CK0607/manifold_contracts · Datasets at Hugging Face

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0

will-i-find-prediction-markets-to-b

871.6552329541332

Will I find prediction markets to be actually meaningful in 2022 or continue to regard them as just a glorified casino with a crowd of pretentious gamblers?

1672549140000

wBZSAA3MrnWjz7eHrKAq43OXBtA2

cpmm-1

0

1.1505264477216957

True

play

NO

public

1665111024678

Trent Yazzo

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BINARY

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1672602013437

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kazoo

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1672000442653

1666912223667

0.19

0.7337054600241919

tWZWOUHshXEjTtZgcwEn

{"NO": 5284.060924291006, "YES": 100.08736872949115}

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will-manifold-keep-the-bot-tax-for

5580.560701101333

Will Manifold keep the Bot Tax for at least the rest of 2022?

1672552740000

tlmGNz9kjXc2EteizMORes4qvWl2

cpmm-1

0

2.626847354841371

True

play

YES

public

1665116701113

SG

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Manifold just introduced at a \"bot tax\" or a flat M$0.1 transaction fee on all quick bets and limit orders to prevent bot spam. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves negative...

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1672628093944

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1672552443906

1665615511295

0.99

0.6715864698499969

ePipmKMfnjw9UvkKyJXW

{"NO": 2671.1776546245883, "YES": 112.9639836205489}

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will-michigan-pass-proposal-1-legis

3382.822335375412

Will Michigan pass Proposal 1, (Legislative Term Limits and Financial Disclosure Amendment)?

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k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2

cpmm-1

0

1.985382967401471

True

play

YES

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1665118678653

Olivia🏳️‍⚧️

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LivInTheLookingGlass

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https://firebasestorage.…74e-4407497b9d97

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will-michigan-pass-proposal-2-votin

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Will Michigan pass Proposal 2, (Voting Policies in Constitution Amendment)?

1670434512258

k13AzY3mu8XTju3xRZV3P8qBjEC2

cpmm-1

0

3.8656548544689686

True

play

YES

public

1665119008752

Olivia🏳️‍⚧️

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1670434512258

259.51657308176874

LivInTheLookingGlass

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1670167138115

1670513123423

0.9807531970582136

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in-which-year-will-moores-law-come

753.3526776110207

In which year will Moore's Law come to an end? (If it ever does?)

1988171940000

fP5OQUWYt4MW17A2giGjMGsw1uu2

cpmm-multi-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1665121160212

Lars Doucet

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "This market resolves if any time in the next ten years, in my sole opinion, the general consensus of the Tech Community is that Moore's Law is now over.", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "To put ...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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720.0000000000001

LarsDoucet

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ANYONE

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1684465633377

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0

will-ccps-20th-party-congress-keep

1083.6287244345067

Will CCP's 20th Party Congress keep the “Seven Up, Eight Down” age rule?

1666494011505

JKKfoNZbBmPrzJbtzkev4zrwcN33

cpmm-1

0

2.9733055295905695

True

play

NO

public

1665122337756

Stormtrooper TK-293

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if the seven-member Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) keeps the so-called “seven up, eight down” rule. Resolves NO if they break it. ", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "cont...

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1666494011505

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stormtk293

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will-there-be-any-big-policy-announ

873.6395507172421

Will there be any big policy announcements about economic reforms during the CCP's 20th Party Congress?

1666493920083

JKKfoNZbBmPrzJbtzkev4zrwcN33

cpmm-1

0

2.4513939236590985

True

play

NO

public

1665123104173

Stormtrooper TK-293

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves YES if any big policy about economic reforms announced during 20th Party Congress. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Congresses are about choosing the party’s leaders and setting its g...

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1666493920083

220

stormtk293

1666529715564

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10

0

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0.5

1666493834740

1666529710281

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0.641100134438711

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{"NO": 16.73301348801658, "YES": 1605.8158556849116}

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will-xi-jinping-further-toughen-lan

3344.9298457035516

Will Xi Jinping further toughen language on Taiwan during CCP's 20th Party Congress?

1666432261476

JKKfoNZbBmPrzJbtzkev4zrwcN33

cpmm-1

0

3.19828114985023

True

play

NO

public

1665123730202

Stormtrooper TK-293

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolved YES if Xi’s 2019 assertion that the cross-strait division cannot “be passed on from generation to generation” – or some other time-bound language – become official CCP doctrine in this year’s work report.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type...

BINARY

{"day": 0, "week": 0, "month": 0}

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1666432261476

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stormtk293

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0.5

1666432250730

1666432230549

False

0.1863803734129631

0.5919906277334303

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{"NO": 883.1738520269591, "YES": 82.3516474040801}

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will-the-phrase-belt-and-road-initi

1128.8724506216902

Will the phrase 'Belt and Road Initiative' show up during CCP's 20th Party Congress?

1665923704772

JKKfoNZbBmPrzJbtzkev4zrwcN33

cpmm-1

0

2.129525775428471

True

play

YES

public

1665124491530

Stormtrooper TK-293

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolved YES if the phrase 'Belt and Road Initiative' show up during CCP's 20th Party Congress.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Noting how various CCP slogans rise...

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1665923704772

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stormtk293

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["ccp-20th-party-congress", "china"]

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1665914911506

1665895107008

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0.17950047019056836

professor-to-administrator-ratio-in

826.1657998901491

Professor to administrator ratio increases at MIT, Yale, Harvard 2023-2033

2019657660000

LkcvWkZmRRVL5jxeLF9xb9ojyrI2

cpmm-1

0.44810418973077865

9.680854620481217

False

basic

public

1665124919822

Harrison Lucas

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if the ratio of non-adjunct professors to administrators at Yale, MIT, and Harvard increases in the ten-year period 2023-2033. An administrator is any university employee in a management position at the school who does not do teachi...

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HarrisonLucas

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https://firebasestorage.…d92-1497d2c1f57e

13

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6

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1

will-the-phrase-global-development

240

Will the phrase 'Global Development Initiative' show up during CCP's 20th Party Congress?

1666010296195

JKKfoNZbBmPrzJbtzkev4zrwcN33

cpmm-1

0

3.478867300452629

True

play

YES

public

1665124933784

Stormtrooper TK-293

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolved YES if the phrase 'Global Development Initiative' show up during CCP's 20th Party Congress.", "type": "text", "marks": [{"type": "bold"}]}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "GDI was unveiled by Xi Jinping...

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1666010296195

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stormtk293

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1665897779782

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0.16916709886316408

harvard-universitys-freshman-class

698.9474904931584

Harvard University’s freshman class size increases by at least 25% before 2026.

1767196860000

LkcvWkZmRRVL5jxeLF9xb9ojyrI2

cpmm-1

0

10.586609649448985

False

play

public

1665125312266

Harrison Lucas

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if before 2026 Harvard University’s freshman class size is 25+% larger than the class that matriculated in 2022. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Only full-time students who at...

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HarrisonLucas

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1714615382054

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{"NO": 1710.882673904351, "YES": 24.83052777278498}

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us-citizen-billionaire-convicted-of

2456.2346696034056

Billionaire US citizen convicted of felony before 2026

1665820715925

LkcvWkZmRRVL5jxeLF9xb9ojyrI2

cpmm-1

0

3.3174075879045266

True

play

YES

public

1665128480768

Harrison Lucas

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Resolves as YES if a US citizen with a net worth of US$1 billion or greater is convicted of a felony before 2026. ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "The citizen’s net worth must be above or equa...

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1665820715925

260

HarrisonLucas

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11

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11

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["politics-default", "crime"]

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1665820429162

1665820720580

0.9833822366629549

cpETJKE3fCmZNhlSYdKB

manifold-play-chess-10bxg5-nbd7-11

3583.2399373497774

[Manifold play chess] 10.Bxg5 Nbd7 11.

1665223200000

TTeJoOQGnQeCBZ83P11UrbqP9mP2

cpmm-multi-1

0

4.638860390715971

True

play

927ffa8b4e66

public

1665137108465

Alex...

{"type": "doc", "content": [{"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Your move! ", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph"}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "Link to the game in lichess:", "type": "text"}]}, {"type": "paragraph", "content": [{"text": "https://lichess.org/analysis/standard/r1bqkb1r/p2n1p2/...

MULTIPLE_CHOICE

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{"creatorFee": 0, "platformFee": 0, "liquidityFee": 0}

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1665225623712

799.9999999999999

AlexLiesman

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ANYONE

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["manifold-plays-chess", "chess"]

1665219108364

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