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will-ben-shapiro-and-candace-owens
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Will Ben Shapiro and Candace Owens debate in 2024?
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cpmm-1
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9.649417284963487
False
basic
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1712391610356
jackson polack
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "voice debate. Doesn't have to be released in 2024, just happen", "type": "text"}]}]}
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will-any-member-of-the-kennedy-fami
110
Will any member of the Kennedy family, other than RFK Jr, run for POTUS between now and the 2036 election?
2109416340000
RxMw49kYVSaIiHROsvl0jshD1Ut1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712394071358
Andrew Donnellan
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if a member of the Kennedy family (by birth, not marriage), other than RFK Jr, formally announces a campaign for the US presidency that goes beyond the point of an exploratory committee.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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AndrewDonnellan
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0.3333333333333333
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will-global-co2-emissions-in-2024-d
220
Will global CO2 emissions in 2024 deplete the remaining carbon budget to limit warming to 1.5°C?
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D3wFR2hkO4M7ZqrKIYqHzrjSGD22
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
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1712395074978
:3
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
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will-towards-monosemanticity-decomp
20
Will "Towards Monosemanticity: Decomposing Language..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1738368000000
h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
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10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1712395093493
Less Wrong
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom...
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which-teams-will-make-it-to-the-mle
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Which teams will make it to the M-league 2024 finals?
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HX4vEPB06WXFQwuC4zt0v5imDew2
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True
play
MKT
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1712395937549
Porple
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Semifinals start next week so I figured I'd make a market for it.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only 4 teams make it to the finals, and there are 6 currently competing. They each have a star...
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Premier League Weekend Prop Bets, Apr 6-7
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Tyler
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Will manifold users be unable to place a bet for at least 20 minutes on election night
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cpmm-1
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1712401948308
James
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Outage must be caused by a bug or site overflow. Wouldn’t resolve if manifold staff shut down betting to do maintenance.", "type": "text"}]}]}
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Will Iran engage in significant attack on Israel to avenge death of Rev Guard General? (Expires 6pm EDT April 15, 2024)
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Bruce
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If manifold holds a manifold TV event for the presidential election, how many viewers will there be at its peak.
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James
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who-will-gain-rating-during-fide-ca
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Who will gain rating during FIDE Candidates tournament?
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cpmm-multi-1
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True
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1712403443438
Weezing
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conditional-on-x-being-the-tipping
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Conditional on X being the tipping point state, will Biden win it?
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eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
cpmm-multi-1
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10.586609649448985
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1712403534925
Plasma Ballin'
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will-jon-tester-outperform-biden-by
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Will Jon Tester outperform Biden by double digits?
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cpmm-1
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9.746055260833673
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basic
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1712404158026
Semiotic Rivalry
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