is_resolved stringclasses 3
values | date_close stringlengths 4 15 | url stringlengths 29 229 | background stringlengths 0 37.7k | date_resolve_at stringlengths 4 10 | question stringlengths 1 15.2k | date_begin stringlengths 4 10 | community_predictions stringlengths 2 1.03M | extracted_urls stringlengths 2 67.4k | question_type stringclasses 9
values | resolution_criteria stringlengths 4 14.7k | data_source stringclasses 5
values | resolution stringlengths 1 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
True | 2020-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1100 | In December 2018, President Trump announced that Office of Management and Budget Director Mick Mulvaney would replace, in an acting capacity, outgoing Chief of Staff John Kelly (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/14/politics/donald-trump-mick-mulvaney-chief-of-staff/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>). For the purpo... | 2020-01-01 | Will Mick Mulvaney cease to be White House Chief of Staff before 1 January 2020? | 2019-01-18 | [["2019-01-18", 0.6], ["2019-01-18", 0.65], ["2019-01-18", 0.685], ["2019-01-18", 0.825], ["2019-01-18", 0.9], ["2019-01-19", 0.825], ["2019-01-19", 0.76], ["2019-01-19", 0.77], ["2019-01-20", 0.82], ["2019-01-20", 0.82], ["2019-01-20", 0.85], ["2019-01-20", 0.85], ["2019-01-20", 0.85], ["2019-01-20", 0.85], ["2019-01-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2015-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/6 | A trilateral meeting of leaders from China, Japan, and South Korea was held annually from 2008 to 2012, but regional tensions led to its cancellation; officials have recently discussed resuming a formal meeting at the leader level:
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-27/south-korea-s-park-eyes-china-japan-summit-a... | 2016-01-10 | Will a trilateral meeting take place between Chinese President Xi Jinping, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and South Korean President Park Geun-hye before 1 January 2016? | 2015-09-01 | [["2015-09-01", 0.25], ["2015-09-02", 0.25], ["2015-09-02", 0.15], ["2015-09-02", 0.175], ["2015-09-02", 0.175], ["2015-09-02", 0.175], ["2015-09-02", 0.175], ["2015-09-02", 0.175], ["2015-09-02", 0.36], ["2015-09-02", 0.455], ["2015-09-02", 0.55], ["2015-09-02", 0.55], ["2015-09-03", 0.555], ["2015-09-03", 0.455], ["2... | ["http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/02/world/asia/china-japan-and-south-korea-conduct-first-trilateral-meeting-in-3-years.html", "http://thediplomat.com/2015/11/with-trilateral-summit-china-japan-korea-cooperation-completely-restored/", "http://www.dw.com/en/china-japan-south-korea-leaders-to-revive-trilateral-summit/a-18... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/771 | The Trump administration declined to certify the Iranian nuclear deal, citing concerns about Iran's missile program (<a href = "https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/10/iran-deal-trump-next/542379/"target="_blank">The Atlantic</a>, <a href = "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-missiles-diplomacy/i... | 2018-01-04 | Will Iran launch a medium, intermediate, or intercontinental range ballistic missile or a satellite between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017? | 2017-11-28 | [["2017-11-29", 0.5], ["2017-11-29", 0.05], ["2017-11-29", 0.05], ["2017-11-29", 0.025], ["2017-11-29", 0.09], ["2017-11-29", 0.18], ["2017-11-30", 0.18], ["2017-11-30", 0.17], ["2017-11-30", 0.155], ["2017-11-30", 0.08], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-... | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-germany/france-germany-want-iran-to-reverse-ballistic-missile-program-idUSKBN1DY1MY", "http://www.iranwatch.org/our-publications/weapon-program-background-report/iran-missile-milestones-1985-2017", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-42412729", "https://edition.cnn.c... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/284 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Since 2014, Google... | 2017-01-05 | Before 2017, will Google announce that it will conduct public testing of its fully autonomous vehicles in a US city? | 2016-09-16 | [["2016-09-16", 0.5], ["2016-09-16", 0.2], ["2016-09-16", 0.305], ["2016-09-16", 0.555], ["2016-09-16", 0.55], ["2016-09-17", 0.7], ["2016-09-17", 0.4], ["2016-09-17", 0.46], ["2016-09-17", 0.52], ["2016-09-17", 0.435], ["2016-09-17", 0.35], ["2016-09-17", 0.52], ["2016-09-17", 0.52], ["2016-09-17", 0.435], ["2016-09-1... | ["https://www.google.com/selfdrivingcar/", "http://easymile.com/", "http://www.upi.com/Business_News/2016/09/13/Volvo-builds-its-first-self-driving-car/1181473763575/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/333323", "http://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=201520160AB1592", "http://www.r... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-06-22 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/678 | In 2016, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit <a href = "http://caselaw.findlaw.com/us-6th-circuit/1731662.html"target="_blank">ruled</a> that prosecutors legally used historical cellular phone location records obtained without a warrant to convict two men, Timothy Carpenter and Timothy Sanders, of armed robbery. ... | 2018-06-25 | In Carpenter v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that investigators' warrantless use of Timothy Carpenter's cellphone records was unconstitutional? | 2017-11-03 | [["2017-11-03", 0.15], ["2017-11-03", 0.35], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.14], ["2017-11-03", 0.15], ["2017-11-03", 0.215], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.29], ["2017-11-03", 0.625], ["2017-11-04", 0.6], ["2017-11-04", 0.635], ["2017-11-04", 0.65], ["2017-11-04", 0.65], ["2017-11... | ["https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/exclusive/north-america/fisa-can-fixed-without-risking-american-lives", "https://www.aclu.org/legal-document/united-states-v-carpenter-reply-brief-petitioner", "http://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/16-402-cert-petition.pdf", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/commen... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/449 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-05 | Between 1 April 2017 and 31 March 2018, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan? | 2017-03-31 | [["2017-03-31", 0.15], ["2017-03-31", 0.42], ["2017-03-31", 0.36], ["2017-03-31", 0.4], ["2017-03-31", 0.75], ["2017-03-31", 1.0], ["2017-03-31", 1.0], ["2017-03-31", 0.575], ["2017-03-31", 0.575], ["2017-03-31", 0.5], ["2017-04-01", 0.45], ["2017-04-01", 0.45], ["2017-04-01", 0.575], ["2017-04-01", 0.575], ["2017-04-0... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/feb/27/kabul-explosion-hours-after-kunar-suicide-bombing-afghan", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/02/afghan-civilian-casualties-2016-170206062807210.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-afghanistan-idUSKBN1941Y1", "https://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2015/257526.htm"... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-07-20 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/882 | The Society of Automotive Engineers uses six levels (zero through five) to classify the level of autonomy in vehicles (<a href = "https://www.caranddriver.com/features/path-to-autonomy-self-driving-car-levels-0-to-5-explained-feature"target="_blank">Car and Driver</a>). Within the ongoing debate on the best development... | 2018-07-24 | Before 20 July 2018, will Audi sell or lease a motor vehicle with Traffic Jam Pilot?
| 2018-01-24 | [["2018-01-24", 0.05], ["2018-01-24", 0.435], ["2018-01-24", 0.55], ["2018-01-25", 0.2], ["2018-01-25", 0.175], ["2018-01-25", 0.1], ["2018-01-25", 0.12], ["2018-01-25", 0.065], ["2018-01-25", 0.07], ["2018-01-26", 0.11], ["2018-01-26", 0.06], ["2018-01-26", 0.05], ["2018-01-27", 0.05], ["2018-01-27", 0.03], ["2018-01-... | ["https://blog.caranddriver.com/traffic-jamming-in-the-2019-audi-a8-we-let-automated-driving-tech-take-the-wheel", "https://blog.caranddriver.com/traffic-jamming-in-the-2019-audi-a8-we-let-automated-driving-tech-take-the-wheel/", "https://www.autocar.co.uk/car-news/new-cars/2017-audi-a8-revealed-brands-most-high-tech-m... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/602 | As aggression escalates in the Djibouti-Eritrea conflict over the Dumeria Mountain and Island, China has offered to assist in mediation or peacekeeping if requested (<a href="http://venturesafrica.com/heres-how-the-international-community-reacts-to-the-eritrea-djibouti-border-dispute/" target="_blank">Ventures Africa</... | 2018-01-04 | Before 29 December 2017, will it be announced that Chinese troops are deploying to the disputed border region between Eritrea and Djibouti? | 2017-09-13 | [["2017-09-13", 0.35], ["2017-09-13", 0.15], ["2017-09-13", 0.575], ["2017-09-13", 0.66], ["2017-09-13", 0.505], ["2017-09-13", 0.155], ["2017-09-13", 0.07], ["2017-09-13", 0.025], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.02], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017... | ["https://sputniknews.com/africa/201707261055901392-china-wants-to-resolve-djibouti-border-conflict/", "https://www.usip.org/publications/2016/07/chinas-troop-contributions-un-peacekeeping", "https://messengerafrica.com/2017/06/22/factbox-understanding-the-eritrea-djibouti-border-dispute/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comm... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-06-11 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/680 | In 2016, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/husted-v-philip-randolph-institute"target="_blank">ruled</a> that the state of Ohio's <a href = "https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/supreme-court-ohio-voting/528573"target="_blank">supplemental... | 2018-06-12 | In Husted v. A. Philip Randolph Institute, will the Supreme Court rule that Ohio's supplemental process for voter registration list-maintenance is legal? | 2017-11-03 | [["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.85], ["2017-11-03", 0.735], ["2017-11-03", 0.56], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.45], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.575], ["2017-1... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/680-in-husted-v-a-philip-randolph-institute-will-the-supreme-court-rule-that-ohio-s-supplemental-process-for-voter-registration-list-maintenance-is-legal/www.jstor.org/stable/1685855", "https://www.justice.gov/sites/default/files/briefs/2017/08/07/16-980_husted_v_randolph_institute_ac... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-05-09 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/479 | South Koreans will go to the polls on 9 May 2017 to elect their new president (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/15/world/asia/south-korea-election-park-geun-hye.html?_r=0"target="_blank">NY Times</a>). Moon Jae-in ran for president in 2012, losing narrowly to Park Geun-hye. He is now the presumed front runner... | 2017-05-11 | Will Moon Jae-in win South Korea's upcoming presidential election? | 2017-05-02 | [["2017-05-02", 0.95], ["2017-05-02", 1.0], ["2017-05-02", 0.99], ["2017-05-02", 0.985], ["2017-05-02", 0.965], ["2017-05-02", 0.96], ["2017-05-02", 0.96], ["2017-05-02", 0.97], ["2017-05-02", 0.975], ["2017-05-02", 0.975], ["2017-05-02", 0.975], ["2017-05-02", 0.97], ["2017-05-03", 0.98], ["2017-05-03", 0.985], ["2017... | ["http://www.barrons.com/articles/south-korea-election-odds-of-moon-victory-raised-to-80-1493687566", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Chancellors_of_Germany", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Korean_presidential_election,_2017", "http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/south-korea-presidential-front-runne... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-02-07 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/376 | This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 7 February 2017. Arkansas' governor signed into law an increased tax on soda (<a href = "http://www.ledger-enquirer.com/news/business/article131254869.html"target="_blank">Ledger Enquirer</a>, <a href = "http://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2017/feb/08/governor-signs-... | 2017-02-13 | Will a U.S. state enact a soda tax in 2017? | 2016-12-27 | [["2016-12-27", 0.35], ["2016-12-27", 0.7], ["2016-12-27", 0.65], ["2016-12-28", 0.7], ["2016-12-28", 0.675], ["2016-12-28", 0.35], ["2016-12-28", 0.35], ["2016-12-28", 0.35], ["2016-12-28", 0.35], ["2016-12-28", 0.34], ["2016-12-28", 0.34], ["2016-12-28", 0.37], ["2016-12-28", 0.35], ["2016-12-29", 0.385], ["2016-12-2... | ["http://www.huffingtonpost.in/2017/01/24/tamil-nadu-traders-will-not-sell-coke-and-pepsi-from-march-1-on/", "https://legiscan.com/AR/rollcall/SB120/id/573473", "http://www.usdebtclock.org/", "http://www.islandpacket.com/news/business/article130301804.html#storylink=cpy", "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23460912",... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-08-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/13 | This question was closed as "B) No" on 31 August 2016. There is no indication that Venice has lifted its ban.
Venice's mayor banned two books from preschool and elementary schools and libraries, both of which deal with gender issues and same-sex couples; the decision came as the country engages in a heated debate o... | 2016-09-01 | Will the city of Venice lift its ban on "Jean A Deux Mamans" or "Piccolo Uovo" before 1 September 2016? | 2015-09-01 | [["2015-09-01", 0.35], ["2015-09-01", 0.35], ["2015-09-03", 0.45], ["2015-09-03", 0.56], ["2015-09-04", 0.45], ["2015-09-06", 0.45], ["2015-09-06", 0.45], ["2015-09-08", 0.37], ["2015-09-09", 0.325], ["2015-09-09", 0.275], ["2015-09-10", 0.25], ["2015-09-10", 0.225], ["2015-09-11", 0.225], ["2015-09-12", 0.2], ["2015-0... | ["https://larswericson.wordpress.com/", "http://igalaweb.wix.com/igala#!The-manipulation-of-the-word-%E2%80%9Cgender%E2%80%9D-in-Italy/c1ny2/56a4979f0cf22cc0bac45334", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2015/12/05/my-super-picker/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/gitrep-25apr16pm/", "http://www.theguar... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2015-12-02 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/54 | Montenegro is seeking to join the NATO alliance (http://blogs.wsj.com/brussels/2015/09/24/will-montenegro-become-natos-29th-member/ , http://www.newsweek.com/whos-afraid-nato-expansion-360854 , http://www.wsj.com/articles/nato-faces-dilemma-as-it-weighs-montenegros-bid-to-join-1436202037 ). | 2015-12-02 | Will NATO invite Montenegro to join the alliance before the end of the year? | 2015-10-05 | [["2015-10-05", 0.005], ["2015-10-05", 0.005], ["2015-10-05", 0.01], ["2015-10-05", 0.01], ["2015-10-05", 0.02], ["2015-10-06", 0.02], ["2015-10-06", 0.04], ["2015-10-06", 0.05], ["2015-10-06", 0.05], ["2015-10-06", 0.07], ["2015-10-06", 0.08], ["2015-10-06", 0.09], ["2015-10-06", 0.1], ["2015-10-06", 0.1], ["2015-10-0... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/52519", "https://apple.news/AQ3doDBA9N96Lha97MybVQQ", "http://agenda.ge/news/46914/eng", "http://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_125211.htm", "http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/01/nato-to-ask-montenegro-to-join-alliance", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/12/01/u... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/168 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
California’s Zero Em... | 2017-01-05 | Will any other US state adopt California’s Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) Mandate before 1 January 2017? | 2016-03-22 | [["2016-03-22", 0.75], ["2016-03-22", 0.5], ["2016-03-22", 0.15], ["2016-03-22", 0.1], ["2016-03-22", 0.15], ["2016-03-22", 0.2], ["2016-03-22", 0.21], ["2016-03-23", 0.18], ["2016-03-23", 0.19], ["2016-03-23", 0.2], ["2016-03-23", 0.095], ["2016-03-23", 0.175], ["2016-03-23", 0.2], ["2016-03-23", 0.2], ["2016-03-23", ... | ["http://apps.leg.wa.gov/billinfo/summary.aspx?bill=1487", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/223085", "http://www.stateside.com/states/2016-legislative-session-info/", "http://www.edmunds.com/fuel-economy/will-californias-zero-emissions-mandate-alter-the-car-landscape.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/667 | The "comfort women" statue in front of the Japanese Consulate in Busan, erected in December 2016, was opposed by Japan as a violation of the 2015 agreement settling the issue (<a href = "http://www.cnn.com/2017/02/05/asia/south-korea-comfort-women-statue/"target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017... | 2018-01-04 | Will the "comfort women" statue be removed from outside the Japanese Consulate in Busan before 1 January 2018? | 2017-10-23 | [["2017-10-25", 0.1], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.1], ["2017-10-25", 0.095], ["2017-10-26", 0.02], ["2017-10-26", 0.04], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/06/world/asia/japan-south-korea-ambassador-comfort-woman-statue.html", "http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japan-to-refuse-renegotiation-on-comfort-women-deal-with-south-korea", "https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/06/30/national/politics-diplomacy/busan-assembly-passes-ordi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/980 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali? | 2018-06-27 | [["2018-06-27", 0.1], ["2018-06-27", 0.45], ["2018-06-27", 0.65], ["2018-06-27", 0.49], ["2018-06-27", 0.075], ["2018-06-27", 0.13], ["2018-06-27", 0.15], ["2018-06-28", 0.085], ["2018-06-28", 0.1], ["2018-06-28", 0.105], ["2018-06-28", 0.04], ["2018-06-28", 0.01], ["2018-06-29", 0.0], ["2018-06-29", 0.0], ["2018-06-29... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/508 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?
| 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-01", 0.075], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03"... | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/more-rohingya-pour-into-bangladesh-camps-at-full-capacity/2017/09/03/23101eee-9078-11e7-9c53-6a169beb0953_story.html?utm_term=.5411f4cee1fe"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/795 | Former Prime Minister Tsvangirai returned to Zimbabwe after President Mugabe was put under house arrest (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-19883387"target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/882008/Morgan-Tsvangirai-who-is-Prime-Minister-Zimbabwe-Robert-Mugabe-opposition-lead... | 2018-01-02 | Will the new Zimbabwean government offer opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai or ex-Finance Minister Tendai Biti a position in the post-coup government cabinet before 31 December 2017? | 2017-11-29 | [["2017-11-29", 0.5], ["2017-11-29", 0.25], ["2017-11-29", 0.4], ["2017-11-29", 0.65], ["2017-11-30", 0.475], ["2017-11-30", 0.2], ["2017-11-30", 0.2], ["2017-11-30", 0.22], ["2017-11-30", 0.21], ["2017-11-30", 0.21], ["2017-11-30", 0.31], ["2017-11-30", 0.275], ["2017-11-30", 0.25], ["2017-12-01", 0.15], ["2017-12-01"... | ["http://ewn.co.za/2017/12/04/all-eyes-on-zimbabwe-as-new-cabinet-to-be-sworn-in", "http://bulawayo24.com/index-id-news-sc-national-byo-122064.html", "https://www.enca.com/africa/zimbabwes-opposition-insists-morgan-tsvangirai-will-be-countrys-next-leader", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42190457", "http://punchn... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-08-10 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/14 | This question was closed with the answer "No" on 11 August 2016 with an end date of 10 August 2016. On August 10, the Global Polio Eradication Initiative reported the detection of two cases of wild poliovirus type one in the Borno state of Nigeria, with symptoms detected on 6 July 2016 and 13 July 2016 (<a href="http:/... | 2016-08-11 | Will Africa remain free of the wild poliovirus through 31 December 2016? | 2015-09-01 | [["2015-09-02", 0.65], ["2015-09-02", 0.7], ["2015-09-02", 0.75], ["2015-09-02", 0.7], ["2015-09-03", 0.705], ["2015-09-04", 0.7], ["2015-09-04", 0.7], ["2015-09-04", 0.675], ["2015-09-04", 0.69], ["2015-09-05", 0.67], ["2015-09-05", 0.65], ["2015-09-06", 0.65], ["2015-09-06", 0.65], ["2015-09-07", 0.645], ["2015-09-08... | ["http://www.deccanherald.com/content/552900/detection-polio-virus-worrying.html", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201607280845.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/4632", "http://www.who.int/csr/don/archive/disease/poliomyelitis/en/", "http://www.who.int/topics/poliomyelitis/polio-free/en/", "http://www.poli... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/351 | Salva Kiir has been president of South Sudan since the country became independent in July 2011 (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-12107760" target="_blank">BBC</a>), but his government has been fighting a civil war against forces led by his former vice president, Riek Machar, since late 2013 (<a href="http:... | 2017-12-04 | Will Salva Kiir cease to be President of South Sudan before 1 December 2017? | 2016-11-15 | [["2016-11-15", 0.25], ["2016-11-15", 0.4], ["2016-11-15", 0.4], ["2016-11-15", 0.375], ["2016-11-16", 0.25], ["2016-11-16", 0.3], ["2016-11-16", 0.3], ["2016-11-17", 0.3], ["2016-11-17", 0.225], ["2016-11-17", 0.15], ["2016-11-17", 0.15], ["2016-11-18", 0.2], ["2016-11-18", 0.175], ["2016-11-18", 0.15], ["2016-11-19",... | ["https://foreignpolicy.com/2017/02/27/south-sudans-man-made-famine/", "http://www.dw.com/en/south-sudan-president-sacks-central-bank-chief/a-37136702", "http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article60976", "http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/23/world/africa/23sudan.html?_r=1", "http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/31/world/afric... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
False | 2017-10-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/600 | The question will resolve as "yes" if the <a href="http://eventdata.parusanalytics.com/data.dir/atrocities.html" target="_blank">Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset</a> records any event with a start date (Start Day, Start Month, Start Year) in the period of interest, inclusive, for whi... | None | Will the PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a state actor in India (IND) that starts between 1 October 2017 and 31 October 2017? | 2017-09-13 | [["2017-09-13", 0.35], ["2017-09-13", 0.0], ["2017-09-13", 0.0], ["2017-09-13", 0.0], ["2017-09-13", 0.0], ["2017-09-13", 0.0], ["2017-09-13", 0.0], ["2017-09-13", 0.01], ["2017-09-13", 0.01], ["2017-09-13", 0.435], ["2017-09-13", 0.01], ["2017-09-13", 0.01], ["2017-09-13", 0.02], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/588758", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/10/indian-troops-rebels-killed-kashmir-gun-battle-171011051349832.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/586669", "http://www.fredericksburg.com/news/news-wire/rebels-storm-indian-paramilitary-camp-in-kashmir-killed/articl... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/167 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. Tesla did not deliver more than 80,000 BEVs to customers in 2016 (<a href = "http://www.wsj.com/articles/tesla-misses-its-2016-sales-goal-despite-27-fourth-quarter-rise-1483479562"target = "_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to... | 2017-01-05 | Will Tesla Motors deliver more than 80,000 BEVs to customers in calendar year 2016? | 2016-03-22 | [["2016-03-22", 0.75], ["2016-03-22", 0.8], ["2016-03-22", 0.63], ["2016-03-22", 0.64], ["2016-03-23", 0.73], ["2016-03-23", 0.78], ["2016-03-23", 0.81], ["2016-03-23", 0.85], ["2016-03-23", 0.84], ["2016-03-23", 0.84], ["2016-03-23", 0.85], ["2016-03-23", 0.85], ["2016-03-24", 0.85], ["2016-03-24", 0.83], ["2016-03-24... | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-03/tesla-falls-as-quarterly-deliveries-trail-analysts-estimates", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/382602", "http://www.latimes.com/business/autos/la-fi-hy-tesla-delivery-production-3q-musk-20161002-snap-story.html", "http://seekingalpha.com/article/4028253-tes... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-12-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/799 | Examples of civilian sea vessels include, but are not limited to, cruise liners, fishing boats, and merchant ships (e.g., oil tankers). Recent studies indicate that civilian vessels are increasingly vulnerable to attacks by non-state actors (<a href = "http://www.maritime-executive.com/article/terrorists-on-the-ocean-s... | 2018-01-03 | Between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017, will there be an attack by non-state actors on a civilian sea vessel which results in at least three fatalities? | 2017-11-29 | [["2017-11-29", 0.05], ["2017-11-29", 0.2], ["2017-11-29", 0.225], ["2017-11-29", 0.14], ["2017-11-29", 0.02], ["2017-11-29", 0.03], ["2017-11-30", 0.05], ["2017-11-30", 0.035], ["2017-11-30", 0.035], ["2017-11-30", 0.035], ["2017-11-30", 0.015], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.02], ["2017-... | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-somalia-piracy/somali-piracy-death-toll-rises-as-violence-worsens-idUSBRE85L08N20120622", "https://thediplomat.com/2017/06/asias-deadly-pirates/", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-42213513", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_terrorist_incidents"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1079 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.02], ["2018-12-28", 0.06], ["2018-12-29", 0.06], ["2018-12-30", 0.05], ["2018-12-30", 0.035], ["2018-12-30", 0.03], ["2018-12-31", 0.025], ["2018-12-31", 0.025], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2019-01-01", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.01], ["2019-01-02", 0.01], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-11-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/303 | As part of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, which was signed in July 2015, the US lifted nuclear-related sanctions on Iran in exchange for Iran's agreeing to freeze its nuclear program (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/17/world/middleeast/iran-sanctions-lifted-nuclear-deal.html" target="_blank">NY Times</... | 2017-11-07 | Before 1 November 2017, will the US impose economic sanctions on Iran for activities related to a nuclear program? | 2016-10-18 | [["2016-10-18", 0.175], ["2016-10-18", 0.05], ["2016-10-18", 0.02], ["2016-10-19", 0.015], ["2016-10-19", 0.1], ["2016-10-19", 0.1], ["2016-10-19", 0.1], ["2016-10-19", 0.1], ["2016-10-20", 0.05], ["2016-10-20", 0.04], ["2016-10-21", 0.03], ["2016-10-21", 0.005], ["2016-10-21", 0.005], ["2016-10-22", 0.0], ["2016-10-22... | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-usa/top-u-s-general-says-exiting-iran-nuclear-pact-would-make-future-deals-tough-idUSKCN1C12OF", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/aug/31/iran-nuclear-deal-trump-un", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-41344366", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/mid... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/445 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-05 | Between 1 April 2017 and 31 March 2018, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan? | 2017-03-31 | [["2017-03-31", 0.38], ["2017-03-31", 0.15], ["2017-03-31", 0.075], ["2017-03-31", 0.125], ["2017-03-31", 0.175], ["2017-03-31", 0.1], ["2017-04-01", 0.05], ["2017-04-01", 0.075], ["2017-04-01", 0.4], ["2017-04-01", 0.43], ["2017-04-01", 0.65], ["2017-04-01", 0.65], ["2017-04-01", 0.625], ["2017-04-01", 0.58], ["2017-0... | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/video/news/2017/06/fears-uns-darfur-peacekeeping-cuts-170629091056568.html", "http://www.chron.com/news/crime/article/South-Sudan-pro-government-forces-blamed-for-11158129.php"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/15 | A number of military setbacks have weakened Bashar al-Assad's grip on power and called into question the the commitment of his external supporters (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-33762809" target = "_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/isis-terror/analysis-syrias-assad-set-... | 2017-03-02 | Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017? | 2015-09-01 | [["2015-09-02", 0.325], ["2015-09-03", 0.325], ["2015-09-04", 0.3], ["2015-09-05", 0.35], ["2015-09-07", 0.315], ["2015-09-08", 0.315], ["2015-09-09", 0.315], ["2015-09-10", 0.3], ["2015-09-11", 0.3], ["2015-09-11", 0.3], ["2015-09-12", 0.3], ["2015-09-13", 0.3], ["2015-09-14", 0.3], ["2015-09-14", 0.3], ["2015-09-15",... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_Syria", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-russia-iran-idUSKBN15Q0CR", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-un-russia-idUSKBN16324L", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-britain-iraq-idUSKBN15Q0RO", "http://www.reuters.com/arti... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-11-30 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/610 | At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count: Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of se... | 2018-03-16 | Will Russia execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017? | 2017-09-19 | [["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.5], ["2017-09-19", 0.25], ["2017-09-19", 0.25], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.025], ["2017-09-20", 0.1], ["2017-09-20", 0.3], ["2017-09-20", 0.45], ["2017-09-20", 0.15], ["2017-09-20", 0.15], ["2017-09-20", 0.... | ["https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/hacking-of-america/russian-president-vladimir-putin-signs-bill-targeting-u-s-foreign-n823901", "https://www.voanews.com/a/nato-sees-growing-russia-china-challenge/4141311.html", "https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/russian-journalist-explains-how-the-kremlin-instructed-him-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/838 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2018, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?
| 2017-12-28 | [["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.125], ["2017-12-29", 0.175], ["2017-12-29", 0.05], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.035], ["2017-12-29", 0.035], ["2017-12-30", 0.035], ["2017-12-30", 0.01], ["2017-12-31", 0.01], ["2017-12-31", 0.01], ["2017-12-31", 0.01], ["2017-12-... | ["https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/by.html"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1085 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2020-03-18 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan? | 2018-12-28 | [["2018-12-28", 0.08], ["2018-12-28", 0.09], ["2018-12-29", 0.09], ["2018-12-29", 0.08], ["2018-12-29", 0.1], ["2018-12-29", 0.09], ["2018-12-31", 0.09], ["2018-12-31", 0.075], ["2019-01-02", 0.06], ["2019-01-03", 0.055], ["2019-01-03", 0.05], ["2019-01-04", 0.02], ["2019-01-04", 0.035], ["2019-01-04", 0.02], ["2019-01... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/352 | Clarification issued 12/12/2016: The question was updated to ask about an official bilateral visit.
Joint attendance at multilateral meetings will not count. President-elect Trump has repeatedly praised Vladimir Putin (<a href="http://www.theworldin.com/article/12602/trumpquake" target="_blank">The World in 2017</a>... | 2017-10-04 | Will Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump host the other for an official bilateral visit before 1 October 2017? | 2016-11-22 | [["2016-11-22", 0.8], ["2016-11-22", 0.85], ["2016-11-22", 0.925], ["2016-11-23", 0.85], ["2016-11-23", 0.85], ["2016-11-23", 0.75], ["2016-11-23", 0.685], ["2016-11-23", 0.735], ["2016-11-23", 0.8], ["2016-11-23", 0.8], ["2016-11-23", 0.8], ["2016-11-24", 0.8], ["2016-11-24", 0.8], ["2016-11-24", 0.755], ["2016-11-25"... | ["http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/352732-sessions-media-portrays-russia-investigation-in-ways-not-justifiable", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-congress-cyber-russia/senator-says-russian-internet-trolls-stoked-nfl-debate-idUSKCN1C237J", "https://www.voanews.com/a/twitter-tells-congress-shut-down-two-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-07-04 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/470 | North Korea's missile program is a cause of concern for mutiple actors in the region and beyond, particularly regarding the development of ICBM capabilities (<a href = "http://38north.org/2017/01/jschilling011217/"target="_blank">38 North</a>, <a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-17399847"target="_blank">BBC</... | 2017-07-10 | Will North Korea launch a land-based intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) before 1 November 2017? | 2017-04-18 | [["2017-04-18", 0.95], ["2017-04-18", 0.625], ["2017-04-18", 0.75], ["2017-04-18", 1.0], ["2017-04-18", 0.675], ["2017-04-19", 0.7], ["2017-04-19", 0.7], ["2017-04-19", 0.7], ["2017-04-19", 0.605], ["2017-04-20", 0.4], ["2017-04-20", 0.385], ["2017-04-20", 0.52], ["2017-04-21", 0.395], ["2017-04-21", 0.52], ["2017-04-2... | ["http://www.38north.org/2017/06/wgraham060217/", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_North_Korean_missile_tests", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-40491138", "https://www.yahoo.com/gma/north-korea-claims-tested-first-intercontinental-missile-070907829--abc-news-topstories.html", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-12-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/644 | According to the constitution of Brazil, a two-thirds vote is required for the Chamber of Deputies to authorize a trial by the Supreme Court or the Senate. For more information see <a href = "http://www.servat.unibe.ch/icl/br00000_.html"target="_blank">Title IV, Chapter II, Section III, Article 86 of Brazil's Constitu... | 2017-12-28 | Before 27 December 2017, will Brazil's Chamber of Deputies vote to send Brazil's President Michel Temer to a Supreme Court or Senate trial? | 2017-10-09 | [["2017-10-11", 0.8], ["2017-10-11", 0.6], ["2017-10-11", 0.625], ["2017-10-12", 0.375], ["2017-10-12", 0.075], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.035], ["2017-10-12", 0.035], ["2017-10-12", 0.02], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-1... | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-corruption-temer/brazil-congressional-report-recommends-shelving-temer-charges-idUSKBN1CF2W4", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/595754", "https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/543727-plans-are-of-little-importance-but-planning-is-essential", "https://www.usnews.com/news/w... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-11-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/924 | Senator Dean Heller (R-NV) is seeking re-election on 6 November 2018 (<a href = "https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Senate_election_in_Nevada,_2018"target="_blank">Ballotpedia</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a hr... | 2018-11-07 | Will Dean Heller (R-NV) be re-elected this November? | 2018-04-04 | [["2018-04-04", 0.4], ["2018-04-04", 1.0], ["2018-04-04", 0.5], ["2018-04-04", 0.375], ["2018-04-04", 0.65], ["2018-04-04", 0.75], ["2018-04-04", 0.55], ["2018-04-04", 0.44], ["2018-04-05", 0.665], ["2018-04-05", 0.29], ["2018-04-05", 0.24], ["2018-04-05", 0.23], ["2018-04-06", 0.23], ["2018-04-06", 0.315], ["2018-04-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/937 | The EU is pushing Serbia to reach a comprehensive normalization agreement with Kosovo by the end of 2019 (<a href="https://eeas.europa.eu/headquarters/headquarters-homepage/349/dialogue-between-belgrade-and-pristina_en" target="_blank">European Union External Action</a>, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-koso... | 2020-01-03 | Will Serbia and Kosovo reach a comprehensive normalization agreement before 1 January 2020?
| 2018-04-18 | [["2018-04-18", 0.325], ["2018-04-18", 0.21], ["2018-04-19", 0.15], ["2018-04-19", 0.15], ["2018-04-19", 0.1], ["2018-04-19", 0.1], ["2018-04-19", 0.075], ["2018-04-20", 0.075], ["2018-04-21", 0.07], ["2018-04-22", 0.095], ["2018-04-22", 0.095], ["2018-04-23", 0.08], ["2018-04-23", 0.06], ["2018-04-24", 0.05], ["2018-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2019-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1016 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | 2020-01-05 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia? | 2018-09-28 | [["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.005], ["2018-09-30", 0.01], ["2018-09-30", 0.015], ["2018-10-01", 0.015], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-03", 0.02], ["2018-10-04", 0.015], ["2018-10-05", 0.015], ["2018-10-06", 0.015], ["2018-10-06", 0.01], ["2018-1... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-01-23 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/381 | This question was closed as "Yes" with an end date of 23 January 2017. The Supreme Court ruled that an act of Parliament was required to invoke Article 50 (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-38720320"target = "_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/24/world/europe/theresa-may-brexit-vot... | 2017-01-25 | Before 15 February 2017, will the United Kingdom's Supreme Court rule that an additional act of the U.K. Parliament is required to invoke Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty? | 2017-01-10 | [["2017-01-11", 0.95], ["2017-01-11", 0.85], ["2017-01-11", 0.9], ["2017-01-11", 0.875], ["2017-01-11", 0.925], ["2017-01-11", 0.825], ["2017-01-11", 0.75], ["2017-01-11", 0.7], ["2017-01-11", 0.675], ["2017-01-11", 0.675], ["2017-01-11", 0.675], ["2017-01-11", 0.81], ["2017-01-11", 0.835], ["2017-01-11", 0.955], ["201... | ["http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/427748", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38219928", "https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2016-0196-judgment.pdf", "https://www.ft.com/content/6f771e04-8135-3bbc-82eb-21018ff18e55", "https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jan/11/government-brexit-supreme-court-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/101 | This question was closed on "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. (<a href = "http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/12/22/the-battle-to-retake-mosul-is-stalemated/"target = "_blank">Foreign Policy</a>, <a href = "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-mideast-crisis-iraq-mosul-idUKKBN14K08X"target = "_blank">Reuters</a>).
<s... | 2017-01-06 | Will anti-Islamic State forces retake Mosul before 1 January 2017? | 2015-12-22 | [["2015-12-22", 0.45], ["2015-12-22", 0.45], ["2015-12-23", 0.45], ["2015-12-23", 0.45], ["2015-12-23", 0.475], ["2015-12-23", 0.45], ["2015-12-24", 0.45], ["2015-12-24", 0.49], ["2015-12-25", 0.45], ["2015-12-26", 0.5], ["2015-12-26", 0.49], ["2015-12-27", 0.48], ["2015-12-27", 0.5], ["2015-12-27", 0.52], ["2015-12-27... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/146998", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-mosul-idUSKBN14I0BV", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/377824", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-mosul-idUSKBN14F0OJ?il=0", "http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/12/25/top-u-s-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/112 | This question resolved on 30 June 2016: Russia continues to plan for expanded influence in the Western Hemisphere, and to project naval power more broadly, but has not conducted any exercises during this timeframe (<a href="http://www.centerforsecuritypolicy.org/2016/04/21/russian-naval-expansion-threatens-u-s-influenc... | 2016-07-05 | Will Russia conduct a naval exercise in the Western Hemisphere with a Central or South American country before 1 July 2016? | 2016-01-12 | [["2016-01-12", 0.15], ["2016-01-12", 0.2], ["2016-01-12", 0.2], ["2016-01-12", 0.435], ["2016-01-12", 0.36], ["2016-01-12", 0.325], ["2016-01-12", 0.35], ["2016-01-12", 0.265], ["2016-01-12", 0.23], ["2016-01-12", 0.215], ["2016-01-12", 0.215], ["2016-01-12", 0.185], ["2016-01-13", 0.19], ["2016-01-13", 0.19], ["2016-... | ["http://m.sputniknews.com/latam/20160331/1037261349/panama-russia-putin-canal.html", "http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21695003-dont-be-fooled-syria-vladimir-putins-foreign-policy-born-weakness-and-made?zid=307&ah=5e80419d1bc9821ebe173f4f0f060a07", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/14/gitrep-13mar16... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/74 | This question resolved on 30 June 2016: Security cooperation remains in place (<a href="http://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/1.712120" target="_blank">Hareetz</a>, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/10/opinions/tel-aviv-attack-implications-miller/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opini... | 2016-07-05 | Will either the Palestinian Authority or Israel announce a halt in security cooperation before 1 July 2016? | 2015-11-10 | [["2015-11-10", 0.29], ["2015-11-10", 0.2], ["2015-11-11", 0.21], ["2015-11-11", 0.21], ["2015-11-11", 0.15], ["2015-11-11", 0.15], ["2015-11-11", 0.12], ["2015-11-11", 0.12], ["2015-11-12", 0.12], ["2015-11-12", 0.12], ["2015-11-12", 0.11], ["2015-11-13", 0.115], ["2015-11-13", 0.11], ["2015-11-13", 0.11], ["2015-11-1... | ["http://www.jpost.com/Arab-Israeli-Conflict/Palestinians-want-French-initiative-to-set-timetable-for-Israeli-West-Bank-withdrawal-454124", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/04/paslestine-ramallah-security-coordination-three-young-men.html", "http://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-1.728110", "http://... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-02-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/501 | A controversial cabinet reshuffling brings new protests for the South African President to step down (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-39526313" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/04/south-africa-anc-president-jacob-zuma-170406020948329.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>... | 2018-02-15 | Will Jacob Zuma cease to be president of South Africa before 1 July 2018? | 2017-06-13 | [["2017-06-13", 0.37], ["2017-06-13", 0.2], ["2017-06-14", 0.1], ["2017-06-15", 0.165], ["2017-06-15", 0.25], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-16", 0.125], ["2017-06-16", 0.165], ["2017-06-16", 0.12], ["2017-06-17", 0.09], ["2017-06-17", 0.08], ["2017-06-17", 0.095], ["2017-06-18", 0.09], ["2017-06... | ["https://twitter.com/ThabisoSithole/status/963059085284466690", "https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/13/africa/jacob-zuma-south-africa-recall-intl/index.html", "https://apnews.com/955b8e9fbe01472aa27ceb9c953cc745/South-African-ruling-party-leaders-to-meet-amid-Zuma-limbo", "https://www.watson.ch/!964164319?utm_source=whatsapp... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2018-10-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/986 | On 27 June, Justice Anthony Kennedy announced that he would retire from the Supreme Court effective 31 July (<a href = "http://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/393357-kennedy-announces-retirement-from-supreme-court"target="_blank">The Hill</a>, <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/2018/06/anthony-kennedy-swing-just... | 2018-10-08 | Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed by the Senate before 6 November 2018? | 2018-07-11 | [["2018-07-11", 1.0], ["2018-07-11", 0.995], ["2018-07-11", 0.85], ["2018-07-11", 0.825], ["2018-07-11", 0.975], ["2018-07-11", 0.95], ["2018-07-11", 0.995], ["2018-07-12", 1.0], ["2018-07-12", 0.99], ["2018-07-12", 0.995], ["2018-07-12", 0.95], ["2018-07-12", 0.95], ["2018-07-12", 0.91], ["2018-07-12", 0.97], ["2018-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-01-17 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/29 | As part of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, the EU agreed to remove restrictions on Iran's access to SWIFT once the IAEA has verified Iranian compliance (https://news.riskadvisory.net/2015/16/iran-summary-of-nuclear-deal-timeline-and-sanctions-relief/ , http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-deal-swift-banking-syst... | 2016-01-23 | Will restrictions on Iran's access to SWIFT be lifted before 1 August 2016? | 2015-09-14 | [["2015-09-14", 0.85], ["2015-09-15", 0.65], ["2015-09-15", 0.85], ["2015-09-15", 0.85], ["2015-09-15", 0.875], ["2015-09-15", 0.9], ["2015-09-15", 0.88], ["2015-09-15", 0.88], ["2015-09-15", 0.88], ["2015-09-15", 0.855], ["2015-09-15", 0.855], ["2015-09-15", 0.855], ["2015-09-15", 0.855], ["2015-09-15", 0.85], ["2015-... | ["http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-01-16/iran-has-met-terms-of-international-nuclear-agreement-iaea-says", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/81103", "http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2016/01/01/461610337/as-iran-moves-swiftly-on-nuclear-deal-sanctions-could-go-soon", "https://www.swift.com/i... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-03-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/100 | <img height="1" width="1" style="display:none" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=570990896342688&ev=PageView&noscript=1"/>India will host the ICC World Twenty20 tournament for the first time from 11 March to 3 April 2016 (<a href = "http://www.theworldin.com/article/10487" target = "_blank">The World in 2016</a>, <a ... | 2016-04-01 | Will India win the 2016 ICC World Twenty20 cricket tournament? | 2015-12-15 | [["2015-12-15", 0.42], ["2015-12-15", 0.25], ["2015-12-15", 0.24], ["2015-12-15", 0.31], ["2015-12-15", 0.28], ["2015-12-15", 0.31], ["2015-12-15", 0.315], ["2015-12-16", 0.295], ["2015-12-16", 0.31], ["2015-12-16", 0.29], ["2015-12-16", 0.265], ["2015-12-16", 0.265], ["2015-12-16", 0.25], ["2015-12-16", 0.25], ["2015-... | ["http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/cricket/77693599/pakistan-reject-venue-of-twenty20-world-cup-match-against-india", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/14/gitrep-13mar16pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/17/gitrep-16mar16pm/", "http://www.espncricinfo.com/magazine/content/story/978185.html", "http:... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-05-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/812 | <b>By a count of 7-2, the question closed with "Yes" with an end date of 14 May.
(<a href="https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/17pdf/16-476_dbfi.pdf" target="_blank">SCOTUS</a>)</b>
In 2016, the US Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit ruled that the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act (PASPA) prohibi... | 2018-05-14 | In Murphy v. NCAA, will the Supreme Court rule that Congress cannot prohibit New Jersey from amending or repealing its existing prohibitions on sports gambling? | 2017-12-08 | [["2017-12-08", 0.4], ["2017-12-08", 0.55], ["2017-12-08", 0.775], ["2017-12-08", 0.925], ["2017-12-08", 0.775], ["2017-12-08", 0.675], ["2017-12-08", 0.65], ["2017-12-08", 0.65], ["2017-12-09", 0.7], ["2017-12-09", 0.8], ["2017-12-09", 0.8], ["2017-12-09", 0.75], ["2017-12-09", 0.75], ["2017-12-09", 0.775], ["2017-12-... | ["https://ballotpedia.org/Christie_v._NCAA?utm_source=Iterable&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DailyBrew", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/volokh-conspiracy/wp/2017/12/04/place-your-bets-on-federalism-thoughts-on-todays-oral-argument-in-christie-v-ncaa/?utm_term=.035c90652675", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/354 | Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has promised to legalise recreational marijuana (<a href="http://www.theworldin.com/article/12607/canada-high" target="_blank">The World in 2017</a>, <a href="http://www.vox.com/2015/10/20/9573497/canada-marijuana-legalization-justin-trudeau" target="_blank">Vox</a>). The health minister h... | 2017-10-04 | Will Canada legalise recreational marijuana nationally before 1 October 2017? | 2016-11-22 | [["2016-11-22", 0.82], ["2016-11-22", 0.75], ["2016-11-22", 0.675], ["2016-11-22", 0.725], ["2016-11-22", 0.55], ["2016-11-23", 0.5], ["2016-11-23", 0.5], ["2016-11-23", 0.65], ["2016-11-23", 0.66], ["2016-11-23", 0.67], ["2016-11-23", 0.75], ["2016-11-23", 0.75], ["2016-11-24", 0.75], ["2016-11-24", 0.75], ["2016-11-2... | ["http://www.ourcommons.ca/Committees/en/HESA/StudyActivity?studyActivityId=9603581", "https://www.hilltimes.com/2017/09/25/house-legislation-access-information-bill-chamber-islamophobia-hearings-continue-committee/119827", "http://www.parl.ca/LegisInfo/BillDetails.aspx?Bill=C45&Language=E&Mode=1&Parl=42&am... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-04-12 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/19 | The G7 countries include Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Recommended Questions
<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/17-will-iran-s-president-hassan-rouhani-meet-saudi-arabia-s-king-salman-bin-abdulaziz-al-saud-before-1-september-2016" target = "_blank">Will I... | 2016-04-12 | Will Iran host a head of state or head of government from one of the G7 countries on an official visit before 1 July 2016? | 2015-09-07 | [["2015-09-08", 0.5], ["2015-09-09", 0.3], ["2015-09-09", 0.3], ["2015-09-09", 0.3], ["2015-09-10", 0.375], ["2015-09-10", 0.54], ["2015-09-10", 0.6], ["2015-09-10", 0.65], ["2015-09-10", 0.65], ["2015-09-11", 0.65], ["2015-09-11", 0.635], ["2015-09-11", 0.62], ["2015-09-11", 0.635], ["2015-09-11", 0.6], ["2015-09-12",... | ["http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0X119T", "http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/02/22/451679/Iran-Italy-PM-Renzi-visit-Rouhani", "http://www.iranfocus.com/en/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=30417:ncri-urges-italy-s-renzi-to-call-off-trip-to-iran&catid=4:iran-general&Itemid=109", "htt... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/931 | Article 4 has been invoked a few times in the history of NATO (<a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_49187.htm, http://www.ibtimes.com/what-natos-article-4-why-turkey-called-consultations-under-rarely-used-provision-2026060" target="_blank">NATO</a>, <a href="https://www.rferl.org/a/explainer-nato-articles... | 2020-01-03 | Before 1 January 2020, will a NATO member formally invoke Article 4 or Article 5 of the Washington Treaty in response to actions taken by Russia? | 2018-04-11 | [["2018-04-11", 0.45], ["2018-04-11", 0.425], ["2018-04-12", 0.4], ["2018-04-12", 0.29], ["2018-04-12", 0.29], ["2018-04-12", 0.4], ["2018-04-13", 0.4], ["2018-04-13", 0.45], ["2018-04-14", 0.475], ["2018-04-14", 0.125], ["2018-04-14", 0.1], ["2018-04-14", 0.1], ["2018-04-14", 0.1], ["2018-04-14", 0.075], ["2018-04-14"... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-04-29 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/440 | For more information on the Cabinet-level positions in the Trump Administration see: <a href = "https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/cabinet"target="_blank">The White House</a>. Failed nominations include nominations that are withdrawn, returned to the President by the Senate, and those which are voted down by the... | 2017-05-02 | Between 17 March 2017 and 30 April 2017, will a U.S. Cabinet-level nomination fail or will a Cabinet-level member of the administration cease to hold their office? | 2017-03-17 | [["2017-03-17", 0.12], ["2017-03-17", 0.07], ["2017-03-17", 0.11], ["2017-03-17", 0.075], ["2017-03-17", 0.05], ["2017-03-17", 0.1], ["2017-03-17", 0.1], ["2017-03-18", 0.1], ["2017-03-18", 0.09], ["2017-03-18", 0.07], ["2017-03-18", 0.08], ["2017-03-18", 0.1], ["2017-03-18", 0.15], ["2017-03-19", 0.105], ["2017-03-19"... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/07/us/politics/syria-strike-trump-timeline.html", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/07/world/middleeast/tillerson-mcmaster-syria-attack.html?_r=0", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/defense-secretary-mattis-withdraws-patterson-as-choice-for-undersecretary-for-polic... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2017-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/517 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | 2019-12-09 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
| 2017-06-30 | [["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.025], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.01], ["2017-07-04... | ["http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/pakistan/database/casualties.htm"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-24 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/679 | In 2015, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/jesner-v-arab-bank-plc"target="_blank">ruled</a> that the US <a href = "http://cja.org/what-we-do/litigation/legal-strategy/the-alien-tort-statute/"target="_blank">Alien Tort Statute (ATS)</a> did not permit lawsuit... | 2018-04-27 | In Jesner v. Arab Bank, PLC, will the Supreme Court rule that aliens can sue a corporation under the Alien Tort Statute? | 2017-11-03 | [["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.05], ["2017-11-03", 0.115], ["2017-11-03", 0.125], ["2017-11-03", 0.285], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.6], ["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.565], ["2017-11-03", 0.465], ["2017-... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alien_Tort_Statute"", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/622983", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/617220", "http://www.scotusblog.com/2017/07/introduction-alien-tort-statute-corporate-liability-plain-english/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/621332", "http://... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2016-03-12 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/133 | Google's AlphaGo computer program beat a professional Go player for the first time and is set to take on world champion Lee Sedol in a 5-game match in March 2016 (<a href = "http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/computer-beats-go-champion-for-first-time/" target = "_blank">Scientific American</a>, <a href = "http:/... | 2016-03-15 | Will Google's AlphaGo beat world champion Lee Sedol in the five-game Go match planned for March 2016? | 2016-02-02 | [["2016-02-02", 0.75], ["2016-02-02", 0.765], ["2016-02-02", 0.78], ["2016-02-02", 0.75], ["2016-02-02", 0.75], ["2016-02-02", 0.78], ["2016-02-02", 0.77], ["2016-02-03", 0.78], ["2016-02-03", 0.78], ["2016-02-03", 0.78], ["2016-02-03", 0.78], ["2016-02-03", 0.78], ["2016-02-03", 0.78], ["2016-02-03", 0.755], ["2016-02... | ["http://www.amazon.com/Playing-Edge-American-Intelligence-Terror-ebook/dp/B00Y9HIMG4", "http://www.wired.com/2016/03/sadness-beauty-watching-googles-ai-play-go/", "http://www.theverge.com/2016/3/10/11192774/demis-hassabis-interview-alphago-google-deepmind-ai", "http://americanfolklore.net/folklore/2010/07/john_henry.h... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2016-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/210 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project’s Definitions Page</a>. According to those criteria, Pakistan has an ongoing episode of mass killing perpetrated by the Lashkar-e-Jhangyi militant g... | 2017-03-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Pakistan before 1 January 2017? | 2016-05-25 | [["2016-05-25", 1.0], ["2016-05-25", 0.585], ["2016-05-25", 0.14], ["2016-05-25", 0.075], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 0.1], ["2016-05-25", 0.15], ["2016-05-26", 0.11], ["2016-05-26", 0.07], ["2016-05-26", 0.05], ["2016-05-26", 0.05], ["2016-05-26", 0.09], ["2016-05-26", 0.11], ["2016-05-2... | ["http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/316761", "http://indianexpress.com/article/world/world-news/pak-successfully-tackling-terror-economic-challenges-nawaz-sharif-3100521/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/327109", "http://tribune.com.pk/story/1174675/twin-blasts-rock-mardan-district-court/", "http://www.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2018-04-06 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/844 | Navalny has been incarcerated many times for reasons ranging from unauthorized protests to embezzlement (<a href = "http://www.dw.com/en/russian-jail-frees-vladimir-putin-opponent-alexei-navalny/a-41066328"target="_blank">Deutsche Welle</a>, <a href = "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-03/putin-s-rival-ca... | 2018-04-09 | Will Alexei Navalny be imprisoned or placed under house arrest between 10 January 2018 and 8 April 2018?
| 2018-01-10 | [["2018-01-10", 0.515], ["2018-01-10", 0.75], ["2018-01-10", 0.85], ["2018-01-10", 0.85], ["2018-01-10", 0.835], ["2018-01-11", 0.865], ["2018-01-11", 0.8], ["2018-01-11", 0.625], ["2018-01-11", 0.85], ["2018-01-11", 0.815], ["2018-01-11", 0.95], ["2018-01-11", 0.955], ["2018-01-11", 0.95], ["2018-01-11", 0.95], ["2018... | ["https://twitter.com/leonidvolkov/status/966611666178924544", "https://twitter.com/Zhivoderova/status/966280328087310337", "https://www.ft.com/content/382adee4-0405-11e8-9650-9c0ad2d7c5b5", "http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21736541-unintended-puff-mr-putin-understanding-reality-tv-star-ksenia-sobchaks-presidentia... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-02-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2717 |
As of 18 January 2023, the latest blog post published by the Dupuy Institute covering the 'Russo-Ukrainian War' included an estimate of strength of Russian ground forces, plus those of the Donetsk PR and the Lugansk PR, of 184,000 (see http://www.dupuyinstitute.org/blog/2023/01/16/the-russo-ukrainian-war-day-327/... | 2023-03-01 | On 27 February 2023, will the most recent blog post published by the Dupuy Institute covering the 'Russo-Ukrainian War' include an estimate of the strength of Russian ground forces in and around Ukraine plus those of the Donetsk PR and the Lugansk PR to be greater than 200,000? | 2023-01-18 | [["2023-01-18", 1.0], ["2023-01-18", 0.7], ["2023-01-18", 0.7733], ["2023-01-18", 0.605], ["2023-01-18", 0.684], ["2023-01-19", 0.625], ["2023-01-19", 0.6233], ["2023-01-19", 0.6629], ["2023-01-19", 0.6163], ["2023-01-19", 0.6422], ["2023-01-19", 0.678], ["2023-01-19", 0.6164], ["2023-01-19", 0.565], ["2023-01-19", 0.5... | ["http://www.dupuyinstitute.org/blog/2023/02/20/the-russo-ukrainian-war-day-362/", "http://www.dupuyinstitute.org/blog/2023/02/24/one-year-anniversary-of-the-russo-ukrainian-war/", "https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/18/putin-could-be-ready-to-announce-a-second-mobilization-drive-analysts-say.html", "http://www.dupuyinstitut... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-11-21 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2917 |
<p>Zhao, the founder of Binance, is already facing civil complaints from the CFTC and SEC related to the operation of the cryptocurrency exchange, though no criminal charges have yet been filed (<a href="https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2022/12/doj-divided-over-charging-binance-for-alleged-crypto-crimes-report... | 2023-11-21 | Will US federal criminal charges be filed against Changpeng Zhao for actions related to the operation of Binance and/or Binance.US before 30 December 2023? | 2023-06-23 | [["2023-06-23", 0.55], ["2023-06-23", 0.545], ["2023-06-24", 0.3967], ["2023-06-24", 0.335], ["2023-06-24", 0.276], ["2023-06-24", 0.2467], ["2023-06-24", 0.2629], ["2023-06-24", 0.2675], ["2023-06-24", 0.3222], ["2023-06-25", 0.3067], ["2023-06-25", 0.2956], ["2023-06-25", 0.286], ["2023-06-26", 0.26], ["2023-06-26", ... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binance", "https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/us-justice-dept-is-split-over-charging-binance-crypto-world-falters-sources-2022-12-12/"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1795 |
<p>A violent clash in mid-June 2020 between soldiers along a disputed stretch of border between India and China left at least 20 dead, sparking concerns over continued escalation of tensions between the two neighbors (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53061476" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="h... | 2021-03-01 | Before 1 March 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation at sea between the forces of India and the People's Republic of China? | 2020-09-25 | [["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.11], ["2020-09-25", 0.1], ["2020-09-25", 0.05], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.025], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ["2020-09-25", 0.0], ... | ["https://bit.ly/2VUCIz6", "https://reut.rs/36WG6zN", "https://reut.rs/2KbhTx8", "https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/naku-la-clash-china-trying-to-open-new-front-test-india-s-defence-say-experts-101611571454105.html", "https://reut.rs/3oHv8UY", "https://tmsnrt.rs/3cL0qHG", "https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplom... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-03-03 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1517 | <p>Fourteen states, one U.S. territory, and "Democrats Abroad" are scheduled to hold their Democratic primaries & caucuses on 3 March 2020, known as "Super Tuesday" (<a href="https://www.270towin.com/2020-election-calendar/" target="_blank">270 To Win</a>). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the major... | 2020-03-16 | Will Bernie Sanders win a majority of Democratic pledged delegates on Super Tuesday? | 2020-02-07 | [["2020-02-07", 0.325], ["2020-02-07", 0.5], ["2020-02-07", 0.55], ["2020-02-07", 0.45], ["2020-02-07", 0.45], ["2020-02-07", 0.445], ["2020-02-08", 0.42], ["2020-02-08", 0.39], ["2020-02-08", 0.19], ["2020-02-08", 0.075], ["2020-02-08", 0.15], ["2020-02-08", 0.1], ["2020-02-08", 0.195], ["2020-02-08", 0.25], ["2020-02... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-07-22 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2016 |
<p>After 11 days of fighting in and around Gaza, Hamas and Israel agreed to a ceasefire (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/new-conflicts-are-already-shaping-an-already-volatile-middle-east" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-5719553... | 2021-07-22 | Before 22 July 2021, will Hamas or the Israeli government accuse the other of violating the Gaza ceasefire agreed to on 20 May 2021? | 2021-05-21 | [["2021-05-21", 0.975], ["2021-05-21", 0.99], ["2021-05-21", 0.985], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-21", 0.98], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05-22", 0.99], ["2021-05... | ["https://apnews.com/article/west-bank-middle-east-israel-592b2c05bcb37c3af20ca14f2ff1ad6b", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/9/israel-forces-open-fire-on-palestinians-hundreds-wounded", "https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/7/9/israel-says-it-is-targeting-hamas-cryptocurrency-accounts", "https://www.timesofisrael... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-04-02 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1493 |
<p>The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis releases three estimates for each quarter: advance, second, and third, and the release dates for 2020 can be found here: https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule. This question will be resolved based on the third estimates for Q1, Q2, and Q3, typically released 3 months after the ... | 2020-06-27 | Will the United States experience at least one quarter of negative real GDP growth in 2020? | 2020-01-17 | [["2020-01-17", 0.0], ["2020-01-18", 0.01], ["2020-01-18", 0.05], ["2020-01-19", 0.025], ["2020-01-19", 0.035], ["2020-01-19", 0.05], ["2020-01-19", 0.1], ["2020-01-19", 0.225], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.415], ["2020-01-19", 0.315], ["2020-01-19", 0.3], ["2020-01-19", 0.275], ["2020-01-... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-04-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2428 |
<p>Drought, conflict, and other factors have left millions in the Horn of Africa facing potential famine (<a href="https://abcnews.go.com/International/millions-lives-risk-famine-stalks-horn-africa/story?id=84643535" target="_blank">ABC News</a>, <a href="https://reliefweb.int/report/ethiopia/forgotten-crisis-fam... | 2023-04-01 | Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023? | 2022-06-24 | [["2022-06-24", 0.02], ["2022-06-24", 0.34], ["2022-06-24", 0.514], ["2022-06-24", 0.6028571428571429], ["2022-06-24", 0.6], ["2022-06-25", 0.641], ["2022-06-25", 0.644], ["2022-06-25", 0.741], ["2022-06-25", 0.726], ["2022-06-26", 0.689], ["2022-06-26", 0.663], ["2022-06-26", 0.703], ["2022-06-26", 0.708], ["2022-06-2... | ["https://sahanjournal.com/news-partners/somalia-drought-deaths-report-hunger-crisis-children/", "https://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2023/03/10/aid-agencies-call-on-donors-to-urgently-fund-somalia039s-drought-crisis", "https://www.unicefusa.org/what-unicef-does/where-unicef-works/africa/horn-africa?gclid=Cj0KCQiAjba... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2397 |
<p>The FBI's IC3 collects Internet crime complaints and publishes an annual Internet Crime Report (<a href="https://www.ic3.gov/Home/About" target="_blank">IC3</a>). For 2021, IC3 reported in excess of $6.9 billion in total victim losses (<a href="https://www.fbi.gov/news/press-releases/press-releases/fbi-r... | 2023-03-12 | Will the total monetary value of victim losses reported by the FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) for 2022 reach or exceed $9.0 billion? | 2022-05-20 | [["2022-05-20", 0.0], ["2022-05-20", 0.495], ["2022-05-20", 0.99], ["2022-05-20", 0.495], ["2022-05-21", 0.495], ["2022-05-21", 0.495], ["2022-05-21", 0.48], ["2022-05-21", 0.96], ["2022-05-22", 0.68], ["2022-05-22", 0.4], ["2022-05-22", 0.6], ["2022-05-22", 0.6], ["2022-05-23", 0.5], ["2022-05-23", 0.61], ["2022-05-23... | ["https://www.forbes.com/sites/edwardsegal/2022/05/05/biden-signs-bill-to-create-cybercrime-reporting-system/?sh=32af74e71f91", "https://www.nbc15.com/2022/07/20/fbi-ramps-up-cyber-crime-prevention-efforts/", "https://us.cnn.com/2022/08/16/tech/crypto-hack-rise-2022/index.html"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-12-02 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2631 |
<p>Twitter has seen the departure of senior executives, advertising pauses by clients, and other developments since Elon Musk took the company private in late October 2022, with Musk mentioning the possibility of bankruptcy for the firm (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/29/a-brief-history-of-twit... | 2023-12-02 | Will Twitter, Inc. file for bankruptcy in the US before 2 December 2023? | 2022-11-18 | [["2022-11-18", 0.53], ["2022-11-18", 0.3125], ["2022-11-18", 0.252], ["2022-11-18", 0.2367], ["2022-11-18", 0.2557], ["2022-11-18", 0.2289], ["2022-11-18", 0.2855], ["2022-11-18", 0.2715], ["2022-11-18", 0.2793], ["2022-11-19", 0.2631], ["2022-11-19", 0.2378], ["2022-11-19", 0.2565], ["2022-11-19", 0.2377], ["2022-11-... | ["https://waf.cs.illinois.edu/visualizations/Perception-of-Probability-Words/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/technology/twitter-ceo-linda-yaccarino.html?campaign_id=2&emc=edit_th_20230630&instance_id=96383&nl=todaysheadlines&regi_id=77825025&segment_id=138029&user_id=dc6933c94fc82416d25dd... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-05-26 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2303 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (<a href="https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput" target="_blank">TSA</a>).</p><p></p><p></p><p style="line-height:1;"><span style="font-size:10.5px;">Confused? Check our </span><a href="https://www.gjopen... | 2022-05-26 | Between 8 March 2022 and 25 May 2022, will the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA) screen 2.4 million or more travelers in a single day? | 2022-03-09 | [["2022-03-15", 0.525], ["2022-03-15", 0.25], ["2022-03-15", 0.65], ["2022-03-15", 0.475], ["2022-03-15", 0.475], ["2022-03-15", 0.5], ["2022-03-15", 0.65], ["2022-03-15", 0.65], ["2022-03-15", 0.8], ["2022-03-16", 0.65], ["2022-03-16", 0.77], ["2022-03-16", 0.71], ["2022-03-16", 0.75], ["2022-03-16", 0.68], ["2022-03-... | ["https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-summer-travelers-can-expect-long-lines-higher-prices-covid-restrictions-ease-2022-05-05/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=daily-briefing", "https://github.com/belikewaterUS/belikewaterUS/blob/main/tsa%20percentages.jpeg", "https://flightaware.com/miser... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-07-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1412 |
<p>Amid large-scale economic protests, calls for the reform of Chile’s pension system have grown (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-chile-protests-pensions/chiles-fiery-anger-fueled-by-fears-of-poverty-in-old-age-idUSKBN1XB3U8" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.ipe.com/reports/spec... | 2021-07-01 | Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation nationalizing private pension fund assets? | 2019-12-04 | [["2019-12-04", 0.04], ["2019-12-04", 0.11], ["2019-12-04", 0.18], ["2019-12-04", 0.18], ["2019-12-04", 0.265], ["2019-12-04", 0.28], ["2019-12-05", 0.23], ["2019-12-05", 0.23], ["2019-12-05", 0.23], ["2019-12-05", 0.18], ["2019-12-06", 0.18], ["2019-12-06", 0.215], ["2019-12-06", 0.215], ["2019-12-06", 0.205], ["2019-... | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1168479"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-06-12 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2619 |
<p>As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, NATO continues to support the country's defense without direct involvement (<a href="https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/3724672-putin-may-take-catastrophic-action-in-ukraine-while-washington-mulls-the-midterms/" target="_blank">The Hill</a>, <a href="https://www... | 2023-06-12 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces and/or law enforcement of Russia and those of a NATO member state resulting in at least three fatalities before 12 June 2023? | 2022-11-11 | [["2022-11-11", 0.0], ["2022-11-11", 0.055], ["2022-11-11", 0.0533], ["2022-11-11", 0.06], ["2022-11-11", 0.228], ["2022-11-11", 0.148], ["2022-11-11", 0.1283], ["2022-11-11", 0.1271], ["2022-11-11", 0.1238], ["2022-11-11", 0.11], ["2022-11-11", 0.104], ["2022-11-11", 0.0982], ["2022-11-11", 0.0973], ["2022-11-11", 0.0... | ["https://www.fpri.org/article/2021/12/crowded-pond-nato-and-russian-maritime-power-in-the-baltic-sea/", "https://edition.cnn.com/2022/11/16/europe/poland-missile-russia-ukraine-investigation-wednesday-intl-hnk/index.html", "https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-zelenskyy-kherson-9202c032cf3a5c22761ee71b52ff9d5... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1625 |
<p>The UAE recently launched the "Emirates Food Security Council" tasked with enhancing food security for the country (<a href="https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/united-arab-emirates-uae-food-security-council" target="_blank">USDA</a>). The outcome will be determined using data for 2020 as provided by the Globa... | 2021-02-25 | Will the United Arab Emirates (UAE) be ranked higher than 21st in the Global Food Security Index Rankings for 2020? | 2020-05-21 | [["2020-05-21", 0.0], ["2020-05-21", 0.35], ["2020-05-21", 0.01], ["2020-05-21", 0.32], ["2020-05-21", 0.5], ["2020-05-21", 0.565], ["2020-05-21", 0.63], ["2020-05-21", 0.565], ["2020-05-22", 0.63], ["2020-05-22", 0.665], ["2020-05-22", 0.7], ["2020-05-22", 0.7], ["2020-05-22", 0.74], ["2020-05-22", 0.74], ["2020-05-22... | ["https://www.iofs.org.kz/fr/post/155", "https://foodsecurityindex.eiu.com/Index"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-06-17 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1774 |
<p>After the Supreme Court upheld the constitutionality of the ACA in NFIB v. Sibelius, Congress subsequently reduced the penalty for failing to acquire health insurance to $0 (<a href="https://www.kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/explaining-texas-v-u-s-a-guide-to-the-case-challenging-the-aca/" target="_bl... | 2021-06-17 | In California v. Texas, will the Supreme Court rule that reducing the penalty amount for the individual mandate of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) to zero rendered the individual mandate provision unconstitutional? | 2020-09-04 | [["2020-09-04", 0.6], ["2020-09-04", 0.575], ["2020-09-04", 0.55], ["2020-09-04", 0.5], ["2020-09-04", 0.45], ["2020-09-04", 0.29], ["2020-09-04", 0.13], ["2020-09-04", 0.29], ["2020-09-04", 0.45], ["2020-09-04", 0.13], ["2020-09-04", 0.25], ["2020-09-05", 0.2], ["2020-09-05", 0.15], ["2020-09-05", 0.14], ["2020-09-05"... | ["https://reason.com/volokh/2021/04/23/the-range-of-options-for-california-v-texas/", "https://www.scotusblog.com/2021/02/biden-administration-notifies-court-of-new-position-on-affordable-care-act/", "https://www.businessinsider.com/supreme-court-upholds-affordable-care-act-california-v-texas-2021-6", "https://ballotpe... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2680 |
<p>Amid historic drought and high demand, water levels are so low at Lake Powell, a reservoir in Arizona and Utah, that hydroelectric power generation is threatened (<a href="https://www.reviewjournal.com/local/reduced-lake-powell" target="_blank">Las Vegas Review Journal</a>, <a href="https://www.12news.co... | 2024-01-01 | Will the water level at Lake Powell fall below the minimum power pool elevation of 3,490 feet in 2023? | 2022-12-23 | [["2022-12-23", 0.7], ["2022-12-23", 0.35], ["2022-12-23", 0.3567], ["2022-12-23", 0.3425], ["2022-12-24", 0.282], ["2022-12-24", 0.2517], ["2022-12-24", 0.23], ["2022-12-24", 0.3013], ["2022-12-24", 0.3013], ["2022-12-24", 0.2975], ["2022-12-24", 0.2678], ["2022-12-24", 0.241], ["2022-12-24", 0.241], ["2022-12-24", 0.... | ["https://www.usbr.gov/uc/water/hydrodata/reservoir_data/919/dashboard.html#power_release_volume/", "https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/30/us/colorado-river-lake-mead-drought-2023-climate/index.html", "https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/lake-powell-water-level-projections-revealed-in-report/ar-AA16yVZl", "https://www.cpc.ncep.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-12-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1618 |
<p>A landslide victory by President Tsai Ing-wen in January 2020 and Taiwan's continued military build-up keep eyes focused on the region for potential conflict (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-security/china-rattles-sabres-as-world-battles-coronavirus-pandemic-idUSKBN2230GC" target="_blank">Reu... | 2020-12-15 | Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China before 15 December 2020? | 2020-05-08 | [["2020-05-08", 0.375], ["2020-05-08", 0.15], ["2020-05-08", 0.04], ["2020-05-08", 0.02], ["2020-05-08", 0.02], ["2020-05-08", 0.03], ["2020-05-08", 0.015], ["2020-05-08", 0.01], ["2020-05-08", 0.01], ["2020-05-08", 0.015], ["2020-05-09", 0.015], ["2020-05-09", 0.015], ["2020-05-09", 0.02], ["2020-05-09", 0.02], ["2020... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2545 |
<p>As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, Ukrainian President Zelensky has floated the idea of meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in person (<a href="https://www.newsweek.com/russia-state-tv-peace-talks-ukraine-war-conflict-retreat-counter-offensive-1741956" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>, <a href="https:... | 2023-01-01 | Before 1 January 2023, will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person? | 2022-09-16 | [["2022-09-16", 0.015], ["2022-09-16", 0.01], ["2022-09-16", 0.0083], ["2022-09-16", 0.0063], ["2022-09-16", 0.029], ["2022-09-16", 0.0367], ["2022-09-16", 0.0329], ["2022-09-16", 0.03], ["2022-09-16", 0.0272], ["2022-09-16", 0.026], ["2022-09-17", 0.0248], ["2022-09-17", 0.023], ["2022-09-17", 0.0216], ["2022-09-17", ... | ["https://t.me/RIAKremlinpool/7568", "https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-alexei-navalny-government-and-politics-95c5d0a5a9704535ece7100d5c852ff5", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=du2DjJEtc0k", "https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-russia-war-latest-news-putin-zelenskyy-peace-talks-nato-live-updates-12541713?", "h... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2327 |
<p>The SPD-led German government faces a number of challenges in 2022, including lifting COVID restrictions, the war in Ukraine, and various domestic matters (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2021/11/08/a-new-coalition-government-will-try-to-find-its-feet-in-germany" target="_blank">Economist</a... | 2022-10-05 | As of 30 September 2022, will the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) rank higher than all other German parties in polling of national parliament voting intention, according to Politico? | 2022-03-25 | [["2022-03-25", 0.35], ["2022-03-25", 0.18], ["2022-03-25", 0.26666666666666666], ["2022-03-25", 0.2825], ["2022-03-25", 0.306], ["2022-03-25", 0.31666666666666665], ["2022-03-25", 0.3], ["2022-03-25", 0.29375], ["2022-03-25", 0.2611111111111111], ["2022-03-26", 0.254], ["2022-03-26", 0.319], ["2022-03-26", 0.378], ["2... | ["https://www.tagesschau.de/multimedia/bilder/uvotealbum-1405.html", "http://www.deepl.com/Translator", "https://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/olaf-scholz-and-ukraine-why-has-germany-been-so-slow-to-deliver-weapons-a-7cc8397b-2448-49e6-afa5-00311c8fedce", "https://www.tagesschau.de/thema/saarland/", "https://de.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2253 |
<p>War and drought have left millions in Afghanistan facing potential famine (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/15/famine-new-battleground-for-displaced-afghans-a-photo-essay" target="_blank">Guardian</a>, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/famine-looms-afghanistan-leaving-millions-hung... | 2023-01-01 | Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Afghanistan in 2022? | 2022-01-28 | [["2022-01-28", 0.55], ["2022-01-28", 0.505], ["2022-01-29", 0.562], ["2022-01-29", 0.5457142857142857], ["2022-01-29", 0.49], ["2022-01-29", 0.371], ["2022-01-29", 0.355], ["2022-01-29", 0.401], ["2022-01-29", 0.405], ["2022-01-29", 0.45], ["2022-01-30", 0.445], ["2022-01-30", 0.415], ["2022-01-30", 0.364], ["2022-01-... | ["https://www.wfp.org/publications/hunger-hotspots-fao-wfp-early-warnings-acute-food-insecurity-june-september-2022", "https://www.fao.org/3/cc2134en/cc2134en.pdf", "https://latestnews.fresherslive.com/articles/severe-drought-displaces-over-11-mn-somalis-un-1065536", "https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/anti-governm... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-03-17 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2307 |
<p>The outcome will be determined using Freddie Mac 30-year fixed rate mortgage average data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (<a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US" target="_blank">FRED</a>).</p><p></p><p></p><p style="line-height:1;"><span style="font-size:10.5... | 2022-03-17 | Between 10 March 2022 and 29 April 2022, will the average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in the US be higher than 4.15%? | 2022-03-09 | [["2022-03-15", 1.0], ["2022-03-15", 0.75], ["2022-03-15", 0.5], ["2022-03-15", 0.525], ["2022-03-15", 0.5], ["2022-03-15", 0.455], ["2022-03-15", 0.41], ["2022-03-15", 0.39], ["2022-03-15", 0.4], ["2022-03-15", 0.4], ["2022-03-15", 0.4], ["2022-03-15", 0.4], ["2022-03-15", 0.4], ["2022-03-15", 0.4], ["2022-03-15", 0.4... | ["https://www.wsj.com/articles/mortgage-rates-top-4-for-the-first-time-since-2019-11647525619", "https://www.cnet.com/personal-finance/mortgages/here-are-mortgage-rates-for-mar-17-2022-rates-trend-upward/"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1577 |
<p><span style="font-size: 14.6667px;">General Motors' subsidiary Cruise Automation had announced intentions to launch a ride-hailing service somewhere in the U.S. in 2019; however, the service was still under development at the beginning of 2020 (<a href="https://gmauthority.com/blog/2018/09/for-a-self-driving-c... | 2021-01-01 | Before 1 January 2021, will Cruise Automation launch a commercial ride-hailing service open to the public in the U.S. which uses autonomous vehicles? | 2020-04-02 | [["2020-04-02", 0.1], ["2020-04-02", 0.075], ["2020-04-02", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.04], ["2020-04-03", 0.04], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-03", 0.05], ["2020-04-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-08-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2817 |
<p>Mass protests have erupted across Israel for weeks as the government seeks to amend its quasi-constitutional Basic Law regarding the judiciary to, among other things, give the government more influence on the selection of judges in the country (<a href="https://www.voanews.com/a/uproar-over-israeli-judicial-ch... | 2023-08-01 | Before 1 August 2023, will the Israeli Knesset pass an amendment to the "Basic Law: The Judiciary" amending the composition of the country's Committee for the Selection of Judges? | 2023-03-30 | [["2023-03-31", 1.0], ["2023-03-31", 0.545], ["2023-03-31", 0.5967], ["2023-03-31", 0.53], ["2023-03-31", 0.494], ["2023-03-31", 0.495], ["2023-03-31", 0.4729], ["2023-04-01", 0.4763], ["2023-04-01", 0.4422], ["2023-04-01", 0.398], ["2023-04-01", 0.3936], ["2023-04-01", 0.4442], ["2023-04-01", 0.45], ["2023-04-02", 0.4... | ["https://globalnews.ca/news/9851722/israels-parliament-starts-vote-on-judicial-overhaul-as-protests-erupt/", "https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-752719", "https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20230618-israel-s-netanyahu-says-divisive-judicial-reforms-will-move-ahead-this-week", "https://www.aljazeera.com/n... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-09-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1896 |
<p>The economic impacts of COVID-19 have seen an increase in loan default rates, but when the default cycle will peak remains unknown (<a href="https://www.economist.com/the-world-ahead/2020/11/17/corporate-defaults-will-be-surprisingly-few" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.spglobal.com/m... | 2021-09-01 | Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021? | 2021-01-07 | [["2021-01-08", 1.0], ["2021-01-08", 0.75], ["2021-01-08", 0.5], ["2021-01-08", 0.745], ["2021-01-08", 0.95], ["2021-01-08", 0.9], ["2021-01-08", 0.96], ["2021-01-08", 0.95], ["2021-01-08", 0.85], ["2021-01-08", 0.95], ["2021-01-08", 0.85], ["2021-01-09", 0.75], ["2021-01-09", 0.85], ["2021-01-09", 0.915], ["2021-01-09... | ["https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/2021-us-loan-default-rate-in-line-with-2020-hy-trending-lower-13-01-2021", "https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/pages/toc-primer/lcd-primer#sec24", "https://news.bloomberglaw.com/bankruptcy-law/u-s-leveraged-loan-default-rate-expected-to-fall-further"... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-07-16 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2043 |
<p>Oil prices have risen considerably in 2021 (<a href="https://www.businesstoday.in/markets/commodities/oil-prices-hold-near-multi-year-highs-amid-demand-recovery-brent-reaches-7283-per-barrel/story/441574.html" target="_blank">Business Today</a>). The outcome will be determined by the closing price per ba... | 2021-07-19 | Will the closing price of Brent crude oil be higher on 16 July 2021 than it was on 16 June 2021? | 2021-06-17 | [["2021-06-17", 0.01], ["2021-06-18", 0.005], ["2021-06-18", 0.01], ["2021-06-18", 0.225], ["2021-06-18", 0.23], ["2021-06-18", 0.23], ["2021-06-18", 0.41], ["2021-06-18", 0.21], ["2021-06-18", 0.4], ["2021-06-18", 0.405], ["2021-06-18", 0.4], ["2021-06-18", 0.405], ["2021-06-18", 0.4], ["2021-06-18", 0.325], ["2021-06... | ["https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-climb-strong-fuel-190000118.html", "https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/bz%3Anmx", "https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Oil-Slips-On-Prospect-Of-Rising-OPEC-Supply.html", "https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-prices-climb-second-day-after-us-stockpile... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
False | None | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2902 | <p>The push in Scotland for independence from the United Kingdom continues, with early Scottish Parliament elections suggested as a means toward that end by the independence-minded Scottish National Party (<a href="https://uk.news.yahoo.com/snps-independence-minister-asks-gordon-050000093.html" target="_blank">Yahoo UK... | None | Before 1 July 2024, will the Scottish Parliament vote in the affirmative for early elections? | 2023-06-02 | [["2023-06-02", 1.0], ["2023-06-02", 0.84], ["2023-06-02", 0.8933], ["2023-06-03", 0.92], ["2023-06-03", 0.756], ["2023-06-03", 0.6383], ["2023-06-03", 0.59], ["2023-06-03", 0.6225], ["2023-06-04", 0.5644], ["2023-06-05", 0.538], ["2023-06-05", 0.517], ["2023-06-05", 0.47], ["2023-06-08", 0.394], ["2023-06-09", 0.351],... | ["https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-63727562", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election#Background", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_Parliament#Elections", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Scottish_Parliament_election", "https://www.bbc.... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | Not resolved. |
True | 2023-10-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2755 |
<p>Recorded global surface temperatures have risen steadily over the past decades (<a href="https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150828/2022-tied-for-fifth-warmest-year-on-record" target="_blank">NASA Earth Observatory</a>). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2023 if still open and the outcome det... | 2023-10-13 | Will monthly global land and sea temperature anomalies reach or exceed 1.4°C before October 2023, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)? | 2023-02-03 | [["2023-02-03", 0.01], ["2023-02-03", 0.015], ["2023-02-03", 0.01], ["2023-02-03", 0.0175], ["2023-02-03", 0.014], ["2023-02-03", 0.0117], ["2023-02-03", 0.0114], ["2023-02-03", 0.135], ["2023-02-03", 0.1211], ["2023-02-04", 0.209], ["2023-02-04", 0.208], ["2023-02-04", 0.1891], ["2023-02-04", 0.1733], ["2023-02-04", 0... | ["https://www.remss.com/research/climate/#Atmospheric-Temperature", "https://apple.news/AnMf8W5d7Q6axesAZSB3mDQ", "https://www.yourweather.co.uk/news/trending/alert-latest-el-nino-forecast-announces-intense-event-meteorology-weather-climate.html", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_Without_a_Summer#Effects", "https://... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-12-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2682 |
<p>Elon Musk, Tesla's CEO, has been under pressure as his time has been divided among other ventures, including Twitter (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/19/business/tesla-stock-downgrade/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/13/tesla-stock-down-28percent-since-elon-... | 2023-12-15 | Before 15 December 2023, will Tesla announce that Elon Musk has ceased or will cease to be the company's sole CEO? | 2022-12-23 | [["2022-12-23", 0.025], ["2022-12-23", 0.075], ["2022-12-23", 0.1917], ["2022-12-23", 0.19], ["2022-12-23", 0.2189], ["2022-12-23", 0.317], ["2022-12-24", 0.32], ["2022-12-24", 0.3038], ["2022-12-24", 0.2821], ["2022-12-24", 0.3127], ["2022-12-24", 0.2575], ["2022-12-24", 0.2361], ["2022-12-24", 0.2342], ["2022-12-24",... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eike_Batista#Financial_losses", "https://www.cnbc.com/video/2023/11/16/elon-musks-behavior-and-damage-to-tesla-brand-is-absolutely-outrageous-says-investor-ross-gerber.html", "https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/20/tech/tesla-elon-musk-suspension/index.html", "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/tesla-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-12-28 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1859 |
<p>In response to the economic consequences from the COVID-19 pandemic, policymakers have made efforts to stimulate the American economy (<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/27/house-passes-2-trillion-coronavirus-stimulus-bill-sends-it-to-trump.html,%20https://www.crfb.org/blogs/covid-money-tracker-policies-ena... | 2021-01-01 | Will a piece of federal legislation providing for $250 billion or more of new fiscal stimulus become law in the U.S. before 1 January 2021? | 2020-12-09 | [["2020-12-09", 0.5], ["2020-12-09", 0.25], ["2020-12-09", 0.01], ["2020-12-09", 0.17], ["2020-12-09", 0.33], ["2020-12-09", 0.225], ["2020-12-09", 0.33], ["2020-12-09", 0.225], ["2020-12-09", 0.33], ["2020-12-10", 0.415], ["2020-12-10", 0.33], ["2020-12-10", 0.27], ["2020-12-10", 0.27], ["2020-12-10", 0.21], ["2020-12... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/31/opinion/trumps-united-american-emirate.html", "https://mobile.twitter.com/burgessev/status/1343360876162805766", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1206861", "https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-12-27/larry-summers-trump-pelosi-2-000-stimulus-checks-are-a-mistake?sref=htOH... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2021-12-09 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2172 |
<p>In recent decades, many countries have ceased to recognize the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan, in favor of recognition of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) (<a href="https://www.newsweek.com/who-recognizes-taiwan-two-change-china-1460559" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>). A handful of countr... | 2021-12-14 | Before 1 January 2023, will a Latin American or Caribbean nation cease to formally recognize Taiwan? | 2021-10-27 | [["2021-10-29", 0.14], ["2021-10-29", 0.07], ["2021-10-29", 0.14], ["2021-10-29", 0.195], ["2021-10-30", 0.25], ["2021-10-30", 0.255], ["2021-10-30", 0.25], ["2021-10-30", 0.195], ["2021-10-31", 0.14], ["2021-10-31", 0.095], ["2021-10-31", 0.14], ["2021-10-31", 0.195], ["2021-11-01", 0.15], ["2021-11-01", 0.15], ["2021... | ["https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4359445", "https://www.taiwanembassy.org/hn/index.html", "https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/4333767", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1362236", "https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/united-states-china-tussle-over-honduras-it-weighs-taiwan-ties-2021-11-26/", "https://... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2023-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2176 |
<p>China's only military base in Africa is in the country of Djibouti, but it is looking at possible bases in other African countries (<a href="https://thediplomat.com/2015/11/us-general-china-has-10-year-contract-for-first-overseas-military-base/" target="_blank">Diplomat</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/article... | 2023-01-01 | Before 1 January 2023, will China and/or a host country officially announce an agreement for the establishment of a Chinese military base in an African country besides Djibouti? | 2021-10-28 | [["2021-10-29", 0.25], ["2021-10-30", 0.165], ["2021-10-30", 0.12666666666666668], ["2021-10-30", 0.0975], ["2021-10-30", 0.078], ["2021-10-30", 0.10666666666666667], ["2021-10-30", 0.12], ["2021-10-31", 0.20625], ["2021-10-31", 0.18333333333333332], ["2021-10-31", 0.18], ["2021-10-31", 0.156], ["2021-10-31", 0.151], [... | ["https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-03-25/australia-pm-reacts-china-solomon-islands-draft-military/100938958", "https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/", "https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/china-seeks-atlantic-ocean-military-base/", "https://www.stripes.com/theaters/africa/2021-12-06/china-military-guinea-djibouti-africom-387... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-08-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2768 |
<p>On 31 January 2023, six of the seven states (California didn't participate) that share the Colorado River Basin submitted a proposal to cut back on water usage from the river to help ensure that minimum levels in reservoirs on the river are maintained (<a href="https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2023/01/31/... | 2023-08-01 | Will all seven states that share the Colorado River Basin sign a proposal to the Bureau of Reclamation agreeing on Colorado River water usage cuts before 1 August 2023? | 2023-02-17 | [["2023-02-17", 0.7], ["2023-02-17", 0.42], ["2023-02-17", 0.28], ["2023-02-18", 0.3475], ["2023-02-18", 0.458], ["2023-02-18", 0.42], ["2023-02-18", 0.36], ["2023-02-18", 0.315], ["2023-02-18", 0.3211], ["2023-02-18", 0.309], ["2023-02-18", 0.29], ["2023-02-18", 0.29], ["2023-02-18", 0.2758], ["2023-02-18", 0.2623], [... | ["https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/31/us/california-water-proposal-colorado-river-climate/index.html", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L9zFTsFFcWc", "https://www.cnn.com/2023/04/11/us/colorado-river-water-cuts-federal-analysis-climate/index.html", "https://thehill.com/policy/equilibrium-sustainability/3938291-biden-adminis... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-05-09 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2784 |
<p>The question will be suspended on 9 May 2023 and the outcome determined using data for February 2023 and April 2023 as reported when April 2023 data are first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), expected in May 2023 (<a href="https://www.bls.gov/cpi/data.htm" target="_blank">BLS</a>). To retriev... | 2023-05-10 | Will the unadjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) value for coffee in April 2023 be higher than it was in February 2023? | 2023-03-06 | [["2023-03-08", 1.0], ["2023-03-08", 1.0], ["2023-03-08", 0.9267], ["2023-03-08", 0.845], ["2023-03-08", 0.676], ["2023-03-09", 0.68], ["2023-03-09", 0.6771], ["2023-03-09", 0.6975], ["2023-03-09", 0.6867], ["2023-03-10", 0.697], ["2023-03-10", 0.7245], ["2023-03-10", 0.7042], ["2023-03-10", 0.7192], ["2023-03-11", 0.7... | ["https://www.euromonitor.com/article/an-outlook-for-retail-prices-of-coffee-and-tea-for-2023", "https://www.theice.com/products/15/Coffee-C-Futures", "https://icocoffee.org/documents/I-CIP.pdf", "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/cpi.pdf", "https://intelligence.coffee/2023/01/coffee-prices-falling-2023/", "https://... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-11-08 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2512 |
<p>Amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, the US is reportedly negotiating for the release of Brittney Griner and other Americans imprisoned in Russia (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/05/europe/griner-russia-prisoner-swap-lavrov-intl-hnk/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics... | 2022-11-08 | Before 8 November 2022, will American basketball player Brittney Griner leave Russia? | 2022-08-11 | [["2022-08-12", 0.5], ["2022-08-12", 0.25], ["2022-08-12", 0.16666666666666666], ["2022-08-12", 0.09333333333333334], ["2022-08-12", 0.3075], ["2022-08-12", 0.252], ["2022-08-12", 0.28], ["2022-08-12", 0.38285714285714284], ["2022-08-12", 0.35], ["2022-08-12", 0.3111111111111111], ["2022-08-12", 0.284], ["2022-08-12", ... | ["https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/25/world/russia-ukraine-war-news", "https://www.golosameriki.com/a/biden-griner-developments/6786699.html", "https://apnews.com/article/brittney-griner-sports-phoenix-mercury-government-and-politics-e9eb8fbe921f4784fe146becaae05c47)?", "https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/16/politics/joe-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2688 |
<p>China and the GCC began negotiations for a free trade agreement in 2005, and seeking an agreement was discussed on President Xi Jinping's December 2022 visit to Saudi Arabia (<a href="http://fta.mofcom.gov.cn/enarticle/engcc/engccnews/200911/1638_1.html" target="_blank">China Ministry of Commerce</a>, <a... | 2024-01-01 | Before 1 January 2024, will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed? | 2022-12-30 | [["2022-12-30", 1.0], ["2022-12-30", 0.95], ["2022-12-30", 0.6467], ["2022-12-31", 0.735], ["2022-12-31", 0.788], ["2022-12-31", 0.6817], ["2022-12-31", 0.5986], ["2022-12-31", 0.6488], ["2022-12-31", 0.5767], ["2022-12-31", 0.5767], ["2023-01-01", 0.519], ["2023-01-01", 0.5118], ["2023-01-01", 0.5118], ["2023-01-01", ... | ["https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/apr/03/oil-price-surges-after-surprise-opec-production-cut", "https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2023/03/china-settles-first-lng-trade-yuan-uae-deal", "http://melbourne.china-consulate.gov.cn/eng/zyxw/202304/t20230410_11056812.htm", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabi... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2020-12-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1783 |
<p>In recent decades, many countries have ceased to recognize the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan, in favor of recognition of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). A handful of countries continue to recognize the ROC (<a href="https://www.mofa.gov.tw/en/AlliesIndex.aspx?n=DF6F8F246049F8D6&sm... | 2020-12-01 | Between 15 September 2020 and 30 November 2020, will a country cease to formally recognize Taiwan? | 2020-09-14 | [["2020-09-15", 0.5], ["2020-09-15", 0.495], ["2020-09-15", 0.5], ["2020-09-15", 0.5], ["2020-09-15", 0.5], ["2020-09-15", 0.495], ["2020-09-15", 0.49], ["2020-09-15", 0.495], ["2020-09-15", 0.495], ["2020-09-15", 0.49], ["2020-09-15", 0.37], ["2020-09-15", 0.215], ["2020-09-15", 0.175], ["2020-09-15", 0.125], ["2020-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-04-04 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2780 |
<p>Mayor Lori Lightfoot failed to reach the top two in Chicago's general election on 28 February 2023, leaving Chicago voters with the choice between Paul Vallas and Brandon Johnson for the office (<a href="https://www.nbcchicago.com/chicago-mayoral-election-2023/what-to-know-about-chicago-mayors-race-runoff-elec... | 2023-04-05 | Will Paul Vallas win Chicago's 2023 mayoral election runoff? | 2023-03-03 | [["2023-03-03", 0.8], ["2023-03-03", 0.875], ["2023-03-03", 0.8], ["2023-03-04", 0.6], ["2023-03-04", 0.61], ["2023-03-04", 0.675], ["2023-03-04", 0.6143], ["2023-03-04", 0.6113], ["2023-03-04", 0.5956], ["2023-03-05", 0.5933], ["2023-03-05", 0.604], ["2023-03-05", 0.544], ["2023-03-05", 0.574], ["2023-03-05", 0.5627],... | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Dog_Coalition", "https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000186-c94c-db60-a3bf-e9fc3ed20000&nname=illinois-playbook&nid=00000150-1596-d4ac-a1d4-179e288b0000&nrid=126646a2-268b-4f58-9d0c-9ecd7c409430&nlid=639163", "https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/victor... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-08-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2842 |
<p>Russia seized and annexed Crimea in 2014, but Ukraine may seek to regain the territory as war continues in the country (<a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/inside-crimea-russian-military-annexed-ukraine-retake-putin-rcna72606" target="_blank">NBC News</a>, <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/magazin... | 2023-08-01 | Will any territory in Crimea that was Russian-controlled before 24 February 2022 cease to be under "Assessed Russian Control" before 1 August 2023, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW)? | 2023-04-12 | [["2023-04-12", 0.0], ["2023-04-12", 0.05], ["2023-04-12", 0.0833], ["2023-04-12", 0.3025], ["2023-04-12", 0.285], ["2023-04-12", 0.248], ["2023-04-12", 0.2083], ["2023-04-12", 0.18], ["2023-04-12", 0.1575], ["2023-04-12", 0.14], ["2023-04-12", 0.126], ["2023-04-12", 0.1145], ["2023-04-12", 0.1067], ["2023-04-12", 0.10... | ["https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2023/06/putin-russian-coup-over-prigozhin-wagner/674522/", "https://reader.foreignaffairs.com/2023/04/13/the-west-needs-a-new-strategy-in-ukraine/content.html", "https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-10-2023", "https... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-06-14 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2015 |
<p>Milk prices have been on the rise in 2021 (<a href="https://www.ruralnewsgroup.co.nz/dairy-news/dairy-general-news/bnz-predicts-7-80-opening-forecast-milk-price" target="_blank">Rural News Group</a>). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Global Dairy Trade, which posts new price data every ... | 2021-06-15 | Will the average price of whole milk powder as of 15 June 2021 be higher than it was as of 18 May 2021? | 2021-05-21 | [["2021-05-21", 0.0], ["2021-05-21", 0.125], ["2021-05-21", 0.25], ["2021-05-21", 0.325], ["2021-05-21", 0.4], ["2021-05-21", 0.5], ["2021-05-21", 0.4], ["2021-05-21", 0.5], ["2021-05-21", 0.6], ["2021-05-21", 0.75], ["2021-05-21", 0.6], ["2021-05-21", 0.75], ["2021-05-22", 0.9], ["2021-05-22", 0.85], ["2021-05-22", 0.... | ["https://www.globaldairytrade.info/en/product-results/whole-milk-powder/", "https://ec.europa.eu/info/sites/default/files/food-farming-fisheries/farming/documents/world-gdt-auction-results_en.pdf", "https://www.nzx.com/markets/nzx-dairy-derivatives/quotes/futures/BTR", "https://www.cmegroup.com/apps/cmegroup/widgets/p... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2024-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2637 |
<p>The question will be suspended on 31 December 2023 if still open and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Statistics Canada (<a href="https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1410028702&pickMembers%5B0%5D=1.11&pickMembers%5B1%5D=3.1&cubeTimeFrame.startMonth=10&cub... | 2024-01-05 | Between November 2022 and December 2023, will workers 15 to 24 years old who are in the labour force of British Columbia (BC) comprise more than 14.6% of the total BC labour force in any month? | 2022-11-23 | [["2022-11-25", 0.9], ["2022-11-26", 0.95], ["2022-11-27", 0.9], ["2022-11-27", 0.88], ["2022-11-27", 0.904], ["2022-11-29", 0.9033], ["2022-11-30", 0.7743], ["2022-11-30", 0.8814], ["2022-11-30", 0.8213], ["2022-12-01", 0.8411], ["2022-12-02", 0.857], ["2022-12-05", 0.847], ["2022-12-06", 0.811], ["2022-12-11", 0.831]... | ["https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rhBYnyCNaA9Qb6jsL4PmUmBK_oo99gxYAUmlCKNX8jk/edit?usp=sharing", "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rhBYnyCNaA9Qb6jsL4PmUmBK_oo99gxYAUmlCKNX8jk/edit#gid=495427886", "https://royal-bank-of-canada-2124.docs.contently.com/v/hot-provincial-momentum-to-lose-steam1"] | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-03-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2666 |
<p>October 2022 saw the third consecutive month of declines in Android device users on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and Snapchat (<a href="https://nonrival.substack.com/p/is-the-social-media-era-really-ending" target="_blank">Nonrival</a>, see first chart). The question will be suspended on 28 February 202... | 2023-05-02 | Will the combined daily Android users of Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and Snapchat exceed 1.74 billion in February 2023? | 2022-12-09 | [["2022-12-09", 0.72], ["2022-12-09", 0.575], ["2022-12-09", 0.4667], ["2022-12-09", 0.425], ["2022-12-09", 0.34], ["2022-12-09", 0.3867], ["2022-12-10", 0.4543], ["2022-12-10", 0.4075], ["2022-12-10", 0.4722], ["2022-12-10", 0.475], ["2022-12-10", 0.4864], ["2022-12-10", 0.4891], ["2022-12-10", 0.5117], ["2022-12-10",... | ["https://www.demandsage.com/tiktok-user-statistics/", "https://www.businessofapps.com/data/facebook-statistics/", "https://www.bankmycell.com/blog/how-many-users-does-twitter-have", "https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/31/technology/snap-earnings.html", "https://www.demandsage.com/snapchat-users/", "https://investor.fb.co... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-08-15 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1489 |
<p>Félix Tshisekedi was inaugurated in January 2020 amid claims of election rigging and a secret power-sharing deal with outgoing President Kabila (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17368/edition2020instability-top-congo" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.theafricareport.com/21469/d... | 2020-08-16 | Will Félix Tshisekedi cease to be president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before 15 August 2020? | 2020-01-16 | [["2020-01-17", 0.175], ["2020-01-17", 0.25], ["2020-01-18", 0.25], ["2020-01-18", 0.25], ["2020-01-18", 0.16], ["2020-01-18", 0.13], ["2020-01-19", 0.125], ["2020-01-19", 0.09], ["2020-01-19", 0.09], ["2020-01-19", 0.09], ["2020-01-19", 0.125], ["2020-01-19", 0.15], ["2020-01-19", 0.15], ["2020-01-19", 0.15], ["2020-0... | {} | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-02-27 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2716 |
<p>The question will be suspended on 26 February 2023 and the outcome determined using data as displayed on Twitter at approximately 11:59PM in the UK on 27 February 2023 (6:59PM ET). An example of a qualifying tweet may be found here: <a href="https://twitter.com/theRCN/status/16095955287775313... | 2023-03-01 | On 27 February 2023, will the combined number of likes and retweets of the most recent @theRCN tweet as of 14 February 2023 (UK time) that contains the hashtag #FairPayforNursing exceed 4,000? | 2023-01-16 | [["2023-01-16", 0.08], ["2023-01-16", 0.1], ["2023-01-16", 0.06], ["2023-01-16", 0.0667], ["2023-01-17", 0.0633], ["2023-01-17", 0.0475], ["2023-01-17", 0.046], ["2023-01-17", 0.042], ["2023-01-17", 0.04], ["2023-01-17", 0.0343], ["2023-01-17", 0.03], ["2023-01-17", 0.0263], ["2023-01-17", 0.1344], ["2023-01-17", 0.123... | ["https://github.com/nikhilverma360/TwitterEngagementBot", "https://twitter.com/theRCN/status/1609595528777531399", "https://www.policycenter.ma/sites/default/files/PP_20-28_Badaoui.pdf", "https://twitter.com/theRCN/status/1625570764962336772?t=baS_4cjFEkISDVHWXj3ktQ&s=19", "https://twitter.com/SocialistNHS/status/... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2023-06-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2778 |
<p>SpaceX is looking to launch its first orbital flight test as soon as March 2023, though it is waiting for a license from the Federal Aviation Administration (<a href="https://www.teslarati.com/spacex-starship-orbital-launch-debut-faa-license-progress/" target="_blank">Teslarati</a>, <a href="https://www.cnet.c... | 2023-06-01 | Will SpaceX's first Starship orbital flight test be launched successfully before 1 June 2023? | 2023-03-03 | [["2023-03-03", 0.6], ["2023-03-03", 0.72], ["2023-03-03", 0.7633], ["2023-03-03", 0.7975], ["2023-03-03", 0.77], ["2023-03-04", 0.7533], ["2023-03-04", 0.7886], ["2023-03-04", 0.79], ["2023-03-04", 0.8133], ["2023-03-04", 0.812], ["2023-03-04", 0.7982], ["2023-03-04", 0.7858], ["2023-03-04", 0.7262], ["2023-03-04", 0.... | ["https://www.space.com/starship-success-odds-first-orbital-flight-elon-musk", "https://us.cnn.com/2023/04/14/world/spacex-starship-launch-license-scn/index.html", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/elon-musk-lowers-expectations-for-spacexs-first-starship-launch-attempt-65502704", "https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-firs... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2021-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1827 |
<p>As Turkey continues to survey the Eastern Mediterranean for oil and gas over the strenuous objections of Greece and Cyprus, the European Union is considering a "less positive" response to Turkish actions -- though there are divisions among member states (<a href="https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/... | 2021-01-02 | Before 1 January 2021, will the Council of the European Union decide to impose an arms embargo against Turkey? | 2020-11-06 | [["2020-11-06", 0.16], ["2020-11-06", 0.08], ["2020-11-06", 0.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.0], ["2020-11-06", 0.01], ["2020-11-07", 0.0], ["2020-11-07", 0.0], ["2020-11-07", 0.0], ["2020-11-07", 0.01], ["2020-11-07", 0.01],... | ["https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/12/9/erdogan-threat-of-eu-sanctions-on-turkey-do-not-concern-us", "https://www.reuters.com/article/turkey-eu/eu-weighs-up-sanctions-against-turkey-in-east-med-gas-dispute-idUSKBN28H0YM", "https://bit.ly/33UVqLo", "https://www.politico.eu/article/greece-blasts-berlin-for-shunning-pl... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
True | 2022-01-01 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/2002 |
<p>In 2020, print book sales in the US were at their highest in a decade, rising 8.2% year over year (<a href="https://publishingperspectives.com/2021/01/npd-2020-was-the-us-markets-bestselling-year-for-print-in-a-decade-covid19/" target="_blank">Publishing Perspectives</a>, <a href="https://www.publishersweekly.... | 2022-01-07 | Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020? | 2021-05-06 | [["2021-05-07", 0.005], ["2021-05-07", 0.01], ["2021-05-07", 0.055], ["2021-05-07", 0.25], ["2021-05-07", 0.325], ["2021-05-07", 0.4], ["2021-05-08", 0.3], ["2021-05-08", 0.275], ["2021-05-08", 0.2], ["2021-05-08", 0.14], ["2021-05-08", 0.13], ["2021-05-08", 0.14], ["2021-05-08", 0.13], ["2021-05-08", 0.14], ["2021-05-... | ["https://www.publishersweekly.com/pw/by-topic/industry-news/bookselling/article/87633-fiction-drove-small-gain-in-print-book-sales-last-week.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1292847", "https://gcaptain.com/shipping-delays-throw-book-industry-nail-biting-chaos/?subscriber=true&goal=0_f50174ef03-67415303d8-17... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 1.0 |
True | 2020-12-31 | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1632 |
<p>Apple has been involved in projects with vehicles in recent years, initially focused on electric vehicles and increasingly on autonomous vehicles (<a href="https://www.macrumors.com/roundup/apple-car/" target="_blank">MacRumors</a>, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-apple-autonomous/apple-buys-self-d... | 2021-01-01 | Before 1 January 2021, will Apple officially announce a ridesharing partnership with a major automaker? | 2020-05-22 | [["2020-05-22", 0.25], ["2020-05-22", 0.4], ["2020-05-22", 0.5], ["2020-05-22", 0.525], ["2020-05-22", 0.5], ["2020-05-22", 0.375], ["2020-05-22", 0.25], ["2020-05-22", 0.235], ["2020-05-22", 0.25], ["2020-05-23", 0.235], ["2020-05-23", 0.235], ["2020-05-23", 0.21], ["2020-05-23", 0.21], ["2020-05-23", 0.21], ["2020-05... | ["https://martechseries.com/mobile/mobile-marketing/appsflyer-launches-first-global-attribution-solution-apples-app-clips/", "https://www.foxbusiness.com/technology/apple-announces-ambitious-plan-to-produce-electric-cars-by-2024-report", "https://www.techradar.com/in/news/the-apple-car-isnt-just-alive-it-may-launch-as-... | binary | Not applicable/available for this question. | gjopen | 0.0 |
Subsets and Splits
Filtered and Sorted Resolved Cases
This query filters and displays detailed information about unresolved issues that were resolved after December 31, 2023, with various fields being non-null, and sorts them by their resolution date in descending order.