p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
kU6uVLF66YrmhLAwCErQ | at-what-pick-will-jj-mccarthy-be-dr | 999.9554770665611 | At what pick will JJ McCarthy be drafted (N/A if top 5) | 1714094624747 | BYGxdu40OjPyDJ3PhIRm0EKY1yc2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | b1fb626eea2d | public | 1713982957070 | Chinmay The Math Guy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "JJ McCarthy Betting odds for reference:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Top 5: -158 (61%)", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "l... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.494796108635015, "platformFee": 6.494796108635015, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714094624747 | 270 | ChinmayTheMathGuy | 1714094624747 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZq896I_Ax8LGfe5H_KMzO98z8XRF1EV3Jg9qYo=s96-c | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "67be38ca4b60", "prob": 0.005584297477893747, "text": "6", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.023562738127151, "userId": "BYGxdu40OjPyDJ3PhIRm0EKY1yc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 538.4165647078701, "textFts": "'6':1", "contractId": "kU6uVLF66YrmhLAwCErQ", "resolverId": "BYGxdu40OjPyDJ3PhIRm0EKY1yc2", "createdTime": 171... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1677787177859 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1713982957541}] | ["nfl"] | 0.25 | 1714094390096 | {"b1fb626eea2d": 100} | BYGxdu40OjPyDJ3PhIRm0EKY1yc2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
dK7V87HkRpEW4WimjAKI | what-will-be-the-name-of-the-new-ut | 505 | What will be the name of the new Utah NHL team? | 1718316255287 | 11Lpvk5hfrf2GIgsWssdC8InM0q1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | 22e2cadc94bd | public | 1713983215822 | Rick | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will close when an official team name is announced from the NHL or official league source. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.993991801170219, "platformFee": 3.4001859237368848, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718316255287 | 325 | RickWilson | 1718316255287 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJuHWYOwfCSzo_6gdp37uY-xxvzw2hYUikKW0GXzBwovUc=s96-c | 7 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5c4cd3ae79ab", "prob": 0.0730559751298931, "text": "Utah Yetis", "index": 0, "poolNo": 21.905489939764948, "userId": "11Lpvk5hfrf2GIgsWssdC8InM0q1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 277.9397985642501, "textFts": "'utah':1 'yeti':2", "contractId": "dK7V87HkRpEW4WimjAKI", "resolverId": "11Lpvk5hfrf2GIgsWssdC8InM0q1"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702601732206 | 0 | [{"name": "Hockey", "slug": "hockey", "groupId": "tYP9jmPPjoX29KfzE4l5", "createdTime": 1713983216544}, {"name": "Ice Hockey", "slug": "ice-hockey", "groupId": "68ee6874-3058-4c8f-ae72-5b8a764c8741", "createdTime": 1713983216543}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "crea... | ["hockey", "ice-hockey", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 1718316033963 | 1718316221830 | {"22e2cadc94bd": 100} | 11Lpvk5hfrf2GIgsWssdC8InM0q1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5147320622873512 | yZ6J5xUNtbIIiQJtLhAv | {"NO": 275.0340747352454, "YES": 73.87581831147972} | 0.7979377479723042 | will-i-reach-500-subscribers-on-you | 284.263157694729 | Will I reach 500 subscribers on Youtube by the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713984096045 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.youtube.com/@strutheo", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/@strutheo", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:d... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.3540025269409064, "platformFee": 3.3540025269409064, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | strutheo | 1716193492023 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1713984096281}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1713984096283}, {"name": "Strutheo", "slug": "strutheo", "groupId": "efbed7fd-375a-49da-bffd-9d44fd1bdf50", "cr... | ["youtube", "manifold-users", "strutheo", "livestreaming", "streaming-b160dddff0ab"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716193488752 | 1716082189124 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IuweZP9YBqrNSg1dveyM | a-year-after-the-manifold-pivot-wha | 370.8642863550237 | A year after the Manifold pivot, what will be allowed under the "significantly tighten[ed] rules" for market resolution? | 1746169140000 | lnLC8qEiz0aJXDRRkYRXEPaxKpM2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713985436169 | Collected Over Spread | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold recently announced a major \"", "type": "text"}, {"text": "pivot", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/A-New-Deal-for-Manifold-c6e9de8f08b549859c64afb3af1dd393", "class": "break... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.269073863308988, "platformFee": 5.269073863308988, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 575 | CollectedOverSpread | 1714910557017 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "ca0db61d854c", "prob": 0.6028013366116336, "text": "On Dec 31st, 2024, when I flip this coin, will it come up heads?", "index": 0, "poolNo": 91.32866318926261, "userId": "lnLC8qEiz0aJXDRRkYRXEPaxKpM2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 60.17840496460724, "textFts": "'2024':4 '31st':3 'coin':9 'come':12 'dec':2 'fli... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1669187789067 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713985436397}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1713985436403}, {"name": "Pivot Predictions", "slug": "pivot-predictions"... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-business-future", "pivot-predictions"] | 0.25 | 1714910553731 | 1714543671008 | False | old | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3287965639289052 | dUviEO1poAgufrjADftH | {"NO": 187.32056732182346, "YES": 684.2186797732651} | 0 | should-former-president-trump-be-im | 390 | Should Former President Trump be immune from criminal prosecution for alleged crimes that occurred while in office? | 1714311151503 | VSoJiHHO5rZ9DKCdMHxpBAsvY233 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.88268146138687 | True | play | NO | public | 1713987175117 | Teri DiPiano | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The US Supreme Court will hear arguments tomorrow to decide the issue. This question will be resolved through a one week poll on manifold after this poll closes. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.890660113367464, "platformFee": 2.890660113367464, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714311151503 | 300 | TeriDiPiano | 1714311151503 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIuj8Kw2DH5YJDJmDLSpoSWBVQgv1JjFiYk4uKV0NNP=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696966469380 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1713987175288}, {"name": "Supreme Court", "slug": "supreme-court", "groupId": "ci33MLyc1P8Fww2e6kxp", "createdTime": 1713987175290}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId": "l8rzwticUu7jFUpOZn... | ["donald-trump", "supreme-court", "trump-indictments", "trial-of-the-century"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714176929765 | 0.12 | VSoJiHHO5rZ9DKCdMHxpBAsvY233 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4050003874008914 | s8ikoi3XeqkOqjAq6ib0 | {"NO": 165.19392597619114, "YES": 318.5813601455175} | 0 | if-president-biden-commits-crimes-w | 101 | If President Biden commits crimes while in office should he be immune from criminal prosecution? | 1714311109952 | VSoJiHHO5rZ9DKCdMHxpBAsvY233 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.168154912630209 | True | play | NO | public | 1713987295851 | Teri DiPiano | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will be resolved through a one week poll on manifold after this poll closes. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2093199272412087, "platformFee": 1.2093199272412087, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714311109952 | 220 | TeriDiPiano | 1714311109952 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIuj8Kw2DH5YJDJmDLSpoSWBVQgv1JjFiYk4uKV0NNP=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696966469380 | 0 | [{"name": "immunity", "slug": "immunity", "groupId": "865c1bec-a9ea-4e01-a215-7d0cb38ddecb", "createdTime": 1713987296014}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1713987296256}] | ["immunity", "the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714065577566 | 0.26 | VSoJiHHO5rZ9DKCdMHxpBAsvY233 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5120467294928603 | BMswDbnSHWNaLzDtRAjE | {"NO": 208.8382028967605, "YES": 95.4632664091665} | 0.5 | placeholder-market-2 | 279.7591610148985 | Will a Manifold staff member or official account own the most prize markets on July 1? | 1719820860000 | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713987480781 | nikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bet on prize point markets!", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A staff member/official account is officially affiliated by Manifold, or is a contractor including Joshua. An alt of a staff/contrac... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.3463703290019484, "month": -0.269430325257607} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.819675182973929, "platformFee": 2.0264765254263706, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719938890936 | 140 | nikki | 1719820860000 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678327601414 | 0 | [{"name": "Prize Points", "slug": "prize-points", "groupId": "beeb5983-89ed-4af0-91d4-4df78b4e99b4", "createdTime": 1716005302180}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1716005304037}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7... | ["prize-points", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719698619300 | 1719934227196 | 0.5 | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4994532952616913 | 8yHKTnpCTnfy3SgK0ca7 | {"NO": 93.4837793001559, "YES": 209.74673914839613} | 0.3078266392013734 | placeholder-market-3 | 212.2513362356484 | Will an Arab party be in the next Israeli coalition? | 33481922340000 | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713987487571 | nikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The coalition after the current coalition. Does not count if the war cabinet is ended and the pre-war government continues. Outside support, without being a member, such as a confidence agreement for the coalition will count.", "type": "text"}]}, {... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.08782663920137312} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.329372006825657, "platformFee": 2.3463398213358646, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | nikki | 1718617913103 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678327601414 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718617909706 | 1716092840271 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5009980794613841 | 2bQ23jvgMsD8hwM2RpRB | {"NO": 182.40161395544825, "YES": 107.5629175857064} | 0.6299791324625655 | placeholder-market-4 | 81.82466634266616 | Will there be a new MVP on Manifold in 2024? | 1735678740000 | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713987494058 | nikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "@Eliza", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/Eliza", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underli... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.04234952694107463} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.133900806207468, "platformFee": 0.36400856166913287, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | nikki | 1718620388901 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678327601414 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718620385816 | 1716191330565 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49840449470135945 | LLW0h31ONQkrvaauK4L6 | {"NO": 119.99694533131222, "YES": 119.99694533131222} | 0.49840449470135945 | placeholder-market-5 | 3.869042628158083 | Placeholder market 5 | 33481922340000 | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1713987508530 | nikki | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Manifold changes the market creation cost, then I will change the title and description to something of my choosing. Feel free to bet in the meantime", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Else, t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.0670060202648234, "platformFee": 0.0670060202648234, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | nikki | 1714848016935 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1678327601414 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714848013314 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3VPp2FA50Sry8KU33roZ | which-of-these-would-you-want-back | 0 | Which of these would you want back the most? | 1714633140000 | 5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1713988083547 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "We're interested in which parts you like and dislike ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "in the pivot announcement.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/A-New-Deal-for-Manifold-c6e9de8f08b549... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714633140690 | JamesGrugett | 1716633023579 | 0 | 229 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1639087027342 | 0 | [{"name": "Pivot", "slug": "pivot", "groupId": "825a042c-ac2e-4dd9-9edd-1545fafc8719", "createdTime": 1713988083801}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1713988083814}] | ["pivot", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 1716633021842 | ["ac10fc051eb2"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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hbNwun8MHbCm27S8Wq6a | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-71 | 0 | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 71) | 1714082340000 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1713999520156 | komplexkonjugat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714176267125 | 125 | komplexkonjugat | 1714178353149 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "065a4580b746", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Fulfill all instructions in @Matt C. Wilson's comment but in reverse order", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "qIjH5KDOG9WVsa3265yCTICxHjx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "textFts": "'c':6 'comment':9 'fulfil':1 'instruct':3 'matt':5 'order':13 'revers':12 'wilson':7... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698548141721 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1713999520360}, {"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1713999520358}] | ["gaming", "manifoldplaysciv6"] | 0.25 | 1714178352113 | 0.5 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.29302113708308386 | 2bFoC8Zk7qEzQ0IGeOjI | {"NO": 132.85004607073844, "YES": 1291.765065170023} | 0 | will-pedro-sanchez-resign-from-bein | 1549.592993986491 | Will Pedro Sanchez resign from being Spain's president? | 1714389254671 | xbnCKB2V2COUewmJIgdm2oFdV1W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714043447851 | Francisco Lecumberri | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to his own Letter:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/sanchezcastejon/status/1783181535337734409", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/sanchez... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.2630702483267118} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.564702169538315, "platformFee": 13.564702169538315, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714389254671 | 320 | FranciscoLecumberri | 1714389254671 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOl05qp6NBx0-xcGF8On4WSc3ckTqphYqE91fASFtE=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702663409973 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714043448027}, {"name": "🇪🇸 Spain", "slug": "spain", "groupId": "OGSXjmjjySBpjZC2r5QQ", "createdTime": 1714043448021}] | ["politics-default", "spain"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714387787962 | 1714384010382 | 0.04 | xbnCKB2V2COUewmJIgdm2oFdV1W2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Ra6K5OvHVBJf72FvQNVg | will-there-be-a-vote-of-no-confiden | 3999.1071050097153 | Will there be a vote of no confidence against Humza Yousaf (First Minister of Scotland) in 2024? | 1714394446700 | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 9cf6be7455e4 | public | 1714050476842 | Simon Grayson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The coalition between the SNP and the Greens has broken down and rival Parties are threatening a vote of no confidence against First Minister Humza Yousaf:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "http... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.496571486982507, "platformFee": 12.496571486982507, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714394446700 | 880 | SimonGrayson | 1715097830054 | 0 | 31 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "daf5bf15a081", "prob": 0.004331681669728481, "text": "Yes - Yousaf will win", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.828922587981973, "userId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2718.963293896253, "textFts": "'win':4 'yes':1 'yousaf':2", "contractId": "Ra6K5OvHVBJf72FvQNVg", "resolverId": "rFJu0EI... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680512856506 | 0 | [{"name": "Labour Party (UK)", "slug": "labour-party-uk", "groupId": "a35479ab-848a-4d47-bbcf-21224112466d", "createdTime": 1714050477122}, {"name": "Scottish independence", "slug": "scottish-independence", "groupId": "vXvYOfofXo827pYk2I6A", "createdTime": 1714050477125}, {"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk-c... | ["labour-party-uk", "scottish-independence", "uk-conservative-party", "scotland", "uk-politics"] | 0.25 | 1714389294245 | 1715097828458 | {"9cf6be7455e4": 100} | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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LvTDt2dAQAdltiTM6VuR | which-of-these-will-i-stralor-do-by | 2912.8649191967434 | Which of these will I, @Stralor, do by the end of June? Meta Goals Market | 1719806340000 | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714052005923 | Pat Scott🩴 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Some I intend or hope to do, some I don't, and some I just have no clue about but they seem to be things I have done in the past. I won't bet.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Some relevant mar... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 48.980944038947776, "platformFee": 10.8660481159512, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719867704048 | 1520 | Stralor | 1719868648531 | 0 | 18 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "ac7dd0d944b5", "prob": 0.9, "text": "Successfully have pet 30+ farm animals", "index": 0, "poolNo": 192.24655084974464, "userId": "hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 20.918181948891863, "textFts": "'30':4 'anim':6 'farm':5 'pet':3 'success':1", "contractId": "LvTDt2dAQAdltiTM6VuR", "re... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1677017053373 | 0 | [{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1714052006200}, {"name": "Meta-markets", "slug": "metamarkets", "groupId": "0112083b-1b7d-4e2a-80e8-929ba3f099a5", "createdTime": 1714052006224}, {"name": "Prop Bets", "slug": "prop-bets", "groupId": "64e721a5-ed8... | ["personal-goals", "metamarkets", "prop-bets", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | False | 1719771745027 | 1719868647031 | 0.11 | hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2 | False | liquidity | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.3642670183717434 | 7YjdC8kze53UUk38tUS8 | {"NO": 624.8648511548888, "YES": 2203.56133502738} | 0.13977184928366065 | will-i-regret-buying-100-cartermond | 1803.7692770051156 | Will I regret buying 100 Carter-Mondale pins for $100 a year from now? | 1746071940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.799507637623837 | False | basic | public | 1714052931415 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bought due to ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "fIldPqVOGBVA3kl2fk8ci9Yiju52", "label": "ZacParker"}}, {"text": " 's suggestions last night.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.032662898363911064} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 30.154356798363526, "platformFee": 3.5299688366439983, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1718929747725 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Investing", "slug": "investing", "groupId": "uVOFCm1wHEnCBkk8fwY2", "createdTime": 1714052931586}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1714052931582}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "created... | ["investing", "jimmy-carter", "us-politics", "history", "antiques"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718929744628 | 1717471920317 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BRUJDQH10EwbVLctJVtQ | which-version-of-the-iphone-will-be | 183.31697866537962 | Which version of the iPhone will be made before apple stops numbering them or discontinues them | 2871781140000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714054882673 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes to every threshold passed. Will continue to add answers as time goes on.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3044062241548815, "platformFee": 1.3044062241548815, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 350 | JamesF | 1716232471281 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "87900316b0ee", "prob": 0.9530218236844057, "text": "16", "index": 0, "poolNo": 173.8554307007105, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 8.570014740382511, "textFts": "'16':1", "contractId": "BRUJDQH10EwbVLctJVtQ", "createdTime": 1714054882673, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "iPhone", "slug": "iphone", "groupId": "d65113e9-fafc-47b4-882f-87219e778441", "createdTime": 1714054882937}] | ["iphone"] | 0.25 | 1716232468013 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.508900307292156 | GOrizV2EFZ94w3QepfMn | {"NO": 114.7330855051283, "YES": 341.38306054306577} | 0.2583060123041179 | will-aella-write-a-fiction-story-of | 195 | Will Aella write a fiction story of at least 5000 words, available online, by mid 2026? | 1782889140000 | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714054959841 | Ernie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any genre, but fiction. Fictionalized life history/autobiography counts", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be published after today", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.601907300466398, "platformFee": 0.7598215200270669, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Ernie | 1717530103500 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668384110640 | 0 | [{"name": "Writing", "slug": "writing", "groupId": "66jDurBcd8SrQjfwHxXo", "createdTime": 1714054960041}, {"name": "Aella", "slug": "aella", "groupId": "PtIApT55aHEw0uQB4lNo", "createdTime": 1714054960051}, {"name": "Literature", "slug": "literature", "groupId": "OYHDMa75MB69MmmJxG0g", "createdTime": 1714054960047}] | ["writing", "aella", "literature"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717530100380 | 1714267790313 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
J10pP6sF0S9cb2zTiMDq | how-many-days-will-the-mit-solidari | 5281.5809911142205 | How many days will the MIT "solidarity encampment" last? | 1719374340000 | nJwtPuPGQRdsPUcF0CFc4VzGQ143 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714054985078 | Peter Berggren | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will resolve to the number of days that the MIT \"solidarity encampment,\" intended to protest against MIT researchers' acceptance of Israeli military funding, stays up. It will be resolved based on how many 24-hour periods (rounded do... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 91.57476646275413, "platformFee": 87.42212520261995, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1100 | PeterBerggren | 1719353772786 | 0 | 30 | 3 | DISABLED | [{"id": "a62c028abef2", "prob": 0.0005177892123755658, "text": "3-4", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.6498587354757035, "userId": "nJwtPuPGQRdsPUcF0CFc4VzGQ143", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3184.70222439564, "textFts": "'-4':2 '3':1", "contractId": "J10pP6sF0S9cb2zTiMDq", "createdTime": 1714054985079, "probChanges": {"day": -... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645491555844 | 0 | [{"name": "MIT", "slug": "mit", "groupId": "TKAbWFIO8fNfwtAaT53G", "createdTime": 1714054985398}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714054985403}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1... | ["mit", "politics-default", "us-politics", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "colleges-universities"] | 0.25 | 1719353768864 | 1715341042211 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
iqSJVeYtOWnHHxPoOlaG | what-locations-world-wide-will-have | 1234.088143349572 | What locations world wide will have a 5 magnitude earthquake or higher in May 2024 | 1717214340000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714055447966 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=-87.31949,-362.10938&extent=87.35217,-87.89063&sort=largest&list=false&help=missing", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?ext... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.575998941329964, "platformFee": 3.8967727906929133, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718042966316 | 360 | JamesF | 1717214340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "bf1824f510f5", "prob": 0.07, "text": "San Francisco metro area", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.109988134672037, "userId": "nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 139.74692820402814, "textFts": "'area':4 'francisco':2 'metro':3 'san':1", "contractId": "iqSJVeYtOWnHHxPoOlaG", "resolution": "NO", ... | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "Disasters", "slug": "disasters", "groupId": "89c8408c-8720-4580-85ad-73c6da3ae965", "createdTime": 1714055448224}, {"name": "Earthquake", "slug": "earthquake", "groupId": "cf835665-726a-458f-8b28-702ab90d4249", "createdTime": 1714055448248}] | ["disasters", "earthquake"] | 0.25 | 1717045760113 | 1717890131110 | 0.07 | qnIAzz9RamaodeiJSiGZO6xRGC63 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7702685269274391 | lEZLKdMKq3EPmwaRgs78 | {"NO": 534.7705804213334, "YES": 150.40989418093056} | 0.9226066207677779 | will-adrian-newey-leave-red-bull-fo | 2245.0068124605673 | Will Adrian Newey leave red bull for another team for the 2025 or 2026 season | 1767333540000 | SRxmoUA5vtev4qT2Wz1kN4u9pql2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714055564183 | Garrett Battaglia | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.20688009688795, "platformFee": 11.20688009688795, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | GarrettBattaglia | 1714697708323 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJfkQN0vGEHvHSgP4K3xMkssuvvIyApHJY31tAt_k6WoA=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1709524747691 | 0 | [{"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1714055564569}, {"name": "Red Bull", "slug": "red-bull", "groupId": "02d7a2ea-9c5e-4247-a262-ee9abc97f2da", "createdTime": 1714055564575}] | ["formula-1", "red-bull"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714697705103 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4063077881803671 | RQ9IxFxkxoHxU0HGnbak | {"NO": 176.04830329339973, "YES": 8725.72292044307} | 0 | will-biden-lead-trump-in-538s-natio | 12398.922976872109 | Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of May? | 1717201456186 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714056053138 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "class": "break-anywhere hover... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 67.4915802907331, "platformFee": 42.48685408657171, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717201456186 | 1000 | strutheo | 1717201456186 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1714056053392}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1714056053414}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-... | ["the-life-of-biden", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default", "donald-trump", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717201451530 | 1717198855028 | 0.02 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.43634957079709064 | h33Uh9g5fryaEhLKHizU | {"NO": 159.55503705981891, "YES": 10592.976835364341} | 0 | will-biden-lead-trump-in-538s-natio-3f74609d4b03 | 47251.93050125319 | Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of June? | 1719797790169 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.280192626267212 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714056085829 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "class": "break-anywhere hover... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.21090374135492632, "month": -0.44497642210359123} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 842.6086979188894, "platformFee": 4.916319670203899, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719797790169 | 1000 | strutheo | 1719797790169 | 0 | 124 | 4 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714056086015}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1714056086044}, {"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n"... | ["politics-default", "donald-trump", "the-life-of-biden", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719797786468 | 1719617390943 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5459390178524238 | R3a7GxrB11JRxfUES3F3 | {"NO": 408.0976375313204, "YES": 2097.225132862251} | 0.18960356499242942 | will-biden-lead-trump-in-538s-natio-fd2e84e1158d | 1790.518550223792 | Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of July? | 1722484740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.739419093977137 | False | basic | public | 1714056114274 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "class": "break-anywhere hover... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -0.10945098905371659, "month": -0.33012808333441507} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 41.58152355449669, "platformFee": 2.9534703450757083, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1720145939154 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714056114491}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1714056114495}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "us-politics", "the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720145936032 | 1719593953721 | 0 |
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