CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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Will the 2024 Gallup Poll show an increase in support for Gay and Lesbian relationships?

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do you believe that the USA is a democracy?

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

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can-i-order-the-apple-vision-pro-vi

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Can I Order the Apple Vision Pro via the App or Apple Store in Germany by June 30, 2024?

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

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Do you have blue eyes?

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Will Destiny talk to Slime or Ludwig on a stream before the end of 2024?

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

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1715472274716

chris (strutheo)

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will-the-4th-starship-test-activate

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Will the 4th Starship test activate the Flight Termination System?

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cpmm-1

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Will Monday's OpenAI livestream announce a voice-in voice-out feature or product?

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cpmm-1

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cpmm-1

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1893502740000

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cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

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play

public

1715487484468

Daniel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Year and citation count according to google scholar. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Daniel_MC/in-2030-which-ai-paper-will-have-th", "frameBorder": 0}}, {"type": "para...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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1718331905539

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Will Trump actually speak at the Libertarian Party National Convention, as he has agreed to?

1716683958103

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cpmm-1

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9.816544847004742

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1715487656063

Tracy Harms

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In 2030, which AI paper will have the most citations?

1893502740000

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cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

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basic

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1715487800123

Daniel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to the option with the highest total (aka cumulative) number of citations on 1/1/2030 according to google scholar. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Papers must be about new AI techniq...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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Daniel_MC

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1718331377705

1718331603653

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will-trump-and-kennedy-debate-one-a

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Will Trump and Kennedy debate one another at the Libertarian Party National Convention, as Kennedy has proposed?

1716687209012

4riEolq08YSVMg6GArRX7r4u5wk1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

basic

NO

public

1715487933072

Tracy Harms

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.axios.com/2024/05/08/rfk-jr-trump-debate-challenge-libertarian-convention", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.axios.com/2024/05/08/rfk-jr-trump-debate-challenge-libertarian-convention", "class": "...

BINARY

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0

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1716687209012

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TracyHarms

1716687209012

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22

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1712606292629

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[{"name": "Libertarianism", "slug": "libertarianism", "groupId": "cd97f0ef-ad80-40e5-ac38-70ace9a9c19a", "createdTime": 1715487933839}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1715487933843}, {"name": "Robert F. Kennedy Jr.", "slug": "robert-f-kennedy-jr", "groupId...

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0.5

1716662147145

1715950234846

0.03

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0.5000000000000002

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will-openai-announce-a-textto3d-mod

1102.9176979327056

Will OpenAI announce a Text-to-3D model on the Monday event?

1715622720731

68IfWq6mtPXZx8BFkbrWqPfNpuG3

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1715489416534

SM

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "May 13 Event", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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0

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1715622720731

100

SarM

1715622720731

0

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38

0

0.25

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1710357920910

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[{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1715489416973}, {"name": "ChatGPT", "slug": "chatgpt", "groupId": "lG71NUBORXAsxGmQZo77", "createdTime": 1715489416974}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1715489416976}]

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1715622015711

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daily-coinflip-5bcc6d819bf3

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Daily coinflip

1715659140000

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cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1715489426863

Traveel

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 148)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"...

BINARY

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0

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1715666275241

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Traveel

1715659140000

0

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1715644117362

1715662474235

0.49

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what-event-will-happen-first-jimmy

13624.96050265777

What Event Will Happen First: Jimmy Carter Passes OR A Lasting Bilateral Israel/Hamas Ceasefire? [Unlinked Market]

1722484740000

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cpmm-multi-1

0

4.9421184215336

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plus

public

1715492489142

SirCryptomind

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What Event Will Happen First: Jimmy Carter Passes OR A Lasting Bilateral Israel/Hamas Ceasefire?", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Resolves \"Jimmy Carter\" If He Passes Before A Lasting Bilateral Israel/Ham...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

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10000

SirCryptomind

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0

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106

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1720108113215

1720133596865

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0.49999999999999983

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{"NO": 10.05037815259206, "YES": 994.9874371066157}

0

trump-vp-pick-by-may-14

2647.7010770546826

Trump VP Pick by May 14?

1715679404985

frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1715492869106

Mana

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Donald Trump picks a VP before May 14 midnight Eastern Time, this market will resolve YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 4.835333737113389, "platformFee": 4.835333737113389, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1715679404985

100

Mana

1715679404985

0

https://firebasestorage.…03a-956bf00f7280

13

0

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https://storage.googleap…c084ec337c44.jpg

1706696952680

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[{"name": "🥈Trump VP", "slug": "trump-vp", "groupId": "91cb9237-771a-4e21-8eb2-d05f3f6d9e5b", "createdTime": 1715492869408}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1715492869416}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-tru...

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0

btc-price-below-50k-by-may-14

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BTC price below 50k by May 14?

1715682107728

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cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1715493010406

Dialethia

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If BTC is worth less than $50,000 USD at any point between 05/11 and 05/14 on midnight Central Time, this market will resolve to yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to no.", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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0

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1715682107728

100

Dialethia

1715682107728

0

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1713946675676

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1715682100828

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new-realdonaldtrump-tweet-before-ma-d735552b8a92

1018.8155639822413

New @realdonaldtrump Tweet before May 14?

1715745540000

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cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1715493144349

Manifest

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If there is a new Tweet on the @realdonaldtrump X account before May 14, 2024 midnight Central Time, this market will resolve to yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to no. For the purposes of this market, likes, replies and retweets will not be suffici...

BINARY

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0

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1715756053995

100

Manifest

1715745540000

0

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btc-worth-less-than-55555-before-ma

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BTC worth less than $55,555 before May 14?

1715682037067

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cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

NO

public

1715493433678

Destiny

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BINARY

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1715682037067

100

Destiny3a152

1715682037067

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0.5

twicsy

0

Twicsy

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cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

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CANCEL

public

1715495404601

Heathman Jeng

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BINARY

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