CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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Will Swiss people accept the Factory Farming Initiative?

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Will Swiss people accept the Old-Age and Surviver's Insurance reform?

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How many competitors in the Prometheus ELK competition will win a monetary prize?

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Franklin Baldo

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6

[{"name": "Parenting", "slug": "parenting", "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "groupId": "qH1rJ1UfPawvb83ze4fS", "createdTime": 1661971884509}]

["parenting"]

1664148601111

1662032325431

{"9c8002e037f3": 100}

True

0.8328367322526236

1sm0zlnGcHqbtgtVnjoY

{"NO": 1003.1883936158005, "YES": 1144.972309598012}

0.8136144922185146

at-what-market-cap-will-retool-exit

81.00430200504195

At what market cap will Retool exit?

1893484740000

oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2

cpmm-1

0.036073306019705036

9.63949067386116

False

play

public

1661975450998

barak

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the market cap of Retool (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "retool.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://retool.com", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underli...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": 1.1102230246251565e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1120

barak

1688497877435

1.1

https://firebasestorage.…490-ba585c49c2ba

1

6

0

7

[{"name": "Venture Capital", "slug": "venture-capital", "userId": "oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2", "groupId": "faNUnphw6Eoq7OJBRJds", "createdTime": 1661975451427}, {"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 167035987...

["venture-capital", "private-markets", "ancient-markets"]

0.09868852590046878

0.8333333333369224

1688497877303

0.8670659459547843

khM0E9YkotLCF8Z9fc2u

{"NO": 1176.7134736978526, "YES": 1412.8820660047702}

0.8445336916531223

at-what-market-cap-will-figma-exit

981.0014185665875

At what market cap will Figma exit?

1893484740000

oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2

cpmm-1

0

9.579034146362304

False

play

public

1661975546268

barak

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the market cap of Figma (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "figma.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://figma.com", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline ...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": -5.551115123125783e-16, "week": -5.551115123125783e-16, "month": -5.551115123125783e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1380

barak

1703861701102

0

https://firebasestorage.…490-ba585c49c2ba

0

19

0

8

[{"name": "Venture Capital", "slug": "venture-capital", "userId": "oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2", "groupId": "faNUnphw6Eoq7OJBRJds", "createdTime": 1661975546817}, {"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 167035987...

["venture-capital", "private-markets", "ancient-markets"]

0.8730934378944801

1703861700935

1703723503116

0.8720342161200635

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{"NO": 1166.5422982278958, "YES": 1158.8650066123712}

0.8727692389675101

at-what-market-cap-will-notion-exit

341.9937680429032

At what market cap will Notion exit?

1893484740000

oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2

cpmm-1

0

9.807051837623163

False

play

public

1661975641942

barak

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the market cap of Notion (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "notion.so", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://notion.so", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1160

barak

1684385799596

0

https://firebasestorage.…490-ba585c49c2ba

10

0

10

[{"name": "Venture Capital", "slug": "venture-capital", "userId": "oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2", "groupId": "faNUnphw6Eoq7OJBRJds", "createdTime": 1661975642378}, {"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 167035987...

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1684385798373

0.6743990025472592

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{"NO": 2114.8769197601832, "YES": 2302.4286251337026}

0.6554722562464218

at-what-market-cap-will-manifold-ma

416.000814128333

At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?

1893484740000

oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2

cpmm-1

0

7.58416553077668

False

play

public

1661975786244

barak

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the market cap of Manifold Markets (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "manifold.markets", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://manifold.markets", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "week": 3.3306690738754696e-16, "month": 3.3306690738754696e-16}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

2240

barak

1707233651927

0

https://firebasestorage.…490-ba585c49c2ba

1

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0

20

[{"name": "Venture Capital", "slug": "venture-capital", "userId": "oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2", "groupId": "faNUnphw6Eoq7OJBRJds", "createdTime": 1661975786703}, {"name": "Private Markets", "slug": "private-markets", "userId": "4aW01GHrlgafwAPLI1St7MPnOni1", "groupId": "CR3uuSLahQOT5w9K6DMy", "createdTime": 167035987...

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0.12500680147169388

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0.40781603823914725

at-what-market-cap-will-mos-exit

593.5182645710015

At what market cap will Mos exit?

1893484740000

oI1QtGxmvHVFXXl6yP4Ysun2YXv2

cpmm-1

0

9.812161229186547

False

play

public

1661976041481

barak

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the market cap of Mos (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "mos.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://mos.com", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 5.551115123125783e-17, "week": 5.551115123125783e-17, "month": 5.551115123125783e-17}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1160

barak

1682929816288

0

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["venture-capital", "private-markets"]

0.6666666670285547

1682929816087

1676501627011

0.9163361127859585

0jNOH5gX19F8X7DNQJH2

{"NO": 120, "YES": 98.34913506190942}

0.9303801666854579

at-what-market-cap-will-stripe-exit

20

At what market cap will Stripe exit?

1661977144887

igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2

cpmm-1

0

8.547326210622927

True

play

CANCEL

public

1661976957761

Austin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the market cap of Stripe (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "stripe.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://stripe.com", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underli...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1661977144887

100

Austin

1661977118975

0

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiZyl1lBehuBMGyJYJhZd-N-mstaUtgE4xdI22lLw=s96-c

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[{"name": "Venture Capital", "slug": "venture-capital", "userId": "igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2", "groupId": "faNUnphw6Eoq7OJBRJds", "createdTime": 1661976958194}]

["venture-capital"]

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1661977024686

1661977116958

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0.9068493619331814

at-what-market-cap-will-stripe-exit-f16cd119f479

1311.0266625275653

At what market cap will Stripe exit?

1893484740000

igi2zGXsfxYPgB0DJTXVJVmwCOr2

cpmm-1

0

10.131520802279852

False

play

public

1661977230551

Austin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the market cap of Stripe (", "type": "text"}, {"text": "stripe.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://stripe.com", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underli...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0.1152652146766504, "platformFee": 0.1152652146766504, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1240

Austin

1714650414448

0

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0

12

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["venture-capital", "private-markets"]

0.9131856989429946

1714650410919

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0.5000000000000001

JAkTGMvr6iuhfB5a5kcq

{"NO": 29.204832633319768, "YES": 342.4090843304821}

0

will-there-be-cranboo-lore-tomorrow

267.5909156695179

Will there be c!Ranboo lore tomorrow? (September 1, EST)

1662091140000

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cpmm-1

0

3.4865872143073307

True

play

NO

public

1661978202492

Will

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Aug 31, 6:16pm: if there is Ranboo lore tonight that also counts. btw. i realize that this will not happen, however,", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1662130727711

100

hearts

1662088202318

0

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3

0

1

3

[{"name": "MCYT", "slug": "mcyt", "userId": "cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2", "groupId": "x5sZpL8vt0KhtrtwO2uQ", "createdTime": 1661978203067}]

["mcyt"]

0.5

1662088201055

0.0785891789842859

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{"NO": 35.86342548319688, "YES": 278.8356066178142}

0

will-there-be-cranboo-lore-in-the-n

297.1643933821858

Will there be c!Ranboo lore in the next week?

1662609540000

cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2

cpmm-1

0

3.2768242803157897

True

play

NO

public

1661978222742

Will

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Sep 3, 6:38pm: crumbs/hints/teasers don't count. he has to actually appear on a dream SMP stream (does not have to be his own).", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1662662681658

100

hearts

1662552338654

0

https://firebasestorage.…d0d-8ed365690175

7

0

1

7

[{"name": "MCYT", "slug": "mcyt", "userId": "cwu7Ub6HsTcEa6teYIKdV6vRCpG2", "groupId": "x5sZpL8vt0KhtrtwO2uQ", "createdTime": 1661978223153}]

["mcyt"]

0.5

1662552338200

0.11396102887181923

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{"NO": 209.0164711415182, "YES": 5552.097813311051}

0

will-donald-trump-leave-the-country

8425.169207773486

Will Donald Trump pull a 'Snowden' and leave the US before being charged in any jurisdiction and fail to return when so ordered after charges are filed?

1704083946065

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

2.738936756390236

True

play

NO

public

1661980323885

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Donald Trump attempts to avoid charged by pulling a 'Snowden' and refuses to return from abroad. Not necessary for him to formally seek asylum, but if he does that resolves YES. Resolves NO if Trump is in the US when charges are fil...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704083946065

629.8491665596711

BTE

1704083946833

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

45

0

25

[{"name": "MAGA-land", "slug": "magaland", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1661980324285}, {"name": "Law & Order", "slug": "law-order", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "9JiXkg8yBFMmO4NwCW44", "createdTime": 1662316648658}, {"name": "US Pol...

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0.5

1704083942192

1663537190212

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0.01

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0.3618233504695364

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will-xi-jinping-assume-the-title-of

1991.0518879673807

Will Xi Jinping assume the title of "Great Leader" at the 20th Party Congress in October?

1666475500683

4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2

cpmm-1

0

2.4446151054358647

True

play

NO

public

1661980860352

Brian T. Edwards

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Xi Jinping iis formally granted the title of \"Great Leader\" at the upcoming 20th People's Congress in October. Resolves NO if not. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Close date...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1666475500683

308.4410311296142

BTE

1666449750846

0

https://firebasestorage.…ae9-3fcd8f17498c

19

0

16

[{"name": "Who does Xi think he is?", "slug": "who-does-xi-think-he-is", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "GPloP7NvYNOoTpTWZhpJ", "createdTime": 1661980860768}, {"name": "CCP 20th Party Congress", "slug": "ccp-20th-party-congress", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "YfcYoy7TWbZtUO...

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1666449750014

1666440607532

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0.5

RW1kiQWM0NXTQabO8T47

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will-the-character-dream-be-dead-in

74.14712098461098

Will the character Dream be dead in/during/by the end of the S1S4 finale?

1664607540000

lxu2bpw54lPtbSFKPO0hNINs0Jz2

cpmm-1

0

2.8520845582073924

True

play

CANCEL

public

1661981722549

Curlew

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Contingent on the streamer Dream doing or appearing on some kind of Dream SMP lore stream before the Season 1 finale. ", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "Counts as death (for the purposes of this bet):", "typ...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1685925934027

100

Curlew

1664586967420

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https://firebasestorage.…600-987592787b17

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1664586967313

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which-percentage-of-votes-will-be-c

124.15109719545895

Which percentage of votes will be cast for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2022 Brazilian elections?

1664744400000

EBGhoFSxRtVBu4617SLZUe1FeJt1

cpmm-1

0

2.4693112539000004

True

play

MKT

public

1661984393280

Franklin Baldo

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Percentage of all votes including blank and null.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Here is a forecasting aggregator: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.estadao.com.br/politica/eleicoes/a...

PSEUDO_NUMERIC

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{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1664766705627

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FranklinBaldo

1664686969245

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0.44

1664686969138

0.46

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what-contributions-will-we-list-on

741.666842673793

What contributions will we list on Awesome Manifold?

1662620340000

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cpmm-multi-1

0

4.6741114851153

True

play

7e871ea05d4b

public

1661987176979

Austin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "One of my favorite things about Manifold is the creativity and depth of community contributions. We've curated a few of them on ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Awesome Manifold", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://d...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1662626979301

520.0000000000001

Austin

1662659372261

0

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8

0

ANYONE

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