p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.5000000000000001 | pTjlG8MGICj3VAXlTFm9 | {"NO": 106.13047356738268, "YES": 94.22364438665151} | 0.5297144608314537 | will-vince-and-isaac-together-beat | 294.3079507095521 | Will Vince and Isaac together beat Crémieux in a wrestling match? | 1718175540000 | hPEqASWOExWovWUevORTAyFI7u62 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1717565475616 | Ari Zerner | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves N/A if the match doesn't happen. Resolves NO if the match is a draw.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.010285539168546465} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.992949405136369, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719720953957 | 100 | AriZerner | 1718175540000 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1699161469267 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifest 2024", "slug": "manifest-2024", "groupId": "93dd5060-392b-495a-83be-8b36dc89797a", "createdTime": 1717565475799}, {"name": "Wrestling", "slug": "wrestling", "groupId": "8j7nBRAbAX309o2IZUuV", "createdTime": 1717565475802}] | ["manifest-2024", "wrestling"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718160173553 | 1719719053606 | 0.53 | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | 67dal14KSC585YKMWiQM | {"NO": 10.050378152592145, "YES": 994.9874371066206} | 0.010000000000000021 | will-seti-receive-a-radio-transmiss | 1532.7221846439134 | Will SETI receive a radio transmission that is unambiguously from another world by the end of 2024? | 1720238340000 | En6oeqssPgS1V2r4MrIeZUutxJm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717572240332 | Jack Hammer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -0.005007567030436465, "week": -0.005007567030436465, "month": -1.214306433183765e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.88194326805373, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 513.5591190981055 | 100 | JackHammer | 1720230353510 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI2B3qBoaBU35dvFMt2sYXHVggM4vLiYC6-aK9x9W-MMeDuVA=s96-c | 19 | 5 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717570259157 | 0 | [{"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1717572240477}, {"name": "Astronomy", "slug": "astronomy", "groupId": "RmJECKggoxP8lVO7JADZ", "createdTime": 1717572240481}, {"name": "👽 Aliens", "slug": "aliens", "groupId": "FvhchmbPB3fymwvEFx0G", "createdTime": 1717... | ["science-default", "astronomy", "aliens", "ufo"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720230350234 | 1718360429138 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | isikXj9LuSQBAyGE4F1b | {"NO": 614.6049750912796, "YES": 1627.0613492048014} | 0.2741732649636317 | will-the-daily-reward-for-sharing-a | 1731 | Will the daily reward for sharing a market remain at 10 Mana until the end of the year? | 1735685940000 | sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.607504589083039 | False | basic | public | 1717572382382 | redcat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Seems quite low now.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the bonus is removed entirely, this market will resolve NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.015421645275252471, "month": 0.04093786228774102} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 43.31532610265511, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | redcat | 1719686259225 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697305658168 | 0 | [{"name": "💙 Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1717572382518}, {"name": "Manifold Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1717572382522}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719686256152 | 1717607957300 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | JGpD9hnaCnMZTjuQFtq1 | {"NO": 14.285714285714947, "YES": 699.9999999999649} | 0.020000000000001884 | will-cannibalism-be-widespread-and | 1130.3182062633161 | Will cannibalism be widespread and commonplace by 2027? | 1735707540000 | En6oeqssPgS1V2r4MrIeZUutxJm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717572574099 | Jack Hammer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A question of personal taste.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -6.938893903907228e-18, "week": -6.938893903907228e-18, "month": -0.020660966685960527} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.598671675368713, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | JackHammer | 1717656605210 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI2B3qBoaBU35dvFMt2sYXHVggM4vLiYC6-aK9x9W-MMeDuVA=s96-c | 13 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717570259157 | 0 | [{"name": "Biotech", "slug": "biotech", "groupId": "zx0Pik5lD4jydGPxbLjB", "createdTime": 1717572574252}, {"name": "Public Health", "slug": "public-health", "groupId": "ybln6XDvz5ik7zO0aYe1", "createdTime": 1717572574251}, {"name": "Vegan", "slug": "vegan", "groupId": "Xrhp6fk47Bx8oRUyB0vJ", "createdTime": 171757257424... | ["biotech", "public-health", "vegan"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717656602093 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000011 | e0OVJQIAAHKXRofxlvI8 | {"NO": 1057.7337773764896, "YES": 945.4174778083693} | 0.5280349023263746 | will-israel-declare-war-on-hezbolla | 23913.270239419082 | Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah before the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.959705324652328 | False | basic | public | 1717572590825 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FsNXbcdF5F7.png?alt=media&token=0816aefc-79d9-4108-8716-f8f216a149b8", "title": null}}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://fi... | BINARY | {"day": -0.2001715541347615, "week": -0.20371681398339447, "month": -0.10267060031934472} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 634.3623939994856, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 833.7702965628251 | 1000 | strutheo | 1720225804341 | 0 | 170 | 8 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | [{"name": "⚔️ Wars", "slug": "wars", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1717572590963}, {"name": "Arab-Israeli Conflict", "slug": "arabisraeli-conflict", "groupId": "aheUmZtjkKBkeiXwIFhI", "createdTime": 1717572590966}, {"name": "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict", "slug": "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "grou... | ["wars", "arabisraeli-conflict", "israelhamas-conflict-2023", "israel", "geopolitics"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720225801293 | 1719315260583 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000009 | yWBqLgC5gNkW4FvkRKht | {"NO": 1040.8329997330645, "YES": 960.7689228305237} | 1 | daily-coinflip-i1hv5awwb5 | 5556.2707216321205 | Daily coinflip | 1717732740000 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570582008203429 | True | basic | YES | public | 1717572594122 | Traveel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 160)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.49} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 108.97643328025214, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717767672938 | 1000 | Traveel | 1717732740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c | 60 | 0 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1674441975928 | 0 | [{"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1717572594284}, {"name": "Non-Predictive Profits", "slug": "nonpredictive-profits", "groupId": "sVCyD10FvUk5af10QT6H", "createdTime": 1717572594295}, {"name": "Unranked", "slug": "nonpredictive", "groupId": "f141b8ca-eac... | ["fairlyrandom", "nonpredictive-profits", "nonpredictive", "unsubsidized"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1717728552648 | 1717767664490 | 0.52 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8VPRgCFqsjUQeB0cjbtC | tetrabay-prop-bets | 2290.8171111967613 | Tetrabay Prop Bets | 1720220340000 | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1717572684702 | Tetra | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES for things that happen when I'm in the continental US, NO for things that don't happen, and N/A for things that I want to glomarise about.", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 26.795401262913398, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 54.602950517149544 | 1100 | Tetraspace | 1720190525397 | 0 | 10 | 2 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5pypglnjgk", "prob": 0.44999999999999996, "text": "Tetra's system gets a new headmate ", "index": 0, "poolNo": 71.59067692990034, "userId": "K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 87.499716247656, "textFts": "'get':4 'headmat':7 'new':6 'system':3 'tetra':1", "contractId": "8VPRgCFqsjUQeB0... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1642130392212 | 0 | [{"name": "Tetraspace", "slug": "tetraspace", "groupId": "SpOYh2aGkJtKCq37OO9p", "createdTime": 1717572746006}] | ["tetraspace"] | 0.25 | 1720190522328 | 1718596109592 | False | liquidity | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | puv4XHYyAmCWhqeiMoS6 | {"NO": 16.179544706169196, "YES": 618.0643634667326} | 0.02550997257944255 | will-mr-beast-take-a-prolonged-brea | 630 | Will Mr Beast take a prolonged break from Youtube before reaching 300 million subscribers? | 1735714740000 | 1HVfKeo13ocYsTubAN98a6qW2YE3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717573376352 | Ethan Lou | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "the break must be announced confirmed by him", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.100892784615144, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | EthanLou | 1717600416349 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI38lRl8IV2OEBMDpcwPyFwRq4Uc9SPdytcNjGf2YxQ=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1708631336044 | 0 | [{"name": "Subscriber Milestones", "slug": "subscriber-milestones", "groupId": "if2RfO5Jwj5bOuJEudCG", "createdTime": 1717573376497}, {"name": "YouTube", "slug": "youtube", "groupId": "bbIsp5bNcwHpSK9qu9mj", "createdTime": 1717573376498}, {"name": "Mr. Beast", "slug": "mr-beast", "groupId": "fm5SLlSiPxQNZftQzAta", "cre... | ["subscriber-milestones", "youtube", "mr-beast"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717600413207 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | eqQDidYgApMXliOit5fe | {"NO": 34.25649469132851, "YES": 291.91544815387516} | 0.1050258780461265 | will-chinas-semiconductor-manufactu | 419.15441806208605 | Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026? | 1767222000000 | Acv189qBlCTT4POzQifpJ5keLz63 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717573931735 | ersatz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Based on a statement from a reliable source such as the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the BBC, etc.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 0.0055598040019811945} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.502026843027656, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | ersatz | 1719368127528 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1656777703327 | 0 | [{"name": "Semiconductors", "slug": "semiconductors", "groupId": "49KBGVeMphsHmxnQZY40", "createdTime": 1717573931951}, {"name": "Chip Wars", "slug": "chip-wars", "groupId": "esUHLSkU8Q3RtHjVg12V", "createdTime": 1717573931969}, {"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej",... | ["semiconductors", "chip-wars", "technology-default", "china"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719368124476 | 1717611659796 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6p1podStVNpXomiSJPMk | nhacaiired88 | 0 | nhacaiired88 | 1717600399186 | ISri4nv45ffcTKmKU9eedxBBoBT2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1717574434294 | claudiorv Herzberg | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Nhà cái Red88 không chỉ nổi tiếng với sức mạnh về công nghệ và một tài chính vững mạnh, Red88 còn là một hệ thống cá cược an toàn và uy tín. Đăng ký tài khoản tại Red88 không chỉ mở ra cơ hội tham gia vào nhiều trò chơi đa dạng như casino, bắn cá, ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717600440974 | claudiorvHerzberg | 1717600400849 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLlZBpfT0zK54ckJLidGLrBPmTa5mRQJDLn5jH2GFG76epx-w=s96-c | 0 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717574349872 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1717574434524}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.25 | ["p2dhavb8ci", "mivs0uia8k"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | J3lX2f9wvhaGzO7gfrc3 | {"NO": 33.698513525451446, "YES": 296.7489943568967} | 0.10197841630401823 | will-the-new-madrid-fault-produce-a | 200 | Will the New Madrid fault produce a catastrophic earthquake in 2024? | 1735707540000 | En6oeqssPgS1V2r4MrIeZUutxJm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717574524909 | Jack Hammer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolution will depend on newsworthiness of event. Leading reports (of fissures, building collapse, etc.) on major media outlets will suffice to fulfill the condition, Richter Scale notwithstanding.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": -0.10165367335227297} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.2510056431032797, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | JackHammer | 1718282823312 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI2B3qBoaBU35dvFMt2sYXHVggM4vLiYC6-aK9x9W-MMeDuVA=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717570259157 | 0 | [{"name": "Natural Disasters", "slug": "natural-disasters", "groupId": "7DheCrWGY6V4tkvFa7y9", "createdTime": 1717574525053}, {"name": "Disasters", "slug": "disasters", "groupId": "89c8408c-8720-4580-85ad-73c6da3ae965", "createdTime": 1717574525055}, {"name": "Earthquake", "slug": "earthquake", "groupId": "cf835665-726... | ["natural-disasters", "disasters", "earthquake"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718282820046 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.14 | 6zbJR4COIhznrKK2HI5f | {"NO": 992.161755063628, "YES": 1049.526293663298} | 0.1333684859411233 | will-awakening-make-the-top-fifty-p | 50 | Will "Awakening" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? | 1769904000000 | h2dutemV8qWoHLjhp9VXerhlLL13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.899812762135237 | False | basic | public | 1717593435755 | Less Wrong | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As part of LessWrong's ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Annual Review", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/lesswrong-review", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": ", the community nom... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.4737063367020526, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | LessWrong | 1717618584606 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKH1Ct5papO0Deh_khGs7uNUNGfjK6aQWr4LE-chfD1Cg=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1706554674237 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong Annual Review", "slug": "lesswrong-annual-review", "groupId": "0a0b0d16-7a4b-4de5-aadf-ddd85fbefe5c", "createdTime": 1717593435949}] | ["lesswrong-annual-review"] | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1717618581354 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000001 | 578rXY73kUWeBcZOvsts | {"NO": 828.9621676884166, "YES": 1206.327669679457} | 0.4072944071496309 | will-tetra-make-an-alignmentfocused | 1185.3882095553215 | Will Tetra make an alignment-focused LessWrong post that she is proud of by the end of 2024? | 1735689540000 | K0l9JnD5DcPqyfloiKWIHbK8klD3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.575804324707935 | False | basic | public | 1717598704599 | Tetra | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 0.0011192254564106885} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 38.83844222274352, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Tetraspace | 1717753924791 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1642130392212 | 0 | [{"name": "LessWrong", "slug": "lesswrong", "groupId": "K0U4VlIwJhdyTp53mqVk", "createdTime": 1717610611216}] | ["lesswrong"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717753921668 | 1717598817700 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000003 | JoJNFLjh3nlmv2XBC7I3 | {"NO": 101.51674690341066, "YES": 9850.591459076752} | 0.010200526843388819 | metaculus-will-rishi-sunak-fail-to | 10114.954832663936 | [Metaculus] Will Rishi Sunak fail to be elected in the 2024 UK General Election? [Mod note: as a MP] | 1720263600000 | PQ8Ot2GZ8NfQdXiJVmJqf3yea8O2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.850273762714524 | False | basic | public | 1717608756342 | Mirror Bot | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 3}, "content": [{"text": "Will Rishi Sunak fail to be elected in the 2024 UK General Election?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "the original on Metaculus", "type": "text"... | BINARY | {"day": -0.02827595206803446, "week": -0.206998392982153, "month": -0.23828506644072767} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 84.03596637013717, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 4951 | 1000 | mirrorbot | 1720211775769 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fmirrorbot%2FYyZGRnml_x.32?alt=media&token=0329b715-fee1-4181-b04d-7dc15c1983a0 | 19 | 7 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1696426201173 | 0 | [{"name": "Metaculus", "slug": "metaculus", "groupId": "5mFuwp5QX0sdZYdNq3Jx", "createdTime": 1717608757024}, {"name": "🇬🇧 UK", "slug": "uk", "groupId": "m9vlFjXUHNgGgU9OLK1Y", "createdTime": 1717610827101}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1717610828932... | ["metaculus", "uk", "uk-politics", "rishi-sunak", "elections"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720211772556 | 1720165269464 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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97bi9wcu8WesvGAvjSJ2 | in-which-months-in-2024-will-joe-bi | 1090.7858325226532 | In which months in 2024 will Joe Biden have a "senior moment"? | 1735689540000 | HDFJe2Ui9OSFho8f1oRSqVzG0dx1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1717610093539 | Mike H | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "For the purposes of this question, a \"senior moment\" includes, but is not limited to:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Falling to the ground or se... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.857261611426225, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MikeH | 1719577511469 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FMarkH%2FgObCokmWVb.11?alt=media&token=2fc87fc1-1292-4070-ae84-042947d511f6 | 16 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "uco1lphlq1", "prob": 0.94, "text": "June 2024", "index": 0, "poolNo": 572.7100007630229, "userId": "HDFJe2Ui9OSFho8f1oRSqVzG0dx1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 35.63437557946652, "textFts": "'2024':2 'june':1", "contractId": "97bi9wcu8WesvGAvjSJ2", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "HDFJe2Ui9OSFho8f1oRSqVzG0d... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1696786983018 | 0 | [{"name": "👴🏼 Joe Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 1717610093701}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1717610093699}, {"name": "🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-el... | ["the-life-of-biden", "us-politics", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.25 | 1717899538486 | 1719577509901 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
xMjOspsXXAQZwvN9slrm | in-new-york-city-on-what-day-will-t | 36130.400989208036 | In New York City, on what day will the highest temperature of June 2024 be recorded? | 1719723540000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1717610786198 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market closes one minute before midnight on the penultimate day of the month.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will be resolved on the first day of the next month with data from ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 306.35645052743763, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719803161227 | 3000 | ovals | 1719723540000 | 0 | 28 | 3 | DISABLED | [{"id": "mccrv7w9gd", "prob": 0.01, "text": "1st", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.050378152592117, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 994.9874371066189, "textFts": "'1st':1", "contractId": "xMjOspsXXAQZwvN9slrm", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTim... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c56", "createdTime": 1717610786385}, {"name": "New York City", "slug": "new-york-city", "groupId": "93562589-3ef2-4bb1-aac2-7a74d8ee7617", "createdTime": 1717610786390}, {"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "grou... | ["high-temperature", "new-york-city", "climate"] | 0.25 | 1719636978039 | 1719803140665 | 0.99 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
rhA5bwa61GYwkqdbtKct | after-stage-1-of-the-2024-tour-de-s | 7717.604655333941 | After Stage 1 of the 2024 Tour de Suisse, who will wear the Maillot Jaune? | 1717948740000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | 4b2q9t2uyn | public | 1717614167984 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be resolved with verified results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.tourdesuisse.ch/en", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.tourdesuisse.ch/en", "class": "break-anywhere ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 43.94699232269911, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717953190986 | 1200 | ovals | 1717948740000 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "cuof63lo7f", "prob": 0.006019383686650006, "text": "Jonas Vingegaard", "index": 0, "poolNo": 20.40881295808792, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 3370.106565443738, "textFts": "'jona':1 'vingegaard':2", "contractId": "rhA5bwa61GYwkqdbtKct", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2... | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Maillot Jaune", "slug": "maillot-jaune", "groupId": "d35ec746-d3e1-4d79-b4b2-77470ae096c3", "createdTime": 1717614168160}, {"name": "Tour de Suisse", "slug": "tour-de-suisse", "groupId": "6924001a-3620-4733-a07a-2f20dde6cc1f", "createdTime": 1717614168171}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "g... | ["maillot-jaune", "tour-de-suisse", "sports-default", "racing-sports", "road-bicycle-racing"] | 0.25 | 1717734490957 | {"4b2q9t2uyn": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
gqZ6nb0xfPD14zM6O0nM | will-i-gain-or-lose-fide-rating-at | 0 | Will I gain or lose FIDE rating at the 2024 US Cadet Championships? | 1717614375353 | FEzSSeOwKeZ3U4knZFQZRWB6Niv1 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1717614351097 | Erick Zhao | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "2024 US Cadet Championship (", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.kingregistration.com/event/uscadet2024", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underl... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717614420846 | ErickZhao | 1717614376026 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLFqtnjsRjBU94cfcJ4VtkWSD8XcLjIVu0MqDIkHiAZjsMygA=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1714481298497 | 0 | [{"name": "ELO Ratings", "slug": "elo-ratings", "groupId": "f111255c-c3ab-4fec-a336-026fdf3d7215", "createdTime": 1717614351412}, {"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1717614351424}] | ["elo-ratings", "chess"] | 0.25 | ["qjhidhtwoe"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000001 | 2hCOFf7W1fk0ehBgT30s | {"NO": 31.448545101657587, "YES": 317.9797338056475} | 0 | manifold-lottery-tickets-10x-return-7e6e94e0hy | 11753.66771271294 | Manifold lottery tickets 10x return possible | 1720216740000 | HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1717619635800 | Niel S | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have placed No limit orders at 10%. If you are interested in this lottery, you can purchase as many Yes shares at 10% as you wish, provided my No limit orders do not run out.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "cont... | BINARY | {"day": -0.08461401943103056, "week": -0.08461401943103056, "month": -0.08513091471751816} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 77.4026343200582, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 10 | 1720244761472 | 100 | NielS | 1720216740000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocI1f_-sQy0dE4yU_6hAgPvUVI-PGSnuCHMzFZT5AlSj=s96-c | 34 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1710643823998 | 0 | [{"name": "Gambling", "slug": "gambling", "groupId": "PqwKmXzv3O7b1ICBAZ4H", "createdTime": 1717619635995}, {"name": "Lotteries", "slug": "lotteries", "groupId": "MdqNUtni6p3Jc1R0WvBL", "createdTime": 1717619635989}, {"name": "FairlyRandom", "slug": "fairlyrandom", "groupId": "J8Z1KAZV31icklA4tgJW", "createdTime": 1717... | ["gambling", "lotteries", "fairlyrandom"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720211630684 | 1720244732497 | 0.09 | HlKGLfVeclY6K6zmR6N5rICa3cB3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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3Www1CC5sEpmjvQtAUN9 | in-san-francisco-on-what-day-will-t | 24401.35698854728 | In San Francisco, on what day will the highest temperature of June 2024 be recorded? | 1719723540000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1717629358019 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market closes one minute before midnight on the penultimate day of the month.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The market will be resolved on the first day of the next month with results fr... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 179.29650014196048, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719803352187 | 2600 | ovals | 1719723540000 | 0 | 24 | 2 | DISABLED | [{"id": "evr5sm3y2x", "prob": 0.03, "text": "5th", "index": 0, "poolNo": 18.582804469764667, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 538.1319066382354, "textFts": "'5th':1", "contractId": "3Www1CC5sEpmjvQtAUN9", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "createdTim... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "🪸 Climate", "slug": "climate", "groupId": "97oNExy8iFftY2EgdkLw", "createdTime": 1717629358277}, {"name": "High Temperature", "slug": "high-temperature", "groupId": "e9da999c-dd54-4492-960f-ed7520bc2c56", "createdTime": 1717629358275}, {"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsO... | ["climate", "high-temperature", "san-francisco"] | 0.25 | 1719637420967 | 1719803335499 | 0.99 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | JugbZf7sEzBIAKB2lFXa | {"NO": 3000.0000000000023, "YES": 333.33333333333366} | 0.9 | will-lorxus-the-author-of-this-mark-mzi7gnlmv3 | 2032.954173104238 | Will Lorxus, the author of this market, survive SERI MATS 2024 in Tontine? | 1724644740000 | Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.744877240650233 | False | basic | public | 1717629594972 | Lorxus PhD 🦊 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://tontine.cash/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://tontine.cash/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400", ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.1398150859485192} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 32.9541731042358, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | Lorxus | 1718980919317 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbebFJR8Ey87j0aMvnyCxY8sMICPXqeiMqYL8SqsQ=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1678631188381 | 0 | [{"name": "Tontine Prophecy", "slug": "tontine-prophecy", "groupId": "AUoMJogcVIv6ceH4D8WG", "createdTime": 1717629595205}, {"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1717629595212}, {"name": "SERI MATS 2024", "slug": "seri-mats-2024", "groupId": "05293cb4-1d7a-4792-978... | ["tontine-prophecy", "ai-safety", "seri-mats-2024", "v-vulpes-var-mathematica-population"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718955881864 | 1718980918098 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | GZbuTqhzEVQXIpX47spa | {"NO": 80.48728868088463, "YES": 124.2432210587677} | 0.3931377340057284 | will-lorxus-attend-the-iliad-unconf | 25 | Will Lorxus attend the ILIAD Unconference? | 1724990340000 | Fk46Giw1REZ5fdUN3kof9dYVSPt2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717630169253 | Lorxus PhD 🦊 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/r7nBaKy5Ry3JWhnJT/announcing-iliad-theoretical-ai-alignment-conference", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/r7nBaKy5Ry3JWhnJT/announcing-iliad-theoretical-ai... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7567789412322955, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Lorxus | 1717630375359 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxbebFJR8Ey87j0aMvnyCxY8sMICPXqeiMqYL8SqsQ=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1678631188381 | 0 | [{"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1717630169501}, {"name": "V. vulpes var. mathematica population forecasting", "slug": "v-vulpes-var-mathematica-population", "groupId": "2mbh3A1ZXsAE6pUOqSFE", "createdTime": 1717630169523}] | ["ai-safety", "v-vulpes-var-mathematica-population"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717630184859 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | LTrf6y32q6OXD2tjhtjd | {"NO": 1000, "YES": 1000} | 0.5 | test-question1-9jjwpesztk | 0 | TEST question1 | 1717635560329 | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570333339714711 | True | basic | CANCEL | public | 1717630473493 | Blomfilter | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "test paragaph100", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717635560329 | 1000 | Blomfilter | 1717635560329 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1677201572009 | True | 0 | [{"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "groupId": "PZJMbrLekgJBy7OOBKGT", "createdTime": 1717630473869}] | ["programming"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | eSqS9cD5mzYcP2o7FrST8aC5IWn2 | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000004 | uhJWgo9M6s3RyuBlHwZJ | {"NO": 500.2312973406556, "YES": 1999.0752384271618} | 0.20014803713822127 | will-san-francisco-experience-a-maj | 3098.4479795892826 | Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030? | 1925020740000 | MJSWJeLiUuVJx2I04pm6HvDT7Kv1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.646391357746227 | False | basic | public | 1717632415224 | Jim | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Major earthquake would involve property damage of over $1B or loss of life over 100. Epicenter has to be within 50 miles of San Francisco. Loma Prieta quake would ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "not", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {... | BINARY | {"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.07953047623394388} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 79.786474670232, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JimAusman | 1718521973468 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1669143819202 | 0 | [{"name": "Disasters", "slug": "disasters", "groupId": "89c8408c-8720-4580-85ad-73c6da3ae965", "createdTime": 1717632415526}, {"name": "San Francisco", "slug": "san-francisco", "groupId": "77nEsKGsORflUYGveLSX", "createdTime": 1717632415529}, {"name": "Natural Disasters", "slug": "natural-disasters", "groupId": "7DheCr... | ["disasters", "san-francisco", "natural-disasters"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718521970246 | 1717898264976 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
yvNdRPxa5AjJTSvsLdQE | who-will-drive-for-red-bull-racing | 571.0688116598697 | Who will drive for Red Bull Racing in the opening GP of 2026? | 1775015940000 | BrBG7QaUHeMrx3ZXPqy5AxfeFTw2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1717634272099 | pitstop | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES for any driver who drives for Red Bull Racing in qualifying, sprint qualifying, spring race or the GP of the opening race of the 2026 season. Therefore, multiple drivers will resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"t... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.877897067396324, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 10 | 1000 | pitstop | 1720209370671 | 0 | 12 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "i4283zhtrq", "prob": 0.8553932016922792, "text": "Max Verstappen", "index": 0, "poolNo": 165.23941312276196, "userId": "BrBG7QaUHeMrx3ZXPqy5AxfeFTw2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 27.934220705351517, "textFts": "'max':1 'verstappen':2", "contractId": "yvNdRPxa5AjJTSvsLdQE", "createdTime": 1717634272100, "probC... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1661266134199 | 0 | [{"name": "Auto Racing", "slug": "auto-racing", "groupId": "MIDhbxvpwoHQ3QaG7xfU", "createdTime": 1717634272261}, {"name": "Red Bull", "slug": "red-bull", "groupId": "02d7a2ea-9c5e-4247-a262-ee9abc97f2da", "createdTime": 1717634272264}, {"name": "🏎️ Formula 1", "slug": "formula-1", "groupId": "OyHBKJOz9YaGkDctpwuY", "... | ["auto-racing", "red-bull", "formula-1"] | 0.25 | 1720209367597 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qLRQ0pAvh4K4XSGp0jmw | which-team-wins-the-2024-softball-c | 17449.981384192335 | Which team wins the 2024 Softball College World Series | 1717729356416 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | x4gkacvj7p | public | 1717635293164 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 30.204170448020548, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717729356416 | 1000 | ovals | 1720053161621 | 0 | 5 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "x4gkacvj7p", "prob": 0.9970058675651579, "text": "Oklahoma", "color": "#4e46dc", "index": 0, "poolNo": 9123.9597028839, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 27.400384059235478, "textFts": "'oklahoma':1", "contractId": "qLRQ0pAvh4K4XSGp0jmw", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Softball", "slug": "softball", "groupId": "2b966b01-80cc-4f20-adf3-0834fce37169", "createdTime": 1717635293550}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717635293557}, {"name": "College World Series", "slug": "college-world-series", "groupId": "78c6... | ["softball", "sports-default", "college-world-series"] | 0.25 | 1717729338727 | 1717635375225 | {"x4gkacvj7p": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Isz7k5AdN83uQeceXk8M | an-investment-in-which-research-fie | 0 | An investment in which research field is the most effective reduction of p(doom)? | v1sXfDTUK2gOSWrK4pYrJ7boLJx2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1717636036128 | Krantz | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Opinion poll", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | Krantz | 1717680518431 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1710040515504 | 0 | 0.25 | 1717680517459 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ED5V8aBGatiho3rzjr7r | baseball-ncaa-2024-super-regional-g | 27033.018242479076 | Baseball (NCAA) 2024 College Worlds Series Games | 1719181179186 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1717636257549 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each games/series is resolved independently of the others", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "YES or NO", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 194.79526173824306, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719181179186 | 2500 | ovals | 1719198334219 | 0 | 6 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "7vllivt41l", "prob": 0.99, "text": "6/7-9: Will Tennessee WIN against Evansville in the Knoxville Super Regional?", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1248.7929947875232, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 12.51208171828236, "textFts": "'6/7-9':1 'evansvill':6 'knoxvill':9 'region':11 's... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "College World Series", "slug": "college-world-series", "groupId": "78c653ab-2f62-48e5-904c-3fcfe1822d97", "createdTime": 1717636257726}, {"name": "🏟️ Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1717636257730}, {"name": "⚾ Baseball", "slug": "baseball", "groupId": "78... | ["college-world-series", "sports-default", "baseball", "ncaa", "super-regionals"] | 0.25 | 1719181164086 | 1719198282468 | 0.99 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | False | old | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | gUuGypTNRtle3EXtd0V5 | {"NO": 1000, "YES": 1000} | 0.5 | test-question1-yjcyiv0qnf | 0 | TEST question1 | 1717637301865 | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570333339714711 | True | basic | CANCEL | public | 1717637225252 | Blomfilter | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "test paragaph100", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717637301865 | 1000 | Blomfilter | 1717637301865 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1677201572009 | True | 0 | [{"name": "Programming", "slug": "programming", "groupId": "PZJMbrLekgJBy7OOBKGT", "createdTime": 1717637225490}] | ["programming"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | Vgh0sYiGQJJtEUkBgG0w | {"NO": 1000, "YES": 1000} | 0.5 | will-bitcoin-still-be-above-77777-a | 0 | Will bitcoin still be above $77777 at the end of 7/7? | 1717637243087 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570333339714711 | True | basic | CANCEL | public | 1717637232009 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Using EST time", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717637243087 | 1000 | strutheo | 1717637243087 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | True | 0 | [{"name": "🌐 Internet", "slug": "internet", "groupId": "raDuDKuBOp5D9l7301XV", "createdTime": 1717637232176}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto Prices", "slug": "crypto-prices", "groupId": "Hh2zJJExWlyJQakffoVE", "createdTime": 1717637232180}, {"name": "🪙 Crypto", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "c... | ["internet", "crypto-prices", "crypto-speculation", "prices", "bitcoin"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000001 | 0nXCz7WDdiacWEUkHL9z | {"NO": 1213.8616516956113, "YES": 823.8171117796885} | 0.5957080544066462 | will-i-become-a-manifold-partner-be | 348.28980416272236 | Will I become a Manifold partner before September? | 1719817140000 | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.576174143331976 | False | basic | public | 1717638905547 | Savior of Plant | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I meet the requirements and sent an email applying. I trade on my own markets sometimes and have had some controversial resolutions, which are both frowned upon, I think. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.010567865959839606, "month": 0.029552302592626423} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.653756458278803, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SaviorofPlant | 1719785429810 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | 10 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1698371327350 | 0 | [{"name": "Manifold Users", "slug": "manifold-users", "groupId": "uqVbahk6EJpQP9aKuZiX", "createdTime": 1717638905757}, {"name": "Creator Partner Program", "slug": "creator-partner-program", "groupId": "cd58cb69-0ba9-4fd2-872a-973223fc5161", "createdTime": 1717638905770}, {"name": "Manifold Business Future", "slug": "m... | ["manifold-users", "creator-partner-program", "manifold-business-future", "manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719785426743 | 1717651457942 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4ecb8ZtTW0Txms9WyoLd | are-rock-musicians-on-average-more | 0 | Are rock musicians on average more or less talented in 2020s compared to 1970s | 1718251140000 | m7Iluu9Fc3SjoafbwKFwihscqnq2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1717639620243 | csk1 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718251140274 | csk1 | 1717639620402 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKjzmskM_c7qmY3jYbGGsQLiDCWLDnaoBvb72HlOeuO0Rf0-fs=s96-c | 20 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717639074990 | 0 | [{"name": "🎨 Culture", "slug": "culture-default", "groupId": "eJZecx6r22G2NriYYXcC", "createdTime": 1717639620396}, {"name": "🎷 Music", "slug": "music-f213cbf1eab5", "groupId": "Xuc2UY8gGfjQqFXwxq5d", "createdTime": 1717639620402}] | ["culture-default", "music-f213cbf1eab5"] | 0.25 | ["rsiczl87iv", "3kqj9zplvy"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | pKh3za9847ZHtpFSi4IL | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | will-alec-radford-still-be-at-opena | 0 | Will Alec Radford still be at openAI E0Y 2027 | 1830315540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717642147930 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1717642147930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000004 | 9WHy7LD3LrFirCYkVxVB | {"NO": 9949.874371066187, "YES": 100.5037815259202} | 1 | will-the-nikkei-225-close-on-june-6 | 8999.319882777589 | Will the Nikkei 225 close on June 6th higher than its previous day close? | 1717654607702 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.849721441923073 | True | basic | YES | public | 1717644538634 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.0478860244809135} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 49.44551171140014, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717654607702 | 1000 | RiskOptimization | 1717654607702 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | [{"name": "🏦 Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1717644538784}, {"name": "💵 Finance", "slug": "finance", "groupId": "CgB83AAMkkOHSrTnzani", "createdTime": 1717644538781}, {"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1... | ["economics-default", "finance", "stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717654584672 | 0.99 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
B4iCY2svZYRZpUYaSFyB | how-far-will-the-4th-starship-test | 66125.41072323044 | How far will the 4th Starship test get before exploding? | 1717685140985 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1717644714487 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each option resolves YES if the next (4th) Starship full stack flight test completes that milestone without exploding, NO otherwise (i.e. if it explodes during or before completing that milestone).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 636.5752771599293, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717702187168 | 1200 | jack | 1717685140985 | 0 | 47 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "mncb3irduk", "prob": 0.99, "text": "Clears the launch tower", "index": 0, "poolNo": 994.9874371066192, "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 10.050378152592145, "textFts": "'clear':1 'launch':3 'tower':4", "contractId": "B4iCY2svZYRZpUYaSFyB", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId":... | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1641102645330 | 0 | [{"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1717644714643}, {"name": "Starship Launch Party", "slug": "starship-launch-party", "groupId": "c0364479-2615-4be2-8e3d-74f5d2ab0383", "createdTime": 1717644714723}, {"name": "🚀 Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNIS... | ["space", "starship-launch-party", "spacex"] | 0.25 | 1717684918857 | 1717702178922 | 0.98 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | False | old | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8sBbblQ7PJBJasGhJQJa | magill-tard-fight-what-proportion-o | 11224.190371599167 | Magill Tard Fight: What proportion of new gc members will actually participate (say something even once)? | 1718175179943 | dNDRBKODs0SA7nmcHz9IHJCcNLz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 8.336628881733866 | True | plus | MKT | public | 1717644874912 | 8hqw | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Update: STOP THE COUNT", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I’m no longer in a position to accurately resolve this market. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Don’t throw you... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 217.0343903566612, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718175179943 | 10000 | 2texci6 | 1718176045065 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "0sdiqkkn5s", "prob": 0.22, "text": "Less than 10%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 630.6849034645737, "userId": "dNDRBKODs0SA7nmcHz9IHJCcNLz2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2301.804934355774, "textFts": "'10':3 'less':1", "contractId": "8sBbblQ7PJBJasGhJQJa", "resolution": "CANCEL", "resolverId": "BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNom... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717458091562 | 0 | [{"name": "✖️ X (Twitter)", "slug": "twitter", "groupId": "Y8DDxYXrqOlQFv5AsilH", "createdTime": 1717644875137}] | ["twitter"] | 0.25 | 1718147819649 | 1718176043989 | 0.08 | BgCeVUcOzkexeJpSPRNomWQaQaD3 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
af4rHHeJIeJddxshCpHr | what-color-will-the-2024-breeders-c | 3590.195062783717 | What Color Will The 2024 Breeders' Cup Classic Winning Horse Be? | 1730588400000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1717645434677 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be verified with results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Equibase.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://Equibase.com", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-prima... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 89.45534336754363, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | ovals | 1718194586803 | 0 | 8 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "u15i4zhzw8", "prob": 0.4501665640527459, "text": "Bay", "index": 0, "poolNo": 184.6993739785241, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 225.59181316722515, "textFts": "'bay':1", "contractId": "af4rHHeJIeJddxshCpHr", "createdTime": 1717645434677, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | [{"name": "Grade/Group 1 Race", "slug": "gradegroup-1-race", "groupId": "fbb64085-6bd1-4817-a248-5664ec3093b2", "createdTime": 1717645434878}, {"name": "Del Mar", "slug": "del-mar", "groupId": "473dfbef-ab8d-42da-9e5e-006228be1e3b", "createdTime": 1717645434879}, {"name": "Breeders' Cup", "slug": "breeders-cup", "group... | ["gradegroup-1-race", "del-mar", "breeders-cup", "sports-default", "horse-racing"] | 0.25 | 1718194583601 | 1717651412364 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | HnI2lD13dLdOqVA3DodD | {"NO": 79.01769538576531, "YES": 126.55393138435494} | 0.38438035748059024 | will-a-new-antitrust-case-be-filed | 66.93268141396148 | Will a new antitrust case be filed against Nvidia, OpenAI, or Microsoft in 2024? | 1735718340000 | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717646692989 | Savior of Plant | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/nvidia-microsoft-openai-antitrust-doj-ftc.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/nvidia-microsoft-openai-antitrust-doj-ftc.htm... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.11561964251940976} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.153766594095138, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | SaviorofPlant | 1717706829861 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1698371327350 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1717646693149}, {"name": "Nvidia", "slug": "nvidia", "groupId": "43f31fc9-9568-44c6-842c-7c9e091b81c3", "createdTime": 1717646693153}, {"name": "🇺🇸 US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": ... | ["ai", "nvidia", "us-politics", "openai"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717706826723 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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YuUohD0RPHlNUoi5MDfg | in-the-first-event-when-ai-kills-at | 5136.095549453235 | In the first event when AI kills at least 1,000 people, how many people will be killed? | 2209071540000 | Hd8tCTjDRwRtvssZ42JtF2sgCfg1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 6.4295573131591155 | False | plus | public | 1717662402898 | Ihor Kendiukhov | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Criteria for Resolution:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Intentional Killing:", "type": "text"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 108.83179365507632, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 10000 | IhorKendiukhov | 1718408265375 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY_LCXlnQVZAJ2jXC13YFJNvtOWrpX0gMSDHrcWDg=s96-c | 21 | 0 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "njmmgcvslm", "prob": 0.4168703061891371, "text": "0.001M-0.1M", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2100.232720894998, "userId": "Hd8tCTjDRwRtvssZ42JtF2sgCfg1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 2937.8635160245653, "textFts": "'-0.1':3 '0.001':1 'm':2,4", "contractId": "YuUohD0RPHlNUoi5MDfg", "createdTime": 1717662402899, "probC... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1680382822335 | 0 | [{"name": "🤖 AI", "slug": "ai", "groupId": "yEWvvwFFIqzf8JklMewp", "createdTime": 1717662403077}, {"name": "AI risk", "slug": "ai-risk", "groupId": "KIhsoJW7X87JwWSgB3Vt", "createdTime": 1717662403085}, {"name": "AI Safety", "slug": "ai-safety", "groupId": "DnxTZ1P5XEEfnHxy7Q7d", "createdTime": 1717662403081}] | ["ai", "ai-risk", "ai-safety"] | 0.25 | 1718408262200 | 1717708514154 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5321313246149434 | Do3JB4Xnd87AlCz1JxjE | {"NO": 1712.6274124651168, "YES": 1324.6556112129515} | 0.5952179438848246 | will-alphatom-reach-2100-elo-in-bul | 403 | Will AlphaTom reach 2100 ELO in Bullet by the end of 2024? | 1735689540000 | KVTphoQbaDbmPTayI06VSlf2Sao2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.170620385680138 | False | basic | public | 1717664653430 | nic | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If AlphaTom (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://lichess.org/@/AlphaTom", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://lichess.org/@/AlphaTom", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:d... | BINARY | {"day": 6.661338147750939e-16, "week": 6.661338147750939e-16, "month": 0.09521794388482463} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 12.853730768571232, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1500 | nic_kup | 1717968757984 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gi1nJQXNQ3PA-wqCPsU9jqSly3kAwGkSulM3lRmYw=s96-c | 11 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1640787423776 | 0 | [{"name": "♟️ Chess", "slug": "chess", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1717664653575}] | ["chess"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717968754872 | 1717674494362 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000002 | n6cvLko4VvYexleT1D38 | {"NO": 199.99999999999994, "YES": 50.00000000000002} | 0.8 | will-scars-go-live-today | 1291.5723836260977 | will scars go live today? | 1720290540000 | K7kKl2hkOPffLZLlL4MTKkvo0ni2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1717668678630 | jayse | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.29519164074461623, "month": 0.30000000000000004} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 16.230238902693905, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | fettyluciano | 1719916311415 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717667684135 | 0 | [{"name": "📈 Stocks", "slug": "stocks", "groupId": "QDQfgsFiQrNNlZhsRGf5", "createdTime": 1717668679270}] | ["stocks"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719899647316 | 1719916310457 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | uv0mYI8V8jObViCzqlOL | {"NO": 11.914185376858711, "YES": 839.3356057245301} | 0 | will-flight-dl257-be-delayed-by-30 | 834.2738582879502 | Will flight DL257 be delayed by 30 minutes or more? | 1717883940000 | JNkmw38JICdw6ySJ9RgWK7WyBdE2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1717669010828 | Sylvie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/DAL257", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/DAL257", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.365538268322261, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718688599830 | 100 | sylv | 1717883940000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJyoOZtkrJBItDvRE0HvcRDn8txM-_v033jFIifZ=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1645008108574 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717878087473 | 1717976448313 | 0.01 | JNkmw38JICdw6ySJ9RgWK7WyBdE2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000013 | wRoYhJPVojiWS6tpF7GG | {"NO": 17463.27526965257, "YES": 57.26302681248944} | 1 | will-starship-ift4-survive-past-the | 47588.65946701837 | Will Starship IFT-4 survive past the point of maximum re-entry heating? [non-early-closing market for live trading] | 1717682248721 | EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.822132295000532 | True | basic | YES | public | 1717671168293 | Chris Billington | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves identically to:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "THPsMRwQWcaZttCDbZvv", "label": "/chrisjbillington/in-starshipsuperheavy-ift4-will-sta"}}, {"text": " ", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 434.11954130365484, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717682248721 | 1000 | chrisjbillington | 1717682248721 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1671703032816 | 0 | [{"name": "Starship Launch Party", "slug": "starship-launch-party", "groupId": "c0364479-2615-4be2-8e3d-74f5d2ab0383", "createdTime": 1717671168437}, {"name": "Rockets", "slug": "rockets", "groupId": "Z1UrYn5vMs6e3iJAifxC", "createdTime": 1717671168438}, {"name": "🚀 Spacex", "slug": "spacex", "groupId": "5PW6TJT2EhJNI... | ["starship-launch-party", "rockets", "spacex", "space"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717682240889 | 1717682098120 | 0.99 | EJQOCF3MfLTFYbhiKncrNefQDBz1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | gFvQxzR1JPSjQK3dhhok | {"NO": 120.09250998466348, "YES": 83.26913977630299} | 0 | will-tatum-and-brown-each-score-20 | 256.8947801786867 | Will Tatum and Brown each score 20 points (or more) for Boston Celtics in Game 1 of NBA finals? | 1717728566723 | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1717672396098 | Bruce | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.261191251568574, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1717728566723 | 100 | Bruce54df | 1717728566723 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c | 8 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697633597735 | 0 | [{"name": "🏀 Basketball", "slug": "basketball", "groupId": "NjkFkdkvRvBHoeMDQ5NB", "createdTime": 1717672396233}, {"name": "NBA Playoffs", "slug": "nba-playoffs", "groupId": "8f8bc28b-e3cc-4cb4-885f-6486002430f1", "createdTime": 1717672396238}, {"name": "NBA", "slug": "nba", "groupId": "i0v3cXwuxmO9fpcInVYb", "created... | ["basketball", "nba-playoffs", "nba"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1717726380735 | 0.59 | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999999 | dVzTwJWK5U7fclT7XChz | {"NO": 6190.648910366125, "YES": 161.53395459489275} | 1 | will-the-boeing-starliner-abort-the | 19180.627274681454 | Will the Boeing Starliner that launched on June 5 encounter major, mission-changing problems? | 1718377022349 | J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.87822688876145 | True | basic | YES | public | 1717673148288 | Steve Sokolowski | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The Boeing Starliner, which has been plauged with failures since its inception, had two additional helium leaks occur during the evening of June 5, hours after launch into orbit. Engineers spent the night troubleshooting the issue, and were only ab... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 276.32273051247495, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718377022349 | 1000 | SteveSokolowski | 1718377022349 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c | 54 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1692195009054 | 0 | [{"name": "🖥️ Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1717673148429}, {"name": "🧪 Science", "slug": "science-default", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1717673148430}, {"name": "🌌 Space", "slug": "space", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "create... | ["technology-default", "science-default", "space", "starliner"] | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718374636935 | 1718377011885 | 0.97 | J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2 | 0 |
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