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{"NO": 138.21317578318406, "YES": 72.35200221205464}

0.656391418082952

one-month-from-today-will-nvidia-nv

510.3068839421764

One month from today, will Nvidia NVDA be worth more than today?

1721102340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1718430974039

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Using current price of 131.88 USD", "type": "text"}]}]}

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one-month-from-today-will-trump-hav

278.43398701099244

One month from today, will Trump have revealed his vice president running mate?

1721102340000

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cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1718431015551

chris (strutheo)

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one-month-from-today-will-jimmy-car

2145.06493155392

One month from today, will Jimmy Carter still be alive?

1721102340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1718431048312

chris (strutheo)

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one-month-from-today-will-bitcoin-b

289

One month from today, will Bitcoin be worth $75,000 USD or more?

1721102340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1718431088752

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

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one-month-from-today-will-biden-be

835.3834591683143

One month from today, will Biden be leading Trump on FiveThirtyEight's general election poll?

1721102340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

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1718431304486

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/", "class": "break-anywhere hover...

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one-month-from-today-will-lightcone

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One month from today, will Lightcone/Lighthaven (Manifest Venue) have raised $2000 or more through Manifold donations?

1721102340000

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

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1718431365468

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/charity/lightcone", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/charity/lightcone", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-pr...

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one-month-from-today-will-israel-an

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One month from today, will Israel and Palestine have agreed to a ceasefire deal?

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

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1718431498722

chris (strutheo)

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one-month-from-today-will-manifold

127

One month from today, will Manifold pay out Spice/Prize Points as USD to at least one USA state?

1721102340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

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1718431763945

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be through the website, not in person. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

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one-month-from-today-will-gamestop

302

One month from today, will Gamestop have the same CEO as today?

1721102340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

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1718431877045

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

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one-month-from-today-will-chat-gpt5

279

One month from today, will Chat GPT-5 have been announced?

1721102340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1718431914471

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Must be Chat GPT 5. Does not have to be fully released, just officially announced. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

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one-month-from-today-will-israel-ha

609.2004623654966

One month from today, will Israel have declared war on Hezbollah or Lebanon?

1721102340000

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

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1718431993966

chris (strutheo)

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one-month-from-today-will-the-supre

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One month from today, will the Supreme Court have issued a decision on Trump's immunity case?

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hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

True

play

YES

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1718432298617

chris (strutheo)

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1719894933587

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strutheo

1719894933587

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one-month-from-today-will-trump-and

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One month from today, will Trump and Biden have debated?

1719544610151

hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2

cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

True

play

YES

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1718432326978

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

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1719544610151

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strutheo

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one-month-from-today-will-ten-or-mo

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One month from today, will ten or more of the Manifest 2024 talks have been uploaded on YouTube for public viewing?

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

True

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YES

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1718432514708

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

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{"creatorFee": 20.777647445332242, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1719628133014

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{"NO": 460.7398362207137, "YES": 21.704222673746784}

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will-cat-outperform-dog-in-the-mont

365

Will CAT outperform DOG in the month of July 2024?

1722484740000

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cpmm-1

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10.586609649448985

False

play

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1718433833103

chris (strutheo)

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "CAT ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CAT:NYSE", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CAT:NYSE", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoratio...

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Is this a satisfying definition of life?

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none

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1000000

False

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singer

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"Life is a self-sustaining chemical system capable of Darwinian evolution."

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singer

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This definition is often credited to NASA astrobiologist Gerald Joyce.", "type": "text"}]}]}

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Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?

1893538740000

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2.9444389791664407

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1718436784371

Ihor Kendiukhov

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IhorKendiukhov

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Will a single company in S&P 500 have a larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2035?

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8.606760203775824

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1718436957761

Ihor Kendiukhov

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UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 6,000,000 votes?

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9.849914003102423

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basic

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1718438508039

Simon Grayson

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Will rileytheno1vegan learn Logic and answer Ask Yourself’s two questions successfully, before Fall?

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