Datasets:
CK0607
/
manifold_contracts

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
1
p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.49999999999999895
uoHOAi9OhPTbVMHYpnr5
{"NO": 10.050378152592202, "YES": 994.9874371066277}
0
will-liverpool-beat-aston-villa-on
2983.4560552986613
Will Liverpool beat Aston Villa on Mon, May 13, 2024? - Premier League 🇬🇧
1715634205652
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715532807479
DAC
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Monday, May 13, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 20:00", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: Premier League", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🔑 Market Resolution:", "type":...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 15.445480718691194, "platformFee": 15.445480718691194, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1715634205652
100
DaAdCh
1715634205652
0
https://firebasestorage.…909-4a3973c6b0af
11
0
0.25
1704630344002
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1715532807771}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1715532807777}, {"name": "Premier League 2023-2024", "slug": "premier-league-20232024", "groupId": "45a307ca-d75b-4...
["soccer", "sports-default", "premier-league-20232024", "football", "premiere-league"]
0.25
0.5
1715634092293
1715634158646
0.01
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
0
0.3484199540068029
wPBixftbsYTv5S7vQMYk
{"NO": 258.1462098605138, "YES": 12398.028682601496}
0
will-kendrick-release-a-diss-track-46f012847229
12651.383892832479
Will Kendrick release a diss track response to Drake's The Heart Part 6 within one month of it releasing?
1717646340000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
NO
public
1715534322202
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FQHBpu-fWzN.png?alt=media&token=46427fca-c69d-4432-bc42-da699500c2f7", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.01101132742791612}
0
{"creatorFee": 58.09497383104034, "platformFee": 5.062745193626739, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717663396378
1000
strutheo
1717646340000
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
28
0
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…ef8367dc56a5.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🍿 Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1715534322489}, {"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1715534322485}, {"name": "Hip-Hop/Rap", "slug": "hiphoprap", "groupId": "qojZj1hvM...
["entertainment", "music-f213cbf1eab5", "hiphoprap", "culture-default", "drakekendrick-beef"]
0.25
0.5
1717629580083
1716655362229
0.01
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
0
0.09233081600102232
IVHHY0nWlko9MCE8aAnR
{"NO": 2061.119457661487, "YES": 1886.9689560983838}
0.10000000000000023
will-a-third-boeing-whistleblower-d-d9e1164aa2e6
20777.15420173359
Will a third Boeing whistleblower die before the end of Halloween?
1730433540000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
7.879994168822432
False
basic
public
1715534375870
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://fortune.com/2024/05/09/more-boeing-whistleblowers-emerge-law-firm/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://fortune.com/2024/05/09/more-boeing-whistleblowers-emerge-law-firm/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:u...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -6.522560269672795e-16, "month": -0.015181026183828772}
0
{"creatorFee": 124.87036738736288, "platformFee": 103.94214842545318, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
2100
strutheo
1720143044486
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
171
1
0.25
https://storage.googleap…315272103237.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "Boeing", "slug": "boeing", "groupId": "0ad5d059-21c2-4821-a1a8-6f54dd5b3462", "createdTime": 1715534376402}, {"name": "Whistleblower Markets", "slug": "scandal-markets", "groupId": "qHo4qLNyY6bkcoS7hZe0", "createdTime": 1715534389850}, {"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm5...
["boeing", "scandal-markets", "business", "law-order", "culture-default"]
0.25
0.5
1720143041374
1719551100236
0
0.4999999999999997
e7H4ptTMWeFSWLqg54ws
{"NO": 51.743399565081205, "YES": 193.26136442624622}
0
will-openai-make-the-base-gpt4-or-a
286.28871055809464
Will OpenAI make the DALL-E 3 somewhat free like gpt 3.5 on monday? (Inside chatgpt website, not through third parties)
1718140611761
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715534618392
TSLABull
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.21119344261776377}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.9827935526146625, "platformFee": 3.9827935526146625, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718140802975
100
MolbyDick
1718142826209
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXY86BCu6RTvqG8yEFc5Y7D_S97tCf20jO2Z8tVPKaaUqG14DA9PLqiLMFEeMfNIZqYYE4tIzI_BrVccd4GjslXsd5xpRxNHEYntNGm2gIyorhNQXCFWaGveqVbopCKtvW8Hxom_b74OxRgIK95auugOa5P56HIijcmp8zUBmze5fHo3g0ex4yJjnK3v7cvgEOF25_-TG4N8zJWXs8h_RcZDoDOKDs__GbJIprrIRmH0xBPqyMPjM6JiRSy1sfS72DHbE53wywXJmkbjC8pw3F...
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0
0.25
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1713057686215
0
[{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1715534618694}, {"name": "OpenAI", "slug": "openai-84034a690a0e", "groupId": "4e2494d6-fbf2-43f2-99d6-57a48892716b", "createdTime": 1715534618703}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime":...
["openai", "openai-84034a690a0e", "ai", "gpt4-speculation", "chatgpt"]
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0.5
1715603901588
1718142824546
0.21
nHX1qmzRItUHm3ifj7wNNR8hGf62
0
DaKseOlXFpsDX9Clppp2
in-which-formats-will-any-mh3-cards
1664.309231148793
In which formats will any MH3 cards be banned by EOY?
1735772340000
lTYsNQ5HB0TagJeITqfm7jvq3pb2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715535457731
Marty Dettmann
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only counts if the card is banned after release, not at or before release. In the case of reprints, it only counts if the card was added to the format via MH3. For example, if Orim's Chant is banned in Modern and Legacy (and nothing else is) this m...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 15.669242130699574, "platformFee": 5.120707042485041, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
125
MartyDettmann
1719868036240
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp4X4k5peP3YYJWBXSzhmIMRoOAjScc3GzTCFflw=s96-c
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1
ONLY_CREATOR
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[{"name": "Magic: The Gathering", "slug": "magic-the-gathering", "groupId": "MdtQjq1MZ1T3zBP1QqMF", "createdTime": 1715535458106}, {"name": "Card Games", "slug": "card-games", "groupId": "716b67c4-834b-4989-9346-2273c346b698", "createdTime": 1715535458108}]
["magic-the-gathering", "card-games"]
0.25
1719868033182
1717693734302
False
0
0.5
a4t10ev8PN6B24npfK0l
{"NO": 130.47865121272235, "YES": 76.64089034532375}
0.6299678448069332
will-i-submit-a-paper-for-iclr-2025
31.401506051331474
Will I submit a paper for ICLR 2025
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GLzpZPkoRWcZv7I1sbSGv9mPZlB3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1715536667057
capy
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will I submit a paper to ICLR2025?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Reviewer comments on a previous paper sent me down a rabbit hole on a related topic. I now think I have a good angle of attac...
BINARY
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0
{"creatorFee": 0.8177601681254391, "platformFee": 0.10509467048369205, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
capybara
1718646289280
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FKevinDoran%2F6rlhLww5NS.35?alt=media&token=c2bbf567-0a54-4425-9ebd-1cec295a7660
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[{"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1715536667358}, {"name": "📖 Academia", "slug": "-academia", "groupId": "96982729-5728-43e0-a698-6231f2f6c989", "createdTime": 1715536667357}]
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{"NO": 6029.589752617367, "YES": 169.45064069512978}
1
will-ranag-get-her-us-visa-approved
6817.171837199181
will @RanaG get her US visa approved before her travel date on May 30?
1716545016425
OdBj5DW6PbYtnImvybpyZzfhb133
cpmm-1
0
9.583612964146353
True
basic
YES
public
1715536955811
jim
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "information: Rana's ESTA (US visa waiver thing) was declined because she has been in Iraq in the last few years. So she has applied for an expedited appointment. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebas...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 55.14574792719321, "platformFee": 37.31603215193704, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1716545016425
1224
jim
1716564531614
0
https://firebasestorage.…9bd-1f9dcd4cd13f
18
0
0.25
1690863320225
0
[{"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1715536956136}, {"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b36dc89797a", "createdTime": 1715536956145}, {"name": "US immigration", "slug": "us-immigration", "groupI...
["manifest", "manifest-2024", "us-immigration", "subsidy-spotlight"]
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0.5
1716534614902
1716564530275
0.97
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0
sooXMPACb6UztEOX01yT
what-will-be-in-the-israeli-compute
1622.4921909672757
What will be in the Israeli computer science team practice session on Thursday?
1715865858683
DQ2RrGtZJee7Ddv6dTLcVIRy9OZ2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
MKT
public
1715537888625
Raz Dvora
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(In the ambrosia team practice)", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 16.93575691997337, "platformFee": 16.93575691997337, "liquidityFee": 0}
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RazDvora
1715865858683
0
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10
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ANYONE
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[{"name": "Computer Science", "slug": "computer-science", "groupId": "664d3008-eb54-4576-8cf0-baa389fc91e8", "createdTime": 1715537889423}]
["computer-science"]
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False
0
0.5
rhG8XpQMBYReut5LoZZD
{"NO": 119.95934270593108, "YES": 83.36157713463014}
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will-i-get-into-uf-sstp
99.99695226179293
Will I get into UF SSTP?
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cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1715538158413
peppapig69
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I submitted last minute LMAO decisions will prolly come out 5/15", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "my info:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "interested in Math and CS", "type": "text"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5899999999999999}
0
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meth124
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[{"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1715538158750}]
["science-default"]
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0.5
1715899760455
1717514194841
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NiiLeUCCgVZygGyO9fV60N8rUgp2
0
xrdxyqXoNZCICPB4RnxD
whats-the-primary-reason-why-you-us
0
What's the primary reason why you use Manifold?
8ntNjtw3m7gJKwpf2nDGEvnpU6y1
none
0
1000000
False
public
1715538851723
Schneefackel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "think", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " that's every potential reason? If in doubt, think about it for three seconds and then pick the first option that comes to mind.", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Schneefackel
1715589080960
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxaIkLPQddNdum_OH2iW5S1nKX7q6NQ8X1v6csyu=s96-c
10
0
0.25
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1683929838497
0
[{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1715538852161}, {"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1715538852164}]
["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-users"]
0.25
1715589079549
0
k3UvT6gOyscOTflYfvUk
when-will-a-rafah-fullscale-invasio
6208.8279678855015
When will a Rafah "Full-Scale Invasion" be reported by the NYT? (Daily, 5/13 - 5/19)
1716274740000
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cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
89f2bc0d2444
public
1715539413209
Manifold Politics
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to the day on which the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "New York Times ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/news-event/israel-hamas-gaza", "class": "break-anywhere hover:under...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 10.927952475271875, "platformFee": 10.927952475271875, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1716412421945
1000
ManifoldPolitics
1716274740000
0
https://firebasestorage.…7d6-f89dcf8e5621
16
0
DISABLED
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1
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1701801625125
0
[{"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1715539413615}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1715539413612}, {"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId"...
["israelhamas-conflict-2023", "world-default", "wars", "israel", "geopolitics"]
0.25
1716242444041
{"89f2bc0d2444": 100}
vuI5upWB8yU00rP7yxj95J2zd952
True
0
5VxIQger5o9WXEObpfZe
open-market-will-i-find-gold-in-cal
2629.779978096032
[OPEN MARKET] Will I find Gold in California? (And other bets for my trip to CA).
1718078340000
15UBiWb42hNqTYuIjAsrYTuSpa53
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1715539785432
Liam
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