CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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Will @BTE finish the week in the top 15 on every leaderboard?

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Brian T. Edwards

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Will Gemini Earn default by 2023?

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Infohazard Assessor

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Gemini, a cryptocurrency exchange, has a program that earns interest on lent out cryptocurrency. This market resolves as true if funds lent out through Gemini Earn are not redeemed as promised. Similar resolution criteria as the crypto counterparty...

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Is territory of Armenia going to be at least partially occupied by Azerbaijan on 2024-01-01?

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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Is any territory of Armenia that was internationally recognised in early 2022 going to be occupied by Azerbaijan on 2024-01-01?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "See ", "type": "text"}, {"text":...

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Will HaruInvest default by 2023?

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Infohazard Assessor

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Will more than 250 people be killed in the fighting between Azerbaijan and Armenia before the end of September?

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Will I continue to feel like today is a bad day?

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Will Armenia introduce total mobilisation in 2022?

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["global-macro", "wars", "armenia"]

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Which prediction market site should I prioritize mirroring?

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{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Currently looking at different Python libraries which would let me mirror other prediction markets. Below I will provide info on them. Bet on which you would prefer to see first. I will resolve to the most popular answer.", "type": "text"}]}, {"typ...

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Will Mickey Mouse enter the public domain on Jan 1st, 2024?

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Angola Maldives

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Which feature of my market manager should I prioritize?

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Olivia🏳️‍⚧️

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Will Putin flee Russia by the end of 2023?

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littlebubulle

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Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) stock price close over $8.50 on September 15, 2022?

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Predictor 🔥

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Will Gordon Mar be re-elected to the San Francisco Board of Supervisors District 4 seat (vs Joel Engardio)?

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Mike Chen

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Will Pete Buttigieg run for president in 2024?

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James

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Will Kanye West run for president in 2024?

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cpmm-1

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1.5998497896560853

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public

1663252716218

FRC

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FRCassarino

1689611840189

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1689604972644

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will-a-galactic-federation-reveal-i

79359.44551205102

Will a Galactic Federation reveal itself to humanity by the end of 2024?

1735707540000

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cpmm-1

0.1625504726861354

10.586609649448985

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basic

public

1663252811252

Predictor 🔥

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will-there-be-a-peace-agreement-in

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Will there be a peace agreement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict by the end of 2022?

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cpmm-1

0

1.6421221642062354

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play

NO

public

1663252938285

Predictor 🔥

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will-any-wealth-tax-bill-pass-in-th

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Will any wealth tax bill pass in the US Congress during Joe Biden’s presidential term?

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cpmm-1

0.011063124958967097

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basic

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1663253059843

Predictor 🔥

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Joe Biden released a plan in 2019 to raise 3.2 trillion USD in taxes to pay for his domestic politics proposals, which involves imposing a tax on unrealized capital gains at death, as well as levying the estate tax for wealthy taxpayers.", "type": ...

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how-many-times-will-tim-ferriss-be

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How many times will Tim Ferriss be mentioned in this packyM thread?

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cpmm-multi-1

0

4.988398938453521

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play

CANCEL

public

1663256073592

Connor McCormick

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1703214543945

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will-rafael-nadal-announce-his-prof

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cpmm-1

0.06869139208315658

1.1569592001954714

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play

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public

1663256347334

Nico

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Did Hans Niemann obtain a leak of Magnus Carlsen's prep?

1666120150966

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cpmm-1

0

1.6705691036758572

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play

MKT

public

1663259938053

Jack

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jack

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will-the-first-attempt-to-catch-a-s

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cpmm-1

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basic

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1663260061027

Heaffey

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Will Peter Thiel reference Manifold Markets by 2030?

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cpmm-1

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1663260547059

Gigacasting

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this-market-will-experience-a-10k-t-6c5782d67bb9

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This market will experience a 10k TRANCHE INJECTION by 10/31/2022

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cpmm-1

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9.371334199840728

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play

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Spindle

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will-the-bed-bath-beyond-inc-bbby-s-1076ab9a47e4

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Will the Bed Bath & Beyond Inc (BBBY) stock price close over $8.50 on September 16, 2022?

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cpmm-1

0

1.5240585328393328

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play

NO

public

1663268625270

Predictor 🔥

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should-there-be-a-leaderboard-showc

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cpmm-1

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1.0471757967084023

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play

CANCEL

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1663270880918

Trent Yazzo

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kazoo

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will-adobe-acquire-figma-this-year

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cpmm-1

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1663273585641

Stephen F2P

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StephenF2P

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will-we-fund-the-stanford-biosecuri

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cpmm-1

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1663280150819

Clearer Thinking Regrants

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