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0.4908558756709809 | zg8glGfYKOxZ2zgq9lFM | {"NO": 189.91796375692286, "YES": 1695.9381666035674} | 0 | will-i-write-over-5000-lines-of-rus | 2053.016171112723 | Will I write over 5000 lines of Rust by the end of 2023? | 1704067140000 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9742969179109697 | True | play | NO | public | 1670837747177 | Alana | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to YES if I have written over 5,000 lines of Rust code by the end of 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "CLOC, not SLOC.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704072627629 | 630 | Alana | 1704072627977 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1670837757494}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1701141098559}] | ["personal-goals", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703952646994 | 1703952714374 | 0.1 | ZjyCGOOFwnQzbPvO0Jq8CIEz4Zq1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6181627960914686 | R4uG1cg9ZVlWqb78gBHu | {"NO": 233.2316709903668, "YES": 86.2984337570232} | 0 | will-i-get-my-apple-watch-move-and-04e2aec0718d | 135.52 | Will I get my Apple Watch Move and Exercise rings at least 6/7 days this week? | 1671426000000 | 7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.592560819702132 | True | play | NO | public | 1670839245535 | Charlie | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is a weekly auto-generated market. Manually added details potentially forthcoming.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1671718406436 | 130 | Charlie | 1671414392776 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 1671414392662 | 0.81 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.560061158905379 | bFayqz1UixGKyYV00kL2 | {"NO": 1200.8585115030878, "YES": 861.6685726021531} | 0.6395315607749613 | will-the-baldhairy-pattern-of-russi | 618.0562663696641 | Will the "bald-hairy" pattern of Russian rulers continue after Putin? | 2208988740000 | 4t4P1z6YTDeRqcFNSyQcyGm2hpI3 | cpmm-1 | 0.14918680175151983 | 9.724443401706875 | False | basic | public | 1670849112555 | Pavel Egizaryan | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "\"Bald-hairy\" is a common joke in Russian political discourse, referring to the empirical rule of the state leaders' succession defined as a change of a bald or balding leader to a hairy one and vice versa. This consistent pattern can be traced ba... | BINARY | {"day": 0.017225364882717198, "week": 0.07126024906880424, "month": 0.07126024906880368} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.112946649541997, "platformFee": 1.0036185058712772, "liquidityFee": 0} | 50 | 1000 | PavelEgizaryan | 1720210245263 | 1.5 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu0rBt9Ak2ePMsDOrEqXanNfk3_m2xJ53-biiuZW=s96-c | 1 | 24 | 1 | 7 | [{"name": "Russia", "slug": "russia", "userId": "4t4P1z6YTDeRqcFNSyQcyGm2hpI3", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1670849112900}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "4t4P1z6YTDeRqcFNSyQcyGm2hpI3", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1670849297328}, {"name": "Ukraine... | ["russia", "politics-default", "ukrainerussia-war"] | 0.11408772970296081 | 0.5 | 1720210242124 | 1720093305417 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6199248135234674 | KNGMenvsgME92ZcQgLmU | {"NO": 178.24633967401027, "YES": 131.67825972770373} | 0.6882679271807262 | have-i-intellectually-outpaced-dest | 78.61056425120873 | Have I intellectually outpaced Destiny? | 1855004340000 | tgqrGiU7DNZKGSZL8pQSki29C8b2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670855745167 | Vaush | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I think I’m smarter than everyone around me. And if I listened to everyone around me tell me how everything I say is stupid, I might be forced to think I’m an idiot, if I went with popular opinion. However I’ve been Iq tested many many times since ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 150 | Vaush | 1710208064207 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV"}, {"name": "Free Markets", "slug": "free-markets", "groupId": "xckUbQD8rlqX2dK1Tpaa"}] | ["free-money", "free-markets"] | 0.5 | 1702204938082 | 1702186414840 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.45434287983497207 | aDqZ9xQxQMeoszCFl6EW | {"NO": 157.00153820102722, "YES": 954.5608302198623} | 0 | will-destiny-debate-another-creator-fe4dfef689ac | 2979.7813360349587 | Will Destiny debate another creator about the Twitter Files by the end of 2022? | 1672559940000 | 9GSWaFCPsaguZwima6TxzyFWup13 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2672857397409 | True | play | NO | public | 1670856675675 | johnleoks | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "orderedList", "attrs": {"start": 1}, "content": [{"type": "listItem", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A creator can be a Youtuber, Streamer or someone with a following in general.", "type": "text"}]}]}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672567437590 | 510 | johnleoks | 1710218580086 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu1fEWiQZNBclZJIqG3iTleWTsdH5ReWs20Omf7ktA=s96-c | 25 | 0 | 1 | 19 | [{"name": "🎮 Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj"}] | ["destinygg"] | 0.5 | 1672441384351 | 0.12 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.30937667121265805 | hoSCvASHFhJJLk0deWYn | {"NO": 168.54413589248054, "YES": 1082.762441196057} | 0 | will-i-get-my-mana-back-that-i-acci | 1147.9697667271623 | Will I get my mana back that I accidentally spent on a Destiny subscription? | 1677646800000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 1.6335743388898787 | True | play | NO | public | 1670856962204 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/destinygg", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"text": " page lets you spend M$1000 to buy a Destiny subscription. I don't think it's very clear abou... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1677691818995 | 310 | IsaacKing | 1677648435616 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 14 | [{"name": "Destiny.gg", "slug": "destinygg", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "W2ES30fRo6CCbPNwMTTj", "createdTime": 1670856968241}, {"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670856962583}, {"nam... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "destinygg", "mana"] | 0.5 | 1677633676864 | 1677648431454 | 0.07 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6042534163056975 | XMVqPb8XUKZG5QChhlai | {"NO": 195.4176271847881, "YES": 151.88297125523872} | 0.6626773333811362 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-66520e283b7c | 222.42170962296817 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Nevada? | 1733054400000 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670857061401 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Jacky Rosen, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party swi... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 170 | lisamarsh | 1710304405275 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670857061777}, {"name": "US Congressional Elections 2024", "slug": "us-congressional-elections-2024", "userId": "XquaG2KfrBeRJaV23RQigKazTNf2", "groupId": "UpLaDRTMY4UNum0OacuT", ... | ["us-politics", "us-congressional-elections-2024"] | 0.08665364928685171 | 0.5 | 1710304402109 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6986246702599787 | CUxJXLyCDmWjulgw3Rer | {"NO": 1297.8957699018777, "YES": 885.7352376174396} | 0.7725627275685044 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-a7d1f3081204 | 600.8657936202219 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Wisconsin? | 1733054400000 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.608948988117216 | False | basic | public | 1670857062843 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Tammy Baldwin, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party s... | BINARY | {"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 0.04391927718537991} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.87800690049724, "platformFee": 0.45743090151314625, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | lisamarsh | 1719094757700 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670857063343}, {"name": "US Congressional Elections 2024", "slug": "us-congressional-elections-2024", "userId": "XquaG2KfrBeRJaV23RQigKazTNf2", "groupId": "UpLaDRTMY4UNum0OacuT", ... | ["us-politics", "us-congressional-elections-2024"] | 0.5 | 1719094754654 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6392498345983488 | VSYmwqRRTL7O9VnhEGxw | {"NO": 1039.6499950490602, "YES": 972.5983847244362} | 0.6544771406887321 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-f0ffd6dfe13c | 1618.785329220125 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Michigan? | 1733054400000 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.621355614870653 | False | basic | public | 1670857064477 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Debbie Stabenow, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -0.030847941653231237, "month": 0.01639580050448164} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 24.22765570868695, "platformFee": 1.6676173566173693, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | lisamarsh | 1719748835678 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670857064824}, {"name": "US Congressional Elections 2024", "slug": "us-congressional-elections-2024", "userId": "XquaG2KfrBeRJaV23RQigKazTNf2", "groupId": "UpLaDRTMY4UNum0OacuT", ... | ["us-politics", "us-congressional-elections-2024"] | 0.5 | 1719748832190 | 1704761080596 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6719497902978667 | sUlU7OZayKThBD1BkoF9 | {"NO": 384.65918322816424, "YES": 215.73472446657198} | 0.7850471578264395 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-bb662e4a0d54 | 427.93750996739766 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Pennsylvania? | 1733054400000 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1670857066454 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Bob Casey, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party switc... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.20446319687205303, "platformFee": 0.20446319687205303, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 265 | lisamarsh | 1715209885676 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670857066833}, {"name": "US Congressional Elections 2024", "slug": "us-congressional-elections-2024", "userId": "XquaG2KfrBeRJaV23RQigKazTNf2", "groupId": "UpLaDRTMY4UNum0OacuT", ... | ["us-politics", "us-congressional-elections-2024"] | 0.5 | 1715209882503 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8762405905044758 | JCZkBOUoDA33oAE0MX0c | {"NO": 1220.3458213039537, "YES": 940.9607599248834} | 0.9017913949347368 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-8c5a4807b39d | 820.812902165727 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Minnesota? | 1733054400000 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.029213973023058 | False | basic | public | 1670857068308 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Amy Klobuchar, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party s... | BINARY | {"day": 6.661338147750939e-16, "week": 6.661338147750939e-16, "month": 6.661338147750939e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | lisamarsh | 1712878357683 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670857068653}, {"name": "US Congressional Elections 2024", "slug": "us-congressional-elections-2024", "userId": "XquaG2KfrBeRJaV23RQigKazTNf2", "groupId": "UpLaDRTMY4UNum0OacuT", ... | ["us-politics", "us-congressional-elections-2024"] | 0.5 | 1712878354563 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.20279705260170114 | FPgMpm76jFHsIe1iJ2P6 | {"NO": 1339.674579059157, "YES": 2157.67407254516} | 0.13640121512839976 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-cbcf76fa3af7 | 8374.725245582758 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas? | 1733054400000 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.304270893369878 | False | basic | public | 1670857069762 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Ted Cruz, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party switch... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.257299061648878, "platformFee": 7.778497120002581, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1500 | lisamarsh | 1717500504398 | 0 | 2 | 93 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670857070072}, {"name": "Texas", "slug": "texas", "userId": "s8IkipB5KCbi8Ny6pY1nr4RGjkV2", "groupId": "A4Z3W67n93LMKcZEILwf", "createdTime": 1677435538884}, {"name": "US Congress... | ["us-politics", "texas", "us-congressional-elections-2024"] | 0.5 | 1717500501295 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.19676967457524155 | ndZuWEeywXhEDQO0Shlg | {"NO": 938.6151593451726, "YES": 1177.769623402674} | 0.16334054781052182 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-48c27d4fe010 | 831.6881705847002 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Florida? | 1733054400000 | PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.725469227370994 | False | basic | public | 1670857071993 | Lisa Marsh | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This refers to the regularly scheduled November election for the seat currently occupied by Rick Scott, not any possible special election. If an independent candidate wins, this will resolve to NO, even if they caucus with the Democrats. Party swit... | BINARY | {"day": -2.220446049250313e-16, "week": -2.220446049250313e-16, "month": -2.220446049250313e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | lisamarsh | 1708600632988 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "PDt0ZBUmBCfpnynOmre77KYqVim2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670857072340}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "uyzAXSRdCCUWs4KstCLq2GfzAip2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1674501194848}, {"name"... | ["us-politics", "politics-default", "us-congressional-elections-2024"] | 0.5 | 1708600632826 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7197677320053758 | ajfD1RG5AbnDxgBKsg8p | {"NO": 785.1398077873539, "YES": 1087.070820728944} | 0.6497475087158814 | if-i-learn-colemak-will-i-be-able-t | 298.45171693282737 | If I learn Colemak, will I be able to improve my typing speed? | 1924988340000 | sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2 | cpmm-1 | 0.006218168102164459 | 9.545518406466687 | False | basic | public | 1670857414870 | howtodowtle | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Thinking about learning Colemak (an alternative typing system/keyboard design: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colemak", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colemak... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0855958969828946} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.739289885025438, "platformFee": 0.09287121039207055, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | howtodowtle | 1719252945996 | 1.1 | 14 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "sbeStmGsSKehLyVHwZDUTcAXtme2", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1670857415250}] | ["personal-goals"] | 0.09269276563232313 | 0.5 | 1719252942703 | 1719138199829 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.15085365910029688 | u11EHJQexsA6DkPvb7Cu | {"NO": 904.5569666528669, "YES": 1368.342234281194} | 0.10509703077415222 | by-the-end-of-2024-will-any-of-my-o | 1148.264744812949 | By the end of 2024, will any of my open markets have gotten no bets for a year? | 1735707600000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.926502144082102 | False | basic | public | 1670858057879 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Any market going 1 year without a bet will resolve this to YES, even if it later gets a bet before the end of 2024. A limit order that is placed but not filled still counts as a bet.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph",... | BINARY | {"day": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "week": 1.3877787807814457e-17, "month": 1.3877787807814457e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1688739811910 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "createdTime": 1670858058102}] | ["predictions-on-predictions"] | 0.5 | 1688739811793 | 1680627386967 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8448771497590754 | vCNKcPj2vjtdTAOOW6BY | {"NO": 310.1534533868207, "YES": 286.569202579835} | 1 | will-anyone-enter-the-top-5-all-tim | 2828.184501878788 | By the end of 2023, will anyone enter the top 5 all time market creators who was not within the top 20 creators when this market was created? | 1687848275752 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2604123056305334 | True | play | YES | public | 1670858388199 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The top 20 market creators as of market creation are:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FTeQYMHr64s.18?alt=media&tok... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1687848275752 | 310 | IsaacKing | 1684516345027 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 7 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1670858388756}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1684516344850 | 1682446154657 | 0.85 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.22297493594113835 | u9MuII61MmaeMYxjREBJ | {"NO": 353.2964622606353, "YES": 2533.3717827146424} | 0 | will-there-be-84500-confirmed-cases | 11813.95779658592 | Will there be >=84,500 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by the end of 2022? | 1672549140000 | wDBYhUbkEXVWOdvIpkXSs712u9o2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.1676117485674924 | True | play | NO | public | 1670858614991 | Lifejacker | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if there are >=84,500 confirmed cases of monkeypox worldwide by year-end, using the cumulative confirmed cases of December 31, 2022, from Our World in Data: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://ourworldindata.org/monk... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672781698746 | 610 | Lifejacker | 1672513269984 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 22 | [{"name": "Health", "slug": "health", "userId": "wDBYhUbkEXVWOdvIpkXSs712u9o2", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1670858962574}, {"name": "Monkeypox", "slug": "monkeypox", "userId": "wDBYhUbkEXVWOdvIpkXSs712u9o2", "groupId": "lqeZvDbcu2moTNTzEHSJ", "createdTime": 1670858615212}, {"name": "Science", "sl... | ["monkeypox", "health", "science-default"] | 0.5 | 1672513269864 | 1672335213792 | 0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.18610850487497158 | dZyO3hKD1az8UFGttw0g | {"NO": 866.5349012321734, "YES": 1700.7016658272037} | 0.10435075515021364 | will-sotomayor-leave-the-supreme-co | 2493.1036832374843 | Will Sotomayor leave the supreme court before 2025? | 1735718340000 | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.81050526345836 | False | basic | public | 1670858641052 | Jonathan Ray | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Part of a series of time-bounded binary questions on who will die/retire from SCOTUS, because many-outcome perimutuels are bad for early predictors. It ends at the end of 2024, because any later would give Biden no chance of replacing them during ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": -0.010731482770256498, "month": -0.023335737943406654} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 13.555659399490331, "platformFee": 2.3794345795332235, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | JonathanRay | 1719940600469 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 3 | 11 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1670858641687}, {"name": "Gerontocracy", "slug": "gerontocracy", "groupId": "347c27dc-85ba-4c23-b745-f06653bf2de0", "createdTime": 1696127594972}] | ["us-politics", "gerontocracy"] | 0.5 | 1719940597079 | 1670866353327 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1337972801309184 | syeJgkwlTy3NfwEBtFGH | {"NO": 978.676535880801, "YES": 953.2650030679906} | 0.13687577055044087 | will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-4e8634844602 | 15279.791466266248 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war? | 2209006800000 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 1.3851863267609914e-15 | 9.183961507230137 | False | basic | public | 1670858872385 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if one country attacks another country with a nuclear weapon for reasons that are clearly a part of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Resolves NO if the conflict is resolved without any such detonations.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "parag... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": -0.0051441167612169825} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 35.923471215357154, "platformFee": 1.2517150413635427, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | IsaacKing | 1718204110920 | 2.7 | 60 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "userId": "y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1670858872577}, {"name": "Nuclear Risk", "slug": "nuclear-risk", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "1GU6aOGwXCt8dUSG9sX0", "createdTime": 1670861504... | ["ukrainerussia-war", "nuclear-risk"] | 0.16274495970324945 | 0.5 | 1718204105698 | 1690826699235 |
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