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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.12242802652351038 | ptV79b3ug00nSEk1EDqk | {"NO": 904.5048431587362, "YES": 1429.6825331374666} | 0.0811028805472456 | will-another-united-states-presiden | 475.0205414060259 | Will another United States president be assassinated before the end of 2034? | 2051240340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.087971121888694 | False | basic | public | 1714152494409 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -5.910396534815343e-05} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.7991934823877647, "platformFee": 2.7935462845178582, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1718062434766 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714152494602}, {"name": "News", "slug": "news", "groupId": "586c2ce6-5e77-441a-b7ba-922fd387e3be", "createdTime": 1714152494638}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD"... | ["us-politics", "news", "politics-default", "future-us-presidents", "intelligencespying"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718062431609 | 1714157144132 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
rlTOK1l15GmGWVqOhFoH | which-kind-of-marriage-would-u-pref | 0 | Which kind of marriage would you prefer? | 1716811140000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714154191169 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716811140640 | jim | 1714155850914 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "โค๏ธโ๐ฅ Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1714154191340}] | ["sex-and-love"] | 0.25 | ["8126b82c69fc"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1882647910978461 | chJvLeJNWJtaCL0xlPAO | {"NO": 641.8740215305822, "YES": 4419.907375638971} | 0 | will-julian-assange-be-extradited-t-cd597d116012 | 7349.140986924913 | Will Julian Assange be extradited to the United States before July 4th 2025? | 1719415680728 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.139949647084208 | True | basic | NO | public | 1714154230001 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.09943292077414781} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 40.47369695689553, "platformFee": 12.734261564103996, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719415680728 | 1000 | strutheo | 1719415680728 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714154230180}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1714154230202}, {"name": "Prison Markets", "slug": "prison-markets", "groupId": "ybPe7R5zhvOzOIs3n3yM", "c... | ["us-politics", "law-order", "prison-markets", "world-default", "julian-assange"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719415669768 | 1719406555588 | 0.03 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Rdo70O3uucT33iw8saEz | which-would-you-rather | 0 | Do you think an existence of much pain and little pleasure is preferable to nonexistence? | 1716811140000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714155464662 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716811140640 | jim | 1714171344336 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ง Philosophy", "slug": "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e", "groupId": "fxiwfHfrTmac3tKJyehm", "createdTime": 1714155464816}] | ["philosophy-af8706ce1d7e"] | 0.25 | 1714171343698 | ["09fa4f3e3aed"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
wPLGgCSft0Hiatl4YegF | do-you-think-martian-colonisation-i | 0 | Do you think the colonisation of Mars is a worthwhile project? | 1716811140000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714155590643 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716811140640 | jim | 1714229507927 | 0 | 74 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1714155590831}] | ["space"] | 0.25 | 1714229506730 | ["bdbc36049715"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.424325859067441 | 7ssCfc62Bi2b5bdvfaqX | {"NO": 109.1305124740154, "YES": 256.86122018815297} | 0.2384799087314255 | will-mstr-be-added-to-the-sp-500-th | 160 | Will $MSTR be added to the S&P 500 this year? | 1735689540000 | jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714155983601 | Michael Wheatley | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Microstrategy (MSTR) is a company that owns a lot of Bitcoins. The company is more valuable than its constituent bitcoins even after the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs. In fact, the MSTR premium has increased. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardB... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -2.7755575615628914e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.049443422516386, "platformFee": 2.049443422516386, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | MichaelWheatley | 1714653276919 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650546876537 | 0 | [{"name": "Markets", "slug": "markets", "groupId": "M3DAkm4fP0XVdJBAiRgr", "createdTime": 1714155983818}, {"name": "๐ต Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1714155983820}] | ["markets", "finance"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714653273602 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.49224068012267624 | xUHrWBByRlhHatbWyRwq | {"NO": 133.9133329504072, "YES": 146.3887273837586} | 0.4700079119922642 | will-sports-betting-be-significantl | 79.2281190881427 | Will sports betting be significantly restricted in the U.S. by 2030? | 1893473940000 | jO7sUhIDTQbAJ3w86akzncTlpRG2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714156300313 | Michael Wheatley | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On my twitter feed I've seen a lot of backlash against the recent liberalization of sports betting. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "This question is of sudden relevance to users of Manifold. ", "type": "t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.0650403529011978, "platformFee": 1.0650403529011978, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | MichaelWheatley | 1716278989710 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1650546876537 | 0 | [{"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1714156300743}, {"name": "Legislation", "slug": "legislation", "groupId": "BStefYQfU9Xhfsh2d4Jg", "createdTime": 1714156300749}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTim... | ["gambling", "legislation", "sports-betting"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | 1716278986371 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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1ygqAt8MhAsMaMHA0bti | which-do-you-prefer-your-dreams-or | 0 | Which do you prefer: your dreams, or your waking life? | 1716811140000 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1714157217679 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716811140640 | jim | 1714157217853 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "Epic sci-fi", "slug": "epic-scifi", "groupId": "b0800dce-70d1-4bf4-9327-41ad9b27369c", "createdTime": 1714157217836}, {"name": "futurology", "slug": "futurology", "groupId": "7d003ead-0f6e-4490-b6db-b9189a3106c9", "createdTime": 1714157217839}, {"name": "dreaming", "slug": "dreaming", "groupId": "a149eaa3-e0... | ["epic-scifi", "futurology", "dreaming", "dreams"] | 0.25 | ["25cb462cb0e8"] | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2892278793908703 | XnBE7Cqx3jzfg2RZiPTo | {"NO": 63.38497373998778, "YES": 887.5444791364746} | 0 | will-anyone-be-able-to-tell-me-whic | 1021.3146272572964 | Will anyone be able to tell me which market a 2000 profit spike I had yesterday came from? | 1714287540000 | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.892438935752365 | True | play | NO | public | 1714157550803 | Savior of Plant | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to my profile, I briefly gained 2000 mana yesterday from 5:50 to 6:30 PM Pacific. I was active in two sports betting markets and made some comments on a resolution in my Israel market right around this time, but neither of these should ha... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.02824001786177953} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.685528193128653, "platformFee": 3.685528193128653, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714324881694 | 160 | SaviorofPlant | 1714287540000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1698371327350 | 0 | [{"name": "Bugs", "slug": "bugs", "groupId": "B06P2pVumxJa7ZWvFuPH", "createdTime": 1714157551045}, {"name": "Manifold Leagues", "slug": "manifold-leagues", "groupId": "quyvUYBABGdermzFJ0Zl", "createdTime": 1714157551062}, {"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "crea... | ["bugs", "manifold-leagues", "manifold-6748e065087e", "metamarkets"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714287343360 | 1714272357895 | 0.03 | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A3RsWg4kafktmBWzNgZW | which-games-will-jim-play-at-manife | 2531.072865511254 | Which games will @jim play at Manifest 2024? | 1718006295946 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714158208883 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.82852206003847, "platformFee": 1.5751578985753092, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718006295946 | 330 | jim | 1718056960746 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "c4a5f13526d1", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Poker (Texas)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 457.44669865852495, "userId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4.6206737238234155, "textFts": "'poker':1 'texa':2", "contractId": "A3RsWg4kafktmBWzNgZW", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvy... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1714158209117}, {"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b36dc89797a", "createdTime": 1718056960746}] | ["manifest", "manifest-2024"] | 0.25 | 1718006257706 | 1717874988963 | 0.01 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2871311684719 | 3qFp8bbtve04qjqihprl | {"NO": 719.5655801814548, "YES": 1924.9778256725049} | 0.13085952424026748 | will-israel-claim-that-oct-7-hostag | 1117.840710595892 | Will Israel claim that Oct 7 hostages are being held in West Bank in 2024? | 1735707540000 | m6mElTtg94MTKxsZf9yBCufb2Vk1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.741996746551822 | False | basic | public | 1714158533714 | Zen Spam | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves \"Yes\" if at any point in 2024, a member of the Israeli government claims that some of the hostages taken by Hamas on October 7, 2023 are now being held in the West Bank", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.07239146116151932} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.817750441969228, "platformFee": 5.946752168889033, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ZenSpam | 1718139480954 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLIvKVX3AZDZ1OUjAUZalvqOygqgvzqxAp-d8d1svLa=s96-c | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1704156614854 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel", "slug": "israel", "groupId": "ECjphikMbmosJsDAAJoU", "createdTime": 1714158533923}, {"name": "Israeli Politics", "slug": "israeli-politics", "groupId": "oaA5hjgZSh89HoVfdGYX", "createdTime": 1714158533933}, {"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkK... | ["israel", "israeli-politics", "arabisraeli-conflict", "israelhamas-conflict-2023"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718139477793 | 1714375435601 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Utg9pJnyBnaCpkDnUDlI | which-days-will-destiny-play-any-ga-aa847d1101f6 | 989.7853720776315 | Which Days will Destiny Play Any Games? | 1715065140000 | iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714158591596 | A Whole Turkey | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any game counts for any length of time, on camera, on any stream. Not always watching live so will resolve YES when I see it OR when someone posts a screenshot or timestamp in the comments. Will resolve NO if no games are played by Midnight EST or ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.41958849769494, "platformFee": 7.41958849769494, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1716016302613 | 255 | AWholeTurkey | 1715065140000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJXoYMkpGKhUTA_Na4PwM_SDlp0_3ib2nfGQhaw7x5B70s=s96-c | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "9089ed8c8377", "prob": 0.24, "text": "Monday 4/29", "index": 0, "poolNo": 16.317686846825016, "userId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 51.67267501494587, "textFts": "'4/29':2 'monday':1", "contractId": "Utg9pJnyBnaCpkDnUDlI", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6... | 3 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1699290420656 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1714158591815}, {"name": "DalibanHQ", "slug": "dalibanhq", "groupId": "7m4wLsWHjWcnZgzXm0Xs", "createdTime": 1714158591816}, {"name": "๐ฎ Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1714158... | ["destinygg", "dalibanhq", "gaming"] | 0.25 | 1715062132228 | 0.24 | iaPv4gvLtxeWhB428Oe6jyyPE1d2 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
IDieSi6ZCNEwnQXWcSdd | who-will-win-backgammon-jim-or-bara | 1279.6829804186402 | who will win backgammon, @jim or @barak, at manifest 2024 | 1718005536960 | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | ba7562444caa | public | 1714159051230 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "resolution is based on the first 7 point game played between jim and barak (resolves \"no game played\" if no such game takes place). ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.007045700455793, "platformFee": 1.8639013712055856, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718005536960 | 200 | jim | 1718005536960 | 0 | 7 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "abe03e3225de", "prob": 0.007538714692324757, "text": "jim", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4.281379184360674, "userId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 563.6376042359285, "textFts": "'jim':1", "contractId": "IDieSi6ZCNEwnQXWcSdd", "resolverId": "OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133", "createdTime":... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฎ Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1714159051484}, {"name": "backgammon", "slug": "backgammon", "groupId": "e39ef38d-24d4-452e-b862-b98ce93e04f8", "createdTime": 1714159051481}, {"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93d... | ["manifest", "backgammon", "manifest-2024"] | 0.25 | 1718005527807 | 1714160115740 | {"ba7562444caa": 100} | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
U79IX5MojsIxyYZELLja | did-you-send-money-to-mars-one-in-a | 0 | Did you send money to Mars One in any way? | OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1714159399729 | jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | jim | 1714309611121 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1690863320225 | 0 | [{"name": "Mars", "slug": "mars", "groupId": "3d6624c3-2569-4fe1-8524-128952b07684", "createdTime": 1714159399897}, {"name": "๐ Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1714159399909}] | ["mars", "space"] | 0.25 | 1714309609668 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000987863013944 | rrjbN1EJTdz75cGfp6Wi | {"NO": 193.07507835444324, "YES": 293.0338861266706} | 0.39727938534383783 | will-i-convert-someone-to-latex-by | 147.91389944765626 | Will I convert someone to LaTeX by EOY 2024 ? | 1738364340000 | WdW6XfWw74QP4AkjKrXkTL3fq0v1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714159912752 | Mich | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if and only if by EOY 2024 someone I know about starts using LaTeX and thatโs at least partly due to me - for example but not limited to that case : if someone at my current firm decides to start using it after I successful... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.007394341288479489} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.928262194473265, "platformFee": 1.9793898779945216, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 240 | Mich | 1719198958674 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH-sOGQLlaWmZ06V2GS3Eph-iwWYUqqiPvrD86D3wnIg=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1702591853953 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714159912908}, {"name": "๐งช Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1714159912915}, {"name": "๐ช Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOV... | ["technology-default", "science-default", "personal-goals"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719198954568 | 1714929037265 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
KoBfn2qnGSvdYKQYYQQJ | what-will-be-the-peak-historical-pr | 14.000000000000007 | What will be the peak historical price of dogwifhat (WIF) by the end of August 2024? | 1725166740000 | j4HC6TgsW4UUvIYi3re1XbsZX8P2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714160214322 | Knuffa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "WIF historical price will be checked at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "its listing on CoinMarketCap", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/dogwifhat/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:unde... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.47544297253494944, "platformFee": 0.47544297253494944, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 120 | Knuffa | 1714329248610 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "738a46535737", "prob": 0.047990779817985114, "text": "0-0.5", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.774999908063414, "userId": "j4HC6TgsW4UUvIYi3re1XbsZX8P2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 35.21126942941069, "textFts": "'-0.5':2 '0':1", "contractId": "KoBfn2qnGSvdYKQYYQQJ", "createdTime": 1714160214322, "probChanges": {"day"... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713920950880 | 0 | [{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1714160214790}, {"name": "๐ช Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1714160214788}] | ["wall-street-bets", "crypto-speculation"] | 0.25 | 1714329244886 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
KbOPPRvpTZllXSX6Dtzs | what-will-be-true-of-the-scotus-rul | 1341.521457633071 | What will be true of the SCOTUS ruling on Trump's immunity case? | 1719847695460 | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714160287581 | Dan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market is inspired by ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this NYTimes article (gift link)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/24/us/trump-immunity-case-supreme-court.html?unlocked_article_... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.186841350688038, "platformFee": 1.7338295892288527, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719847695460 | 390 | DanMan314 | 1719847695460 | 0 | 12 | 5 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b24115862c2e", "prob": 0.96, "text": "Draws a distinction between official and unofficial conduct in immunity", "index": 0, "poolNo": 268.4810753852329, "userId": "cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 12.425178755054631, "textFts": "'conduct':8 'distinct':3 'draw':1 'immun':10 'offici':5... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1673046794414 | 0 | [{"name": "Supreme Court", "slug": "supreme-court", "groupId": "ci33MLyc1P8Fww2e6kxp", "createdTime": 1714160287795}, {"name": "Trial of the Century", "slug": "trial-of-the-century", "groupId": "usp0cQDi8y1YG1CCmpfn", "createdTime": 1714160287819}, {"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId":... | ["supreme-court", "trial-of-the-century", "trump-indictments"] | 0.25 | 1719845795181 | 1719845823773 | 0.97 | cb6PJqGOSVPEUhprDHCKWWMuJqu1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
E6CLXw0m9Pov207gBgcC | how-many-more-pullups-will-shallan | 55 | How many more pull-ups will shalan do than I will, at the end of this year | 1735718340000 | swQ7ThYbFucIpGgmXd8VavIDFsO2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714160482963 | Alex Shadley | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My coworker Shalan and I are going to do a pull up contest at the end of this year. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to Shalanโs pull-ups minus my pull-ups. Positive i... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.147170652100107, "platformFee": 2.147170652100107, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | AlexShadley | 1714169693443 | 0 | 2 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "71764fc2ab0f", "prob": 0.010585969325758757, "text": "-10--9", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1.2559146813742859, "userId": "swQ7ThYbFucIpGgmXd8VavIDFsO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 117.38363949891965, "textFts": "'-10':1 '-9':2", "contractId": "E6CLXw0m9Pov207gBgcC", "createdTime": 1714160482964, "probChanges": {"d... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1700933235517 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ช Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1714160483420}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.25 | 1714169689496 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.22310282217080804 | hsV4zj8hrJKTjpdYMq8f | {"NO": 914.7084597865578, "YES": 1175.67871027945} | 0.1826238600577652 | will-the-dictatorship-in-venezuela | 364.002132157563 | Will the dictatorship in Venezuela lose power before 2025? | 1735700340000 | sQmxg0Tvz8dN0MgW4RqwlB9wI702 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.685165868154828 | False | basic | public | 1714160509674 | Jesรบs Sรกnchez Bolรญvar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "July 2024 presidential elections will be held in Venezuela. Faced with the political disqualification of Maria Corina Machado, the main leader of the opposition, the opposition coalition managed to register a presidential candidate who, in principl... | BINARY | {"day": 0.007501682853956304, "week": 0.007501682853956304, "month": 0.007501682853956387} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.804624568701548, "platformFee": 3.208823717955287, "liquidityFee": 0} | 46.99844121938369 | 1000 | JesusSanchezBolivar | 1720164829464 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714068042560 | 0 | [{"name": "Leaders", "slug": "leaders", "groupId": "rCuXL6t9gAHm82vbWLoN", "createdTime": 1714160509927}, {"name": "Sudamerica (South America)", "slug": "sudamerica-south-america", "groupId": "uuN5P3uTXXFVxLeosvaH", "createdTime": 1714160509928}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUd... | ["leaders", "sudamerica-south-america", "politics-default", "world-default", "latin-america"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720164826281 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | Ch1x2hRWFPLuwg4RYWMW | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | will-kongo-make-a-proof-of-concept | 0 | Will Kongo make a proof of concept game in c++ and WinAPI before the EOY 2024? | 1714237636220 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570333339714667 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1714160541385 | Kongo Landwalker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves Yes if a link to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "itch.io", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://itch.io", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underli... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714237636220 | 100 | KongoLandwalker | 1714237636220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1681038287526 | True | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49283582554050287 | ytNjeVUCBb2Aj0ZIspcZ | {"NO": 117.08359448649091, "YES": 168.09934361788476} | 0.40363891379152594 | will-there-be-a-successful-nonconfi | 50 | Will there be a successful non-confidence vote in the Canadian Parliament before the next general election in Oct2025 | 1759384740000 | iy6N0ZYIcJZX9rCDljc8CLn21RV2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714160907287 | m b | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market predicts whether a non-confidence vote will be called in the Canadian House of Commons before the next general election in Oct 2025. A non-confidence vote is a substantial event that can lead to the dissolution of parliament and trigger... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.09242714277326014} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.2537291363704797, "platformFee": 0.33878131548783685, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | mbb8d2 | 1718828424930 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJE_p6PfSzYBC4uloiygTFkLS-I8iFLQg6CJ0DPx18DiFoyaw=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712767590326 | 0 | [{"name": "Pierre Poilievre", "slug": "pierre-poilievre", "groupId": "5916d4d2-a402-43ff-8918-4e155a8d666b", "createdTime": 1714160907482}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714160907479}, {"name": "Justin Trudeau", "slug": "justin-trudeau", "groupId... | ["pierre-poilievre", "politics-default", "justin-trudeau", "canada", "canadian-politics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718828421793 | 1714184264999 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Mbc367brTwwqbKmc8JGI | how-many-pairs-of-bare-feet-will-ap | 244.12665822390773 | How many pairs of bare feet will appear in Quentin Tarantino's next movie? | 1830405540000 | HoOjRjOQjQWNmwdqhkGzYzvhaSw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1714161246484 | TheSchwa | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Tarantino is somewhat infamous for having a lot of bare feet in his movies. How many pairs will appear in his upcoming 10th and \"final\" movie?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If a character ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.094263151768805, "platformFee": 3.2654216263117717, "liquidityFee": 0} | 5 | 1000 | TheSchwa | 1720232907870 | 0 | 13 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "15a8988f808c", "prob": 0.04233300410831123, "text": "0", "index": 0, "poolNo": 18.11230146321962, "userId": "HoOjRjOQjQWNmwdqhkGzYzvhaSw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 409.74066679951784, "textFts": "'0':1", "contractId": "Mbc367brTwwqbKmc8JGI", "createdTime": 1714161246485, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1712888273551 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714161246750}, {"name": "๐ค Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1714161246754}, {"name": "๐ฅ Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "created... | ["entertainment", "fun", "movies", "coolfold", "television-film"] | 0.25 | 1720232904748 | 1714177557260 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0IAbrWoMf5zivExKHeot | which-16-science-and-technology-can | 28359.586971341803 | ๐ Which 16 Science and Technology candidates should compete to be Manifold's G.O.A.T.? [Add Answers] ๐ | 1714885140000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1714173858196 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will be an unranked market to determine the 16 Science and Technology contestants who will compete in the Manifold G.O.A.T. Tournament round of 64.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Subject... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 227.88184727916118, "platformFee": 227.88184727916118, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714886072300 | 10695 | houstonEuler | 1714885140000 | 0 | 55 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "a55a63473372", "prob": 0.98, "text": "Isaac Newton", "index": 0, "poolNo": 991.7300382057497, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 23.812141723858417, "textFts": "'isaac':1 'newton':2", "contractId": "0IAbrWoMf5zivExKHeot", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSd... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฅ๏ธ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1714173858571}, {"name": "๐งช Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1714173858583}, {"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9N... | ["technology-default", "science-default", "manifold-6748e065087e", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | False | 1714880333441 | 1714663869769 | 0.63 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.39051146701359846 | qb9XBW9aX6VpgPw1ybxx | {"NO": 134.76533235766954, "YES": 260.32747056794864} | 0 | will-at-least-20-runs-be-scored-dur | 98 | Will at least 20 runs be scored during the Mexico City Astros-Rockies game on April 27? | 1714267863041 | KWPeZvwJRqP0uvKGvI6S1F6AOmh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.004787218401557 | True | play | NO | public | 1714174110308 | LukeW | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.1918624077247548, "platformFee": 1.1918624077247548, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714267863041 | 180 | LukeW | 1714267863041 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1645827259651 | 0 | [{"name": "Colorado Rockies", "slug": "colorado-rockies", "groupId": "688229eb-d846-4377-9468-a915314a6948", "createdTime": 1714174110486}, {"name": "โพ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "786nRQzgVyUnuUtaLTGW", "createdTime": 1714174110506}, {"name": "MLB", "slug": "mlb", "groupId": "RFwfANk54JSXOwj4qwsW", "crea... | ["colorado-rockies", "baseball", "mlb", "houston-astros", "sports-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714258308293 | 0.25 | KWPeZvwJRqP0uvKGvI6S1F6AOmh2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
OX9U4xpKSgCMwpsOFAq7 | price-of-ethereum-eth-by-2030 | 402.99999999999994 | Price of Ethereum (ETH) by 2030? | 1893484740000 | WSC5NWEmAEXhUdSXeOoJYvzCkGO2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1714174733417 | Hillary Clinton | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to", "type": "text"}, {"text": " ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:... | NUMBER | 0 | {"creatorFee": 9.449253504967839, "platformFee": 9.22021984579064, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 280 | HillaryClinton | 1718127432638 | 0 | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "0f412e73c6a4", "prob": 0.04724617163557759, "text": "0-1000", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.99026746958471, "userId": "WSC5NWEmAEXhUdSXeOoJYvzCkGO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 221.62683332655163, "textFts": "'-1000':2 '0':1", "contractId": "OX9U4xpKSgCMwpsOFAq7", "createdTime": 1714174733417, "probChanges": {"da... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713377673183 | 0 | [{"name": "๐
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HlTD1uFD1mlJRtgsn9JV | which-16-politics-and-governancecan | 7633.489514405609 | ๐ Which 16 Politics and Governance candidates should compete to be Manifold's G.O.A.T.? [Add Answers] ๐ | 1714885140000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714175243215 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will be an unranked market to determine the 16 Politics and Governance contestants who will compete in the Manifold G.O.A.T. Tournament round of 64.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Subjec... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 61.92190315282648, "platformFee": 61.92190315282648, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714886691897 | 3410 | houstonEuler | 1714885140000 | 0 | 25 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "05aae85cd1df", "prob": 0.92, "text": "Napoleon Bonaparte", "index": 0, "poolNo": 355.07604097892454, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 30.241018855546656, "textFts": "'bonapart':2 'napoleon':1", "contractId": "HlTD1uFD1mlJRtgsn9JV", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "P7rLJ... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714175243508}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1714175243517}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDq... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "politics-default", "us-politics", "world-default", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | False | 1714880040686 | 1714664593775 | 0.83 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
nMecF2X1096niTSMEcLy | which-16-philosophy-and-religion-ca | 9417.02187737237 | ๐ Which 16 Philosophy and Religion candidates should compete to be Manifold's G.O.A.T.? ๐ | 1714885140000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1714176254225 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will be an unranked market to determine the 16 Philosophy and Religion contestants who will compete in the Manifold G.O.A.T. Tournament round of 64.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Subjec... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 91.42022307499622, "platformFee": 91.42022307499622, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714887389003 | 7240 | houstonEuler | 1714937301347 | 0 | 48 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "a9147e0244e5", "prob": 0.93, "text": "Socrates", "index": 0, "poolNo": 460.49712569053077, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 34.13812642616123, "textFts": "'socrat':1", "contractId": "nMecF2X1096niTSMEcLy", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", ... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714176254576}, {"name": "๐ง Philosophy", "slug": "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e", "groupId": "fxiwfHfrTmac3tKJyehm", "createdTime": 1714176944714}, {"name": "Religion", "slug": "religion", "groupId": "Oc6SrO47XuiKvrcu... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "philosophy-af8706ce1d7e", "religion", "culture-default", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | False | 1714879750112 | 1714937298922 | 0.06 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
M2ZRtGWv8T0FitFSW3Q9 | which-of-these-cars-will-get-to-put | 10 | Which of these cars will get to Putz Retreat first? | 1714276740000 | 2TmTstEp2dTIDnarryOmDy7MpVO2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 59acb940c80c | public | 1714176844018 | Spruce Campbell | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.13226928035517543, "platformFee": 0.13226928035517543, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714407688594 | 120 | SpruceCampbell | 1714276740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLv9s-NN93xl1y6p6194QK1EXpQJobpRKNvaAL4xV9KomR_=s96-c | 1 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "1930d750e480", "prob": 0.2816315152643422, "text": "Celesteโs car", "index": 0, "poolNo": 22.13716472746971, "userId": "2TmTstEp2dTIDnarryOmDy7MpVO2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 56.46612903633915, "textFts": "'car':3 'celest':1", "contractId": "M2ZRtGWv8T0FitFSW3Q9", "resolverId": "2TmTstEp2dTIDnarryOmDy7MpV... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706834928141 | 0 | 0.25 | 1714176963353 | {"59acb940c80c": 100} | 2TmTstEp2dTIDnarryOmDy7MpVO2 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
C9UYPiBfcxMCNySm6LsF | will-furiosa-a-mad-max-saga-2024-ha-1b7474c3221e | 6608.988876270561 | Will "Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga" (2024) have a Letterboxd user rating >=X? | 1717765384118 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1714176899404 | Ziddletwix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga\" Letterboxd page: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://letterboxd.com/film/furiosa-a-mad-max-saga/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs":... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 37.14414083829484, "platformFee": 6.064259065529186, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717765384118 | 1000 | Ziddletwix | 1717772453581 | 0 | 14 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "d6bb0bbe6719", "prob": 0.99, "text": ">=3.2", "index": 0, "poolNo": 799.119885825738, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 8.07191803864383, "textFts": "'3.2':1", "contractId": "C9UYPiBfcxMCNySm6LsF", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "createdT... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1680369520541 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1714176899691}, {"name": "๐ฅ Movies", "slug": "movies", "groupId": "KSeNIu7AWgiBBM5FqVuB", "createdTime": 1714176899701}, {"name": "๐บ Television & Film", "slug": "television-film", "groupId": "EUSEn... | ["entertainment", "movies", "television-film", "boxoffice", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 1717765339679 | 1717772452245 | 0.01 | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0PaQ3voKc4rnI1C5U7RX | which-16-business-and-culture-candi | 8337.940329435565 | ๐ Which 16 Business and Culture candidates should compete to be Manifold's G.O.A.T.? ๐ | 1714885140000 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | MKT | public | 1714176918500 | houstonEuler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will be an unranked market to determine the 16 Business and Culture contestants who will compete in the Manifold G.O.A.T. Tournament round of 64.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Subject t... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 84.1958102689767, "platformFee": 84.1958102689767, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714887932236 | 4310 | houstonEuler | 1714885140000 | 0 | 29 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "b64db9de3ed9", "prob": 0.11, "text": "Michael Jordan", "index": 0, "poolNo": 26.95118390599204, "userId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 209.07569883682737, "textFts": "'jordan':2 'michael':1", "contractId": "0PaQ3voKc4rnI1C5U7RX", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "P7rLJmOcMDZGzq... | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1695777809174 | 0 | [{"name": "๐ Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1714176919405}, {"name": "๐ท Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1714176919411}, {"name": "๐ฆ Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5EC... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "economics-default", "culture-default", "sports-default", "nonpredictive"] | 0.25 | False | 1714879222125 | 1714806810637 | 0.04 | P7rLJmOcMDZGzqOSdPR1AdeH2Lg1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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VeZ3sphbvo2pGVx9PcdF | what-is-my-favourite-film | 1215 | What is my favourite film? | 1714535801907 | 9odr0vip3YO8201FeCZFkHwLemn2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 1 | True | play | 19a1917a3b1f | public | 1714199899532 | Ginger Khan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It's a serious question: you have all the data to answer it.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.190156214615153, "platformFee": 3.190156214615153, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714535801907 | 245 | jgould1090Gould | 1714535801907 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjgould1090Gould%2FBe1kJdaKw1.09?alt=media&token=c21d98fa-3b02-4605-b3a7-759cf2a3edb7 | 4 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "f6c107fb94eb", "prob": 0.0029900850595408306, "text": "Cat People (1942)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.941556087257385, "userId": "9odr0vip3YO8201FeCZFkHwLemn2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 980.828480110008, "textFts": "'1942':3 'cat':1 'peopl':2", "contractId": "VeZ3sphbvo2pGVx9PcdF", "resolverId": "9odr0vip3YO8... | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713951777550 | 0 | [{"name": "Personal guessing games", "slug": "personal-guessing-games", "groupId": "0dffd475-c582-4979-b50d-2e3b4e4b3d68", "createdTime": 1714199899743}, {"name": "Cinema", "slug": "cinema", "groupId": "cwf259E8FrbeHwytqDqP", "createdTime": 1714199899737}, {"name": "๐จ Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "e... | ["personal-guessing-games", "cinema", "culture-default"] | 0.25 | 1714535763833 | 1714370158631 | {"19a1917a3b1f": 100} | 9odr0vip3YO8201FeCZFkHwLemn2 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.35580899373296826 | 0wCwiZRzWUYJp0HesIgq | {"NO": 9740.737403594982, "YES": 10443.813752205382} | 0.3400000000000002 | will-federal-democrats-be-stronger | 736.5101256509743 | Will Democrats keep the presidency AND have a net gain in Congress? | 1733119140000 | W2xr0kmXVqg4SzEQltvfpWOsAFO2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.9222561904617685 | False | plus | public | 1714201007058 | Gracious | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Democrats keep the presidency AND percentage_of_senate_are_Democrats + percentage_of_house_are_Democrats is higher after the 2024 elections than before. Independents who caucus with the Democrats will be considered Democrats.", "ty... | BINARY | {"day": -0.011255894117771281, "week": -0.012968573016640228, "month": 0.017538934854824717} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.83871635457095, "platformFee": 4.447829507162034, "liquidityFee": 0} | 337.5101256509743 | 10000 | GG | 1720244314388 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1668834736982 | 0 | [{"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714201007184}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1714201007193}, {"name": "๐ณ๏ธ Politics", "slug": "politics-defa... | ["us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720244311301 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.15122307331265583 | CuyCduaSk9IrPV7F1fiW | {"NO": 113.28478566450119, "YES": 1998.1646743704684} | 0 | trump-and-biden-debate-before-may-4 | 1784.2533353814456 | Trump and Biden debate before May 4? | 1714849215766 | frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714201479777 | Mana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Trump and Biden debate before May 4 Midnight Eastern time, this market will resolve to YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.0443305054883716, "platformFee": 3.0443305054883716, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714849215766 | 220 | Mana | 1714849215766 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1706696952680 | 0 | [{"name": "๐บ๐ธ 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1714201480188}, {"name": "๐บ๐ธ US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1714201480184}, {"name": "๐ด๐ผ Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of... | ["2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics", "the-life-of-biden"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714790180227 | 1714219565120 | 0.01 | frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3190713298743324 | MmKrvHp7VQmA9svy0ng8 | {"NO": 25.81291605408394, "YES": 1197.452860557794} | 0 | will-btc-be-worth-below-50k-at-any | 2224.7063698345946 | Will BTC be worth below 50k at any point before 5/5 | 1714967940000 | sbVVRIu6v0RoKycX9c1YqH7uHYx1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1714203887713 | Manifest | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If BTC is worth less than 50k at any point between 4/27 midnight Central Time and May 5 Midnight Central Time, this market will resolve to YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.108132407537459, "platformFee": 5.108132407537459, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1714973781048 | 120 | Manifest | 1714967940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKs4ivwXlfw5hVhXnylTr9DptiaPpPpJp0OCMy66sWTKu3NJA=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1714011036131 | 0 | [{"name": "Bitcoin maxi", "slug": "bitcoin-maxi", "groupId": "q6y2Gz8Wmy4nZwtfmpHt", "createdTime": 1714203887850}, {"name": "๐
ฑ๏ธ Bitcoin", "slug": "bitcoin", "groupId": "WBeBD6FyMd0NvSL0qjMb", "createdTime": 1714203887843}, {"name": "๐ช Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "created... | ["bitcoin-maxi", "bitcoin", "crypto-speculation"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1714960394219 | 0.01 | sbVVRIu6v0RoKycX9c1YqH7uHYx1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5159889270095085 | mQ03MN3pObW2K2qNAswg | {"NO": 1415.032110657918, "YES": 720.8670876967262} | 0.676652499454698 | will-any-other-straw-hat-unlock-con | 683.3647721441596 | Will any other straw hat ever get conquerers haki? | 1735685940000 | CShiYwaR1JN6aGGVxqUGUUYcKYI3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.600638229391897 | False | basic | public | 1714203916706 | Ger D. Gar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Vote ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"text": " if you think a straw hat other then luffy and zoro will ever get conquerors haki.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If a member join... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.405449013368184, "platformFee": 4.714424675615413, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Gergar | 1716928025083 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1709210946833 | 0 | [{"name": "One piece theories", "slug": "one-piece-theories", "groupId": "78f2f6a8-571e-44b4-976c-937610a9375b", "createdTime": 1714203917002}, {"name": "Manga", "slug": "manga", "groupId": "0e0wvkjcHdblLOdaK9jp", "createdTime": 1714203917001}, {"name": "๐ฟ Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "grou... | ["one-piece-theories", "manga", "entertainment", "one-piece-stocks", "anime"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1716928003781 | 1716928023550 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6057337473965206 | mX9OFKPKnKS0Aw2Eu2zQ | {"NO": 4603.344017923154, "YES": 342.0368377282218} | 0.9538686807271265 | will-ethereum-etf-be-confirmed-befo | 9033.149739344495 | Will Ethereum ETF be approved before the January 1st, 2025? | 1767221940000 | 9odr0vip3YO8201FeCZFkHwLemn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.226833605122644 | False | basic | public | 1714204015532 | Ginger Khan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It's up to Gary or the SEC.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.013783757332828883} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 63.26300705668553, "platformFee": 14.537977000429754, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jgould1090Gould | 1718735818567 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fjgould1090Gould%2FBe1kJdaKw1.09?alt=media&token=c21d98fa-3b02-4605-b3a7-759cf2a3edb7 | 25 | 0 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1713951777550 | 0 | [{"name": "BitcoinETF", "slug": "bitcoinetf", "groupId": "ff149f44-f0d6-4da1-a81d-839a6ceb80e8", "createdTime": 1714204015656}, {"name": "๐ช Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1714204015657}, {"name": "Ethereum", "slug": "ethereum", "groupId": "IYG60kkC6dQPZ9078ePu"... | ["bitcoinetf", "crypto-speculation", "ethereum", "etf"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718735815457 | 1714676348628 | 0 |
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