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0.5000000000000003 | 8YBVJBRB7GZ82WratjFh | {"NO": 17.81774170458714, "YES": 561.2383525250846} | 0 | are-there-more-than-50-university-s | 596.9282499426604 | Are there more than 50 university students active on Manifold? | 1663081140000 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.105825730574435 | True | play | NO | public | 1662668249280 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will resolve yes if 50 users comment on the linked market that they are students before ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "this", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " market closes (comments made after the linked market resolves st... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1663107045274 | 100 | Jenny | 1663076381261 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1662668249898}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1663076379975 | 1662668516751 | 0.030770320668657168 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.558180659363934 | mkF4WXhEk06myJHkoOfB | {"NO": 2312.473340459772, "YES": 105.83427745199913} | 1 | will-exactly-one-of-joe-biden-and-k | 3024.4960419356585 | Will exactly one of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris attend the Queen's funeral? | 1663655539547 | 1peFzLQ2AUXC5NzE9xWsRByeMSF3 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.5814301155141604 | True | play | YES | public | 1662668314038 | Future Telling Owl | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if President Biden attends the Queen's funeral and Kamala Harris does not.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Kamala Harris attends the Queen's funeral and Joe Biden does not.", "type": "te... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1663655539547 | 440 | FutureOwl | 1663655503976 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FFutureOwl%2FXYCT2NQkYd.44?alt=media&token=d1f2390e-ef8d-4731-be88-187a42fd5af2 | 35 | 0 | 32 | [{"name": "Royal Funeral", "slug": "royal-funeral", "userId": "1peFzLQ2AUXC5NzE9xWsRByeMSF3", "groupId": "Y9xojSRQaUbF8czkpJK5", "createdTime": 1662668314646}] | ["royal-funeral"] | 0.5 | 1663655503681 | 1662989639118 | 0.9650405092793002 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
NAaPgHR2xXJ5oNrgIIlt | tutbad-where-are-the-missing-people | 932.0182822440592 | [TUTBAD] Where are the missing people? | 1664298395645 | PkBnU8cAZiOLa0fjxiUzMKsFMYZ2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.662681424431542 | True | play | 9838fbaf91a4 | public | 1662671156285 | horse | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to where ever it turns out most of the missing people are. Specific beats general. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664298395645 | 580 | horse | 1663164968067 | 0 | 8 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "e1228e27b864", "prob": 0.009499937671754813, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.09037842172365437, "userId": "PkBnU8cAZiOLa0fjxiUzMKsFMYZ2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 9.423202071795501, "textFts": "", "contractId": "NAaPgHR2xXJ5oNrgIIlt", "createdTime": 1662671157007, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": ... | 7 | [{"name": "This Used To Be About Markets", "slug": "this-used-to-be-about-markets", "userId": "PkBnU8cAZiOLa0fjxiUzMKsFMYZ2", "groupId": "RqpmlE3BYQqVyRiNfvMv", "createdTime": 1662671156850}] | ["this-used-to-be-about-markets"] | 1663164967943 | 1663089241447 | {"9838fbaf91a4": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.18089065761443932 | SFfgAIfQQdmPD7uLhIuS | {"NO": 168.25762561197072, "YES": 1869.9568744284395} | 0 | will-australia-announce-a-referendu | 1784.2257988162974 | Will Australia announce a referendum on becoming a republic by 2024? | 1704027540000 | XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.642239101315865 | True | play | NO | public | 1662673773763 | Keepcalmandchill | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704098447159 | 320 | Keepcalmandchill | 1704098447487 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1662673774728}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703121555817}] | ["politics-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.10644134152223443 | 0.5 | 1704025935759 | 0.02 | XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2473785991872203 | e7PEqiuMonLdFbBHKOLU | {"NO": 78.83371215432042, "YES": 2937.753629278407} | 0 | will-jamaica-become-a-republic-by-2 | 3062.904621083451 | Will Jamaica become a republic by 2024? | 1704027540000 | XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.3556577457865 | True | play | NO | public | 1662673830400 | Keepcalmandchill | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704099832373 | 240 | Keepcalmandchill | 1704099832818 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1662673831691}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703125721817}] | ["politics-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1703488727616 | 1662842567486 | 0.01 | XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.28277507907971716 | ZI6pTIbfGEVGYx2Hg4NG | {"NO": 74.1195700472847, "YES": 5871.086643088782} | 0 | will-there-be-15-or-more-named-trop | 16102.143696862888 | Will there be 15 or more named tropical system in north Atlantic during the cyclonic season 2022 | 1676501940000 | oKA1vdCwFPbrZl5yq4NFP8Vp9AI3 | cpmm-1 | 3.0107413885703056 | True | play | NO | public | 1662674435358 | Nathnath | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves YES if the NHC have named 15 system or more for this cyclonic season in the last update available February, 15th, 2023", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1676744136482 | 590 | Nathnath | 1676744133710 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmlVm74deJmOXw55ja0RwAYn3sGUcjDK0yKHUMR_=s96-c | 1 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 12 | [{"name": "Weather", "slug": "weather", "userId": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1663603313873}] | ["weather"] | 0.5 | 1676485172628 | 1676744131968 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7625432806535706 | uzZQgg52BXt53ZuAQuhV | {"NO": 6954.939238417974, "YES": 178.8227268107944} | 1 | when-will-manifold-allow-date-as-a | 7962.178829034902 | When will Manifold allow 'date' as a unique answer type in 2023? | 1704035082234 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0.4674213811208764 | 1.8892990492011643 | True | play | MKT | public | 1662677747423 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the number of days since start of 2023 to when Manifold implements \"date\" markets: Jan 1 = 1, Dec 31 = 365.", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "If date markets are implemented in 2022... | PSEUDO_NUMERIC | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704035082234 | 540 | Jenny | 1704035167641 | 4.5 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1662953366815}, {"name": "Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 16... | ["manifold-6748e065087e", "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.15792523373780454 | 0.4972527472527473 | 1704034574003 | 1704035166877 | 1 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6394479754311185 | aSDGvzd4XTTtzGpQdfxs | {"NO": 2862.195153845005, "YES": 48.12682425127832} | 1 | will-ukraine-regain-control-of-kupi | 12668.72754590445 | Will Ukraine regain control of all of Kupiansk (including the eastern half) by the end of 2022? | 1664745253670 | Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.0192152705866375 | True | play | YES | public | 1662682173614 | Jenny | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kupiansk", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kupiansk", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-indigo-400 ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664745253670 | 220 | Jenny | 1664745159893 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 37 | [{"name": "Wars", "slug": "wars", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "B71vip8fPvi3c64vSWUz", "createdTime": 1662682665823}, {"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1662682649214}, {"name": "Ukraine Counterof... | ["world-default", "wars", "ukraine-counteroffensive", "ukrainerussia-war"] | 0.5 | 1664745159802 | 1664735540320 | False | 0.9817698443441304 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.02815533591808687 | QaWpRKO0zIdaZaUBDplw | {"NO": 897.3002019832148, "YES": 2573.574938930204} | 0.010000000000000009 | will-pete-buttigieg-win-the-2024-pr | 2097.707438149924 | Will Pete Buttigieg LOSE the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats? | 1735707540000 | sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1662772775912 | Martin Randall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Pete Buttigieg wins the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination AND goes on to lose the presidential election.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves NO if Pete Buttigieg do... | BINARY | {"day": -3.469446951953614e-18, "week": -3.469446951953614e-18, "month": -3.469446951953614e-18} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.08849353420303209, "platformFee": 0.08849353420303209, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MartinRandall | 1714658318087 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "Best Dem Pres Cand", "slug": "best-dem-pres-cand", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "gFhjgFVrnYeFYfxhoLNn", "createdTime": 1662772776419}, {"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8... | ["best-dem-pres-cand", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1714658314829 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.02663878736228638 | XYeQwbDqUAneJ0cla760 | {"NO": 898.2632670792502, "YES": 2532.697683736963} | 0.00961314668144904 | will-pete-buttigieg-win-the-2024-pr-bd52f0d0b321 | 1835.2857669525051 | Will Pete Buttigieg WIN the 2024 Presidential election for Democrats? | 1735707540000 | sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | basic | public | 1662772811565 | Martin Randall | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves YES if Pete Buttigieg wins the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination AND goes on to win the presidential election.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves NO if Pete Buttigieg doe... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | MartinRandall | 1716554206236 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Best Dem Pres Cand", "slug": "best-dem-pres-cand", "userId": "sA7V30Ic73XZtniboy2eKr6ekkn1", "groupId": "gFhjgFVrnYeFYfxhoLNn", "createdTime": 1662772812082}, {"name": "2024 US Presidential Election", "slug": "2024-us-presidential-election", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "rr3rBJMwh9PW8... | ["best-dem-pres-cand", "2024-us-presidential-election", "us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1716554202729 | False | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2567053442267666 | CYkUqiBeB8hPtUKVSndj | {"NO": 910.5102434686958, "YES": 1203.6582899731118} | 0.20713548512457675 | will-new-zealand-change-its-flag-by | 478.66957334933886 | Will New Zealand change its flag by 2030? | 1893412800000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 2.308643877934986e-16 | 9.623990660713288 | False | basic | public | 1662774066574 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc"} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.14354103608386226, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | NcyRocks | 1717339049370 | 0.1 | 20 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "NZ Politics", "slug": "nz-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "EyeJAs2GE9EbxYqaotGL", "createdTime": 1662774127242}, {"name": "New Zealand", "slug": "new-zealand", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "oq3FCoTOqPkZUdzxEUuM", "createdTime": 1674951533854}] | ["nz-politics", "new-zealand"] | 0.09482428092533843 | 0.5 | 1717339046243 | 1683284387969 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.7272727272727276 | NfyWBrBfsLiaOTl8mWas | {"NO": 2037.028337061894, "YES": 170.29505843999732} | 1 | will-i-finish-in-the-top-2-of-the-f | 1826 | Will I finish in the top 2 of the F2P challenge? | 1663437531548 | prSlKwvKkRfHCY43txO4pG1sFMT2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.759828295319192 | True | play | YES | public | 1662774187198 | Helmsman | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if I continue crushing it. Resolves NO if crash and burn. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "image", "attrs": {"alt": null, "src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FfSjpQyzhw... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1663437531548 | 350 | XiJinping | 1663437518181 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 0.5 | 1663437516945 | 1662774217880 | 0.8360872734211585 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4983330554814593 | bgzhdOobbofuNbneMTdY | {"NO": 118.01960588196066, "YES": 122.02040612204073} | 0 | which-option-will-be-betted-on-the | 295.2891060859563 | Which option will be betted on the least? | 1663387140000 | ZqgwIQym6pMdw7Ba9KUOYmXB5Mu2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.2315743959318355 | True | play | NO | public | 1662774564047 | Dominic Ruggiero | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Don't mind me just stealing the idea from reddit's \"second\".", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1663542249560 | 120 | DominicRuggiero | 1663349512547 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucpdcjJJ79EHn9I0R6XOGPlZ5J4TAjqHlVlAtDDuMA=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 1663349510635 | 1662775405997 | 0.49000000000000027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.36685270314036394 | xGHBrtqJEaWzaCMVrhbS | {"NO": 101.21282255681393, "YES": 299.4460839693832} | 0.16376850523517605 | will-new-zealand-have-a-codified-co | 196.44680851063828 | Will New Zealand have a codified constitution by 2030? | 1893412800000 | fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1662777664569 | N.C. Young | {"type": "doc"} | BINARY | {"day": -5.551115123125783e-17, "week": -5.551115123125783e-17, "month": -5.551115123125783e-17} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 160 | NcyRocks | 1713310610586 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 | [{"name": "NZ Politics", "slug": "nz-politics", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "EyeJAs2GE9EbxYqaotGL", "createdTime": 1662778458613}, {"name": "New Zealand", "slug": "new-zealand", "userId": "fSrex43BDjeneNZ4ZLfxllSb8b42", "groupId": "oq3FCoTOqPkZUdzxEUuM", "createdTime": 1674951533856}] | ["nz-politics", "new-zealand"] | 0.5 | 1713310607345 | 1665725873997 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.1449642588678392 | 2vtiZIX54JWIHSPpWpRk | {"NO": 109.3793016524954, "YES": 908.6735714094124} | 0 | will-hans-niemann-confess-that-he-c | 3338.839346293927 | Will Hans Niemann confess that he cheated over-the-board in 2022? | 1672549140000 | IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.6013194969969975 | True | play | NO | public | 1662794431074 | Bionic | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If Hans non-jokingly admits by close to have cheated in over-the-board games in any way in 2022 (including by using anal beads :P), this question will resolve to YES.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672987575448 | 200 | BionicD0LPH1N | 1672544118350 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 16 | [{"name": "Sinquefield Cup Chess Scandal", "slug": "sinquefield-cup-chess-scandal", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "KbJbnxa5LtQMbiEFURwc", "createdTime": 1663195963381}, {"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1... | ["sinquefield-cup-chess-scandal", "chess"] | 0.5 | 1672544118198 | 0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000003 | t5J8WzCzrzRjg1vE9HJ7 | {"NO": 98.01960588196064, "YES": 102.02040612204082} | 0.65 | where-will-be-the-state-of-public-o | 395.1267662624927 | Where will be the state of public opinion regarding Hans Niemann on October 1st? (Positive=YES, Negative=NO) | 1664683140000 | IX4Txfl87BgyhzXbJbF4fhqABes2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.772788772254451 | True | play | MKT | public | 1662794860053 | Bionic | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If public opinion supports him fully, I will resolve at YES, and if the public hates him, I will resolve NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To the best of my ability, I will try to evaluate public opinion regarding... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1665142187516 | 100 | BionicD0LPH1N | 1665025232121 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Sinquefield Cup Chess Scandal", "slug": "sinquefield-cup-chess-scandal", "userId": "7XGrTPYHE2WgHJSne6kxRVseLdo1", "groupId": "KbJbnxa5LtQMbiEFURwc", "createdTime": 1663195963381}, {"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1... | ["sinquefield-cup-chess-scandal", "chess"] | 0.5 | 1664679791722 | 1665025230384 | 0.65 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
WbMAbc3i5TM8SAHUbheD | what-kind-of-iphone-will-i-buy | 36 | What kind of iPhone will I buy? | 1663473540000 | Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.927227141300115 | True | play | 27125897b0f3 | public | 1662808509951 | Nicola Wilson | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I have an iPhone XR that I need to replace. It is a little large for my hand. I do not watch many videos on my phone, nor do I travel much in places with limited connectivity, but I have in the past been stung by new OS features I want but my phone... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1663807764524 | 300 | njmkw | 1662817142450 | 0 | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "c00c85236105", "prob": 0.5406574394463668, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 69.76819234655743, "userId": "Q6JVSQgtRHVsWCd1fuWmwuXt92E3", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 59.27505621763518, "textFts": "", "contractId": "WbMAbc3i5TM8SAHUbheD", "createdTime": 1662808510291, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, "... | 1 | 2 | 1662817142291 | {"27125897b0f3": 100} | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6428342354041038 | FXiRDAyGgTmjLQNweX0A | {"NO": 301.10049778296246, "YES": 103.22415685805164} | 1 | will-michigan-pass-the-right-to-rep | 321.9570676002271 | Will Michigan pass the "Right to Reproductive Freedom Initiative" | 1667955600000 | TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.342716408442967 | True | play | YES | public | 1662818357840 | Alex... | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This will resolve 'Yes' if Michigan Proposal 3, the Right to Reproductive Freedom Initiative constitutional amendment passes. If it fails to pass this will resolve 'No'.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667985067586 | 164.05998756221024 | AlexLiesman | 1667955081799 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 11 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1662818358510}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1667955081673 | 0.8399999999999992 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.9796999746307162 | cgU5oDvMvvejG9DSFljS | {"NO": 2112.208731818502, "YES": 151.13704095658417} | 1 | will-this-market-get-m100000-invest | 110439.3960016488 | Will this market get >=M$100,000 invested in it by 2025? | 1663279481664 | JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | True | basic | YES | public | 1662822165483 | Ibozz91 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1663279481664 | 4168.75932622397 | Ibozz91 | 1663278931437 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhZeWkva417nEYnDQ62R6ZPYMbJH85FbNqnBmc1LA=s96-c | 24 | 0 | 21 | [{"name": "Whale Watching", "slug": "whale-watching", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "5V0GjAyN99OQpb96fwo8", "createdTime": 1662825886997}, {"name": "Useless bets", "slug": "useless-bets", "userId": "T56OasXEL8YjfgJaUS1Ayego21Q2", "groupId": "eNqO5LPoMPwiTrcjeugI", "createdTime": 1662833023398}] | ["whale-watching", "useless-bets"] | 0.5 | 1663278930143 | 1663278665966 | 0.9985195486611842 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000004 | LAQUxDVV10jcUUTgir2n | {"NO": 608.108108108108, "YES": 16.444444444444457} | 1 | will-manifold-allow-betting-on-free | 590 | Will Manifold allow betting on free response answers with all shares sold by the GUI by 2024? | 1663018299778 | JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.219341385347099 | True | play | YES | public | 1662823109331 | Ibozz91 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1663018299778 | 100 | Ibozz91 | 1663018347016 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GhZeWkva417nEYnDQ62R6ZPYMbJH85FbNqnBmc1LA=s96-c | 7 | 0 | 9 | [{"name": "Manifold", "slug": "manifold-6748e065087e", "userId": "JOtRJkyhFIVfXpRfhfUC3cEMt2W2", "groupId": "hzyCW27Hf9NzuXZRizeZ", "createdTime": 1662823110085}] | ["manifold-6748e065087e"] | 0.5 | 1663018134797 | 1663018342506 | 0.9736700388506366 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5048383272097843 | 075bfEBLp318HiVUWDfc | {"NO": 457.71290833655166, "YES": 88.88718542788521} | 0 | will-peter-thiel-make-another-large | 1049.2869906671028 | Will Peter Thiel make another large donation to any Senate campaign in 2022? | 1668056340000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.9137113683567266 | True | play | NO | public | 1662899796375 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Thiel makes another large donation, resolves NO if not. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1669913076367 | 350.36165681027865 | BTE | 1668060988454 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 19 | [{"name": "MAGA-land", "slug": "magaland", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1662900063616}] | ["magaland"] | 0.5 | 1668055084480 | 1668061079455 | 0.84 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2179847066732994 | irMlHOFPNAnj1mNTgLcV | {"NO": 563.1402220187298, "YES": 888.644949202498} | 0 | will-donald-trump-use-the-funds-in | 1073.1973388390443 | Will Donald Trump use the funds in the PACs he controls to provide substantial financial support to candidates he endorses in 2022? | 1668056340000 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.886221463446189 | True | play | NO | public | 1662899973938 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if Trump contributes more than 25 percent of the funds available to him in PACs and other political fundraising entities. Resolves NO if not. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668060663940 | 716.8977405287973 | BTE | 1668060659328 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "MAGA-land", "slug": "magaland", "userId": "4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2", "groupId": "EWgcYV1JYWP19dE3BZCb", "createdTime": 1662899974507}, {"name": "Donald Trump", "slug": "donald-trump", "groupId": "cEzcLXuitr6o4VPI01Q1", "createdTime": 1691181891838}] | ["magaland", "donald-trump"] | 0.5 | 1668055072689 | 1668060747341 | False | 0.1501253184173046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
qe87AgGDoEWPjrGq9eee | what-will-quinn-ds-results-be-on-16 | 110 | what will quinn d’s results be on 16personalities.com? | 1662903746631 | sJ1G8EUzwVWMQuqdi3nCnBcizkm1 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.828237724912245 | True | play | 1c9b406c12c7 | public | 1662902856364 | NY | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1662903746631 | 260 | NY | 1662903968224 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AItbvmkOlj3Z8sU9oJqLNbHq23n5zWEfR5_1U0WNQS2u3Q=s96-c | 3 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "df4cc5ed8116", "prob": 0.22675736961451248, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 21.28464004220853, "userId": "sJ1G8EUzwVWMQuqdi3nCnBcizkm1", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 72.58062254393109, "textFts": "", "contractId": "qe87AgGDoEWPjrGq9eee", "createdTime": 1662902856685, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0, ... | 2 | 1662903719662 | 1662903963607 | {"1c9b406c12c7": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
BaiCUUcOadM47io8CBvA | conditional-market-if-weed-is-legal | 669.9152841591977 | Conditional market: If weed is legalised for sale in England, will the Conservatives form the Government after the next election? | 1737244740000 | lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1662905286633 | Nathan Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This is the same market as the other two but I'm trying a different format. ", "type": "text"}]}]} | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.1202908739579867, "platformFee": 2.1202908739579867, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 480 | NathanpmYoung | 1716243959456 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c | 9 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "103b25b0a88c", "prob": 0.0032991376236586748, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.5829536774652624, "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 176.11585187850875, "textFts": "", "contractId": "BaiCUUcOadM47io8CBvA", "createdTime": 1662905287302, "probChanges": {"day": 8.67361737... | 6 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1662905287135}, {"name": "UK policies by the next election", "slug": "uk-policies-by-the-next-election", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "023SKlBd1yv7btKfwjHy"... | ["uk-politics", "uk-policies-by-the-next-election"] | 1716243920009 | 1716243957225 | True | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5396926453435343 | DEQQ5J1kINHCfCTSGEv1 | {"NO": 179.66386001638122, "YES": 82.63158111656593} | 0.7182507171655942 | if-the-snp-drops-more-than-20-withi | 100.95384084482453 | If the SNP drops more than 20% within 3 weeks before 2024, will the % drop of Tesla be more than 1.5x of the % drop of Coke over the first 3 weeks of the afore-mentioned drop? | 1704067140000 | lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.5428459511462775 | True | play | CANCEL | public | 1662905774152 | Nathan Young | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1705362534330 | 120 | NathanpmYoung | 1705362535075 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GgkQaxe_5plRQ-3y-nDcRIXjbUwl4yBWOweF_D8ZA=s96-c | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | [{"name": "The Tesla Stock Index", "slug": "the-tesla-stock-index", "userId": "lkkqZxiWCpOgtJ9ztJcAKz4d9y33", "groupId": "FLrBFpNYWTnUjhOEHv2F", "createdTime": 1662905774634}, {"name": "Ancient Markets", "slug": "ancient-markets", "userId": "2VhlvfTaRqZbFn2jqxk2Am9jgsE2", "groupId": "W7VPHYmVlkpe1YEGiSeE", "createdTime... | ["the-tesla-stock-index", "ancient-markets", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.5 | 1684135698982 | 1705362530330 | 0.72 | OEbsAczmbBc4Sl1bacYZNPJLLLc2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2852336919628509 | fipbK1C0UcXb7OVpCPqD | {"NO": 882.6874395284603, "YES": 2209.5064499682403} | 0.13750131865711082 | will-charles-cease-to-be-king-of-th | 48178.18708888691 | Will Charles cease to be King of the UK by end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 9.517764720176976 | False | basic | public | 1662909820005 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if by the end of 2025, King Charles III ceases to be King of the United Kingdom for any reason (death, abdication, official end of the monarchy, etc). Otherwise resolves NO.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0.037421214360823504, "week": 0.032877176702615876, "month": 0.050999553473177264} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 122.51205861973766, "platformFee": 20.545223824241607, "liquidityFee": 0} | 150 | 1210 | jack | 1720210219901 | 0 | 230 | 2 | 49 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1662909820473}, {"name": "British Royal Family", "slug": "british-royal-family", "groupId": "6668be77-525c-43eb-b53f-e74a6c36fb4c", "createdTime": 1710731801228}] | ["uk-politics", "british-royal-family"] | 0.5 | 1720210216762 | 1712018118252 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.32740373087386726 | hStM2PZnnytM4LFlW256 | {"NO": 82.86849812629387, "YES": 4289.32846114741} | 0 | will-apple-announce-an-apple-watch-0c6891020f93 | 12034.359435327386 | Will Apple Watch support blood glucose measurement in 2023? | 1704095940000 | UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03 | cpmm-1 | 0.10043958152102087 | 2.4518064620247713 | True | play | NO | public | 1662930508052 | Adrian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will you be able to buy or preorder an Apple Watch with blood glucose measurement in 2023?", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1704096577896 | 320 | ahalekelly | 1704096578306 | 1.1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c | 0 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 16 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1662930508564}, {"name": "🎆 New Year's Resolutions 2024", "slug": "new-years-resolutions-2024", "groupId": "jM9eYtkUrTKEqvKV3x3e", "createdTime": 1703128529122}] | ["technology-default", "new-years-resolutions-2024"] | 0.13867151021807425 | 0.5 | 1700309319145 | 1694702849308 | 0.01 | UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5109465824988962 | lVTtVd2GyS5jhwduOMGc | {"NO": 484.870432357769, "YES": 31.4560547750699} | 1 | will-an-intel-cpu-have-the-highest | 466.32812373289175 | Will an Intel CPU have the highest 3DMark score this generation? | 1668756384779 | UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.2911647002394426 | True | play | YES | public | 1662932140238 | Adrian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "After the Intel 13th gen and AMD Ryzen 7000 series CPUs launch, will an Intel CPU hold the top spot on this chart of median 3DMark Physics scores by CPU?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://benchmarks.ul.com/com... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668756384779 | 120 | ahalekelly | 1668756438443 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c | 6 | 0 | 5 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1662932140694}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.5 | 1666497868608 | 1668756436538 | 0.9415350170869198 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
fyZff32mPbXBxd5IfWeq | who-will-have-the-highest-singlecor | 389.70113673053135 | Who will have the highest Single-Core Geekbench score at the end of 2024? | 1735718340000 | UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1662936233511 | Adrian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://browser.geekbench.com/processor-benchmarks", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://browser.geekbench.com/processor-benchmarks", "class": null, "target": "_blank"}}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"tex... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 2.5083298402955068, "platformFee": 1.3262990111192856, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 440 | ahalekelly | 1719183142440 | 1.1 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c | 8 | 0 | DISABLED | [{"id": "8eafdba5d8ee", "prob": 0.384027197677367, "text": "Intel", "index": 0, "poolNo": 126.39155219831716, "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "isOther": false, "poolYes": 202.7298042127529, "textFts": "'intel':1", "contractId": "fyZff32mPbXBxd5IfWeq", "createdTime": 1662936233511, "probChanges": {"day": 0.001... | 4 | [{"name": "Technology", "slug": "technology-default", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "IlzY3moWwOcpsVZXCVej", "createdTime": 1662936243572}] | ["technology-default"] | 0.09953410472655988 | 1719183139322 | 1719183010582 | True | True | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000001 | r1A1CApkjg86uAftpNyz | {"NO": 66.66666666666669, "YES": 150} | 1 | will-alireza-firouzja-beat-ian-nepo | 50 | Will Alireza Firouzja beat Ian Nepomniachtchi to win the 2022 Sinquefield Cup? (Chess) | 1662944828864 | UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.8542327112802917 | True | play | YES | public | 1662937810241 | Adrian | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1662944828864 | 100 | ahalekelly | 1662941347218 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Ghr3GphVe8yrwupnxxBlLPm1vsM5kGtL7uYKGvyiKQ=s96-c | 1 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Sports", "slug": "sports-default", "userId": "UBSxdnqoFrMXd6kEgO2WZBUbEe03", "groupId": "2hGlgVhIyvVaFyQAREPi", "createdTime": 1662937810751}, {"name": "Chess", "slug": "chess", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "ED7Cu6lVPshJkZ7FYePW", "createdTime": 1663678969415}] | ["sports-default", "chess"] | 0.5 | 1662941345821 | 0.3076923076923078 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.4267668146124955 | Y4vhREX7KDcmTNK8isPl | {"NO": 11.677229396712736, "YES": 2429.825580397799} | 0 | will-lula-da-silva-win-the-2022-bra-897543938207 | 6052.434353917342 | Will Lula da Silva win the 2022 Brazil presidential election in the first round? | 1664795364679 | RXioe1gl5ffKwHGNwcUfoY3Sc8g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.951196183677991 | True | play | NO | public | 1662939463167 | Thiago Santos | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Brazilian presidential elections can have 2 rounds. A candidate wins in the first round if he receives more votes than all the others combined.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes if Lula da Silva wins the ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664795364679 | 120 | ThiagoSantos | 1664790343166 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AFdZucoAAha88B29KXRO9-edPbqF0weqYY3_0bZgBgZftg=s96-c | 23 | 0 | 22 | [{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "RXioe1gl5ffKwHGNwcUfoY3Sc8g2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1662939463845}] | ["politics-default"] | 0.5 | 1664790343008 | 1664754394157 | 0.003565110167150999 |
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