p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.5 | oCVSclr8K04eoPO604mB | {"NO": 12.096460952845971, "YES": 826.6880733944952} | 0 | will-nvda-open-higher-on-april-2nd | 803.0146501582651 | Will NVDA open higher on April 2nd than its previous day close? | 1712141502334 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.574061017548291 | True | play | NO | public | 1712061511045 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.01442141629644881} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712141502334 | 100 | RiskOptimization | 1712141502334 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712138856778 | 0.01 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4763463559061782 | nFYLiKaTPZikrrgoK6KV | {"NO": 11.541176688827127, "YES": 1039.3552198848208} | 0 | will-the-sp-500-open-higher-on-apri | 943.0604700115445 | Will the S&P 500 open higher on April 2nd compared to its previous day close? | 1712123624062 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.821728557331769 | True | play | NO | public | 1712061635672 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712123624062 | 140 | RiskOptimization | 1712123624062 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1712061636726}, {"name": "S&P 500", "slug": "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "groupId": "14f1d7bf-d7f0-403b-91fa-0fc25f101525", "createdTime": 1712061636723}] | ["stocks", "sp-500-439f18dbc885"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712122757770 | 1712122822885 | 0.01 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42090255202121424 | jXz46y4vDpbDSEIckaqx | {"NO": 945.2715548854275, "YES": 1069.859150132843} | 0.3910550644689398 | will-there-be-a-transgender-preside | 216.68435521663756 | Will there be a transgender president before a transgender speaker of the house. | 3502933140000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.763106802468812 | False | basic | public | 1712061830615 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "must be a self identifying transgender person. It counts if they come out after elected.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-16, "week": 5.551115123125783e-16, "month": 5.551115123125783e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1712613113770 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712061830764}, {"name": "Trans Questions", "slug": "trans-questions", "groupId": "g9uOjtMhLBdzSCfU25xV", "createdTime": 1712061830770}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqti... | ["politics-default", "trans-questions", "us-politics", "future-us-presidents"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712613110540 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4002338000390397 | THl5BsxZwOQHKcdUkECv | {"NO": 166.77173533325634, "YES": 138.21600585821378} | 0.4460402751711996 | will-there-be-another-idf-assault-o | 160.46596108787693 | Will there be another IDF assault on al-Shifa hospital before the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712061861057 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The IDF pulled out of al-Shifa for the second time over this past weekend. Will resolve YES if the IDF launches another major siege or assault on what remains of the hospital complex by the end of 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.19257444891763495, "platformFee": 0.19257444891763495, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | BTE | 1715979544236 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645484592545 | 0 | [{"name": "IDF", "slug": "idf", "groupId": "c1283caf-7a14-4a76-a3ae-fad4b37115c8", "createdTime": 1712061861196}, {"name": "๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1712061861203}, {"name": "Gaza", "slug": "gaza", "groupId": ... | ["idf", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "gaza", "palestine"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715979540893 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6132651264410874 | KrOPW2YUUKriFq7K2opi | {"NO": 2028.1400181597664, "YES": 42.063966166149726} | 1 | will-i-remain-in-diamond-this-seaso | 1886.1913167103642 | Will I remain in Diamond this season? | 1714715940000 | qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1712061981415 | Chris ๐ฅ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.02564927529864, "platformFee": 4.02564927529864, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714726595846 | 200 | chris | 1714715940000 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fcjsedwards%2F0rr7gruUWz.19?alt=media&token=8dfba163-ccec-436f-8af3-57f4cf25db11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697241046761 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1712061981586}, {"name": "Platinum League", "slug": "platinum-league", "groupId": "ae17e701-0abb-4974-8bbb-505a34ba1303", "createdTime": 1712061981584}, {"name": "Diamond League", "slug": "diamond-league", "group... | ["manifold-leagues", "platinum-league", "diamond-league"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714608037598 | 1714607649943 | 0.99 | qnREWtzsdkOkzrR2k0jEe0EDp5j1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Nh4weiFumRErbpz3kXJU | what-will-be-the-most-downloaded-ap | 492.0292717275456 | What will be the most downloaded app in 2024 in the USA | 1735707540000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712062371803 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I believe this source will publish 2024 data but I might need to find another source if they don't ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.businessofapps.com/data/most-popular-apps/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3411848743866074, "platformFee": 0.3411848743866074, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1714070481991 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 20 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2d967ae4fda1", "prob": 0.28126891774417756, "text": "Instagram", "index": 0, "poolNo": 188.72566511219037, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 482.25378980163686, "textFts": "'instagram':1", "contractId": "Nh4weiFumRErbpz3kXJU", "createdTime": 1712062371804, "probChanges": {"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712062372009}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.25 | 1714070478500 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.09765712151337873 | 3uIN7sZ11OzPVmGkhAcQ | {"NO": 909.0145268050735, "YES": 1432.9955215587836} | 0.06424238898121618 | will-a-world-leader-visit-the-moon | 433 | Will a world leader visit the moon before 2040 | 2209006740000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.26262491667788 | False | basic | public | 1712062518331 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A world leader is anyone who is considered the leader of their country. The term \"world leader\" is a bit subjective feel free to ask me questions about who I would consider a world leader, I won't bet in this market.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.0044784412152348565, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1717602335450 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712062518491}, {"name": "๐ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1712062518498}, {"name": "๐ Moon", "slug": "moon", "groupId": "mcSfQitoDEt19DoPDBJc", ... | ["politics-default", "space-exploration", "moon", "space"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717602332184 | 1712086335701 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
QgzvjA9qNfhjlq1rVqhM | will-cuba-still-be-a-communist-coun | 1622.714917719446 | Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates | 1893560340000 | UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712062525044 | James Dillard | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Using Wikipediaโs characterization of the government type to resolve: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba", "class": "br... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.270545938737541, "platformFee": 0.5552587558316441, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1200 | jdilla | 1718461178149 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgQ3DNbYEPlxgQPup0iq_AO-L4Z9__n3MX3MtqVpLw=s96-c | 29 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "0eeccf3b9f7e", "prob": 0.957448890306438, "text": "Jan 1, 2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 343.2392691676545, "userId": "UDtma0GdHvankZVH0RBQJI0HPcH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 15.254299149917458, "textFts": "'1':2 '2025':3 'jan':1", "contractId": "QgzvjA9qNfhjlq1rVqhM", "createdTime": 1712062525044, "probChan... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1640809152248 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712062525357}, {"name": "Cuba", "slug": "cuba", "groupId": "da13d56e-3d32-43e7-845f-8f4ea153a6b1", "createdTime": 1712062525382}, {"name": "Us-Cuba relations", "slug": "uscuba-relations", "groupId": "99a39d97-eaa5-4... | ["politics-default", "cuba", "uscuba-relations"] | 0.25 | 1718461174966 | 1718104750429 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
peeDx9uVVmWDoUBQH6Kq | which-of-the-following-events-will-0fa899ae86ee | 55 | Which of the following events will happen first? | 1712064222277 | c7Xgun1DE5WQ4bVESe4d2UrpDBg2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1712062811978 | M.F.S. | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market resolves when one of the options becomes true, or if the year 2029 ends and none has happened yet.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712064222277 | 475 | MFS | 1712064222277 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJRcaiwhjLvYRW-CGl-IdrGFuE87vgS_qIUgOm5hiln=s96-c | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "796ab3ae205e", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Bitcoin price reaches $200,000", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "c7Xgun1DE5WQ4bVESe4d2UrpDBg2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'000':5 '200':4 'bitcoin':1 'price':2 'reach':3", "contractId": "peeDx9uVVmWDoUBQH6Kq", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "c... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1711639969562 | 0 | [{"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1712062812443}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712062812472}, {"name": "๐ช Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso"... | ["bitcoin-maxi", "politics-default", "crypto-speculation", "soccer", "bitcoin", "world-default", "finance", "taylor-swift"] | 0.25 | 1712062964929 | 1712064202566 | 0.5 | c7Xgun1DE5WQ4bVESe4d2UrpDBg2 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x26AZ9RIBpuKgJdSirKo | fide-candidates-tournament-open-sec | 13927.460217942122 | FIDE Candidates Tournament Open Section - Round 1 prop bets | 1712272401793 | ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1712063386224 | Captain Jack Sparrow | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Add responses as you see fit", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712272401793 | 2150 | diadematus | 1712301252956 | 0 | 24 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "97eb7e649ed9", "prob": 0.00401205319395021, "text": "Four decisive games", "index": 0, "poolNo": 6.588665883281939, "userId": "ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1635.6293119882512, "textFts": "'decis':2 'four':1 'game':3", "contractId": "x26AZ9RIBpuKgJdSirKo", "resolution": "NO", "res... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697566520755 | 0 | [{"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1712063386438}, {"name": "โ๏ธ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1712063386445}, {"name": "๐๏ธ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime... | ["sports-betting", "chess", "sports-default", "chess-candidates-2024"] | 0.25 | 1712270767317 | 1712301252331 | 0.1 | ed0TYP2NEbWZ3K9oeW2DarokXOy1 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
PElANY2XDGuNctuFIT2o | will-jimmy-kimmel-show-people-sayin | 8761.476192251537 | Will Jimmy Kimmel show people saying, "I can't believe it's May", in May? | 1715092140000 | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 90b2c51560a4 | public | 1712063413055 | Genzy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "April edition: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Timestamp 6:50", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": ". I think there were 19 clips", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://www.youtube.com/embed/odmOcs6tYfU?... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.470276835291275, "platformFee": 2.470276835291275, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715098695629 | 300 | Gen | 1715098744217 | 0 | 13 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "90b2c51560a4", "prob": 0.9983956293428308, "text": "Yes - 15 or more clips", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1889.9289152951555, "userId": "cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3.0370190000042108, "textFts": "'15':2 'clip':5 'yes':1", "contractId": "PElANY2XDGuNctuFIT2o", "resolverId": "cA1JupYR5A... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668776584415 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1712063517475}, {"name": "TV", "slug": "tv", "groupId": "8isZHbaQMsoFz30XuZTo", "createdTime": 1712063531206}] | ["entertainment", "tv"] | 0.25 | 1714680613984 | 1715098742648 | {"90b2c51560a4": 100} | cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
dikfgI8pIOiXJjQhVHXT | what-will-be-the-first-celestial-bo | 508.5533704048702 | What will be the first celestial body other than Earth, Moon and Mars to be visited by humans? | 4111012740000 | ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1712063754688 | Oleg Eterevsky | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "So far humans have set foot on Earth and Moon. There are also some early plan to send humans to Mars. This question is about the next celestial body to be landed on by humans.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "conte... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9562025413508437, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | OlegEterevsky | 1717495713019 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIrKQfky4Nxm2Qdsu7P1OOt8lDYh7dkqk19iplCCt_FEXxn=s96-c | 17 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "002db26b12a1", "prob": 0.013746372907039435, "text": "Mercury", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.527009016017622, "userId": "ggfvjliocTRO7vlDu2bmIUCByVg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 540.0362694516491, "textFts": "'mercuri':1", "contractId": "dikfgI8pIOiXJjQhVHXT", "createdTime": 1712063754688, "probChanges": {"day":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703105455482 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712063755042}, {"name": "๐งช Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1712063755046}, {"name": "๐ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "c... | ["space", "science-default", "space-exploration"] | 0.25 | 1717495709792 | 1712752352560 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Hb7AFkrENqmfitcVYRtk | how-many-videos-uploaded-by-destiny-337a8c071082 | 1091.0695341654903 | How many videos uploaded by Destiny in April 2024 will have over 400k views at the end of the month? | 1714708740000 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 5ce6d14ee365 | public | 1712063956653 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution base on the video view counts displayed on Destiny's youtube channel AT THE END OF THE MONTH ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "https://www.youtube.com/@destiny/videos", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.712679922274146, "platformFee": 6.712679922274146, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714743851794 | 345 | AmmonLam | 1714708740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "c8ed9276f2c7", "prob": 0.013284658718536608, "text": "0", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.434780536279712, "userId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 775.0412152994019, "textFts": "'0':1", "contractId": "Hb7AFkrENqmfitcVYRtk", "resolverId": "hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2", "createdTime": 17... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1712063956961}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1712063956972}] | ["destinygg", "youtube"] | 0.25 | 1714706523053 | {"5ce6d14ee365": 100} | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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SZM2haSKffQFrtSzHbGV | what-countries-will-join-the-un-bef | 1282.487546010723 | What countries will join the UN before 2030 | 1893473940000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712079454244 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If a country is accepted but hasnโt completed joining by 2030 it still counts ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.9005070210284956, "platformFee": 1.1671104196452056, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1720107191138 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 19 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "7e8a954b516a", "prob": 0.6246791831946378, "text": "Bougainville", "index": 0, "poolNo": 189.58412430741598, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 113.90625828845371, "textFts": "'bougainvill':1", "contractId": "SZM2haSKffQFrtSzHbGV", "createdTime": 1712079454244, "probChanges"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1712079454528}, {"name": "United Nations", "slug": "united-nations", "groupId": "41b22946-b798-4d04-b362-ff8d88e3b03f", "createdTime": 1712079454531}, {"name": "๐ World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaP... | ["politics-default", "united-nations", "world-default"] | 0.25 | 1720107187936 | False | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5658347592907462 | 2wPTwnn2m88GICabhxRJ | {"NO": 290.1913167103643, "YES": 96.96025036690449} | 1 | will-i-walk-70km-across-the-pyrenne | 130.19131671036408 | Will I walk ~70km, across the Pyrennees, to Pamplona by Tuesday 9th April? | 1712497476254 | 0VON2byWgyS10VCUa9X3HX4s1t32 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.099594621697057 | True | play | YES | public | 1712079728520 | Gordan Knott | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starting in southern France on Thursday.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.2040589497702051} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1712497476254 | 160 | GordanKnott | 1712497476254 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698871173640 | 0 | [{"name": "Religion", "slug": "religion", "groupId": "Oc6SrO47XuiKvrcujdXq", "createdTime": 1712079728698}] | ["religion"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712394283260 | 0.8 | 0VON2byWgyS10VCUa9X3HX4s1t32 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4264091814168884 | Y2oXeq0NLOZ9uGU7IdJk | {"NO": 144.72991030314327, "YES": 233.75521230548463} | 0.31519944757956897 | will-king-gizzard-make-an-80s-disco | 78.24478769451548 | Will king gizzard make an 80's disco album? | 1712721540000 | iEW4Ujzm6geG18FaSRyKh1vfW8z2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712080045624 | kabuki Jones | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | kabukiJones | 1712707359625 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocITF4HUvVK8Z0aUQ7jegs8eY4u5bPzodsxE_qG_u3DQ=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 13 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712074411159 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ท Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1712080045757}, {"name": "King Gizzard & The Lizard Wizard", "slug": "king-gizzard-the-lizard-wizard", "groupId": "e4a79fea-7cd4-442e-9348-8585c33bc972", "createdTime": 1712080045787}] | ["music-f213cbf1eab5", "king-gizzard-the-lizard-wizard"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1712707356126 | 1712658494774 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3674407583307001 | tYg7sLgzzhNYajhsQfYi | {"NO": 55.05362064420524, "YES": 3165.972980542391} | 0 | will-creators-dominate-the-top-3-po | 3250.9783486479837 | Will creators dominate the top 3 position of Season 12 Masters League? | 1714610940974 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712080269015 | Ammon Lam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if at the end of the Season 12 Masters League, all users on the top 3 positions have over 20k trader bonuses ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.207813203222672, "platformFee": 4.207813203222672, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714610940974 | 260 | AmmonLam | 1714610940974 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3tZQ3FxKg9rh6V8N0P2Lax5R_TfROJtQmrapTp=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668192587343 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1712080269346}] | ["manifold-leagues"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714608362487 | 1714608097363 | 0.01 | hRbPwezgxnat6GpJQxoFxq1xgUZ2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RBZtETdib8Zj0tJbsOiB | which-prediction-marketforecasting | 0 | Which prediction market/forecasting site do you use the most (besides Manifold)? | 1735714740000 | IRwA1MdNi6bbB9O3pWQW8mCRVZl2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1712080459473 | Daniel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Which prediction/forecasting site do you use the most besides Manifold (if you use one)?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My goal for this poll is to get a clearer picture of the overlap betwee... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | schlongenheim | 1712249523549 | 0 | 69 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1709006636872 | 0 | [{"name": "๐จ Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1712080459644}, {"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712080459650}, {"name": "๐ World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe",... | ["culture-default", "technology-default", "world-default", "entertainment"] | 0.25 | 1712249523012 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.08416664872682464 | sQW1XNgWhWXzH5PnPUDY | {"NO": 927.0453046266128, "YES": 1255.6770966765966} | 0.06353843634381537 | if-we-discover-an-extraterrestrial | 659.0637646256355 | If there is scientific consensus we've discovered the first extraterrestrial life form, will it be silicon based? | 7258222740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.37739445867484 | False | basic | public | 1712081021291 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothetical_types_of_biochemistry", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothetical_types_of_biochemistry", "class": "break-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0010757705894771583} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.25738995845754925, "platformFee": 0.1641949783196337, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1718933900583 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฝ Aliens", "slug": "aliens", "groupId": "FvhchmbPB3fymwvEFx0G", "createdTime": 1712081021444}, {"name": "๐ญ Space exploration", "slug": "space-exploration", "groupId": "7EN6VxtLzX459WLUsjQv", "createdTime": 1712081021448}, {"name": "๐ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime... | ["aliens", "space-exploration", "space", "technology-default", "science-fiction", "science-default", "extraterrestrial-life", "biology", "astrobiology"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718933897493 | 1712155833037 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16433824485860685 | PlcI3Rud2Wy1IFi6C2fH | {"NO": 956.3594449579106, "YES": 1040.6279901321866} | 0.15306737328495093 | will-there-be-scientific-consensus-3a4a63bb4fac | 398.2833379931552 | Will there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060? | 2871781140000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.827656076912273 | False | basic | public | 1712081301396 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothetical_types_of_biochemistry", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothetical_types_of_biochemistry", "class": "break-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.002999295010872094} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7940372737228502, "platformFee": 0.5767399251556583, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1718933819837 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1712081301564}, {"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1712081301563}, {"name": "๐งฌ Biology", "slug": "biology", "groupId": "82OVufkY4rbpp5uizfqL", "createdTime": ... | ["space", "technology-default", "biology", "extraterrestrial-life", "astrobiology", "aliens", "science-default", "space-exploration", "science-fiction"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718933816754 | 1712119819076 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FrES4GE1qsURjSJgD72V | the-highest-market-cap-of-a-corpora | 20.000000000000014 | The Highest Market Cap of a Corporation in Trillions at EOY 2024 | 1735707540000 | 8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1712081302818 | Sss | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, Microsoft with 3.13T", "type": "text"}]}]} | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | Sss19971997 | 1712084231297 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJYstjF0shAAXTwqQnhiZPJhmg3XSDaVGD2Kttp_TCF=s96-c | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "d9501107e9ff", "prob": 0.009872397017776346, "text": "2-2.04", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.9110247350800305, "userId": "8u5ZFBP4UjQ3JvD7B8z0gR9Um2F3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 91.3689690131079, "textFts": "'-2.04':2 '2':1", "contractId": "FrES4GE1qsURjSJgD72V", "createdTime": 1712081302818, "probChanges": {"da... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696879998283 | 0 | 0.25 | 1712084227544 | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5346535958309109 | IsSf5bjW2ZCA5kvr8YKe | {"NO": 1229.7822503989064, "YES": 48.99769097958256} | 1 | will-i-win-at-least-330-of-my-blood | 1165.988457916271 | Will I win at least 33.0% of my Blood on the Clocktower games at Clocktower Con? | 1713187632612 | GB5hZnKVXCdbNXRJbJT1WFH6nQ02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.448414496082801 | True | play | YES | public | 1712082100961 | bh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only including games I play in, not Storytell. It will include games I Travel into, though if I Travel out before the end of the game I might not be able to find out if I won and won't count the game for this market. I don't currently plan to inten... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.444187321138406} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1713187632612 | 220 | hamiltonianurst | 1717422619539 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669137065045 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฒ Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac3-4400-962a-72973b3ceb62", "createdTime": 1717422619539}] | ["nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | 1713187600964 | 1713187618305 | 0.97 | GB5hZnKVXCdbNXRJbJT1WFH6nQ02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3486599838760243 | 5SwABsiitBhlaPF7i9yx | {"NO": 54.483246096917185, "YES": 1970.862546678978} | 0 | will-donald-trump-announce-his-vice | 3168.075623926054 | Will Donald Trump announce his Vice President Running Mate before exactly June 3rd at 12:34PM EST? | 1717432440000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1712082380652 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 18.487851987037686, "platformFee": 0.43519456154080355, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717434498995 | 200 | strutheo | 1717432440000 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ด Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1712082380815}, {"name": "Vice President", "slug": "vice-president", "groupId": "nGBfyadry75PAjENM5Fq", "createdTime": 1712082380821}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "... | ["donald-trump", "vice-president", "politics-default", "magaland", "2024-republican-primaries", "trump-vp", "2024-primaries"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717431171939 | 1716997955454 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 |
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