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0.5000000000000002 | QpIFEKtuySSuV9ZDOMVV | {"NO": 130.80336042523194, "YES": 76.4506352703076} | 1 | will-a-bear-catch-a-fish-at-brooks | 238.0899446180402 | Will a bear catch a fish at Brooks Falls, Alaska? | 1664560800000 | QtBvbpuAP0cXKh8qUgCsSpGW0nh2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.808533745706055 | True | play | YES | public | 1664126099638 | Robin Foster | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Will a bear catch a fish on the Brooks Falls livestream between 18:00 and 18:10 UTC on September 30, 2022?", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mphg2feuAPo", "type":... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664561554811 | 100 | RobinFoster | 1664561605806 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJzxP5vDmtsmb1gnc6d5kJGNemnV0TXwJ0tDQX32=s96-c | 10 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Animal Spirits", "slug": "animal-spirits", "userId": "QtBvbpuAP0cXKh8qUgCsSpGW0nh2", "groupId": "zeWwxa8E70Ascm33UPBW", "createdTime": 1664126100032}] | ["animal-spirits"] | 0.5 | 1664560102582 | 1664561601138 | 0.6311258800403774 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5000000000000003 | VFXzjLOLH8WM64Cm37GK | {"NO": 94.1696582148511, "YES": 106.19131671036415} | 0 | this-market-is-a-mirror-of-another | 544.297205717224 | This market is a mirror of another market | 1664158393009 | k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.774392782962382 | True | play | NO | public | 1664128363133 | Olivia🏳️⚧️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market will resolve if any of the following are true:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "- If the current time is past 2022-09-30 11:59:59", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664158393009 | 100 | LivInTheLookingGlass | 1710462505852 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz"}, {"name": "Short fuse", "slug": "short-fuse", "groupId": "a2ab3b95-588a-4e45-a855-51cd10e8427c"}] | ["olivia", "short-fuse"] | 0.5 | 1664156415564 | 1664158447458 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | Kzh6dzsXkFx15DTqX8kv | {"NO": 57.81373029440198, "YES": 172.9692920535918} | 0 | will-i-regret-leaving-the-closing-s | 142.16584308154336 | Will I regret leaving the closing session with Kelsey Piper and Matthew Yglesias? | 1664205540350 | pUF3dMs9oLNpgU2LYtFmodaoDow1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.920868697852183 | True | play | NO | public | 1664140805358 | Cedar | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I wanna leave before traffic catches on.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664205540350 | 100 | Cedar | 1664205528795 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gjd4nhRUmowGsjcrgg2v3gA6RC7KFm4CywwJFsTuQ=s96-c | 3 | 0 | 3 | [{"name": "EAG DC 2022", "slug": "eag-dc-2022", "userId": "pUF3dMs9oLNpgU2LYtFmodaoDow1", "groupId": "VJW8zLlSzQHSGurI65ly", "createdTime": 1664140806006}, {"name": "Personal Decision in Hindsight", "slug": "personal-decision-in-hindsight", "userId": "aR293Wi2ZOYDxSXcRSD5kggURDg2", "groupId": "SLMVFX9gYBmAciVC1csu", "c... | ["eag-dc-2022", "personal-decision-in-hindsight"] | 0.5 | 1664191886599 | 1664205526811 | 0.2505111931813842 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.6315681172582255 | xnaJNuxmcUp7UCbcJXmk | {"NO": 367.3529713211944, "YES": 69.0977940068228} | 1 | in-november-will-people-think-labou | 514.2525620995516 | In November, will people think Labour would be the best political party at handling the economy? | 1669852740000 | MT2hA5HKIQhjQR3hC5QZpHnBq1K2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7649422635303904 | True | play | YES | public | 1664149225684 | Jonathan Nankivell | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/which-political-party-would-be-the-best-at-handling-the-economy", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/trackers/which-political-party-would-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1673965516304 | 140 | JonathanNankivell | 1669721424203 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gjz-JXHrxvcebJb3PSu0A-p_DS0XZ5_sO6XcAVy=s96-c | 12 | 0 | 10 | 11 | [{"name": "UK politics", "slug": "uk-politics", "userId": "MT2hA5HKIQhjQR3hC5QZpHnBq1K2", "groupId": "aavkiDd6uZggfL3geuV2", "createdTime": 1664149226219}] | ["uk-politics"] | 0.5 | 1669721365301 | 1669721421120 | 0.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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v6zsp2RHCKPUSlRLvcQs | how-many-copies-of-my-book-land-is | 732 | How many copies of my book "Land is a Big Deal" will get sold in the first month? | 1668618702420 | fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2 | cpmm-multi-1 | 0 | 4.673446083794112 | True | play | 4425a4cd68d3 | public | 1664162427278 | Lars Doucet | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I wrote a book. It's called \"Land is a Big Deal\":", "type": "text"}, {"type": "hardBreak"}, {"text": "www.landisabigdeal.com", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "http://www.landisabigdeal.com", "class": "no-underline !t... | MULTIPLE_CHOICE | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668618702420 | 860 | LarsDoucet | 1668627982673 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14Gh_23ZmfLBMGBR2crNwb0T8hBnPAap5nkWiSKuB=s96-c | 14 | 0 | ANYONE | [{"id": "88b807f504ab", "prob": 0.014446190828402369, "text": "Other", "index": 0, "poolNo": 0.157410014945148, "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "isOther": true, "poolYes": 10.738889003593863, "textFts": "", "contractId": "v6zsp2RHCKPUSlRLvcQs", "createdTime": 1664162428020, "probChanges": {"day": 0, "week": 0... | 13 | [{"name": "Georgism", "slug": "georgism", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "ooKwTVHIXlosW4sq8E5L", "createdTime": 1664162624187}, {"name": "Economics", "slug": "economics-default", "userId": "fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2", "groupId": "p88Ycq6yFd5ECKqq9PFO", "createdTime": 1664162427870}, {"name": "P... | ["economics-default", "georgism", "personal-goals"] | 1668407657333 | 1668627979727 | {"4425a4cd68d3": 100} | True | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000000007 | HgKXDwd6TlfkgfBiewWv | {"NO": 245.22385431897598, "YES": 40.7790670600605} | 1 | will-this-question-help-me-recruit | 635.1953443772826 | Will this question help me recruit a forecasting team on Infer by the end of 2022? | 1667628064910 | 4JuXgDx47xPagH5mcLDqLzUSN5g2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.069629947545275 | True | play | YES | public | 1664164554184 | Brian T. Edwards | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If you are interested in giving team forecasting a shot let me know by commenting here and then bet YES because you will be helping me recruit a team!! ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "https://www.infer-pub.com/", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "l... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1667628064910 | 100 | BTE | 1668961573357 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 0.5 | 1667246536463 | 1668961572350 | 0.8574173058672492 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5 | lzUHcnZkufU8doXArOE5 | {"NO": 27.445292620865132, "YES": 364.3612089745966} | 0 | will-i-press-the-petrov-day-button | 295 | If given the opportunity, will I press the Petrov day button? | 1664258112108 | y1hb6k7txdZPV5mgyxPFApZ7nQl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.556019080107941 | True | play | NO | public | 1664206157666 | Isaac King | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I know what I plan on doing, and I'm curious what people predict that is.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves to YES if I press the button. It resolves to NO if I never press ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664258112108 | 100 | IsaacKing | 1664258184478 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | [{"name": "LessWrong", "slug": "lesswrong", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "K0U4VlIwJhdyTp53mqVk", "createdTime": 1664206609867}, {"name": "Petrov Day", "slug": "petrov-day", "userId": "Y8xXwCCYe3cBCW5XeU8MxykuPAY2", "groupId": "6ScigIHrIjRg1Mv8Sgll", "createdTime": 1664258137563}] | ["lesswrong", "petrov-day"] | 0.5 | 1664258104676 | 1664258178696 | 0.3284180104436926 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6936829103122836 | xPRT0IfwphCQIcjN1F5a | {"NO": 1081.3393204984636, "YES": 952.3077056999286} | 0.7199999999999991 | will-a-new-tuberculosis-vaccine-be | 362.3355876147222 | Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be available by the end of 2032? | 1988168340000 | xnl6Ma221lPjTrK4H5LzHVwuftj2 | cpmm-1 | 0.07575373184473612 | 9.585320875297885 | False | basic | public | 1664208547383 | Gavriel | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "A tuberculosis vaccine for infants was developed a century ago but has variable/poor efficacy, often estimated at ~50% effective.(", "type": "text"}, {"text": "doi.org/10.1001/jama.1994.03510330076038", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "a... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1000 | GavrielK | 1703060901775 | 1.4 | 18 | 0 | 12 | [{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "xnl6Ma221lPjTrK4H5LzHVwuftj2", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1664208547891}, {"name": "Research.Bet", "slug": "researchbet", "userId": "RhUpUdddisZfGnz8LIESOGJXfSF3", "groupId": "YTmC33Pjdw0BASR2Qpck", "createdTime": 1664302703618}, {"name":... | ["science-default", "researchbet", "ancient-markets"] | 0.11301489730408269 | 0.5 | 1703060901641 | 1688155244021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5 | yDnJ5kdlsGDxBD3gg2x1 | {"NO": 31.645569620253163, "YES": 316} | 0 | would-heaffe-have-accepted-it-if-th | 216 | Would Heaffey have accepted it if this title didn't include the word "pumpkin", but did include the word "equivalent"? | 1664301331398 | iBtCo24GprQfGefHlgUflkshGTj1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.400916241895046 | True | play | NO | public | 1664208931187 | Mr Stone | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Relevant:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://manifold.markets/Heaffey/will-any-manifold-markets-contain-t", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://manifold.markets/Heaffey/will-an... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664301331398 | 100 | stone | 1664247383553 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.5 | 1664247383373 | 1664222489413 | 0.09102825517040487 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.3646738990296068 | 8NOwhLjjVCivDKhAMzHm | {"NO": 51.31640916626418, "YES": 958.2370870522107} | 0 | will-do-kwon-be-apprehended-before | 1320.413997724996 | Will Do Kwon be apprehended before the end of 2022? | 1672541502649 | wbmLRoB38FN6lYbtQQpqHUzOXzz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 3.121527987488653 | True | play | NO | public | 1664211784909 | Ryan P | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to \"Yes\" if Do Kwon is apprehended by authorities before 2022 is over, otherwise it resolves to \"No\".", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/09/26/interpol-... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672541502649 | 180 | REP | 1672529538838 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14 | [{"name": "Cryptocurrency", "slug": "crypto-speculation", "userId": "wbmLRoB38FN6lYbtQQpqHUzOXzz2", "groupId": "YuJw0M1xvUHrpiRRuKso", "createdTime": 1664211785565}] | ["crypto-speculation"] | 0.5 | 1672529538645 | 1667590474131 | 0.03 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.5000000000001457 | lYZyMogds22pUwExJiQw | {"NO": 12510.000000000004, "YES": 0.799360511589839} | 1 | will-hurricane-ian-hit-florida | 12879.525516226953 | Will Hurricane Ian hit Florida? | 1664393623814 | ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.0257503775033765 | True | play | YES | public | 1664215300805 | Predictor 🔥 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves yes only if still a hurricane when it hits. Major news media must report that Hurricane Ian hit Florida. Simple as that.", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1664393623814 | 100 | Predictor | 1664393617268 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 15 | [{"name": "Weather", "slug": "weather", "userId": "ffwIBb255DhSsJRh3VWZ4RY2pxz2", "groupId": "Vw7PuCkPJlK51z43wA4k", "createdTime": 1664215301204}] | ["weather"] | 0.5 | 1664393615907 | 1664314782775 | 0.9810749432248297 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5647410346075231 | 48IAl4RUOEIy36Z1uBW4 | {"NO": 384.1222216259627, "YES": 115.71762825353369} | 1 | will-harry-maguire-play-a-decent-wo | 590.9011451345704 | Will Harry Maguire play a decent World Cup? | 1670708700000 | 04XyRIRHOfRFaXZxP2V4wUaMExn1 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.840615946561836 | True | play | YES | public | 1664221445936 | SANTIAGO SUÁREZ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "If he has a SofaScore player rating of above 7.0 for the World Cup AND be able to start in a third or more of England's games, the market will resolve to YES.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "S... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1670815014089 | 200 | STGO | 1684950110129 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FSANTIAGOSUAREZ%2FL9c56Nt3Nr.12?alt=media&token=1dfacc72-4f9e-4ad6-94f3-94b6dd0e84a1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | [{"name": "2022 FIFA World Cup", "slug": "2022-fifa-world-cup", "userId": "04XyRIRHOfRFaXZxP2V4wUaMExn1", "groupId": "ujdSUUHAKLNPFSj2PTNX", "createdTime": 1664221446485}] | ["2022-fifa-world-cup"] | 0.5 | 1670707803079 | 1684950107535 | 0.81 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.5472003369411685 | 4PmxTMtlv9n1u3kNh8lR | {"NO": 174.47994240427678, "YES": 114.31017888923452} | 0.6484560225146075 | will-the-nature-conservancy-set-up | 80.56299445249961 | Will The Nature Conservancy set up a fourth Global Debt Conversion by end of 2025? | 1767243540000 | k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 10.586609649448985 | False | play | public | 1664259207682 | Olivia🏳️⚧️ | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves to YES if, by market close, TNC has announced some sort of financial deal with a country similar to the ones it made with Barbados[1], Belize[2], and the Seychelles[3].", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "con... | BINARY | {"day": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "week": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "month": -1.1102230246251565e-16} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0.12498176865875195, "platformFee": 0.12498176865875195, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 140 | LivInTheLookingGlass | 1713847435239 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | [{"name": "Olivia", "slug": "olivia", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "7Bei00FPrD7qAX3aaDQz", "createdTime": 1664259231007}, {"name": "World", "slug": "world-default", "userId": "k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2", "groupId": "5mzNYaPKc4qXC5J0npKe", "createdTime": 1664259221797}, {"name": "Economics", "... | ["finance", "economics-default", "world-default", "olivia", "climate"] | 0.08790038373185946 | 0.5 | 1713847431774 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.700929250954028 | 5E7NAdauc6a4pHeD4nui | {"NO": 830.8801926028839, "YES": 87.42545552783506} | 1 | will-the-dart-missions-momentum-enh | 1234.304305032313 | Will the DART mission's momentum enhancement factor be measured at >2? | 1672549140000 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7120153281520474 | True | play | YES | public | 1664311574941 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "DART (Double Asteroid Redirection Test)", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_Asteroid_Redirection_Test", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo-700 z-10 ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672727776654 | 200 | jack | 1671577311473 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Science", "slug": "science-default", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "XMhZ5LbQoLMZiOpQJRnj", "createdTime": 1664311575471}, {"name": "Space", "slug": "space", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "SmJk6RHToaLxLk0I1ZSC", "createdTime": 1664311582775}] | ["science-default", "space"] | 0.5 | 1671577311329 | 1671573631956 | 0.96 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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0.8686815176224324 | LD68j9Yycj6IqTPWHo0O | {"NO": 2951.979374786207, "YES": 845.2308213434636} | 1 | will-mike-lee-win-the-2022-utah-sen | 6960.523755769036 | Will Mike Lee win the 2022 Utah Senate election? | 1667969940000 | tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.8898636264223563 | True | basic | YES | public | 1664315690263 | SG | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1668012576664 | 1040 | SG | 1667968622878 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 46 | [{"name": "US 2022 Elections", "slug": "us-2022-elections", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "MQJlM8CKTiJHD3HcyW0C", "createdTime": 1664315830546}, {"name": "US 2022 Midterms", "slug": "us-2022-midterms", "userId": "tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2", "groupId": "y2e0hHBab86vdAkUJx9w", "createdTime": 166... | ["us-politics", "politics-default", "us-2022-midterms", "us-2022-elections"] | 0.5 | 1667968622737 | 0.9585117861934319 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.6651478107141426 | Q6KqkxvPD5o9uhQfV0lu | {"NO": 346.45667195748376, "YES": 162.96799900813073} | 1 | will-i-get-over-my-ex-by-the-end-of | 217.81528744822043 | Will I get over my ex by the end of Feb 14, 2023 | 1672700714875 | 0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 1.8101699543142735 | True | play | YES | public | 1664322232971 | Sinclair Chen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "when I am ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "not", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " on inositol (I am not currently)", "type": "text"}]}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672700714875 | 220 | Sinclair | 1668130491135 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 | [{"name": "Dating", "slug": "dating", "userId": "0k1suGSJKVUnHbCPEhHNpgZPkUP2", "groupId": "j3ZE8fkeqiKmRGumy3O1", "createdTime": 1664322233446}, {"name": "Sex and love", "slug": "sex-and-love", "userId": "mowZ7T5LBUQuy5CWgctdHMkLo8J3", "groupId": "3syjPCC7PxE5KurTiTT3", "createdTime": 1666821822553}] | ["dating", "sex-and-love"] | 0.5 | 1668130491016 | 1665286630090 | 0.81 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.16588700984962004 | DXmYSTBjKfLabRohtEat | {"NO": 63.71743856557095, "YES": 1349.2397173812642} | 0 | will-manifold-let-users-view-someth | 2224.9293038894693 | Will Manifold let users view something analogous to a "Metaculus Prediction" by April 2023? | 1680350146277 | Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.753617427968883 | True | play | NO | public | 1664327921001 | Andy Martin | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Metaculus has a feature called the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "\"Metaculus Prediction\"", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "link", "attrs": {"href": "https://www.metaculus.com/help/faq/#metaculus-prediction", "class": "no-underline !text-indigo... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1680350240033 | 160 | AndyMartin | 1680338591432 | 0 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJw0L052KDniGlcKQYGazhwe1SmubhJvKPt9aqoU=s96-c | 16 | 0 | 11 | [{"name": "Features", "slug": "manifold-features-25bad7c7792e", "userId": "Hc4whU0Kg8gwzkCR41pXRyrL4u02", "groupId": "m8gEnMLaRYw7oUGBawY4", "createdTime": 1664327921442}] | ["manifold-features-25bad7c7792e"] | 0.5 | 1680338591282 | 1664414371393 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.17772694963077063 | euQ9kg8TFcwDX7TMRpzI | {"NO": 66.80786169024466, "YES": 1177.8721871645284} | 0 | will-the-us-strategic-petroleum-res | 1686.046160201037 | Will the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve drop below 330 million barrels before the end of 2022? | 1672466340000 | absbRn643dfzfJpTHnxssDlHxy52 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 4.864533002879284 | True | play | NO | public | 1664328528288 | Joe Brenton | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This question resolves to YES if the ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "Weekly US Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in SPR", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "italic"}]}, {"text": " drops below 330 million barrels for any week ending value reported for 2022 ... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672581723203 | 160 | JoeBrenton | 1672581933876 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Energy", "slug": "energy", "userId": "absbRn643dfzfJpTHnxssDlHxy52", "groupId": "rraS2YIDaAckq3bR5lfQ", "createdTime": 1664328653091}] | ["energy"] | 0.5 | 1672463476572 | 1672581931931 | 0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2917799429846427 | PA29KBmy9WKThu9eJBDJ | {"NO": 104.7561424107014, "YES": 945.6876186618622} | 0 | will-russia-cut-off-all-gas-supplie | 1144.6277996150552 | Will Russia cut off all gas supplies to EU countries during 2022? | 1672491540000 | XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.4388134378809787 | True | play | NO | public | 1664328875509 | Keepcalmandchill | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph"}]} | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672538290020 | 220 | Keepcalmandchill | 1672464015006 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 13 | [{"name": "Russia", "slug": "russia", "userId": "XiBsbn1bvKSIRj8A2zsnNrbdMUr2", "groupId": "TIpf6j0hLpifpXN93FxE", "createdTime": 1664328876079}, {"name": "Ukraine-Russia war", "slug": "ukrainerussia-war", "groupId": "OxcXOuxXvwsXtC0Dx5sr", "createdTime": 1691182225884}] | ["russia", "ukrainerussia-war"] | 0.5 | 1672464014877 | False | 0.04 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.07423982196077797 | uD6UIarrpeBp1k4mHj2a | {"NO": 164.46957637418294, "YES": 6372.191325731056} | 0 | will-janet-yellen-leave-the-office | 9672.799021367682 | Will Janet Yellen leave the office of Treasury Secretary by April 2023? | 1682999520339 | YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 5.411543000318801 | True | play | NO | public | 1664331315844 | Jack | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if by the end of April 2023, Janet Yellen no longer is Treasury Secretary. Otherwise NO.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://www.axios.com/2022/09/28/janet-yellen-treasury-mid... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1682999520339 | 280 | jack | 1682914956902 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 8 | [{"name": "US Politics", "slug": "us-politics", "userId": "YGZdZUSFQyM8j2YzPaBqki8NBz23", "groupId": "AjxQR8JMpNyDqtiqoA96", "createdTime": 1664331316380}] | ["us-politics"] | 0.5 | 1682914956811 | 1664333473468 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.2770940020057511 | neNmahGv3bbtJZ2fdvD6 | {"NO": 100.72677266874567, "YES": 507.75901256082204} | 0 | will-i-run-at-least-5km-at-a-430-mi | 390.35464040339394 | Will I run at least 5km at a 4:30 min/km pace before 2023? | 1672491540000 | zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 2.7371233176818945 | True | play | NO | public | 1664332147683 | Galen | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "I've recently started running more frequently. As a result, I've started running slightly faster. A log of my runs (along with distance in kilometres, and pace in minutes per km) is available here: ", "type": "text"}, {"text": "http://galen.me/data... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1672629880828 | 180 | galen | 1672418759251 | 0 | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fgalen%2FKg_aEVk_EB.32?alt=media&token=320f608e-2d2b-4b84-9825-8397d2b7dfd1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 10 | [{"name": "Personal Goals", "slug": "personal-goals", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "izQp87CKagOVJp9Olm1p", "createdTime": 1664332148281}, {"name": "Free Money", "slug": "free-money", "userId": "zf2MCcDHA1fdEt4WFkAwTUp4W012", "groupId": "CInny8Cy4Kt2Igl588QV", "createdTime": 1672091593629}] | ["personal-goals", "free-money"] | 0.5 | 1672418759106 | 1666679191557 | 0.07 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.35243816755933555 | uzcmE1jRGm57dS6mKV5v | {"NO": 262.4734820219275, "YES": 4794.373875535564} | 0 | will-usdcny-breaks-75-before-the-en | 5883.638342622153 | Will USD/CNY breaks 7.5 before the end of Q1 2023? | 1680278340000 | JKKfoNZbBmPrzJbtzkev4zrwcN33 | cpmm-1 | 0 | 0.947787323838285 | True | play | NO | public | 1664332552155 | Stormtrooper TK-293 | {"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This resolves to YES if the USD/CNY exchange rate breaks 7.5000 before the beginning of April 2023 (GMT+8).", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "China is a currency manipulator in fact but on a “mo... | BINARY | {"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0} | 0 | {"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0} | 0 | 1697233025104 | 860 | stormtk293 | 1697233037811 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 40 | 9 | [{"name": "China", "slug": "china", "userId": "JKKfoNZbBmPrzJbtzkev4zrwcN33", "groupId": "oWTzfoeemQGkSoPFn2T7", "createdTime": 1664332552588}] | ["china"] | 0.5 | 1680277832573 | 1697233036991 | 0.03 |
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