Datasets:
CK0607
/
manifold_contracts

Dataset card Data Studio Files
xet
 Community
1
p
string
id
string
pool
string
prob
string
slug
string
volume
string
dpmPool
string
question
string
realAnte
string
closeTime
string
creatorId
string
mechanism
string
startPool
string
totalBets
string
dailyScore
string
elasticity
string
isResolved
string
marketTier
string
resolution
string
visibility
string
createdTime
string
creatorName
string
description
string
outcomeType
string
probChanges
string
subsidyPool
string
totalShares
string
collectedFees
string
phantomShares
string
volume24Hours
string
resolutionTime
string
totalLiquidity
string
creatorUsername
string
lastUpdatedTime
string
popularityScore
string
creatorAvatarUrl
string
likedByUserCount
string
uniqueBettorCount
string
cfmmConversionTime
string
uniqueBettorCountDay
string
addAnswersMode
string
answers
string
bountyLeft
string
bountyTxns
string
closeEmailsSent
string
conversionScore
string
coverImageUrl
string
creatorCreatedTime
string
deleted
string
followerCount
string
freshnessScore
string
groupLinks
string
groupSlugs
string
importanceScore
string
initialProbability
string
isPolitics
string
isRanked
string
isSubsidized
string
lastBetTime
string
lastCommentTime
string
loverUserId1
string
loverUserId2
string
matchCreatorId
string
nonPredictive
string
resolutionProbability
string
resolutions
string
resolverId
string
shouldAnswersSumToOne
string
sort
string
totalBounty
string
unlistedById
string
username
string
viewCount
string
wasDpm
string
0.5000000000000001
90my0q1t5w
{"NO": 85.28478080316674, "YES": 117.25421471246472}
0.4210783241323259
will-we-get-fusion-drives-before-20-gxkevaibpj
210.40520563018936
Will we get fusion drives before 2044?
2340831540000
GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718708897124
RemNi
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if a fusion drive (also known as a fusion rocket) has operated continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st, 2044, demonstrating practical and reliable functionality in space.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {...
BINARY
{"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 0.17550100851179035, "month": -0.07892167586767412}
0
{"creatorFee": 6.155298901367274, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
RemNi
1719912162867
0
https://firebasestorage.…ad4-a4c719e99ff1
4
1
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…i/oxq9cquif1.jpg
1690812555459
0
0.25
0.5
1719912159815
0
8cjinpftie
which-teams-will-qualify-for-the-se
26186.620187617635
Which Teams Will Qualify for the Semifinals in the 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup?
1719296393458
Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
MKT
public
1718709211907
vibhav
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "All teams included who qualified for the Super 8 round of the World Cup", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Teams are in either Group 1 or 2", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Each team wil...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 289.7278619240789, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719296393458
1000
vibhav
1719296393458
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKTsn9RXrE0SP1OYtVuqcua0mnCOCxT_DTAAWHeoRGR-RU=s96-c
27
4
DISABLED
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0.13333333333333333
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1705419897240
0
0.25
1719292030679
1719253398092
0.01
Lk7U1F6C5DXTTXCKYJhmwTok9Ps1
False
prob-desc
0
0.4999999999999981
lggbsjqf7m
{"NO": 994.9874371066203, "YES": 10.05037815259206}
1
will-i-voidvamp-be-demoted-to-plati-ot4ia33d7e
1035.871357363719
Will I @Voidvamp be demoted to Platinum in current Season 14 of Diamond League - Turbo Mystics?
1719921041507
X7mSvL54MORSKmMGAgPmZAdtbnE3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
play
YES
public
1718709612467
Voidvamp
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If I demote, it resolves Yes. Else No. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "As of posting this question I am having 15th Rank. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src":...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0.5460535652294758, "month": 0.5}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.330678196150986, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719921041507
100
Voidvamp
1719921041507
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfER8cY0bFxgzKzHxq7nWjTONOmYo6d3q1Ss0mLH2ydNxc=s96-c
4
3
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…p/uw3mgh60bo.jpg
1692732719220
0
0.25
0.5
1719921024768
1719893482672
0.99
X7mSvL54MORSKmMGAgPmZAdtbnE3
0
0.4021826504669725
hks3657v1h
{"NO": 167.27517205399437, "YES": 248.64324675341015}
0.311576809544917
will-jarod-lucas-make-it-into-the-n
50
Will Jarod Lucas make the NBA?
1893571140000
5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718710516984
ismellpillows
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if he is signed by an NBA team (does not have to play)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO in 2030", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -0.188423190455083}
0
{"creatorFee": 1.3567532465898609, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
200
ismellpillows
1718710976148
0
https://firebasestorage.…d2d-d6578fd4939a
1
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…s/h58117pzxh.jpg
1712019700747
0
0.25
0.5
1718710826720
0
0.5
l0toy149lu
{"NO": 104.8347768930421, "YES": 95.38819365450188}
0.5235901585435151
will-artificial-intelligence-ever-e
14.669553786084212
Will Artificial Intelligence ever experience desire?
1735707540000
En6oeqssPgS1V2r4MrIeZUutxJm1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718711434400
Jack Hammer
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The experience of living is based on a foundation of sensoria from a physical body. That is, input from organs such as lungs that must breathe, a stomach that must be fed, a bladder that must be emptied, muscles that must be moved, etc. Will an a...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.023590158543515094}
0
{"creatorFee": 0.49566932087367194, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Slackhammer
1718822642983
0
https://firebasestorage.…62f-3539b90f2764
2
0
0.13333333333333333
https://storage.googleap…r/rb08xdxne3.jpg
1717570259157
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0.25
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1718740770311
1718822641167
0
0.5000000000000001
6j3hprb6ya
{"NO": 36.85985294175755, "YES": 271.2978810794783}
0.11961359028950241
will-someone-hit-the-barcelona-drai
225.68892302548397
Will someone hit the Barcelona drain cover?
1719318060000
JB70jNzkJpSKbOgabF8lVFuWUsJ3
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718713305894
TurtleCommander7
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.3803864097104976}
0
{"creatorFee": 4.676129222722937, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
TurtleCommander7
1719306158297
0
https://firebasestorage.…9da-f4f8714e25e9
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0.13333333333333333
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1718713026857
0
0.25
0.5
1719306155162
0
e31tqfvu1q
which-manga-series-will-finish-befo
923.12028481877
Which manga series will finish before One Piece does?
1721339940000
zssVPLqijpVK2ZUriKKznMW2mhS2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1718713346985
Punished Ten Shino
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 20.919349854112756, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1100
TenShino
1719109738813
0
https://firebasestorage.…bf5-dc271bcac725
10
0
ANYONE
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0
0.5
utrhkfsii3
{"NO": 40.466990787461384, "YES": 247.1149894125185}
0.14071462599750265
will-humans-rent-their-bodies-out-t
150
Will humans rent their bodies out to AI?
1735707540000
En6oeqssPgS1V2r4MrIeZUutxJm1
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718714757550
Jack Hammer
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will artificial intelligences be willing to pay for real-time nervous system input to experience the physical world through human bodies, and will humans let them do it?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [...
BINARY
{"day": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "week": -2.7755575615628914e-17, "month": -0.3592853740024974}
0
{"creatorFee": 2.885010587481498, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
Slackhammer
1720016340108
0
https://firebasestorage.…62f-3539b90f2764
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0
0.13333333333333333
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0
0.25
0.5
1718735652831
1718965321427
0
nwyld8dlv8
how-many-members-will-the-manifold
7001.878755590268
How Many Members will the Manifold Community on Twitter (X) Have After One Week?
1719261653992
tXhU9337YpgR5HCuSgkMHv98mOl2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
True
basic
pp3c10u8b5
public
1718715538797
Jake Lowery
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold created a community group on Twitter (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://x.com/i/communities/1802848512008483257", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://x.com/i/communities/1802848512008483257", "class": ...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 51.43073303055563, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1719261653992
1000
JakeLowery
1719261653992
0
https://firebasestorage.…6b3-5da57c5274f7
20
0
DISABLED
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tXhU9337YpgR5HCuSgkMHv98mOl2
True
0
ylphwnxntl
will-biden-or-trump-die-from-natura
94
Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
1863557940000
ZDGUp9IAFdYBdFSWTjSsbaSUTBG2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718715632453
Sander Van den Eynden
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old. This, among other problems, brings an increased risk for death from natural causes. The male life expectancy in the USA is 73.5 years, an age they both passed already. What is the chance they...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 2.4621569252003437, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
100
SanderVandenEynden
1719134177297
0
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5
0
DISABLED
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0.13333333333333333
1706487092669
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xeujyo25bh
2024-recap
1419.709647642591
2024 Recap
1735685940000
9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1718715843829
Kongo Landwalker
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the end of the year 12 options with the highest % will resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bet up those that had or will have the most impact, bet down less significant ones.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type"...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
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KongoLandwalker
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0
ANYONE
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1681038287526
0
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0
60jm24hsb2
2025-recap
5
2025 Recap
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9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
basic
public
1718717052013
Kongo Landwalker
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "At the end of the year 12 options with the highest % will resolve YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Bet up those that had or will have the most impact, bet down less significant ones.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type"...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
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KongoLandwalker
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s8lcmtm124
which-species-will-ai-covertly-trai
196.43590035787017
Which species will AI covertly train and employ to do its bidding?
1735707540000
En6oeqssPgS1V2r4MrIeZUutxJm1
cpmm-multi-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718719491559
Jack Hammer
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
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110
Slackhammer
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3bual7owjg
{"NO": 292.8214859674492, "YES": 34.1504994654375}
0.8955552738861563
will-i-ever-meet-lion-in-person
432.1052469126982
Will I meet @Lion in person in 2024?
1735685940000
sDPcNq19nRb2IEcfvU3XP3QCqQ02
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718720621189
redcat
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "mention", "attrs": {"id": "Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73", "label": "Lion"}}, {"text": " offered to meet me in the comment section of my \"Will I meet new people in 2024\" market. The market was already resolved with YES, so I am wondering whether o...
BINARY
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redcat
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ct2vtw2uqw
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will-ula-have-reused-engines-by-the
10
Will ULA have reused engines by the end of 2030?
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rVZerTHa88MIgJAwSucSrjhgOBi2
cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718720696755
Jakob Brünker
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "ULA has previously suggested that a future version of the Vulcan rocket may reuse the engine section by separating it from the first stage and recovering it on the ground. They call this \"SMART reuse\".", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"...
BINARY
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5
100
JakobBrunker
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0
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qg1zzcqj1u
{"NO": 148.63083811569874, "YES": 67.28078860872532}
0.6883873757544411
will-real-madrid-beat-barcelona-el
50
Will Real Madrid beat Barcelona? | El Clásico
1730087940000
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cpmm-1
0
10.586609649448985
False
play
public
1718720982373
The Official
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "October 27, 2024 match", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "More liquidity to be added", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type"...
BINARY
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0
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100
10thOfficial
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Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid? | El Clásico
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What will be true of the partner or partners in my next romantic relationship?
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Will the pope announce the second coming of Jesus Christ within the next 30 days ?
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Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?
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What are the key elements of a successful fashion portfolio?
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Bitcoin daily close will be below $64,000 on 18-06-2024?
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Mr Singh
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Will Oregon voters pass or fail IP-17 (Oregon Rebate) and by what margin?
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Lukas Day
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Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap at least one time before the end of 2024?
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chris (strutheo)
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Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap at least one time before the end of Juneteenth 2025?
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What is the FAIREST rule about clawing back FTX money from the charities that the FTX Future Fund gave to?
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Jonathan Ray
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Will @Domer win his $70k bet against Martin Shkreli over the authenticity of $DJT on Solana?
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chris (strutheo)
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Will Martin Shkreli pay @Domer ~$30,000 USD as a result of their bet by the end of 2024?
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chris (strutheo)
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UK General Election 2024 - Reform UK to win 7 or more seats
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Will we get synthetic kidneys before 2035?
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Will Congress ban the sale of USA citizen genetic information to foreign companies or organizations by end of 2025?
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Will Congress ban the sale of USA citizen genetic information to foreign companies or organizations by end of 2026?
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Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2038?
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💀Which celebrities will be on the DeathList 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
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chris (strutheo)
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💀Which celebrity will be rank #1 on the DeathList 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
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chris (strutheo)
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Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on Juneteenth 2025?
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cpmm-1
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Will Egan Bernal win another Grand Tour in his career?
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cpmm-1
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Will Ron Jeremy live long enough to see the first released sex/porn film shot on the moon?
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Will X/Twitter outlive Elon Musk being in control?
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Will Leonarda Jonie be banned from X OR Instagram OR YouTube before the 2024 American Election?
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