p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.167824648023807 | 3Y2N8MTQl03MnLtpjOzO | {"NO": 909.1338504818893, "YES": 1296.2924058168999} | 0.1239120283296138 | will-elon-musk-be-buried-in-a-tesla | 809.7772175301192 | Will Elon Musk be buried in a Tesla vehicle? | 2871781140000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.848453368113162 | False | basic | public | 1712021787589 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any Tesla model, Cybertruck, or another vehicle they produce will count", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "2v8oxTVm1aYUbLW8d... | BINARY | {"day": 1.942890293094024e-16, "week": 1.942890293094024e-16, "month": 1.942890293094024e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1712537787851 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1712021787780}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1712021787784}, {"name": "Cars", "slug": "cars", "groupId": "cfaa7108-ad3b-444c-bf5e-c5da03db1eae", "createdT... | ["tesla", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "cars", "tesla-model-3", "technology-default", "companies", "brands", "electric-vehicles", "selfdriving-vehicles"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712537784543 | 1712349473291 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Qin5dSsxBPcIuhEjMQ20 | when-will-an-update-be-released-tha | 96.50366142245802 | When will an update be released that introduces a new dimension to Minecraft: Java Edition? | 2556140340000 | lCq4BTG0BZYYz9SL5tGVOOz3Bx52 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712022225268 | Peter 1169 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution Criteria:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the year interval during which an officia... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | Peter1169 | 1712348401980 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL6Qvm2Aa9pfA8_rzlDW13AQD1I4falviuj6hu28IrUbLU=s96-c | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "d963b3d3c503", "prob": 0.11603971614457631, "text": "2024-2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.918554131963412, "userId": "lCq4BTG0BZYYz9SL5tGVOOz3Bx52", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 37.46826217009719, "textFts": "'-2025':2 '2024':1", "contractId": "Qin5dSsxBPcIuhEjMQ20", "createdTime": 1712022225269, "probChanges":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1707660435691 | 0 | [{"name": "Minecraft", "slug": "minecraft", "groupId": "9IAVIiHYWuwH9S47UErq", "createdTime": 1712022225587}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712022225596}, {"name": "Video Games", "slug": "video-games", "groupId": "9FaZmHrfS8IcDJy... | ["minecraft", "entertainment", "video-games"] | 0.25 | 1712348398388 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bXCjt2sqFjsVp4oPWdk8 | which-ai-for-legal-startups-will-wi | 3 | Which AI for legal startups will win contract(s) over a legit competitor in a parallel pilot by a legit law firm | 1735718340000 | wELxtNSGbYZUdkFVAeTOXdfskiX2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712022341352 | Anton Osika | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Legit startup is all on this list and others with > 10 employees ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Legit law firm has > 10 employees ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | AntonOsika | 1712045438477 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJb9TopCUyc_Ah3TVNXk18iw5H-Zu6mIcKUojDqVcyxd4lV=s96-c | 1 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "8697820e656a", "prob": 0.4852249017419575, "text": "Harvey", "index": 0, "poolNo": 51.21437772960068, "userId": "wELxtNSGbYZUdkFVAeTOXdfskiX2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 54.33333333333334, "textFts": "'harvey':1", "contractId": "bXCjt2sqFjsVp4oPWdk8", "createdTime": 1712022341353, "probChanges": {"day": -5.... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700261550279 | 0 | 0.25 | 1712045434572 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ZZca7v11O8IMg0JHEMMj | what-will-pdiddy-sean-puffy-combs-b | 82.02863565001493 | What will P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) be convicted of? | 1735711140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712022432663 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2222461232046566, "platformFee": 0.2222461232046566, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 205 | KeenenW | 1716134138065 | 0 | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b78269f3031a", "prob": 0.6621621621621623, "text": "Illegal possession of a firearm", "index": 0, "poolNo": 55, "userId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 28.061224489795908, "textFts": "'firearm':5 'illeg':1 'possess':2", "contractId": "ZZca7v11O8IMg0JHEMMj", "createdTime": 1712022... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Legal Decisions", "slug": "legal-decisions", "groupId": "MVGuxhG3QNzA1rWgRODg", "createdTime": 1712022432902}, {"name": "🧑🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "createdTime": 1712022432905}, {"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXw... | ["legal-decisions", "celebrities", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "sean-puffy-combs", "music-artists", "hiphoprap", "law-order", "public-figures", "p-diddy"] | 0.25 | 1716134134824 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5032692377844082 | SXtfGUWAmtps6HQsMftk | {"NO": 121.9061473407161, "YES": 158.5728140073827} | 0.4378517357904122 | will-anyone-undergo-any-procedures | 121.42718599261727 | Will anyone undergo any procedures in an "attempt" to prove P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) shot them in the face? | 1735711140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712022604370 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | KeenenW | 1712555769831 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "P. Diddy", "slug": "p-diddy", "groupId": "ac99f4e4-db1d-4b7e-b888-07999751ab6a", "createdTime": 1712022604521}, {"name": "Sean \"Puffy\" Combs", "slug": "sean-puffy-combs", "groupId": "f494de3c-8131-4577-a0ea-c7eb7afe45d5", "createdTime": 1712022604520}, {"name": "Public Figures", "slug": "public-figures", "... | ["p-diddy", "sean-puffy-combs", "public-figures", "hiphoprap", "guns", "celebrities", "gun-violence", "music-artists", "violence"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712555766348 | 1712475541123 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5955231534156242 | RYR7dIZF9Qe0lFKng0qW | {"NO": 274.99999999999994, "YES": 104.41742258003153} | 0.7949817773400131 | is-p-diddy-sean-puffy-combs-on-the | 115 | Is P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) on the down low? | 1735711140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712023199872 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "P. Diddy has been accused of trying to seduce fellow rappers and musicians that are men, but portrays himself as a ladies man. Is Puff Daddy keeping this on the down low?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | KeenenW | 1712333695771 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Hip-Hop/Rap", "slug": "hiphoprap", "groupId": "qojZj1hvMmMET5Eo3QgW", "createdTime": 1712023200039}, {"name": "Public Figures", "slug": "public-figures", "groupId": "sIbESq9CYGTy9yeah6Tg", "createdTime": 1712023200042}, {"name": "🧑🎤 Celebrities", "slug": "celebrities", "groupId": "4QIcUOfCSSha0JZHAg9X", "... | ["hiphoprap", "public-figures", "celebrities", "sean-puffy-combs", "p-diddy", "music-artists", "entertainment", "music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712333692509 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YsexG48dQ3kAVLOrrWQg | which-controversial-actor-will-retu | 100 | Which controversial actor will return to films first? | 1767243540000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712023600076 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each of the listed actors has been accused of doing some pretty bad stuff, which has resulted in their departure from making movies. Accordingly, none have any upcoming acting gigs listed on their IMDb (Ezra and Charlie each list projects which I s... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 260 | mattyb | 1712543440826 | 0 | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "75b2c105bd75", "prob": 0.4105972779819136, "text": "Ezra Miller", "index": 0, "poolNo": 86.03250161962218, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 123.49762980860378, "textFts": "'ezra':1 'miller':2", "contractId": "YsexG48dQ3kAVLOrrWQg", "createdTime": 1712023600076, "probChange... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Controversial markets", "slug": "controversial-markets", "groupId": "545bcc4e-5891-46c0-9c1f-c802bab63d8e", "createdTime": 1712023600281}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1712023600285}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "gro... | ["controversial-markets", "television-film", "movies", "controversies", "cinema", "entertainment", "hollywood"] | 0.25 | 1712543437502 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
uIwP3AQKv0jPMxw0TUqX | what-causes-manifold-love-to-fail-r | 2556.3975692613867 | What causes Manifold Love to fail? (Resolves to multiple answers) | 1735651740000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712024254750 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Manifold.Love", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://Manifold.Love", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:d... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1355 | AmmonLam | 1712766563168 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 10 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "3c3fa309b7c3", "prob": 0.0033178212946142647, "text": "James pivots to something else", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.010462848192695, "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1505.15612036292, "textFts": "'els':5 'jame':1 'pivot':2 'someth':4", "contractId": "uIwP3AQKv0jPMxw0TUqX", "cr... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "manifold.love", "slug": "manifoldlove", "groupId": "b562b04e-9219-4867-93fd-e757254e291f", "createdTime": 1712024255253}] | ["manifoldlove"] | 0.25 | 1712755378083 | 1712766562544 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
eKcY9XwchMonS03KjkEW | -crypto-how-will-ethereum-close-on-2c346ad0eb2c | 1988 | 🪙 Crypto: How Will Ethereum Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Day? | 1712100600000 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 48420d392784 | public | 1712024942759 | SirCryptomind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🪙 Crypto: How Will Ethereum Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Day?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"t... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712179179312 | 200 | SirCryptomind | 1720053161621 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "f8e5cfdeccf7", "prob": 0.0034972829404917504, "text": "Higher", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.5492883273057645, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1296.2571962249829, "textFts": "'higher':1", "contractId": "eKcY9XwchMonS03KjkEW", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1b... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673375788573 | 0 | [{"name": "🪙 Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1712024942970}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1712024942965}, {"name": "Ethereum", "slug": "ethereum", "groupId": "IYG60kkC6dQPZ9078ePu", "crea... | ["crypto-prices", "crypto-speculation", "ethereum", "crypto-marketdaily"] | 0.25 | 1712099454183 | {"48420d392784": 100} | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
YUfBPKVrUcVdHl2iFEuM | -crypto-how-will-bitcoin-close-on-t-084019039bf1 | 2972 | 🪙 Crypto: How Will Bitcoin Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Day? | 1712100600000 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 2bcb71666cb2 | public | 1712025014874 | SirCryptomind | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🪙 Crypto: How Will Bitcoin Close On Tue. April 2nd Compared To The Prior Day?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"ty... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712179190477 | 280 | SirCryptomind | 1720053161621 | 0 | 9 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "90bd7d315f28", "prob": 0.003498914600340387, "text": "Higher", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.948225389643391, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2263.6777779629847, "textFts": "'higher':1", "contractId": "YUfBPKVrUcVdHl2iFEuM", "resolverId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bac... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673375788573 | 0 | [{"name": "Crypto Market-Daily", "slug": "crypto-marketdaily", "groupId": "7a61c99b-2dfd-4502-a10b-f1cebe57810a", "createdTime": 1712025015085}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1712025015086}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "gr... | ["crypto-marketdaily", "crypto-speculation", "crypto-prices", "bitcoin"] | 0.25 | 1712099665171 | {"2bcb71666cb2": 100} | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GdSBcCaByfS9kt3bQhJV | when-will-palestine-become-a-full-m | 1789.1913596470088 | When will Palestine become a full member of the United Nations? | 1925009940000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712025112498 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.36628699012824434, "platformFee": 0.36628699012824434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 370 | BTE | 1713914308015 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "0014bc3d09a4", "prob": 0.019141693232633487, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.754322137044257, "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 294.86287338012505, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "GdSBcCaByfS9kt3bQhJV", "createdTime": 1712025112498, "probChanges": {"day": -3.4... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645484592545 | 0 | [{"name": "United Nations", "slug": "united-nations", "groupId": "41b22946-b798-4d04-b362-ff8d88e3b03f", "createdTime": 1712025112698}, {"name": "📈 Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1712025112703}, {"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", ... | ["united-nations", "global-macro", "arabisraeli-conflict", "palestine"] | 0.25 | 1713914304710 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.777506844000856 | bRYIawQqkl5jDnbnXto9 | {"NO": 1881.9742759641244, "YES": 788.3171569349913} | 0.8929631612181597 | will-we-find-conclusive-evidence-of | 2417.419016234006 | Will we find conclusive evidence of ongoing cow-to-cow H5N1 transmission this year? | 1735707540000 | Kr23YYpkdnU4JFFqHr2NxEV6PvN2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.782318266485182 | False | basic | public | 1712025547361 | JGY | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.01865059006395564} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.486160161155677, "platformFee": 11.029626885401667, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jgyou | 1718646009170 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1675703905738 | 0 | [{"name": "Public Health", "slug": "public-health", "groupId": "ybln6XDvz5ik7zO0aYe1", "createdTime": 1712025547506}, {"name": "Epidemiology", "slug": "epidemiology", "groupId": "1d5f0c90-a776-4a00-9146-e45643c298cf", "createdTime": 1712025547510}] | ["public-health", "epidemiology"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718646006015 | 1715102194797 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6033590481171678 | kJFTpymIp9AAzRRZXFBv | {"NO": 274.5401599202607, "YES": 213.9139897220701} | 0.6612802194252668 | if-biden-becomes-president-will-flo | 110 | If Biden becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion? | 1793692740000 | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712025778201 | Archibald Crone | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "the Florida Supreme Court voted to ban abortion, but also cleared a path for a ballot proposition that would guarantee abortion rights in the state constitution. According to a recent poll, the ballot proposition has 62% support (it needs 60% to pa... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | BlueDragon | 1712355665952 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697749128213 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712025778356}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1712025778360}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-polit... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "abortion"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712355662512 | 1712027248819 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5169123527067574 | x7vhC7zdwTjmEhOAAFW0 | {"NO": 324.6240244662427, "YES": 354.30310225846944} | 0.49504769321157366 | if-trump-becomes-president-will-flo | 71 | If Trump becomes president, will Florida constitutionalize abortion? | 1793692740000 | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712025817035 | Archibald Crone | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "the Florida Supreme Court voted to ban abortion, but also cleared a path for a ballot proposition that would guarantee abortion rights in the state constitution. According to a recent poll, the ballot proposition has 62% support (it needs 60% to pa... | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3643811826665338, "platformFee": 0.3643811826665338, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 340 | BlueDragon | 1714012836476 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697749128213 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712025817338}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712025817341}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-elect... | ["politics-default", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "abortion"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714012833177 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14294548654279662 | cZYXNXanaSIg9xE7AIGx | {"NO": 154.0884591306518, "YES": 199.92791058000185} | 0.11390411302861617 | will-dan-luu-on-you-can-only-commun | 75 | Will "Dan Luu on "You can only communicate one top ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | 1738368000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712025935602 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.22785757773320367, "platformFee": 0.22785757773320367, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | LessWrong | 1716291172023 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1712025935773}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1716291168674 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10210558490936224 | DbPaoaLMhsHLFJMneLEc | {"NO": 154.28302330757484, "YES": 604.8968887130776} | 0.028186676185676284 | will-ommc-announces-rip-make-the-to | 425 | Will "OMMC Announces RIP" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | 1769904000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712026261383 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0027485898674101047} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.10311128692223615, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | LessWrong | 1718114333705 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1712026261523}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1718114330551 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5016856079444963 | Ang4XuC9spPIoN6mRPzF | {"NO": 150.24622666527353, "YES": 130.36505122231895} | 0 | will-charlie-get-to-bed-by-1240am-a-9288011e6253 | 190 | Will @Charlie get to bed by 12:40am at least 4 times this week? | 1712617500000 | 3qVyst7MBPNUbQsnEX7JbJhWLew1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712027139066 | emile.chat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a commitment market created via www.Emile.chat. Note: My comments on this market are in beta, so take them as signal but not gospel.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715614832569 | 140 | emile | 1712617500000 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1691876598453 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712617013000 | 1712637101354 | 0.54 | 3qVyst7MBPNUbQsnEX7JbJhWLew1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.22286615343973668 | WcCLtkyZCSfgEGIpP6wH | {"NO": 85.64777227394374, "YES": 2431.641569266949} | 0 | will-two-teams-trade-up-ininto-the | 2440.2384759896995 | Will two teams trade up in/into the Top Ten of the NFL Draft to take QBs? | 1714110677420 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.331474739708 | True | play | NO | public | 1712027241904 | Josh Wilkes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After the trade the team must be in possession of a top ten pick higher than any they previously had, and must take a quarterback with it", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Chicago's trade with ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.3199654385462127} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.832797043667313, "platformFee": 3.832797043667313, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714110677420 | 240 | JoshuaWilkes | 1714110677420 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1662006482315 | 0 | [{"name": "NFL Draft", "slug": "nfl-draft", "groupId": "6489a62f-1dcd-4e12-bb31-7f28c7c87983", "createdTime": 1712027242171}, {"name": "NFL Offseason", "slug": "nfl-offseason", "groupId": "329b71a8-5eed-49b4-ac84-e4cb0c504e24", "createdTime": 1712027242170}, {"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2... | ["nfl-draft", "nfl-offseason", "nfl", "overreaction-monday"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714097675769 | 0.01 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2EmzQWX5Pcw3ak0nyp5R | beginner-level-chess-opening-stonks | 32 | Beginner Level Chess Opening Stonks | 32503784340000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712027494196 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Never resolves", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "2EmzQWX5Pcw3ak0nyp5R", "label": "/Bayesian/beginner-level-chess-opening-stonks"}}, {"text": " (This one)", "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.05281610666688986, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 165 | Bayesian | 1719072273951 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "72e4d5b36e8a", "prob": 0.142384171441964, "text": "Italian Game", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.75581439050479, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 100.92450232457672, "textFts": "'game':2 'italian':1", "contractId": "2EmzQWX5Pcw3ak0nyp5R", "createdTime": 1712027494196, "probChang... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1712027494413}, {"name": "Openings", "slug": "openings", "groupId": "c15ce674-ae9b-421a-a3f5-d451db9e6ec6", "createdTime": 1712027494420}] | ["chess", "openings"] | 0.25 | 1719072270829 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
T4cYTjXfbq9STmygf3DE | intermediate-level-chess-opening-st | 58 | Intermediate Level Chess Opening Stonks | 32503784340000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712027594022 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Never resolves", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "2EmzQWX5Pcw3ak0nyp5R", "label": "/Bayesian/beginner-level-chess-opening-stonks"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "tex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.04454383208911918, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 255 | Bayesian | 1719072265587 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "601a9160f123", "prob": 0.21072018157741362, "text": "Sicilian Defense", "index": 0, "poolNo": 35.88217011221399, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 134.4013302322071, "textFts": "'defens':2 'sicilian':1", "contractId": "T4cYTjXfbq9STmygf3DE", "createdTime": 1712027594022, "p... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1712027594219}, {"name": "Openings", "slug": "openings", "groupId": "c15ce674-ae9b-421a-a3f5-d451db9e6ec6", "createdTime": 1712027594225}] | ["chess", "openings"] | 0.25 | 1719072262446 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Uy1CHaPaCKYpAI6InCbM | gm-chess-opening-stonks | 63.75924325236462 | GM Chess Opening Stonks | 32503784340000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712027636144 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Never resolves", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "2EmzQWX5Pcw3ak0nyp5R", "label": "/Bayesian/beginner-level-chess-opening-stonks"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "tex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.056011032017223274, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 290 | Bayesian | 1719072274521 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "db80461a5ebf", "prob": 0.15151174131563486, "text": "Nimzo-Indian Defense", "index": 0, "poolNo": 21.80381722338378, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 122.10461544363484, "textFts": "'defens':4 'indian':3 'nimzo':2 'nimzo-indian':1", "contractId": "Uy1CHaPaCKYpAI6InCbM", "c... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Openings", "slug": "openings", "groupId": "c15ce674-ae9b-421a-a3f5-d451db9e6ec6", "createdTime": 1712027636413}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1712027636416}] | ["openings", "chess"] | 0.25 | 1719072271372 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5327295949135386 | usyV6HqrLGdNXbAeU4kd | {"NO": 2357.111882241385, "YES": 27.144606542169186} | 1 | will-jake-bates-play-for-an-nfl-tea | 2432.25323590214 | Will Jake Bates play for an NFL team by the end of the 2024 season? | 1718720378118 | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1712027863562 | The Official | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "UFL kicker Jake Bates reportedly contacted by multiple NFL teams after smashing improbable 64-yard field goal", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.3874886154848083} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.89967319631106, "platformFee": 0.3397723935639097, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718720378118 | 220 | 10thOfficial | 1718720378118 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1682437068858 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1712027876853}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712027881339}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 17120278... | ["nfl", "sports-default", "football"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718422231069 | 1718720373482 | 0.99 | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5079485238455708 | wFtdfx66Emh1ZUfdIOXz | {"NO": 1123.8031538331086, "YES": 13.725785831361577} | 1 | will-meta-stock-close-higher-than-i | 1010 | Will Meta stock close higher than it opened, on the day the Dwarkesh Patel podcast with Mark Zuckerberg is released? | 1713499153140 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.354723852041852 | True | play | YES | public | 1712028093048 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If ambiguous, resolves to the judgement of someone who runs frequent stocks prediction markets", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.45248868778280527} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.098423083445712, "platformFee": 3.098423083445712, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713499153140 | 120 | Bayesian | 1713499163329 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Mark Zuckerberg", "slug": "mark-zuckerberg", "groupId": "TgiBcwgdBUStQtFlpg4w", "createdTime": 1712028093270}, {"name": "Dwarkesh Patel", "slug": "dwarkesh-patel", "groupId": "4a6Br04jJJobAsd1LzYQ", "createdTime": 1712028093366}, {"name": "Meta (Facebook)", "slug": "meta-facebook", "groupId": "pOFiVhTtERxjJV... | ["mark-zuckerberg", "dwarkesh-patel", "meta-facebook"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713499141612 | 1713499162380 | 0.99 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
W6ddafJs4IWbLc8EL9Xb | how-many-youtube-views-will-discord | 2243.321349082675 | How many YouTube views will "Discord Loot Boxes are here" get before April 15th? | 1712082194319 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | c23f22c2a60f | public | 1712028140242 | Semiotic Rivalry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "highest", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " amount it got, so if YouTube removes the views eventually that will not change the resolution.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragra... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712082194319 | 225 | SemioticRivalry | 1712082194319 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "9d3848b9b751", "prob": 0.002782280643812877, "text": "475million-500m", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.1887324446281724, "userId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 784.4797330444255, "textFts": "'475million':2 '475million-500m':1 '500m':3", "contractId": "W6ddafJs4IWbLc8EL9Xb", "resolverId... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669063432873 | 0 | 0.25 | 1712082147009 | {"c23f22c2a60f": 100} | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1VKfcJQLzsa9dmM57xcD | which-country-will-be-the-second-to | 673.1785087609101 | Which Country will be Second to Successfully land a human that walks on Mars? | 4133998740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712028593081 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "5jsBSF5JLkteHuMn1As9", "label": "/strutheo/which-country-will-be-the-second-on"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3623581108203169, "platformFee": 1.3623581108203169, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1714616877160 | 0 | 22 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "82ed9fc46000", "prob": 0.2500000000000021, "text": "USA", "index": 0, "poolNo": 92.25988524560474, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 276.7796557368111, "textFts": "'usa':1", "contractId": "1VKfcJQLzsa9dmM57xcD", "createdTime": 1712028593082, "probChanges": {"day": 1.4988010... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712028593315}, {"name": "🔭 Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1712028593317}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime... | ["space", "space-exploration", "china", "spacex", "united-states", "mars", "aerospace", "technology-default", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "world-default"] | 0.25 | 1714616873697 | True | prob-desc | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.266059304767784 | MvajqMjvQMlsA6yK9FMR | {"NO": 81.97081035483141, "YES": 2460.409453945344} | 0 | market-resolves-yes-if-on-every-eve | 2338.3906359913617 | Market resolves YES if on every even date (US Eastern time) market rises above 95% then on every odd day falls below 45% | 1712357643899 | ONHr3BzNytStRqViq6ZQIws7hsi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9194712668993 | True | play | NO | public | 1712028626833 | PGeyer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolves YES if, from April 2 (US Eastern time) to April 14, on every even date market rises above 95% and on every odd date market falls below 45%.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Othe... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.011933165024640065} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712357643899 | 240 | PGeyer | 1712357643899 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696786088480 | 0 | [{"name": "probability", "slug": "probability", "groupId": "6801b495-7a44-40b3-b717-0fb4536c25b6", "createdTime": 1712029996462}, {"name": "Meta-markets", "slug": "metamarkets", "groupId": "0112083b-1b7d-4e2a-80e8-929ba3f099a5", "createdTime": 1712030014582}, {"name": "Daily Markets", "slug": "daily-markets", "groupId"... | ["probability", "metamarkets", "daily-markets", "manipulable-markets"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712338581237 | 1712357625613 | 0.01 | ONHr3BzNytStRqViq6ZQIws7hsi1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
jNlerTlqMmzaxd3YSwN8 | when-i-breakthrough-on-dmt-what-cla | 893.9229781902314 | When I breakthrough on DMT, what classes of Entities will I see? | 1717138740000 | D2xQmS8Mjkgy7ulooO6QXW6xU7S2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712028631838 | lukalot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have done short trips with DMT and reached the threshold of a breakthrough probably 6+ times, with each trip lasting 5-10 minutes and significantly augmenting the world around me in beautiful ways that I couldn’t imagine. I’ve encountered at leas... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.1835962520095684, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1192.5 | lukalot | 1717135165258 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp6VB8JVzTqQkkenqMIwdWCDpnuvDCqR46uS70A94Q=s96-c | 12 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "ebd4b5903eb8", "prob": 0.30217608559179693, "text": "No Entities", "index": 0, "poolNo": 62.32582923271507, "userId": "D2xQmS8Mjkgy7ulooO6QXW6xU7S2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 143.9308277447986, "textFts": "'entiti':2", "contractId": "jNlerTlqMmzaxd3YSwN8", "createdTime": 1712028631838, "probChanges": {"day... | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673310767857 | 0 | [{"name": "Psychedelics", "slug": "psychedelics", "groupId": "0f4a2671-fff3-4d28-9aae-5acad3f7075c", "createdTime": 1712028634822}] | ["psychedelics"] | 0.25 | 1717135074518 | 1717135163854 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8029794185115197 | eZZIEiFMpCrONgLj46vG | {"NO": 1398.914501751455, "YES": 57.42644705457684} | 1 | will-season-11-get-manually-closed | 1364 | Will season 11 get manually closed before midnight PDT? | 1712116740000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.00222365951424 | True | play | YES | public | 1712029216085 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712117239385 | 160 | Bayesian | 1712116740000 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712042985275 | 0.99 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7333251724886259 | mdYK87Gfyoq9kPI3JfDj | {"NO": 32514.21206449603, "YES": 38.14073842284051} | 1 | will-south-carolina-defeat-nc-state | 32373.924368510536 | Will South Carolina defeat NC State in the 2024 NCAA Women's Basketball semifinals? | 1712366643200 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.1782481659861177 | True | play | YES | public | 1712029469697 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.00156597805243186} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712366643200 | 260 | KevinBurke | 1712366643200 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1712029469923}, {"name": "⛹️ March Madness", "slug": "march-madness", "groupId": "Tp4TDTWUGnEUMvBcCPIR", "createdTime": 1712029469929}, {"name": "Women's NCAA basketball", "slug": "womens-ncaa-basketball", "groupId": "23a... | ["basketball", "march-madness", "womens-ncaa-basketball", "college-basketball", "dawn-staley", "march-madness-2024"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712366636891 | 1 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5912135540358188 | tnPSAttHHAEmJx5Ep4Zq | {"NO": 23556.10434051497, "YES": 14.054937139502726} | 1 | will-caitlin-clark-and-iowa-defeat | 51700.82080013826 | Will Caitlin Clark and Iowa defeat Paige Bueckers and UConn in the 2024 NCAA Women's Basketball semifinals? | 1712374412037 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.477995569390635 | True | play | YES | public | 1712029509019 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Connecticut", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.06252850049520886} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712374412037 | 340 | KevinBurke | 1712374412037 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "⛹️ March Madness", "slug": "march-madness", "groupId": "Tp4TDTWUGnEUMvBcCPIR", "createdTime": 1712029509177}, {"name": "🏀 College Basketball", "slug": "college-basketball", "groupId": "beeb69e0-b36f-451a-80e1-e059df456bb1", "createdTime": 1712029509181}, {"name": "Women's NCAA basketball", "slug": "womens-n... | ["march-madness", "college-basketball", "womens-ncaa-basketball", "basketball", "paige-bueckers", "march-madness-2024", "caitlin-clark"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712374403153 | 1712374386820 | 1 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.29634951717444497 | zlL6X3OlpNQlCNBZRuAi | {"NO": 58.203964323429545, "YES": 6993.253821658309} | 0 | will-the-same-school-win-the-mens-a | 8282.579405628147 | Will the same school win the Men's and Women's NCAA March Madness Tournament? | 1712466611988 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8734725319952865 | True | play | NO | public | 1712029727977 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "UConn and NC State are both possibilities. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.003493018246840278} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712466611988 | 260 | BTE | 1712466611988 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645484592545 | 0 | [{"name": "⛹️ March Madness 2024", "slug": "march-madness-2024", "groupId": "9a003f6b-9fd1-46ab-871d-2904953c4d5b", "createdTime": 1712029728122}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1712029728125}] | ["march-madness-2024", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712461439560 | 0 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9461438888655099 | ioFhPLv5V1bjBLUuU9ZD | {"NO": 11662.632038601769, "YES": 209.7355069840487} | 1 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-at-the-e-9d2f15c04e50 | 15885.262668389889 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on April 2? | 1712116283284 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.254660387255188 | True | play | YES | public | 1712030334455 | Jimmy Carter Death Markets | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Changes are coming to a Jimmy market near you. - Just a couple more things. All changes will be done by Mar 7 or so or later than that or never. Prob at some point.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712116283284 | 380 | JCDM | 1712116283284 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703455433441 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712030334603}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter Daily", "slug": "jimmy-carter-daily", "groupId": "19215cc1-e005-4008-80ba-e4df0c64d06f", "createdTime": 1712030334608}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-... | ["entertainment", "jimmy-carter-daily", "jimmy-carter", "public-figures", "death-markets", "longevity"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712107373750 | 1 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.11250660003786443 | jz7qqo4djZZFSqODU9UE | {"NO": 166.26675018052106, "YES": 317.04757574954544} | 0.06233628954592518 | will-a-report-about-lesswrong-karma | 187.15118747645988 | Will "A report about LessWrong karma volatility fro..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review? | 1738368000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712030536795 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": 2.0816681711721685e-17, "week": 2.0816681711721685e-17, "month": 2.0816681711721685e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.04506205131821932, "platformFee": 0.04506205131821932, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | LessWrong | 1713512887128 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1712030536954}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1713512883366 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.34255194149050655 | AIpt4kGt86X0DjjBkmaN | {"NO": 1012.6207483748454, "YES": 912.9313288314655} | 0.3662575016067296 | will-the-democrats-control-all-3-br | 1935.5200890116496 | Will Democrats control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030? | 1893560340000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.607042555583428 | False | basic | public | 1712032018595 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "cZ3UNiGRn9RyIM48RJLt", "label": "/Bayesian/will-the-dems-control-all-3-branche"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.01611706165393595} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4839927076450403, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bayesian | 1719072305232 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712032018750}, {"name": "US State Government", "slug": "us-state-government", "groupId": "v8YHysZ0MaHi9v8xLl86", "createdTime": 1712032018758}] | ["us-politics", "us-state-government"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719072302103 | 1712425594033 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9pAj7wRxnHproniyZ59m | manifold-leagues-megamarket-season | 15206.608907307114 | Manifold Leagues Megamarket: Season 12 (April) | 1714632298217 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1712033949054 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Add anything about manifold leagues you can think of! ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I give myself the right to N/A any option that is spammy, not about manifold leagues, etc.", "type": "tex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 40.912278311554715, "platformFee": 40.912278311554715, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714632298217 | 2560 | Bayesian | 1714632790364 | 0 | 20 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "546eaed3f856", "prob": 0.01, "text": "Someone earns 150k+ mana", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.607133638764083, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 810.9734950566809, "textFts": "'150k':3 'earn':2 'mana':4 'someon':1", "contractId": "9pAj7wRxnHproniyZ59m", "resolution": "NO", "res... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1712033949235}] | ["manifold-leagues"] | 0.25 | 1714617077252 | 1714632788843 | 0.01 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
JRvcxQOHqgQSBYar3zKv | who-will-be-the-top-5-in-masters-le-1dfcc2abe503 | 2220.113703686685 | Who will be the top 5 in Masters League? (Season 12 - April) | 1714607543806 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | CHOOSE_MULTIPLE | public | 1712034875252 | Joshua | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When season 12 locks in, everyone in the top 5 will resolve to 20%. You can submit more names, which will split off from Other.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, {... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.6731380730417, "platformFee": 14.6731380730417, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714607543806 | 1125 | Joshua | 1714607543806 | 0 | 17 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5c222bffd15f", "prob": 0.007992778143908976, "text": "@jacksonpolack", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.749924868847197, "userId": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 713.6401001412952, "textFts": "'jacksonpolack':1", "contractId": "JRvcxQOHqgQSBYar3zKv", "resolverId": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0Z... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645516283433 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1712034875948}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1712034875947}, {"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGder... | ["gaming", "nonpredictive", "manifold-leagues"] | 0.25 | False | 1714607338802 | 1713109026616 | {"afd451da51ea": 20, "b376314860a8": 20, "b8923f1a5a6b": 20, "eb289da8c305": 20, "f5352e94870c": 20} | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | True | prob-desc | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pm0kEnVE5w2Hj4J75pzv | cost-of-the-next-valve-vr-headset-u | 337.1792690675671 | Cost of the next Valve VR headset (USD) | 1767243540000 | V0K7MRt5TJbcaMidz6rkYPnTykt1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712035294540 | Nathanael Rea | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9362160137374385, "platformFee": 0.9362160137374385, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 280 | NathanaelRea | 1713878610661 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLCUoK8r_P3R1fxrZYqmOwWeg9AJJNXwzTQQEGONiLs=s96-c | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "15273d1e7b1d", "prob": 0.010382347602530066, "text": "100-150", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.8154930789537644, "userId": "V0K7MRt5TJbcaMidz6rkYPnTykt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 173.04795288305087, "textFts": "'-150':2 '100':1", "contractId": "pm0kEnVE5w2Hj4J75pzv", "createdTime": 1712035294541, "probChanges": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1710820668776 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712035295034}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1712035295037}, {"name": "Virtual Reality", "slug": "virtual-reality", "groupId": "tHkKwsHjd8vhks1CL5oF", ... | ["technology-default", "gaming", "virtual-reality"] | 0.25 | 1713878605990 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AKg86X04Yvj3M5NsyvqQ | who-will-win-the-based-demigods-mas | 9015.467804870916 | Who will win Masters League? (Season 12 - April) | 1714607324554 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | basic | 13f200d047e1 | public | 1712035465806 | Joshua | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": " When season 12 locks in, the winner of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Masters League", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/leagues/12/masters/based-demigods", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underli... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 22.224899825085274, "platformFee": 22.224899825085274, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714607324554 | 1520 | Joshua | 1714608050934 | 0 | 29 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "57405d511188", "prob": 0.0005103834388020435, "text": "@jacksonpolack", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.8934592755915958, "userId": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3707.9825508783933, "textFts": "'jacksonpolack':1", "contractId": "AKg86X04Yvj3M5NsyvqQ", "resolverId": "JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVM... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645516283433 | 0 | [{"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1712035466260}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1712035466262}, {"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGder... | ["nonpredictive", "gaming", "manifold-leagues"] | 0.25 | False | 1714607272814 | 1714608049195 | {"13f200d047e1": 100} | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | True | prob-desc | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SVtq07ufeq5BEC3LDxfx | how-much-will-us-gdp-grow-in-q2-202 | 161.45823371418084 | How much will US GDP grow in Q2 2024? | 1722495540000 | PK13zhGnApOoa4RPss0gF4hmiFO2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712035752107 | turtlepurple | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "based on the first (advanced) estimate which BEA releases around end of July ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.bea.gov/data/... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6547936696981238, "platformFee": 0.6547936696981238, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 310 | turtlepurple | 1714240698009 | 0 | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "55f4f3c2067c", "prob": 0.05311991453180864, "text": "<0%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.733029886378182, "userId": "PK13zhGnApOoa4RPss0gF4hmiFO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 155.6691526726463, "textFts": "'0':1", "contractId": "SVtq07ufeq5BEC3LDxfx", "createdTime": 1712035752107, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699993765566 | 0 | [{"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1712035752521}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1712035752520}, {"name": "GDP", "slug": "gdp", "groupId": "iwQCyAKU6dXiXgXR... | ["us-economy", "united-states", "gdp", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 1714240694687 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.44088368685453044 | wk9PWn5LKcoYZEUhLUOO | {"NO": 83.00569778669276, "YES": 590.065705182558} | 0.0998492163583457 | will-i-be-reunited-with-my-stolen-w | 481.97751835434593 | Will I be reunited with my stolen wallet or ID? | 1719903540000 | U63xexgO2Cebw3ZnyRHJ9ssHfui2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712035800592 | Eliot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My wallet was stolen on Caltrain today. I’m fairly sure I know who took it, but they were just kicked off the train and not forced to give it back. The thief left the train at Redwood City, and I’m hoping they might’ve dumped the wallet, and someon... | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -0.16881155922083219, "month": -0.16881155922083219} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.558276995877319, "platformFee": 0.07046624533804419, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | eliot | 1719901977605 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfDdlMXLAUeGjbpftcJiAgOHaluXWk-aT2uLji8EylC6WiZ=s96-c | 9 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690865164585 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719901974498 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IAt3UHUWccWSpGBNkHNh | will-saulmunn-or-noanabeshima-place | 191.88919799585972 | Will @saulmunn or @NoaNabeshima place higher in their league this season? | 1712255757385 | 2DUMvA9R6nNXjQfyidwhKJitKBr2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1712036085209 | Noa Nabeshima | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We're both in Platinum Giga Leviathans.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712255757385 | 200 | NoaNabeshima | 1720053161621 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhGG2fLz1xZY60s5Zky2ne9wKGcZ1kXwE36DRdoyA=s96-c | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "056ee66a3aeb", "prob": 0.20951363336524778, "text": "@saulmunn", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 63.583875562164586, "userId": "2DUMvA9R6nNXjQfyidwhKJitKBr2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 239.8993610218624, "textFts": "'saulmunn':1", "contractId": "IAt3UHUWccWSpGBNkHNh", "resolverId": "2DUMvA9R6nNXjQ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1646363457920 | 0 | 0.25 | 1712146910441 | 1712104642098 | 2DUMvA9R6nNXjQfyidwhKJitKBr2 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WJ1vgAAB3mKAXSdDgg2Y | what-positive-will-the-steam-review | 970.1600330589656 | What % positive will the Steam reviews be for the new Factorio expansion? | 1732179600000 | DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712036353783 | TonyPepperoni 🪿 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a slightly modified version of ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "x3Zwg7e8t1GU95T08sYD", "label": "/TonyPepperoni/how-positive-will-the-steam-reviews"}}, {"text": " that has a narrower range to make it more i... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.875526112957541, "platformFee": 0.5836505919867117, "liquidityFee": 0} | 134 | 1000 | TonyPepperoni | 1720244153948 | 0 | 19 | 2 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "4ebe2fe093d9", "prob": 0.06781123884767312, "text": "At 100%", "color": "#00bcd4", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.466395390651854, "userId": "DGYg1e9JksfeFvPHFCuHLkKpEcV2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 198.86690505454794, "textFts": "'100':2", "contractId": "WJ1vgAAB3mKAXSdDgg2Y", "createdTime": 1712036353783, "prob... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1691471177482 | 0 | [{"name": "Factorio", "slug": "factorio", "groupId": "86c1ba96-cf10-4a72-b363-a1aaa0290645", "createdTime": 1712036354108}, {"name": "Factorio Expansion", "slug": "factorio-expansion", "groupId": "b8ef7606-c4d8-4b97-ae8f-7146c82e682d", "createdTime": 1712036354109}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5... | ["factorio", "factorio-expansion", "gaming", "video-games"] | 0.25 | 1720244150850 | 1720205785825 | False | alphabetical | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MNu2ABxS0tO2nPmhtGPX | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-d5b04b6a2f67 | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Saddam Hussein? | 1712345377852 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712036448353 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712345400498 | strutheo | 1712345378647 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712036448622}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712036448615}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 17120... | ["us-politics", "donald-trump", "polls", "future-us-presidents"] | 0.25 | 1712088183532 | ["2cb1a7b492cc"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
fb2MbftViWJJpvFGZkUa | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-25ac7dd854c0 | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Rudy Giuliani? | 1713459651294 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712036613526 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713459661214 | strutheo | 1713459654579 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", "createdTime": 1712036613857}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712036613859}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDq... | ["future-us-presidents", "donald-trump", "us-politics", "polls", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 1712767540034 | ["ef12a4f35ba6"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
UYjymIL5vfkP6ANO6TpI | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-02709e948d09 | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Ibram X Kendi? | 1712767543926 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712036643859 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712767560475 | strutheo | 1712767545194 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712036644162}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1712036644163}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", "create... | ["donald-trump", "polls", "future-us-presidents", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 1712345387868 | ["ac221f10100d"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BLrTXv8NrzsjgMOFxVlv | the-most-popular-article-on-french-98360f1cd55c | 1136.9060873941753 | The most popular article on French Wikipedia in April 2024 ? (excl. Youtube and Cookie) | 1714724785006 | mqx5cKiTKNY6m3VsR6Eiy2y4dGJ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712036691624 | Brendan Troadec | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve to the title of the French article on Wikipedia, excluding YouTube, that has the most pageviews in March 2024 per ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this resolution source.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href":... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.018569544655935, "platformFee": 7.018569544655935, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714724785006 | 605 | BrendanTroadec | 1714724785006 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK4Dn8vdzoY2wtYBN7Xr8wrM3Axwoa4inUKshOUOPUBnrw=s96-c | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b45fa76c32ec", "prob": 0.07, "text": "Robert Oppenheimer", "index": 0, "poolNo": 21.141321811629616, "userId": "mqx5cKiTKNY6m3VsR6Eiy2y4dGJ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 261.01381735169036, "textFts": "'oppenheim':2 'robert':1", "contractId": "BLrTXv8NrzsjgMOFxVlv", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "mqx5cKi... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696918431012 | 0 | [{"name": "Wikipedia", "slug": "wikipedia", "groupId": "E7MBK2i8kaRN0KpBofH3", "createdTime": 1712036693414}] | ["wikipedia"] | 0.25 | 1714714071497 | 1713723156641 | 0.08 | mqx5cKiTKNY6m3VsR6Eiy2y4dGJ2 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MJHQyqnr8LJeuBMBr3Dl | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-350701ff3971 | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Joe Rogan? | 1712767573283 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712036701480 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712767620506 | strutheo | 1712767574302 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712036701658}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712036701675}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9Ve... | ["us-politics", "donald-trump", "future-us-presidents", "polls"] | 0.25 | 1712413528094 | ["bcf681f8eb3d"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
zzzknct3wbqaWYU1FQhg | what-will-be-the-price-of-tesla-at | 5165.679062729854 | What will be the price of Tesla at the end of day May 31, 2024 | 1717138740000 | zjr9WqBJXCVlBtMlT7Sqr5l3lZH2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | db1439824389 | public | 1712036887311 | brian wang | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.263291112291851, "platformFee": 10.786892387667976, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719901962636 | 387.5 | brianwang | 1717138740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc7vglm2xipIc2J-X98SrL2OEK1QS-ecZ721GHOIQ2euTfa=s96-c | 15 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "dd0d6895fa86", "prob": 0.004032544412085521, "text": "< $150", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9.252146823267822, "userId": "zjr9WqBJXCVlBtMlT7Sqr5l3lZH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2285.1173325404734, "textFts": "'150':1", "contractId": "zzzknct3wbqaWYU1FQhg", "resolverId": "zjr9WqBJXCVlBtMlT7Sqr5l3lZH2", "createdTi... | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690876199293 | 0 | [{"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime": 1712036887537}, {"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1712036887541}, {"name": "$TSLA", "slug": "tsla", "groupId": "288e80f2-83b9-4298-819a-6d12cac1dbba", "createdTime": 1712036... | ["business", "tesla", "tsla", "stocks", "the-tesla-stock-index"] | 0.25 | 1717029513212 | 1719894797562 | {"db1439824389": 100} | zjr9WqBJXCVlBtMlT7Sqr5l3lZH2 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4096796822073419 | xeV5VugSjUeFAkWA67E6 | {"NO": 965.9070963338395, "YES": 1041.8574944915983} | 0.39150688288236274 | will-a-generative-ai-llm-startup-ip | 448.9793963999504 | Will a Generative AI (LLM) startup IPO before EOY 2025? | 1767247140000 | hXoxhZ7koFY3AfvsfcBlCr081jC2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.72534630059823 | False | basic | public | 1712036909941 | Simran 🤍 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The company's primary product offering must be a large language model or adjacent service.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "AI chip startup IPO like Astera Labs", "type": "text", "marks": [{"ty... | BINARY | {"day": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "week": -1.6653345369377348e-16, "month": -1.6653345369377348e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.242804109746681, "platformFee": 1.242804109746681, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SimranRahman | 1716120526278 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1692236590304 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1712036910079}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712036910083}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 17120369... | ["ai", "stocks", "technology-default", "finance", "openai", "tech-stocks", "business"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716120522545 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3295751886710212 | yLka7Kwv0EaW6fyCPH4u | {"NO": 107.97657424096039, "YES": 546.4502466939603} | 0.08853655227649553 | will-an-active-manifold-user-be-ind | 413.54975330603963 | Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030? | 1925009940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712037065805 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must have trades or questions made within the last 3 months", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "AAQJZrA35WgyvXPGwGil", "label... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | strutheo | 1712367198268 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1712037070256}, {"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1712037074501}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9N... | ["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "crime", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712367194806 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1dQqqktoQl0tqa9uznmy | suggest-ways-for-me-to-increase-my | 0 | Suggest ways for me to increase my blog subscribers | 91jUs5utwnRlFgrGh2qJMka2l1j2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1712037992657 | PhilosophyBear | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Give me ideas to promote my blog, Philosophy Bear. Every idea I actually follow through will be awarded a 100-mana bounty minimum- whether it works or not. If, in my opinion, your idea leads to at least one additional paid subscriber I'll award you... | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | PhilosophyBear | 1712557611508 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ["oppQYMKCndgbcp0p3X8F"] | 0.3333333333333333 | 1710984242506 | 0 | [{"name": "🧠 Philosophy", "slug": "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e", "groupId": "fxiwfHfrTmac3tKJyehm", "createdTime": 1712037992805}, {"name": "Blogs", "slug": "blogs", "groupId": "924bd6a5-2849-4b46-9cea-28e21b9fe77f", "createdTime": 1712037992811}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3m... | ["philosophy-af8706ce1d7e", "blogs", "technology-default", "blogger"] | 0.25 | 1712557610920 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4Gv3IdgEnIK4dOIabCCj | how-many-times-will-i-go-to-my-circ | 35 | How many times will I go to my circuit training class in April? | 1714546740000 | qa5TcsW9t1Yb2kY7dqDyT0qS3D33 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712038079751 | suzume batchi | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I’ve been going to the gym three times a week lately and I’m trying to maintain a M/W/F routine. Will I? I went today (April 1). How many times will I go to my gym this month?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "co... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 185 | suzumebatchi | 1712669581968 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "29ba635da351", "prob": 0.12707601172273228, "text": "1-3", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.280272368522105, "userId": "qa5TcsW9t1Yb2kY7dqDyT0qS3D33", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 91.22625241523009, "textFts": "'-3':2 '1':1", "contractId": "4Gv3IdgEnIK4dOIabCCj", "createdTime": 1712038079751, "probChanges": {"day": 5.... | 9 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703967621903 | 0 | [{"name": "Motivation and Behaviour", "slug": "motivation-and-behaviour", "groupId": "35q9svyvlw5dxJ0MIh6M", "createdTime": 1712038079978}, {"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1712038080026}, {"name": "🫀 Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUq... | ["motivation-and-behaviour", "personal-goals", "health"] | 0.25 | 1712069848643 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ZBTItwyDQxpiqiKMkqAf | what-crimes-will-active-manifold-us | 510.6876104033894 | 🧑⚖️What crimes will active Manifold users be indicted for before the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES] | 1925009940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712038110719 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must have trades or questions made within the last 3 months", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1165 | strutheo | 1712203932062 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "088a4045b5b7", "prob": 0.09999999999999994, "text": "Racketeering", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.55555555555555, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 95.00000000000003, "textFts": "'racket':1", "contractId": "ZBTItwyDQxpiqiKMkqAf", "createdTime": 1712038110719, "probChanges": {"da... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1712038111043}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712038111046}, {"name": "Law", "slug": "law", "groupId": "721015fa-be97-4989-b9e9-9a5cd25709d6", "cr... | ["law-order", "manifold-6748e065087e", "law", "crime", "law-and-crime", "legal-decisions", "manifold-users", "court-cases"] | 0.25 | 1712203928720 | 1712060100710 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5175121307933208 | bdyBDsL4ihvZKFBMiatf | {"NO": 165, "YES": 119.58137901761684} | 0.5967702080652161 | will-an-antiimmigration-party-or-in | 25 | Will an anti-immigration party or individual be represented in the next Irish Government? (next election is in 2025) | 1751428740000 | ITykTD6aBhXvoPlj3EKWcD3V7ew1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712038121955 | Finn | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Immigration and asylum policy are rapidly becoming important issues in Irish politics. Will the next Irish Government include any parties or independents that take a hard(er) line on migration? \"Hard line\" here means being in favor of policies to... | BINARY | {"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | Finn | 1713256115078 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKVvsHaT6c7g1TYXpMNl4Zut1vEhLBcKphRh1IvHnu0=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699204823330 | 0 | [{"name": "Ireland", "slug": "ireland", "groupId": "a5026020-8558-42e6-903a-851ea5b0b74d", "createdTime": 1712038122320}, {"name": "Irish Politics", "slug": "irish-politics", "groupId": "649f8ea6-c68d-4723-8a4c-8f4006571dd7", "createdTime": 1712038122319}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId":... | ["ireland", "irish-politics", "politics-default", "immigration"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713256111814 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3456767928231715 | AAQJZrA35WgyvXPGwGil | {"NO": 946.6193289522607, "YES": 1088.4394227255673} | 0.314815712560676 | will-an-active-manifold-user-be-ind-a59ab1319466 | 141.45685342902038 | Will an active Manifold user be indicted for selling military secrets to another country before the end of 2030? | 1925009940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.612369316406815 | False | basic | public | 1712038171179 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must have trades or questions made within the last 3 months", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "yLka7Kwv0EaW6fyCPH4u", "label... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.006548477837300892, "month": -0.006548477837301003} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.474046657106278, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1719666228944 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Intelligence/Spying", "slug": "intelligencespying", "groupId": "e08df100-e8fa-4271-a941-4b7867ab8feb", "createdTime": 1712038172101}, {"name": "Espionage", "slug": "espionage", "groupId": "52cd1cdb-0c75-47ea-a4a7-687f61fe3f50", "createdTime": 1712038172098}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "grou... | ["intelligencespying", "espionage", "law-order", "law", "crime", "manifold-users", "geopolitics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719666225783 | 1712503858999 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1822282408588646 | iBg9BcqSaYOSNWCK767b | {"NO": 167.54742057486368, "YES": 19486.362635895417} | 0 | bitcoin-above-70000-on-april-5 | 20829.57782976759 | Bitcoin above $70,000 on April 5? | 1712508665002 | zgCIqq8AmRUYVu6AdQ9vVEJN8On1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4690123267364932 | True | play | NO | public | 1712038189182 | ~deleted~ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves identical to the polymarket question: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-70000-on-april-5", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-7000... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.001912314144554306} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712508665002 | 520 | _deleted_ | 1712508665002 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1672001526837 | 0 | [{"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1712038189593}, {"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1712038189591}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "created... | ["bitcoin-maxi", "bitcoin", "crypto-speculation"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712507438145 | 1712507759066 | 0 | zgCIqq8AmRUYVu6AdQ9vVEJN8On1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GNwRsrRl5CXSPd6YoDvO | in-2028-how-much-will-it-be-to-rent | 102.07566959462713 | In 2028 how much will it be to rent the 8x NVIDIA H100 SXM server per hour from LambaLabs | 1830430740000 | YDBf91CxCwcFYGR05xghoKCwjg03 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712038739464 | RichardK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How much will the 8x NVIDIA H100 SXM from ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": "https://lambdalabs.com/service/gpu-cloud", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://lambdalabs.com/service/gpu-cloud",... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 231.5 | RichardK | 1712387529686 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "f59bae394644", "prob": 0.006243251112621284, "text": "0-0.8", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.9270081325690782, "userId": "YDBf91CxCwcFYGR05xghoKCwjg03", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 147.55462681161077, "textFts": "'-0.8':2 '0':1", "contractId": "GNwRsrRl5CXSPd6YoDvO", "createdTime": 1712038739464, "probChanges": {"da... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1658538462961 | 0 | [{"name": "GPU", "slug": "gpu", "groupId": "0e284bb8-81b7-48fc-8b3b-c459de7d87a8", "createdTime": 1712038739757}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712038739753}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1... | ["gpu", "technology-default", "ai", "ai-capabilities"] | 0.25 | 1712387525451 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Kr9D3dWHl62QnzACODh4 | which-us-officials-or-senior-politi-36aa15dd000f | 1052.5155388995186 | Which US officials or senior political figures will attend the inauguration of the next Taiwanese President in 2024? | 1716134340000 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712040208219 | Josh Wilkes | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to all correct answers.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Closes before the event.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Anyone whose p... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.929771290835851, "platformFee": 3.929771290835851, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716530921636 | 1000 | JoshuaWilkes | 1716134340000 | 0 | 12 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "0b3f15070bd5", "prob": 0.2, "text": "Mike Johnson", "index": 0, "poolNo": 28.072804954764937, "userId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 112.29121981905918, "textFts": "'johnson':2 'mike':1", "contractId": "Kr9D3dWHl62QnzACODh4", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnp... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1662006482315 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712040208451}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712040208453}, {"name": "Taiwan Domestic Politics", "slug": "taiwan-0039991aaaaf", "groupId": "8e... | ["politics-default", "us-politics", "taiwan-0039991aaaaf", "taiwan"] | 0.25 | 1716016088582 | 1716248379412 | 0.35 | 2eLbfaaBmjeKLKMgnpV6TkDmCU83 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
kcqIkFHaTmDwm1wp1ng9 | help-me-find-a-job | 0 | Help me find a job | 1712538114402 | 91jUs5utwnRlFgrGh2qJMka2l1j2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712040466044 | PhilosophyBear | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm looking for work! Here's my CV:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Apn-YPZJiMBYDk37blMtfD2CvHN2L4aqQRXEn_Z0ysU/edit?usp=sharing", "type": "text", "marks": ... | BOUNTIED_QUESTION | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712538114402 | PhilosophyBear | 1712539696318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ["6DdvKC4IFkGJ9ykgUS4b", "cfOV8aFDfdfjyWUz0Ugk", "dCyOAGiSyxdufp9zYcp2", "yuysQ71tAIjiG3uap52R"] | 0.3333333333333333 | 1710984242506 | 0 | [{"name": "Charity", "slug": "charity", "groupId": "10d5fec2-4d96-4f07-ae53-c76e873ff275", "createdTime": 1712040466200}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1712040466211}, {"name": "🧠 Philosophy", "slug": "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e", "groupId": "fxiwf... | ["charity", "economics-default", "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e"] | 0.25 | 1712539695649 | 91jUs5utwnRlFgrGh2qJMka2l1j2 | 3000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3599388223847951 | Hkb0colmPOHIDHC8HhJn | {"NO": 29.921285227554904, "YES": 1665.7991798660714} | 0 | will-scotus-rule-that-the-federal-g | 2027.4465385649883 | Will SCOTUS rule that the federal government illegally pressured social media companies in Murthy v. Missouri? | 1719547919558 | frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712042590608 | Mana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the majority decision from SCOTUS in the", "type": "text"}, {"text": " Vivek H. Murthy, Surgeon General, et al. v. Missouri, et al. ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "case (originally filed as Missouri v. Biden) states ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.29782088641440924} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.817894218089457, "platformFee": 3.5429821262880465, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719547919558 | 140 | Mana | 1719547919558 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706696952680 | 0 | [{"name": "Supreme Court", "slug": "supreme-court", "groupId": "ci33MLyc1P8Fww2e6kxp", "createdTime": 1712042590954}, {"name": "SCOTUS", "slug": "scotus", "groupId": "ELCKhzulQFwYzmSyaOnx", "createdTime": 1712042590957}, {"name": "Court cases", "slug": "court-cases", "groupId": "ilQEa8qtQ0UUcM8uTMkB", "createdTime": 17... | ["supreme-court", "scotus", "court-cases"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719547202329 | 1719547195289 | 0.01 | frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5475626196094562 | AAC8JHwvQqhMkvnAhe6t | {"NO": 226.31521819259657, "YES": 91.01472998321276} | 1 | will-i-go-to-5-dance-classes-in-apr | 90.19131671036409 | Will I go to 5 dance classes in April | 1714721545783 | pUF3dMs9oLNpgU2LYtFmodaoDow1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1712042600133 | Cedar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Last month's market:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/Cedar/will-i-go-to-5-dance-classes-in-mar", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.05085223629933794, "platformFee": 0.05085223629933794, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714721551313 | 140 | Cedar | 1714721604074 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gjd4nhRUmowGsjcrgg2v3gA6RC7KFm4CywwJFsTuQ=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644684823181 | 0 | [{"name": "Personal", "slug": "personal", "groupId": "wxAGTtNee5f2PTzjqSI2", "createdTime": 1712042600283}] | ["personal"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714719152461 | 1714721602785 | 0.75 | pUF3dMs9oLNpgU2LYtFmodaoDow1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bO6KuZlTcLmBiZylsODP | has-twitter-caused-more-good-or-mor | 0 | Has Twitter caused more good or more harm? | 1712732340000 | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712043580436 | singer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Has Twitter (currently known as \"X\") caused more good or more harm? The winning answer will be used to resolve ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "mpNdKeImR1bVGVmP1WxN", "label": "/singer/does-manifold-like-twitter"}... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712732341152 | singer | 1712049699506 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695522783407 | 0 | [{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1712043580574}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712043580569}] | ["twitter", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 1712049696670 | ["7f4a8dda159c"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ii6y9j0KTMCgZBKhHvyu | has-the-automobile-made-the-horse-o | 0 | Has the automobile made the horse "obsolete"? | 1714719540000 | D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1712044893218 | singer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Opinion poll.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "gkIoIVyNE5KHPGs9TNZc", "label": "/j... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714719540263 | singer | 1712061545193 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695522783407 | 0 | 0.25 | 1712061544643 | ["940bc15132c8"] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4405189082998915 | PBWA1hFC0lChFZtiMsux | {"NO": 99.59389655617474, "YES": 277.983294371698} | 0.22002571940464377 | with-the-queensland-reds-with-the-2 | 145 | With the Queensland Reds with the 2024 Super Rugby title. | 1719064740000 | eHQRYIgdvQdFvS4WroVyDYmhHW33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712045773573 | Roaring Kitty | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Winner of 2024 Super Rugby title.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.942890293094024e-16, "week": 1.942890293094024e-16, "month": 1.942890293094024e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2587944107228342, "platformFee": 1.2587944107228342, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | SF | 1714527296110 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI2U0gOt-5ScdQ8ncUf-KI3f5klkaBeQF7dGvEhfGk_Xzw=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711339930081 | 0 | [{"name": "Rugby", "slug": "rugby", "groupId": "s9RHjLUS0vXCC5M6gCKb", "createdTime": 1712045773732}] | ["rugby"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714527292606 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7129021421698574 | 2oqUMtFbpeI18alGSaNo | {"NO": 782.8799931792065, "YES": 225.68584875886216} | 1 | will-netflixs-show-the-threebody-pr | 445 | Will Netflix's show 'The Three-Body Problem' be confirmed for season 2? | 1715880590432 | uCBNebOBFrVyakDLR3p2NcsND3l2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1712047616825 | Luca Parodi | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolved if Netflix confirm the production of season 2.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0600034103967626, "platformFee": 1.0600034103967626, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715880590432 | 340 | LucaParodi | 1715880590432 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3c5HkXt8zdOwQbKSU9IZD2znjlCp7cCLaYpDBFLw=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668079332851 | 0 | [{"name": "Netflix", "slug": "netflix", "groupId": "eByiBh0GMczfxM1jBSdl", "createdTime": 1712047617008}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712047617010}, {"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "Yj... | ["netflix", "entertainment", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715175883373 | 1712055232961 | 0.9 | uCBNebOBFrVyakDLR3p2NcsND3l2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.38933277525058196 | QDgX8snkAnSufgIq9aOB | {"NO": 121.52314957711845, "YES": 392.0485289855061} | 0.1650120787240505 | will-iron-man-of-marvel-come-back-b | 217.8051683678909 | Will Iron Man of Marvel come back before 2025? | 1735669740000 | rt0em7oVGSTRw7N3xYewRF9Uqt02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712048314511 | Creative Culture | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.07315132330150101, "platformFee": 0.07315132330150101, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | CreativeCulture | 1713890964374 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIJSJ_pIy5WVRd9SnIJGdeNMFY3agzeS8wm-mtjqZ-3=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711450883436 | 0 | [{"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1712048314646}, {"name": "Marvel Cinematic Universe", "slug": "marvel-cinematic-universe", "groupId": "hIQdGqOuPcrwWMsQGhYd", "createdTime": 1712048314645}, {"name": "IRONMAN", "slug": "ironman", "groupId": "df5deaa8-4491-45b5-99... | ["movies", "marvel-cinematic-universe", "ironman", "hollywood", "fiction", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1713890960972 | 1712052714367 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.08741350074902032 | 4VXMUTMKVwqrAlB5sgMv | {"NO": 1489.466232711894, "YES": 2167.5766758441314} | 0.061755640273634116 | will-russia-launch-the-vaccine-for | 2443.610957523166 | Will Russia launch the vaccine for cancer by the end of 2024? | 1735669740000 | rt0em7oVGSTRw7N3xYewRF9Uqt02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.903144091497825 | False | basic | public | 1712048396695 | Creative Culture | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6181149227511538, "platformFee": 0.6181149227511538, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1600 | CreativeCulture | 1714427749189 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIJSJ_pIy5WVRd9SnIJGdeNMFY3agzeS8wm-mtjqZ-3=s96-c | 47 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711450883436 | 0 | [{"name": "Vaccines", "slug": "vaccines", "groupId": "6a47d989-7821-49d7-b60d-c70b53373165", "createdTime": 1712048396839}, {"name": "Cancer", "slug": "cancer", "groupId": "Ael4esMwXS9k34wDBglo", "createdTime": 1712048396846}, {"name": "🇷🇺 Russia", "slug": "russia", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1... | ["vaccines", "cancer", "russia", "technology-default", "world-default", "biotech", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714427745814 | 1712335043038 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
nmV19nfFdYefauqoSKt7 | on-which-days-will-i-meet-my-object | 2967.589243541646 | On which days will I meet my objectives, during the month of April? | 1712706053131 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712048961878 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I won't buy NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My objectives everyday will be at least:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "para... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712706053131 | 765 | Bayesian | 1712706053131 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "114910ef6885", "prob": 0.93, "text": "Tuesday, April 2nd", "index": 0, "poolNo": 108.18813079129865, "userId": "srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 8.69439485364473, "textFts": "'2nd':3 'april':2 'tuesday':1", "contractId": "nmV19nfFdYefauqoSKt7", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "srFl... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Work", "slug": "work", "groupId": "58f60e9e-3d80-48fe-b7f0-912a6e4dc840", "createdTime": 1712048962136}, {"name": "Commitment Devices", "slug": "commitment-devices", "groupId": "ISVja50LAxuGN0QqycWz", "createdTime": 1712048962148}] | ["work", "commitment-devices"] | 0.25 | 1712705960937 | 1712450219624 | 0.6 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3823789938290863 | AfPPMbaiIUXFg7cHi7xa | {"NO": 200.24189387051857, "YES": 456.34978575219174} | 0.21362758512459906 | will-wales-decide-to-leave-the-uk-b | 202.31064219634388 | Will Wales decide to leave the UK by 2040? | 2209075140000 | biJAK5HhSRS5QD3X4ODnNgEWhRr1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712051333704 | Daisy W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves “yes” if Wales has left, or is clearly in the process of leaving, the UK by 2040. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves “no” if Wales is still in the UK on 1st January 2040 and is... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6697860257321085, "platformFee": 0.6697860257321085, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 280 | DaisyWelham | 1716230625833 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705674736043 | 0 | [{"name": "Scotland", "slug": "scotland", "groupId": "0NcQ0rf4rcCvny12bk3g", "createdTime": 1712051333840}, {"name": "Wales", "slug": "wales", "groupId": "4YPwQjG5rhD94K7VqFAr", "createdTime": 1712051333845}, {"name": "Collective Autonomy", "slug": "collective-autonomy", "groupId": "4jWpw4EVFoJGsAbsVeJX", "createdTime"... | ["scotland", "wales", "collective-autonomy"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716230622576 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6053838756466325 | Z7yQiyj6GWtbUQACxEld | {"NO": 732.5534896629201, "YES": 1218.6825026290662} | 0.4797510883267504 | will-a-manifold-celebrity-appear-on | 408.0001828410816 | Will a Manifold celebrity appear on the Joe Rogan Experience by EOY 2024? | 1735675140000 | EwhWtm4vwqZwxqVFrIL61ieAOU52 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.637119644337226 | False | basic | public | 1712051593998 | João Bosco Lucena | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if any Manifold celebrity appears in the Joe Rogan Podcast by the end of the year. Resolves NO otherwise.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Clarificat... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -0.13722523777414686, "month": -0.1372252377741474} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.228917381350502, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jBosc | 1720094652485 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1663757946796 | 0 | [{"name": "👸 Taylor Swift", "slug": "taylor-swift", "groupId": "TgyXEpID2HktDrf1QYfB", "createdTime": 1712051594197}, {"name": "Aella", "slug": "aella", "groupId": "PtIApT55aHEw0uQB4lNo", "createdTime": 1712051594215}, {"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 171... | ["taylor-swift", "aella", "destinygg", "joe-rogan", "celebrities", "podcasts", "edge-case-clarification"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720094649394 | 1712173797993 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5048571159105911 | jzl9lmuE1UxFgOmhZkxB | {"NO": 125.99999999999999, "YES": 114.33962264150941} | 0.5291015257110565 | will-the-eric-andre-show-come-back | 6 | Will the Eric Andre Show come back for a Season 7 by 2027? | 1798779540000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712055567216 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Eric André Says He Returned to His Adult Swim Show Because He Made No Money Off ‘Bad Trip’", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "TheWrap", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "a... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | mattyb | 1712061454332 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1712055567376}, {"name": "Comedy", "slug": "comedy", "groupId": "5422cc5a-ad91-46f9-89d4-be7ecbc9dcd8", "createdTime": 1712055567383}, {"name": "Humor", "slug": "humor", "groupId": "jrXPXQBjQhtB3VPU9TeO", "createdTime": 1712055567385}, {"na... | ["tv", "comedy", "humor", "cinema", "interview", "hollywood", "entertainment", "television-film"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712061451093 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3062844971401867 | hc8UB5stvjErM9nl5XoE | {"NO": 82.44179677934711, "YES": 3577.264039908142} | 0 | will-super-micro-computer-smci-trad | 3867.656099390683 | Will Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) trade above $1,000 at the end of April, 2024 | 1714521489519 | Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712055651208 | TP King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolve Yes if Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) trades above $1,000 at the close of 30-Apr-2024", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.708926049486779, "platformFee": 8.708926049486779, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714521489519 | 340 | tpking | 1714521489519 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697442193885 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1712055651691}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1712055651688}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 17120556516... | ["economics-default", "ai", "stocks", "finance", "investing"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714516766529 | 0.01 | Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PUOxm0TmptInoo1IrASC | what-cities-will-change-hands-befor | 1821.5560965478526 | What cities will change hands before the Ukraine-Russia war ends | 2238728340000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712055695545 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the cities that change hands from Russia to Ukraine or from Ukraine to Russia before the war ends. The city will count as changed hands if the city center changes hands. Will resolve to mainstream media sources. Add more cities!", "type... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.2188421931142406, "platformFee": 3.2188421931142406, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1714057528240 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 19 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "289a6a387e58", "prob": 0.3647872733121073, "text": "Mariupol", "index": 0, "poolNo": 89.51853698767442, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 155.88075058857692, "textFts": "'mariupol':1", "contractId": "PUOxm0TmptInoo1IrASC", "createdTime": 1712055695545, "probChanges": {"day"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Ukraine", "slug": "ukraine", "groupId": "0AKCBNjWsHwpfmPOsGf6", "createdTime": 1712055696166}, {"name": "Ukraine Counteroffensive", "slug": "ukraine-counteroffensive", "groupId": "2i6fbccCzqrKyYbLXRrG", "createdTime": 1712055696173}, {"name": "How It Ends", "slug": "how-it-ends", "groupId": "InKUlX3nJIQnJr55... | ["ukraine", "ukraine-counteroffensive", "how-it-ends", "wars", "ukrainerussia-war", "world-default"] | 0.25 | 1714057524900 | 1712064551035 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5799730443036586 | OxaMJkriZavtsKfxUiRf | {"NO": 12.730371228970256, "YES": 1186.5307222218767} | 0 | will-season-twelve-of-masters-leagu | 1656.5818454613614 | Will season twelve of Masters league be the hardest masters league ever | 1714610434019 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712055926493 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "resolves yes if it is the hardest masters league to stay in based on mana earned.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.342105383286393, "platformFee": 8.342105383286393, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714610434019 | 180 | JamesF | 1714610434019 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1712055926779}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1712055926788}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac... | ["manifold-leagues", "manifold-6748e065087e", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | 1714609411324 | 1714607581866 | 0.01 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6099131041460945 | u2AR1YIzHT4iYnOHbKmy | {"NO": 327.01097047192724, "YES": 163.55381864771834} | 0.7576426575211429 | will-food-be-grown-on-the-moon-befo | 199.84231653290314 | Will food be grown on the moon before a human lands on mars | 3185413140000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712056146118 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The food has to be grown for the purpose of eating and not just experimentation ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 2.220446049250313e-16, "week": 2.220446049250313e-16, "month": 2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | JamesF | 1712168997299 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712056146311}, {"name": "Mars", "slug": "mars", "groupId": "3d6624c3-2569-4fe1-8524-128952b07684", "createdTime": 1712056146312}, {"name": "🌙 Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", "createdTime": 1712056146322... | ["space", "mars", "moon", "space-exploration"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712168994016 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.562852197847806 | G1dLclzUdLhvmvgveOb7 | {"NO": 1062.9691875109118, "YES": 943.9940502107611} | 0.5918086357891051 | will-republicans-control-all-3-bran | 307.00000000000006 | Will Republicans control all 3 branches of government at once before 2030? | 1893560340000 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.746161291247962 | False | basic | public | 1712056286898 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See also:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "AIpt4kGt86X0DjjBkmaN", "label": "/Bayesian/will-the-democrats-control-all-3-br"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.002814392956061007} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.1993479124748208, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Bayesian | 1719072323267 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1712056287158}, {"name": "US State Government", "slug": "us-state-government", "groupId": "v8YHysZ0MaHi9v8xLl86", "createdTime": 1712056287155}] | ["us-politics", "us-state-government"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719072320197 | 1712071636251 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
vraHxiWun7MrC4PmTbxX | what-countries-will-join-bricks-by | 223.49843426619435 | What countries will join BRICS by 2028 | 1830315540000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712056573495 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.8674466894942049, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1719701399346 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 13 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "88619f63ca33", "prob": 0.3692933225810732, "text": "Nigeria", "index": 0, "poolNo": 58.006644689430956, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 99.06807381349135, "textFts": "'nigeria':1", "contractId": "vraHxiWun7MrC4PmTbxX", "createdTime": 1712056573496, "probChanges": {"day": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1712056573855}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712056573853}, {"name": "BRICS", "slug": "brics", "groupId": "an8AXzMHVvWyECyQ4ukd", "createdTime": 171... | ["world-default", "politics-default", "brics"] | 0.25 | 1719701395472 | 1712056683386 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5430563797893736 | EBjtgtn3jFFRPGCyU42D | {"NO": 3344.233954204916, "YES": 58.38861729179234} | 1 | will-world-central-kitchen-resume-o | 3642.8857178240705 | Will World Central Kitchen resume operations in Gaza in April? | 1714345261561 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1712056629756 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "World Central Kitchen Pauses Gaza Operations After 7 Workers Are Killed", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/04/02/world/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news?... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.13078606156477146} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 21.355481458397698, "platformFee": 21.355481458397698, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714345261561 | 440 | mattyb | 1714345261561 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1712056629911}, {"name": "Israeli Politics", "slug": "israeli-politics", "groupId": "oaA5hjgZSh89HoVfdGYX", "createdTime": 1712056629908}, {"name": "Gaza", "slug": "gaza", "groupId": "eb9005cb-58e8-49d5-90c2-47c6e64178c7", "cre... | ["israel", "israeli-politics", "gaza", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "wars", "food", "middle-east", "arabisraeli-conflict", "palestine"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714340243765 | 1714345253629 | 0.99 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6434743861697475 | UVLhs2tvXO9E4gWJ5hGk | {"NO": 511.48592851432954, "YES": 187.2252695087249} | 0.8313862188853314 | will-brics-add-another-nation-befor | 255 | Will BRICS add another nation before NATO does | 1923109140000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712056873656 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Country must be fully enlisted in either BRICS or NATO ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.023286084143696706} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6218846938678327, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 280 | JamesF | 1718725194981 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "BRICS", "slug": "brics", "groupId": "an8AXzMHVvWyECyQ4ukd", "createdTime": 1712056873901}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712056873900}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 171... | ["brics", "politics-default", "world-default", "nato"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718725191935 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.26878078185832555 | jUOmicn6k5yTn4KPvblJ | {"NO": 125.58754805935348, "YES": 1682.9381063177493} | 0 | hostage-will-evan-gershkovich-be-fr | 2689.6846987887516 | Hostage: Will Evan Gershkovich be freed from Russian prison by June 30, 2024? | 1719810334690 | IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712057108605 | Ken Michaels | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F2o2iX9vxR1.png?alt=media&token=48b5fd09-fea7-41a7-97a1-62e29c0e2a06", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It's been over ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.12239715946950905, "month": -0.1667012501347136} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.098646489504103, "platformFee": 1.525580833221173, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719810334690 | 270 | kenmichaels | 1719810334690 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmkalbert%2FsV_slNrI7H.MP?alt=media&token=cceb6bb1-21f3-4385-9a6c-c47195b85cb9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644799318130 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712057108768}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719810189312 | 1712062621519 | 0.03 | IQ9DwxT6rxaynVgkiDDfIv58LGE3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45064158378485486 | NQytBo2CJ1f5acjkt1Xe | {"NO": 161.2010730322412, "YES": 256.68969212842484} | 0.3399999999999999 | will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-de | 164.5103948227616 | Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than 9/11 before 2035 | 2049339540000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712057956627 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be more deaths than 9/11", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | JamesF | 1712179538090 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1712057956800}, {"name": "Terrorism", "slug": "terrorism", "groupId": "dWSuGqoMKLTROX8ar0Fz", "createdTime": 1712057956809}, {"name": "Violence", "slug": "violence", "groupId": "ciCm56n90lppReF8VClc", "createdTime": 1712057... | ["world-default", "terrorism", "violence"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712179534884 | 1712058190772 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49562673202618956 | mcFe8oafAn0qDVS45dsf | {"NO": 161.10234359203812, "YES": 200.90909090909096} | 0.4407038026968007 | will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-de-87cd7155974f | 40 | Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than October 7th before 2030 | 1893473940000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712058268501 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If there is a range of deaths going with the middle of the range", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | JamesF | 1712287170079 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1712058268638}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1712058268640}, {"name": "Terrorism", "slug": "terrorism", "groupId": "dWSuGqoMKLTROX8ar0Fz", "createdTime": 1712058268655... | ["crime", "world-default", "terrorism", "violence"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712287166816 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5353040453760884 | mK0zPgLutH0cjd9jX179 | {"NO": 12.610303662497671, "YES": 1062.8703389527486} | 0 | will-i-stay-in-masters-league-this | 1198.3612933639884 | Will I stay in masters league this month | 1714610471888 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712059086707 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.960835448287206, "platformFee": 3.960835448287206, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714610471888 | 140 | JamesF | 1714610471888 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1712059086866}, {"name": "Masters League", "slug": "masters-league", "groupId": "33de3f34-cff5-4952-a0d8-e731c2c37f5f", "createdTime": 1712059086880}] | ["manifold-leagues", "masters-league"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714609406424 | 1712060419416 | 0.01 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
52FIINeTKrTcXULUHyzS | what-countries-will-legalize-gay-ma | 252.57356509564312 | what countries will legalize gay marriage by 2030 | 1893473940000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712059622285 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only full legal gay marriage counts not civil unions or domestic partnerships ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "link to wikipedia article ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Same-sex_marriage"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.30807560175723836, "platformFee": 0.2624178057157576, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1718727640365 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 14 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "8fb2201185d7", "prob": 0.6621621621621624, "text": "Italy", "index": 0, "poolNo": 105.55555555555557, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 53.854875283446646, "textFts": "'itali':1", "contractId": "52FIINeTKrTcXULUHyzS", "createdTime": 1712059622285, "probChanges": {"day": 1.1... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1712059623518}, {"name": "Gay marriage", "slug": "gay-marriage", "groupId": "18a14d60-07ed-48ae-962a-439069141df3", "createdTime": 1712059623525}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZ... | ["world-default", "gay-marriage", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1718727637321 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.40762816319792966 | 5jxVD9nf8piti6tJPYJw | {"NO": 215.5, "YES": 217.7131971151866} | 0.4051632745986218 | will-donald-trump-be-charged-with-l | 93 | Will Donald Trump be charged with lying under oath (perjury) by the end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712059944823 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-16, "week": 5.551115123125783e-16, "month": 5.551115123125783e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 220 | BTE | 1712283659394 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645484592545 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712059944968}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId": "l8rzwticUu7jFUpOZnY2", "createdTime": 1712059944970}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "... | ["donald-trump", "trump-indictments", "law-order"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712283656082 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9029126023312599 | mN44OmSxJhdpTqRQ2yHL | {"NO": 11053.966768758726, "YES": 22.361327852484774} | 1 | -will-colo-colo-beat-cerro-porteno | 10897 | ⚽ Will Colo Colo beat Cerro Porteno during regular time on Thu, Apr 4, 2024? Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712199600000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1712060212823 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Colo Colo vs Cerro Porteno", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 00:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Compet... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.00021747138646799336} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712270277020 | 180 | FranklinBaldo | 1712199600000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Copa Libertadores", "slug": "copa-libertadores", "groupId": "IaEcAZ0Gdkloyw1gtXyu", "createdTime": 1712060213015}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060213029}] | ["copa-libertadores", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712195995886 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.24675421234695372 | X9v0rTx1OmitwWSW3YN3 | {"NO": 47.2353911805441, "YES": 7365.294433167191} | 0 | -will-san-lorenzo-beat-palmeiras-du | 7235.871625451959 | ⚽ Will San Lorenzo beat Palmeiras during regular time on Thu, Apr 4, 2024? Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712201400000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.553389120525746 | True | play | NO | public | 1712060216788 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ San Lorenzo vs Palmeiras", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 00:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competit... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0020964949238533905} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712532505636 | 260 | FranklinBaldo | 1712201400000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Copa Libertadores", "slug": "copa-libertadores", "groupId": "IaEcAZ0Gdkloyw1gtXyu", "createdTime": 1712060216933}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060216932}] | ["copa-libertadores", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712199910664 | 0 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3224770593795652 | ALk7y3ZddfVNqffPjaHN | {"NO": 36.46511214402943, "YES": 5282.722966017256} | 0 | -will-alianza-lima-beat-fluminense | 5136.476474766487 | ⚽ Will Alianza Lima beat Fluminense during regular time on Thu, Apr 4, 2024? Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712201400000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.5178627466473635 | True | play | NO | public | 1712060219107 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Alianza Lima vs Fluminense", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 00:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Compet... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.003274688724601798} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712530288373 | 240 | FranklinBaldo | 1712201400000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Copa Libertadores", "slug": "copa-libertadores", "groupId": "IaEcAZ0Gdkloyw1gtXyu", "createdTime": 1712060219258}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060219263}] | ["copa-libertadores", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712197518476 | 0 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.13782525089972872 | fGZv52G0ZCXY985fsv7D | {"NO": 109.15963942172321, "YES": 8247.823525382943} | 0 | -will-granada-cf-beat-valencia-duri | 8400.748783581303 | ⚽ Will Granada CF beat Valencia during regular time on Thu, Apr 4, 2024? La Liga 🇪🇸 | 1712264400000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.6250799860235103 | True | play | NO | public | 1712060220930 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Granada CF vs Valencia", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 18:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competitio... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.002111243639232243} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712441500277 | 300 | FranklinBaldo | 1712264400000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060221081}, {"name": "La Liga", "slug": "la-liga", "groupId": "7tVich7PzeBIyTTzP9o9", "createdTime": 1712060221074}] | ["soccer", "la-liga"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712261678097 | 1712412034877 | 0 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8261243130811146 | JIUw5coRGH3LUejvcC9p | {"NO": 44648.73172309831, "YES": 143.55083101487557} | 1 | -will-liverpool-beat-sheffield-utd | 47876.5034037384 | ⚽ Will Liverpool beat Sheffield Utd during regular time on Thu, Apr 4, 2024? Premier League 🇬🇧 | 1712266200000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8790648678822368 | True | play | YES | public | 1712060222763 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Liverpool vs Sheffield Utd", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 18:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Compet... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0006762328365468306} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712366616950 | 460 | FranklinBaldo | 1712266200000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1712060223165}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060223182}] | ["premiere-league", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712263880647 | 1 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.895590628378275 | iCzjmsNQ4RsqpPpYBnqU | {"NO": 10394.133496132237, "YES": 56.15960987851462} | 1 | -will-chelsea-beat-manchester-unite | 9660.057655213403 | ⚽ Will Chelsea beat Manchester United during regular time on Thu, Apr 4, 2024? Premier League 🇬🇧 | 1712268900000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.3118589857229175 | True | play | YES | public | 1712060224851 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Chelsea vs Manchester United", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 19:15", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Comp... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0006294949656788784} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712530330641 | 420 | FranklinBaldo | 1712268900000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060225076}, {"name": "Premier League", "slug": "premiere-league", "groupId": "5gsW3dPR3ySBRZCodrgm", "createdTime": 1712060225079}] | ["soccer", "premiere-league"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712264479632 | 1 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3442047089102156 | HUw7pHCaexqSxdasM1Lt | {"NO": 20.19085343670612, "YES": 6431.598750215087} | 0 | -will-caracas-fc-beat-atleticomg-du | 6605.584908054125 | ⚽ Will Caracas FC beat Atletico-MG during regular time on Thu, Apr 4, 2024? Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712278800000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.9072003815931082 | True | play | NO | public | 1712060226613 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Caracas FC vs Atletico-MG", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 22:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competi... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0016450126405530116} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712530358093 | 200 | FranklinBaldo | 1712278800000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Copa Libertadores", "slug": "copa-libertadores", "groupId": "IaEcAZ0Gdkloyw1gtXyu", "createdTime": 1712060226774}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060226773}] | ["copa-libertadores", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712275655110 | 0 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8600588103446789 | 0JdJZsehwON9bidmay5e | {"NO": 4438.08156757138, "YES": 32.66411274304645} | 1 | -will-rosario-central-beat-penarol | 4338.027650062005 | ⚽ Will Rosario Central beat Penarol during regular time on Thu, Apr 4, 2024? Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712278800000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.226850951501998 | True | play | YES | public | 1712060228217 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Rosario Central vs Penarol", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Thursday, April 4, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 22:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Compet... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0011961157833295655} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712530781429 | 200 | FranklinBaldo | 1712278800000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060228409}, {"name": "Copa Libertadores", "slug": "copa-libertadores", "groupId": "IaEcAZ0Gdkloyw1gtXyu", "createdTime": 1712060228422}] | ["soccer", "copa-libertadores"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712275590170 | 1 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3121625963141373 | SQhHeOXIJWsjlrCFT1Bg | {"NO": 36.69480056896544, "YES": 7582.088677607174} | 0 | -will-liverpool-montevideo-beat-ind | 7618.503847046026 | ⚽ Will Liverpool Montevideo beat Independiente del Valle during regular time on Fri, Apr 5, 2024? Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712286000000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.2301355646028402 | True | play | NO | public | 1712060230010 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Liverpool Montevideo vs Independiente del Valle", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Friday, April 5, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 00:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0021915829397990056} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712532554928 | 240 | FranklinBaldo | 1712286000000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Copa Libertadores", "slug": "copa-libertadores", "groupId": "IaEcAZ0Gdkloyw1gtXyu", "createdTime": 1712060230175}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060230177}] | ["copa-libertadores", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712284736299 | 0 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6847904106496532 | k7f6ndi1vBzUXyAQdo8i | {"NO": 6267.0728816464625, "YES": 26.89069383970996} | 1 | -will-talleres-cordoba-beat-sao-pau | 6836.318302169753 | ⚽ Will Talleres Cordoba beat Sao Paulo during regular time on Fri, Apr 5, 2024? Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712286000000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.8229476976435475 | True | play | YES | public | 1712060232483 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Friday, April 5, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 00:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Compe... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0019711610308381644} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712532573483 | 260 | FranklinBaldo | 1712286000000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060232644}, {"name": "Copa Libertadores", "slug": "copa-libertadores", "groupId": "IaEcAZ0Gdkloyw1gtXyu", "createdTime": 1712060232637}] | ["soccer", "copa-libertadores"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712284650532 | 1 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.25850679401452686 | RyKuuEleSoeSCFNujcUz | {"NO": 44.496287471246696, "YES": 7340.3204918996435} | 0 | -will-palestino-beat-bolivar-during | 8326.83389351553 | ⚽ Will Palestino beat Bolívar during regular time on Fri, Apr 5, 2024? Copa Libertadores 🌎 | 1712286000000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.5131971084496305 | True | play | NO | public | 1712060234625 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Palestino vs Bolívar", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Friday, April 5, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 00:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: C... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.002108903405665559} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712532625459 | 220 | FranklinBaldo | 1712286000000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "Copa Libertadores", "slug": "copa-libertadores", "groupId": "IaEcAZ0Gdkloyw1gtXyu", "createdTime": 1712060234869}, {"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060234868}] | ["copa-libertadores", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712284786075 | 0 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10765915832112628 | Z3LClcCrrJGEtInRIf8r | {"NO": 50.56193953185284, "YES": 11545.05812735662} | 0 | -will-eintracht-frankfurt-beat-werd | 15612.102397331488 | ⚽ Will Eintracht Frankfurt beat Werder Bremen during regular time on Fri, Apr 5, 2024? Bundesliga 🇩🇪 | 1712352600000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.473618338894975 | True | play | NO | public | 1712060236892 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Friday, April 5, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 18:30", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "�... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0005281027121071392} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712532685052 | 300 | FranklinBaldo | 1712352600000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1712060237047}, {"name": "Bundesliga", "slug": "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2", "groupId": "7c53ccd3-1a40-41ca-bd88-dedac17a91a9", "createdTime": 1712060237063}] | ["soccer", "bundesliga-c6b3a5db36d2"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712352098381 | 0 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6767085741374119 | ta6pr0ShwPjiPyCtk5sw | {"NO": 475.1731361330903, "YES": 91.82851169758351} | 0.915478655593957 | warp-will-ethan-solve-the-generaliz | 633.2091891000538 | WARP: Will Ethan solve the generalized Borromean rings problem? | 1712703540000 | umnlS0ypotMw58cNPN5JCmQB2Rs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712060284996 | Carlos | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Ask Ethan for informatiom about the problem / look at whiteboard at JCR.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | Carlose321 | 1712657189233 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtdQ1tM08HMNy88QH40b14uiodu8IxXl9Ka3zM0s9QlQ=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 14 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1689075425068 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712657185995 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
b7SwUjhmtzfvH4fWMHwK | asian-stock-nifty-3-how-will-each-o-e5f7d1bdc4a7 | 5032 | Asian Stock (Nifty + 3): How Will Each Of The Indian Indices Close On April 3 Compared To Its Close On April 2? | 1712141914394 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712060697815 | Grey Box | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The markets are open from 5.50 am - 4.30 pm IST (different time fo... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712141914394 | 320 | GreyBox | 1712141914394 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcgcLF6_hQzuAGLru0yBQSqgd02HTNIqX1dO_RW6M3v=s96-c | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "79906cafd769", "prob": 0.0004002757555087063, "text": "Nifty - NIFTY_50: Higher", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.6062517638945853, "userId": "kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1513.9790198924072, "textFts": "'50':3 'higher':4 'nifti':1,2", "contractId": "b7SwUjhmtzfvH4fWMHwK", "resolution": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1692725309128 | 0 | [{"name": "Stock Market-Daily", "slug": "stock-marketdaily", "groupId": "fb5495b0-7695-4ff4-92f1-4357551d8536", "createdTime": 1712060698056}, {"name": "Asia", "slug": "asia", "groupId": "bPTxMZhUYsIUXsWT969d", "createdTime": 1712060698059}, {"name": "🇮🇳 India", "slug": "india", "groupId": "Y2J00UcVhr3wKq2lAOAy", "cr... | ["stock-marketdaily", "asia", "india", "stocks", "nifty"] | 0.25 | 1712139607865 | 0 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5774008071192552 | 8Asr1WfhdEURIquun3Op | {"NO": 1646.4221295929417, "YES": 33.651022198991285} | 1 | will-there-be-over-15-non-partner-c | 1676.0935894296958 | Will there be over 1.5 non partner creators in the top 10 of masters at the end of this month | 1714610415440 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1712060928589 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.7421404886813048, "platformFee": 3.7421404886813048, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714610415440 | 180 | JamesF | 1714610415440 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1712060928795}] | ["manifold-leagues"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714609399724 | 1714607607507 | 0.99 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.