p string | id string | pool string | prob string | slug string | volume string | dpmPool string | question string | realAnte string | closeTime string | creatorId string | mechanism string | startPool string | totalBets string | dailyScore string | elasticity string | isResolved string | marketTier string | resolution string | visibility string | createdTime string | creatorName string | description string | outcomeType string | probChanges string | subsidyPool string | totalShares string | collectedFees string | phantomShares string | volume24Hours string | resolutionTime string | totalLiquidity string | creatorUsername string | lastUpdatedTime string | popularityScore string | creatorAvatarUrl string | likedByUserCount string | uniqueBettorCount string | cfmmConversionTime string | uniqueBettorCountDay string | addAnswersMode string | answers string | bountyLeft string | bountyTxns string | closeEmailsSent string | conversionScore string | coverImageUrl string | creatorCreatedTime string | deleted string | followerCount string | freshnessScore string | groupLinks string | groupSlugs string | importanceScore string | initialProbability string | isPolitics string | isRanked string | isSubsidized string | lastBetTime string | lastCommentTime string | loverUserId1 string | loverUserId2 string | matchCreatorId string | nonPredictive string | resolutionProbability string | resolutions string | resolverId string | shouldAnswersSumToOne string | sort string | totalBounty string | unlistedById string | username string | viewCount string | wasDpm string |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.5000000000000002 | 19raelusxu | {"NO": 816.4965809277264, "YES": 1224.7448713915908} | 0 | will-the-first-us-election-debate-b | 758.0788593209144 | Will the first US election debate be boring, according to manifold? | 1719555302549 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.576725540588894 | True | basic | NO | public | 1719370206534 | Bayesian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to a poll that will be open for 3 days after the debate.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.39999999999999997, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.8207852720618, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719886024809 | 1000 | Bayesian | 1719555302549 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1656040913178 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719554638103 | 1719555400585 | 0.4 | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000004 | w0i4gycrls | {"NO": 680.3528430743631, "YES": 1469.8255621027795} | 0.31641692681696937 | if-elected-will-donald-trump-disman | 573.5234920792522 | If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised? | 1863676740000 | wqiUScMYYtey2ThDgMzz5Ruhkrh1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.576070898355617 | False | basic | public | 1719376452887 | winthefin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve yes if Donald Trump is elected and the department of education’s authority/power is significantly limited in any way. This will also resolve yes if the department of education is merged with another department (like the department... | BINARY | {"day": 0.008436531687613102, "week": -0.06387727031673535, "month": -0.18358307318303063} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.377144922285392, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 28.5234920792522 | 1000 | WinstonWalker | 1720212812385 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702834154769 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720212809039 | 1719786729616 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | tlt1b31a08 | {"NO": 32.922901155442695, "YES": 303.7399393445269} | 0.09779190690172314 | will-aella-and-jimmy-carter-have-se | 250 | Hi | 1719603584571 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1719378373516 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.4022080930982769} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.074866393199215, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719603584571 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1719603618879 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719463458079 | 1719603617731 | 0.1 | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000002 | fj4f2uylvf | {"NO": 1151.1138491927852, "YES": 868.7238023426148} | 0.5699041446810118 | will-anthropic-add-web-browsing-sup | 696.4729068483692 | Will Anthropic add web browsing support to Claude within ~3 months? (before Oct 24) | 1727819940000 | xQqqZqlgcoSxTgPe03BiXmVE2JJ2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.573410601062815 | False | basic | public | 1719379269950 | Soli ꩜ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I was talking with my new friend Claude about some recent events, and it had no idea about them. So, being a good friend, I kept going back and forth copying all relevant information from the internet so that Claude would have the context it needed... | BINARY | {"day": 0.025595203877538664, "week": 0.14950273510103507, "month": 0.0699041446810118} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.368319670499115, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 60 | 1000 | Soli | 1720167600128 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1695418453844 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720167597020 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | i3wnkdkq0z | {"NO": 1207.8766380389168, "YES": 827.8991152801664} | 0.5933249946953253 | a-year-from-now-will-manifold-think | 777.6789101537529 | A year from now, will Manifold think this prediction about the future of LLM's has held up? | 1735649940000 | 91jUs5utwnRlFgrGh2qJMka2l1j2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.575879552616847 | False | basic | public | 1719379429007 | PhilosophyBear | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I recently made a prediction on my Substack: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://substack.com/@philosophybear/note/c-60071121", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://substack.com/@philosophybear/note/c-60071121", "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.09332499469532529} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.03368802519909, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | PhilosophyBear | 1720030983662 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1710984242506 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720030983662 | 1719387509918 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8233143253575412 | htge3e1ipt | {"NO": 11078.864239705514, "YES": 9474.535344751932} | 0.8449326276339627 | will-arsenii-go-on-at-least-1-date | 1456 | Will Arsenii go on at least 1 date before the end of the summer (August 31st, 2024)? | 1725173940000 | UC4813YJL9am8VoQE1BO8BTZQo53 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.7508026235077665 | False | plus | public | 1719379462804 | Raj Thimmiah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Arsenii is:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "bulletList", "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "a guy from Russia living in the Bay Area", "type": "text"}]}]}, {"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.3449326276339627} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 31.610144851896397, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 10000 | raj | 1719434555519 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Giz1IaNINtDyr-o_uJ8uDu_aw4N5PoZpto97YE7szI=s96-c | 3 | 3 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1644725300473 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719434552417 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | wo6qgu8xjq | {"NO": 1255.8914217475824, "YES": 796.2471776489183} | 0.6119915205127563 | will-arsenii-become-a-cracked-progr | 801 | Will arsenii become a cracked programmer by the end of the summer? | 1725173940000 | UC4813YJL9am8VoQE1BO8BTZQo53 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.578411155041742 | False | basic | public | 1719379864009 | Raj Thimmiah | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Arsenii of '", "type": "text"}, {"text": "will Arsenii go on a date by the end of the summer", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/raj/will-arsenii-go-on-at-least-1-date", "class": "break-anywhere ... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.11199152051275629} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 26.059375872339654, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | raj | 1719500206352 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Giz1IaNINtDyr-o_uJ8uDu_aw4N5PoZpto97YE7szI=s96-c | 3 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1644725300473 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719500202826 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | v1rg6i4i2k | {"NO": 16.795042033502995, "YES": 595.4138120078437} | 0.0274335170467311 | will-women-will-be-having-more-sex | 500 | Will women will be having more sex with robots than men by 2025? | 1737100740000 | vVRJosxGdPhS3qZVG1h8IboRZIs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719384080698 | Forrest Taylor | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "REVEALED: Women will be having more sex with ROBOTS than men by 2025 – The Sun ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.thesun.co.uk/living/1366526/revealed-women-will-be-having-more-sex-with-robots-than-men-by-2... | BINARY | {"day": 3.469446951953614e-18, "week": 3.469446951953614e-18, "month": -0.4725664829532689} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.586187992156356, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | TiredCliche | 1719447565694 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1683826070915 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719408129950 | 1719447564525 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | 5i9ti45236 | {"NO": 947.6022357913582, "YES": 1055.2951040315816} | 0.4731157293738921 | will-any-data-center-be-attacked-to | 165 | Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030? | 1893657540000 | vVRJosxGdPhS3qZVG1h8IboRZIs2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570783075023952 | False | basic | public | 1719384373642 | Forrest Taylor | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Eliezer Yudkowsky stated, in regards to AI risk, \"Be willing to destroy a rogue datacenter by airstrike.\" Is this going to happen? If an AI-aligned datacenter is attacked, this question resolves YES. If not, NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.0022920653120135914, "month": -0.026884270626107876} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.510879230843409, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | TiredCliche | 1719881484596 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1683826070915 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719881481200 | 1719434840339 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | ldauvt0n8z | {"NO": 10.050378152592145, "YES": 994.9874371066194} | 0 | will-someone-fall-at-the-debate | 1254.993912863853 | Will someone fall at the debate? | 1719652713871 | sbVVRIu6v0RoKycX9c1YqH7uHYx1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1719385588238 | Manifest | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If anyone falls down at the debate, this market will resolve to yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to no. If no debate occurs on June 27th, this market will resolve to no.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.01000000000000003, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.950933022210581, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719652713871 | 100 | Manifest | 1719652713871 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKs4ivwXlfw5hVhXnylTr9DptiaPpPpJp0OCMy66sWTKu3NJA=s96-c | 6 | 3 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1714011036131 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719539621924 | 1719605962206 | 0.01 | sbVVRIu6v0RoKycX9c1YqH7uHYx1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
v8qg9rcc7c | what-share-of-the-mana-supply-will | 65 | What share of the mana supply will be in ... by the end of 2024 | 1735685940000 | QMF5wTqvWefYwLScsyDnxl4ORdq1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719386430501 | Gaston Kessler | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as a percentage of the mana supply according to", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/stats", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/stats"... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 1.6157067877845441, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | GastonKessler | 1719386487766 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJLS-aCC3U5ebLUDvs8zzjKoHIGvM8SGDPz6U2ea5X1=s96-c | 1 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "dbtpthi8j9", "prob": 0.5, "text": "Balances", "index": 0, "poolNo": 25, "userId": "QMF5wTqvWefYwLScsyDnxl4ORdq1", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 25, "contractId": "v8qg9rcc7c", "createdTime": 1719386430501, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}, "subsidyPool": 0, "totalLiquidity": 25}, {"id": "z1zxzs8... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702761965647 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719386484722 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | orum3hq9i2 | {"NO": 93.38710250555846, "YES": 107.0811678668882} | 0.46584480592393057 | will-more-than-15-percent-of-the-th | 30 | Will more than 15 percent of the thiel fellowship 2025 be hardware startups | 1735707540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719388233254 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.03415519407606943} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.9963421554496228, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1719434179954 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719408094176 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | 075g8ac543 | {"NO": 83.76501977404413, "YES": 119.38157511303605} | 0.41233779882259525 | will-the-milsford-scenario-play-out | 20 | Will the Milsford Scenario play out in the U.S. by Thanksgiving, 2024? | 1735707540000 | En6oeqssPgS1V2r4MrIeZUutxJm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719390190705 | Jack Hammer | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://youtu.be/A-47jNdUh5w", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://youtu.be/A-47jNdUh5w", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.08766220117740475} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6184248869639486, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Slackhammer | 1719408069689 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717570259157 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719408066629 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5111386608730669 | o3n9qjvfhr | {"NO": 9879.798296518797, "YES": 10115.7672810131} | 0.5052395054336787 | would-an-ai-be-capable-of-construct | 385 | Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030? | 1925099940000 | Y2b1TJ7nvAR0MqiQ2lLKllwVBXd2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.727858387034032 | False | plus | public | 1719390643262 | Quillist | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FbezdGNWwjV.png?alt=media&token=2ef68847-7857-435d-929c-dd4f4f932a3b", "title": null}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -6.050164829685123e-05, "month": 0.005239505433678682} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.089418330790561, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 10000 | Quillist | 1719820348264 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702722697077 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719672707662 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ned7qe27g3 | will-physics-be-fully-explored | 0 | Will physics be fully explored? | 1735685940000 | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | none | 0 | 1000000 | False | public | 1719397706975 | Kongo Landwalker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "None of the words in this poll will be explained or given definition. Pick an option which alligns closer with your interpretation of the question. Imagine, that the 4 variants is an exhaustive list and that your opinion/feel thus definitely falls ... | POLL | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | KongoLandwalker | 1719397707003 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1681038287526 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | u5699fkjdv | {"NO": 97.18177485049715, "YES": 102.89995233554684} | 0.4857103955331895 | will-mysaria-take-the-place-of-nett | 3 | Will Mysaria take the place of Nettles as a dragonseed in House of the Dragon Season 2? | 1735707540000 | H9k5mJdG5cc4KT8yC4oCso7uhcY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719397810778 | Osasikemwen Ogieva | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve this market as YES, if Mysaria claims a dragon (does not have to Sheepstealer) and Nettles never shows up this season.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NO, if the season ends without Mysaria claiming a... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.01428960446681049} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.10004766445315458, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Sike | 1719398605097 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJCBlYSnEL5ACyLhgYgvKDY6MVIariUp-MZC1cXaUMP=s96-c | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702959472162 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719398602041 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999994 | 1souhmec1u | {"NO": 83.76501977404413, "YES": 119.38157511303605} | 0.41233779882259525 | will-mark-friedenbach-raise-more-th | 20 | Will Mark Friedenbach raise more than $5million between 2024 and 2025? | 1767243540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719398274705 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.08766220117740475} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.6184248869639486, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1719408044053 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719408041008 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999998 | bbs4bg0qb4 | {"NO": 72.91469422320425, "YES": 137.14656704707983} | 1 | will-taylor-swift-sing-the-lucky-on | 192.76523288006683 | Will Taylor Swift sing "The Lucky One" during one of her Dublin Eras Tour shows? | 1719782695763 | XjQkiHiqafYpjWGxR0PVmY8vGbI3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1719402277780 | Sara | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will Taylor sing \"The Lucky One\" during any of her shows in Ireland on 28th-30th June during her acoustic/surprise song set? (Luck of the Irish)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.56, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.603412617614207, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719782695763 | 100 | csgoldie | 1719782695763 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1717185599667 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719680741930 | 0.35 | XjQkiHiqafYpjWGxR0PVmY8vGbI3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | bctsc48aza | {"NO": 97.76237794199766, "YES": 102.28883759285182} | 0.48868674794413935 | will-we-get-synthetic-stomachs-befo | 110 | Will we get synthetic stomachs before 2035? | 2056748340000 | GPlNcdBrcfZ3PiAfhnI9mQfHZbm1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719402523305 | RemNi | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if at least 1 million synthetic stomachs have been successfully implanted into 1 million (different) adult humans before January 1st 2035. This can occur anywhere on Earth.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "parag... | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 0.1663607850928026, "month": -0.011313252055860645} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.4382223031217816, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | RemNi | 1719658621078 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1690812555459 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719658617997 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000002 | e4zvpmwbmu | {"NO": 1387.7123258156278, "YES": 720.6104474227067} | 0.6582067714822122 | will-nate-silvers-model-correctly-p | 28021.929840918638 | Will Nate Silver’s model correctly predict the election? | 1730879940000 | RENPmnXDYmbTnIzOBdoy8QiOWHH3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 8.94200514508276 | False | basic | public | 1719454883277 | Archibald Crone | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the winner of the 2024 presidential election is the candidate predicted most likely to win by Nate Silver’s model (released today, ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "here", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "ht... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.049257768075723685, "month": 0.15820677148221218} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 513.7569676526475, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | BlueDragon | 1720129913080 | 0 | 143 | 2 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697749128213 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720129910021 | 1719593322990 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000002 | 42mzws35rr | {"NO": 109.88044557241945, "YES": 91.00800372536935} | 0.5469724414544971 | will-any-north-korean-soldier-defec | 170.8163202571711 | Will any North Korean soldier defect after being deployed in Ukraine by 2026? | 1767243540000 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719461870255 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.12785581425316017, "month": 0.04697244145449708} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.687441363369238, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | Predictor | 1719810261374 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1644461353687 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719810258258 | 1719473557787 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
j4jib9mz5u | lets-play-civilization-vi-turn-99 | 0 | [Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 99) | 1719891200678 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1719462416683 | komplexkonjugat | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Let's play Civ6!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Anyone can add instructions. Instructions can be composite, but are executed atomically (either fully or not at all). Upon mark... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719891200678 | 110 | komplexkonjugat | 1719891200678 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "5twaxk1dqb", "prob": 0.5, "text": "NOP", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10, "userId": "v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 10, "textFts": "'nop':1", "contractId": "j4jib9mz5u", "resolution": "YES", "resolverId": "v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2", "createdTime": 1719891192489, "probChanges": {"day":... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1698548141721 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | v2DENYjeaSTAMytc2vNxYtMYPuz2 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | 2mur21lbv6 | {"NO": 93.6585811581694, "YES": 106.7707825203131} | 0.4672897196261683 | will-joe-biden-win-washoe-county-ne | 7 | Will Joe Biden win Washoe County, Nevada? | 1731477540000 | 0G4e0M74JzfTXbZXvYWjzwQCbQP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719466177480 | Magnus | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Joe Biden is currently the presumed Democratic nominee for President. In the event a different Democrat wins the party nomination, this market will be changed to that candidate.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.032710280373831724} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.2292174796868878, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | thepurplebull | 1720209808242 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLXSToo0Id6FL4KCpM8Vgoz3tf_ZLnlgS60B_OCfmrsm6E=s96-c | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1700605001274 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719471647506 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000003 | h7ia67sfw5 | {"NO": 1325.9153126769818, "YES": 754.1959810246346} | 0.6374251784948867 | will-carl-shulman-soon-claim-that-a | 1692.0641970073418 | Will Carl Shulman soon claim that AI forecasting systems will play an integral role in the post-AGI economy? | 1720076340000 | Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.582731634133857 | False | basic | public | 1719468268080 | AdamK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Robert Wiblin will soon release an interview with Carl Shulman (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://twitter.com/robertwiblin/status/1806070670154993811", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://twitter.com/robertwibl... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0.030475711470322686, "month": 0.13742517849488667} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 46.032405017917526, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AdamK | 1720075354211 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c | 14 | 3 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1687620319599 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720075351156 | 1719621030185 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999997 | nxzicvcjcc | {"NO": 10.050378152592202, "YES": 994.9874371066243} | 0 | will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-at | 1829.313778892599 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at the debate? | 1719545769968 | frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | NO | public | 1719472240122 | Mana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any usage of the word will count. Pluralization and possessives will count, but not other forms. Compound words with crypto or bitcoin in them will count if the word clearly references the currency Bitcoin or decentralized cryptocurrency.", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.35202902045035, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719545769968 | 100 | Mana | 1719545769968 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1706696952680 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719545671070 | 1719545748313 | 0.01 | frBevxJ79zNClZg2d9H8m0gLLIW2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.499999999999999 | wff51om26j | {"NO": 994.9874371066197, "YES": 10.050378152592089} | 1 | will-trump-say-obama-during-the-deb | 1126.0505326908662 | Will Trump say Obama during the debate? | 1719558533116 | ktHUwkTNM9e2os9Zp1m5p7Oubu42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | YES | public | 1719472974190 | Cactus Hunter | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Trump says Obama during the debate, this market will resolve to yes. Pluralization and possessives will also count, but not other forms. Compound words like \"Obamacare\" will also count.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.269315686304424, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719558533116 | 100 | CactusHunter | 1719558533116 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJRVud1e2kvJxXJSyszNcPXnGZAUbVzwx6TvC15BrH9S9WRsA=s96-c | 13 | 13 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1718239377989 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719558486473 | 1719542177583 | 0.99 | ktHUwkTNM9e2os9Zp1m5p7Oubu42 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | toiy16j3s4 | {"NO": 80.48568246138338, "YES": 124.2457005293823} | 0.3931282116382404 | will-the-peoples-republic-of-china-p43fng651l | 25 | Will the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028? | 1831467540000 | 3fZ60DMrJveoJj9AKoKcODTTTpc2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719473311540 | MercurialGuesser | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "China currently has a second strike nuclear posture, meaning it is not prepared to launch on warning of incoming missiles. Instead it has most of its nuclear warheads in storage, with a focus on survivability for a second strike.", "type": "text"}]... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.10687178836175959} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.7542994706176983, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | OP | 1719610522287 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1708343869712 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719610518903 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
98lhtfzsn3 | who-will-win-the-polka-dot-jersey-m | 2360.3109315372085 | Who will win the polka dot jersey (mountain classification) at the 2024 Tour de France? | 1721534340000 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1719474518816 | Lion | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will be resolved accordingly to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.letour.fr/en/stage-21", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.letour.fr/en/stage-21", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decor... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 35.32905164821611, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 211.17636135861173 | 1000 | Lion | 1720210022215 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | 7 | 2 | ANYONE | [{"id": "hz0b33jz9t", "prob": 0.33233641207629666, "text": "Tadej Pogacar", "index": 0, "poolNo": 117.5868799859334, "userId": "Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 236.231948505656, "textFts": "'pogacar':2 'tadej':1", "contractId": "98lhtfzsn3", "createdTime": 1719474518816, "probChanges": {"day... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1691095902341 | 0 | 0.25 | 1720210019037 | True | prob-desc | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
gjm1r5ugtn | who-will-win-the-white-jersey-young | 3844.9983557110104 | Who will win the white jersey (young rider classification) at the 2024 Tour de France? | 1721534340000 | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1719474979527 | Lion | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will be resolved accordingly to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.letour.fr/en/stage-21", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.letour.fr/en/stage-21", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decor... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 46.022675011347346, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 408.9633437938334 | 1000 | Lion | 1720215736812 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | 12 | 6 | ANYONE | [{"id": "txz6l3ioft", "prob": 0.23481399149577628, "text": "Carlos Rodriguez", "index": 0, "poolNo": 123.86924128670024, "userId": "Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 403.6514592373498, "textFts": "'carlo':1 'rodriguez':2", "contractId": "gjm1r5ugtn", "createdTime": 1719474979527, "probChanges"... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1691095902341 | 0 | 0.25 | 1720215732694 | True | prob-desc | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | vjaaqjqd6f | {"NO": 95.38819365450188, "YES": 104.8347768930421} | 0.47640984145648496 | will-matthew-stanley-meselson-reach | 5 | Will Matthew Stanley Meselson reach age 100 | 1893473940000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719475629054 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.02359015854351504} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.16522310695789072, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1719478060888 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719478057834 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
64fiadet94 | olympics-2024-mens-volleyball-pool | 100 | Olympics 2024, Men's Volleyball, Pool A: Who will advance to the quarterfinals? | 1723327140000 | 1SjaY8FjDAZYoup81ydhMz5NyA63 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1719476662194 | Sergey Bozhko | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.0921244348197425, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SergeyBozhko | 1719476683165 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJSZVj6jvHxiuTNodTVON-A_A195nc_pe9DSkgr1FHUyw=s96-c | 1 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "1ma9jazcq9", "prob": 0.5876622011774046, "text": "France", "index": 0, "poolNo": 298.4539377825901, "userId": "1SjaY8FjDAZYoup81ydhMz5NyA63", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 209.4125494351104, "textFts": "'franc':1", "contractId": "64fiadet94", "createdTime": 1719476662195, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "m... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702550186602 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719476680118 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
opspfhc86z | olympics-2024-mens-volleyball-pool-khix7zntmu | 100 | Olympics 2024, Men's Volleyball, Pool B: Who will advance to the quarterfinals? | 1723327140000 | 1SjaY8FjDAZYoup81ydhMz5NyA63 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1719476776411 | Sergey Bozhko | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.0921244348197425, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SergeyBozhko | 1719476792142 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJSZVj6jvHxiuTNodTVON-A_A195nc_pe9DSkgr1FHUyw=s96-c | 1 | 1 | DISABLED | [{"id": "kjix4bu7ht", "prob": 0.5876622011774046, "text": "Poland", "index": 0, "poolNo": 298.4539377825901, "userId": "1SjaY8FjDAZYoup81ydhMz5NyA63", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 209.4125494351104, "textFts": "'poland':1", "contractId": "opspfhc86z", "createdTime": 1719476776412, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702550186602 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719476789081 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | 2qti2nosij | {"NO": 1242.432210587677, "YES": 804.8728868088463} | 0.6068622659942716 | aca-5-marriage-equality-vote-percen | 250 | ACA 5 Marriage Equality Vote Percentage | 1733990340000 | 8kaVOjw6w1eEHpdoEHQ6TevXHgw2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.577663663694121 | False | basic | public | 1719476798480 | Mike Chen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to the percentage of Yes voting for ACA 5, the California ballot measure to make marriage regardless of gender a constitutional right. It is scheduled to go on the ballot in the November 5, 2024 election.", "type": "text"}]... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.10686226599427162} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.56778941232296, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MikeChenSF | 1719476828021 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucr-veg201DGQzF4jqPWo9dgBl01vEy2ksiaZA4BSRo=s96-c | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1661144467248 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719476824961 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
icvd5wzjaj | olympics-2024-mens-volleyball-pool-0gro5jrx72 | 268.5168919242505 | Olympics 2024, Men's Volleyball, Pool C: Who will advance to the quarterfinals? | 1723327140000 | 1SjaY8FjDAZYoup81ydhMz5NyA63 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1719476837990 | Sergey Bozhko | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.595632542513801, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | SergeyBozhko | 1719486578759 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJSZVj6jvHxiuTNodTVON-A_A195nc_pe9DSkgr1FHUyw=s96-c | 4 | 4 | DISABLED | [{"id": "87wcgx0357", "prob": 0.6699999999999999, "text": "Japan", "index": 0, "poolNo": 356.2217559245075, "userId": "1SjaY8FjDAZYoup81ydhMz5NyA63", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 175.45250664938433, "textFts": "'japan':1", "contractId": "icvd5wzjaj", "createdTime": 1719476837990, "probChanges": {"day": 0.08766220117740... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1702550186602 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719486575551 | False | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | gsrkdvgdv5 | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.5 | will-jacob-rintamaki-raise-more-tha | 0 | Will Jacob rintamaki raise more than 5 million by EOY 2025 | 1767243540000 | 1YaTkbpWOCfHZXq2qtTqL3ikwzu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719477036176 | Stochastic Cockatoo | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | StochasticParrot | 1719477036176 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1650319241876 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000002 | gu991ng9pp | {"NO": 1035.9638503910564, "YES": 965.2846473576469} | 0.517658777286509 | before-2026-a-publicly-available-ai | 616.5826809076638 | Before 2026, a publicly available AI system highly reliably screens videos of chess games for touch move violations? | 1767340740000 | Dfb1xQjetuXPPiyPLjdPEUGBQqn2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570527148257773 | False | basic | public | 1719479729308 | AdamK | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Before 2026, will an AI system be publicly demonstrated or released, which can determine with ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "high reliability", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " whether a ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "touch ... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.017658777286508998} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 20.83830103087424, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | AdamK | 1719513053448 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtfHzjbR-fCoxMW9TGbF-Z4OV-3B2ZW-hZ9mj-fDVg=s96-c | 9 | 9 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1687620319599 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719513050143 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000014 | 3kgdxh6dhz | {"NO": 999.9999999999991, "YES": 1000.000000000005} | 1 | daily-coinflip-9boyi0ocvy | 28035.018685805462 | Daily coinflip | 1719633540000 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.570333339714733 | True | basic | YES | public | 1719480689197 | Traveel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Yes = heads", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "No = tails", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "(Day 169)", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 389.7133792000521, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719640007958 | 1000 | Traveel | 1719633540000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp75uQk9_bN2j7atj8Sgb_7Ud50XuAC1-rg4KHhh=s96-c | 76 | 36 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1674441975928 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | False | False | 1719633418981 | 1719639995248 | 0.5 | gRmM27eQDEVTEjM1q6Yzc7abJT93 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
b1g0ajc0bc | which-one-of-these-minor-parties-wi | 484.69001572253103 | Which one of these minor parties will have the best performance in a Constituency in the upcoming UK General Election? | 1720203356097 | sICXNtXt2dZ14BnDqkmbVisozZu2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | djgr6dyxct | public | 1719481756480 | Jony | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve to the listed party which receives the greatest % of the vote in a constituency in the UK general election. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.888486347215141, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 379.34199154991524 | 1720203356097 | 110 | Jony | 1720203551921 | 0 | 8 | 2 | DISABLED | [{"id": "5khsao1k9a", "prob": 0.016518577060787194, "text": "Liberal", "index": 0, "poolNo": 2.2540623547948315, "userId": "sICXNtXt2dZ14BnDqkmbVisozZu2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 134.20214367917782, "textFts": "'liber':1", "contractId": "b1g0ajc0bc", "resolverId": "sICXNtXt2dZ14BnDqkmbVisozZu2", "createdTime": 171... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1704308854841 | 0 | 0.25 | 1720195012366 | 1720203550135 | {"djgr6dyxct": 100} | sICXNtXt2dZ14BnDqkmbVisozZu2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999917 | vj9xtszhlg | {"NO": 9949.874371066195, "YES": 100.50378152592202} | 1 | will-the-nifty-50-close-on-27th-jun | 9007.088836250387 | Will the Nifty 50 close on 27th June higher than its previous day close? | 1719483784426 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.849721441923043 | True | basic | YES | public | 1719483722563 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 57.21446518419113, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719483784426 | 1000 | RiskOptimization | 1719483784426 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719483733138 | 0.99 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999979 | ytpiuad0nj | {"NO": 514.1177395483535, "YES": 19.450797416142255} | 0.9635458313812895 | did-the-rms-titanic-sink-because-of | 474 | Did the RMS Titanic sink because of an iceberg? | 1744646340000 | O9BNSBOVuPhTRbFFM493Kfc3qO72 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719483797021 | MadCloud101 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves by first result on google search on 14 April 2025", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0.46354583138128946} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.5517214675746205, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | MadCloud101 | 1719519642500 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2s8WCB5PDslfyxS6iYdQsL7j-rOkiERdYSG3au=s96-c | 7 | 7 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1666533811557 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719519639339 | 1719487907282 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | fbwx9edck2 | {"NO": 100.50378152592202, "YES": 9949.874371066191} | 0 | will-the-sp-500-open-on-june-27th-h | 9009.11050673936 | Will the S&P 500 open on June 27th higher than its previous day close? | 1719497974039 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.849721441923073 | True | basic | NO | public | 1719483812801 | RiskOptimization | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.5} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 57.30466960970006, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719497974039 | 1000 | RiskOptimization | 1719497974039 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1705974765884 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719497964282 | 0.01 | PKFboemYWtVwfxypZUazxAXr4rG3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ux8p3rrrlv | -what-will-be-bitcoins-closing-pric | 185461.07564371466 | 💰 What will be ₿ Bitcoin's closing price range
–BTCUSDT Binance pair, June 30 (23:59 GMT1) ❓🤔 | 1719788340000 | kTsMMJmThScMT9qM1Ka9OcrLo7K2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | play | dbt3jkx6mi | public | 1719484230422 | João David | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 1}, "content": [{"text": "ℹ️🔻", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://emojipedia.org/information", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decorati... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2095.5106012374504, "platformFee": 1056.5941922957304, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1719790452252 | 100 | JoaoDavid | 1719788340000 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJRbvx9Y_HS1wyd5cTX0oznD0RcgOTR2iCyysIsRGd7xwE9oq4=s96-c | 12 | 6 | DISABLED | [{"id": "trafxolapw", "prob": 0.0005933398771295345, "text": "Above & beyond 🚀 $ 75 K", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.6091449634271839, "userId": "kTsMMJmThScMT9qM1Ka9OcrLo7K2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 1026.0283471500497, "textFts": "'75':3 'beyond':2 'k':4", "contractId": "ux8p3rrrlv", "resolverId": "kTsMMJmThScMT9qM1... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1719351220393 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719786100577 | {"dbt3jkx6mi": 100} | kTsMMJmThScMT9qM1Ka9OcrLo7K2 | True | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qarfu3kd4b | who-wins-mrbeasts-biggest-youtube-v | 351.40464247816124 | Who wins MrBeast's biggest YouTube video ever? | 1720940340000 | 5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719485475587 | ismellpillows | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "tiptapTweet", "attrs": {"tweetId": "t1798465522008252438"}}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Feel free to add options!!", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Who will b... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.014584914172381, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 320 | ismellpillows | 1719518900083 | 0 | 7 | 7 | ANYONE | [{"id": "rhcxs1hg0e", "prob": 0.046884954289657076, "text": "Mark Rober", "index": 0, "poolNo": 10.278215351581329, "userId": "5pdlqOtBlpT1nNSbFLJk3G2Ozep2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 208.94382522207718, "textFts": "'mark':1 'rober':2", "contractId": "qarfu3kd4b", "createdTime": 1719485475587, "probChanges": {"day":... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1712019700747 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719518748381 | 1719497249138 | True | liquidity | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
f0d2oi77fe | -what-will-be-the-final-results-of | 0 | 🏛️ What will be the final results of the 2024 French legislative election 🗳️ on July 7th? | 1720375200000 | kTsMMJmThScMT9qM1Ka9OcrLo7K2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719486056407 | João David | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "heading", "attrs": {"level": 1}, "content": [{"text": "The ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "upcoming French ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "🇫🇷", "type": "text"}, {"text": " ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": "legislative election... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | JoaoDavid | 1719486096388 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJRbvx9Y_HS1wyd5cTX0oznD0RcgOTR2iCyysIsRGd7xwE9oq4=s96-c | 0 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "sqgv58zta6", "prob": 0.2, "text": "Rassemblement National (RN)", "index": 0, "poolNo": 12.5, "userId": "kTsMMJmThScMT9qM1Ka9OcrLo7K2", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 50, "textFts": "'nation':2 'rassembl':1 'rn':3", "contractId": "f0d2oi77fe", "createdTime": 1719486056407, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "mo... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1719351220393 | 0 | 0.25 | True | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | zjw4wkd0ih | {"NO": 56.67134095476925, "YES": 176.45603282938455} | 0.2430917486645721 | will-biden-or-trump-use-performance | 230 | Will Biden or Trump use performance enhancing drugs prior to tonight's debate? | 1722139140000 | 91LeReENQxW6PoZiaY0XMeSzEdi1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719487807330 | Bruce | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": -0.12021830483576076, "week": -0.4305960071646231, "month": -0.25690825133542794} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.4222927522375866, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 45 | 100 | Bruce54df | 1720178241547 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJohJG8pV6APMRLAdPO5Up_LhSInhyxI1tRfhbmvspk=s96-c | 3 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1697633597735 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720178233118 | 1720178240229 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
483un7g09i | what-will-be-true-about-spacexs-deo | 1832.0279691310525 | What will be true about SpaceX's deorbit tug | 1727798340000 | 7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1719489418753 | Dan Homerick | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NASA ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "announced", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasa-selects-international-space-station-us-deorbit-vehicle/", "class": "break-anywhere hover:underline h... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 43.14166886194826, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | DanHomerick | 1719929408083 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLP4VSkxqlzJSD6sryGpPRfqkVJjAt25wLa6ZsgWUJ30DI=s96-c | 11 | 1 | ONLY_CREATOR | [{"id": "npxvo1plhw", "prob": 0.21, "text": "It will be related to Starship", "index": 0, "poolNo": 63.84316759984997, "userId": "7cHLitSmqdYIvr3OskswGMzWX103", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 244.74036278921585, "textFts": "'relat':4 'starship':6", "contractId": "483un7g09i", "resolution": "NO", "resolverId": "7cHLitSmqd... | 0.13333333333333333 | 1708821930891 | 0 | 0.25 | 1719929404656 | 1719928049452 | False | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | v73lsn6xcb | {"NO": 95.38819365450188, "YES": 104.8347768930421} | 0.47640984145648496 | will-william-ruto-serve-full-term-a | 5 | Will William Ruto serve full term as the president of Kenya | 1820872740000 | P6S5rDrKA9d5tWUdvS7yATJeyEJ3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1719491554054 | Limerick Ostrich | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NO if William Ruto steps down or is removed from the position of the president of Kenya before his current 5 year term starting in Sep 13th 2022 ends. Otherwise resovles yes.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph"... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -0.02359015854351504} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.16522310695789072, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 100 | AIBear | 1719496995955 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1672234503136 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1719496992897 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999983 | glvc1rls9n | {"NO": 1673.5184724109718, "YES": 597.5434490181302} | 0.7368880859742843 | will-the-will-jimmy-carter-become-a-b5pxit866j | 921.7905393079554 | Will the "Will Jimmy Carter become a centenarian?" market hit 1,100 traders before it is correctly resolved? | 1728187140000 | 8r2bepHVOBVLIzkIUVIhOU72unn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.611979537868331 | False | basic | public | 1719492532118 | Dr. Derek Harris | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.0020285620487447975, "month": 0.23688808597428435} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 23.35381488918233, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | DrDerek | 1720066448469 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 0.13333333333333333 | 1682434756086 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1720028253262 | 1720066447496 | 0 |
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