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cpmm-1

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cpmm-1

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at-the-end-of-the-night-we-will-tak

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cpmm-1

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how-many-people-will-be-here-when-t-fe264d62eb1f

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How many people who live in Manhattan?

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cpmm-multi-1

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4.98013067025711

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4) When this is resolved, how many people in the room who also currently live in Manhattan?

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cpmm-multi-1

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4.647538266414682

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1659487181517

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cpmm-multi-1

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2870

6) Of the questions with numeric answers, which answer will be the highest number that is a correct answer? (answer is question index)

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cpmm-multi-1

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4.631823761367011

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7-at-the-end-of-the-night-this-ques

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7) At the end of the night, this question will resolve to Yes.

1659487292588

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cpmm-1

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1659484740144

Shaked Koplewitz

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ShakedKoplewitz

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1659487227742

0.9733415986482956

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8-which-question-will-have-the-most

3086.366780360522

8) Which question will have the most points bet on it when this question is resolved? (answer is question index)

1659487338760

RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.6308781390805835

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play

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Shaked Koplewitz

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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1659487338760

999.9999999999998

ShakedKoplewitz

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ANYONE

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MVykRoXSC1fCqHDwvWUL

9-what-is-the-most-common-type-of-d

1550

9) What is the most common type of die in the solarium dice bowl?(answer as a number of faces)

1659487461784

RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.6449645699952615

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play

a77a444deacc

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1659485068639

Shaked Koplewitz

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

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1659487461784

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ShakedKoplewitz

1659487452960

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1659487452793

{"a77a444deacc": 100}

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{"NO": 70.62157671108045, "YES": 141.59978388631794}

0

10-does-lotr-have-more-words-than-h

530

10) Does LOTR have more words than HPMOR?

1659487497677

RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-1

0

2.44602925769662

True

play

NO

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1659485200023

Shaked Koplewitz

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1659487497677

100

ShakedKoplewitz

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1659487489292

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hmeN8CwMo6jjQbKtvHDL

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11-does-hpmor-have-more-words-than

461.9255162644137

11) Does HPMOR have more words than Les Miserables?

1659487513004

RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-1

0

2.3068155422186742

True

play

NO

public

1659485320861

Shaked Koplewitz

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1659487513004

100

ShakedKoplewitz

1659487511627

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bonus-questionwill-all-of-questions

630.9927674636659

Bonus questionWill all of questions in Shakeds list be posed and resolved

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7ALNcTmohCaZP8duGPjaAdHbU173

cpmm-1

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2.8008088840725214

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1659485565635

Itamar Levy-Or

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ItamarLevyOr

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13-does-the-nyc-subway-have-more-to

722.1850571046117

13) Does the NYC subway have more total route length than the London underground?

1659487598681

RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-1

0

3.314981894443142

True

play

NO

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1659485605745

Shaked Koplewitz

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Details: For NYC we measure ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "route", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " not track length - so express tracks do not count double. For London we measure the underground only - no DLR/crossrail/etc...

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ShakedKoplewitz

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will-i-be-caught-up-with-to-the-sta

275.34426896335816

Will I be caught up with To the Stars by the end of the year?

1672559940000

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cpmm-1

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2.703473429493929

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play

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bonus

151

Bonus: Will Shaked run another one of these meetups?

1659487189408

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2.783570109250027

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1659485792172

Gil Halevi

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GilHalevi

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1659485991069

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14-at-the-time-i-wrote-this-questio

279.4398699033767

14) At the time I wrote this question, I made a guess about whether Harry remembered to say which libraries are available. What did I guess?

1659487645805

RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-1

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2.909522316433769

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1659485863405

Shaked Koplewitz

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1659487645805

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ShakedKoplewitz

1659487461199

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15-did-i-guess-that-the-previous-qu

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15) Did I guess that the previous question would have >70% chance of the correct answer?

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cpmm-1

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4.927134128850506

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1659485969467

Shaked Koplewitz

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1659487675344

100

ShakedKoplewitz

1659487665280

0

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8

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16-did-the-30-year-war-actually-las

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16) Did the 30 year war actually last 30 years rounded to the nearest integer? (that is, between 29.5 years and 30.5 years

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RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-1

0

3.2487551749775485

True

play

YES

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1659486063438

Shaked Koplewitz

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1659487718365

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ShakedKoplewitz

1659487696037

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15

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1659487695920

0.24094823382318212

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17-what-century-did-the-first-crusa

970

17) What century did the first crusade start?

1659487738545

RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.660769702052504

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play

f409443ae090

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1659486219751

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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{"creatorFee": 13.69333333333334, "platformFee": 3.423333333333335, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1659487738545

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ShakedKoplewitz

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13

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DISABLED

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{"NO": 128.8007566432422, "YES": 77.63929545614724}

0.6239136026822536

does-harry-potter-generate-larger-b

30

Does Harry Potter generate larger box office than The Lord of the Rings?

1659585540000

PHgPPgrMMzRXp0zpDkSSpkALPDA3

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

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1659486326243

Sophie Yue Pan

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SophieYuePan

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1659486482096

1703051444892

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18-what-will-the-highestprobability

7804.581600698961

18) What will the highest-probability option on this question be?

1659487759138

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cpmm-multi-1

0

4.6216403641671615

True

play

a20fe89b1349

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1659486389965

Shaked Koplewitz

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MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

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1659487759138

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ShakedKoplewitz

1659487756363

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0.3

19-how-long-in-minutes-will-it-take

748

19) How long, in minutes, will it take us to resolve all questions? (Measured in time between the coinflip and resolving this question)

1659487824059

RkAt6Um0wpX2kshaEi1RnZUdBqa2

cpmm-1

0

2.848365426183312

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play

MKT

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Shaked Koplewitz

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PSEUDO_NUMERIC

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ShakedKoplewitz

1659487803976

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