CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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What percent will vote in ‘24?

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4859423940000

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cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

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basic

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1659656538519

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to whichever organization first lands a human on Mars. The human does not need to be alive after the landing, but they do need to make it to the surface.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text"...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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True

LWyBMgGT1ID7BpCvdrfv

what-thing-has-the-highest-ratio-of-8773722ed0ca

253.937332904144

What thing has the highest ratio of "sounds bad" / "is bad"?

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y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.769003725778869

True

play

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1659656844061

Isaac King

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to my opinion of what thing has the scariest-sounding name relative to how bad it actually is.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To prevent last-minute sniping, this market's close date...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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1663168992584

920

IsaacKing

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https://firebasestorage.…e7c-a7b2af67e4cc

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ANYONE

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{"NO": 2932.0800619508614, "YES": 77.91230161186975}

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is-ganondorf-the-unknown-figure-in

3692.3914159483234

Is Ganondorf the unknown figure in the original "Tears of the Kingdom" trailer?

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fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42

cpmm-1

0

3.8483045691251228

True

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YES

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1659658318497

N.C. Young

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://youtu.be/3fr1Z07AV00?t=48", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://youtu.be/3fr1Z07AV00?t=48", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Sep 14, 11:23am: ", "type": "...

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Will there be a Doctor Who New Year/Christmas/holiday special in 2022/23?

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3.926182443908271

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1659658320118

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What will be the 2022 New Zealand Bird of the Year?

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fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42

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4.815387986491495

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will-marcelo-freixo-be-elected-gove

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Will Marcelo Freixo be elected governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2022?

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cpmm-1

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2.424619142869842

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1659659038293

Franklin Baldo

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Will Fernando Haddad be elected governor of São Paulo in 2022?

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cpmm-1

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2.162867506319026

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NO

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Manifold Lottery: Choose your favorite digit, I will resolve with a random, predetermined seed

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Olivia's Market Manager Bot

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Will "What We Owe The Future", by Will MacAskill, reach a top 10 position on any large US bestseller list within a month of launch?

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cpmm-1

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0.9037539186137257

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Alastair Fraser

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Question resolves yes if WWOTF reaches top 10 on any of Amazon (overall), NYT, Barnes and Noble, or any other major US bestseller list before September 17th, 2022 (edited as a similar question already running).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragr...

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Will Donald Trump be US President on September 12, 2022?

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3.0960802473882736

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Jack

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Lula vai ser eleito presidente do Brasil em 2022?

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2.917892628497311

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Franklin Baldo

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Qual vai ser o preço médio da gasolina no Brasil no dia 30 de outubro de 2022?

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2.67940084803721

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Franklin Baldo

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Aug 6, 12:15am: vou usar anp como fonte da informação", "type": "text"}]}]}

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Will my theory of writing direction and shoulder function be accepted by at least fifteen scientists by the end of 2024?

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Enopoletus Harding

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Will there be a way to subsidize/ante free response markets without hurting your profit number by the end of Sept '22?

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Why was PredictIt shut down?

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Will Kalshi have a real-money market on the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election?

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1659680372303

Javi

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Do I have covid?

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Sinclair Chen

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Duncn

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Brian T. Edwards

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