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Plasma Ballin'

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1717739113121

Plasma Ballin'

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Snake Eyes Round 4? [Placeholder]

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1717739187576

Plasma Ballin'

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PlasmaBallin

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Snake Eyes Round 5? [Placeholder]

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Plasma Ballin'

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PlasmaBallin

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Snake Eyes Round 6? [Placeholder]

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Plasma Ballin'

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Plasma Ballin'

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TonyPepperoni 🪿

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TonyPepperoni 🪿

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[1000M Bounty] what are some good books about the Weimar Republic?

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TBTBTB

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Will "Don't accelerate problems you're trying to solve" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

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Will an antibiotic peptide from Santos-Junior et al 2024 be used to cure a human of an infection before 2035?

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is-the-anonleopard-model-on-the-cha

148.91427486700718

Is the "anon-leopard" model on the Chatbot Arena Grok 2?

1720421940000

FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

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1717757676562

Savior of Plant

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is-the-anonleopard-model-on-the-cha-eha6nvzex5

290

Is the "anon-leopard" model on the Chatbot Arena the ~400B parameter Llama-3?

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FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1717757787567

Savior of Plant

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SaviorofPlant

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Will "Response to Aschenbrenner's "Situational Awar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

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9.851896263746637

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"Manhattan Project" for AGI before 2029?

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Tossup

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2024-09-20: Will AAPL close above $265?

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John David Pressman

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Which F1 team will Esteban Ocon sign with for 2025?

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Will the Sierra Madre cease being garrisoned by Filipino soldiers by 2025?

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none

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MercurialGuesser

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