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0.49855515893502456
NRqmbWkti0T23h8WUsMB
{"NO": 118.28117738641183, "YES": 121.74888280675587}
1
will-the-price-chart-of-this-market
190.0238814811281
Will the price chart of this market cross 50% even number of times before January 1, 2023?
1672527540000
TUk0ELR0SNV74OfRAOD48ciiS0W2
cpmm-1
0
0.9393295221049723
True
play
YES
public
1658918582839
Tomek ⚡ K
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\", if the price chart of this market will move through 50% line an even number of times (ie. 2, 4, 8, 22 times...) in 2022.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If it crosses 5...
BINARY
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1672960159028
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itsTomekK
1672960156444
0
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1672525245557
1672960150528
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0.7097843212181809
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{"NO": 1088.0783867726886, "YES": 951.1389562162983}
0.7366919308318333
when-will-googles-carbonlang-be-dep
146.5668170640198
(When) will Google's Carbon-lang be deprecated?
1785189540000
Sm05hrytqbPTlgiuajo7BWgUSlm1
cpmm-1
0
9.587898580091752
False
play
public
1658925466460
^,^ Épi
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Google recently announced [carbon-lang](", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://github.com/carbon-language/carbon-lang", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://github.com/carbon-language/carbon-lang", "class": "no-under...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
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0
{"creatorFee": 1.6127479774920555, "platformFee": 0.3362592397088669, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1000
epiphanie_gedeon
1714617932937
0
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJzht0r_Wd81YAWA-OvNNPddGK7Y7RC-HxeNO25a=s96-c
0
11
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will-elizabeth-warren-run-for-presi
17177.041368560524
Will Elizabeth Warren run for president in 2024?
1722484740000
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0.058782772887215104
10.414292014504365
False
basic
public
1658930769784
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Warren formally announces she is a candidate in the 2024 primary and files the necessary paperwork to get on the primary ballot. Presumably this will need to happen by next July at the absolute latest. Resolves NO if she does not ru...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 9.116298359620824, "platformFee": 2.9941720710047233, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1000
BTE
1717249814772
1.1
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
1
64
0
37
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if-nancy-pelosi-visits-taiwan-how-w
383.0036679473697
If Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan how will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) respond?
1662310943382
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.783020081765322
True
play
MKT
public
1658936126909
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If [this market](", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-nancy-pelosi-visit-taiwan-duri", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-nancy-pelosi-visit-taiwan-duri", "clas...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
{"creatorFee": 0.7067872629297882, "platformFee": 0.17669681573244705, "liquidityFee": 0}
0
1662310943382
600
BTE
1662317276952
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
8
0
ANYONE
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8
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1662309352136
1662317286645
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0.7931071940359232
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{"NO": 457.14953986105877, "YES": 116.3929610178823}
1
will-xi-jinping-hold-the-formal-pol
1392.762652375258
Will Xi Jinping hold the formal political title of "People's Leader" at the beginning of his third term as leader of the Chinese Communist Party?
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4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
3.2467480331812837
True
play
YES
public
1658937269884
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Xi Jinping is given the formal Chinese Communist Party (CCP) title of \"People's Leader\", the most exclusive political title in the CCP, ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Onl...
BINARY
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0
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1666314899889
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BTE
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0
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0
24
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by-the-end-of-2022-will-iran-announ
3745.650206617461
By the end of 2022 will Iran announce successful enrichment of enough Uranium to assemble a nuclear warhead?
1672536928377
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
0
3.9164417510005527
True
play
NO
public
1658939684663
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Iran makes a formal announcement that they have passed the threshold the Iranian Nuclear Agreement was intended to prevent and can credibly assemble their first nuclear warhead. Resolves NO if they don't.", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 33.410877135360636, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1672536928377
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BTE
1672388797956
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
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25
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["global-macro", "nuclear-risk", "iran"]
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1672388797842
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{"NO": 1596.7453581131906, "YES": 6.2627393586517535}
1
if-nancy-pelosi-tries-to-visit-taiw
2619.60829298952
If Nancy Pelosi tries to visit Taiwan in August, will China allow her to land?
1659508281209
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cpmm-1
0
4.084993618799956
True
play
YES
public
1658941566545
PeterBorah
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if her plane lands in Taiwan without incident. Resolves no if China implements a no-fly zone, intercepts her plane, attempts to shoot it down, etc. Resolves N/A if she decides not to go, even if the decision is made due to fears she wo...
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
{"creatorFee": 7.10823549479453, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1659508281209
100
PeterBorah
1659498515227
0
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will-i-end-today-july-27th-at-the-t
10370.652326406742
Will I end today July 27th at the top of both Daily Leaderboards?
1658980740000
4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2
cpmm-1
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3.770595152832414
True
play
NO
public
1658942997801
Brian T. Edwards
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if I am the top trader and creator for the day. Resolves NO if I do not. ", "type": "text"}]}]}
BINARY
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0
{"creatorFee": 67.03709081006363, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}
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1658982322369
100
BTE
1658983031440
0
https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c
11
0
1
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1658980702105
1658983029134
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{"NO": 999.8144925041081, "YES": 980.7354483126985}
0.27365384756094585
when-will-the-first-mars-samples-be
349.06093733149856
When will the first Mars samples be returned to Earth?
2556161940000
HT8eUoGkBufqbNB7RayTEOV94VB2
cpmm-1
0
9.572910618351866
False
play
public
1658944003151
wasabipesto
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "NASA has finished the system requirements review for its Mars Sample Return Program, which is nearing completion of the conceptual design phase. During this phase, the program team evaluated and refined the architecture to return the scientifically...
PSEUDO_NUMERIC
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1000
wasabipesto
1713224406717
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https://firebasestorage.…c09-105e8c2cac4c
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0.175
1713224403383
1713218177696
0.5000000000000002
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{"NO": 53.49386255047658, "YES": 186.93733305505918}
1
will-anyone-beat-marshall-today-at
171.07652824730178
Will anyone beat Marshall today at chess?
1658974291775
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cpmm-1
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2.9651681021201513
True
play
YES
public
1658944786834
Austin
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BINARY
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0
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1658974291775
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Austin
1658980460470
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who-will-win-the-2022-vuelta-a-espa
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Who will win the 2022 Vuelta a España?
1662904800000
946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2
cpmm-multi-1
0
4.654301749524011
True
play
9f479336b600
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1658945096649
JAAM
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Vuelta_a_Espa%C3%B1a", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Vuelta_a_Espa%C3%B1a", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-words hover:underli...
MULTIPLE_CHOICE
0
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1662924413097
500
egroj
1662864850356
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https://firebasestorage.…3f7-a770bebe9686
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ANYONE
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1662864850178
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True
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will-there-be-a-federal-reserve-rat
4279.367740804854
Will there be a Federal Reserve rate hike in August 2022?
1662091140000
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cpmm-1
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2.979166173998469
True
play
NO
public
1658947771459
Duncn
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BINARY
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0
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1662148788285
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Duncn
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1
will-there-be-a-federal-reserve-rat-40fa842dc116
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Will there be a Federal Reserve rate hike in September 2022?
1663878524616
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cpmm-1
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6.448002739267675
True
play
YES
public
1658947796921
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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
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1663878524616
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10
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will-there-be-a-federal-reserve-rat-a22092d5d046
8622.338291934719
Will there be a Federal Reserve rate hike in October 2022?
1667339544179
LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
cpmm-1
0
3.8391674353261136
True
play
NO
public
1658947822652
Duncn
{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}
BINARY
{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}
0
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Will there be a winning ticket sold for the Mega Millions this Friday?
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LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2
cpmm-1
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Will there be exactly one winning ticket sold for the Mega Millions jackpot this Friday?
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2.780459387225531
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will-mitch-mcconnell-visit-taiwan-b
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Will Mitch McConnell visit Taiwan by the end of 2022?
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Brian T. Edwards
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do-those-ab-workout-electrode-belts
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Do those ab workout electrode belts work?
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1658951585200
Brian T. Edwards
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will-i-prefer-analytic-or-continent
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Will I prefer analytic or continental philosophy on August 15?
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Enopoletus Harding
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Jonathan Nankivell
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What's the coolest word I don't know?
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How many referral bonuses will I get over the lifetime of my market on Nancy Pelosi visiting Taiwan during summer recess?
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Brian T. Edwards
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "EA Grants Database" win?
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will-china-use-force-to-attack-taiw
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Jarod Lee
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "multiple choice markets" win?
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "Redeem Mana for Gift Cards (Amazon, etc.)" win?
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Ian Philips
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will my BRAINS booklet draft win?
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1658977171622
Em ✨
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "Sinclair's site redesign" win?
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Sinclair Chen
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "Noobify Manifold" win?
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Inga Wei
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "wagerwith.me<>manifold integration" win?
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "James' market making bot" win?
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "Manfart" win?
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[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "principle sequencer" win?
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Which Crumbl cookie of the week does Manifold like the most?
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Will the Schumer–Manchin reconciliation bill pass Congress?
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cpmm-multi-1
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b10069d801b8
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1659019668221
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459.58862404990253
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Will AGI cause the collapse of civilization before the end of 2025? 📎
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4.8071684011592835
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best-podcasts
58
Most insightful/educational podcasts? 🎧
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cpmm-multi-1
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4.88930496476278
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play
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cpmm-1
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2.863954033713247
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play
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What number of citations my paper "Sparse is Enough in Scaling Transformers" will have by the end of 2022?
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cpmm-1
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How many multiple choice markets will be created this week?
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Will Jan Misali’s 2022 Meme Recap contain the song “EKSE” by Off the Meds?
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Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan be the President of Turkey on January 1, 2023?
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cpmm-1
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3.89773004972724
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play
YES
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1659036821676
Tomek ⚡ K
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cpmm-multi-1
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Which party will win Senate at the 2022 Italian general election?
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cpmm-multi-1
0
4.784730694915448
True
play
d4aced54d4c0
public
1659039189617
Tomek ⚡ K
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will-there-be-a-robust-third-party
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Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race?
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IPTOzEqrpkWmEzh6hwvAyY9PqFb2
cpmm-1
0
9.53689381492961
False
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Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by September 11th, 2022?
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Will Cruise Automation IPO by 2024?
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Inga Wei
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Sinclair Chen
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wasabipesto
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Should we change the manifold logo?
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Vincent Luczkow
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Will I beat Portal before @Chizardium in a race?
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What percent of people at the Momentum party are going to EAG?
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What will US core inflation be for the year 2022?
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