p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.19951502724376666 | Rj6WLia3rzuR54jVKhNX | {"NO": 828.8554215197265, "YES": 1588.7846462857583} | 0.11506600983596282 | will-harvey-weinstein-be-free-from | 1256.5444641226582 | Will Harvey Weinstein be free from prison before the end of 2025? [500m subsidy] | 1767200340000 | HrA6GjQdKRa7rFaDe0NlcftnDt02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.813275955910196 | False | basic | public | 1714090513756 | Timothy Bandors | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "HARVEY WEINSTEIN’S FELONY SEX CRIME CONVICTION OVERTURNED BY NY’S HIGHEST COURT (NYP) ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Harvey Weinstein’s New York rape conviction was overturned Thursday by New York state’... | BINARY | {"day": -6.938893903907228e-17, "week": -6.938893903907228e-17, "month": -6.938893903907228e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.174208714408511, "platformFee": 10.174208714408511, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | TimothyBandors | 1714322986788 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcw5cD4NDESa0IBg9dcxZMuZHrXSqKGycGYx3y_noFFKqs=s96-c | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690819422060 | 0 | [{"name": "Crime", "slug": "crime", "groupId": "j7TkLdIOLyiTtiQQKjl9", "createdTime": 1714090514104}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714090514200}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "c... | ["crime", "entertainment", "law-order", "celebrities"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714322983529 | 1714162012741 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
243yZGYjprXg3K1Ulw16 | in-new-york-city-what-will-be-the-h-408669a006c3 | 594.9296107234851 | In New York City, what will be the high temperature on April 26, 2024? | 1714147200000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | bdb00baf7a9a | public | 1714090876827 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM ET on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/new-york/historic", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.361980281232489, "platformFee": 4.361980281232489, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714176521758 | 565 | ovals | 1714147200000 | 0 | 9 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "be3e9a88724c", "prob": 0.011908784786090462, "text": "68F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.012897271915612, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 415.9282282886629, "textFts": "'68f':1", "contractId": "243yZGYjprXg3K1Ulw16", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTime... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c56", "createdTime": 1714090877076}, {"name": "New York", "slug": "new-york", "groupId": "WHYL7vwzRusHiIbe3uRu", "createdTime": 1714090877079}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkL... | ["high-temperature", "new-york", "climate", "weather"] | 0.25 | 1714141791140 | 1714176514646 | {"bdb00baf7a9a": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
crduq2sXOI1b7qi6CG3G | when-will-an-ai-develop-maintain-an | 130 | When will an AI develop, maintain and evolve by itself a full web application? | 2682457140000 | meuhA1aDr8aJC7jnLGQev1nyI5x2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714090933290 | Pierre Thierry | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will resolve when it has been fully documented in a reproducible way how an AI has created a web application, corrected bugs after they're found and added features to the existing application. The application must have at least 100 act... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2774170984265536, "platformFee": 1.2774170984265536, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 285 | PierreThierry | 1716383625913 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteGWIHt4U5Dt272loCrDsKWtshT8bx0dC_Q_dyIcpXdPA=s96-c | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "702698f8cd69", "prob": 0.10363946395777976, "text": "2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 13.52473436926141, "userId": "meuhA1aDr8aJC7jnLGQev1nyI5x2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 116.97318459692568, "textFts": "'2025':1", "contractId": "crduq2sXOI1b7qi6CG3G", "createdTime": 1714090933290, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "w... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1692712346744 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714090933796}, {"name": "Software Development", "slug": "software-development", "groupId": "08a01e77-5d16-473a-93f4-965e7c6801d1", "createdTime": 1714090933799}, {"name": "AI Capabilities", "slug": "ai-capabilities", "groupId": "8758ce7... | ["ai", "software-development", "ai-capabilities", "ai-impacts"] | 0.25 | 1714490776194 | 1716383624535 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
D3vARJe5rCo8Z22ZOqm8 | in-chicago-what-will-be-the-high-te-aa9f77a56475 | 150 | In Chicago, what will be the high temperature on April 26, 2024? | 1714150800000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 24917f263315 | public | 1714091020440 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM CT on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/chicago/historic", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.4261221183677906, "platformFee": 2.4261221183677906, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714215471671 | 325 | ovals | 1714150800000 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0937597f169d", "prob": 0.03016912097583283, "text": "68F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 7.015212862070218, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 225.51436158889902, "textFts": "'68f':1", "contractId": "D3vARJe5rCo8Z22ZOqm8", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTime... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c56", "createdTime": 1714091021085}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1714091021088}, {"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43w... | ["high-temperature", "climate", "weather", "chicago"] | 0.25 | 1714141952589 | 1714215457519 | {"24917f263315": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
rfwkt6vQruLmjQntjk2L | in-san-francisco-what-will-be-the-h-7c51c1aa217f | 132 | In San Francisco, what will be the high temperature on April 26, 2024? | 1714158000000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 86b12c4101c8 | public | 1714091188960 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 12:00 PM PT on the day of interest and will be verified with results published at https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/sanfrancisco/historic", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.109324028685098, "platformFee": 2.109324028685098, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714176771453 | 365 | ovals | 1714158000000 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "b3bc744bb3d5", "prob": 0.035437291900107984, "text": "68F +", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.236080498961874, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 224.17672695195898, "textFts": "'68f':1", "contractId": "rfwkt6vQruLmjQntjk2L", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTim... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsORflUYGveLSX", "createdTime": 1714091189211}, {"name": "🌧️ Weather", "slug": "weather", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1714091189222}, {"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-... | ["san-francisco", "weather", "high-temperature", "climate"] | 0.25 | 1714157196763 | 1714176763599 | {"86b12c4101c8": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bGoDgVsRBRSpgg75xD0l | which-countryies-will-be-the-next-t | 10336.3258392217 | Which country(ies) will be the next to get the Apple Vision Pro? 🍎👓🗺️ | 1719606208989 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714091553680 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Apple Vision Pro [AVP] has only been launched in the US. When AVP launches to another country, which countries will it launch to?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Apple launches the Visi... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 83.29971988339139, "platformFee": 7.874245047694902, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719606208989 | 1145 | mattyb | 1719606208989 | 0 | 20 | 5 | ANYONE | [{"id": "643b92407506", "prob": 0.02, "text": "Canada", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.397480368777806, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1227.3505565090022, "textFts": "'canada':1", "contractId": "bGoDgVsRBRSpgg75xD0l", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "qnIAzz9RamaodeiJSiGZO6xRGC63", "c... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1714091553915}, {"name": "Virtual Reality", "slug": "virtual-reality", "groupId": "tHkKwsHjd8vhks1CL5oF", "createdTime": 1714091553918}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime"... | ["apple", "virtual-reality", "world-default", "technology-default", "apple-vision-pro"] | 0.25 | 1719606136490 | 1719605164334 | 0.02 | qnIAzz9RamaodeiJSiGZO6xRGC63 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5077028809984169 | pUBpHJl6OgWW73Hdwge9 | {"NO": 129.6769383926167, "YES": 111.17687042103994} | 0.5460535652294748 | will-there-be-a-widely-available-ca | 10 | Will there be a widely available Capsaicin based product for Cannabinoid Hyperemesis Syndrome (CHS) by 2030? | 1735711140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714092033241 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If I can get it from Amazon it's widely available. Has to be advertised specifically for CHS.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -9.992007221626409e-16, "week": -9.992007221626409e-16, "month": -9.992007221626409e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.16153080369162434, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | KeenenW | 1714101988929 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Cannabis", "slug": "cannabis", "groupId": "4d7535ea-5cd1-45fa-bc6c-8ad82bc06c74", "createdTime": 1714092033391}, {"name": "⚕️ Medicine", "slug": "medicine", "groupId": "oHiQ4mneKC2r5ICg4XJ8", "createdTime": 1714092033399}, {"name": "Cannabinoid Hyperemesis Syndrome", "slug": "cannabinoid-hyperemesis-syndrome... | ["cannabis", "medicine", "cannabinoid-hyperemesis-syndrome", "plants", "science-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714101347586 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5358769663249712 | Jrvz5DATMlIk6uiQKinO | {"NO": 131.7549250241516, "YES": 144.83085765934766} | 0.5122805107512102 | will-microsoft-msft-reach-500-by-cl | 115 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) reach $500 by close of trade on January 1, 2025? | 1735797540000 | j4HC6TgsW4UUvIYi3re1XbsZX8P2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714092108058 | Knuffa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🔑 Market Resolution:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.01742869240689393} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9783675215895544, "platformFee": 1.8104523875176628, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | Knuffa | 1718642137243 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713920950880 | 0 | [{"name": "Microsoft", "slug": "microsoft", "groupId": "bKtvk7DIpkrzESy6I3ZK", "createdTime": 1714092108365}, {"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1714092108357}, {"name": "Tech Stocks", "slug": "tech-stocks", "groupId": "pK06hNX8MsNw8zaBsX2N", "crea... | ["microsoft", "wall-street-bets", "tech-stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718642134163 | 1714159365733 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
pgMLSJ1ZMfMdKs2MVTEz | which-jockey-will-have-the-most-win-a946a4faf7b4 | 504.49048001075437 | Which jockey will have the most wins at Keeneland on April 26th? | 1714165740000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714092833741 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Equibase.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://Equibase.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-prima... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.953489066359351, "platformFee": 4.953489066359351, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714168017242 | 520 | ovals | 1714168088507 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "98488d37ebad", "prob": 0.91, "text": "Irad Ortiz, Jr.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 153.0762093615306, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 15.171514047145479, "textFts": "'irad':1 'jr':3 'ortiz':2", "contractId": "pgMLSJ1ZMfMdKs2MVTEz", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIs... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Horse racing", "slug": "horse-racing", "groupId": "ef96178c-314c-4aed-be84-e13d3875ff06", "createdTime": 1714092834104}, {"name": "Jockey", "slug": "jockey", "groupId": "383cbd3e-b514-4419-ba36-e121d65d7b2f", "createdTime": 1714092834107}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhI... | ["horse-racing", "jockey", "sports-default", "keeneland"] | 0.25 | 1714162875317 | 1714168087812 | 0.17 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
fgf7MoWRJ54gPwWtcCPP | which-jockey-will-have-the-most-win-7798cd85c67c | 820.6632977201431 | Which jockey will have the most wins at Churchill Downs on April 27th? | 1714274220000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714092958464 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Equibase.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://Equibase.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-prima... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.049620188393623, "platformFee": 6.049620188393623, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714274659838 | 540 | ovals | 1714274220000 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "f2b2c1703010", "prob": 0.07, "text": "Irad Ortiz, Jr.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.520379244453935, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 183.50717763971215, "textFts": "'irad':1 'jr':3 'ortiz':2", "contractId": "fgf7MoWRJ54gPwWtcCPP", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIs... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Churchill Downs", "slug": "churchill-downs", "groupId": "2a71d897-9cc4-47fc-a401-6ea0174eabe1", "createdTime": 1714092958828}, {"name": "Jockey", "slug": "jockey", "groupId": "383cbd3e-b514-4419-ba36-e121d65d7b2f", "createdTime": 1714092958834}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2h... | ["churchill-downs", "jockey", "sports-default", "horse-racing"] | 0.25 | 1714272825444 | 1714274621987 | 0.07 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6n0TKenNxu6d8zMaJDDH | what-will-be-the-highest-grossing-m-48f0b5a2bdf7 | 4096.235729317786 | What will be the highest grossing movie of the summer? | 1725346740000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714093106657 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A Hollywood summer lasts 123 days from the first Friday in May through Labor Day Monday in September.", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Counting only movies with an original releas... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 58.44873470149425, "platformFee": 2.465374197677466, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1719862126086 | 0 | 36 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "0d2c1f868565", "prob": 0.03734534067164654, "text": "Despicable Me 4", "index": 0, "poolNo": 37.09585531686238, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 956.2236498664554, "textFts": "'4':3 'despic':1", "contractId": "6n0TKenNxu6d8zMaJDDH", "createdTime": 1714093106657, "probChang... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1714093106886}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714093106887}, {"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "I... | ["television-film", "entertainment", "boxoffice", "movies", "cinema"] | 0.25 | 1719862122957 | 1714138992696 | True | prob-desc | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
JMQ17dsuhFecz4bLJ1lY | which-years-will-the-2024-summer-bo | 267.47363006672947 | Which years will the 2024 summer box office out-gross? | 1725346740000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714093550049 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A Hollywood summer lasts 123 days from the first Friday in May through Labor Day Monday in September.", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Counting only movies with an original releas... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.269966932834819, "platformFee": 2.5289839730669623, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 330 | mattyb | 1717167147921 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "822e43e6ce41", "prob": 0.8539551679257614, "text": "2021 ($1.745B)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 111.17249157911168, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 19.012904276208516, "textFts": "'1.745':2 '2021':1 'b':3", "contractId": "JMQ17dsuhFecz4bLJ1lY", "createdTime": 1714093550049, "p... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1714093550363}, {"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "IbCVuDeG5LtAeh5NcH0w", "createdTime": 1714093550366}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "created... | ["movies", "boxoffice", "television-film", "cinema", "entertainment"] | 0.25 | 1717167144778 | 1714567674372 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2rMhk9tY3Alrbcq2DKni | do-you-own-any-crypto | 0 | Do you own any Crypto? | 1716181140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714093805719 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716181141122 | KeenenW | 1714390809741 | 0 | 65 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714093805870}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1714093805880}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", ... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-users", "finance", "crypto-prices", "crypto-speculation"] | 0.25 | 1714390807541 | ["b84311407234"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.85958211407301 | l4OzO75JzvPhzlTIOovn | {"NO": 10277.914192102959, "YES": 643.845475053847} | 1 | will-another-america-die-of-h5n1-in | 15488.58494019661 | Will another America contract H5N1 in 2024? | 1717084231191 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | YES | public | 1714093872625 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2024, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "according to Wikipedia", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_mortality_from_H5N1#H5N1_cases_in_humans", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 27.926262289916068, "platformFee": 5.966990278161226, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717084231191 | 1000 | mattyb | 1717084231191 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🫀 Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1714093872810}, {"name": "Public Health", "slug": "public-health", "groupId": "ybln6XDvz5ik7zO0aYe1", "createdTime": 1714093872814}, {"name": "H5N1 Bird Flu", "slug": "h5n1-bird-flu", "groupId": "bjAQEGbYlIgTjDhStoFr", "createdTi... | ["health", "public-health", "h5n1-bird-flu", "united-states", "news"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717078604743 | 1717078668354 | 0.99 | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5360593598837722 | 6shR5G63CX3Z4YaZSBYL | {"NO": 185.45840389343334, "YES": 174.20777253320662} | 0.5515833715139561 | will-the-new-york-giants-draft-a-qu-32120accc631 | 49.39087906626376 | Will the New York Giants draft a Quarterback on their first draft pick? (2025) | 1746244740000 | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714094091563 | The Official | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9422073339346053, "platformFee": 0.6460889928066894, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | 10thOfficial | 1716470375814 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1682437068858 | 0 | [{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1714094091715}, {"name": "NFL Draft", "slug": "nfl-draft", "groupId": "6489a62f-1dcd-4e12-bb31-7f28c7c87983", "createdTime": 1714094091732}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime"... | ["nfl", "nfl-draft", "football", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716470372243 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3904764392401668 | TpTpJK5APR0P8NMuVrC1 | {"NO": 2010.820857127415, "YES": 331.4993662673784} | 0.7953306898748305 | will-an-america-die-of-h5n1-in-2024 | 1869.6765870534127 | Will an America die of H5N1 in 2024? | 1735718340000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.561675854157423 | False | basic | public | 1714094153485 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2024, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "according to Wikipedia", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_mortality_from_H5N1#H5N1_cases_in_humans", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.09533068987483051} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 45.1867277508405, "platformFee": 5.077415879155114, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | mattyb | 1718657260588 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "H5N1 Bird Flu", "slug": "h5n1-bird-flu", "groupId": "bjAQEGbYlIgTjDhStoFr", "createdTime": 1714094153662}, {"name": "🪦 Death markets", "slug": "death-markets", "groupId": "ibrUJxhFICxDAsXYC7eB", "createdTime": 1714094153665}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-... | ["h5n1-bird-flu", "death-markets", "united-states", "public-health", "health"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718657257539 | 1716438326415 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4829524802019244 | C1EcsmarTRe8YeOAqazX | {"NO": 190.79136391616066, "YES": 188.8252231601399} | 0.4855395668755729 | will-ubel-figure-out-a-way-to-cut-t | 20 | Will Übel figure out a way to cut through her ropes? | 1735649940000 | Nf9JCMARj8cSrQTdpN9z5JMikSJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714094212699 | Lambda Fairy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In Chapter 128 of ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Frieren", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": ", Übel and Land are tied up with iron ropes.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebases... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.3404924175086773, "platformFee": 0.3404924175086773, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 190 | tfae | 1714223852555 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690369385049 | 0 | [{"name": "Manga", "slug": "manga", "groupId": "0e0wvkjcHdblLOdaK9jp", "createdTime": 1714094213001}, {"name": "Frieren", "slug": "frieren", "groupId": "ea1cfec2-4d4c-4fb1-a53e-76330d18f9fb", "createdTime": 1714094212999}, {"name": "Anime", "slug": "anime", "groupId": "ZfknfjPrTvWkDaWMI98o", "createdTime": 171409421299... | ["manga", "frieren", "anime", "entertainment"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714223849310 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.257221664171877 | IBqF04yoH2jrn5RIJHOb | {"NO": 201.56712498255956, "YES": 5137.217512581497} | 0 | metaculus-will-pedro-sanchez-announ | 16297.731019312705 | [Metaculus] Will Pedro Sanchez announce his resignation as Prime Minister of Spain before April 30, 2024? | 1714503455523 | PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714094238971 | Mirror Bot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Will Pedro Sanchez announce his resignation as Prime Minister of Spain before April 30, 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the original on M... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 46.890585725389904, "platformFee": 46.890585725389904, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714503455523 | 520 | mirrorbot | 1714503455523 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0 | 22 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696426201173 | 0 | [{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1714094239215}, {"name": "🇪🇸 Spain", "slug": "spain", "groupId": "OGSXjmjjySBpjZC2r5QQ", "createdTime": 1714127153445}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime":... | ["metaculus", "spain", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714454276231 | PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8916111767304576 | 3His2UAA6Sxa3cmoSFBz | {"NO": 1087.072760949912, "YES": 127.50707151549956} | 1 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-at-the-e-c12de4c467dd | 1928.4785669252988 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on April 26? | 1714193940000 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.274887686624258 | True | play | YES | public | 1714095488387 | Jimmy Carter Death Markets | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Changes are coming to a Jimmy market near you. - Just a couple more things. All changes will be done by Mar 7 or so or later than that or never. Prob at some point. ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.5779357187324012, "platformFee": 3.5779357187324012, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714271418984 | 220 | JCDM | 1714193940000 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703455433441 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714095488651}, {"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1714095488658}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter Daily", "slug": "jimmy-carter-daily", "groupId": "1... | ["entertainment", "longevity", "jimmy-carter-daily", "jimmy-carter", "public-figures"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714193502384 | 0.99 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.936613113634716 | cNPr1JFQDl3ngfw0x8qg | {"NO": 1422.1212262897027, "YES": 264.29441663346626} | 1 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-at-the-e-229ad1d46439 | 3823.7935257900704 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive at the end of the day on April 27? | 1714280340000 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714095567540 | Jimmy Carter Death Markets | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Changes are coming to a Jimmy market near you. - Just a couple more things. All changes will be done by Mar 7 or so or later than that or never. Prob at some point. ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.012421164944541596} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.642573620762254, "platformFee": 4.642573620762254, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714370350039 | 360 | JCDM | 1714280340000 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703455433441 | 0 | [{"name": "Longevity", "slug": "longevity", "groupId": "b8Ygbdfv5q2sQsZQGmkl", "createdTime": 1714095567758}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714095567752}, {"name": "Public Figures", "slug": "public-figures", "groupId": "sIbESq9CY... | ["longevity", "entertainment", "public-figures", "jimmy-carter", "jimmy-carter-daily"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714272746898 | 0.99 | ZjFfwNBZ65g8k6EOJjcMydO5Ebs1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
KVA0gkjEU40gOyumKBf3 | will-a-quarterback-be-selected-in-t | 635.6571485534143 | Will a quarterback be selected in these specific slots of the 2025 NFL Draft? | 1746244740000 | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714096090547 | The Official | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.207960174816606, "platformFee": 8.207960174816606, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1800 | 10thOfficial | 1714537064385 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "a9fc9c5239de", "prob": 0.6779296005289778, "text": "1st Pick", "index": 0, "poolNo": 104.35492584799846, "userId": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 49.57687734597915, "textFts": "'1st':1 'pick':2", "contractId": "KVA0gkjEU40gOyumKBf3", "createdTime": 1714096090547, "probChanges": {"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1682437068858 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1714096090888}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1714096090881}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "cre... | ["football", "sports-betting", "sports-default", "nfl-draft", "nfl"] | 0.25 | 1714537061126 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.38980133360654506 | rb7WMcCD674JFwq77RhX | {"NO": 106.35960394861004, "YES": 376.510652440444} | 0.15286979316388122 | will-openais-next-major-llm-after-g-6b9cd8fcbcc5 | 278.5915193234758 | Will OpenAI's next major LLM (after GPT-4) achieve over 50% resolution rate on the SWE-bench benchmark? | 1767340740000 | AHf5jynaHbNiNiwoYx1UfhRMq3Q2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714097745293 | Matthew Barnett | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " SWE-bench is a benchmark designed to evaluate the ability of language models to solve real-world software issues from GitHub. The benchmark consists of 2,294 Issue-Pull Request ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.07611761104914136, "month": -0.07611761104914136} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.097133800609774, "platformFee": 1.80069443547028, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | MatthewBarnett | 1720036452237 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644893534404 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1714097745512}, {"name": "LLMs", "slug": "llms", "groupId": "7AISXitieE7l07dhslU8", "createdTime": 1714097745557}] | ["openai", "llms"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720036447020 | 1714778780828 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2344555986580012 | V6qTFIaLziG33vqxgIlV | {"NO": 43.82973682583179, "YES": 1328.9060565035675} | 0 | will-biden-take-a-cognitive-test-be | 1194.1826947562752 | Will Biden take a cognitive test before 4/27? | 1714201679770 | 8sb7vUqpyDa9vjnxokzEBTMIAP73 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714100415675 | Dialethia | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Biden takes a cognitive test before April 27 midnight Central Time this market will resolve to YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.6383191263535837, "platformFee": 2.6383191263535837, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714201679770 | 140 | Dialethia | 1714201679770 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVxcvHrwSFHXKbkByqCdx2oNtHSDL0u7fGJvBd1w5WGWDOGA=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713946675676 | 0 | [{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1714100415888}] | ["the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714200949925 | 0.01 | 8sb7vUqpyDa9vjnxokzEBTMIAP73 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14742257540420245 | z4ENXRW0H72GF2pAMVo9 | {"NO": 751.8751365540353, "YES": 1415.4457783374773} | 0 | will-i-make-mop-2024-5a40ea9b0553 | 3423.3055690799483 | Will I make MOP 2024 ? | 1717119773085 | 9M5yNZMnd9ag47PUS5It1eBolRA3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.127777782007321 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714101126974 | Dream123 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I am currently in grade 11. After USAMO released the scores yesterday, my CM checked that my score was 23. The score distribution is 7 2 0 7 7 0. However, I did not receive a mop invitation last Friday, and my name did not even appear on the USAMO ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 34.82706691591381, "platformFee": 20.544259336807947, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717119773085 | 1000 | KevinYang1b33 | 1717119773085 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJuKFv7LV1L-HSAglzJQbo7KlKgZhZav_9XMzuMC-o3PyVS0Q=s96-c | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713995959527 | 0 | [{"name": "Competition Math", "slug": "competition-math", "groupId": "64e0006d-606d-4e68-ad95-045c341bb9d1", "createdTime": 1714101127116}] | ["competition-math"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717118713363 | 1717118700811 | 0.08 | 9M5yNZMnd9ag47PUS5It1eBolRA3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
wKmhfk5qPywUYIsV1Cjr | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-e78843bf6759 | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather Donald Trump or Obama with a 1% chance of the world ending? | 1714198128587 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1714101579896 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714198141057 | strutheo | 1714278812283 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", "createdTime": 1714101580130}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1714101580132}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", ... | ["future-us-presidents", "polls", "us-politics", "donald-trump"] | 0.25 | 1714278810802 | ["9ac376ffecb8"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
b0ZFWQCAfevzO9CXHTcd | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-00c94e7c078c | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Nick Land? | 1722398340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1714101629864 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | strutheo | 1719782843301 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1714101630109}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1714101630105}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", "create... | ["polls", "donald-trump", "future-us-presidents", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1718982100138 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BmoEUOWPWCNWaa2zASZm | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-f515f13b4c3c | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Bernie Madoff? | 1714224912380 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1714101640599 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714224960819 | strutheo | 1714224913680 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1714101640886}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1714101640885}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 17141... | ["donald-trump", "polls", "us-politics", "future-us-presidents"] | 0.25 | ["592cf59c5b3d"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
epV9vkvf0s2Yl692Sq29 | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-be983a9b6623 | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas? | 1714243137943 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1714101683532 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714243140534 | strutheo | 1714243138972 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1714101683804}, {"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1714101683812}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", "create... | ["donald-trump", "polls", "future-us-presidents", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | ["084c7f496906"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.37419626388964367 | x8mFLi3PIfp6tNaGbOut | {"NO": 26.078410453277513, "YES": 1535.616356795566} | 0 | will-cro-be-worth-more-than-15-cent | 1402 | Will CRO be worth more than 15 cents before April 28? | 1714293368367 | 8sb7vUqpyDa9vjnxokzEBTMIAP73 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.407814757409055 | True | play | NO | public | 1714101698578 | Dialethia | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the CRO token is worth more than 15 cents before April 28 midnight Central Time, this market will resolve to YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.1918216022171757, "platformFee": 3.1918216022171757, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714293368367 | 140 | Dialethia | 1714293368367 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVxcvHrwSFHXKbkByqCdx2oNtHSDL0u7fGJvBd1w5WGWDOGA=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713946675676 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714293330846 | 0.01 | 8sb7vUqpyDa9vjnxokzEBTMIAP73 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
TrBmG31rIIeLvBIFddwx | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-4f1f235ac4a0 | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Gus Fring? | 1714241476294 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1714101699547 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714241520275 | strutheo | 1714241477883 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Polls", "slug": "polls", "groupId": "N7J0kSf7abktEXCnPP9V", "createdTime": 1714101699713}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1714101699728}, {"name": "Future US Presidents", "slug": "future-us-presidents", "groupId": "AaVOlWucYC9VeWQN6zYG", "create... | ["polls", "donald-trump", "future-us-presidents", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 1714240732334 | ["25b079f093a3"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2217478091697123 | MzzsAytIThS0mHBGj7RC | {"NO": 108.93118542707785, "YES": 3072.7442188134924} | 0 | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-72500 | 3335.375074543863 | Will the price of Bitcoin hit $72,500 in April 2024? | 1714535940000 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714102110860 | PedroA | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.252884009233507, "platformFee": 6.252884009233507, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714570760612 | 280 | pa | 1714535940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtee8W-AS6HtIUteOIjSMBI-pGI8Iq6PnPJYlJs17w=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1687393389344 | 0 | [{"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1714102111023}, {"name": "🅱️ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1714102111032}, {"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "created... | ["crypto-speculation", "bitcoin", "bitcoin-maxi"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714496828799 | 0.01 | cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
aopznQ36QYTpKrU4QuFo | what-will-bitcoins-btc-close-price-4706cbf56813 | 608.5372463540043 | What will Bitcoin's (BTC) close price be for April 26? | 1714179540000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | d307cffe38b7 | public | 1714102399891 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Coingecko's Historical Data Close Price for April 25", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/historical_data", "class": "break-anywhere ho... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 21.447140448079548, "platformFee": 21.447140448079548, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714186881402 | 180 | KeenenW | 1714179540000 | 0 | 4 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0fb76df087b0", "prob": 0.0006739721622429761, "text": "62000-62120", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.20834589775043136, "userId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 308.92296459593115, "textFts": "'-62120':2 '62000':1", "contractId": "aopznQ36QYTpKrU4QuFo", "resolverId": "X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2u... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "🪙 Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1714102400190}, {"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1714102400192}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso... | ["crypto-prices", "bitcoin-maxi", "crypto-speculation", "bitcoin", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 1714178087800 | {"d307cffe38b7": 100} | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42758071223838157 | loXNss8SSAoK3Xg3xShE | {"NO": 114.28764494196496, "YES": 314.59075939823845} | 0.21344510805913652 | will-the-us-raise-its-top-capital-g | 164 | Will the US raise top capital gains tax rate to > 40%, with >15% unrealized capital gains tax, by EOY 2025? | 1767243540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714102629434 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.forbes.com/newsletters/andrewleahey/2024/04/24/biden-capital-gains-rate-proposal-446/?sh=239b724f1ff6", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.forbes.com/newsletters/andrewleahey/2024/04/24/biden-capit... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-16, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.9580540927069552, "platformFee": 1.9580540927069552, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | StochasticParrot | 1714458534514 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | [{"name": "Tax", "slug": "tax", "groupId": "ifd68EW8txu6x0cNMm3A", "createdTime": 1714102629584}, {"name": "US Economy", "slug": "us-economy", "groupId": "36d1e8d5-2e36-481d-b3e0-42e53c37ecbb", "createdTime": 1714102629580}] | ["tax", "us-economy"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714458510089 | 1714458532534 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GvECkHYc1VQKxXC7sK0n | which-country-will-build-the-first-9f327c5c7053 | 480.0765476699513 | Which country will build the first Military Space Station? | 1925017140000 | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714102925836 | notarealuser | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution based on Credible News Reports. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A Military Space Station is a structure in a stable orbit (of Earth or other celestial bodies) with onboard military... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.396352945425514, "platformFee": 6.396352945425514, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | notarealuser | 1714808683858 | 0 | 14 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "1710f9c333c6", "prob": 0.752459262088226, "text": "USA", "index": 0, "poolNo": 315.9991039836154, "userId": "uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 103.95599512255316, "textFts": "'usa':1", "contractId": "GvECkHYc1VQKxXC7sK0n", "createdTime": 1714102925836, "probChanges": {"day": 1.1102230... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700298590902 | 0 | [{"name": "🇷🇺 Russia", "slug": "russia", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1714102926049}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1714102926044}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "cr... | ["russia", "china", "united-states", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 1714808680615 | 1714122835256 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.593038086199122 | FPTogCtoxCy7zwgs0raF | {"NO": 287.5246593039557, "YES": 125.2031478139626} | 0.7699289471443032 | do-some-genetic-makeups-cause-canna | 110 | Do some genetic make-ups cause cannabinoids to be metabolized in an atypical manner that influences CHS susceptibility? | 1735711140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714103755472 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34227878/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34227878/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:un... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2376703480221944, "platformFee": 1.2376703480221944, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | KeenenW | 1714361112769 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Genetic Research", "slug": "genetic-research", "groupId": "e5f01caf-ddbf-482d-9099-bfdb1756072f", "createdTime": 1714103755691}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1714103755688}, {"name": "⚕️ Medicine", "slug": "medicine", "groupId": "oHiQ4mne... | ["genetic-research", "science-default", "medicine", "cannabis", "cannabinoid-hyperemesis-syndrome"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714361109396 | 1714320971377 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MoUhTyVTG8OLznnjbpok | who-will-win-the-us-presidential-el-b94aaf4b0aed | 1647.8038651120792 | Who will win the US presidential elections in 2036? | 2114409540000 | M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714104695133 | Łukasz Bartoszcze | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Feel free to add new options ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.9555070008229487, "platformFee": 3.8334567147267338, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ukaszBartoszcze | 1717846341059 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJAzqOEpDemVFZnDaZ_a1yJBvJ9cAKEBP_qg6nYoNRIBSU=s96-c | 20 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "64a3c48d25df", "prob": 0.004716583986908889, "text": "Michelle Obama", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.674044684334973, "userId": "M3uY3RCz0jSXiiXrMJx8oD4SHJo2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 986.3068638096121, "textFts": "'michell':1 'obama':2", "contractId": "MoUhTyVTG8OLznnjbpok", "createdTime": 1714104695133, "prob... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708276167391 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714104695520}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714104695518}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiO... | ["technology-default", "economics-default", "science-default", "us-politics", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 1717846337857 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39082597640384464 | rVfXrivJeMfRPzq6yf1s | {"NO": 168.10675216770343, "YES": 453.29684405578934} | 0.19219820301365645 | will-tesla-be-fined-or-have-at-leas | 458 | Will Tesla be fined or have at least one employee go to jail for fraud like Moskov predicts before the end of 2029? | 1893473940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714104765452 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FYi-3frs5BR.jpg?alt=media&token=e46593a3-152c-43fb-a89b-64512f071da6", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.617312347719179, "platformFee": 5.563722381341019, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 260 | strutheo | 1717141097253 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1714104766182}, {"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1714104766185}, {"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm53UBR", "createdTime"... | ["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "tesla", "business", "law-order", "crime"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717141094151 | 1715203241921 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.18660212437502993 | HhCYHgrxOSJSwxxj4uhl | {"NO": 523.5384626068933, "YES": 6427.925455413287} | 0 | will-there-be-an-israelhamas-ceasef-10ebe34c3c60 | 12901.710670919649 | Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of May? | 1717192740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.42641131523014 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714104864919 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Going by Israel time zone", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 110.2754458381549, "platformFee": 103.46893239464576, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717202545651 | 1000 | strutheo | 1717192740000 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🇮🇱 Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1714104865074}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1714104865079}, {"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1714104865086... | ["israel", "world-default", "wars", "palestine", "israelhamas-conflict-2023"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717169255943 | 1714139438032 | 0.02 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2958135933326133 | CsBU8et9ydQjZFyyGg56 | {"NO": 379.3546821964942, "YES": 15705.140948917426} | 0 | will-there-be-an-israelhamas-ceasef-9e2026ab9cfe | 54281.46706809637 | Will there be an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced before the end of May 24? | 1716586167010 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.58329474853415 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714105641482 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal on both sides.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market ends at the end of day for Israel, using Israel time zone.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 349.40675425953833, "platformFee": 322.98983211271826, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716586167010 | 1185 | strutheo | 1716586167010 | 0 | 170 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1714105641676}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1714105641673}, {"name": "🇵🇸 Palestine", "slug": "palestine... | ["israelhamas-conflict-2023", "world-default", "palestine", "israel", "wars"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716586111533 | 1716585379016 | 0.01 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | sWzTJGHkWEChFIKXc7NV | {"NO": 13.77170073845258, "YES": 726.1267282753648} | 0 | will-club-brugge-win-the-202324-eur | 631 | Will Club Brugge win the 2023/24 Europa Conference League | 1715220963681 | Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714105950237 | TP King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.4366358623175817, "platformFee": 2.4366358623175817, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715220963681 | 100 | tpking | 1715220963681 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697442193885 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714105950383}, {"name": "UEFA", "slug": "uefa", "groupId": "KSvOrWRB2hyHWfU4GnM9", "createdTime": 1714105950386}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1714105950397}, {"n... | ["soccer", "uefa", "football", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715220948983 | 0.02 | Jxzs6NHitohaNLJ1AJkmt06uRw33 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49229711900158196 | kBqbCogsd2ZUyBJSL995 | {"NO": 111.17687042103996, "YES": 129.67693839261676} | 0.453946434770524 | do-terpenes-play-a-role-in-cannabin | 10 | Do terpenes play a role in Cannabinoid Hyperemesis Syndrome (CHS)? | 1735711140000 | X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714105966177 | Keenen W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37084981/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37084981/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:un... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-16, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-16, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.16153080369162434, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | KeenenW | 1714141475154 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697247005528 | 0 | [{"name": "Cannabis", "slug": "cannabis", "groupId": "4d7535ea-5cd1-45fa-bc6c-8ad82bc06c74", "createdTime": 1714105966385}, {"name": "Terpenes", "slug": "terpenes", "groupId": "47963770-a446-42db-8f2c-1f9be3096d90", "createdTime": 1714105966384}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLM... | ["cannabis", "terpenes", "science-default", "cannabinoid-hyperemesis-syndrome", "research"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714141469450 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5077028809984176 | 1ZL6ef9KuY0Pd5vx64Fy | {"NO": 129.67693839261673, "YES": 111.17687042103996} | 0.5460535652294755 | will-california-law-senate-bill-9-b | 10 | Will California law Senate Bill 9 be affirmed as valid law on appeal? | 1735718340000 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714106097308 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The state was sued by five California cities that sought to invalidate its provisions. A LA County judge ruled in favor of the cities. The state is going to appeal.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Will SB ... | BINARY | {"day": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": -3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": -3.3306690738754696e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.16153080369162434, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | KevinBurke | 1714172072212 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "🏄 California", "slug": "california", "groupId": "72sPPf5PTwnQQWGdZ5cR", "createdTime": 1714106097458}, {"name": "California Politics", "slug": "california-politics", "groupId": "kS3bCFO3rT9nloxlfeBp", "createdTime": 1714106097461}, {"name": "YIMBY", "slug": "yimby", "groupId": "XdplZbYjYVLDXFMis4TU", "creat... | ["california", "california-politics", "yimby"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714172066857 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5325063260920694 | p19hZA69psnbLNkDIVwH | {"NO": 430.946746782971, "YES": 2088.5385348822942} | 0.19030549867323063 | will-biden-lead-trump-in-538s-natio-3fac85a96dcd | 1719.8141879736963 | Will Biden lead Trump in 538's national poll at the end of October? | 1730433540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.720436747649135 | False | basic | public | 1714106174162 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "class": "break-anywhere hover... | BINARY | {"day": -0.025681877867997138, "week": -0.23092241502795116, "month": -0.34275479192004255} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 37.10593399638128, "platformFee": 6.916890732480217, "liquidityFee": 0} | 73.42560669003413 | 1000 | strutheo | 1720229976985 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1714106174483}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1714106174512}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "... | ["2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "politics-default", "us-politics", "the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720229973690 | 1719593941575 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4493738835072358 | KS8XyQo8BbujGMBG8jEA | {"NO": 179.2429688371024, "YES": 135.60728466103933} | 0.5189355339066878 | will-destiny-surpass-hasan-in-youtu | 120 | Will Destiny surpass Hasan in YouTube subscribers before he goes on Joe Rogan? | 1748750340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714106387420 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.9422089414560952, "platformFee": 1.0301397318341632, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | strutheo | 1717031747336 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1714106387570}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1714106387576}, {"name": "Subscriber Milestones", "slug": "subscriber-milestones", "groupId": "if2RfO5Jwj5bOuJEudCG",... | ["destinygg", "youtube", "subscriber-milestones", "hasanabi", "streaming-b160dddff0ab"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716519198357 | 1716998276641 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
O53RnxWXRo9oHNr4kWpB | who-will-be-inducted-into-the-rock | 655.0583412930438 | 💿Who will be inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES] | 1746071940000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714106781061 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Inductees for 2024: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://rockhall.com/2024-inductees/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://rockhall.com/2024-inductees/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.843836090510234, "platformFee": 4.69286850170516, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 640 | strutheo | 1718915400283 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "f0b631e78081", "prob": 0.4071843411085285, "text": "The White Stripes", "index": 0, "poolNo": 30.029540567972752, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 43.71971139544903, "textFts": "'stripe':3 'white':2", "contractId": "O53RnxWXRo9oHNr4kWpB", "createdTime": 1714106781061, "pro... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714106781421}, {"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714106781418}, {"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2... | ["culture-default", "entertainment", "music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.25 | 1718915397197 | 1714192041999 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.38196558463904295 | 8hZmIdFAxkSu8fCQYjQY | {"NO": 112.33432965016917, "YES": 764.1365243681346} | 0.0832886324065396 | will-julian-assange-be-extradited-t-c17cbfa88726 | 735.2121484135728 | Will Julian Assange be extradited to the United States before March 1st 2025? | 1740891540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714108080321 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.09361397930073533} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.220345177766505, "platformFee": 2.1711650208588136, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | strutheo | 1719336909391 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1714108080588}, {"name": "Prison Markets", "slug": "prison-markets", "groupId": "ybPe7R5zhvOzOIs3n3yM", "createdTime": 1714108080590}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "created... | ["law-order", "prison-markets", "world-default", "us-politics", "julian-assange"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719336906260 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.42504210097230066 | 2rsaKGylsA6ATxPV0O1E | {"NO": 105.07908839641539, "YES": 269.3749403607066} | 0.2238274269439761 | will-fabiano-caruana-ever-become-wo | 137.58739667748029 | Will Fabiano Caruana ever become World Chess Champion? | 2290402740000 | 1RM1saYoQKSZKRzAIAFFMrCPbIJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714109763639 | Carl Cinco | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Fabiano Caruana is one of the top chess players in the world right now. Will he ever become world champion? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fabiano_Caruana", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": 2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.5188314809065968, "platformFee": 1.5188314809065968, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | CarlCinco | 1714379415832 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKR7lFxwfkOctmW2LtzDlDkHFSui7l_iqlLtH2GD57wnA=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1703250406399 | 0 | [{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1714109763816}] | ["chess"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714379412403 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Yg8ezUXOnh9gUWmA7ESF | home-or-browse-on-manifold-which-do | 0 | Home or Browse on Manifold, which do you find more useful? | JCN5ptf5GGdFaakgcnJ4TPZa0no2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1714110877650 | gpt_news_headlines | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | gpt_news_headlines | 1714144288439 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgpt_news_headlines%2FkldFg_g8xa.07?alt=media&token=18eba95e-67d2-4e1f-9539-5d194eb20ba1 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1710363311888 | 0 | 0.25 | 1714144287658 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000003 | 2FM7gWJKGXxf1lQUlX69 | {"NO": 98.01960588196074, "YES": 102.0204061220409} | 0 | daily-coinflip-932655321462 | 1941.062558811649 | Daily coinflip | 1714276740000 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.50522021935262 | True | play | NO | public | 1714114077294 | Traveel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 141)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.304658088708223, "platformFee": 15.304658088708223, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714316175143 | 100 | Traveel | 1714276740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c | 23 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1674441975928 | 0 | [{"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1714114077493}, {"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1714114077529}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac... | ["nonpredictive-profits", "fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1714258559891 | 1714316056696 | 0.49 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6715631806448382 | pMW0yRueMfF7UUwX733J | {"NO": 1980.356640328674, "YES": 91.4536532499722} | 1 | will-roontszzl-on-twitter-reactivat | 1817 | Will roon(@tszzl) on twitter reactivate his account? | 1714165723661 | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.029110136723823 | True | play | YES | public | 1714114997898 | notarealuser | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FoUbVDyhmNN.png?alt=media&token=77f92db5-d0aa-40fa-a56d-713376222cf8", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution at E... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.212710283098834, "platformFee": 7.212710283098834, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714165723661 | 320 | notarealuser | 1714165723661 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700298590902 | 0 | [{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1714114998119}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1714114998155}] | ["twitter", "openai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714164893729 | 1714164902229 | 0.98 | uyFbHRn5q9fq9DFSoHXIAhw7KrD3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3030194316270942 | NsUy3bMZgp5gWjr8nxi3 | {"NO": 1713.212506862014, "YES": 946.176358924715} | 0.4404677272330379 | will-chinas-gdp-surpass-us-gdp-befo | 2219.1680505051677 | Will China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035? | 2051193540000 | W3Cc3ZYf6PXvBECdNlvR7uUnQ3I3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.036046926461397 | False | basic | public | 1714118937596 | Quther | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the World Bank data", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=CN-US&start=1960&view=chart", "class": "break-anywhere hover:un... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.02764169446611181, "month": 0.03916896505958867} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 50.85103752336941, "platformFee": 16.011962755468645, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1460 | quther | 1720161537761 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700321158186 | 0 | [{"name": "📈 Global Macro", "slug": "global-macro", "groupId": "ToJoQmyIyv0ZTSEW96Li", "createdTime": 1714118937766}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1714118937768}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6... | ["global-macro", "china", "united-states", "gdp", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720161534695 | 1714201694303 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sDe0YH61BmV3ZRrwaXze | which-year-will-chinas-gdp-surpass | 1419.548962553146 | When will China's GDP surpass US GDP? | 3187267140000 | W3Cc3ZYf6PXvBECdNlvR7uUnQ3I3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714120484729 | Quther | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If China's GDP doesn't surpass US GDP before 2070, the market will resolve to 2070-2071.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the World Bank data", "type": "t... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 38.333479375172644, "platformFee": 38.333479375172644, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 740 | quther | 1715911327240 | 0 | 9 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "29741e56cf9c", "prob": 0.00044698957977092974, "text": "2025-2026", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.4799458425856429, "userId": "W3Cc3ZYf6PXvBECdNlvR7uUnQ3I3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1073.2494302014875, "textFts": "'-2026':2 '2025':1", "contractId": "sDe0YH61BmV3ZRrwaXze", "createdTime": 1714120484730, "probChan... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700321158186 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714120485121}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1714120485126}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803... | ["economics-default", "china", "united-states", "gdp", "global-macro"] | 0.25 | 1715911322605 | 1714883276695 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4219500979439137 | QZ2YXQ8IYGrSifSNsnXr | {"NO": 96.12703985732378, "YES": 218.06275145310352} | 0 | will-the-straw-hats-use-coup-de-bur | 80 | Will the straw hats use coup de burst in chapter 1114? | 1714569500739 | d9FHkgSum6VtJACCnZXoH6AbOlZ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714122646789 | lazy | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9686242734482677, "platformFee": 0.9686242734482677, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715248412276 | 140 | lazy | 1714569500739 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708784795714 | 0 | [{"name": "🏴☠️ One Piece", "slug": "one-piece-stocks", "groupId": "uJSql24HUqpEpVU0FrjI", "createdTime": 1714122647006}] | ["one-piece-stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714160922398 | 0.24 | d9FHkgSum6VtJACCnZXoH6AbOlZ2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.34732109377398207 | AZ2iNY8uJ1gAgbY92xD3 | {"NO": 233.00164367439737, "YES": 362.82467153513517} | 0.25469822240805184 | will-there-be-fewer-global-cancer-d | 278 | Will there be fewer global cancer deaths in 2030 than in 2024? | 1925078340000 | biJAK5HhSRS5QD3X4ODnNgEWhRr1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714122835611 | Daisy W | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves “yes” if the total number of cancer deaths in 2030 is less than the total number of cancer deaths in 2024. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "“No” if more people die of cancer in 2030."... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.6941213245118925, "platformFee": 3.6941213245118925, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 280 | DaisyWelham | 1714372893582 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705674736043 | 0 | [{"name": "Public Health", "slug": "public-health", "groupId": "ybln6XDvz5ik7zO0aYe1", "createdTime": 1714122835941}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1714122835940}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdT... | ["public-health", "science-default", "climate"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714372890322 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
zNAv7moXjwhZTMZ0hYGV | asian-stock-nifty-3-how-will-each-o-5e3d0994c842 | 3198.2754096190065 | Asian Stock (Nifty + 3): How Will Each Of The Indian Indices Close On April 29 Compared To Its Close On April 26? | 1714389376891 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714123812240 | Grey Box | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market Information:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The markets are open from 5.50 am - 4.30 pm IST (different time fo... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.414278980113101, "platformFee": 11.414278980113101, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714389376891 | 480 | GreyBox | 1714389376891 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcgcLF6_hQzuAGLru0yBQSqgd02HTNIqX1dO_RW6M3v=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "3fc0790f44ad", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Nifty - NIFTY_50: Higher", "index": 0, "poolNo": 916.2757304579158, "userId": "kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 9.255310408665824, "textFts": "'50':3 'higher':4 'nifti':1,2", "contractId": "zNAv7moXjwhZTMZ0hYGV", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1692725309128 | 0 | [{"name": "Nifty", "slug": "nifty", "groupId": "51e933dd-5102-4766-ad56-c8b5634a0028", "createdTime": 1714123812502}, {"name": "🇮🇳 India", "slug": "india", "groupId": "Y2J00UcVhr3wKq2lAOAy", "createdTime": 1714123812503}, {"name": "Asia", "slug": "asia", "groupId": "bPTxMZhUYsIUXsWT969d", "createdTime": 1714123812499... | ["nifty", "india", "asia", "stocks", "stock-marketdaily"] | 0.25 | 1714385222951 | 1714362477146 | 0.99 | kdGYA9EW5ecVYSsswFGv2L1Hxze2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
nIzlCdoi7gffDDAewO5L | will-any-uk-cabinet-member-leave-ca-f1d8cc2f36a6 | 7941.784666235311 | Will any UK cabinet member leave cabinet this month? | 1719788340000 | VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1714123882728 | NoitUK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Cabinet members as per ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:de... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 125.73815931450858, "platformFee": 43.30984797814607, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719810156437 | 1000 | NoitUK | 1719788340000 | 0 | 21 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "3a790f847809", "prob": 0.05, "text": "May 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 89.35590401841733, "userId": "VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1697.7621763499274, "textFts": "'2024':2 'may':1", "contractId": "nIzlCdoi7gffDDAewO5L", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXs... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680597255123 | 0 | [{"name": "🇬🇧 UK", "slug": "uk", "groupId": "m9vlFjXUHNgGgU9OLK1Y", "createdTime": 1714123882997}, {"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk-conservative-party", "groupId": "ba6ec793-8de3-4383-9c33-f6d1f44dfa2c", "createdTime": 1714123882995}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZg... | ["uk", "uk-conservative-party", "uk-politics"] | 0.25 | 1719710529493 | 1716582306804 | 0.08 | VC8wAxhSj3YoEgTVAvwHv8tTXsn1 | False | old | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
1h7yghl9qAyWCKfbuFMo | when-will-i-finish-the-3d-graphics | 2984.639010559742 | When will I finish the 3d graphics study project? | 1714936938217 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | d619e5768adb | public | 1714124376516 | Kongo Landwalker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The deadline is 6 may. There is a 5% chance i would get prolongation if i do not meet deadline, so there is option Later.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I am allowed to bet, but I will likely... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.648068460344994, "platformFee": 10.648068460344994, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714936938217 | 230 | KongoLandwalker | 1714936966977 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0e105fec9519", "prob": 0.0015748036883737823, "text": "27-28 april", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.4419463251313118, "userId": "9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 914.193656878424, "textFts": "'-28':2 '27':1 'april':3", "contractId": "1h7yghl9qAyWCKfbuFMo", "resolverId": "9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681038287526 | 0 | [{"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "groupId": "PZJMbrLekgJBy7OOBKGT", "createdTime": 1714124397092}, {"name": "Kongo stopwatch", "slug": "kongo-stopwatch", "groupId": "6a6f82dc-4923-4170-985f-c2935ee86244", "createdTime": 1714124408271}] | ["programming", "kongo-stopwatch"] | 0.25 | 1714936921558 | 1714936965591 | {"d619e5768adb": 100} | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4922971190015821 | s75H9S81CQFIYCrnOcqI | {"NO": 111.17687042103995, "YES": 129.6769383926168} | 0.45394643477052404 | will-any-nvidia-acquisition-be-stra | 10 | Will any Nvidia acquisition be strack down by a regulator by end of 2025? | 1767218340000 | XXYfg8j2XWVCeet9HlOAA1vUwQW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714125144887 | Dark Speculator | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will any announced acquisition by Nvidia be cancelled because of regulator objections?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will count only deals with over 100 million USD, that are publicly announced, get objections f... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.16153080369162434, "platformFee": 0.16153080369162434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | 0482 | 1714137678917 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteS8SwkT3ywrOgne_djZRPozlXiVaKvKDJhqwdJd3Ox=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1691595630760 | 0 | [{"name": "Nvidia", "slug": "nvidia", "groupId": "43f31fc9-9568-44c6-842c-7c9e091b81c3", "createdTime": 1714125145167}, {"name": "Mergers and Acqusitions", "slug": "mergers-and-acqusitions", "groupId": "PFIReLFjJNpAPu7tjhPT", "createdTime": 1714125145169}, {"name": "GPU", "slug": "gpu", "groupId": "0e284bb8-81b7-48fc-8... | ["nvidia", "mergers-and-acqusitions", "gpu"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714137675372 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.813915800118028 | y3YRIq1UHfT4jCcIqz2p | {"NO": 1979.441320308019, "YES": 87.45354468172513} | 1 | will-the-sp-500-open-higher-on-apri-1a314e2fa32f | 1785.9226636219414 | Will the S&P 500 open higher on April 26th than its previous day close? | 1714187666464 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.390613301563501 | True | play | YES | public | 1714127370068 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.2406716569614646, "platformFee": 3.2406716569614646, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714187666464 | 200 | RiskOptimization | 1714187666464 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | [{"name": "NASDAQ", "slug": "nasdaq", "groupId": "d3aaa6d9-84fa-42e5-9053-690f91a51220", "createdTime": 1714127370271}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1714127370263}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 17... | ["nasdaq", "finance", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714187654157 | 0.99 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IbHeI2xJV8aehr4Adcej | what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-mo-98ddc8310af7 | 1407.2077886569134 | What will be true of the xkcd on Monday, April 29th, 2024? | 1714412796587 | yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1714131242035 | EBurk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve any answers to these questions as soon as I see the xkcd posted for the given day and have time to resolve. If it ever appears that the post was skipped (I don’t see anything before the next usual post day) I will resolve all answers... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.727876884140603, "platformFee": 13.727876884140603, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714412836969 | 1195 | EBurk | 1714412796587 | 0 | 18 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "4f1c5098dcc9", "prob": 0.07, "text": "Black Hat will make an appearance", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.849755854836376, "userId": "yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 200.77964921327253, "textFts": "'appear':6 'black':1 'hat':2 'make':4", "contractId": "IbHeI2xJV8aehr4Adcej", "resolution": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706489499554 | 0 | [{"name": "Webcomics", "slug": "webcomics", "groupId": "tO2lKFZZPUkSUzf064Rp", "createdTime": 1714131242631}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1714131242634}, {"name": "xkcd", "slug": "xkcd", "groupId": "58b9cbb3-0e8d-4c8b-be77-7430c96a2d3c", "createdTime": 1714131... | ["webcomics", "space", "xkcd", "engineering", "mathematics"] | 0.25 | 1714362805506 | 1714392018982 | 0.23 | yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
m4NO6WAG6TW2VbPD5zZi | will-home-team-win-april-28-2024-ma | 4765.040637826069 | Will home team win? (April 28, 2024 matches) ⚽🏟️ | 1714370400000 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714131487438 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.39689331850823, "platformFee": 14.39689331850823, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714424763601 | 940 | FranklinBaldo | 1714424767793 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 11 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "53189c18647a", "prob": 0.01, "text": "00:00 - Bahia vs Gremio - Brasileirão 🇧🇷", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1714.168335551611, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 17.314831672238522, "textFts": "'00':1,2 'bahia':3 'brasileirão':6 'gremio':5 'vs':4", "contractId": "m4NO6WAG6TW2Vb... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714131487659}] | ["soccer"] | 0.25 | 1714324312105 | 1714424765729 | 0.01 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
P2ACwOBX2fk3leQAgXy8 | will-home-team-win-april-28-2024-ma-2188ce495bea | 0 | Deleted | 1714132422218 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714131574364 | Franklin Baldo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "⚽ Bahia vs Gremio", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714132422218 | 100 | FranklinBaldo | 1714132422218 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucry6frpI5BKtmRvdVqmUQnkFdfnFn-LeH3bdV64feY=s96-c | 0 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "0230e2dc7c96", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Deleted ", "index": 0, "poolNo": 100, "userId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 100, "textFts": "'delet':1", "contractId": "P2ACwOBX2fk3leQAgXy8", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1", "createdTime": 1714131574364... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1659579722296 | 0 | [{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1714131574609}] | ["soccer"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
UV13YGknTHNEPpHT1LgD | which-prices-will-bitcoin-btc-hit-i | 10293.41009757752 | Which prices will Bitcoin (BTC) hit in June? | 1719792000000 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714131909838 | Lion | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question will resolve according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CoinMarketCap", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decor... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 67.24515716248266, "platformFee": 10.496719033889299, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719816116323 | 1120 | Lion | 1719792000000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | 23 | 2 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "9ceee8530c5a", "prob": 0.01, "text": "$30,000", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.10616773387035, "userId": "Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 406.51060565316476, "textFts": "'000':2 '30':1", "contractId": "UV13YGknTHNEPpHT1LgD", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73",... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1691095902341 | 0 | [{"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1714131910119}, {"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1714131910153}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdT... | ["crypto-speculation", "bitcoin-maxi", "finance", "bitcoin", "crypto-prices"] | 0.25 | 1719775895646 | 1719816078113 | 0.01 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | False | new | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3246515212620914 | 9LyFBR1C73Cm6FjDz4xo | {"NO": 2198.7532576350586, "YES": 10.676547034152918} | 1 | will-roon-reactivate-his-twitter-ac | 2167.2521507068773 | Will Roon reactivate his Twitter account by May 2? | 1714164601704 | WKMODgdifofCHceoAN1evxBOJ6W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 6.950217405070438 | True | play | YES | public | 1714132298183 | Zvi Mowshowitz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves to YES if I publish AI #62 on May 2, or it becomes May 3 (whichever comes first) and Roon's account (@tszzl) is reactivated by then.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to N... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.31202410075434, "platformFee": 14.31202410075434, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714164601704 | 420 | ZviMowshowitz | 1714164625860 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjZzVqACtxwmB1FREO1eZAIgN70yLkYEFBbecQn=s96-c | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1644001035848 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714132298341}] | ["ai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714164586010 | 1714164625296 | 0.99 | WKMODgdifofCHceoAN1evxBOJ6W2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.22814153971394874 | ZqC9DmU0XDnmgZDBBNsl | {"NO": 52.55389742944725, "YES": 817.5182622087317} | 0 | will-a-uk-general-election-be-calle-804c94fea233 | 720 | Will a UK General Election be announced between Sunday 28th March and Sunday 5th April 2024? | 1714145900873 | 3aFmUUp5H6a2eBijxP2owUrTrv92 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.291132676231651 | True | play | NO | public | 1714132485084 | George King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.432591226138326, "platformFee": 3.432591226138326, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714145900873 | 140 | GeorgeKing | 1714146088639 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLREkWeCqCESZhunyVvs20CVlg5bdQm78RQqgj8U8d_bpTwoujRzA=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714089921913 | 0 | [{"name": "🇬🇧 UK General Election 2024", "slug": "-uk-general-election-2024", "groupId": "129aecae-5af3-4f32-b369-9c46a4c5c6a0", "createdTime": 1714132485211}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1714132485215}, {"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk... | ["-uk-general-election-2024", "uk-politics", "uk-conservative-party"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714137910214 | 1714146087884 | 0.02 | 3aFmUUp5H6a2eBijxP2owUrTrv92 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
c5xAbgxMHqepAxXrgKFe | which-popular-websites-will-be-conq | 202.28650510017727 | Which popular websites will be conquered by the bots by the end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714132489337 | VerySeriousPoster | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Twitter and Facebook are still usable... but it's not controversial to say the bots and AI slop generators are winning the war. I'm skeptical that captchas will serve as a defense for much longer, and I haven't found a clear answer on whether other... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.386325870988933, "platformFee": 2.1909499246944737, "liquidityFee": 0} | 20 | 1000 | VerySeriousPoster | 1720197672207 | 0 | 12 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1e7b51dfbee9", "prob": 0.13156337848895266, "text": "Wikipedia", "index": 0, "poolNo": 39.19944938828138, "userId": "wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 258.7516205713043, "textFts": "'wikipedia':1", "contractId": "c5xAbgxMHqepAxXrgKFe", "createdTime": 1714132489337, "probChanges": {"da... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681990719923 | 0 | [{"name": "Bots", "slug": "bots", "groupId": "cb0cdacc-10f8-440a-a953-13587869c734", "createdTime": 1714132489574}, {"name": "Websites", "slug": "websites", "groupId": "13abee62-edb9-4c77-bee7-0d44eec0dc7a", "createdTime": 1714132489577}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime":... | ["bots", "websites", "ai"] | 0.25 | 1720197669103 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49850503393176077 | 3YmP16rLbG0m6E2jHDUY | {"NO": 1238.883198416133, "YES": 627.9191169638679} | 0.6623030557556236 | will-any-university-announce-a-dive | 20598.663700494097 | Will any university announce a divestment from Israel by June 2024? | 1717202485675 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.043997630399218 | True | basic | CANCEL | public | 1714134950447 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "College Protesters Make Divestment From Israel a Rallying Cry", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/24/business/college-protesters-divestment-israel.ht... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 350.0523587810397, "platformFee": 224.13291923265794, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718380227258 | 1000 | mattyb | 1717202485675 | 0 | 178 | 0 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1714134950614}, {"name": "Colleges & Universities", "slug": "colleges-universities", "groupId": "3qsRSyWVqskVH54fz1CR", "createdTime": 1714134950621}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Poli... | ["israelhamas-conflict-2023", "colleges-universities", "us-politics", "israel", "arabisraeli-conflict"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717192067409 | 1718319077177 | 0.66 | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
sNtnMj1WnjPKlBNmEeNh | will-openai-report-an-incident-toda-81866ac9a488 | 20322.057388355148 | Will OpenAI report an incident today? May 2024 | 1717381581912 | j34wJex00aOIBExk3u8cIxqeDIB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714135048212 | walmart | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://status.openai.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://status.openai.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:de... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 91.02327931489157, "platformFee": 71.43816506260248, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717381581912 | 1795 | WalterMartin | 1717381581912 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJaU_H5ojNfbqITIyMduSVJVm7SvaeTm53NopKIgvI8=s96-c | 28 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "6ae959f2652c", "prob": 0.99, "text": "May 1", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1210.7317212454661, "userId": "j34wJex00aOIBExk3u8cIxqeDIB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 12.229613345913805, "textFts": "'1':2 'may':1", "contractId": "sNtnMj1WnjPKlBNmEeNh", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "j34wJex00aOIBExk3u8cIxqeDIB2",... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1705088424770 | 0 | [{"name": "Website or App Uptime", "slug": "website-or-app-uptime", "groupId": "a1e87640-a7b7-4abf-b460-8a0caacff95f", "createdTime": 1714135048489}, {"name": "Service Outage", "slug": "service-outage", "groupId": "9f2185ac-574e-4c3a-aa14-eda54072f2fc", "createdTime": 1714135048486}, {"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "open... | ["website-or-app-uptime", "service-outage", "openai", "ai", "ai-regulation"] | 0.25 | 1717381571921 | 1714346607215 | 0.99 | j34wJex00aOIBExk3u8cIxqeDIB2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7469262753958953 | 35otNEBj8b1C2SmHWp2o | {"NO": 1074.0164699706118, "YES": 955.3120926498184} | 0.7684194821799706 | will-california-be-in-the-top-5-eco | 354.2832353997116 | Will California be in the top 5 economies in the world in 2027? | 1830326340000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.612242583555432 | False | basic | public | 1714137049123 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "California Remains the World’s 5th Largest Economy", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.gov.ca.gov/2024/04/16/california-remains-the-worlds-5th-largest-economy/", "class"... | BINARY | {"day": -0.008580071220752106, "week": -0.008580071220752106, "month": -0.00858007122075255} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.2099322305280635, "platformFee": 3.5749236137952543, "liquidityFee": 0} | 39.28323539971161 | 1000 | mattyb | 1720199442158 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714137049423}, {"name": "🏄 California", "slug": "california", "groupId": "72sPPf5PTwnQQWGdZ5cR", "createdTime": 1714137049425}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA... | ["technology-default", "california", "us-politics", "economics-default", "world-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720199438744 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
r6qsNeu9k8Xhpkw138er | how-much-money-will-if-2024-make-du | 3220.9370847506466 | How much money will IF (2024) make during its opening weekend? | 1716274740000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714137542316 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How much will John Krasinski’s, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "IF (2024)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt11152168/?ref_=bo_se_r_1", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.79166030999476, "platformFee": 13.79166030999476, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716304886559 | 205 | mattyb | 1716274740000 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "83b5d94f873c", "prob": 0.99, "text": ">= $33million", "index": 0, "poolNo": 427.0348357311549, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4.313483189203566, "textFts": "'33million':1", "contractId": "r6qsNeu9k8Xhpkw138er", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9j... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714137542551}, {"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "IbCVuDeG5LtAeh5NcH0w", "createdTime": 1714137542576}, {"name": "Cinema", "slug": "cinema", "groupId": "cwf259E8FrbeHwytqDqP", "... | ["entertainment", "boxoffice", "cinema", "movies", "television-film"] | 0.25 | 1716231929351 | 1716304593063 | 0.01 | 2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pdtiul2qw1tWayJZB59r | what-will-be-true-about-zendayas-pe | 539.2192302828519 | What will be true about Zendaya’s performance in Challengers at the 2025 Oscars? | 1740988740000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714137891423 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Challengers (2024)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.imdb.com/title/tt16426418/?ref_=ext_shr_lnk", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline a... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.14988050219477, "platformFee": 1.9232484285915339, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 280 | mattyb | 1717297473021 | 0 | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "9c601974b93d", "prob": 0.5346627964723975, "text": "Zendaya will not receive an acting nomination (Actress or Supporting)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 109.10238579537183, "userId": "oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 94.95592257246008, "textFts": "'act':6 'actress':8 'nomin':7 'receiv':4 's... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Oscars", "slug": "oscars", "groupId": "b86fa4c8-87ee-45d4-bf71-1cea8a0acdc3", "createdTime": 1714137891714}, {"name": "📺 Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEngFk1dGGBfaMeAmh", "createdTime": 1714137891786}, {"name": "🎥 Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB",... | ["oscars", "television-film", "movies", "tennis", "entertainment"] | 0.25 | 1717297469881 | True | prob-desc | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
K6LHVzf4bsZiMXrxNmip | during-which-year-will-i-see-a-huma | 65.00000000000018 | During which year will I see a humanoid robot for sale at Walmart? | 2871781140000 | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714139041367 | VerySeriousPoster | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This robot must be able to:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Autonomously navigate through novel environments", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listI... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.0983170532176265, "platformFee": 1.7304799974226088, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | VerySeriousPoster | 1718308411766 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "68b9491b4513", "prob": 0.035532867030873785, "text": "2025-2026", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.8413915272678723, "userId": "wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 77.12377212808943, "textFts": "'-2026':2 '2025':1", "contractId": "K6LHVzf4bsZiMXrxNmip", "createdTime": 1714139041367, "probChanges... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681990719923 | 0 | [{"name": "Walmart", "slug": "walmart", "groupId": "683b8477-6b38-43b4-9de4-1bf1df6177c2", "createdTime": 1714139041751}, {"name": "Humanoid robotics", "slug": "humanoid-robotics", "groupId": "c0d8e463-ef4a-4a29-90b2-4f7bcf5034bb", "createdTime": 1714139041782}, {"name": "Robotics", "slug": "robotics", "groupId": "w6Q4... | ["walmart", "humanoid-robotics", "robotics"] | 0.25 | 1718308407826 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Uwh8JFUjbkX6juMcMP0U | when-will-the-size-of-the-fast-food | 120.00000000000001 | When will the size of the fast food workforce begin declining in America? | 2871781140000 | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714139437455 | VerySeriousPoster | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To control for cyclical shifts, I'll look for a period where fast food employment decreases for five years in a row. If it starts declining in 2030 and continues to decline until eoy 2035, I will mark 2030 as the resolution date.", "type": "text"}]... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.156016788245839, "platformFee": 7.156016788245839, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | VerySeriousPoster | 1714202848885 | 0 | 3 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "d70d8e9d9dd3", "prob": 0.07554823372955347, "text": "2025-2026", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.662232282753896, "userId": "wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 57.049763519076386, "textFts": "'-2026':2 '2025':1", "contractId": "Uwh8JFUjbkX6juMcMP0U", "createdTime": 1714139437455, "probChanges"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681990719923 | 0 | [{"name": "McDonald's", "slug": "mcdonalds", "groupId": "718f7d76-2815-4be9-a3e9-9e5c942e5ad9", "createdTime": 1714139437978}, {"name": "Automation", "slug": "automation", "groupId": "6c86feb6-c372-40ed-921a-50ebdffa6f52", "createdTime": 1714139437979}, {"name": "Restaurants", "slug": "restaurants", "groupId": "9245976... | ["mcdonalds", "automation", "restaurants"] | 0.25 | 1714202845223 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
QSmwcfdUMQRp2bfzTXHt | how-large-will-the-semiconductor-in | 671 | How large will the Semiconductor Industry (Nvidia, TSMC, AMD etc.) be in 2030? 🤖🧠🦾🚀✨🌐 | 1925038740000 | cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714139664011 | Elf | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "yearly revenue in 2030", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2021 it was ~600 Billion, McKinsey forecasts it to grow with a CAG... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.0975816281664, "platformFee": 4.791271179123674, "liquidityFee": 0} | 200 | 1000 | elf | 1720231306318 | 0 | 11 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "85e29f62c4fb", "prob": 0.006492102809522697, "text": "Less than 1 Trillion", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.404625735162199, "userId": "cXfjElSKSFTJVYwY3xlxH5wQlF82", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 827.0876951249799, "textFts": "'1':3 'less':1 'trillion':4", "contractId": "QSmwcfdUMQRp2bfzTXHt", "createdTime": 17141396... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668973436049 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714139664260}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714139664256}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdT... | ["ai", "technology-default", "economics-default", "stocks", "openai"] | 0.25 | 1720231303168 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.33602446667782476 | QkJUdwz3QAtqdEfj9oT0 | {"NO": 101.31267318971116, "YES": 447.00072689475326} | 0 | will-spains-prime-minister-resign-n | 280.8749685152971 | Will Spain’s prime minister resign next week? | 1714458058416 | qQAo803Ls0ekzuDMgDHBNDUApYp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714139868085 | Manuel del Río | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/25/why-spain-prime-minister-pedro-sanchez-considering-resigning", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/25/why-spain-prime-minister-pedro-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.0621522949747817, "platformFee": 2.0621522949747817, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714458058416 | 180 | ManueldelRio | 1714458068694 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcIsbB1GQE30iTIY91ye0VlM11y8EXGVUGW2Rbocal2ldA=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1689155371914 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714384888374 | 1714458067374 | 0.1 | qQAo803Ls0ekzuDMgDHBNDUApYp2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5147988375218636 | vJXhMCK2QgAUrgtvhXpN | {"NO": 178.3851712343729, "YES": 144.05583385078884} | 0.5678186458820842 | will-this-be-the-summer-that-i-fina | 20 | Will this be the summer that I finally find a non-classroom teacher job? | 1723089540000 | wUb31hi72zgolOqxm88HDZAP9zy1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714140186208 | VerySeriousPoster | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Spring/summer of 2022: tried to escape classroom and failed", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Spring/summer of 2023: tried to escape classroom and failed", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text":... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-16, "week": -5.551115123125783e-16, "month": -5.551115123125783e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.33878131548783724, "platformFee": 0.33878131548783724, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | VerySeriousPoster | 1714361081525 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681990719923 | 0 | [{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1714140186485}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714172839306 | 1714144459313 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5784646945912659 | ABgjAXZMxk8q4mwqfSLP | {"NO": 250.0356669845872, "YES": 166.33960228352353} | 0.6734973641455918 | will-a-cerebras-ipo-filing-become-a | 100.64953541207964 | Will a Cerebras IPO filing become available on the SEC website in 2024, paving the way to go public? | 1735718340000 | IyiwKUGua1dFW1oTwQ3hzphva5s2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714140527313 | Jx | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bloomberg", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-02/chipmaker-cerebras-systems-is-said-to-pick-citigroup-for-ipo", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-pr... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3895375462271093, "platformFee": 1.3895375462271093, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | Jx | 1716166011204 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1708979491108 | 0 | [{"name": "IPO valuation", "slug": "ipo-valuation", "groupId": "wXtixYXVK6Nq9c7ts9iJ", "createdTime": 1714140527496}, {"name": "IPOs 2024", "slug": "ipos-2024", "groupId": "f3566d1b-c580-44c9-867c-44e7563729b4", "createdTime": 1714140527493}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moW... | ["ipo-valuation", "ipos-2024", "technology-default", "semiconductors", "nvidia"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716166007778 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8250534177161766 | FUBmaNZ1v9sWU9DtVV76 | {"NO": 1378.659452853332, "YES": 889.0701439108946} | 0.8797069731529503 | will-36-of-the-opening-weekend-audi | 470 | Will >=36% of the opening weekend audience for "Joker: Folie à Deux" be women? (+3% higher than the 33% for "Joker") | 1730444340000 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.838816433634536 | False | basic | public | 1714141502068 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Joker\" (2019) was widely considered a male-centric movie. \"Joker: Folie à Deux\" adds Lady Gaga in a starring role. Will her addition broaden the movie's appeal? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.875479168434387, "platformFee": 3.875479168434387, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Ziddletwix | 1715233663718 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714141502374}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1714141502377}, {"name": "Box-Office", "slug": "boxoffice", "groupId": "IbCVuDeG5Lt... | ["entertainment", "culture-default", "boxoffice", "movies"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715233660441 | 1714141534023 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5439710984940134 | QT8191mviwfn6jNydoN6 | {"NO": 2745.806957699119, "YES": 30.227758297376226} | 1 | short-fuse-bulls-vs-bears-will-the-4adbbacf4740 | 3875.074299878626 | [short fuse] Bulls vs Bears: Will the S&P 500 hit 5,200.00 before 5,000.00? | 1715107774526 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714141626409 | Lion | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves only, if the S&P 500 hits 5,000.00 or 5,200.00 points ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "during official NYSE core trading hours", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nyse.com/markets/hours-calendars", "cla... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 18.815970274733584, "platformFee": 18.815970274733584, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715107774526 | 240 | Lion | 1715107774526 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1691095902341 | 0 | [{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1714141626563}, {"name": "S&P 500", "slug": "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "groupId": "14f1d7bf-d7f0-403b-91fa-0fc25f101525", "createdTime": 1714141626567}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "cr... | ["stocks", "sp-500-439f18dbc885", "finance", "sp-500-changes"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715107603202 | 1715107764673 | 0.99 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4991985759080882 | FQsMhaBK1rD3FtmarYFo | {"NO": 67.2433629960359, "YES": 214.54337494706118} | 0 | will-the-coastal-commission-staff-r | 101 | Will the Coastal Commission staff report recommend 24/7 car traffic on the Great Highway? | 1715097231145 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714142224694 | Kevin Burke | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if they recommend this for a non-trivial portion of the roadway. Resolves based on staff recommendation, not the actual Commission vote.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://tw... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2128252376802082, "platformFee": 1.2128252376802082, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715097231145 | 120 | KevinBurke | 1715097231145 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668407142709 | 0 | [{"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsORflUYGveLSX", "createdTime": 1714142234411}, {"name": "🏄 California", "slug": "california", "groupId": "72sPPf5PTwnQQWGdZ5cR", "createdTime": 1714142240299}, {"name": "California Politics", "slug": "california-politics", "groupId": "kS3bCFO3rT9nl... | ["san-francisco", "california", "california-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715071850836 | 1715068532910 | 0.24 | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8345028763037193 | 8dlYRTFcSlCItFszRDaJ | {"NO": 6983.763147200516, "YES": 399.07377510546746} | 1 | will-marques-brownlee-mkbhd-release-a9195c7a1950 | 9198.439122552525 | Will Marques Brownlee (MKBHD) release a review of the Rabbit R1 before the end of May 10th 2024? | 1714438770655 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714142773846 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.youtube.com/@mkbhd/videos", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.youtube.com/@mkbhd/videos", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 24.412133672776427, "platformFee": 24.412133672776427, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714438770655 | 740 | strutheo | 1714438770655 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1714142774911}, {"name": "Rabbit R1", "slug": "rabbit-r1", "groupId": "fa0f2bff-3e08-4e36-a828-dc2a2dfb74db", "createdTime": 1714142774937}, {"name": "Entertainment", "slug": "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "groupId": "YjinY1aCMoxH9... | ["youtube", "rabbit-r1", "entertainment-12ba84d9b720", "ai", "hardware"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714438364004 | 1714437661817 | 0.99 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U8GmsVStnoDDYbUesCSQ | which-of-these-3digit-numbers-feels-786285a82744 | 0 | Which of these 3-digit numbers *feels* the biggest? [POLL] | 1714795140000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714143200216 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Just what the question says on the tin. This is about your ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "feelings", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": ", regardless of whether those feelings align with conventional ideas of number bigness or ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714795140556 | Panfilo | 1714159439222 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "🧮 Math", "slug": "mathematics", "groupId": "S1tbcVt1t5Bd9O5mVCx1", "createdTime": 1714143200432}, {"name": "🤠 Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1714143200426}, {"name": "CoolFold", "slug": "coolfold", "groupId": "0d4cf3f7-3da6-4b58-908a-34a6758fcf19", "createdTime": 171... | ["mathematics", "fun", "coolfold", "business", "numberfeels"] | 0.25 | 1714159438097 | ["1df7df9a6112"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
KXQcmrPmJohnV5leZc3n | which-of-these-4digit-numbers-feels-1fad56fcc989 | 0 | Which of these 4-digit numbers *feels* the biggest? [POLL] | 1714795140000 | U6qF7eg8XLXRo4Xc077i1BdgHxx2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714143494153 | Panfilo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Just what the question says on the tin. This is about your ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "feelings", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": ", regardless of whether those feelings align with conventional ideas of number bigness or ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714795140556 | Panfilo | 1714143494343 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695066009476 | 0 | [{"name": "CoolFold", "slug": "coolfold", "groupId": "0d4cf3f7-3da6-4b58-908a-34a6758fcf19", "createdTime": 1714143494318}, {"name": "🤠 Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1714143494337}, {"name": "Numberfeels", "slug": "numberfeels", "groupId": "bb53e386-0852-4a5e-bb50-f73125283af8"... | ["coolfold", "fun", "numberfeels", "mathematics", "united-states"] | 0.25 | ["489bd92608c4"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.21215430122659282 | 4Blc8yNkAVapn8ou7ifN | {"NO": 237.2169494670716, "YES": 6205.069959267101} | 0 | will-a-uk-general-election-be-annou | 6957.684701859109 | Will a UK General Election be announced between Sunday 28th April and Sunday 5th May 2024? | 1714985435498 | 3aFmUUp5H6a2eBijxP2owUrTrv92 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714145953292 | George King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 19.354410914773517, "platformFee": 19.354410914773517, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714985435498 | 510 | GeorgeKing | 1714985435498 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLREkWeCqCESZhunyVvs20CVlg5bdQm78RQqgj8U8d_bpTwoujRzA=s96-c | 26 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714089921913 | 0 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1714145955840}, {"name": "🇬🇧 UK General Election 2024", "slug": "-uk-general-election-2024", "groupId": "129aecae-5af3-4f32-b369-9c46a4c5c6a0", "createdTime": 1714145955838}, {"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk... | ["uk-politics", "-uk-general-election-2024", "uk-conservative-party"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714977390558 | 0.01 | 3aFmUUp5H6a2eBijxP2owUrTrv92 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
QpaUlx6MlCV7sTgWefiv | which-of-the-following-players-will-f6f2cd01636c | 764.521754713221 | Which of the following players will hit more than 35 homers in the 2024 MLB season? | 1727841540000 | FTnclyJHcxW8T3n3Dgh9VWQa0YF2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714146006332 | Max Scialabba | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve to yes if the player hits 36 or more home runs in the 2024 MLB regular season.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.472399638516215, "platformFee": 2.7898224173712878, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 775 | MaxScialabba62d5 | 1719806576828 | 0 | 10 | 4 | ANYONE | [{"id": "a1b041ba1b92", "prob": 0.8690351300704486, "text": "Aaron Judge", "index": 0, "poolNo": 159.71181883900638, "userId": "FTnclyJHcxW8T3n3Dgh9VWQa0YF2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 24.06880557149276, "textFts": "'aaron':1 'judg':2", "contractId": "QpaUlx6MlCV7sTgWefiv", "createdTime": 1714146006333, "probChanges... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713909668455 | 0 | [{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1714146006682}, {"name": "⚾ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "786nRQzgVyUnuUtaLTGW", "createdTime": 1714146006677}, {"name": "Home Runs", "slug": "home-runs", "groupId": "096abd81-185b-42f6-bd18-78040bdb3b8a", "... | ["sports-default", "baseball", "home-runs", "mlb"] | 0.25 | 1719806573753 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
l0Eanh60gQUTczWehTbG | if-you-had-to-vote-in-an-election-w-9c853bedcdfc | 0 | If you had to vote in an election, would you rather vote for Donald Trump or Yasser Arafat? | 1715832730498 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714146670673 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See: ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "c9QbK9KoFUFE8JR7a1HX", "label": "/strutheo/who-would-have-to-be-running-for-ma"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1715832781012 | strutheo | 1715832733916 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | ["942f8bcd6c20"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9133540496740098 | qOraa5NCsLIxkyUeEy24 | {"NO": 2868.51189031703, "YES": 839.5511068133019} | 1 | narendra-modi-going-to-be-the-win-t | 3761.9869400757952 | Narendra Modi going to be the win the Indian general election? | 1716748140000 | WQfTjPifDhVH95Ur8RLIQDF0OYS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.520005641349018 | True | basic | YES | public | 1714147245963 | Shaikh Niyaz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Whose is going to be the Next PM of India.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.027015046477601445} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 14.88088029947413, "platformFee": 12.216494791726735, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717700821590 | 1000 | ShaikhNiyaz | 1717704655758 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL3elFZvmUlWaaKLc014e-jjFyF-C_600KOClkMTY-NzoF2T_k2=s96-c | 28 | 0 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714146486603 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1714147246261}, {"name": "Indian Politics", "slug": "indian-politics", "groupId": "380a81e3-5753-4ae9-89ab-6241a62e1aff", "createdTime": 1714147246262}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId":... | ["economics-default", "indian-politics", "us-politics", "india", "2024-indian-general-election"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716675554725 | 1717704654749 | 0.97 | WQfTjPifDhVH95Ur8RLIQDF0OYS2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
xckyVQUunJnCmiNUKExa | how-many-seats-narendra-modis-bjp-p | 0 | How many Seats Narendra Modi's (BJP) Party going to win out of 543 seats ? | 1716748140000 | WQfTjPifDhVH95Ur8RLIQDF0OYS2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714147683678 | Shaikh Niyaz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716748140374 | ShaikhNiyaz | 1714147683879 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL3elFZvmUlWaaKLc014e-jjFyF-C_600KOClkMTY-NzoF2T_k2=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714146486603 | 0 | [{"name": "2024 Indian general election", "slug": "2024-indian-general-election", "groupId": "c48e28ad-faf8-4bd0-8c18-850e4785245d", "createdTime": 1714147683812}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1714147683836}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics"... | ["2024-indian-general-election", "stocks", "us-politics", "finance", "economics-default"] | 0.25 | ["71c4c9478728"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7239539421220194 | 3zXl5jd0EQlBmEYAb1Wh | {"NO": 1265.8253048508943, "YES": 33.532656991114784} | 1 | will-roon-reactivate-his-account-be | 1132.1912549455726 | Will Roon reactivate his account before June? | 1714213109388 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1714148036896 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/tszzl", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/tszzl", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primar... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.1829750473392484, "platformFee": 3.1829750473392484, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714213109388 | 140 | Bayesian | 1714213109388 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "Roon", "slug": "roon", "groupId": "6c79503a-1ee1-41ee-a6a7-8b152789b55f", "createdTime": 1714148037056}, {"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1714148037070}] | ["roon", "twitter"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714167025630 | 1714164880308 | 0.99 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7791601484879932 | eG1amdbgKgCwbLPvGeyY | {"NO": 1496.5832931751222, "YES": 53.335329612961544} | 1 | will-roon-rejoin-twitter-x-before-j | 1361.9439258657449 | Will Roon rejoin Twitter (X) before June? | 1714213096285 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.544949524074323 | True | play | YES | public | 1714148176453 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/tszzl", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/tszzl", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primar... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.180248373734495, "platformFee": 4.180248373734495, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714213096285 | 180 | Bayesian | 1714213096285 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | [{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1714148176689}, {"name": "Roon", "slug": "roon", "groupId": "6c79503a-1ee1-41ee-a6a7-8b152789b55f", "createdTime": 1714148176701}] | ["twitter", "roon"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714173389226 | 1714164968135 | 0.99 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
JhQxIfsU0cm6ovZJ5ur1 | which-of-the-following-team-is-goin | 2667.93961877802 | Which of the following team is going to WIN IPL 2024? | 1716748140000 | WQfTjPifDhVH95Ur8RLIQDF0OYS2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714148354116 | Shaikh Niyaz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "IPL 2024 WINNING TEAM PRIDICTION ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.506858787890037, "platformFee": 5.366934605387415, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 360 | ShaikhNiyaz | 1716736554508 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL3elFZvmUlWaaKLc014e-jjFyF-C_600KOClkMTY-NzoF2T_k2=s96-c | 10 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0bccbcd18fb3", "prob": 0.010000000000000007, "text": "MUMBAI INDIANS", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.5938798891586146, "userId": "WQfTjPifDhVH95Ur8RLIQDF0OYS2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 355.7941090267026, "textFts": "'indian':2 'mumbai':1", "contractId": "JhQxIfsU0cm6ovZJ5ur1", "createdTime": 1714148354117, "pro... | 4 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714146486603 | 0 | [{"name": "IPL", "slug": "ipl", "groupId": "b66a8b0f-ac7b-4492-b763-f2282bf969a3", "createdTime": 1714148354459}] | ["ipl"] | 0.25 | 1716736550829 | 1714329132594 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.44069552403407264 | yELNEzQZg0qqAoexJ1WQ | {"NO": 679.3009730608661, "YES": 1625.465418599234} | 0.2477171214173631 | will-i-regret-buying-two-unopened-m | 1204.4662736303424 | Will I regret buying two unopened Magic the Gathering "The Dark" booster packs for $150 a year from now? | 1745812740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.747586735818675 | False | basic | public | 1714148579079 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bought 2x packs for $150 due to ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "fIldPqVOGBVA3kl2fk8ci9Yiju52", "label": "ZacParker"}}, {"text": " 's suggestions ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": ... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.027045256169078463} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 31.66627157689909, "platformFee": 2.7930247373882824, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1718917347292 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1714148579271}, {"name": "Card Games", "slug": "card-games", "groupId": "716b67c4-834b-4989-9346-2273c346b698", "createdTime": 1714148579270}, {"name": "Collectibiles", "slug": "collectibiles", "groupId": ... | ["magic-the-gathering", "card-games", "collectibiles", "gaming", "investing"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718917343850 | 1717275794550 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7314822752920944 | RyQLkuJuPO6XTCzdILM3 | {"NO": 101.92952368811619, "YES": 2246.603917289043} | 0.1100003726341651 | will-i-successfully-do-my-internshi | 2152.8797906982454 | Will I successfully do my internship report in LaTeX ? | 1759355940000 | WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.471270453252414 | False | basic | public | 1714149183428 | Mich | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I’ve been doing an internship (it’s chemistry, in a research unit, in a firm) since the beginning of April that will last until August. My report will be due in August or in September - due date is not fixed yet.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "para... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.46518590741451604} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 50.12381768076262, "platformFee": 3.3888467812328216, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Mich | 1719999285108 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702591853953 | 0 | [{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1714149183901}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1714149183907}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcp... | ["personal-goals", "science-default", "technology-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719252374755 | 1719999283794 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.14707385519128854 | 5zvgt3daUkeiB3p1hfuQ | {"NO": 796.4307902473095, "YES": 2330.981302838887} | 0.05563803559708767 | gpt-545-announced-in-may | 10013.119035450427 | GPT 5/4.5 announced in May | 1717214340000 | nvwiMP9zkuh9FQ2v8UH9xDCnSUe2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.076720976850616 | False | basic | public | 1714149265666 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be an official announcement not just hints can be either GPT 5 or 4.5", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 81.4679531633472, "platformFee": 81.27165578296605, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JamesF | 1717168273614 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv27jBfXshvcxQg0USPWlCThidP8XpLI2WYLtoehvX=s96-c | 39 | 0 | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1701462146149 | 0 | [{"name": "ChatGPT", "slug": "chatgpt", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1714149265826}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1714149265841}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 171414926... | ["chatgpt", "ai", "technology-default", "openai", "gpt5-speculation"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717168270484 | 1715692771757 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
bwO3KQPuOuJMhYxjIfQj | who-will-win-the-2027-fifa-womans-w | 2055.1898926059403 | Who will win the 2027 Fifa Womans World Cup | 1830293940000 | dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714149426503 | Base | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.964093561100119, "platformFee": 6.964093561100119, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 520 | Base | 1714492603581 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "6cf4e1523f7c", "prob": 0.17585910899307403, "text": "USA", "index": 0, "poolNo": 39.94334826201054, "userId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 187.18931771540923, "textFts": "'usa':1", "contractId": "bwO3KQPuOuJMhYxjIfQj", "createdTime": 1714149426504, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690298751650 | 0 | [{"name": "2026 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2026-fifa-world-cup", "groupId": "qvoAQ5xw34QW92Gtwr91", "createdTime": 1714149426728}, {"name": "Germany", "slug": "germany", "groupId": "0egO7eYCaC5HnLwGN8tR", "createdTime": 1714149426745}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "cre... | ["2026-fifa-world-cup", "germany", "football", "2023-womens-world-cup", "soccer"] | 0.25 | 1714492600317 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5400671544447491 | eNZgWsEMk0Fbo01tFnLb | {"NO": 182.47745946127628, "YES": 141.27594744293097} | 0.6026513199394878 | will-harvey-weinstein-be-reconvicte | 75.46080730357717 | Will Harvey Weinstein be re-convicted in NY? | 1735718340000 | oPxjIzlvC5fRbGCaVgkvAiyoXBB2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714150241766 | Matty B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Context: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Accusers of Harvey Weinstein want new trial after overturned rape and assault conviction ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/04/25/us/accusers-harvey-w... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0308666175732089, "platformFee": 1.0308666175732089, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | mattyb | 1715767111904 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697395701475 | 0 | [{"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1714150241983}, {"name": "New York", "slug": "new-york", "groupId": "WHYL7vwzRusHiIbe3uRu", "createdTime": 1714150241984}, {"name": "Hollywood", "slug": "hollywood", "groupId": "qnJlrpEJJ1i5tEJ6J2jM", "createdTime": 17141502... | ["law-order", "new-york", "hollywood", "crime", "entertainment"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715767108465 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qRax0AqmG4EbWO9u1IaF | will-scotus-uphold-the-atfs-final-r | 104.1474127740815 | Will SCOTUS uphold the ATF's Final Rule on Privately Manufactured Firearms ("ghost guns")? | 1751691540000 | rXFo2BlcdceeuW4kCiLX4y9KQ1o2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714151173619 | Thunderfiddle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In 2022, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives (AFT) published their final rule on Privately Manufactured Firearms (\"ghost guns\")that said, among other things, these types of firearms are subject to the rules that govern commer... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.3217135263978947, "platformFee": 1.0475216204771343, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 180 | Thunderfiddle | 1719311695094 | 0 | 3 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "7fbefa07b3b2", "prob": 0.7414321354978909, "text": "Yes. SCOTUS rules that PMFs are subject to regulations laid out in the ATF's final rule.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 144.92810825923223, "userId": "rXFo2BlcdceeuW4kCiLX4y9KQ1o2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50.54238906674252, "textFts": "'atf':14 'final':16 'lai... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1697481277029 | 0 | [{"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714151173871}, {"name": "Supreme Court", "slug": "supreme-court", "groupId": "ci33MLyc1P8Fww2e6kxp", "createdTime": 1714151173877}, {"name": "guns", "slug": "guns", "groupId": "0gSLNbC6ByAwlLcDhOfu", "createdTime": 1... | ["us-politics", "supreme-court", "guns", "scotus"] | 0.25 | 1719311691962 | 1714215352632 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5843733583347945 | qSdNvxOGzMfXOduMeKPs | {"NO": 270.9258482628793, "YES": 157.0171327487349} | 0.7081142444104777 | will-dji-technologies-be-added-to-t | 90 | Will DJI Technologies be added to the FCC List Covered By Section 2 of The Secure Networks Act by end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | Fxsi2an7IoMsNLyq1ODqsXZIMqC3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714151482932 | Benjamin Manns | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Recently there's been some news articles and bills proposed surrounding ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "DJI Technologies", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DJI", "class": "break-anywhere hove... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.010185789869370243} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.4802143990103365, "platformFee": 0.8448175737904379, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | benmanns | 1718648208721 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKkghDuSf2qFv60YgKDe4sB83Qr5ah-gRmsZWJ4Y8cUS4oz=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704664921240 | 0 | [{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714151483129}, {"name": "🇨🇳 China", "slug": "china", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1714151483124}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "create... | ["politics-default", "china", "us-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718648205604 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
jTjxKyo6caqDdlXTLvJC | would-you-prefer-a-250000-salary-ta | 0 | Would you prefer a $250,000 salary taxed at 36% or $77,000 salary taxed at 33% + free healthcare? | 1714773540000 | cWcPyhxrIQa4OCGuWtlcCHadzZH2 | none | 0 | 1 | True | public | 1714151807047 | lukres | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Just trying to get a sense on how good life is in the EU.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Assume free healthcare excludes dental, vision & non-acute mental health and there is a $30 charge on ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714773540517 | lukres | 1714252921390 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Flukres%2Fj1m8DGNy5T.12?alt=media&token=fc58ce31-3de5-4d8d-bf45-abb061ee29a2 | 59 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690889308481 | 0 | [{"name": "Communism", "slug": "communism", "groupId": "de415ac0-ca6c-43c3-8000-0ccc230e9c09", "createdTime": 1714151807220}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714151807225}, {"name": "Europe", "slug": "europe", "groupId": "ue52QI4BQgJgAJJNjLHr", "cr... | ["communism", "politics-default", "europe"] | 0.25 | 1714252915921 | ["18ecf7766d20"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4234004554686581 | U77hBBct4PgG8lfnSHmB | {"NO": 126.13347286491863, "YES": 347.3469221967513} | 0.21051682191636095 | metaculus-will-an-aerial-drone-terr | 383.50615988751144 | [Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026? | 1767351600000 | PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714151901002 | Mirror Bot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the origin... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.4925559348218504, "platformFee": 4.4925559348218504, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 200 | mirrorbot | 1715072851201 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1696426201173 | 0 | [{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1714151901349}, {"name": "Terrorism", "slug": "terrorism", "groupId": "dWSuGqoMKLTROX8ar0Fz", "createdTime": 1714156665134}, {"name": "Drone Wars", "slug": "drone-wars", "groupId": "a9bEHkm3yjAO34E3MGrR", "createdTime": 171415... | ["metaculus", "terrorism", "drone-wars", "united-states"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1715072848018 | 0 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.