dems control all 3 branches, will there be a wealth tax passed?
1744171140000
BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3
cpmm-1
0
9.783565236278942
False
basic
public
1712015373972
Semiotic Rivalry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.4075013870653269, "platformFee": 0.4075013870653269, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
SemioticRivalry
1713906894653
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆb1c-6adfb2a3dfaf
10
0
0.3333333333333333
1669063432873
0
0.25
0.5
1713906891227
9KajWx5P77NBK5gfDZ3C
will-abortion-be-legalized-nationwi
466.5300958087762
Will abortion be legalized nationwide or made illegal nationwide first
3500945940000
nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712015405565
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Had to be a strict no abortion rule. In the USA ", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JamesF
1720053161621
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c
15
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "88f295fe9253", "prob": 0.8618294121680494, "text": "Made legal", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 834.5956643772779, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 133.8044071377319, "textFts": "'legal':2 'made':1", "contractId": "9KajWx5P77NBK5gfDZ3C", "createdTime": 171201540...
0.3333333333333333
1701462146149
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712015406015}, {"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712015406025}, {"name": "Abortion", "slug": "abortion", "groupId": "e1bf3240-d8e5-47ff-b924-09f98...
["us-politics", "politics-default", "abortion", "health"]
0.25
1713034526564
1712077564384
True
cZ3UNiGRn9RyIM48RJLt
will-the-dems-control-all-3-branche
1156.343643103256
Will the Dems control all 3 branches? || Will a wealth tax be passed? [BEFORE 2030]
1893560340000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712015761644
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 11.252967639600321, "platformFee": 2.1894551944264142, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Bayesian
1719934507960
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa41-dbd2866cd47c
19
1
DISABLED
[{"id": "13bf6ed9babf", "prob": 0.03031573529738922, "text": "Dems control all 3 branches || A wealth tax IS passed", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.769072157201222, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 440.4198835824608, "textFts": "'3':4 'branch':5 'control':2 'dem':1 'pass':10 'tax':8 'we...
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712015762008}, {"name": "Tax", "slug": "tax", "groupId": "ifd68EW8txu6x0cNMm3A", "createdTime": 1712015762010}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1...
["politics-default", "tax", "us-politics", "wealth"]
0.25
1719934504497
True
0.4575539125968083
DRKYWDnB5Wo1aoZAH1Gb
{"NO": 138.67709466055982, "YES": 241.00000000000006}
0.32676729836831736
will-jonathan-use-nextjs
61
Will jonathan use NextJS?
1735707540000
q2umyqspKRTNeFlcMQhjLt04A4n2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712016626715
aashiq
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "jonathan wanted to use vanilla JS for his project originally. He has capitulated and gone with React. Will he eventually completely surrender and use NextJS? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "O...
BINARY
{"day": 7.216449660063518e-16, "week": 7.216449660063518e-16, "month": 7.216449660063518e-16}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
aashiq
1712150350649
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4VZlz6mNajaBLii3A0z76YIPyr0zXxzVWxdAy8=s96-c
4
0
0.3333333333333333
1673904488353
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿค  Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1712016627353}, {"name": "๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712016627354}]
["fun", "technology-default"]
0.25
0.5
1712150347367
0.5
GQ8Qo2EJblz4qvZ51opU
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-pdiddy-sean-puffy-combs-releas
0
Will P. Diddy (Sean โ€œPuffyโ€ Combs) release a new Album before 2030?
1712458381023
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712017880276
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Love Album: Off the Grid", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Love_Album:_Off_the_Grid", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 activ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712458381023
100
KeenenW
1712458381023
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa82-90bc3d0d0fbb
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "Sean \"Puffy\" Combs", "slug": "sean-puffy-combs", "groupId": "f494de3c-8131-4577-a0ea-c7eb7afe45d5", "createdTime": 1712017880808}, {"name": "Public Figures", "slug": "public-figures", "groupId": "sIbESq9CYGTy9yeah6Tg", "createdTime": 1712017880805}, {"name": "๐Ÿฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "ent...
["sean-puffy-combs", "public-figures", "entertainment", "music-artists", "albums", "celebrities", "hiphoprap", "p-diddy", "music-f213cbf1eab5"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
0.4407142638504839
i3DlctEXxnMxK4uPSChp
{"NO": 140.77014477053524, "YES": 239.77796666127264}
0.31629553627997287
will-bryan-caplan-be-satisfied-with
60
Will Bryan Caplan be satisfied with the state of the George Mason Just Societies situation on Dec 1st 2024?
1733126340000
0wf1BQ6TTyfokIkCZDOBVZEQcU43
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712017996329
Valjean
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.betonit.ai/p/gmus-orwellian-just-societies-requirement", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.betonit.ai/p/gmus-orwellian-just-societies-requirement", "class...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.11101666936368842, "platformFee": 0.11101666936368842, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
180
Valjean
1715306265240
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ7b2-1a461e186248
5
0
0.3333333333333333
1684714557567
0
[{"name": "DEI", "slug": "dei", "groupId": "58193a0a-6a58-47e4-977a-e869d7da36df", "createdTime": 1712017996485}, {"name": "๐Ÿฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1712017996491}]
["dei", "economics-default"]
0.25
0.5
1715306261906
63wv3UmEsZGSsvsPON5u
-crypto-how-will-litecoin-close-on-23ac5773922e
1924.0032143403837
๐Ÿช™ Crypto: How Will Litecoin Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Day?
1712100600000
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
b22ce7683b99
public
1712018008445
SirCryptomind
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto: How Will Litecoin Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Day?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"t...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712179169391
220
SirCryptomind
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ340-2fe2428b1394
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "b22ce7683b99", "prob": 0.9965004936235229, "text": "Higher", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1244.609587750822, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4.370814883112399, "textFts": "'higher':1", "contractId": "63wv3UmEsZGSsvsPON5u", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZN...
1
0.3333333333333333
1673375788573
0
[{"name": "Crypto Market-Daily", "slug": "crypto-marketdaily", "groupId": "7a61c99b-2dfd-4502-a10b-f1cebe57810a", "createdTime": 1712018008640}, {"name": "Litecoin", "slug": "litecoin", "groupId": "3f66e914-9132-40be-ae54-e0a94dc4f58f", "createdTime": 1712018008675}, {"name": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices"...
["crypto-marketdaily", "litecoin", "crypto-prices", "crypto-speculation"]
0.25
1712099567581
{"b22ce7683b99": 100}
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
True
0.5032209122798865
rpUn9BCgISwGD8sg1Hep
{"NO": 186.41398133559747, "YES": 137.22641774685584}
0.5791345111025143
any-more-raids-conducted-against-p
53.750880372644396
Any more raids conducted against P. Diddy (Sean โ€œPuffyโ€ Combs) during 2024?
1735711140000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712018063965
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From creation of this market", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.14737679364110146, "platformFee": 0.14737679364110146, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
160
KeenenW
1714665047352
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa82-90bc3d0d0fbb
5
0
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "Sean \"Puffy\" Combs", "slug": "sean-puffy-combs", "groupId": "f494de3c-8131-4577-a0ea-c7eb7afe45d5", "createdTime": 1712018064191}, {"name": "Public Figures", "slug": "public-figures", "groupId": "sIbESq9CYGTy9yeah6Tg", "createdTime": 1712018064200}, {"name": "๐ŸŽท Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "group...
["sean-puffy-combs", "public-figures", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "p-diddy", "celebrities", "hiphoprap", "entertainment", "music-artists"]
0.25
0.5
1714665044045
0.5
zSDiCjKSJo0jT6B8CWfL
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
will-walgreens-villagemd-summit-hea
0
Will Walgreen's VillageMD / Summit Health go public before the end of 2027?
1712023461589
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712018220199
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712023461589
100
strutheo
1712023461589
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa8a-874f55f21b3d
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1700846926650
True
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’ผ Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1712018220346}, {"name": "IPO", "slug": "ipo", "groupId": "9b418ed4-cd02-4638-a661-019178ce0bfe", "createdTime": 1712018220358}, {"name": "Companies", "slug": "companies", "groupId": "GHdHJ6FMRw0TnBSvH0cP", "createdTime": 17...
["business", "ipo", "companies", "medicine", "walgreens", "health"]
0.25
0.5
1712018239369
0.5
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
0.5
oAjGiVmjNLHa2JVPMai4
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
did-pdiddy-sean-puffy-combs-fire-a
0
Did P. Diddy (Sean โ€œPuffyโ€ Combs) fire a gun after Christmas of 1999 but before 2000?
1712458305791
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
2.726376370574009
True
play
CANCEL
public
1712018310635
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE75M5V6/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE75M5V6/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712458305791
100
KeenenW
1712458305791
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa82-90bc3d0d0fbb
0
0
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "Sean \"Puffy\" Combs", "slug": "sean-puffy-combs", "groupId": "f494de3c-8131-4577-a0ea-c7eb7afe45d5", "createdTime": 1712018310822}, {"name": "๐Ÿง‘โ€๐ŸŽค Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1712018310820}, {"name": "๐Ÿฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "ent...
["sean-puffy-combs", "celebrities", "entertainment", "hiphoprap", "music-artists", "public-figures", "p-diddy"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
ikkzPlZnGB6Cczldp8Ld
how-many-videos-will-destiny-publis-e56c58966b68
121.92930189266448
How many videos will Destiny publish in April 2024?
1714625940000
K0KCr92BGefCWfQQMfGNnzlekqj2
cpmm-multi-1
0
1
True
play
6f64d9b11884
public
1712018528712
Bryce Bowe (md39)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Previous months:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "January - 25 videos (0.80 videos/day)", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "lis...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0.05280254928916449, "platformFee": 0.05280254928916449, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714664380233
200
BryceBowemd39
1714625940000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJhbEJumjVRrU0h7b1J0GkylMGdjhSJJ97AgaoNKUho47w=s96-c
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "5c8a63bafa24", "prob": 0.04934563639781658, "text": "13.2-16.8", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.053724991368467, "userId": "K0KCr92BGefCWfQQMfGNnzlekqj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 155.15675478521467, "textFts": "'-16.8':2 '13.2':1", "contractId": "ikkzPlZnGB6Cczldp8Ld", "resolverId": "K0KCr92BGefCWfQQMfGNnzlekqj2...
1
0.3333333333333333
1700283330093
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1712018528985}]
["destinygg"]
0.25
1714490192799
1712019900124
{"6f64d9b11884": 100}
K0KCr92BGefCWfQQMfGNnzlekqj2
True
0.8057088741618316
f7bOO5nEJxGrbfKBwV4K
{"NO": 11288.402689440834, "YES": 515.4574043878347}
1
will-rfk-jr-be-on-the-ballot-for-pr
11506.23543568531
Will RFK Jr. be on the ballot for president in the state of New York?
1717068311478
wTpiBh1A7OYTQVFhZNFfZ9DwHI03
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
YES
public
1712018815856
Stefan XJ7
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is running as an independent candidate for president of the United States. He is currently collecting signatures in order to be on the ballot in all 50 states. He has already qualified to be on the ballot in some states, suc...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 24.36781961134428, "platformFee": 4.152951768410053, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717068311478
1000
StefanXJ7
1717068311478
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆd50-04f706f5d0ae
21
0
0.3333333333333333
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ0c2-afac24d78cb5
1697084511068
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712018816020}, {"name": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.", "slug": "robert-f-kennedy-jr", "groupId": "lzuhs9uc93209ES3QX5S", "createdTime": 1712018816029}, {"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "...
["2024-us-presidential-election", "robert-f-kennedy-jr", "politics-default", "us-politics", "news", "the-life-of-biden", "donald-trump", "new-york"]
0.25
0.5
1717068025484
1717027237445
0.99
wTpiBh1A7OYTQVFhZNFfZ9DwHI03
0.6176001162718386
xSs7OZKLoI25R0SAvlrH
{"NO": 282.7131416786314, "YES": 153.22394955999695}
1
will-i-remain-in-diamond-league-in
129.66949174209674
Will I remain in Diamond league in April?
1712026740000
TcNrPJjTvcRk9C8z5PyTJ7q9B4M2
cpmm-1
0
1.7549870903485152
True
play
YES
public
1712019107869
Myron Hedderson
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It's going to be a nailbiter, the 50 mana bonus for this very question might push it over the edge... I note that some recent mana gains haven't been reflected in my ranking, so anyone who knows how that works (must be some form of queuing or maybe...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712050335040
200
equinoxhq
1712026740000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK79CzUuubhMd8rE8r6FCbzpFMHg0BS0QQ0xw3lFSBV=s96-c
6
0
1
0.3333333333333333
1700492968736
0
[{"name": "Diamond League", "slug": "diamond-league", "groupId": "a2deceab-60af-4f0d-9140-a29d0e6cdf33", "createdTime": 1712019108096}, {"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1712019108094}, {"name": "Platinum League", "slug": "platinum-league", "group...
["diamond-league", "manifold-leagues", "platinum-league"]
0.25
0.5
1712026019381
0.75
TcNrPJjTvcRk9C8z5PyTJ7q9B4M2
qiRLJj2S47SxCHtRjJqh
dwarkesh-patel-interview-with-mark
2002.405710074216
Dwarkesh Patel Interview with Mark Zuckerberg - What topics will be discussed?
1716217519788
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1712019200364
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If you have suggestions for more topics not covered in the list above, please add them to the list. I reserve the right to N/A any duplicates submitted later and any questions I deem to be trolly/spammy/not in good spirit.", "type": "text"}]}, {"ty...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 7.775016021138874, "platformFee": 7.775016021138874, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716217519788
1000
Bayesian
1716217519788
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa41-dbd2866cd47c
14
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "7a38fe2385b2", "prob": 0.98, "text": "Existential risk from AI", "index": 0, "poolNo": 364.34173656447405, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 8.266175748229188, "textFts": "'ai':4 'existenti':1 'risk':2", "contractId": "qiRLJj2S47SxCHtRjJqh", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId...
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "Meta (Facebook)", "slug": "meta-facebook", "groupId": "pOFiVhTtERxjJVbhKNiC", "createdTime": 1712019200590}, {"name": "Mark Zuckerberg", "slug": "mark-zuckerberg", "groupId": "TgiBcwgdBUStQtFlpg4w", "createdTime": 1712019200587}, {"name": "Podcasts", "slug": "podcasts", "groupId": "8cvSruaMBLaZqnfLaLA0", "cr...
["meta-facebook", "mark-zuckerberg", "podcasts", "dwarkesh-patel"]
0.25
1716216711816
1714524485499
0.04
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
False
7N1l4pzxeb57SVaieHGa
what-is-the-best-p-diddy-sean-puffy
12.696855891565752
What is the best P. Diddy (Sean โ€œPuffyโ€ Combs) song?
1735711140000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712019203834
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to poll after market closes", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
145
KeenenW
1712708541820
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa82-90bc3d0d0fbb
2
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "c070f76c6d6c", "prob": 0.18804324444049844, "text": "Bad Boy for Life", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15.038774239390337, "userId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 64.93630959909864, "textFts": "'bad':1 'boy':2 'life':4", "contractId": "7N1l4pzxeb57SVaieHGa", "createdTime": 1712019203834, ...
0.3333333333333333
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "Sean \"Puffy\" Combs", "slug": "sean-puffy-combs", "groupId": "f494de3c-8131-4577-a0ea-c7eb7afe45d5", "createdTime": 1712019204074}, {"name": "๐Ÿฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712019204071}, {"name": "P. Diddy", "slug": "p-diddy", ...
["sean-puffy-combs", "entertainment", "p-diddy", "celebrities", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "albums", "public-figures", "music-artists", "hiphoprap"]
0.25
1712708538508
True
TX4luVAmcdUviGQP9DV6
how-much-will-berkshire-hathaway-st
265.20692091382347
How much will Berkshire Hathaway stock change from the day before Warren Buffett dies to the day after he dies?
2209096740000
wn3guzrcbYdRDr8lRFlobBEnRq52
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712019282196
Robin
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the percentage difference between the close price of BRK.A the trading day before Warren Buffett dies to the close price of BRK.A the trading day after he dies. For example, if he dies on April 17th, the difference from the close price ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
435
pie
1712164804420
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKldPg3IsxzoAs_UY7bxXVh-JuBTwHgAfA3H1o9BgWK=s96-c
7
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "6438dfbdcd57", "prob": 0.042219380089415996, "text": "+10% or more", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.965583948662728, "userId": "wn3guzrcbYdRDr8lRFlobBEnRq52", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 339.50631774594456, "textFts": "'+10':1", "contractId": "TX4luVAmcdUviGQP9DV6", "createdTime": 1712019282196, "probChanges": {"da...
0.3333333333333333
1711856381867
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ“ˆ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712019282411}, {"name": "๐Ÿง‘โ€๐ŸŽค Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1712019282653}]
["stocks", "celebrities"]
0.25
1712164801120
True
IIL56h6Upryzlg63488K
who-will-be-guests-on-the-dwarkesh
2674.9595465043067
Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2024?
1735756140000
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712019595431
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES to every guest who appears on the podcast. The episode must not merely be recorded but also be released to the public, officially, not via a leak, for it to count.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "cont...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 18.4424269314272, "platformFee": 8.29998015621874, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1600
Bayesian
1720025170916
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆa41-dbd2866cd47c
28
1
ANYONE
[{"id": "1c657d75164a", "prob": 0.9884369363553298, "text": "Mark Zuckerberg", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1159.494626641614, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 13.564153331771424, "textFts": "'mark':1 'zuckerberg':2", "contractId": "IIL56h6Upryzlg63488K", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId"...
0.3333333333333333
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "Dwarkesh Patel", "slug": "dwarkesh-patel", "groupId": "4a6Br04jJJobAsd1LzYQ", "createdTime": 1712019596021}, {"name": "๐Ÿฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712019596029}, {"name": "Podcasts", "slug": "podcasts", "groupId": "8cvSruaMBLa...
["dwarkesh-patel", "entertainment", "podcasts"]
0.25
1720025167681
1716781678701
False
0.3087698580537991
J42KxJ6cmQqQgJTBLNkZ
{"NO": 888.2808716789585, "YES": 1208.1988353013587}
0.24722368427817676
in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener-51fa7b7ba2bc
637.8494092944219
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate equivalent to ~=200 man years of effort towards a software 1.0 given a prompt?
1830430740000
YDBf91CxCwcFYGR05xghoKCwjg03
cpmm-1
0
9.62452323914942
False
basic
public
1712019962671
RichardK
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will an AI/LLM/Set of ML Agents/Other Machine Learning amalgamation be able to generate the output of the ~200 man years of work a software company puts into a stable 1.0 piece of software including manual or technical documentation and a passing t...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.03848589415778243, "platformFee": 0.03848589415778243, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
RichardK
1714489927448
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆd7d-559df8e05caf
20
0
0.3333333333333333
1658538462961
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿค– AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1712019962811}, {"name": "๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712019962822}, {"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9l...
["ai", "technology-default", "technical-ai-timelines"]
0.25
0.5
1714489924074
1712039046463
8Kan01LlhGtD4Okz6YqX
when-will-20021-come-out
23.99914170688561
When will 20021 come out?
1798761540000
K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712020089399
Tetra
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves in the year in which 20021, the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "sequel to 17776 and 20020", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/17776#Sequel_series", "class": "break-anywhere hover:unde...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
Tetraspace
1712048975282
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆ4a7-b7343519b16f
4
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "dab0af07e263", "prob": 0.2208787735654801, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 15.37035328675071, "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 54.21692773006518, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "8Kan01LlhGtD4Okz6YqX", "createdTime": 1712020089399, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee...
0.3333333333333333
1642130392212
0
0.25
1712048972031
True
0BwLCrDTLJJw319cPA5A
what-percent-of-voters-will-vote-in
975.6722231117722
What percent of voters will vote in favor of Floridaโ€™s abortion amendment in November?
1733105460000
65WdDpEDvcfjqnej5rIGT1QIv4s2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1712020397462
Greg Jesionek
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.454927748057998, "platformFee": 1.454927748057998, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
GregJesionek
1714601017305
0
https://storage.googleapโ€ฆ5rIGT1QIv4s2.png
18
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "9a3c8ef99f5d", "prob": 0.05872957859604336, "text": "<40%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.665923439646887, "userId": "65WdDpEDvcfjqnej5rIGT1QIv4s2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 235.05361806298765, "textFts": "'40':1", "contractId": "0BwLCrDTLJJw319cPA5A", "createdTime": 1712020397462, "probChanges": {"day": 6.9388...
0.3333333333333333
1709695039343
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712020397816}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712020397815}, {"name": "๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-polit...
["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "donald-trump"]
0.25
1714601013913
1712840908159
False
A0ughOotxKM9wizCT5CM
what-was-the-most-dramatic-event-on-0d2c4b927963
0
What was the most dramatic event on Manifold of March 2024?
1712296740000
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
none
0
1
True
public
1712020565996
Gabrielle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "March 2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What was the most dramatic event on Manifold of the March 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1712296741167
Gabrielle
1712020566197
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
15
0
0.3333333333333333
1641356493109
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712020566194}, {"name": "Manifold Drama", "slug": "manifold-drama", "groupId": "srdbxZea0H4L09GcXRMF", "createdTime": 1712020566197}]
["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-drama"]
0.25
["6c21650fbffe"]
0.47724108201879717
I42SAjK4gUKnORfftEsY
{"NO": 850.9165238162947, "YES": 646.7036535293241}
0
will-farha-be-seen-or-heard-in-dest
5076.5926167638045
Will Farha be seen or heard in Destiny's apartment in April 2024?
1714588643767
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
cpmm-1
0
10.459143328781392
True
play
NO
public
1712020649812
Punished Furry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Doesn't have to be a Farha Friday or any segment. Just her being seen or heard in person on Destiny's stream will be enough to resolve this market as a YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Rel...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 58.071460433909714, "platformFee": 58.071460433909714, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714588643767
840
PunishedFurry
1714588643767
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c
43
0
0.3333333333333333
1666746014983
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712020650053}, {"name": "๐Ÿง‘โ€๐ŸŽค Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1712020650072}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj",...
["politics-default", "celebrities", "destinygg", "dalibanhq"]
0.25
0.5
1714572025789
1714588633636
0.55
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
fKKhkiUcXCsZAJmRr3KN
what-will-be-the-most-dramatic-even-562633672200
6894.481850101955
What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of April 2024?
1714543140000
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
7133dc13cf8d
public
1712020718544
Gabrielle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "April 2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What will be the most dramatic event on Manifold of April 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "pa...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 9.136009316287481, "platformFee": 9.136009316287481, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714913923576
1325
Gabrielle
1714543140000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJwDJ6ZAXuT68UTfLZc5MRPR4vCxG04pHEyT4wDr=s96-c
25
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "f3869bb9fcb9", "prob": 0.002004489807956035, "text": "Nothing particularly dramatic", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.269538482347912, "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2623.5981471664136, "textFts": "'dramat':3 'noth':1 'particular':2", "contractId": "fKKhkiUcXCsZAJmRr3KN", "resol...
1
0.3333333333333333
1641356493109
0
[{"name": "Manifold Drama", "slug": "manifold-drama", "groupId": "srdbxZea0H4L09GcXRMF", "createdTime": 1712020719116}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’™ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712020719130}]
["manifold-drama", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
1714511792785
1714689742554
{"7133dc13cf8d": 100}
2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2
True
0.2732365296495034
8okcnAk6SQTIdN3NM5UP
{"NO": 225.31439607636224, "YES": 2208.512743244254}
0
will-there-be-a-farha-collab-on-des-54129f8b4d79
2656.050503529347
Will there be a Farha collab on Destiny's stream in April 2024?
1714546740000
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712020727025
Punished Furry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Does NOT have to be on a Friday.", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The collab has to be at least 30 minutes long o...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.739358498158188, "platformFee": 4.739358498158188, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714546825183
460
PunishedFurry
1714546740000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c
21
0
0.3333333333333333
1666746014983
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712020727227}, {"name": "๐Ÿง‘โ€๐ŸŽค Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1712020727225}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj",...
["politics-default", "celebrities", "destinygg", "dalibanhq"]
0.25
0.5
1714428936693
0.04
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
0.6589295685002587
9kT2a8Fx3dTQiRsrpMhu
{"NO": 2348.2955339673726, "YES": 50.23540023484489}
1
will-trump-violate-the-new-gag-orde
2443.053052571927
Will Trump violate the new gag order in his NY hush money trial?
1714485248978
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1712020776009
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The judge expanded the scope of the gag order to include comments about members of his family after days of Trump harassing his daughter.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.148990205984776, "platformFee": 3.148990205984776, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714485248978
220
BTE
1714485248978
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆae9-3fcd8f17498c
8
0
0.3333333333333333
1645484592545
0
[{"name": "Trial of the Century", "slug": "trial-of-the-century", "groupId": "usp0cQDi8y1YG1CCmpfn", "createdTime": 1712020776157}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId": "l8rzwticUu7jFUpOZnY2", "createdTime": 1712020776170}]
["trial-of-the-century", "trump-indictments"]
0.25
0.5
1714484784848
1714485243053
0.99
EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1
0.4926453599037352
7JVgCArCGiQnWxaQnK1w
{"NO": 19.82090818461785, "YES": 1047.1309643233974}
0.018048264608987525
will-dohyungdo-kwon-be-extradited-t
935
Will Do-Hyung/Do Kwon be extradited to the U.S. before July 1st?
1719892740000
flqc12EKgGaf2f9l40XY5epeTOc2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712020790830
Manifold Investments
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Closes when either Do Kwon steps foot on American soil or on the 1st of July. What ever is first. An extradition to South Korea would not count. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.47815802532528934, "month": -0.47815802532528895}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.785029053206094, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
140
ManifoldInvestments
1719855540254
0
https://firebasestorage.โ€ฆf8d-d39877566809
5
2
0.3333333333333333
1711857428488
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿช™ Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1712020790966}, {"name": "US Trials", "slug": "us-trials", "groupId": "xqzEQcJJARBPWzJgBSEI", "createdTime": 1712020790974}]
["crypto-speculation", "us-trials"]
0.25
0.5
1719855536706
0.5000000000000003
cT6zffDVEah2NJgV4Cfn
{"NO": 20.50197129706072, "YES": 702.371483763832}
0
will-ryanair-ceo-michael-oleary-rec
766.8427739964251
Will RyanAir CEO Michael Oโ€™Leary receive his 100M Euro bonus before the end of June 2024?
1719763140000
yJ6T8tKbutgPZgJ4SFgxAbP1tTb2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712021526717
Jonah Kim
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Under his bonus agreement, RyanAir CEO Michael Oโ€™Leary can earn share options worth around 100M Euros if RyanAirโ€™s share price hits 21 Euro for 28 consecutive days or reports 2.2B Euros in annual profits after tax.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.49999999999999994, "month": -0.5000000000000004}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.924406265816628, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719825862378
120
JonahKim
1719763140000
0
https://storage.googleapโ€ฆSFgxAbP1tTb2.png
4
3
0.3333333333333333
1707895247949
0
[{"name": "Investing", "slug": "investing", "groupId": "uVOFCm1wHEnCBkk8fwY2", "createdTime": 1712021526882}, {"name": "๐Ÿ’ผ Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1712021526886}]
["investing", "business"]
0.25
0.5
1719704719729
0.03
yJ6T8tKbutgPZgJ4SFgxAbP1tTb2
LMYYVqmIlkMZFoRyXs1S
how-many-total-riders-will-register
10
How many total riders will register for RAGBRAI LI by the end of the Registration Period?
1721624340000
krkfPzxD6RdYGDmmtcFqj1eh6wh2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712021528476
Antilegomena
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "RAGBRAI is an annual event where thousands of riders bike across the state of Iowa. RAGBRAI LI will be held July 20-27, 2024. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I am asking how many total rider...
NUMBER
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Antilegomena
1712022580410
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiqYqKpMovqXNHRPSqqh1iMaE9b45mie30Fubmm=s96-c
1
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "f5d2e885eede", "prob": 0.020028349406649246, "text": "10000-11000", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.3273542017427893, "userId": "krkfPzxD6RdYGDmmtcFqj1eh6wh2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 64.94641478403886, "textFts": "'-11000':2 '10000':1", "contractId": "LMYYVqmIlkMZFoRyXs1S", "createdTime": 1712021528477, "probCha...
0.3333333333333333
1655181168670
0
[{"name": "Biking", "slug": "biking", "groupId": "L3H6huj8SxxZWsy3dSV0", "createdTime": 1712021528715}, {"name": "๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712021528725}, {"name": "RAGBRAI", "slug": "ragbrai", "groupId": "207d4716-54c1-42cf-82b8-977fe64e17f5", "createdTim...
["biking", "sports-default", "ragbrai", "iowa"]
0.25
1712022576719
True
0.24304404510929672
92suNN3Yl0LzDs5f2R3q
{"NO": 116.1216159452922, "YES": 3708.374208278597}
0
will-vaushs-main-youtube-channel-fa-fa3ddd7edf82
6240.774339100335
Will Vaush's main youtube channel fall below 449k subs in April 2024?
1714546740000
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712021583131
Punished Furry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the bleeding continue?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently at 449k, last 1k sub loss was on 3/27/24", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": nu...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 9.99938368402983, "platformFee": 9.99938368402983, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714546857291
420
PunishedFurry
1714546740000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c
18
0
0.3333333333333333
1666746014983
0
[{"name": "Vaush", "slug": "vaush", "groupId": "cwTgBqyCE2jc7IFwpV73", "createdTime": 1712021583280}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1712021583292}, {"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 17...
["vaush", "destinygg", "politics-default", "youtube"]
0.25
0.5
1714374239426
1713593770627
0.01
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
0.6427689646027286
wwkcz8xVuFHz9s4PMeUd
{"NO": 2878.041274882341, "YES": 180.30406457457266}
1
will-vaushs-main-youtube-channel-re
4922.129682673112
Will Vaush's main youtube channel reach 450k subs in April 2024?
1713546461977
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
cpmm-1
0
1.2256884032200808
True
play
YES
public
1712021661692
Punished Furry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the bleeding continue or will it stop?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently at 449k, last 1k sub loss was on 3/27/24", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "image", "at...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.035543117458747386}
0
{"creatorFee": 13.91196261493665, "platformFee": 13.91196261493665, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1713546461977
540
PunishedFurry
1713583114551
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c
26
0
0.3333333333333333
1666746014983
0
[{"name": "๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712021661966}, {"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1712021661968}, {"name": "Vaush", "slug": "vaush", "groupId": "cwTgBqyCE2jc7IFwpV73", "createdTime": 17...
["politics-default", "destinygg", "vaush", "youtube"]
0.25
0.5
1713544117084
1713583113894
0.97
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
0.3571606035517667
UNLbcYfSuu5E86MRMZ5P
{"NO": 66.1283456988067, "YES": 3637.3401493808233}
0
will-vaushs-main-youtube-channel-re-35585bdb9254
3453.0153116859115
Will Vaush's main youtube channel reach 451k subs in April 2024?
1714546740000
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712021726548
Punished Furry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the bleeding continue or will it stop?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently at 449k, last 1k sub loss was on 3/27/24", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "at...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.001699921133852, "platformFee": 8.001699921133852, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714546894767
300
PunishedFurry
1714546903346
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c
10
0
0.3333333333333333
1666746014983
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1712021726697}, {"name": "Vaush", "slug": "vaush", "groupId": "cwTgBqyCE2jc7IFwpV73", "createdTime": 1712021726703}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1712021726701}, ...
["destinygg", "vaush", "youtube", "politics-default"]
0.25
0.5
1714544848809
1714546901211
0.01
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
0.25622305567958376
2FQ3R5ijCuDnmMxvSZDw
{"NO": 127.3812253649586, "YES": 1887.832143618074}
0
will-vaushs-main-youtube-channel-fa-2699bf229451
1871
Will Vaush's main youtube channel fall below 448k subs in April 2024?
1714546740000
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1712021779691
Punished Furry
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will the bleeding continue?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently at 449k, last 1k sub loss was on 3/27/24", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": nu...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.368638235798112, "platformFee": 2.368638235798112, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1714546850892
320
PunishedFurry
1714546740000
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3go4lmW16N7oUihjjm8IiRRoMb5Dw2cMM1P1-g=s96-c
12
0
0.3333333333333333
1666746014983
0
[{"name": "๐ŸŽฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1712021779845}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1712021779843}, {"name": "Vaush", "slug": "vaush", "groupId": "cwTgBqyCE2jc7IFwpV73", "createdTime": 1712021779834}, ...
["destinygg", "youtube", "vaush", "politics-default"]
0.25
0.5
1713869027541
0.02
foOeshHZOET3yMvRTMPINpnb8Bj2