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Will Trump be required to wear an ankle monitor & do it? [Before 2025]
0.21
Manifold
Will a Democrat win Alaska in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.17
Manifold
Will a Republican win Maine in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.1
Manifold
Will a Democrat win Iowa in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.27
Manifold
Will a Democrat win Ohio in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.23
Manifold
Will a Democrat win Maine's second district in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.45
Manifold
Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.24
Manifold
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.23
Manifold
Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election?
0.62
Manifold
Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd district in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.33
Manifold
Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 Republican National Convention?
0.62
Manifold
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.22
Manifold
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.18
Manifold
Will Cornel West receive >= 0.1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
0.4
Manifold
Will a Republican win Michigan in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.37
Manifold
Will a Republican win Nevada in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.44
Manifold
Will a Democrat win North Carolina in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.43
Manifold
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.32
Manifold
Will a Republican win Wisconsin in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.45
Manifold
Will a Republican win Arizona in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.48
Manifold
Will a Republican win Georgia in the 2024 POTUS election?
0.47
Manifold
Will $1mn USD worth of funds be lost as a result of fraud committed by Bitfinex? (Before 2030)
0.41
Manifold
Will the Netherlands foreign aid spend in 2024 be >0.5% GNI?
0.4
Manifold
Will the median home value in travis county be more than 750,000 USD in Q3 2029?
0.5
Manifold
Will the median home value in travis county be more than 350,000 USD in Q3 2029?
0.59
Manifold
Will the median home value in travis county be more than 500,000 USD in Q3 2029?
0.55
Manifold
Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?
0.72
Manifold
Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,500,000 USD in Q3 2029?
0.8
Manifold
Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?
0.87
Manifold
Will destiny talk to AOC before June 10th 2024?
0.25
Manifold
Technological telepathy practically achieved by 2050
0.42
Manifold
The majority of my markets regarding quantum technology would resolve yes if all resolved by 2200.
0.5
Manifold
Quantum computer based in organic chemistry is created by 2050
0.32
Manifold
Will there be a lab-grown hair transplant by 2030?
0.57
Manifold
How many states will flip in the 2024 election?
0.34
Manifold
Will the 2024 election be closer than 2020?
0.5
Manifold
Will oil cost more than $100/barrel before 2030?
0.75
Manifold
Will AMZN reach $150 by any point by 2024?
0.6
Manifold
AI to help design validation systems based on personal blockchains by 2050
0.69
Manifold
AI to assist in designing "Enlightment guides" by 2100.
0.8
Manifold
Quantum Breakthrough before 2050
0.8
Manifold
Ansible Device to rely on quantum properties with alloys made from exotic elements heavier than 100 before 2100
0.33
Manifold
AI helps design practical real life "Ansible" device(faster than light communication) before 2050
0.3
Manifold
Trump's trove of mishandled classified documents disclosed to have information on UFOs by 2040
0.4
Manifold
AI plays large role in determining how to mix heavy elements into alloys to take advantage of quantum properties by 2030
0.68
Manifold
JFK assassination linked to Aliens before 2040
0.07
Manifold
Will my roommate see someone using an Apple AR Headset in a public cafe before 2025?
0.73
Manifold
Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?
0.68
Manifold
Will Worldcoin report a billion user signups before 2026
0.09
Manifold
Any country will/have launched a nuke and non-human intelligence will or have disabled it by 2030
0.14
Manifold
Will Emad Mostaque (founder of Stability AI) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
0.3
Manifold
Will there be a state of Jefferson by 2030?
0.05
Manifold
Will STF rule against the temporal framework for indigenous lands before 2024?
0.75
Manifold
Will Manifold create an API call to get/read loot box transactions before 2024?
0.41
Manifold
Will Scott Wiener be elected to Congress in 2024?
0.44
Manifold
Will RFK Jr win delegates from New Hampshire in the 2024 Democratic party primary?
0.55
Manifold
Will Google Trends activity for 'AI' be higher on July 1st 2025 then it is today?
0.72
Manifold
Will Tucker Carlson's Google Trend interest be at least 3% any point in July 2024?
0.47
Manifold
Legal requirements around avatar race presentation in the US or EU before 2046
0.41
Manifold
Will Tucker on Twitter episodes in July 2024 average at least 50,000 likes?
0.84
Manifold
Self driving only vehicles available in California before 2044
0.78
Manifold
California requires visible sign of self driving capabilities of cars before 2044
0.66
Manifold
California legally relaxes seat belt laws in response to improved safety through 2043
0.26
Manifold
cantclosevim will turn into a Destiny anti-fan before 2024
0.28
Manifold
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 United States presidential election?
0.02
Manifold
Will Doug Burgum be on the Republican Party's presidential ticket in 2024?
0.04
Manifold
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 9595?
0.42
Manifold
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2525?
0.4
Manifold
Android assistant which can answer repetitive questions for me available free before 2031
0.84
Manifold
Will Andrew Ng start to take AI extinction risk seriously before 2024?
0.66
Manifold
Will the Republican candidate win every county in West Virginia in the 2024 presidential election?
0.44
Manifold
Will the Republican candidate win every county in Oklahoma in the 2024 presidential election?
0.47
Manifold
Will Manifold hit 5,000 active users daily (7d average) in 2024?
0.15
Manifold
Will existential risk from AI be a topic during the 2024 US presidential debates?
0.21
Manifold
Will the dearMoon project launch to the moon in 2024?
0.15
Manifold
Will Apple's VR headset become a mainstream product like video projectors before 2030?
0.25
Manifold
Will Eqypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
0.52
Manifold
Will Eqypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
0.49
Manifold
Will Eqypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
0.44
Manifold
Will Saudi Arabia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
0.58
Manifold
Will Saudi Arabia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
0.49
Manifold
Will Saudi Arabia bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
0.44
Manifold
SillyTavern Forks to create AI companion application by 2025
0.5
Manifold
Neuralink the company to define relationship between thought and quantum thought by 2050
0.17
Manifold
Practical relationship between thought and quantum mechanics found and used by 2050
0.18
Manifold
AI(machine intelligence) found to control Alien greys by 2050
0.59
Manifold
UFO special materials found to be caused because of relativistic quantum chemistry by 2040
0.08
Manifold
Chemicals with unknown properties found to play large role in UFOs by 2050
0.17
Manifold
Alien Greys Proven to be synthetic bio beings by 2030
0.1
Manifold
Quantum material properties affected by brain thought by 2050
0.57
Manifold
Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election?
0.31
Manifold
Will there be more highly competitive states in 2024 than 2020?
0.62
Manifold
Will any state be decided by <0.5% in the 2024 election?
0.74
Manifold
Will the tipping point state in the 2024 election be decided by <1%?
0.38
Manifold
Will any state be decided by <1% in the 2024 election?
0.86
Manifold
Will my SPXL position go to zero before 2040?
0.33
Manifold
Alex Honnold fails to climb safely through 2035
0.59
Manifold
Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
0.35
Manifold
Will there be a version of Apple Vision that costs LESS than $3499 by the time we can order one?
0.2
Manifold
Will Battery Electric cars outsell Internal Combustion Engines in Great Britain before May 2025?
0.19
Manifold