p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
BY2GfuE9jbeb5itV8hh7
what-will-be-the-maximum-context-le
967.4124008357031
What will be the maximum context length of any OpenAI LLM by EOY 2024?
1735700340000
jZsECgI1Y5fuDY9alZvz7CMcxSg2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717425687573
Roberto Gomez
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, GPT-4o has a context length of 128k tokens . On the other hand, Gemini offers 1M, has announced it's extending it to 2M, and has published results up to 10M.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 22.70006946506741, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1500
RobertoGomez
1719536138285
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJzsGkARi5n93ihu6fO41PTFHtZh-XCjvWL5b0ki=s96-c
10
1
DISABLED
[{"id": "xerslqot9z", "prob": 0.10885525469697717, "text": "[ 0, 200 k)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 117.22677977827324, "userId": "jZsECgI1Y5fuDY9alZvz7CMcxSg2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 959.6783278768423, "textFts": "'0':1 '200':2 'k':3", "contractId": "BY2GfuE9jbeb5itV8hh7", "createdTime": 1717425687573, "probChanges...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…z/3lrj6jy496.jpg
1640694027186
0
[{"name": "GPT-5 Speculation", "slug": "gpt5-speculation", "groupId": "XjoIQCNrsc4HP3H3DdTP", "createdTime": 1717425687808}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1717425687856}, {"name": "LLMs", "slug": "llms", "groupId": "7AISXitieE7l07dhslU8", "createdTime": 1717425687858}...
["gpt5-speculation", "ai", "llms", "openai"]
0.25
1719536135065
True
0
0.5000000000000002
CRTpxpEVEum3OL5rKTWB
{"NO": 846.2127845724308, "YES": 1181.7358686033951}
0.41727525164270685
will-there-be-a-more-sampleefficien
593
Will there be a more sample-efficient pretraining algorithm than next token prediction for NLP before 2027?
1798876740000
Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2
cpmm-1
0
9.574667444578235
False
basic
public
1717426013347
AdamK
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will a pretraining algorithm for language models which meaningfully improves on the sample efficiency of next token prediction be widely known before 2027?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Some...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 19.35420814462666, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
AdamK
1717510133466
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c
9
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…K/e68ot3yw81.jpg
1687620319599
0
[{"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1717426013649}, {"name": "Technical AI Timelines", "slug": "technical-ai-timelines", "groupId": "GbbX9U5pYnDeftX9lxUh", "createdTime": 1717426013648}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "created...
["ai-safety", "technical-ai-timelines", "ai", "scaling-laws"]
0.25
0.5
1717510130302
1717437449467
0
NDMHgPJB5molkDMXiRJM
would-you-choose-to-be-stuck-in-a-t
0
Would you choose to be stuck in a time loop for 100 years?
1g8P6pHRRLg4kaRxAMKyCCXn2mb2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717428360630
NBAP
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the style of Groundhog Day. You get to pick the day. There is no early-exit condition. Assume that you suffer no negative psychological/cognitive effects specifically from experiencing so much subjective time (e.g. you are still able to store/re...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
NBAP
1717446354537
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FNBAP%2FqpSlMKH-74.57?alt=media&token=115d6799-daaf-47c9-8a52-f318b0a9688e
7
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…P/xgn2d62k7s.jpg
1685661001561
0
0.25
1717446353154
0
KbHC7X79gXZUp76hTsbf
general-election-2024-where-will-ni
26363.629904896523
UK General Election 2024 - Where will Nigel Farage finish in Clacton?
1720175413294
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
c0fl3v3ady
public
1717428524646
Simon Grayson
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nigel Farage has announced that he will be standing for Parliament in Clacton", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2024/jun/03/conservatives-equality-act-labour-general-election-c...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 159.43751512404586, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
10493.595072125672
1720175413294
1250
SimonGrayson
1720175413294
0
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
65
14
DISABLED
[{"id": "c0fl3v3ady", "prob": 0.9953680476843643, "text": "He will win", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4580.995123178376, "userId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 21.31769350853267, "textFts": "'win':3", "contractId": "KbHC7X79gXZUp76hTsbf", "resolverId": "rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2", "createdTi...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/a63qu3zf3i.jpg
1680512856506
0
[{"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk-conservative-party", "groupId": "ba6ec793-8de3-4383-9c33-f6d1f44dfa2c", "createdTime": 1717428524902}, {"name": "Reform UK", "slug": "reform-uk", "groupId": "bd4e6880-3ac1-42fc-a0fd-9d7867bde8e2", "createdTime": 1717428524905}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics"...
["uk-conservative-party", "reform-uk", "uk-politics", "-uk-general-election-2024"]
0.25
1720169325709
1720149459180
{"c0fl3v3ady": 100}
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
True
0
0.49999999999999917
JgtylACtp9Te19fxofC5
{"NO": 8351.44241811916, "YES": 119.73979462881971}
0.9858650431992092
will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot
14592.76157781994
UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 4,000,000 votes?
1720479540000
rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2
cpmm-1
0
9.894516472025366
False
basic
public
1717428704721
Simon Grayson
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nigel Farage today announced that he will be returning to be the leader of Reform UK and that he will be standing as the candidate for Clacton:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.theg...
BINARY
{"day": 0.035865043199209135, "week": 0.14586504319920923, "month": 0.43208680698949975}
0
{"creatorFee": 216.63810698804372, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
4000
1000
SimonGrayson
1720169538300
0
https://firebasestorage.…846-fd0042ad0696
47
5
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/9ovv4hc5tz.jpg
1680512856506
0
[{"name": "Reform UK", "slug": "reform-uk", "groupId": "bd4e6880-3ac1-42fc-a0fd-9d7867bde8e2", "createdTime": 1717428704875}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1717428704878}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3g...
["reform-uk", "politics-default", "uk-politics", "uk-conservative-party", "-uk-general-election-2024"]
0.25
0.5
1720169533113
1718438570236
0
dLrdP14EYU5Nez82KaFh
when-will-elon-musk-reach-190m-foll
5430.020056188472
When will Elon Musk reach 190M followers
1721516340000
KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717429626293
Christopher Randles
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Hopefully title is self explanatory but let me know if you have questions.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "More options may be added.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 46.31009148543047, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
ChristopherRandles
1719929243398
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c
5
3
ANYONE
[{"id": "cxo3rnpd8x", "prob": 0.01, "text": "End of 20 June 2024 UTC", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25.56270275689394, "userId": "KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2444.968382036389, "textFts": "'20':3 '2024':5 'end':1 'june':4 'utc':6", "contractId": "dLrdP14EYU5Nez82KaFh", "resolution": "NO", "reso...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/b2j6buj2wr.jpg
1683475207934
0
[{"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1717429626600}, {"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1717429626598}, {"name": "Twitter CEO", "slug": "twitter-ceo-ce5b7980a96a", "groupId": "gGA5SL1mLx...
["elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "twitter", "twitter-ceo-ce5b7980a96a"]
0.25
1719929240323
1718982777538
False
old
0
0.5000000000000002
XKg5QypZT5E7z7yKuslP
{"NO": 833.0066340099424, "YES": 1200.470631531688}
0.4096463964095836
will-aviation-fuel-with-lead-be-ban
705
Will aviation fuel with lead be banned in the United States before 2029?
1862035140000
Fz12fyQzT0cnfaSp2iOYvLsYmTi1
cpmm-1
0
9.57552368350073
False
basic
public
1717431314370
Andrew Smith
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://aviation.stackexchange.com/questions/2031/why-are-we-still-putting-lead-in-our-fuel", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://aviation.stackexchange.com/questions/2031/why-are-we-still-putting-lead-in-our-fuel"...
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.0893838955179922}
0
{"creatorFee": 23.199110298932723, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
asmith
1717937769371
0
https://firebasestorage.…a0f-d901653a5912
11
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…h/lpetz572tc.jpg
1672111268287
0
[{"name": "Law", "slug": "law", "groupId": "721015fa-be97-4989-b9e9-9a5cd25709d6", "createdTime": 1717431314549}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1717431314544}, {"name": "🫀 Health", "slug": "health", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35"...
["law", "united-states", "health", "airline-industry"]
0.25
0.5
1717937766255
1717434424739
0
Z2iOVSTL6001YuzwfoQc
in-what-year-will-a-canadian-team-h
7491.606757036668
In what year will a Canadian team have won a new Stanley Cup?
1893560340000
Kr23YYpkdnU4JFFqHr2NxEV6PvN2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717431737898
JGY
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves early, as soon as a Canadian team wins the cup and breaks the losing streak that started in 1994.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will extend the market until this happens.", "type": "text"}]}...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 142.22799090230902, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1500
jgyou
1719789054729
0
https://firebasestorage.…907-90bdc2aca417
14
1
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "s2lsvqzetj", "prob": 0.01, "text": "2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25.125945381480392, "userId": "Kr23YYpkdnU4JFFqHr2NxEV6PvN2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2487.468592766551, "textFts": "'2024':1", "contractId": "Z2iOVSTL6001YuzwfoQc", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "Kr23YYpkdnU4JFFqHr2NxEV6PvN2", "createdT...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…u/b5tm7gu6ir.jpg
1675703905738
0
[{"name": "Hockey", "slug": "hockey", "groupId": "tYP9jmPPjoX29KfzE4l5", "createdTime": 1717431738309}, {"name": "Stanley Cup", "slug": "stanley-cup", "groupId": "7f3f29dd-6b62-433a-a4f2-936cf2ff2610", "createdTime": 1717431738313}]
["hockey", "stanley-cup"]
0.25
1719789051561
1717895627199
False
0
0.5000000000000003
2l7uTflHwTuMepaPAMrM
{"NO": 107.70473333423797, "YES": 9284.643014682762}
0
belmont-stakes-will-sierra-leone-an
9054.281264871113
BELMONT STAKES: Will "Sierra Leone" and "Mystik Dan" finish 1-2?
1717887406306
wTpiBh1A7OYTQVFhZNFfZ9DwHI03
cpmm-1
0
9.85357556426209
True
basic
NO
public
1717432444496
Stefan XJ7
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is essentially an exacta box with Sierra Leone and Mystik Dan.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the finish order is 1. Sierra Leone, 2. Mystik Dan, or 1. Mystik Dan, 2. Sierra Leone, th...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.2013489584202686}
0
{"creatorFee": 60.45079668880272, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717887406306
1000
StefanXJ7
1717887406306
0
https://firebasestorage.…d50-04f706f5d0ae
13
0
0.13333333333333333
https://firebasestorage.…402-5dcb443399be
1697084511068
0
[{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717432444682}, {"name": "2024", "slug": "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "groupId": "113eb49d-bb7b-428e-a89c-61ea2078317f", "createdTime": 1717432444683}, {"name": "News", "slug": "news", "groupId": "586c2ce6-5e77-441a-b7ba-922fd38...
["sports-default", "2024-3d9da60b52f8", "news", "tv", "horse-racing"]
0.25
0.5
1717886853469
0.01
wTpiBh1A7OYTQVFhZNFfZ9DwHI03
0
yZ5DyPidop6wWSSpeaQM
is-climate-change-the-most-importan
0
Is climate change the most important issue of our time?
oigmP5QCNyV1PO3bBdDxkxwpQxB2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717433215275
Alon Ragoler
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
AlonRagoler
1717433215275
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKpfo1fYA8-tasZ4QczW0qEvjON_jEY1H9XrftbvZRtnjFwLN4_=s96-c
8
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/hxah7mj1nz.jpg
1714877266677
0
0.25
0
0.5000000000000004
e6RT73qbIfSvPivd5QHL
{"NO": 100.50378152592111, "YES": 9949.874371066195}
0.01000000000000001
uk-general-election-will-the-conser
17008.224774655813
UK General Election - Will the Conservatives win less than 100 seats
1722466740000
sLDSFm43iuaHRYE0YpTx9B3QBvJ2
cpmm-1
0
9.849721441923041
False
basic
public
1717433317914
vVv
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution criteria:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YES - Conservatives get less than 100 seats in the next UK GE", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO - Conser...
BINARY
{"day": -1.734723475976807e-18, "week": -0.657455839147915, "month": -0.5639222035306666}
0
{"creatorFee": 253.19048671953985, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
vVv
1720159486158
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc217hRvo5DrxSz_u1Qgbbkv-2nqvvCWdszujgbw4A_=s96-c
54
11
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…v/agcpa0dvmc.jpg
1692730904780
0
[{"name": "UK Conservative Party", "slug": "uk-conservative-party", "groupId": "ba6ec793-8de3-4383-9c33-f6d1f44dfa2c", "createdTime": 1717433318081}, {"name": "🇬🇧 UK General Election 2024", "slug": "-uk-general-election-2024", "groupId": "129aecae-5af3-4f32-b369-9c46a4c5c6a0", "createdTime": 1717433318147}, {"name": ...
["uk-conservative-party", "-uk-general-election-2024", "uk-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1720159486158
1718884758878
0
FPvoSSR9Tr8ZWM0HUqlE
what-is-your-manifold-betting-strat
0
What is your Manifold betting strategy?
PoTDkv6ZTCgAeX43dhkKatpwoBl2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717433573070
A
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I would like to settle a dispute about optimal strategy.", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Arrg6p
1717445162875
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJlPEKpHlz5kNGcte9-58kFeV1TPhylXuLL97GLK981pTimlA=s96-c
12
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…p/3kao8s2j0f.jpg
1717094262228
0
0.25
1717445161439
0
i7MfyFY2suKiv37p3D3d
which-shoe-brand-is-better
0
Which shoe brand is better?
rEem4T5lzMZU5rX3KjYKmtQErTD3
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717433952070
Colin C
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
ColinC
1717433952070
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKyxHjFl7_8muVLCMVbR9zEy2oFGFf0P7qHkxp1welMUBRQtA=s96-c
3
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…C/k7agmteexk.jpg
1717106159659
0
0.25
0
0.4999999999999993
iVgiDMUERQbVdcth11pK
{"NO": 163.53352504094246, "YES": 6114.954103445463}
0.02604664287287384
will-trumps-sentencing-occur-before
18168.41442414165
Will Trump's sentencing occur before the Republican National Convention?
1721026740000
RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3
cpmm-1
0
9.87903354540607
False
basic
public
1717434294288
Archibald Crone
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": -0.0021993560565768747, "week": -0.8786553097061698, "month": -0.7739533571271262}
0
{"creatorFee": 258.12650072032255, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
250
1000
BlueDragon
1720189343273
0
https://firebasestorage.…2f3-d0594914d1a2
80
3
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/nnak5lj8qo.jpg
1697749128213
0
[{"name": "Trump indictment(s)", "slug": "trump-indictments", "groupId": "l8rzwticUu7jFUpOZnY2", "createdTime": 1717434294486}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1717434294495}, {"name": "🐘 Republican Party", "slug": "magaland", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYW...
["trump-indictments", "us-politics", "magaland", "2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump"]
0.25
0.5
1720189340012
1719961168165
0
0.5000000000000004
n2DFTVbAmSeanW6qXWtv
{"NO": 101.4363051348621, "YES": 9858.403247934542}
0
will-england-beat-iceland-on-fri-ma
12988.306017471601
Will England beat Iceland on Fri, Jun 7, 2024? - Men's International Friendly ⚽
1717792855964
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
cpmm-1
0
9.850230026829415
True
basic
NO
public
1717435283480
DAC
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Friday, June 7, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 19:45", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: Men's International Friendly", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🔑 Market Resolut...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.8423752214924761}
0
{"creatorFee": 146.97235717751207, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717792855964
1000
DaAdCh
1717792855964
0
https://firebasestorage.…909-4a3973c6b0af
33
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…h/cvxxfqm6q5.jpg
1704630344002
0
[{"name": "Soccer Friendlies", "slug": "soccer-friendlies", "groupId": "787e1d35-6553-4c6b-a5b5-fd90b3391601", "createdTime": 1717435283631}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1717435283615}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlg...
["soccer-friendlies", "football", "sports-default", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1717792584981
1717792843433
0.01
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
0
0.4999999999999996
XD8q3xppPHGj3ou6x9ea
{"NO": 5467.821516452728, "YES": 182.88819358696946}
1
metaculus-will-fideszkdnp-maintain
4511
[Metaculus] Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?
1718320709616
PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2
cpmm-1
0
9.886540678755068
True
basic
YES
public
1717435884930
Mirror Bot
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the original on Metaculus", "type": "text", "m...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.1406177669690879}
0
{"creatorFee": 43.17848354727231, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718320709616
1000
mirrorbot
1718320709616
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0
4
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/73b3zpm1ts.jpg
1696426201173
0
[{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1717435885200}, {"name": "European Union", "slug": "european-union", "groupId": "yDH8ujgF86zAYx8XpCc1", "createdTime": 1717435914369}, {"name": "European Elections", "slug": "european-elections", "groupId": "6091a62e-fa6b-43ec...
["metaculus", "european-union", "european-elections", "hungary"]
0.25
0.5
1718047159496
PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2
0
lID7YiVssYxBWHJFX7mO
which-llm-would-make-the-best-presi
0
Which LLM would make the best president?
j4HC6TgsW4UUvIYi3re1XbsZX8P2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717436614269
Knuffa
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Knuffa
1717475550724
0
https://firebasestorage.…167-73b05fea9219
10
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…a/40ox919ybk.jpg
1713920950880
0
[{"name": "LLMs", "slug": "llms", "groupId": "7AISXitieE7l07dhslU8", "createdTime": 1717436614513}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1717475534242}, {"name": "Leaders", "slug": "leaders", "groupId": "rCuXL6t9gAHm82vbWLoN", "createdTime": 171747553899...
["llms", "politics-default", "leaders", "personal-opinion", "ai"]
0.25
0
5Q4weAIVD359MrPfDW4K
if-icj-rules-in-favor-of-sa-then-wh
750
If ICJ rules in favor of SA, then which nominee wins 2024 US election?
2051326740000
T9qlwITovwZDY0MqM7GAILLynPD3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717437604133
Payola
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will not resolve any answer to YES unless the International Court of Justice (ICJ) rules decisively in favor of South Africa (SA) in its genocide case against Israel before the market expiration date, and a current (as of time of market...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 18.725325765706447, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
ruttar
1718550586059
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fruttar%2Fu5RozBK-cy.bmp?alt=media&token=29f2c0bf-19df-40ff-a030-9b5d518904c2
1
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "i9qu65gk64", "prob": 0.26111136552538927, "text": "Biden", "index": 0, "poolNo": 297.23051855583066, "userId": "T9qlwITovwZDY0MqM7GAILLynPD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 841.0980178438203, "textFts": "'biden':1", "contractId": "5Q4weAIVD359MrPfDW4K", "createdTime": 1717437604133, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "w...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/bxri7337ip.jpg
1691001125761
0
[{"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "groupId": "cea99c1c-afb9-49b2-adfa-9be739adce10", "createdTime": 1717437604448}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1717437604456}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election",...
["israelhamas-conflict-2023", "donald-trump", "2024-us-presidential-election", "the-life-of-biden", "law-order"]
0.25
1718550583012
False
0
0.5000000000000003
zseR1bbKgiThQiav10JZ
{"NO": 1393.2610920384711, "YES": 717.7405625652743}
0.6599999999999998
will-there-be-a-pickleball-emoji-re
627.0957011521258
Will there be a Pickleball emoji released before Pickleball is played in the Olympics?
1861937940000
hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2
cpmm-1
0
9.545704477642646
False
basic
public
1717437817980
chris (strutheo)
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market open until either happens", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "So far a Pickleball emoji has been proposed three times: expired in 2019, declined in 2022, and declined in 2022 again.", "type...
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -9.926653026848253e-05}
0
{"creatorFee": 17.984124025496165, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
strutheo
1718261854334
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8a-874f55f21b3d
10
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…o/ids003cn1r.jpg
1700846926650
0
[{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1717437818151}, {"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1717437818159}, {"name": "Unicode", "slug": "unicode", "groupId": "962ad0ee-359e-48c1-9b26-7bd418a3a98a", "cr...
["culture-default", "internet", "unicode", "pickleball", "design"]
0.25
0.5
1718015885396
1718261852901
0
0.5
mOqFZlHoExvqnRbK2kyQ
{"NO": 894.7205861327652, "YES": 1117.6673650958267}
0.44460641179377236
will-anthropic-employ-scott-aaronso
1345.8707079297665
Will Anthropic employ Scott Aaronson before Spring 2025?
1742626740000
e25NgP91ONZwgj1cCcYRU4g3mZw1
cpmm-1
0
9.572255538121968
False
basic
public
1717438417327
Andrew McKnight
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Scott Aaronson was recruited to OpenAI by Jan Leike and worked on OpenAI's Superalignment team but that team has been disbanded and Jan works at Anthropic now. Scott's two-year term at OpenAI ends in the summer of 2024.", "type": "text"}, {"type": ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.1815148659826583}
0
{"creatorFee": 45.059247505189184, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
AndrewMcKnight
1719328309353
0
https://firebasestorage.…1d1-feaf740542c4
16
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/otkcqlw46x.jpg
1670553336089
0
[{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1717438418105}, {"name": "Anthropic", "slug": "anthropic", "groupId": "B8jfqGL9Uqu5nejktmVi", "createdTime": 1717438418104}]
["ai", "anthropic"]
0.25
0.5
1719328306195
0
qXdYLJ96W4xJtRRwxTVb
how-many-times-will-ai-be-mentioned-sp0ttzh0wm
0
How many times will "AI" be mentioned at WWDC24 Keynote on June 10th 2024?
1717438792472
hqOOjUTKcZSIxV9xoFiJrPgLwf32
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
CANCEL
public
1717438751266
Lee Woods
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Apple will be holding their annual developer conference on June 10th 2024. AI is rumored to be a hot topic. With Alphabet and Microsoft both mentioning the \"AI\" during their respective keynotes, I'm curious how many times Apple will. ", "type": "...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717438792472
1000
LeeWoods
1720053161621
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIJ2D9jnq95ZstW0tW1YTMtoJ-heKtQ_G_R0RQwetoJQbot=s96-c
0
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "jlh394qk3e", "prob": 0.5, "text": ">50", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 500, "userId": "hqOOjUTKcZSIxV9xoFiJrPgLwf32", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 500, "textFts": "'50':1", "contractId": "qXdYLJ96W4xJtRRwxTVb", "resolverId": "hqOOjUTKcZSIxV9xoFiJrPgLwf32", "createdTime": 1717438751266, "probChanges...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/w58kb29np1.jpg
1709837160963
True
0
[{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1717438751588}, {"name": "Big Tech", "slug": "big-tech", "groupId": "1a9ef4d5-dcc6-468f-a9b7-feccdaa92733", "createdTime": 1717438751589}, {"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1717438751...
["ai", "big-tech", "apple", "-wwdc-2024"]
0.25
hqOOjUTKcZSIxV9xoFiJrPgLwf32
True
0
0.5000000000000001
mcSWlvJeAXfDef0lJ5RT
{"NO": 1221.7885104642226, "YES": 818.4722572158144}
0.5988393884834182
will-nick-chubb-play-in-an-nfl-game
568.6598574205422
Will Nick Chubb play in an NFL game in Weeks 1-9?
1730869140000
BrBG7QaUHeMrx3ZXPqy5AxfeFTw2
cpmm-1
0
9.576573775115477
False
basic
public
1717438932157
pitstop
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Chubb plays at least one snap in any game between and including Weeks 1 and 9. This is about the 2024 NFL Regular Season.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.04037153005233263}
0
{"creatorFee": 18.26200212192364, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
pitstop
1717995599432
0
https://firebasestorage.…ef4-21f1275c128a
7
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/erf3tdxbuv.jpg
1661266134199
0
[{"name": "🏈 NFL", "slug": "nfl", "groupId": "TNQwmbE5p6dnKx2e6Qlp", "createdTime": 1717438932299}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1717438932301}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 17174389...
["nfl", "football", "sports-default", "cleveland-browns"]
0.25
0.5
1717995596325
0
tiLKqTwjtsXDnIlb91Bn
holodeck-when-qcizbejkyt
660
Holodeck When?
2241071940000
etEkYCPEe5emmK4vvbR30H7i5982
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717439454230
Max Harms
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It feels to me that the core technologies for a \"holodeck\" are now in place. This market resolves to the year when there is a VR or AR experience (comparable to the Apple Vision Pro) that involves imagery generated by a vocal prompt (comparable t...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 8.51641069973794, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
3000
MaxHarms
1717878276213
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL0xedDuqyhLuCxjkkUd0pH8wOEEFh2BRRMNMgrdTzG1EU=s96-c
6
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "8ioiwwb3gb", "prob": 0.05566419802956512, "text": "2024 or 2025", "index": 0, "poolNo": 109.8043807727629, "userId": "etEkYCPEe5emmK4vvbR30H7i5982", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1862.816884954305, "textFts": "'2024':1 '2025':3", "contractId": "tiLKqTwjtsXDnIlb91Bn", "createdTime": 1717439454230, "probChanges":...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/th88le2hhn.jpg
1698589418030
0
[{"name": "Generative AI", "slug": "generative-ai", "groupId": "0d873cbc-ab41-4b18-af2c-10e6a0d8f769", "createdTime": 1717439454493}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1717439454501}, {"name": "👓 Apple Vision Pro", "slug": "apple-vision-pro", "groupId": "gEardgc5T6coQqiE...
["generative-ai", "ai", "apple-vision-pro", "google-sora"]
0.25
1717678197790
True
0
0.49999999999999994
BWnlunizDQRwrawxo1oA
{"NO": 645.0165460410166, "YES": 1550.3478261725245}
0.2938084238793852
will-the-united-states-of-america-h
1179.8158568852157
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
2556169140000
GJ8hthQbXcUVZiSQZe1LydKyr7v2
cpmm-1
0
9.60043572132911
False
basic
public
1717439517029
𐑴𐑓𐑰𐑿𐑒𐑩𐑕
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Between 2024 and 2050 (inclusive), will the USA hold another constitutional convention?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Note: this question does not ask about ratification of any new constitut...
BINARY
{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.11864202617154818}
0
{"creatorFee": 33.969108284309755, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Ophiuchus
1718107195006
0
https://firebasestorage.…2f2-87985f69b1c3
17
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/ymcq2v9dtj.jpg
1696794479488
0
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1717439517187}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1717439517188}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-...
["politics-default", "us-politics", "united-states"]
0.25
0.5
1718107191832
1717744953637
0
0.5000000000000003
iIfLvPHgRrCgSgc72i7i
{"NO": 1189.3939615409372, "YES": 840.7643155548182}
0.5858626763044438
if-another-carrington-event-hit-the
833.7197538223916
If another Carrington Event hit the US, would most people be using electricity again in less than a week?
4873157940000
D6J4rACLVqSmn0S610IZwB0vSYa2
cpmm-1
0
9.575962368186044
False
basic
public
1717439697823
singer
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Wikipedia article for the Carrington Event", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carrington_Event", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 act...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.11757776505977324}
0
{"creatorFee": 27.164395009102023, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
singer
1718246391783
0
https://firebasestorage.…4c3-c1ee5bc5b4ae
17
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/ynnhei78wi.jpg
1695522783407
0
[{"name": "Disasters", "slug": "disasters", "groupId": "89c8408c-8720-4580-85ad-73c6da3ae965", "createdTime": 1717439697985}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1717439697994}]
["disasters", "technology-default"]
0.25
0.5
1718246388613
1717652645557
0
0.5000000000000001
WLWSNJqQq04B4S9Qkj0m
{"NO": 343.42632250110216, "YES": 2911.8327119400983}
0
will-the-english-wikipedia-in-the-n
2298.070227725863
Will the English Wikipedia "In the news" section have two or more bullet points about sports on June 8?
1717880340000
8AgOEn5pOUahZGukE6BrFzQosC03
cpmm-1
0
9.756339157931514
True
basic
NO
public
1717440699757
AhmedButCooler
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of the time of writing, the \"In the news\" section of Wikipedia has three bullet points about sports:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.344281124976726}
0
{"creatorFee": 39.386389233520674, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717915683786
1000
AhmedButCooler
1717880340000
0
https://firebasestorage.…c5d-88709946cd32
14
0
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…a/fyvze280xb.jpg
1714851175704
0
[{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717493617303}, {"name": "News", "slug": "news", "groupId": "586c2ce6-5e77-441a-b7ba-922fd387e3be", "createdTime": 1717493633382}, {"name": "Wikipedia", "slug": "wikipedia", "groupId": "E7MBK2i8kaRN0KpBofH3", "createdTim...
["sports-default", "news", "wikipedia", "internet"]
0.25
0.5
1717880241262
1717915632706
0.17
8AgOEn5pOUahZGukE6BrFzQosC03
0
0.5000000000000032
31O4J52z8IoOF030eRjW
{"NO": 9923.315459181104, "YES": 100.77277136995599}
1
will-germany-beat-greece-on-fri-jun
10912.00911981566
Will Germany 🇩🇪 beat Greece 🇬🇷 on Fri, Jun 7, 2024? - Men's International Friendly ⚽
1717792938270
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
cpmm-1
0
9.849868443792325
True
basic
YES
public
1717441905363
DAC
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Friday, June 7, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 19:45", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: Men's International Friendly", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🔑 Market Resolut...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.16958243040067467}
0
{"creatorFee": 129.07861977569905, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717792938270
1000
DaAdCh
1717792938270
0
https://firebasestorage.…909-4a3973c6b0af
25
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…h/q3s4htc2c2.jpg
1704630344002
0
[{"name": "Soccer Friendlies", "slug": "soccer-friendlies", "groupId": "787e1d35-6553-4c6b-a5b5-fd90b3391601", "createdTime": 1717441905544}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717441905546}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6C...
["soccer-friendlies", "sports-default", "football", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1717792565757
1717792926651
0.99
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
0
0.5000000000000004
vv0Qp6CHCzgQewxSe5pg
{"NO": 9805.929579276806, "YES": 101.97911293523225}
1
will-poland-beat-turkey-on-mon-jun
12310.920995763512
Will Poland 🇵🇱 beat Turkey 🇹🇷 on Mon, Jun 10, 2024? - Men's International Friendly ⚽
1718052756801
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
cpmm-1
0
9.850524733683372
True
basic
YES
public
1717442211775
DAC
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Monday, June 10, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 19:45", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: Men's International Friendly", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🔑 Market Resolu...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5012171599469737}
0
{"creatorFee": 133.64392644325974, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718052756801
1000
DaAdCh
1718052756801
0
https://firebasestorage.…909-4a3973c6b0af
15
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…h/zzikbw7dzf.jpg
1704630344002
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1717442211925}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717442211927}, {"name": "Soccer Friendlies", "slug": "soccer-friendlies", "groupId": "787e1d35-6553-4c6b-a5b5-fd90...
["soccer", "sports-default", "soccer-friendlies", "football"]
0.25
0.5
1718051988897
1718052744742
0.99
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
0
0.5000000000000001
iawhMfCtgiLI4G2I2EYl
{"NO": 1878.9301412857747, "YES": 532.2177647944316}
1
will-the-good-side-win-blood-on-the
1117.2753079536822
Will the good side win in the Multi-day Blood on the Clocktower game?
1717783134911
2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2
cpmm-1
0
9.63316953343353
True
basic
YES
public
1717443274188
Forrest
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "...at Manifest Summer Camp.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.2300000000000002}
0
{"creatorFee": 26.011085321882838, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717789227639
1000
Forrest
1717783134911
0
https://firebasestorage.…dba-d226fde95f2e
6
0
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/djh4jskze5.jpg
1645062915687
0
[{"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b36dc89797a", "createdTime": 1717443274338}, {"name": "LessOnline", "slug": "lessonline", "groupId": "96d9dff6-14de-4d58-9b38-e88ecde26502", "createdTime": 1717443274351}]
["manifest-2024", "lessonline"]
0.25
0.5
1717721769156
0.78
2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2
2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2
0
goVdTD2RcwLhDYzjrGnj
who-will-win-the-smash-bros-ultimat
98574.64987978672
Who will win the Smash Bros. Ultimate tournament at the Manifest Summer Camp?
1717657495584
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
xyeuljapo0
public
1717443358563
N.C. Young
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Join us in the Eigen Hall at 8pm on Wednesday for a Smash tournament!", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 400.64817145077865, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717657495584
2300
NcyRocks
1717657495584
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-70181e9d9dc2
26
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "qy9lvqqqoy", "prob": 0.000251306780836318, "text": "@NcyRocks", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.347341723550926, "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 21272.79607229668, "textFts": "'ncyrock':1", "contractId": "goVdTD2RcwLhDYzjrGnj", "resolverId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "creat...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/n4yjdgv65x.jpg
1644447319203
0
[{"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1717443358808}, {"name": "Smash Ultimate", "slug": "smash-ultimate", "groupId": "PaHTurPx0RkX5EheWZJv", "createdTime": 1717443358813}, {"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-39...
["manifest", "smash-ultimate", "manifest-2024"]
0.25
1717657489381
1717649666614
{"xyeuljapo0": 100}
fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42
True
0
G09rsX5ExCMmro9YfdG1
which-type-of-demon-is-present-in-b
3140.5551268895997
Which type of demon is present in the Multi-day Blood on the Clocktower game?
1717783140597
2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
rzdohc6is9
public
1717443382958
Forrest
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "...at Manifest Summer Camp.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 49.873623109597396, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717789214778
1000
Forrest
1717783140597
0
https://firebasestorage.…dba-d226fde95f2e
4
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "rzdohc6is9", "prob": 0.6533907140354813, "text": "Zombuul", "index": 0, "poolNo": 396.34716777311155, "userId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 210.25338417717003, "textFts": "'zombuul':1", "contractId": "G09rsX5ExCMmro9YfdG1", "resolverId": "2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2", "created...
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/c68kqntq4k.jpg
1645062915687
0
0.25
1717783055939
1717444668419
{"rzdohc6is9": 100}
2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2
True
2ekxJD8MeMfp96gghpjy3PRxjtW2
0
0.5
LPngNTQSQFhK2pwFa9ip
{"NO": 953.8819365450188, "YES": 1048.3477689304211}
0.4764098414564849
will-someone-make-an-obsidianmd-plu
50
Will Someone Make an Obsidian.md plugin for Fatebook Embeds This Year?
1735718340000
0rSFGxcgLrYIhoTRw7RPZJFjtWg2
cpmm-1
0
9.570679451372035
False
basic
public
1717443423324
keltan
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Has to be able to be created and directed embedded inside of obsidian. Connected to official Fatebook", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.6522310695789, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
keltan
1717448513342
0
https://firebasestorage.…f46-d899cb67c45b
1
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/tfuhzxcoiq.jpg
1714967863559
0
[{"name": "Obsidian", "slug": "obsidian", "groupId": "48db7cb7-6ba0-40eb-827b-f95e9e1523a6", "createdTime": 1717443423470}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1717443423465}, {"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "group...
["obsidian", "predictions-on-predictions", "programming", "fatebook"]
0.25
0.5
1717448510216
0
0.36756674657410293
yNaODVFlMXRbuUCPn3RP
{"NO": 5383.652891559365, "YES": 27510.93967373084}
0
will-manifold-reverse-its-sexnegati
23929.9258128985
Will Manifold reverse its sex-negative decision and list my market before Manifest starts?
1717864784908
uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2
cpmm-1
0
3.2598698992101687
True
plus
NO
public
1717444075918
Shelvacu
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "my sex market", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/Shelvacu/how-many-people-will-i-have-sex-wit-66fb035f5fb3", "class": "break-anywhere ho...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.13118306477045652}
0
{"creatorFee": 306.0648165309571, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717864784908
10000
Shelvacu
1717864784908
0
https://firebasestorage.…a8d-63bc6f7bd3d2
26
0
0.13333333333333333
https://firebasestorage.…d36-eef772a4155c
1670441671530
0
[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1717444076068}, {"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b36dc89797a", "createdTime": 1717444076078}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "ma...
["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifest-2024", "manifold-business-future", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
0.5
1717782320527
1717528059473
0.1
uSMp7YeHLwZmrEtqrqlgT41ds5K2
0
jBFXuX16GZi2exp0D1Gx
after-stage-6-of-the-2024-criterium
2113.9767369882793
After Stage 6 of the 2024 Critérium du Dauphiné, who will wear the Maillot Jaune?
1717765140000
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
aixu6szl0m
public
1717444127460
Stuart Slagle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be resolved with verified results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.criterium-du-dauphine.fr/en", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.criterium-du-dauphine.fr/en", "class"...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 42.29525169367547, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717786330551
1250
ovals
1717765140000
0
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
6
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "9738m7ev2a", "prob": 0.08731058479017902, "text": "Sepp Kuss", "index": 0, "poolNo": 96.65447434508512, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1010.3645036787242, "textFts": "'kuss':2 'sepp':1", "contractId": "jBFXuX16GZi2exp0D1Gx", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", ...
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/02rbgq9b9a.jpg
1697477345360
0
[{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717444127714}, {"name": "Maillot Jaune", "slug": "maillot-jaune", "groupId": "d35ec746-d3e1-4d79-b4b2-77470ae096c3", "createdTime": 1717444127724}, {"name": "Critérium du Dauphiné", "slug": "criterium-du-dauphine", "gro...
["sports-default", "maillot-jaune", "criterium-du-dauphine", "road-bicycle-racing", "racing-sports"]
0.25
1717761513723
{"aixu6szl0m": 100}
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
True
0
pX5jbtvOL2CCWy0S6a2L
what-will-be-true-about-using-prize
5269.14235236691
What will be true about using prize points at Manifest? [ADD RESPONSES]
1717793940000
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1717444915769
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "On the Discord, ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "cA1JupYR5AR8btHUs2xvkui7jA93", "label": "Gen"}}, {"text": " hinted that it would be useful to have prize points at Manifest:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 70.61817864197458, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717987554888
1450
Ziddletwix
1718031088559
0
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
21
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "wc59vok3of", "prob": 0.06, "text": "There is NO direct way to use prize points at Manifest", "index": 0, "poolNo": 61.91526205689212, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1009.4441648744157, "textFts": "'direct':4 'manifest':11 'point':9 'prize':8 'use':7 'way':5", "contractId...
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…x/1kgxoegb9k.jpg
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1717444916004}, {"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1717444916010}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", ...
["manifold-business-future", "manifest", "economics-default", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-6748e065087e"]
0.25
1717790823965
1718031087047
0.31
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
False
old
0
0.5000000000000011
RLUbnq9M2RyineeqVLsL
{"NO": 999.9999999999978, "YES": 1000.0000000000017}
1
daily-coinflip-8qmbxcwfu4
7800.934260583924
Daily coinflip
1717559940000
gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93
cpmm-1
0
9.57033333971474
True
basic
YES
public
1717445728608
Traveel
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 159)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.4999999999999998}
0
{"creatorFee": 128.12157257770693, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717572559765
1000
Traveel
1717577648986
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c
42
0
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…l/mmsqqa211e.jpg
1674441975928
0
[{"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1717445728970}, {"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1717445728976}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac...
["nonpredictive-profits", "fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"]
0.25
0.5
False
False
1717558531975
1717577648075
0.5
gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93
0
0nylzHrNYwKaIGxtryDy
what-is-value-of-making-donations-t
4190
What is value of making donations to EAG London 2024 eligible for Gift Aid, in GBP?
1727737140000
P2EaAkVx5McWEk36QsFsmMAwxU23
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717445788101
Lovkush Agarwal
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Effective Altruism Global London 2024 happened at the end of May / start of June. It is free for all participants, however, they highly encourage donations as part of the entrance process, but they do not claim Gift Aid on this.", "type": "text"}, ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 56.63741948571934, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1500
LovkushAgarwal
1718721675068
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJcx6nOWKkG12sIAHUy-vW-U45njcfg_42DRrrZYJL7L2Oqxo_flA=s96-c
3
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "2udqw1mtas", "prob": 0.027423768856823526, "text": "0 (donations are not eligible)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 41.9799341254452, "userId": "P2EaAkVx5McWEk36QsFsmMAwxU23", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1488.8065286914566, "textFts": "'0':1 'donat':2 'elig':5", "contractId": "0nylzHrNYwKaIGxtryDy", "createdTime": 171...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…l/4fys5k56wd.jpg
1716492976862
0
[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1717445788475}]
["effective-altruism"]
0.25
1718721672018
1718648298662
False
0
0.5
43PSklecIF9dCRIWixba
{"NO": 993.4080005595946, "YES": 1006.6357422496014}
0.5
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-a90a7j7kry
202
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on May 4 than it closed on May 3?
1717506648635
Ag5nFFSKQAMUyEdcfmon8iy31O12
cpmm-1
0
9.57034013037484
True
basic
MKT
public
1717445918059
Jim Fix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.003306863096760926}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.816472164424633, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717506648635
1000
JimFix
1717506648635
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKby3m-W4SFKUQ-LGikDwd5HxXNONtBgiWy97ne8-tQ=s96-c
3
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…x/q6vvw5al72.jpg
1696775041650
0
[{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1717445918204}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1717445918205}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1...
["stocks", "economics-default", "finance"]
0.25
0.5
1717503131185
1717506197677
0.5
Ag5nFFSKQAMUyEdcfmon8iy31O12
0
nxLnwQ34lNX8eER68HBg
who-is-the-demon
49537.26052020677
Who is the demon?!?! - - - - - - - - - - 🙈🙈🙈🙊😈🙊🙈🙈🙈
1717781673658
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
4zw5rtcxuh
public
1717447024869
Matt F
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only for who is the demon by the end of the game. If the demon dies and it transfers to a minion, the new demon is the winner.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "YOU CAN NOT BET ON YOURSELF YES O...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 748.6684336995445, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717781673658
2500
MattF
1717781673658
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
10
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "up7803zluh", "prob": 0.03473888525044467, "text": "Jackson", "index": 0, "poolNo": 79.0449796115399, "userId": "HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2196.3584779743105, "textFts": "'jackson':1", "contractId": "nxLnwQ34lNX8eER68HBg", "resolverId": "HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12", "createdT...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…F/cy2h13ov6r.jpg
1684457599353
0
[{"name": "LessOnline", "slug": "lessonline", "groupId": "96d9dff6-14de-4d58-9b38-e88ecde26502", "createdTime": 1717447025111}, {"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1717447025112}]
["lessonline", "manifest"]
0.25
1717779957267
1717778981117
{"4zw5rtcxuh": 100}
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
True
prob-desc
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
0
CdJObAUwG692kHDZvZLE
would-some-form-of-distributed-ledg
0
Would some form of distributed ledger/blockchain technology be a preferable settlement backbone in TradFi?
1735718340000
IlFjjkJWHeX82APj8XBaLf6xBzp1
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717447263582
Arcmage7000
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Inspired by this tweet:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://twitter.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1797651567283466516", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/dystopiabrea...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
Arcmage7000
1717447263832
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKKr_9RTvqPbWHRCYxHnS2QoP6rkU7lvKUMekEIaoBhp0Q=s96-c
3
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…0/jwl07984g1.jpg
1700594381266
0
[{"name": "Cryptography", "slug": "cryptography", "groupId": "q82xXEDGUflqiEo7cXcF", "createdTime": 1717447263791}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1717447263794}, {"name": "NYSE", "slug": "nyse", "groupId": "d3a9c972-8f8e-42fb-bb8e-e3d30bdca916", "createdTime":...
["cryptography", "stocks", "nyse", "bitcoin", "berkshire-hathaway"]
0.25
0
0.5000000000000001
slYkBKCtJonn3LjOVSVr
{"NO": 243.69083886522418, "YES": 4103.560087267228}
0.056056308459292166
the-solution-to-fermi-paradoxs-grea
5565.674577436283
The solution to Fermi Paradox's great filter question is that the greater solar system is all inside a petri dish
1720076340000
dauqpzeyV3YzOOiI56ljlYc55Op2
cpmm-1
0
9.905259210057121
False
basic
public
1717447332895
Mikko Kiiskila
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The walls of this petri dish being more sophisitcated than any current observation system made by man, including the ability the ability to create gravity waves. 👽🕵️‍♂️🤔", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.0004912149943233288, "month": -0.0904490536156925}
0
{"creatorFee": 68.23642730406964, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
MikkoKiiskila
1720017045744
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJY6qHeR5pIze2FAatEnDm8vApMZhjH07o8ZoKo-3d7=s96-c
27
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…a/2rnlcs2pag.jpg
1705370034961
0
[{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1717447333120}, {"name": "👽 Aliens", "slug": "aliens", "groupId": "FvhchmbPB3fymwvEFx0G", "createdTime": 1717447333142}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 171744733...
["space", "aliens", "science-default"]
0.25
0.5
1720017042655
1717740902242
0
GE7ZORoLR9uBtzM4RV2s
who-will-placed-highest-on-gc-from-77oaafwbd7
6431.61796167076
Who will place highest on GC from Visma | Lease a Bike at the 2024 Tour de France?
1721620740000
hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717447607383
Eliza
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on the final GC results at the time of the podium presentation after the final stage, according to the Tissot timekeeping page.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the race does not award...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 74.11771318990674, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Eliza
1719857377407
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxZMXWH5aYeQ7DOOhcWF8PL8YW6BbDKyubaXGMnT=s96-c
11
3
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "cwf03twdhh", "prob": 0.7573086236446657, "text": "Jonas Vingegaard", "index": 0, "poolNo": 509.93950233071973, "userId": "hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 163.41807793365984, "textFts": "'jona':1 'vingegaard':2", "contractId": "GE7ZORoLR9uBtzM4RV2s", "createdTime": 1717447607383, "pr...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…a/bycow7mjct.jpg
1680816506031
0
[{"name": "🚲 Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1717447607617}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717447607628}, {"name": "🚲 Peloton Discord", "slug": "peloton-discord", "groupId": "rIVWY1mvCrXz...
["road-bicycle-racing", "sports-default", "peloton-discord", "tour-de-france"]
0.25
1719857372592
1719332429701
True
0
0.5000000000000002
M7rnQci8gT1zIPxqFdI0
{"NO": 101.4389784117245, "YES": 9858.143444043411}
0
will-keith-gill-aka-roaring-kitty-b
11990.5995591393
Will Keith Gill (a.k.a. Roaring Kitty) be kicked off the E*Trade platform by Juneteenth? (June 19th)
1718866740000
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-1
0
9.850231480625137
True
basic
NO
public
1717448722540
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From the WSJ: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/e-trade-considers-kicking-meme-stock-leader-keith-gill-off-platform-f2003ec4?mod=hp_lead_pos1", "class": "break-anywhere hover:und...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.1331956302799688}
0
{"creatorFee": 102.6599306847907, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718890724544
1000
Ziddletwix
1718866740000
0
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
33
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…x/qjenbl0c0e.jpg
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1717448722696}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1717448722699}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "...
["technology-default", "economics-default", "stocks", "meme-stocks", "business"]
0.25
0.5
1718850807088
1718886686327
0.01
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
0
vq5BRGtGKBHgXyqGFQnf
how-did-miri-allocate-funding-betwe
1150
How did MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2023?
1767225540000
K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717450247619
Tetra
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves according to the ratios given in MIRI's Form 990 filing for 2023.", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 19.841046487921957, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Tetraspace
1717549166216
0
https://firebasestorage.…4a7-b7343519b16f
3
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "cx5mvbj9uj", "prob": 0.6888367629498385, "text": "Research", "index": 0, "poolNo": 526.0403095829214, "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 237.62437540025792, "textFts": "'research':1", "contractId": "vq5BRGtGKBHgXyqGFQnf", "createdTime": 1717450247619, "probChanges": {"day": ...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…e/lefm26cyu1.jpg
1642130392212
0
[{"name": "Effective Altruism", "slug": "effective-altruism", "groupId": "znYsWa9eZRkBvSHwmaNz", "createdTime": 1717450247848}, {"name": "🤖❤️ AI Alignment", "slug": "ai-alignment", "groupId": "p8Tmu38lHhN1JQavwAmR", "createdTime": 1717450247852}, {"name": "Machine Intelligence Research Institute", "slug": "machine-int...
["effective-altruism", "ai-alignment", "machine-intelligence-research-insti", "ai"]
0.25
1717549163116
True
0
0.5000000000000001
KG6FHcR9rercPvxCDq8d
{"NO": 701.810026597537, "YES": 1424.88702369803}
0.33
will-brazil-win-copa-america-2024
1098.1828583351348
Will Brazil win Copa America 2024?
1721015940000
cBLCLDDDjIPnfuIdKIE4sXLKgJH3
cpmm-1
0
9.589906451787277
False
basic
public
1717450503426
PedroA
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.020050590299862836}
0
{"creatorFee": 31.476234173737726, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
pa
1719484717248
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtee8W-AS6HtIUteOIjSMBI-pGI8Iq6PnPJYlJs17w=s96-c
13
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…a/t2uk2hvdo4.jpg
1687393389344
0
[{"name": "⚽ Soccer", "slug": "soccer", "groupId": "ypd6vR44ZzJyN9xykx6e", "createdTime": 1717450503567}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717450503571}, {"name": "Brazil", "slug": "brazil-3292d24d179f", "groupId": "ZQt0sCK1Hxn0HVJhH108", "createdTime":...
["soccer", "sports-default", "brazil-3292d24d179f"]
0.25
0.5
1719484714196
0
tguwIRCncwqRCF5Y6NvM
whats-the-best-candy
0
What’s the best candy
UtIb74gUvlaJtzkxTAf69KnQ67I3
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717451823794
Gowtham Senthilkumar
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
GowthamSenthilkumar
1717464007113
0
https://storage.googleap…TAf69KnQ67I3.png
8
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/6pr0kr00y8.jpg
1717105998906
0
[{"name": "Candy", "slug": "candy", "groupId": "82e94708-859b-48d8-ae4a-90d358caf5e0", "createdTime": 1717451824014}]
["candy"]
0.25
1717464006199
0
MhIa7s1Nq64u7MvGJF2L
how-much-will-gpt45-inference-cost
24519.485236658355
How much will gpt-4.5 inference cost?
1735657140000
89PHKCr0tHNvTFhGCfzzRELmUnJ2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.488784168590609
False
plus
public
1717452219903
Sophia Wisdom
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "OpenAI has recently announced that they are training a new frontier-scale model. How much will this model cost?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "By \"gpt-4.5\" here I mean any model that is cle...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 404.22258314978444, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
17500
sophiawisdom
1719250774905
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu25o7GK9K3P1izY1WQteKhc7mIonzLGps5iL73G=s96-c
26
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "3isest3u8s", "prob": 0.5902444966069877, "text": "<$30", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5724.580669620649, "userId": "89PHKCr0tHNvTFhGCfzzRELmUnJ2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3974.0792967633165, "textFts": "'30':1", "contractId": "MhIa7s1Nq64u7MvGJF2L", "createdTime": 1717452219903, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…m/wd38olmf0r.jpg
1666118624432
0
[{"name": "🤖 OpenAI", "slug": "openai", "groupId": "a3ikurqO9fT46Pv9ZGkY", "createdTime": 1717452220214}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1717452220208}]
["openai", "ai"]
0.25
1719250771469
1717885098319
True
0
0.14
Ghw7kwRalZkO5hxdkn0L
{"NO": 947.0589647556171, "YES": 1396.7304299005098}
0.09940815612154326
will-lessonline-may-31june-2-berkel
400
Will "LessOnline (May 31—June 2, Berkeley, CA)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
1769904000000
h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
0
9.936138340631569
False
basic
public
1717453101735
Less Wrong
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom...
BINARY
{"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -1.3877787807814457e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.269570099490323, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
LessWrong
1717611323360
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c
1
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…g/cxbb366lb3.jpg
1706554674237
0
[{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1717453101900}]
["lesswrong-annual-review"]
0.25
0.14
1717611320216
0
0.5000000000000001
j4h8jL02cgr4xvaqBdOW
{"NO": 205.2466564940234, "YES": 4872.186553884828}
0.04042330996584573
will-donald-trump-die-of-causes-nat
22468.623660986395
Will Donald Trump die, of causes natural or not, before election day 2024?
1730869140000
m5K4FlZLo0aeDd5Z7W4xX3TAGHs1
cpmm-1
0
9.268404150144178
False
basic
public
1717455788487
Jeff Berman
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.005145773046706867}
0
{"creatorFee": 124.08743937021535, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
JeffBerman
1718468898241
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJs_c1tZ1T6PMCtwsXu9NiUuQCqnjN1hMqXJXkPgADYqnQ=s96-c
47
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/9jwa01z1lu.jpg
1707850952840
0
[{"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1717455788639}, {"name": "👴 Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1717455788643}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "g...
["2024-us-presidential-election", "donald-trump", "us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1718468895189
1717506588128
0
FXtpcxBD8icaPblGqiZP
lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-93
265.6704713360971
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 93)
1717624740000
v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1717455955442
komplexkonjugat
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 4.779058993584098, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717626572682
1100
komplexkonjugat
1717776612467
0
https://firebasestorage.…51b-bd51663a85a0
2
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "bd31833k33", "prob": 0.84, "text": "Execute all instructions in @MattCWilson's comment on this answer.", "index": 0, "poolNo": 229.12878474778898, "userId": "rPIxt0FOF6PWHTakglyn88p1dGY2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 43.64357804719899, "textFts": "'answer':10 'comment':7 'execut':1 'instruct':3 'mattcwilson':...
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/wqueqdba7t.jpg
1698548141721
0
[{"name": "ManifoldPlaysCiv6", "slug": "manifoldplaysciv6", "groupId": "5fb3f729-faaa-425d-9c1b-c04c78abe1b4", "createdTime": 1717455955609}, {"name": "🎮 Gaming", "slug": "gaming", "groupId": "5FaFmmaNNFTSA5r0vTAi", "createdTime": 1717455955604}]
["manifoldplaysciv6", "gaming"]
0.25
1717620758218
1717776611096
0.84
v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2
False
0
0.5
X8WbxsroQcEhEr2sIrdw
{"NO": 953.8819365450188, "YES": 1048.3477689304211}
0
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-x8ft6sx76h
50
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 36 and 37?
1717986487818
8oYk5oEiFQUW7v5383FwzFL6Xab2
cpmm-1
0
9.570679451372035
True
basic
NO
public
1717457540880
dwax
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A break can be any amount of time, enough for Shonen Jump to state at the end of chapters if there will be a break before the next one.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "“YES” = “Yes, there will be a break after chapt...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.4764098414564849}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.6522310695789, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717986494650
1000
dwax
1717986487818
0
https://firebasestorage.…35a-f30dc5e92bd8
1
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…ax/mkplb1x54.jpg
1708101936708
0
[{"name": "Manga", "slug": "manga", "groupId": "0e0wvkjcHdblLOdaK9jp", "createdTime": 1717457541026}, {"name": "Release Dates", "slug": "release-dates", "groupId": "cc227156-11f9-445d-88cf-f6e760cbdb86", "createdTime": 1717457541043}, {"name": "Kagurabachi", "slug": "kagurabachi", "groupId": "b18069db-cb98-4bc7-85d4-2f...
["manga", "release-dates", "kagurabachi", "anime"]
0.25
0.5
1717541824544
0.48
8oYk5oEiFQUW7v5383FwzFL6Xab2
0
0.5
rvIHmBlcS0jivG1UOuj4
{"NO": 782.8813612588133, "YES": 1277.3327473170111}
0.38
will-an-american-win-the-first-gold
1629.8086172579701
Will an American win the first gold medal in breakdancing (either men's or women's)?
1723435140000
9GvIXLtI42XrGhWIeT3h9L6NIpA2
cpmm-1
0
9.579659397464736
False
basic
public
1717457578434
Michael
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Breaking will be an ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Olympic sport", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://olympics.com/en/paris-2024/sports/breaking", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-4...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.3115179122985099}
0
{"creatorFee": 48.84404531020842, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
burkh4rt
1718154341971
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKv31Whhbh-4wrvOPbGM9zLTlznsRJp_8zkd0nrodHyg6za=s96-c
13
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/zjj0j7mtkf.jpg
1706719887452
0
[{"name": "2024 Summer Olympics", "slug": "2024-summer-olympics", "groupId": "q6FVZCgJy5BrIrMvIlXM", "createdTime": 1717457578628}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717457578643}, {"name": "Olympics", "slug": "olympics", "groupId": "WdIYm7PwGLqo1N1zVtEF...
["2024-summer-olympics", "sports-default", "olympics"]
0.25
0.5
1718154338797
0
relV2lwfGhS6lidLe726
test-neo0bnyvzt
0
test
ldIRwMPTG6d0kO3LyWew5ZQBWc33
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717458066384
DottedCalculator
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
DottedCalculator
1717458066542
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhl-l-m_d_iYt1ungYnm52eXosXMHPxnWCzTyaJr7cLA=s96-c
11
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/0t09r3ayqj.jpg
1695606478731
0
[{"name": "testing", "slug": "testing", "groupId": "Lokp5JWIA0BDlEPePSfS", "createdTime": 1717458066542}]
["testing"]
0.25
0
nJbjxL5CkbrUYEPMQDEc
who-is-the-demon-at-the-start
35139.10970940492
Who is the demon at the start?
1717462760241
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
bx0t69t5p0
public
1717458214874
Matt F
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 207.19775790734428, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717462760241
3000
MattF
1717462760241
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYf96igKYDAeeCDmrp2xMBcvOR_WlVaHNpyCQbonQ=s96-c
6
0
ONLY_CREATOR
[{"id": "d3ywwrvn68", "prob": 0.013733545266473161, "text": "Tanner", "index": 0, "poolNo": 53.36900636985081, "userId": "HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3832.6637211107363, "textFts": "'tanner':1", "contractId": "nJbjxL5CkbrUYEPMQDEc", "resolverId": "HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12", "createdT...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…F/6jvu1lv5mx.jpg
1684457599353
0
[{"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b36dc89797a", "createdTime": 1717458215266}, {"name": "LessOnline", "slug": "lessonline", "groupId": "96d9dff6-14de-4d58-9b38-e88ecde26502", "createdTime": 1717458215268}]
["manifest-2024", "lessonline"]
0.25
1717462748984
{"bx0t69t5p0": 100}
HLgyulVrkGNPH4K7WHM1Tz25lR12
True
0
0.5
ZswzVIdziXRt04eNQp5l
{"NO": 1000, "YES": 1000}
0.5
are-you-happy-with-youre-life
0
Are you happy with you’re life?
1717460360383
INF6kpcRCldtxUKD54YVHlUcbw92
cpmm-1
0
9.570333339714711
True
basic
CANCEL
public
1717460303643
Casey The Grip Lord
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717460360383
1000
CaseyTheGripLord
1717460360383
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJ1E9ECVvoorolYIyCKfr_-sNB-49YO-HpqFJHbM9IzTPIYiZeD=s96-c
0
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…d/58brotqw5o.jpg
1715975256334
True
0
[{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1717460303789}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1717460303799}]
["economics-default", "culture-default"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
INF6kpcRCldtxUKD54YVHlUcbw92
0
aGuXvjUPK8bYaOwTv8zw
who-will-you-vote-for-in-2024-presi
0
Who will you vote for in 2024? (Presidential Election)
1733029140000
WSC5NWEmAEXhUdSXeOoJYvzCkGO2
none
0
1000000
False
public
1717461547756
Hillary Clinton
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To see any the makeup of Manifold users, and possible intrinsic bias.", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
HillaryClinton
1717461547930
0
https://firebasestorage.…d4f-ddf881047e95
37
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/ag6vgafz4i.jpg
1713377673183
0
[{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1717461547920}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1717461547918}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-el...
["the-life-of-biden", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election", "politics-default"]
0.25
0
0.5226242059147164
5YezCByyU3Pn3vaieURY
{"NO": 9534.179705829712, "YES": 10436.185978630734}
1
will-florida-panthers-beat-edmonton
6116.039841311226
Will Florida Panthers beat Edmonton Oilers in the Stanley Cup Finals (Prediction Market)
1719273600000
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
cpmm-1
0
2.733957778477694
True
plus
YES
public
1717461578375
Keenen W
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=Edmonton+Oilers+vs+Florida+Panthers", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.43097243853120526}
0
{"creatorFee": 201.8159314235613, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719284221609
10000
KeenenW
1719273600000
0
https://firebasestorage.…a82-90bc3d0d0fbb
41
0
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…W/mkmfefaxf2.jpg
1697247005528
0
[{"name": "Edmonton Oilers", "slug": "edmonton-oilers", "groupId": "156daa78-b50d-407d-9ca2-8528f485cb89", "createdTime": 1717461578555}, {"name": "Ice Hockey", "slug": "ice-hockey", "groupId": "68ee6874-3058-4c8f-ae72-5b8a764c8741", "createdTime": 1717461578558}, {"name": "Hockey", "slug": "hockey", "groupId": "tYP9jm...
["edmonton-oilers", "ice-hockey", "hockey", "sports-default", "sports-betting"]
0.25
0.5
1719265528869
1719025240571
0.5
X1xu1kvOxuevx09xuR2urWfzf7i1
0
0.5
UxSql8evIzb4d7BrLDKo
{"NO": 1000, "YES": 1000}
0.5
test-7zk1ls9hkw
0
Test
1717635545452
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
cpmm-1
0
9.570333339714711
True
basic
CANCEL
public
1717462425925
Blomfilter
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 1}, "content": [{"text": "title", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "blockquote", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Quote", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "###### THING", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "para...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717635545452
1000
Blomfilter
1717635545452
0
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
0
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/ksk3ie8ulm.jpg
1677201572009
True
0
0.25
0.5
0.5
eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
0
0.5000000000000003
nMqRMrssR4GT8UeJ9Cpf
{"NO": 828.986541628421, "YES": 1206.2922011202381}
0.40730860310016753
will-apple-release-an-apple-ring-be
1721.5229137775757
Will Apple release an Apple Ring before 2030?
1893484740000
ntQa9hKfnRMdPyy4C242tPykGXg1
cpmm-1
0
9.53114182717584
False
basic
public
1717465685070
Dwaxe
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Samsung recently released the Galaxy Ring, a wearable with health features. The Apple watch is a wearable with health features, and it's been a success for them. Is an Apple Ring likely?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -0.19269139689983233}
0
{"creatorFee": 50.94049152184314, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Dwaxe
1718646140149
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GjJ6tgn98yYchUQgck8HyjzyvkYhq5czx8soxoztQ=s96-c
26
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…e/9awugtjdi7.jpg
1640662829417
0
[{"name": "🍎 Apple", "slug": "apple", "groupId": "OgtvgALKKOXZ2zOSdDih", "createdTime": 1717465685222}, {"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1717465685228}, {"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1717465685234}, {...
["apple", "culture-default", "ai", "technology-default"]
0.25
0.5
1718646137020
0
Gr4AQuaVVkfH73EGgTvk
to-which-is-the-last-round-that-tay-z5oi1eclm8
3321.7164174644954
To which is the last round that Taylor Fritz will advance in the 2024 Wimbledon tournament? 🎾
1720764000000
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717466022941
Stuart Slagle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 1:00 AM CT on the morning of scheduled semifinal match and will be resolved with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.atptour.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 31.864138109872655, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
693.3507407063837
1000
ovals
1720179287118
0
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
8
3
DISABLED
[{"id": "rpcpferfz2", "prob": 0.02725026967749313, "text": "F", "index": 0, "poolNo": 34.16482668140038, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1219.5778733263796, "textFts": "'f':1", "contractId": "Gr4AQuaVVkfH73EGgTvk", "createdTime": 1717466022941, "probChanges": {"day": 0.00204891127...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/cux3kuy9e1.jpg
1697477345360
0
[{"name": "ATP Tour", "slug": "atp-tour", "groupId": "a841d448-0950-41ba-a122-91322746e7dc", "createdTime": 1717466023096}, {"name": "Wimbledon", "slug": "wimbledon", "groupId": "kOaY8BjgZulDosGFDpPy", "createdTime": 1717466023101}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "cr...
["atp-tour", "wimbledon", "sports-default", "tennis", "taylor-fritz"]
0.25
1720179283603
True
new
0
0.5000000000000002
VQyvWUhZv8C7J6iedVsU
{"NO": 945.6256134561801, "YES": 1057.5009663127537}
0.47207481694205317
will-kier-starmer-be-uk-prime-minis
670
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
1893455940000
7L0vEaY5mghx33qU9XQBwXg25x73
cpmm-1
0
9.57081865416884
False
basic
public
1717467315974
Ponti Min
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is PM on 31 December 2029. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Note that this is at least 2 general elections away from when this question was created (4 June 2024) ...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.05852203093564584}
0
{"creatorFee": 22.503173864880434, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
PontiMin
1719496983656
0
https://firebasestorage.…f96-5cea3ea8064d
9
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/dhx8lac4p5.jpg
1715223406669
0
[{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1717467316131}, {"name": "Labour Party (UK)", "slug": "labour-party-uk", "groupId": "a35479ab-848a-4d47-bbcf-21224112466d", "createdTime": 1717467316139}]
["uk-politics", "labour-party-uk"]
0.25
0.5
1719496980599
1717471026336
0
PI0OmLxNaB7wr2dD0raC
boston-celtics-dallas-mavericks-cor
17980.52264234427
Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks Correct Score after Game 4
1718420898104
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1717468137838
Base
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "multiple Answers can be correct for example the Boston Celtics lead 3:1 then Boston Celtics in the lead and Celtics 3:1 Mavericks resolves to yes", "type": "text"}]}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 198.93578919698933, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718420904046
1000
Base
1718420898104
0
https://firebasestorage.…816-54142cec3137
35
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "2k530tyunq", "prob": 1, "text": "Boston Celtics in the lead", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2908.211397144376, "userId": "dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 7.0174277170308414, "textFts": "'boston':1 'celtic':2 'lead':5", "contractId": "PI0OmLxNaB7wr2dD0raC", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId":...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…e/jq17i54yir.jpg
1690298751650
0
[{"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb", "createdTime": 1717468137993}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1717468137996}, {"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 17174...
["nba", "sports-betting", "basketball", "20232024-nba-season", "sports-default"]
0.25
1718420888436
0.99
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
False
dbvXEVfpL3ZdosjUsddWedWYeX22
0
oINQhJX0BgLTfbLs0giM
nhl-stanley-cup-florida-panthers-vs
23163.828516337064
NHL Stanley Cup: Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers (Exact Series Outcome)
1719284214012
dYLpkCCilcRnDhTXK5eSX0oHK3x1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
plus
MKT
public
1717469757931
ReeMARKable
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 277.9005210533986, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719284214012
10000
ReeMARKable
1719284214012
0
https://firebasestorage.…198-b06ea07e9f66
35
11
DISABLED
[{"id": "a958f2n8k5", "prob": 1, "text": "Panthers win 4-3", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1946.3886318857826, "userId": "dYLpkCCilcRnDhTXK5eSX0oHK3x1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 8.189209508173917, "textFts": "'-3':4 '4':3 'panther':1 'win':2", "contractId": "oINQhJX0BgLTfbLs0giM", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "dYLpkC...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…e/lqm81tcr2x.jpg
1697544913258
0
[{"name": "NHL 🏒", "slug": "nhl", "groupId": "lccgApXa1l7O5ZH3XfhH", "createdTime": 1717469758076}, {"name": "Sports Betting", "slug": "sports-betting", "groupId": "b3ll9Ch9rdbcrTRAbjUf", "createdTime": 1717469758080}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1...
["nhl", "sports-betting", "sports-default", "entertainment", "hockey"]
0.25
1719284095099
1717474913665
1
dYLpkCCilcRnDhTXK5eSX0oHK3x1
False
0
0.5000000000000001
AoU4ll9cJRizjSBIcdol
{"NO": 1134.142574041327, "YES": 881.7233590276649}
1
will-the-wining-summercamp-hackatho
330
Will the wining Summercamp Hackathon Project use LLMs/an LLM?
1717798821804
FwUZ6ImOMmY5Tc5RlxL6dammsuU2
cpmm-1
0
9.572794875562664
True
basic
YES
public
1717469821841
Louis
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will clarify criterion if needed. Resolves yes if the winning project uses LLMs for its functionality (during running). Does not count if LLMs were used for the project's creation or for the initial idea. Resolves N/A if no projects are presented f...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.4373918644903695}
0
{"creatorFee": 10.853697840333474, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717798821804
1000
Thunderstar
1717799667852
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5i5tRwQycrz57qr_9mtg-51AflSWl8S2-Y_93f6Q=s96-c
6
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/kpl7b6m7dz.jpg
1676485420191
0
[{"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1717469822037}]
["manifest"]
0.25
0.5
1717578025773
1717799666765
0.56
FwUZ6ImOMmY5Tc5RlxL6dammsuU2
0
0.5000000000000001
XCE51rZ0nisA3falGLy2
{"NO": 720.1092159232209, "YES": 1388.6782419774242}
0.3414802251527564
does-janssens-cd59-gene-therapy-for
400
Does Janssen's CD59 gene therapy for age-related macular degeneration work?
1875855540000
Iar7J99RNHSqh3FFi3CERKhkQv23
cpmm-1
0
9.587151163931548
False
basic
public
1717469902647
William Ehlhardt
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.jnj.com/media-center/press-releases/janssen-announces-late-breaking-data-from-two-gene-therapy-programs-at-the-american-academy-of-ophthalmology-2022-annual-meeting", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https:/...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.016268459209981656, "month": -0.016268459209981656}
0
{"creatorFee": 11.321758022575802, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
WilliamEhlhardt
1719727318228
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhIt4otiuT2URGdpXkfphc7Dd1YGXK9gzUx5RHztA=s96-c
2
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/6la1v8jmly.jpg
1649237269951
0
0.25
0.5
1719727315128
0
0.5000000000000003
dUtnFcwdGF5ERqH5wosk
{"NO": 432.2335742716032, "YES": 2313.5639143377343}
0.15741640673235402
will-faustino-oro-become-world-ches
1725.6036686523626
Will Faustino Oro become world chess champion by 2040?
2240726340000
JljMq9ITGFVYhXqKk1oS1MtmXf83
cpmm-1
0
9.690549585681474
False
basic
public
1717470965387
mr_mino
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the chess prodigy Faustino Oro becomes world chess champion by 2040, and NO otherwise.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "From ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Wikipedia:", "type": "...
BINARY
{"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.24371120300132898}
0
{"creatorFee": 30.040523400907176, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
mr_mino
1719378730111
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIhpVDFQAVKbt-9Od9WSi01Lp_CQJnMybA5BxSxLa6a=s96-c
11
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…o/wa69b1qfcm.jpg
1700547753036
0
[{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1717470965542}]
["chess"]
0.25
0.5
1719378727037
0
0.5000000000000006
l9WmjlsbIIa8tyhVICTk
{"NO": 100.50378152592066, "YES": 9949.87437106616}
0
will-canadas-liberal-party-win-the
13253.76696846875
Will Canada's Liberal Party win the June 24th federal by-election for Toronto-St. Paul's?
1719335046275
GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1
cpmm-1
0
9.849721441923073
True
basic
NO
public
1717471098538
cshunter
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The federal riding of Toronto-St. Paul's is holding ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "a by-election", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Toronto%E2%80%94St._Paul%27s_federal_by-election", "c...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.7281114456728709}
0
{"creatorFee": 185.5296940198592, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719335046275
1000
cash
1719335046275
0
https://firebasestorage.…8e4-4df3e286b14e
18
14
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…h/h90ole3m5a.jpg
1669744545591
0
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1717471098686}, {"name": "🌍 World", "slug": "world-default", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1717471098688}, {"name": "Canadian Politics", "slug": "canadian-politics", "groupId": "XUjgI120xjTU5n382...
["politics-default", "world-default", "canadian-politics", "justin-trudeau", "canada"]
0.25
0.5
1719327571756
1719335038693
0.01
GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1
0
0.5
pYBXUhGQ6CooqsNrO2Dn
{"NO": 1000, "YES": 1000}
0.5
test-question1
0
TEST question1
1717471258795
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
cpmm-1
0
9.570333339714711
True
basic
CANCEL
public
1717471233687
Blomfilter
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "test paragaph100", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717471258795
1000
Blomfilter
1717471258795
0
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
0
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/gqhuvs9msr.jpg
1677201572009
True
0
0.25
0.5
0.5
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
0
0.5
lsMxgp5WpPR2GeiAYD9f
{"NO": 1000, "YES": 1000}
0.5
test-question1-m27cbut3an
0
TEST question1
1717473506398
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
cpmm-1
0
9.570333339714711
True
basic
CANCEL
public
1717473142994
Blomfilter
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "test paragaph100", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717473506398
1000
Blomfilter
1717473506398
0
https://firebasestorage.…45c-6f0fb44c4e70
0
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/mn8wfornn4.jpg
1677201572009
True
0
0.25
0.5
0.5
UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1
0
z7ErKWtF5q5Uuy5vhOye
how-many-medals-will-the-us-womens
438
How many medals will the US women's artistic gymnastics team win at the 2024 Olympics?
1722581940000
Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717473674553
Ziddletwix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "2020 Olympics", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gymnastics_at_the_2020_Summer_Olympics#Artistic_gymnastics", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline h...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 8.080612651638466, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
2000
Ziddletwix
1719891256301
0
https://firebasestorage.…983-3ba213ef2b96
5
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "6zpe3qkqrp", "prob": 0.13502149152169934, "text": "<5", "index": 0, "poolNo": 184.1693469398243, "userId": "Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1179.8308937938991, "textFts": "'5':1", "contractId": "z7ErKWtF5q5Uuy5vhOye", "createdTime": 1717473674554, "probChanges": {"day": 2.7755575615...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…x/umjau01zj2.jpg
1680369520541
0
[{"name": "2024 Summer Olympics", "slug": "2024-summer-olympics", "groupId": "q6FVZCgJy5BrIrMvIlXM", "createdTime": 1717473674720}, {"name": "Athletics", "slug": "athletics", "groupId": "NGvSDFGfvMUpsDoIl6hD", "createdTime": 1717473674731}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQARE...
["2024-summer-olympics", "athletics", "sports-default", "olympics"]
0.25
1717529042592
1719891254543
True
0
0.5000000000000001
NU72Pp11lFbFyVFrmHvk
{"NO": 717.7405625652733, "YES": 1393.2610920384718}
0.3400000000000001
will-new-york-state-bill-to-regulat
1999.0154857250463
Will New York State bill to "regulate social media algorithms for children" be implemented in 2024?
1735707540000
iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122
cpmm-1
0
9.587492009694252
False
basic
public
1717477058228
Niko
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F4OBrqFtbxD.50?alt=media&token=e052c9ee-e939-4caa-bf74-fa9da4c16901", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.1320463214258162}
0
{"creatorFee": 41.75624724917105, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
Moscow25
1719105205138
0
https://firebasestorage.…c7e-93270a85b3ad
13
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…5/oluqgswxtc.jpg
1715368331856
0
[{"name": "Legislation", "slug": "legislation", "groupId": "BStefYQfU9Xhfsh2d4Jg", "createdTime": 1717477058375}, {"name": "New York", "slug": "new-york", "groupId": "WHYL7vwzRusHiIbe3uRu", "createdTime": 1717477058381}, {"name": "Internet Censorship", "slug": "internet-censorship", "groupId": "xc7qnOtTOi1dJ336sUJe", "...
["legislation", "new-york", "internet-censorship"]
0.25
0.5
1719105202109
1718946159358
0
0.5000000000000002
X7AcP3q4aEbyvjuM8uge
{"NO": 148.2476155109489, "YES": 6745.471059034628}
0
will-keith-gill-exercise-all-his-ju
12401.042435972024
Will Keith Gill exercise all his June 21st $20 calls?
1718313397265
7Bj5HMJ0odhpaAOakIX7ZuiHx9x2
cpmm-1
0
9.872699473961871
True
basic
NO
public
1717477350244
Nav
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Keith Gill aka The Roaring Kitty/deepfuckingvalue has 120,000 calls for June 21st 2024.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "He sold 79,990 calls to exercise the rest 40,010 and now has 9 M shares....
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.3186571836161448}
0
{"creatorFee": 180.36726246784855, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718313397265
1000
navitron32
1718313486307
0
https://firebasestorage.…578-afd9626400c9
18
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…2/o3x7pn3d7c.jpg
1690944834818
0
[{"name": "Meme Stocks", "slug": "meme-stocks", "groupId": "524e08a3-3589-4267-9009-818d6c89cfa4", "createdTime": 1717477350411}]
["meme-stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1718313355723
1718313484697
0.02
7Bj5HMJ0odhpaAOakIX7ZuiHx9x2
0
9re3xe1soLUwdOEudDno
who-will-be-the-next-person-to-win
5910.111199314821
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
1861948740000
oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2
cpmm-multi-1
0
5.833830164183873
False
plus
public
1717478496325
barak
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to whoever is next elected to the office, other than Nancy Pelosi, regardless if they are ever seated. Includes special elections. Expires before the next redisticting cycle; will be resolved N/A if no one wins the seat other than Pelosi b...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 44.35297622981512, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
11000
barak
1718394270074
0
https://firebasestorage.…490-ba585c49c2ba
10
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "hoh8sqeryl", "prob": 0.6637553232639553, "text": "Scott Wiener", "index": 0, "poolNo": 4256.31971426676, "userId": "oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2156.163267167878, "textFts": "'scott':1 'wiener':2", "contractId": "9re3xe1soLUwdOEudDno", "createdTime": 1717478496326, "probChanges"...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…k/vp7kbpancy.jpg
1646980755807
0
[{"name": "SF Politics", "slug": "sf-politics", "groupId": "d3fa0f86-fa3d-40c2-8925-7c397749493d", "createdTime": 1717478496483}, {"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsORflUYGveLSX", "createdTime": 1717478496487}, {"name": "🏛 118th Congress", "slug": "118th-congress", "groupId": "tO4QD...
["sf-politics", "san-francisco", "118th-congress", "us-politics"]
0.25
1718394266948
1717513814887
True
prob-desc
0
0.5000000000000006
xluTK5DYPfZI8Ke1KlvC
{"NO": 101.34683251725028, "YES": 9867.106599802059}
0
will-portugal-beat-croatia-on-sat-j
13924.54608347768
Will Portugal 🇵🇹 beat Croatia 🇭🇷 on Sat, Jun 8, 2024? - Men's International Friendly ⚽
1717879660822
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
cpmm-1
0
9.850181355651552
True
basic
NO
public
1717480384609
DAC
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "📅 Date: Saturday, June 8, 2024 ⏰ Start Time (UTC): 17:45", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🏆 Competition: Men's International Friendly", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "🔑 Market Resol...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.52270942131301}
0
{"creatorFee": 176.1690883318313, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717879660822
1000
DaAdCh
1717879660822
0
https://firebasestorage.…909-4a3973c6b0af
33
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…h/gk67lsr6t7.jpg
1704630344002
0
[{"name": "Soccer Friendlies", "slug": "soccer-friendlies", "groupId": "787e1d35-6553-4c6b-a5b5-fd90b3391601", "createdTime": 1717480384766}, {"name": "⚽ 🏈 Football", "slug": "football", "groupId": "Vcf6CYTTSXAiStbKSqQq", "createdTime": 1717480384773}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlg...
["soccer-friendlies", "football", "sports-default", "soccer"]
0.25
0.5
1717872094205
1717879650324
0.01
gVSlIZ8HxnSaBeCLyhIaQ4F5TVw1
0
RmF6tAOKRK0RgZXvKse1
what-event-will-happen-first-starli
9435.470602520336
What Event Will Happen First: Starliner Flight OR Starship Flight Or NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?
1717600147443
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
plus
o9n3y9ss15
public
1717480555467
SirCryptomind
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "What Event Will Happen First: Starliner Flight OR Starship Flight Or NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Starliner Launch Schedule Attempts", "type":...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 65.58494919914885, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717600147443
10000
SirCryptomind
1717600147443
0
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
12
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "o9n3y9ss15", "prob": 0.990387019899546, "text": "Starliner Flight", "color": "#cddc39", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2930.1025826571995, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 28.440414962455407, "textFts": "'flight':2 'starlin':1", "contractId": "RmF6tAOKRK0RgZXvKse1", "resolverId": "...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…d/jj8wgh3ik2.jpg
1673375788573
0
[{"name": "🚀 Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNISetqsEh", "createdTime": 1717480555650}, {"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1717480555648}, {"name": "NHL 🏒", "slug": "nhl", "groupId": "lccgApXa1l7O5ZH3XfhH", "createdTime": 1717480555651}, ...
["spacex", "formula-1", "nhl", "sports-default", "space"]
0.25
1717599306325
1717596653838
{"o9n3y9ss15": 100}
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
True
0
5bspd4Kx9spEydEU9GHe
what-event-will-happen-first-nhl-ch
98220.20631667566
What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?
1719286540070
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
cpmm-multi-1
0
8.452944256722743
True
plus
k77zn27s6t
public
1717480868312
SirCryptomind
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 2}, "content": [{"text": "What Event Will Happen First: NHL Champion is Crowned OR Verstappen <1 Finish?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Best Of 7 NHL Games To Determine Champion.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "li...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 526.2367562288032, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719286540070
10000
SirCryptomind
1720053161621
0
https://firebasestorage.…340-2fe2428b1394
39
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "p44in5d31s", "prob": 0.004481470919971825, "text": "Verstappen Not 1st Place Finish", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 133.13011244981863, "userId": "OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 29573.659204539792, "textFts": "'1st':3 'finish':5 'place':4 'verstappen':1", "contractId": ...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…d/bvkwfj6vzj.jpg
1673375788573
0
[{"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717480868486}, {"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "createdTime": 1717480868493}, {"name": "NHL 🏒", "slug": "nhl", "groupId": "lccgApXa1l7O5ZH3XfhH", "createdTime": 1717480...
["sports-default", "formula-1", "nhl"]
0.25
1719273961065
1719153810777
{"k77zn27s6t": 100}
OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2
True
0
0.5000000000000003
RuKLhFEq2k2sDdw1rXkt
{"NO": 10.050378152592089, "YES": 994.9874371066197}
0
will-manifold-remove-the-play-marke
2481.538644631294
Will Manifold remove the "Play" market tier by the end of June?
1719861857019
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1717483914907
Savior of Plant
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "You can now create \"Play\" markets for 100 mana. Is this feature here to stay?", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": -0.04720270526847452, "month": -0.12944668671355877}
0
{"creatorFee": 31.419855800771586, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719861857019
100
SaviorofPlant
1719861857019
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c
38
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/vbj1jxvyoj.jpg
1698371327350
0
[{"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "manifold-business-future", "groupId": "aGIBFhmmK82IYTv136ib", "createdTime": 1717483915056}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1717483915060}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-...
["manifold-business-future", "manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"]
0.25
0.5
1719861843932
1717547197505
0.01
FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1
0
0.5000000000000001
m6cRGqip2U63BQzzP2OC
{"NO": 12.31908207341587, "YES": 811.7487926782786}
0
will-a-person-commonly-featured-on
776
Will a person commonly featured on death markets die during Summer Camp or Manifest?
1718087945566
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
NO
public
1717484371058
nikki
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jimmy Carter, King Charles, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, etc.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In case of a dispute, resolves to my judgement. I will not bet in this.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.080527920968557}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.5787163573539935, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718087945566
100
nikki
1718087945566
0
https://firebasestorage.…3b3-20f4f646b970
6
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…i/95q867menw.jpg
1678327601414
0
[{"name": "🔮 Manifest", "slug": "manifest", "groupId": "319ffc9e-7194-4bfb-8f1b-54d826d036e3", "createdTime": 1717484371207}, {"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b36dc89797a", "createdTime": 1717484371201}]
["manifest", "manifest-2024"]
0.25
0.5
1718087579581
1718030784086
0.01
Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2
0
0.5
53ktgAxZRLtkICMSeFld
{"NO": 100, "YES": 100}
0.5
test-6vvc5d9yt5
0
test
1717485398997
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
CANCEL
public
1717485383585
Bayesian
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717485398997
100
Bayesian
1717485398997
0
https://firebasestorage.…b4b-99938a8b4ab3
0
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/fffe2o4lqc.jpg
1656040913178
0
[{"name": "testing", "slug": "testing", "groupId": "Lokp5JWIA0BDlEPePSfS", "createdTime": 1717485383714}]
["testing"]
0.25
0.5
0.5
srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2
0
0.5
Fn7TqxwRgSh1zJIgRsB7
{"NO": 101.1527397354214, "YES": 98.8603969220839}
0.5057304806365365
how-much-will-it-cost-to-create-a-m
115
How much will it cost to create a market on Manifold by EOY 2024 (minimal cost)
1735685940000
QMF5wTqvWefYwLScsyDnxl4ORdq1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1717485828076
Gaston Kessler
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to x% where x=minimal cost/10 or x=100 if the minimal cost is higher than 1000 Mana.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.8208403531428172, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
GastonKessler
1717534031106
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJLS-aCC3U5ebLUDvs8zzjKoHIGvM8SGDPz6U2ea5X1=s96-c
6
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/4rah085xwq.jpg
1702761965647
0
[{"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1717485828240}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1717485828243}, {"name": "Mana", "slug": "mana", "groupId": "bL97jpIvPZgeb...
["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "manifold-6748e065087e", "mana", "manifold-adoption"]
0.25
0.5
1717534027980
0
0.5000000000000002
Tketanh4aGZwo9iqI8jl
{"NO": 89.93853809628116, "YES": 111.18704185846109}
0.44717602861117606
will-there-be-a-third-party-us-pres-5cqfsg2bt5
110
Will there be a third party US president before 2100.
4102527540000
QMF5wTqvWefYwLScsyDnxl4ORdq1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1717486011885
Gaston Kessler
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if a US President is elected before 01/01/2100 and isn't part of the Democratic party or the Grand Old Party at the beginning of his mandate. If the name of one of these two main parties changes, they still aren't comsidered third part...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17}
0
{"creatorFee": 3.6727710310626667, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
GastonKessler
1717531266648
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJLS-aCC3U5ebLUDvs8zzjKoHIGvM8SGDPz6U2ea5X1=s96-c
6
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/auxgdpbiju.jpg
1702761965647
0
[{"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "createdTime": 1717486012028}, {"name": "Elections", "slug": "elections", "groupId": "i5JOzjrK5ZMHPSkhgzoi", "createdTime": 1717486012023}, {"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "gr...
["2024-us-presidential-election", "elections", "politics-default", "robert-f-kennedy-jr", "us-politics"]
0.25
0.5
1717514722824
1717531265283
0
0.5
JskTAw3czKGHBW7D9y9U
{"NO": 100.50378152592202, "YES": 9949.874371066195}
0
will-the-nikkei-225-close-on-june-4
9007.088836250387
Will the Nikkei 225 close on June 4th higher than its previous day close?
1717489190880
PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3
cpmm-1
0
9.849721441923041
True
basic
NO
public
1717489169058
RiskOptimization
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 57.21446518419113, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717489190880
1000
RiskOptimization
1717489190880
0
https://firebasestorage.…10a-45d742b0b831
1
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/uivvd5t6ho.jpg
1705974765884
0
[{"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1717489169199}, {"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1717489169202}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1...
["finance", "economics-default", "stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1717489178031
0.01
PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3
0
PqUHmGF921vb1Dpmo3fz
manifold-makes-a-cake-ingredients-p
0
Manifold makes a vegan cake: ingredients proportioned as below.
1720130340000
VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63
none
0
1000000
True
public
1717489467480
Madge
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will actually make the resulting cake at market close. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Note that my cake is slightly different from the tumblr cake because it will be vegan. I have chosen n...
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1720130340165
Mad
1720155166798
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c
131
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…d/7fwzumt6cu.jpg
1691486901832
0
[{"name": "Cooking", "slug": "cooking", "groupId": "f73f4a9f-57d0-44f4-b505-574065c56da7", "createdTime": 1717489467609}, {"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1717489467617}, {"name": "💪 Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "crea...
["cooking", "food", "personal-goals", "fun", "vegan"]
0.25
1720155165684
["bt1bibis3w"]
0
fD7rBvdUD5b9m2rQdOr2
what-will-be-true-of-the-cake-that
10470.094882602123
What will be true of the cake that manifold makes? [ADD RESPONSES]
1720735140000
VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717489668844
Madge
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "iframe", "attrs": {"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/Mad/manifold-makes-a-cake-ingredients-p", "frameBorder": 0}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on the above poll I will make a cake. What will the cake be like? Please add responses!", "type": "text"}]}, {"t...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 112.35643312755015, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
660.0549933766329
1660
Mad
1720220740867
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTte8_eF79qvYqWfwsUrbabHSKNfFlLcBDrV4NU24H1KAMmev=s96-c
59
12
ANYONE
[{"id": "8smyti9b8l", "prob": 0.14456475112823067, "text": "It will resemble a cake AND it will taste good", "index": 0, "poolNo": 23.44000601962188, "userId": "VkyRaWYyvkY3DhipDo1ZQBmrXr63", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 138.70191195615297, "textFts": "'cake':5 'good':10 'resembl':3 'tast':9", "contractId": "fD7rBvdUD5...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…d/zmwo42qpea.jpg
1691486901832
0
[{"name": "🤠 Fun", "slug": "fun", "groupId": "bBwafyeaiuwWwobwm2c4", "createdTime": 1717489668992}, {"name": "🍝 Food", "slug": "food", "groupId": "F6DkK24HpilV3Et7xJv7", "createdTime": 1717489668994}, {"name": "Cooking", "slug": "cooking", "groupId": "f73f4a9f-57d0-44f4-b505-574065c56da7", "createdTime": 171750417070...
["fun", "food", "cooking"]
0.25
1720210593633
1720220736391
False
0
R0jLnTFmU8iwMXErzaFn
how-would-you-consume-mana-as-a-dru-dz7bv1bvo1
0
How would you consume Mana as a drug?
1718175540000
hUM4SO8a8qhfqT1gEZ7ElTCGSEz2
none
0
1000000
True
public
1717490435449
Pat Scott🩴
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Poll for ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "2zMVdSiUdMABmiOZYjLi", "label": "/mattyb/how-would-you-consume-mana-as-a-dru"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]}
POLL
{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718175541220
Stralor
1717507896820
0
https://firebasestorage.…6fe-53e90fa501ca
36
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/nfvtufj8aa.jpg
1677017053373
0
[{"name": "Drug use", "slug": "drug-use", "groupId": "2IQAYS5BO1I2Tjg1neEJ", "createdTime": 1717490435585}, {"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1717490435588}, {"name": "Drugs", "slug": "drugs", "groupId": "6277e258-91d0-4621-8487-f98ffa56b0c5", "cr...
["drug-use", "manifold-6748e065087e", "drugs"]
0.25
1717507895853
["ghh2ryodt6"]
0
0.5000000000000004
YRjuj2EKvCLdfJ4l7Ivw
{"NO": 235.85735911534803, "YES": 4239.850746022045}
0
will-geert-wilders-pvv-get-at-least
4469.348118047976
[Short fuse] Will Geert Wilders' PVV get at least 9 seats in the European Parliament?
1718007670700
108tp4wNYKfBeVJ62CvCpwu27oC3
cpmm-1
0
9.90489295177028
True
basic
NO
public
1717491125239
Marnix Vreugdenhil
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve yes if the PVV (which 'won' the last Dutch parliamentary elections) gets at least 9 seats in the 2024 European Parliament elections. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.399782948440356}
0
{"creatorFee": 79.53225114018248, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718007670700
1000
MarnixVreugdenhil
1718007670700
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL6tCroNJQ0BIgJn6NsAz-hbeS4uB3CxsJ3_N47csrT-4=s96-c
12
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…l/toeg1jl1qi.jpg
1703774351876
0
[{"name": "2024 European Parliament elections (EP2024)", "slug": "ep2024", "groupId": "b9a09c80-9aab-476c-8968-8c959608b10f", "createdTime": 1717491125386}, {"name": "European Elections", "slug": "european-elections", "groupId": "6091a62e-fa6b-43ec-b403-5de478cdb41e", "createdTime": 1717491125393}, {"name": "Far right"...
["ep2024", "european-elections", "far-right", "politics-default", "nederland"]
0.25
0.5
1717985286365
1717573466671
0.05
108tp4wNYKfBeVJ62CvCpwu27oC3
0
0.5000000000000003
BaYVJOhcc1n16BvLPOiw
{"NO": 122.47448713915874, "YES": 81.64965809277261}
0.6
will-the-uk-have-a-citizens-assembl
437.79523423036886
Will the UK have a Citizens' Assembly during the next Parliament?
1735689540000
XKnrud6GQUaifOB0hOuUfBCFAly1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1717493100878
Fion
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The UK parliament has commissioned two citizens' assemblies: one on social care in 2018, and one on climate in 2020. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.parliament.uk/get-involved/committees/climate-assembly-uk/about-citizens-assemblies/", "t...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.039999999999999925}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.781744586012447, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Fion
1718283888819
0
https://firebasestorage.…c2e-6bc532e44aed
10
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…n/zp3qy33lgm.jpg
1671292812077
0
[{"name": "🗳️ Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1717493101034}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1717493101037}, {"name": "Labour Party (UK)", "slug": "labour-party-uk", "groupId": "a35479ab-848a-4d47...
["politics-default", "uk-politics", "labour-party-uk"]
0.25
0.5
1718283885402
0
0.49999999999999994
4MaN1A1DglFSA4tKkgm0
{"NO": 58.85460206648653, "YES": 169.91024743831034}
0.2572711769045289
will-there-be-a-usd-1-billion-or-mo
411.06909121815863
Will there be a USD 1 billion or more hack/collapse in the crypto ecosystem in 2024? (according to Molly White/W3IGG)
1735685940000
P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1717497536668
Martin Modrák
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution will be based on the leaderboard at ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.web3isgoinggreat.com/charts/top?dateRange=2024", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www....
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 8.539893374047859, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
MartinModrak
1717830146968
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7HFP_PK_TNWTfx75ktiZyS7SJm0vXCF_lL54T-BA=s96-c
8
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…k/vglc7vjeat.jpg
1672234503136
0
[{"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1717497536806}, {"name": "scam", "slug": "scam", "groupId": "UUO3pjm3NOVkhRoggNLl", "createdTime": 1717497536809}, {"name": "Web3 Is Going Just Great", "slug": "web3-is-going-just-great", "groupId": "e0df2e83-33e5-42a...
["crypto-speculation", "scam", "web3-is-going-just-great"]
0.25
0.5
1717582406381
1717830145859
0
0.5
jWzskcKhBoZ7fnLbig4p
{"NO": 2174.4191676637543, "YES": 459.8929290503004}
0.8254220031013204
will-the-prusa-xl-be-as-reliable-as
1200
Will the Prusa XL be as reliable as my older Prusa i3 Mk3S+?
1722398340000
eHOH3DEytBP98orPkOCPBkDKwpH3
cpmm-1
0
9.66647239006447
False
basic
public
1717500316392
Daniel Gallant
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I'm waiting for my new Prusa XL to arrive and replace my older Prusa i3 MK3S+. I want to know if it will be as reliable as my older printer. It should be here mid July, 2024.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.029144630315295572}
0
{"creatorFee": 25.580832336246118, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
DanielGallant
1718185245269
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJROZ_eNRbAfKjHCt0cDRRebhYI0IJ8Pas7cNZFYi4bmeFd=s96-c
2
0
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/uiwgoe4l3s.jpg
1702678135705
0
[{"name": "3D Printing", "slug": "3d-printing", "groupId": "14bd25db-b687-4e70-a7c5-895ba54c1606", "createdTime": 1717500316537}]
["3d-printing"]
0.25
0.5
1718147953952
0
0.14
WV5CbKGA4tU8TW2jQUTd
{"NO": 992.161755063628, "YES": 1049.526293663298}
0.1333684859411233
will-preventing-language-models-fro
50
Will "Preventing Language Models from hiding their ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1738368000000
h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13
cpmm-1
0
9.899812762135237
False
basic
public
1717501577563
Less Wrong
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.006631514058876714}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.4737063367020526, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
LessWrong
1718869185741
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c
1
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…g/4lfyw585iy.jpg
1706554674237
0
[{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1717501577710}]
["lesswrong-annual-review"]
0.25
0.14
1718869182654
0
0.49999999999999906
fDI1wfsh6SeZdYOOPq6p
{"NO": 9918.109865532691, "YES": 100.8256627076891}
1
will-tesla-shareholders-vote-to-giv
42077.21963273652
Will Tesla shareholders vote to give Musk a $56 billion retroactive pay package in June 13th shareholder vote?
1718379705998
8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2
cpmm-1
0
9.849897320123763
True
basic
YES
public
1717506286079
Will
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "There's lots of reporting on this: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.theverge.com/2024/6/3/24170368/elon-musk-tesla-pay-package-shareholder-meeting", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.theverge.com/202...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.51}
0
{"creatorFee": 666.1457063425046, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718379705998
1000
wrhall
1718428433269
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLy8Q3CWCvkDqnporNAUQ-xDxOZHF8NzmJa32mXx3Dw5kDlqRfw=s96-c
140
0
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…l/6900npc0kk.jpg
1715291638501
0
[{"name": "Tesla", "slug": "tesla", "groupId": "aWXHajzqi5AtOZ3rZmcV", "createdTime": 1717506286346}, {"name": "🚗 Elon musk", "slug": "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e", "groupId": "9OR5MrEu1F01FhmBRcre", "createdTime": 1717506286337}]
["tesla", "elon-musk-14d9d9498c7e"]
0.25
0.5
1718347329997
1718428431913
0.99
8dboiK130XNESzFh0uztbNkfcxa2
0
0.5000000000000002
T2r5rw1zPZLPRxvSwiEj
{"NO": 228.88466717820575, "YES": 43.69012622507461}
1
will-the-sp-500-index-close-higher-ic56nuz8x5
589.0687554788029
Will the S&P 500 index close higher on June 4 than it closed on June #?
1717531375025
Ag5nFFSKQAMUyEdcfmon8iy31O12
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1717506818682
Jim Fix
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 9.97058410742686, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717531375025
100
JimFix
1717531375025
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKby3m-W4SFKUQ-LGikDwd5HxXNONtBgiWy97ne8-tQ=s96-c
6
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…x/lleecb1j1g.jpg
1696775041650
0
[{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1717506818900}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1717506818902}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1...
["economics-default", "finance", "stocks"]
0.25
0.5
1717529984048
1717527957856
0.84
Ag5nFFSKQAMUyEdcfmon8iy31O12
0
a1SQYPUNLAP4HwbaEvQl
who-will-win-2024-bullet-chess-cham
33628.04593725867
Who will win 2024 Bullet Chess Championship?
1718309452001
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
by12w5s3pi
public
1717507796968
Weezing
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Event info: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.chess.com/events/2024-bullet-chess-championship-play-in-2", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.chess.com/events/2024-bullet-chess-championship-play-in-2", ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 183.21017254589566, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718309452001
1100
Weezing
1718324437815
0
https://firebasestorage.…9ac-b0dfa544f276
45
0
ANYONE
[{"id": "nqvyyfakc8", "prob": 0.00033131362106884746, "text": "Magnus Carlsen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 3.2202704950120733, "userId": "FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 9716.484233724259, "textFts": "'carlsen':2 'magnus':1", "contractId": "a1SQYPUNLAP4HwbaEvQl", "resolverId": "FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAffl...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…g/nht5kp8bgu.jpg
1700212225777
0
[{"name": "Board Games", "slug": "board-games", "groupId": "Hu6z8BYs5Xz3ZRyai8MF", "createdTime": 1717507797138}, {"name": "Magnus Carlsen", "slug": "magnus-carlsen", "groupId": "1xNFPjuIXk4vsCBJX3Jy", "createdTime": 1717507797151}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime":...
["board-games", "magnus-carlsen", "chess"]
0.25
1718309402964
1718324436667
{"by12w5s3pi": 100}
FrlI0G9SHwOCNYAfflbL4WrExEl1
True
0
0.5000000000000002
wCPf0sxcZ6SPyYb3JMgf
{"NO": 2381.530641191629, "YES": 419.89801966169}
1
metaculus-will-south-africa-elect-a
3439.10074086187
[Metaculus] Will South Africa elect a president before July 1, 2024?
1718407266907
PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2
cpmm-1
0
9.691055500026
True
basic
YES
public
1717507884403
Mirror Bot
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Will South Africa elect a president before July 1, 2024?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the original on Metaculus", "type": "text", "marks": [...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.348597756008019}
0
{"creatorFee": 66.16637819897602, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1718407266907
1000
mirrorbot
1718407266907
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0
13
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/n8uph3qii1.jpg
1696426201173
0
[{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1717507884567}]
["metaculus"]
0.25
0.5
1718379956319
PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2
0
0.500000000000001
sLYr3tzmoyFG9IfK49vc
{"NO": 86.7554558202171, "YES": 11526.652595455012}
0
metaculus-on-june-28th-2024-will-nv
18084.27613454428
[Metaculus] On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?
1719604800000
PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2
cpmm-1
0
9.841861925413149
True
basic
NO
public
1717507885972
Mirror Bot
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the original on Metaculus", "ty...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.8253820880742527}
0
{"creatorFee": 276.541248371947, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719613272978
1000
mirrorbot
1719604800000
0
https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0
34
8
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/0msc8pckj6.jpg
1696426201173
0
[{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1717507886366}]
["metaculus"]
0.25
0.5
1719600899718
1717615045494
PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2
0
0.34420832995372963
9nWe1w9pkbjuKK7yLnbo
{"NO": 543.330959317603, "YES": 704.179484030688}
0.28824750774959335
will-there-be-a-federal-ban-on-ment
223.19463720829387
Will there be a federal ban on menthol cigarettes in the United States by the end of 2030?
1925009940000
sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2
cpmm-1
0
9.979756375189798
False
play
public
1717508504952
The Official
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The resolution of this market will be based on official announcements, publications, and regulatory changes from credible sources such as:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.003515596086549222}
0
{"creatorFee": 5.923852069265314, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
600
10thOfficial
1717799880976
0
https://firebasestorage.…8ec-be730e0a7e96
9
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…l/8yfjo9h5pe.jpg
1682437068858
0
[{"name": "Drug Policy", "slug": "drug-policy", "groupId": "B6bj6VYMErDbfcWWSpAj", "createdTime": 1717508505107}, {"name": "United States", "slug": "united-states", "groupId": "5ba769e7-dd37-49d0-bdf2-9f1803f6872e", "createdTime": 1717508505117}, {"name": "💼 Business", "slug": "business", "groupId": "pmK8sntWL1SDkMm5...
["drug-policy", "united-states", "business", "us-politics", "drugs"]
0.25
0.5
1717799877809
0
0.5000000000000002
6NuccZl5usFBdfaq1HCx
{"NO": 4953.515517778016, "YES": 201.8768279641049}
1
will-goody2-say-rationalussy-before
4000
Will GOODY-2 say "rationalussy" before Jimmy Carter's funeral?
1717509770982
UyEt7kEhNUd9BmRLQsgOp4mOsnQ2
cpmm-1
0
9.893443994838613
True
basic
YES
public
1717509122383
Greg Rosenthal
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.goody2.ai/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.goody2.ai/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400"...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.03915838299500829}
0
{"creatorFee": 46.48448222198452, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717509770982
1000
gregrosent
1718208062412
0
https://firebasestorage.…ef2-37c836fda9cd
1
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…t/mzy766pn2t.jpg
1690354568795
0
[{"name": "Rationalussy", "slug": "rationalussy", "groupId": "Ly2Ra90FbHZXOxJwkia0", "createdTime": 1717509122704}, {"name": "Jimmy Carter", "slug": "jimmy-carter", "groupId": "rigfelwTsUUySMFFJz5O", "createdTime": 1717509122730}, {"name": "LLMs", "slug": "llms", "groupId": "7AISXitieE7l07dhslU8", "createdTime": 171750...
["rationalussy", "jimmy-carter", "llms", "fun", "internet-censorship"]
0.25
0.5
1717509270374
1718208060382
0.96
UyEt7kEhNUd9BmRLQsgOp4mOsnQ2
0
0.5000000000000001
Gk4gN5eRPxPJGGYliMyC
{"NO": 539.3156224647862, "YES": 1854.2018038153403}
0.22532345766245834
will-solana-become-a-top-3-cryptocu
3334.532277798955
Will Solana become a top 3 cryptocurrency by market cap before EOY?
1735707540000
vJc2cW0lpWST6eADzD0dPo2zJRo2
cpmm-1
0
9.63051490664276
False
basic
public
1717509834196
XVII
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "According to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "CoinMarketCap.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://CoinMarketCap.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:...
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 0.01409010234191041, "month": -0.05547579733807759}
0
{"creatorFee": 81.17908145017786, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
XVII
1719927675797
0
https://firebasestorage.…a38-35b4d58e821f
27
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…I/bryyisvv1c.jpg
1695514337326
0
[{"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1717509834352}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1717509834355}]
["crypto-speculation", "technology-default"]
0.25
0.5
1719927672692
0
6kcP0gd9ZJZkXGHxaa88
will-managram-2x-their-loss-to-the
255
Will managram 2x their loss to the losing team, up to 2000 mana total.
1717652561130
fwoaZ25WAFPpaqjcCVobOj8hhh33
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
un5w69ewdd
public
1717512380286
Maybe_a
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Folk theorem of economics suggests if \"money\" can be passed around, we can incentivize any outcome.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Market will close unexpectedly sometime this week.", "type...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 1.9302434152555574, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1717652561130
100
maybe_a
1720053161621
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLYTbd681IgDSQhGDEu_N2RjngTWWB55pa8xNOAJG2g=s96-c
2
0
DISABLED
[{"id": "kya1fuucx4", "prob": 0.07426206545914514, "text": "Blueberry Bears", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 14.161507483294997, "userId": "fwoaZ25WAFPpaqjcCVobOj8hhh33", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 176.53487829237227, "textFts": "'bear':2 'blueberri':1", "contractId": "6kcP0gd9ZJZkXGHxaa88", "resolverId": ...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…a/7v4o2jvsiw.jpg
1700313261874
0
[{"name": "Meta-markets", "slug": "metamarkets", "groupId": "0112083b-1b7d-4e2a-80e8-929ba3f099a5", "createdTime": 1717512380445}, {"name": "Self-referring", "slug": "selfreferring", "groupId": "03800d3a-0af1-4de5-b4f6-af6e0f2d76b6", "createdTime": 1717526430769}, {"name": "🎲 Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "group...
["metamarkets", "selfreferring", "nonpredictive"]
0.25
False
1717652551843
1717568479299
{"un5w69ewdd": 100}
fwoaZ25WAFPpaqjcCVobOj8hhh33
True
0
UyVGCNId6YK7XAvJSFd3
to-which-is-the-last-round-that-nov-seo1q4quoh
12952.636324213416
To which is the last round that Novak Djokovic will advance in the 2024 Wimbledon tournament? 🎾
1720764000000
JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1717514652597
Stuart Slagle
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will close at 1:00 AM CT on the morning of the scheduled semifinal match and will be resolved with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.atptour.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 148.56584903622556, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1000
ovals
1720149816927
0
https://firebasestorage.…998-09d34fa58717
10
1
DISABLED
[{"id": "xovqy01dwe", "prob": 0.2660197421057591, "text": "F", "index": 0, "poolNo": 122.88790030973416, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 339.062402088795, "textFts": "'f':1", "contractId": "UyVGCNId6YK7XAvJSFd3", "createdTime": 1717514652598, "probChanges": {"day": 0.0068649617861...
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/kl4w303h4q.jpg
1697477345360
0
[{"name": "Novak Djokovic", "slug": "novak-djokovic", "groupId": "b6j8bnLcbP5eYPvc9SqD", "createdTime": 1717514652785}, {"name": "Wimbledon", "slug": "wimbledon", "groupId": "kOaY8BjgZulDosGFDpPy", "createdTime": 1717514652786}, {"name": "ATP Tour", "slug": "atp-tour", "groupId": "a841d448-0950-41ba-a122-91322746e7dc",...
["novak-djokovic", "wimbledon", "atp-tour", "tennis", "sports-default"]
0.25
1720149813801
1720149392627
True
new
0