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0.5 | ahak1hnl9o | {"NO": 74.63364031348188, "YES": 133.9878365573117} | 0.35774667801678467 | will-prince-harry-be-formally-strip-86vkiyvjw3 | 35 | Will Prince Harry be formally stripped of his royal title by the end of 2030? | 1925020740000 | WQ7zVUq9PUXTEeENi9qjF1DlF9Y2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718486712765 | Bruno Clawfeld | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Description:", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to \"Yes\" if, by December 31, 2030, official confirmation is received from the British Royal Family, or a representativ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.14225332198321533} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.012163442688292, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | BrunoClawfeld | 1718552500139 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBrunoClawfeld%2F2xCH0tLgSL._AC_SX625_?alt=media&token=21769a6d-ae71-40e6-b534-fa9786f55ff3 | 2 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1690746063357 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718552497091 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | nn08z5lypa | {"NO": 57.76145182170852, "YES": 173.12584231550943} | 0.25017163476904225 | will-major-tech-company-announce-fu | 75 | Will major tech company announce functional brain-computer interface able to read complex human thoughts by end of 2030? | 1925107140000 | WQ7zVUq9PUXTEeENi9qjF1DlF9Y2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718487658853 | Bruno Clawfeld | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Full question: ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "\"Will a major tech company publicly announce the development of a functional brain-computer interface (BCI) capable of reading and interpreting comple... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.24982836523095775} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.874157684490549, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | BrunoClawfeld | 1718496895474 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBrunoClawfeld%2F2xCH0tLgSL._AC_SX625_?alt=media&token=21769a6d-ae71-40e6-b534-fa9786f55ff3 | 1 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1690746063357 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718496892413 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | dm0p41bsnt | {"NO": 71.73881862773287, "YES": 139.3945452585721} | 0.33977964120518683 | complex-communication-with-a-nonhum | 55 | Complex communication with a non-human animal by 2050 | 2556140340000 | B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 7.4905294020607105 | False | play | public | 1718489564116 | Elliot Davies | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "By end of the year 2050, will it be possible for humans to ask a non-human animal \"What do you think about the way humans treat other animals?\" and get a complex thoughtful response. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.16022035879481317} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.5838827171647694, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | ElliotDavies | 1718633821036 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Na22pX-P2VyNzHlR-YpR-bxfSxgHSK2mal8XsGg=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1669130705908 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718602009090 | 1718633819659 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.10469313789667278 | w9m0z0vxkc | {"NO": 899.8090195193232, "YES": 1635.4388939368218} | 0.06044815810378904 | will-nemotron4340b-rank-higher-than | 727.6321230563346 | Will nemotron-4-340b rank higher than GPT-4-0125-preview on LMSYS leaderboard at any point before 07/15/2024? | 1721098740000 | a1t2fEDH94fyS9FTV2D1nREuVpj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.227293074212248 | False | basic | public | 1718491515807 | Emanuel R | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.43955184189621094} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.25467244113114, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | EmanuelR | 1718666710558 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1701823118470 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718666707505 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | gca1uwce9t | {"NO": 95.19243458076987, "YES": 105.0503650215511} | 0.47538505639064443 | will-luffy-find-the-one-piece-befor | 15 | Will Luffy find the One Piece before Bitcoin reaches $100K? | 1798779540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718492782677 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve YES if an issue of the One Piece manga featuring Luffy finding the One Piece treasure releases before Bitcoin reaches $100K USD for the first time on multiple exchanges. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.024614943609355566} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5030517399086635, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1718592206152 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718592203088 | 1718492962954 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.46542251422648917 | lc0z7npcjm | {"NO": 3911.767320400068, "YES": 4096.771048518407} | 0.4539456823476175 | will-macos-sequoia-15-be-the-last-m | 100 | Will macOS Sequoia (15) be the last major version of macOS to support Macs with Intel CPU’s? | 1748786340000 | wgMBQd06kLbT8Ce73b0oUelZwfQ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.740041080573723 | False | basic | public | 1718496980142 | Sky Velleity | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If the next major version of macOS (name unknown but version 16) is not officially provided with X86-64 binaries for Intel Macs, and the iMac Pro (2017), Mac mini (2018), Mac Pro (2019) et al. have no official support for running the latest version... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.04605431765238249} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.2289514815931253, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 4000 | SkyVelleity | 1718629481305 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJu7ngEUVYGJZmNny19ak2sEtKswe2Fy7DdHZgARBfv=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697643860978 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718629478156 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | gaqaqt1zy6 | {"NO": 237.4729821121798, "YES": 42.11005357769966} | 1 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-srh8d5hb84 | 160.965350781601 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on June 21 than it closed on June 14? | 1718600340000 | Ag5nFFSKQAMUyEdcfmon8iy31O12 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1718502348747 | Jim Fix | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.301352748195771, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719000242828 | 100 | JimFix | 1718600340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKby3m-W4SFKUQ-LGikDwd5HxXNONtBgiWy97ne8-tQ=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1696775041650 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718599150441 | 0.85 | Ag5nFFSKQAMUyEdcfmon8iy31O12 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
xikaig5ty2 | after-stage-3-of-the-2024-tour-de-f | 5809.497024911529 | After Stage 3 of the 2024 Tour de France, who will wear the Maillot Jaune? | 1719845940000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | t1gwiay34d | public | 1718507721424 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be resolved with verified results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.letour.fr/en/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.letour.fr/en/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:unde... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 43.973647906257675, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719859350914 | 1000 | ovals | 1719923810935 | 0 | 7 | 7 | ANYONE | [{"id": "64ylspeuqg", "prob": 0.7442870266721444, "text": "Tadej Pogacar", "index": 0, "poolNo": 284.34303400045036, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 97.6910789301548, "textFts": "'pogacar':2 'tadej':1", "contractId": "xikaig5ty2", "resolverId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "cre... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719845134436 | 1719923809876 | {"t1gwiay34d": 100} | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ptk3lhgoqu | which-super-smash-bros-64-character-jyz0j66dtz | 0 | Which Super Smash Bros 64 character do you like to play as the most? | 1721102340000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1718507739734 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "4eqilBp71W26jdiDJb9G", "label": "/strutheo/which-super-smash-bros-64-character"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | strutheo | 1718512577297 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | 1718512575892 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
hww5953c75 | after-stage-4-of-the-2024-tour-de-f | 10344.169992634961 | After Stage 4 of the 2024 Tour de France, who will wear the Maillot Jaune? | 1719932340000 | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | 8pf2t2vuvs | public | 1718507760000 | Stuart Slagle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The question will be resolved with verified results published at ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.letour.fr/en/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.letour.fr/en/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:unde... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 150.992630224808, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719932557318 | 1200 | ovals | 1719932340000 | 0 | 9 | 9 | ANYONE | [{"id": "8pf2t2vuvs", "prob": 0.9771463540915021, "text": "Tadej Pogacar", "index": 0, "poolNo": 1123.7239969429058, "userId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 26.2818258672133, "textFts": "'pogacar':2 'tadej':1", "contractId": "hww5953c75", "resolverId": "JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1", "cre... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697477345360 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719932102515 | 1719932478903 | {"8pf2t2vuvs": 100} | JVkUeNTIsaUBG8h6W2Px7vQCMMw1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
81ddnnr3m2 | which-chrome-plugin-will-i-prefer-f | 15 | Which chrome plugin will I prefer for text-to-speech in three days? (RP English, 2.5x speed) | 1718737679270 | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | yofrnni1p8 | public | 1718508334490 | Jonathan Ray | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Requirements:", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Natural-sounding BBC/RP English", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Speed setting that goes up to at least 2.5x", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "ha... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2402855184642594, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718737679270 | 100 | JonathanRay | 1718739217399 | 0 | 2 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "yofrnni1p8", "prob": 0.5684035501612756, "text": "NaturalReader", "index": 0, "poolNo": 57.37985724076787, "userId": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 43.569296269070755, "textFts": "'naturalread':1", "contractId": "81ddnnr3m2", "resolverId": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "createdT... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1647294987992 | 0 | 0.25 | 1718512088579 | 1718739215810 | {"yofrnni1p8": 100} | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000003 | ii58o0wh8x | {"NO": 40.18406355313891, "YES": 248.8548722001729} | 0.1390264721547243 | will-the-united-states-usda-officia | 317 | Will the United States USDA officially replace the MyPlate nutrition guide by the end of 2026? | 1798779540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718508858346 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_USDA_nutrition_guidelines", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_USDA_nutrition_guidelines", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:d... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.3609735278452757} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.492323929771022, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1718921815916 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718921812695 | 1718508989368 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0etgib39a2 | which-hogwarts-house-do-you-sort-yo-mg7hoputcx | 0 | Which Hogwarts house do you sort Yossarian (Catch 22) into? | 1721188740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1718511311982 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "contract-mention", "attrs": {"id": "uTlSC8uAmahCXmb1M66r", "label": "/strutheo/which-persons-hogwarts-house-will-b"}}, {"text": " ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | strutheo | 1719813678419 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719813676580 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.23194026142452565 | lv41nqg73m | {"NO": 8709.77774341809, "YES": 14663.883974285998} | 0.15208652485990726 | will-rock-paper-scissors-poker-appe | 6539.995634349736 | Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024? | 1735718340000 | tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.878112728558203 | False | plus | public | 1718511663805 | SG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Rock paper scissors poker", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Rock-Paper-Scissors-Poker-a77d63a1537941ebb15f8f81194dbabb?pvs=4", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decorati... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -0.04595301293870993, "month": -0.34791347514009274} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 108.78757729168957, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 10000 | SG | 1719913001296 | 0 | 45 | 3 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1639156540325 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719912998015 | 1719868236338 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
61z2aj6ko1 | market-quest-what-tier-will-the-tra | 344.20153361524603 | 💎Market Quest: What tier will traders level this market up to by the end of the year? | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 9.888424674859078 | False | basic | public | 1718511770724 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "HOW TO PLAY:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market starts as a Mini/Play", "type": "text"}]}]}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type":... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.979057132550127, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | strutheo | 1719878043882 | 0 | 6 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "lhkvc8slc7", "prob": 0.041530144641649086, "text": "Mini/Play", "index": 0, "poolNo": 5.25037863765604, "userId": "hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 121.17293827972895, "textFts": "'mini/play':1", "contractId": "61z2aj6ko1", "createdTime": 1718511770724, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "wee... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | False | 1719438485709 | 1719878038444 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999996 | 7bcs50hulr | {"NO": 59.27489783638235, "YES": 168.705478457393} | 0.260000000000003 | will-bitcoin-reach-77777-usd-before | 2080.578470432181 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,777 USD before the end of 2024? | 1735707540000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718513056189 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if it reaches 77,777 USD on multiple mainstream exchanges by my judgement ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.18172017234661353, "month": -0.239999999999997} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 24.038729254276433, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1720085071391 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720085068338 | 1718514326139 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | cfib70scnx | {"NO": 32.29697286494505, "YES": 309.626541218479} | 0.09445671775900472 | one-month-from-today-will-robert-f | 485.41564225713523 | One month from today, will Robert F Kennedy have announced that he is suspending his campaign? | 1721188740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718513660149 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": -0.08960079605415808, "month": -0.4055432822409953} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.820740442516278, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1719770952255 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719770949097 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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l2k3t9ejp1 | which-of-the-following-is-true-abou | 0 | Which of the following is true about Elon Musk? | 1719125940000 | UhNLru5kyBYquOsZaisU2YG2RK02 | none | 0 | 1000000 | True | public | 1718513803252 | ClubmasterTransparent | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Related market resolves to this. I’ll be online tomorrow (Saturday) to address the inevitable learnings, aspects I hadn’t thought of, room for improvement, and gripes.", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719125940831 | ClubmasterTransparent | 1718979280662 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1696796918520 | 0 | 0.25 | 1718979278776 | ["ezlynucu9m"] | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | c5w11pxa8b | {"NO": 134.98044909763252, "YES": 74.08480314632023} | 0.6456378936664587 | one-month-from-today-will-trump-hav-wv7s0y62ev | 90.78267764425136 | One month from today, will Trump have filed an appeal in his New York hush money trial? | 1721188740000 | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718513829754 | chris (strutheo) | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.07934954534233007, "month": 0.14563789366645874} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.2368732581161264, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | strutheo | 1719936836314 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700846926650 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719935660515 | 1719936834981 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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i6iwnxebsp | how-much-antiesg-activism-will-sp-5 | 370 | [Anti-woke activism] How many anti-ESG proposals will large companies face in 2025 relative to 2024? | 1753945140000 | NIDSXnqp4yUVKjlSF1NMrUw0Dbx1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 6.727098853470618 | False | plus | public | 1718544148040 | protomer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "How many anti-ESG proposals will large companies face in 2025 relative to 2024?", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "• Based on number of anti-ESG measures up for vote ... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 10.879638374283436, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 10000 | promisemender | 1718570886359 | 0 | 6 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "gtoz45ovso", "prob": 0.08959415366986796, "text": "Anti-ESG proposals INCREASE by more than 50%", "index": 0, "poolNo": 426.53021697960037, "userId": "NIDSXnqp4yUVKjlSF1NMrUw0Dbx1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 4334.1623004279245, "textFts": "'50':9 'anti':2 'anti-esg':1 'esg':3 'increas':5 'propos':4", "contr... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1718170514202 | 0 | 0.25 | 1718570883203 | 1718549564577 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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wqk4a1eg9e | who-wiill-win-melee-singles-at-supe | 162.03220258475096 | Who wiill win melee singles at Supernova 2024? | 1723645740000 | 4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718612014632 | Tripping | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://liquipedia.net/smash/Supernova/2024/Melee", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://liquipedia.net/smash/Supernova/2024/Melee", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decora... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.1091580490688635, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | Tripping | 1720062762280 | 0 | 7 | 1 | ANYONE | [{"id": "eaz0jjwu67", "prob": 0.14970554665957078, "text": "Zain", "index": 0, "poolNo": 8.410687910921471, "userId": "4xOTMCIOkGesdJft50wVFZFb5IB3", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 47.77085043947317, "textFts": "'zain':1", "contractId": "wqk4a1eg9e", "createdTime": 1718612014632, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "mon... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1669033757222 | 0 | 0.25 | 1720062759121 | 1719338235646 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
46x8s57zj4 | will-midjourney-offer-a-developers | 0 | Will MidJourney offer a developers API before the end of 2025? | 1751317140000 | WKKdTCqHduaNtJN6rUYpPKXwK8U2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1718613433501 | Iason Koukas | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "It has to offer at least a simple text-to-image interface. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | IasonKoukas | 1718613433538 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJJIJyDLPEuPXNOzTrfsptZ48FfaLCZm5IfcjrS0XnYKx8=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702729254788 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000006 | udddnt09gc | {"NO": 1044.9024987908801, "YES": 957.0270921518163} | 0.5219476766407369 | will-any-western-countries-go-to-wa | 2247.571743 | Will any Western countries go to war against each other before 2070? | 3155846340000 | vqzP814GiUf0mm7j2SHkiy5vixy1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.425862770571019 | False | basic | public | 1718614888101 | AVS | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves the same as the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "original question on Metaculus", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20588/western-war-by-2070/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:un... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.021947676640736935} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 74.00806442528173, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AVS | 1719811736129 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxOdjufQBz5ZO2pfxGwJKglhiWwsNVt1TDjdChO=s96-c | 29 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1647160245908 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719080821868 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | qi9bcqyjft | {"NO": 412.63359686257064, "YES": 2423.4575361856755} | 0.14549377206333633 | will-israel-hold-elections-before-7 | 2914.004063859538 | Will Israel hold elections before 7th October 2024? | 1728255540000 | rFJu0EIdR6RP8d1vHKSh62pbnbH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.696117042691096 | False | basic | public | 1718616713077 | Simon Grayson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Anti-government protesters are demanding that Benjamin Netanyahu calls an election before 7th October - the anniversary of the Hamas attack on Israel. Meanwhile, Netanyahu has dissolved his war cabinet following the resignation of Benny Gantz:", "t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.02247752168927164, "month": -0.35450622793666364} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 61.29647676915333, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SimonGrayson | 1720003488233 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1680512856506 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720003485087 | 1718633052717 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | dreduy5725 | {"NO": 985.7108582335328, "YES": 1014.4962811833831} | 0.4928043895098181 | will-dominion-energy-d-announce-int | 15 | Will Dominion Energy ($D) announce intent to build an ESBWR at North Anna Nuclear Generating Station in 2024? | 1735707540000 | R37sScQRoKT4FQsfoVbrz9uOjyD2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570365495960353 | False | basic | public | 1718617479327 | Bernie B | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "North Anna Nuclear Generating Station has an approved combined construction and operating permit to build an ESBWR at North Anna Nuclear Generating Station ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Combined License Holders For New Reactors | ", "type": "text",... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.007195610490181914} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.5037188166168889, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BernieB | 1718624799083 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocK95m7MeYcOAHitk15lojXt5PU6z-9zG9ULA2fHBFjblBg=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1704591987823 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718624795779 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000002 | z8rflcf89i | {"NO": 1091.9498122706896, "YES": 915.7930051020554} | 0.5438693655493055 | will-i-adopt-a-suggestion-from-this | 117 | Will I adopt a suggestion from this market's thread for a personal goals market on the topic of self care? | 1735685940000 | sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.571534982727483 | False | basic | public | 1718617515606 | redcat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's talk about how you could use Manifold Markets to practice self-care, self-love, self-acceptance. Discipline is good and important and personal goals markets are a good tool to discipline yourself, but can you also use such a tool to support y... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.04386936554930554} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.812349097333087, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | redcat | 1719082399367 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697305658168 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719082396210 | 1718998169025 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000006 | sjg7yp7kkf | {"NO": 910.7060815070574, "YES": 1098.0491075069767} | 0.453368377833072 | will-donald-trump-be-the-president-pah3knwdu7 | 4538.355852617329 | Will Donald Trump be the President of the USA on December 31, 2025? | 1767221940000 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.41573805044259 | False | basic | public | 1718621124787 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.04663162216692801} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 106.85330368062031, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | itsTomekK | 1718870600512 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 39 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1658666303973 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718870597439 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | uquz7kzziy | {"NO": 515.6383125812279, "YES": 1939.3438687558178} | 0.21003749701368438 | will-a-fully-adult-only-airline-exi | 1708.3098216179885 | Will a fully adult only airline exist by the end of 2030? | 1924988340000 | gGDWCSpUoZQuU4G2cyZmCgOUmNS2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.639754546587742 | False | basic | public | 1718621541583 | kian_spire | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Beginning in November 2023, Corendon Airlines has set aside 93 regular seats and nine extra legroom seats in an adults-only section of the aircraft of the company’s Airbus A350 jets, which has a total of 432 seats. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "p... | BINARY | {"day": 2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": 0.008163154063044548, "month": -0.28996250298631565} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 36.28369143067976, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | kian_spire | 1719699935638 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1673711311777 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719699932429 | 1718643107995 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.45647468385669493 | 8n8prosolx | {"NO": 7787.607842338561, "YES": 13342.97500967933} | 0.32893643439429326 | will-apple-release-a-homepod-powere | 11332.698686758838 | Will Apple release a HomePod powered with Apple Intelligence before the end of 2024? | 1735649940000 | LS8QezxzKTM1eIU58fCLKE2KH322 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7873673200915663 | False | plus | public | 1718622384432 | Enrico Susatyo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Current HomePod does not have Apple intelligence. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": -0.001491974290298348, "week": 0.056570615370885036, "month": -0.17106356560570674} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 278.08734836245856, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 50 | 10000 | esusatyo | 1720211244357 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1680581898997 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720211240692 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | azgvpmqfia | {"NO": 21.238250235250064, "YES": 470.8485816502225} | 0.04315955814926788 | will-ammunition-explosion-in-libava | 375 | Will ammunition explosion in Libavá be attributed to Russia? | 1767308340000 | b8FGhyj4KnUsg6EB9jiuEoe5uUb2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718623692081 | Irigi | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Today, there is ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "news", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.novinky.cz/clanek/domaci-vybuch-v-libave-40476670", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.45684044185073214} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.151418349777486, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Irigi | 1718631730624 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1678092865133 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1718631727534 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | mb41t0hthx | {"NO": 124.24522106477698, "YES": 80.48599305712021} | 0.6068699470067189 | will-prisaha-or-motoriste-sobe-gain | 25 | Will Přísaha or Motoristé sobě gain seats in the next Czech parliament? | 1761951540000 | P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1718625395883 | Martin Modrák | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "In the european parliament elections, the right-wing populist coalition of Přísaha (Pledge) and Motoristé sobě (Motorists for Themselves) surprisingly gained over 10% of the vote. Will this be enough to gain seats in the next parliamentary election... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.10686994700671892} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7547789352230186, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | MartinModrak | 1719322070094 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7HFP_PK_TNWTfx75ktiZyS7SJm0vXCF_lL54T-BA=s96-c | 2 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1672234503136 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719322066961 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6v2lleks2c | what-will-be-true-of-the-xkcd-on-we-h806evlkgv | 2286.5109363046 | What will be true of the xkcd on Wednesday, June 19th, 2024? | 1718769540000 | yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | MKT | public | 1718629230146 | EBurk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve any answers to these questions as soon as I see the xkcd posted for the given day and have time to resolve. If it ever appears that the post was skipped (I don’t see anything before the next usual post day) I will resolve all answers... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 53.24613579421, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1718838501780 | 1000 | EBurk | 1718769540000 | 0 | 16 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "bufyyvd8xi", "prob": 0.76, "text": "The comic will have exactly one panel", "index": 0, "poolNo": 256.9584976205924, "userId": "yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 79.4220212769123, "textFts": "'comic':2 'exact':5 'one':6 'panel':7", "contractId": "6v2lleks2c", "resolution": "YES", "res... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1706489499554 | 0 | 0.25 | 1718759090998 | 1718815854402 | 0.11 | yCEJKMJLIic6ei3w3zAgJTjI1Ex2 | False | 0 |
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