CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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In the UK will rent payments be elegible as evidence for mortgage affordability assessments before the next election?

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Will London build more than 60,000 houses a year on average between September 2022 and the next UK election?

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Will the UK approve the creation of a civilian modular nuclear reactor before the next election?

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Will the UK maintain the "triple lock" until the next election?

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Will, on average, more than 40% of people say the Monarchy is good for the UK, across 2025?

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will-lula-ask-henrique-meirelles-to

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Will Lula ask Henrique Meirelles to be part of his government?

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MP

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Will US mortgage rates on 10/27 be higher than 6%?

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Will (another) genetically-engineered pathogen infect at least 10,000 people by 2030?

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When will Toby Fox release Deltarune Chapter 7 (UTC)?

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How many electoral votes will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election have?

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Will Magnus Carlsen be sanctioned by FIDE in 2022?

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2.980292083316529

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NO

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Nika

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1663689801750

Benjamin

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if a tropical storm makes landfall between the south of Texas to the tip of mainland Florida while still at hurricane strength according to the National Hurricane Center. ", "type": "text"}]}]}

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1664408336529

100

marthinwurer

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[{"name": "Weather", "slug": "weather", "userId": "AUi3Xqhti2dSieVVsBMv4tF9Cvv1", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1663689802713}]

["weather"]

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1664399291380

0.9598940434552748

0.4440136842047797

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{"NO": 80.12040480564264, "YES": 262.2898200688972}

1

will-the-dollaryen-fx-rate-fall-bel

249.81003724265327

Will the Dollar/Yen FX rate fall below 130 before the end of 2022?

1672549200000

6mtG053Zeza4XE6SkjwAbKC3EKu1

cpmm-1

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2.40542153151123

True

play

YES

public

1663696628156

Phil Stilwell

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to \"YES\" if the Dollar/Yen FX rate falls below 130 by January 1, 2023.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Sep 20, 1:57pm: ", "type": "text"}]}]}

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1673465304842

140

PhilStilwell

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1672510923926

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0.4999999999999999

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{"NO": 43.11774461028191, "YES": 231.92307692307693}

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kanojo-no-kanojo-will-naoya-and-rik

185

[Kanojo mo Kanojo] Will Naoya and Rika end up at that same love hotel before their date ends?

1666134268828

7uH1XOw7dAcuF2AbQRBZVPl7JLJ2

cpmm-1

0

3.1164611088482843

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NO

public

1663696749398

journcy

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Various coincidences conspired to lead both Nagisa's and Shino's dates with Naoya to that one love hotel in particular. So far Rika's date has broken the pattern, but will she keep it up, or will they manage to wind up at that one love hotel in par...

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1666134268828

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journcy

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{"NO": 281.8270165208941, "YES": 35.48275862068965}

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will-i-get-my-apple-watch-move-and-739361102813

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Will I get my Apple Watch Move and Exercise rings 6 of 7 times AND achieve my Emile bedtime goal this week? (550cal/40min/12:10amx4)

1664159785578

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cpmm-1

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3.2869433746166075

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YES

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1663697729430

Charlie

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1664159785578

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Charlie

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https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiMOGvT0wihOCke38p23uPRigh10h-RZZBoj5Wkkcs=s96-c

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will-sarah-palin-win-the-2022-elect

3890.4963561710474

Will Sarah Palin win the 2022 Election for Alaska's House seat?

1669275823917

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cpmm-1

0

2.470672119926167

True

play

NO

public

1663697835350

Bolton Bailey

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will-north-korea-fire-missiles-that

10240.24339302278

Will North Korea fire missiles that travel directly above land internationally recognized as Japan in 2023?

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cpmm-1

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0.6693359555826608

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NO

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Phil Stilwell

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PhilStilwell

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will-sirsalty-win-the-chess-match

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Will Sirsalty win the chess match?

1663701008006

AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2

cpmm-1

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2.7725887222397816

True

play

CANCEL

public

1663700948705

Ian Philips

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]}

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1663701008006

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ian

1663700948705

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False

0.5

JT6do5xdMrrDfZziliq4

who-is-sauron-in-lord-of-the-rings

2073.754305226834

Who is Sauron in Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power?

1665886147877

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cpmm-multi-1

0

4.640100013487817

True

play

523e05358142

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1663701120304

Tjaden

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to the first name to appear in the credits that is eventually revealed to be an alias of Sauron.", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

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1665886147877

600

tjade273

1665879454471

0

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ANYONE

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7

[{"name": "Entertainment and Pop Culture", "slug": "entertainment", "userId": "Aoi0SvQr9KeaodjWZJQJHXtI1KV2", "groupId": "XU1fOYURSnb58lgsqaly", "createdTime": 1663701120890}]

["entertainment"]

1665879453050

1663702182964

{"523e05358142": 100}

True

0.5000000000000001

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{"NO": 155.50521588499655, "YES": 64.30652465956817}

1

sp-500-will-close-below-380000-on-f

115.03592896713423

S&P 500 will close below $3800.00 on Friday, Sep 30th 2022

1664229540000

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cpmm-1

0

2.869272376005048

True

play

YES

public

1663706625476

Ivan Bestvina

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if the closing price on Friday 30th of September 2022, for S&P 500, is below $3800.00.", "type": "text"}]}]}

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0

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1664581523006

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IvanBestvina

1664225013882

0

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[{"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "sKjjyA2UMXZYGeDavJJ2qqVfjMa2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1663706626001}]

["economics-default"]

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1664225013722

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{"NO": 209.2797383203685, "YES": 4746.362972756774}

0.09863568304091702

will-vegan-pizza-be-commonly-availa

69970.42893531526

Will vegan pizza be commonly available at one of the big four pizza chains in the US by the end of 2024?

1735707540000

LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2

cpmm-1

0.021142637158346987

8.444911961480402

False

basic

public

1663707186162

Duncn

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will any of the four big chains carry a pizza with vegan crust, sauce, and cheese available in most of their locations by the end of December 2024? ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The big fou...

BINARY

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0

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2025

Duncn

1719937981744

1.5

https://firebasestorage.…4c9-5fe6ff48656d

12

211

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104

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0.16425367826123835

0.5

1719937978630

1714326196688

cRkfHbFftnqx6pRrz8rF

what-will-be-the-next-infectious-di

592.4069798306855

What will be the next infectious disease to be eradicated?

1909108740000

LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1663708111821

Duncn

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Smallpox and rinderpest have been eradicated. What infectious disease is next?", "type": "text"}]}]}

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1000

Duncn

1693332696983

0

https://firebasestorage.…4c9-5fe6ff48656d

1

18

0

ANYONE

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14

[{"name": "Health", "slug": "health", "userId": "LJ7CB9fuYzZ5j8HieQxubQhRYYu2", "groupId": "JpUqUqRn9sSWxrk0Sq35", "createdTime": 1663708112267}]

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1693332696832

1663710478373

True

0.173426133539928

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{"NO": 100.61958252848035, "YES": 8359.391265250717}

0

will-bitcoin-go-below-10k-for-at-le-792faf4680b8

9084.270871505423

Will Bitcoin go below $6k for at least 24 hours before 2024?

1704045801931

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cpmm-1

7.957010469308545e-16

3.2909791308695757

True

play

NO

public

1663710582529

Gigacasting

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BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1704045801931

260

Gigacasting

1704045802633

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https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

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21

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["global-macro", "crypto-prices", "new-years-resolutions-2024"]

0.11355952252389567

0.5

1704042571473

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b3WDWY8TdrhQKKNuJkNuvQKwHWE3

aSU6WjFjdfhl5rwz3Qhu

what-will-be-the-first-nickname-tru

602.9662200712283

What will be the first nickname Trump gives to DeSantis?

1667721168709

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.684734767462077

True

play

9d98c7e37127

public

1663711527863

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves NONE if does not occur", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nicknames_used_by_Donald_Trump", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"h...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1667721168709

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Gigacasting

1667721151114

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https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

10

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ANYONE

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[{"name": "Politics", "slug": "politics-default", "userId": "wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2", "groupId": "UCnpxVUdLOZYgoMsDlHD", "createdTime": 1663711528674}]

["politics-default"]

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1667698982552

{"9d98c7e37127": 100}

True

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gvnFfFELQa8OkiUgaJnG

{"NO": 88.49557522123891, "YES": 113}

0.43919364047608583

will-bitcoin-go-below-3k-for-at-lea

13

Will Bitcoin go below $3k for at least 24 hours before 2024?

1663716004515

wjbOTRRJ7Ee5mjSMMYrtwoWuiCp2

cpmm-1

0

2.780052653436837

True

play

CANCEL

public

1663711726547

Gigacasting

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Full 24hours on Coingecko", "type": "text"}]}]}

BINARY

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0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

0

1663716004515

100

Gigacasting

1663712350303

0

https://firebasestorage.…197-05995b2e6a2b

1

0

1

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1663712348977

0.43919364047608583

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1

will-botlab-lose-more-than-m1000-in

2277.166241188068

Will @Botlab lose more than M$1000 in a single hour in 2022?

1669498413084

Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2

cpmm-1

0

4.02716265357555

True

play

YES

public

1663713159291

Jenny

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BINARY

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0

{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1669498413084

140

Jenny

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[for no laid course prepare] Will Merrin be confirmed as adopted?

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Test Market for a form of amplified odds

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Test Market 2 for a form of amplified odds

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Heaffey

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What caused dath ilan to seal off their history?

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Who will win the 2022 Georgia Governor’s race?

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