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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W76O7HArbbS8UPwfufxV | who-will-be-at-the-top-of-the-weekl-f6433fa542d4 | 142.53849578087326 | Who will be at the top of the weekly "Top creators" leaderboard this week? | 1659250740000 | YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.826913405034048 | True | play | 8c5b3a2edc56 | public | 1658646964858 | SneakySly | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Who will be at the top of the weekly \"Top creators\" leaderboard when this market resolves?", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.16, "platformFee": 2.04, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1659254742845 | 520 | SneakySly | 1659229159977 | 0 | 7 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "02645f1a610b", "prob": 0.22363375991754433, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 11.659598616954892, "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 40.47742497578837, "textFts": "", "contractId": "W76O7HArbbS8UPwfufxV", "createdTime": 1658646965089, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0,... | 1 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1658646966921}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 1659229159818 | {"8c5b3a2edc56": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
gfAYHidaHGf0stabsw62 | who-will-be-at-the-top-of-the-weekl-0f309f23fd6e | 1403.8489770117283 | Who will be at the top of the weekly "Top traders" leaderboard this week? | 1659250740000 | YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.650344081410742 | True | play | 3d83314cfc13 | public | 1658647000208 | SneakySly | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Who will be at the top of the weekly \"Top traders\" leaderboard this week?", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 7.599437505182702, "platformFee": 1.8998593762956755, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1659254768612 | 600 | SneakySly | 1659236719714 | 0 | 10 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "2abaa6de1535", "prob": 0.005144940498579658, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.03124364618930509, "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 6.0414497499598605, "textFts": "", "contractId": "gfAYHidaHGf0stabsw62", "createdTime": 1658647000421, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":... | 1 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YOILpFNyg0gGj79zBIBUpJigHQ83", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1658647002270}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 1659236718177 | 1659212228820 | {"3d83314cfc13": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | xiQYrKv6lbCbOjLRBylP | {"NO": 7.966039345399565, "YES": 1255.3289742128406} | 0 | will-elisabeth-ii-be-queen-of-the-u | 10378.189428628122 | Will Elizabeth II be Queen of the United Kingdom on January 1, 2023? | 1662807914646 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.826964245390222 | True | play | NO | public | 1658666539122 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, Eisabeth II will still be ruling Queen of the United Kingdom on January 1, 2023, 12 PM ET.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Otherwise... \"No\"", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 22.05508983868928, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1662807914646 | 100 | itsTomekK | 1662865078706 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 0 | 57 | 0 | 47 | [{"name": "Please Resolve", "slug": "please-resolve", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "HLWmbwGZ3vBHL8UjdtZF", "createdTime": 1662767662614}, {"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1661779633532}, {"n... | ["politics-default", "leaders", "uk-politics", "please-resolve", "free-money"] | 0.5 | 1662780060606 | 1662865074267 | 0.006305763309365203 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.23119540659207796 | 54aRwPLHmJmJAMUkZBxu | {"NO": 499.9274776452963, "YES": 377.83096134476335} | 0.28464066479481853 | when-will-alzheimers-be-cured | 188.26710625207613 | When will Alzheimers be cured | 1894337940000 | TMRLEk0jmmgHFm8b7yyNINhiRuH2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.52144041786567 | False | play | public | 1658670583672 | Jonathan Hales | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "When will there be a cure for Alzheimer's effective for every stage of the disease. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "It does not have to be widely available, just needs to exist.", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 4.045001935327172, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 480 | JonathanHales | 1706184960404 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucqFVMPgX5xjF3zFmyVeYXLlMFCqqdWTDy3bJMgeSA=s96-c | 9 | 0 | 72 | 12 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "TMRLEk0jmmgHFm8b7yyNINhiRuH2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1658670583882}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.10256410256410256 | 1706184960244 | 1703480794228 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.49999999999999806 | yV438I882WGgiSc7bVGg | {"NO": 1092.5001845018671, "YES": 9.153316531987135} | 1 | will-liz-truss-be-the-prime-ministe | 1133.8444549059677 | Will Liz Truss be the Prime Minister of the UK on September 6th? | 1662523140000 | LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.1324409462476135 | True | play | YES | public | 1658675553654 | Duncn | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.201061059836969, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1662768049810 | 100 | Duncn | 1662502366902 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 19 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658675554013}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1662502365097 | 1662465091972 | 0.9916912926583565 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.18713822544576758 | km8UKjH3jfg9N85mab1W | {"NO": 164.27523028974613, "YES": 1348.6312375140326} | 0 | will-the-united-states-federal-gove-6f93610686e0 | 4641.374011617571 | Will the United States federal government decriminalize marijuana in 2022? | 1672549140000 | U0HGS0lz7CTVT7UWDBE5T3VSl7u1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.628620337337679 | True | play | NO | public | 1658681578996 | Evelyn | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 22.14774277335909, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672556837295 | 280 | athenaciara | 1672546626088 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 43 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "U0HGS0lz7CTVT7UWDBE5T3VSl7u1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658681579293}, {"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "U0HGS0lz7CTVT7UWDBE5T3VSl7u1", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1669388945183}] | ["politics-default", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1672546625531 | 1658732049677 | 0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6169751063320446 | GpY5tnc7KLrbSrko36Tw | {"NO": 253.84421459434833, "YES": 111.55913915496775} | 1 | will-a-particular-repository-to-blo | 152.38466704854156 | Will a particular repository to block Spotify ads work in a year? | 1690257540000 | mowZ7T5LBUQuy5CWgctdHMkLo8J3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.2091080825168055 | True | play | YES | public | 1658681882756 | Nuño Sempere | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The repository in question: <", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://github.com/abba23/spotify-adblock", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://github.com/abba23/spotify-adblock", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.7320182746894655, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1690280125721 | 160 | NuñoSempere | 1690223087127 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | [] | [] | 0.5 | 1690223086984 | 0.79 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.8490996323613286 | ojhFkfZHmhtt0GCXOE1T | {"NO": 1476.2657441162364, "YES": 222.491465660951} | 1 | will-jared-polis-be-reelected-as-co | 4573.628903594167 | Will Jared Polis be re-elected as Colorado governor? | 1667972397324 | FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.3108356492234448 | True | play | YES | public | 1658682075219 | Scott Lawrence | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jared Polis is the incumbent; the main opponent is Heidi Ganahl. See here for more info: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://ballotpedia.org/Colorado_gubernatorial_and_lieutenant_gubernatorial_election,_2022", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 6.112028960276854, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667972397324 | 340 | ScottLawrence | 1667972382368 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "Colorado ", "slug": "colorado", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "4tauc9etIhLT7H6qoTAR", "createdTime": 1658682075643}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658683329742}, {"name": "US... | ["colorado", "politics-default", "us-2022-midterms"] | 0.5 | 1667969484006 | 1667972377511 | 0.9739143756420748 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.22325125351893782 | 1HfPINUExlhT5YonPUVx | {"NO": 77.77421100158145, "YES": 616.6447898221054} | 0 | will-dan-cox-be-elected-maryland-go | 712.5403750608074 | Will Dan Cox be elected Maryland Governor? | 1668022971059 | FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.1053195713821298 | True | play | NO | public | 1658682401642 | Scott Lawrence | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The current governor, Larry Hogan (R), is unable to run in the Nov 8th election due to term limits. Dan Cox (R) and Wes Moore (D) are the two main candidates.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "S... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.166342137046405, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668022971059 | 160 | ScottLawrence | 1667938100246 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Maryland", "slug": "maryland", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "0n1xci3KQqZhYAXs546g", "createdTime": 1658682402096}, {"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "FSqqnRObrqf0GX63gp5Hk4lUvqn1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658683343165}, {"name": "US ... | ["maryland", "politics-default", "us-2022-elections"] | 0.5 | 1667938100073 | 1666229801367 | 0.03498236310426661 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.31081002595088286 | dIF31u2efxX50nwz4z2N | {"NO": 83.94944396821052, "YES": 443.1358439854914} | 0 | will-samesex-partnerships-be-legall | 373.06300174084333 | Will same-sex partnerships be legally recognized in any part of Japan in 2022? | 1672549140000 | U0HGS0lz7CTVT7UWDBE5T3VSl7u1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7552463313146123 | True | play | NO | public | 1658682997682 | Evelyn | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently, same-sex marriages and civil unions do not have legal recognition in Japan. However, 210 municipalities and 8 prefectures issue symbolic partnership certificates, which can be used to \"prove\" that two people are a couple but are not le... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.9910641089634664, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672556903337 | 160 | athenaciara | 1669943778407 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "U0HGS0lz7CTVT7UWDBE5T3VSl7u1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658682998011}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1669943778182 | 0.08 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000001 | ZCfOYOIDqWBUOGFaCbiI | {"NO": 152.4030871035261, "YES": 65.61546875495434} | 0.6990372287506278 | will-i-complete-unit-2-of-the-duoli | 90 | Will I complete Unit 2 of the Duolingo Japanese course in 2022? | 1661876154311 | U0HGS0lz7CTVT7UWDBE5T3VSl7u1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.860711275114607 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1658684033496 | Evelyn | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if I reach at least Level 5 in every skill in Unit 2 by December 31, 2022.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Jul 24, 1:35pm: Creator betting policy: I will bet YES as an incentive to comp... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1661876154311 | 100 | athenaciara | 1661876197099 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "U0HGS0lz7CTVT7UWDBE5T3VSl7u1", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1660882042887}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "U0HGS0lz7CTVT7UWDBE5T3VSl7u1", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1660882047180... | ["personal-goals", "technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1660888930196 | 1661876193621 | 0.6990372287506278 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.2734064697920309 | 126COYcntSUOzvuIdNMX | {"NO": 164.85623539092703, "YES": 1586.0980018043513} | 0 | will-new-york-congresswoman-alexand | 2101.0411525475624 | Will New York Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be a candidate for the next Democratic National Convention? | 1710397000526 | V7GUR8MYyFT8ytxdDUBroNEwqA53 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8182433224258057 | True | play | NO | public | 1658790687401 | Bram Stolk | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Last time around, AOC was too young to be president.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "But will she be a candidate at the next Democratic National Convention?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "para... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 11.229252853044805, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1710397000526 | 340 | BramStolk | 1710397001371 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucqBHBv9ThohBvwh1UPOjR2PBHXCyQaX4kF34eoC4Q=s96-c | 32 | 0 | 3 | 27 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "V7GUR8MYyFT8ytxdDUBroNEwqA53", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658790719543}, {"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8hwrgR4J", "c... | ["politics-default", "2024-us-presidential-election"] | 0.5 | 1707297915244 | 1658844227199 | 0.04 | V7GUR8MYyFT8ytxdDUBroNEwqA53 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.13583421898868217 | jVSqfR0HWVaqjhKbQ01V | {"NO": 172.02399524270686, "YES": 35794.74521240685} | 0 | will-brian-armstrong-be-replaced-as | 53907.4935390185 | Will Brian Armstrong be replaced as CEO of Coinbase within one year? | 1690430340000 | wbmLRoB38FN6lYbtQQpqHUzOXzz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.4786970157844057 | True | play | NO | public | 1658851241251 | Ryan P | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to \"Yes\" if Brian Armstrong is replaced as Coinbase CEO by 07/26/2023", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 15.316004293493075, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1690441807846 | 440 | REP | 1690418896953 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 25 | [{"name": "Wall Street Bets", "slug": "wall-street-bets", "userId": "jOdiXkGC6QPazkFUjacbA2OHswt1", "groupId": "8Gu77XZbp4YnYEhLkOKm", "createdTime": 1670999700671}, {"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "wbmLRoB38FN6lYbtQQpqHUzOXzz2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 165885124... | ["technology-default", "wall-street-bets", "crypto-speculation", "coinbase"] | 0.5 | 1690418896570 | 1678161050754 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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r0hwwMJSCI7riDM9UX5d | what-startup-idea-will-prasanth-and | 50 | What startup idea will Prasanth and Akash pursue for >3 months? | 1672559940000 | 5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.90532465872575 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1658858464363 | James | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "My friends who have worked in various top tech companies are serious about creating a startup.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "What idea will they pursue for more than 3 months? Enter your sug... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672593001629 | 380 | JamesGrugett | 1662095507502 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "e5ffe4c1645e", "prob": 0.4565376186997809, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 50.21244351078113, "userId": "5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 59.77289275523384, "textFts": "", "contractId": "r0hwwMJSCI7riDM9UX5d", "createdTime": 1658858464595, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "... | 1 | 4 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "5LZ4LgYuySdL1huCWe7bti02ghx2", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1658858464818}, {"name": "Startups", "slug": "startups", "groupId": "19c319ca-033c-474f-b417-5f07efe88ec0", "createdTime": 1691181955896}] | ["technology-default", "startups"] | 1662095507325 | 1658858789350 | False | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999999 | krmmkXxg3be0P9OVCWU5 | {"NO": 195.06950197050517, "YES": 51.26377982711017} | 1 | will-prasanth-andor-akash-have-thou | 183.84823858845502 | Will Prasanth and/or Akash have thought of at least one okayish startup idea? | 1658868683598 | tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.991791511140646 | True | play | YES | public | 1658858760958 | SG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will be seeing them this afternoon. If they have an idea which I deem to be at least okayish (according to my high standards), this will resolve affirmatively.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 5.559409171071229, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1658868683598 | 100 | SG | 1658868613235 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.5 | 1658868609239 | 0.39929040960723033 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.32325214248792655 | MO3ijRQeEbZ1VBD3lKXj | {"NO": 390.71688441474225, "YES": 446.34532239887017} | 0 | will-usdt-lose-its-peg-permanently | 997.8388700528873 | Will USDT lose its peg permanently before 2024? | 1672549140000 | vXSW3L040XP7umxaP6S792G6qXx2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.9475972057687005 | True | play | NO | public | 1658859077088 | Devlin Rabasso | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Tether takes action to return USDT to its $1 peg, its peg is lost.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.2767531058688943, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704218721252 | 420 | DevlinRabasso | 1704218721602 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucrjkCsqSRx2lAg-ck2A82K0URG4wm-QeSEYILHy4w=s96-c | 28 | 0 | 74 | 28 | [{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "vXSW3L040XP7umxaP6S792G6qXx2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1658859077439}, {"name": "Stablecoins", "slug": "stablecoins", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "hUhfLNjwuIWIjGkMyoQT", "createdTime": 1668448982033}] | ["economics-default", "stablecoins"] | 0.5 | 1672070850781 | 1704218705362 | 0.29 | W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000003 | 5QKiK49ICv4cE0FZlZgx | {"NO": 46.54071176494557, "YES": 214.8656438798168} | 0.17803971005277325 | will-manifold-change-fees-from-a-pe | 423.07477799571075 | Will Manifold change fees from a percentage of trade amount to a percentage of profits by August 31? | 1661398885186 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.058217868705504 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1658859314578 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Manifold changes the fees to be a percentage of net profits instead of a percentage of the amount of each trade, by August 31. Resolves NO otherwise. This will be determined by my judgement and/or how the Manifold team describes any... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1661398885186 | 100 | jack | 1661398870673 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1658859314770}, {"name": "Predictions on Predictions", "slug": "predictions-on-predictions", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "qV4UN8VsCFzmchCqdVFK", "cr... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "predictions-on-predictions"] | 0.5 | 1661392955419 | 1661398868864 | 0.17803971005277325 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4999999999999999 | NGIws74V6LjqYBYCGibY | {"NO": 10.624415681239407, "YES": 941.2282331590221} | 0 | will-russia-cut-off-gas-deliveries | 3279.4288828944445 | Will Russia cut off gas deliveries to Germany before August 28, 2022 at Midnight. | 1661723940000 | FAu0HcCEQdMk3wtDiJhfZOkbn4z1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.887913476187735 | True | play | NO | public | 1658859981705 | David Kelly | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to \"Yes\" if at 23:59 Central European Time on August 28, Russia has stopped delivering natural gas via pipeline to Germany.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 40.49023347515187, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1661755989281 | 100 | DavidKelly | 1661717596755 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmlo3EQ88hgdJgPVofTliRN8044axs5Azx29izlt=s96-c | 35 | 0 | 1 | 34 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "FAu0HcCEQdMk3wtDiJhfZOkbn4z1", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658859981363}, {"name": "Štefan's group", "slug": "stefans-group", "userId": "UszWJomAxCdf5YMUaXcVhF08btr2", "groupId": "n36hk1sH9fxHIxPjTFPS", "createdTime": 1659093406874}, {"... | ["politics-default", "stefans-group", "ukrainerussia-war"] | 0.5 | 1661717596653 | 1659036460382 | False | 0.011161828140294826 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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8Rs02HZOHzzy8Kp4oAn4 | which-current-uci-worldteams-will-n | 1377.4176414321048 | Which current UCI WorldTeam(s) will not meet the sporting criterion to obtain the WorldTour license for 2023? | 1666106012600 | 946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.650583154594877 | True | play | MKT | public | 1658862166734 | JAAM | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I will resolve this market by selecting as answers any current UCI WorldTeam (no ProTeams) that places 19th or lower on the UCI Team Ranking 2020-2022 (according to ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://lanternerouge.com.au/2022/05/25/worldtour-202... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1666106012600 | 460.00000000000006 | egroj | 1665431308516 | 0 | 5 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "1405b754abbf", "prob": 0.005216298219555629, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.03189703909773519, "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 6.0829832371400885, "textFts": "", "contractId": "8Rs02HZOHzzy8Kp4oAn4", "createdTime": 1658862166972, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week":... | 4 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1658862167318}, {"name": "Cycling", "slug": "road-bicycle-racing", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "2yisxJryUq9V5sG7P6Gy", "createdTime": 1659383567419}] | ["sports-default", "road-bicycle-racing"] | 1665431308210 | {"5ad0f2f58ccf": 50, "8f1573838022": 50} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3320240392933341 | pXz2eupaDzeZpYzWnq9w | {"NO": 990.7770216360128, "YES": 971.4107761251529} | 0.3364164973742011 | will-there-be-fewer-than-2-russian | 1447.0959715183576 | Will there be fewer than 2 Russian cosmonauts in the International Space Station crew in December 2025? | 1767254340000 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.563810973556173 | False | basic | public | 1658862677604 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Background: Russia says it is planning to withdraw from the International Space Station after 2024. ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/26/world/russia-quit-iss-scn/index.html", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attr... | BINARY | {"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 8.95492945612959, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | jack | 1717101281983 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 16 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658862677813}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1717101278547 | 1659030695015 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.7735211871229327 | I9S27INmBUHjymK0g1nn | {"NO": 100, "YES": 100} | 0.7735211871229327 | the-swamp-will-it-be-drained | 0 | The swamp: will it be drained? | 1658902705898 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.9566320752104502 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1658902558080 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "“An initial estimate by the Trump official who came up with Schedule F found it could apply to as many as 50,000 federal workers — a fraction of a workforce of more than 2 million, but a segment with a profound role in shaping American life.”", "ty... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1658902705898 | 100 | Gigacasting | 1658902603674 | 0 | 0 | 0 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658902558408}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.7735211871229327 | 1658902598013 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | UbaeS4mJQDVs7KgcRBTj | {"NO": 104.76218787158145, "YES": 95.45428749787186} | 0.5232445915265814 | what-percent-of-the-swamp-will-be-d | 33.570620190238415 | What percent of the swamp will be drained? | 1658903654876 | wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7736708063077655 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1658903110874 | Gigacasting | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "“New presidents typically get to replace ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "more than 4,000", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://presidentialtransition.org/faq/", "class": "gtmContentClick", "target": "_blank"}}]}, {"t... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1658903654876 | 100 | Gigacasting | 1658903317633 | 0 | 1 | 0 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658903111183}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1658903317506 | 1658903137275 | 0.5232445915265813 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.49999999999999983 | Efkseroze82VrT4Fr0BR | {"NO": 30.000542296880127, "YES": 333.3273079213628} | 0 | will-president-biden-declare-nation | 295.3525797168985 | Will President Biden declare National Emergency on climate before September? | 1662808146167 | TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.3381114359079596 | True | play | NO | public | 1658918255816 | Tomek ⚡ K | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Under The National Emergencies Act of 1974 (enacted September 14, 1976, codified at 50 U.S.C. § 1601–1651), the President of the United States is empowered to activate special powers during a crisis. Congress has defined those statutory emergency p... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 3.1469742287596114, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1662808146167 | 100 | itsTomekK | 1662787218354 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpX06ijc3lo890AF3SDad-CDRub6EcR6ADNMq-zFHY=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1658918255943}, {"name": "The Life of Biden", "slug": "the-life-of-biden", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "pYwsGvORZFlcq7QrkI6n", "createdTime": 16607658569... | ["politics-default", "the-life-of-biden"] | 0.5 | 1662787216960 | 1662147037385 | 0.09244365397739741 |
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