text stringlengths 12 11.8k | prediction float64 0 1 | source stringclasses 5
values |
|---|---|---|
Will scramjets be used in production before 2050? | 0.25 | Manifold |
Will Neymar play a match in Ligue 1 in 2024? | 0.5 | Manifold |
Will Neymar play a match in the English Premier League in 2024? | 0.34 | Manifold |
Will human lives again be saved by a rocket's Launch Escape System before 2025? | 0.14 | Manifold |
Will Jaylen Brown be selected to an All-NBA team before the end of 2030? | 0.83 | Manifold |
Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030? | 0.81 | Manifold |
Will an intercity highspeed / Maglev (>500 km/h) passenger train operate in Europe before 2035? | 0.12 | Manifold |
Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028? | 0.32 | Manifold |
Will there be an orbital collision event creating a large amount (>100) of new debris before 2024? | 0.16 | Manifold |
Will someone in the world engage in stratospheric aerosol injection before the year 2030? | 0.55 | Manifold |
Will the Cyberpunk 2077 DLC: Phantom Liberty be rated positively on steam | 0.83 | Manifold |
Will OCD be curable by 2030? | 0.21 | Manifold |
This Emacs user switches to Vim keybindings before July 2024? | 0.59 | Manifold |
Will Boston Mayor Michelle Wu be reelected in 2025? | 0.76 | Manifold |
Will Russia's frozen state assets be seized before 2026 ? | 0.54 | Manifold |
Will the winner of the 2024 Nevada Democratic presidential primary go on to win the nomination? | 0.81 | Manifold |
Will the winner of the 2024 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary go on to win the nomination? | 0.92 | Manifold |
Will Mitch McConnell still be a senator in 2024? | 0.76 | Manifold |
Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2025? | 0.16 | Manifold |
Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2024? | 0.12 | Manifold |
Will an official Bloodborne port/remake/remaster be released for PC before 2027? | 0.28 | Manifold |
Will Nerissa Ravencroft hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024? | 0.4 | Manifold |
Will Koseki Bijou hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024? | 0.3 | Manifold |
Will Fuwawa and Mococo hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024? | 0.61 | Manifold |
Will Shiori Novella hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024? | 0.31 | Manifold |
Will a human die in orbit before 2025? | 0.11 | Manifold |
Will NVIDIA announce laptop RTX 4070 Ti in 2023? | 0.58 | Manifold |
Will Joe Biden say Eliezer Yudkowsky's name in public before 2024? | 0.04 | Manifold |
Will Ilya Sutskever leave open AI before 2024? | 0.06 | Manifold |
Will there be a federal election in Canada in 2024? | 0.55 | Manifold |
Will a top brand smartphone feature a room temperature superconductor before 2027? | 0.07 | Manifold |
Will Joe Manchin win at least one state in the 2024 Democratic primaries? | 0.08 | Manifold |
Will the winner of the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination? | 0.84 | Manifold |
Will the winner of the 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination? | 0.7 | Manifold |
Will the winner of the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination? | 0.64 | Manifold |
Will the winner of the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses go on to win the nomination? | 0.64 | Manifold |
Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030? | 0.18 | Manifold |
Will Twitter/X be valued at over 100 billion before 2040? | 0.38 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins New Mexico, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.83 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins New Mexico, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.61 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Virginia, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.72 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Virginia, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.65 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Alaska, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.37 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Alaska, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.85 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Maine, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.72 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Maine, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.63 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Iowa, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.38 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Iowa, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.79 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Ohio, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.41 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Ohio, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.83 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins ME-2, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.41 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins ME-2, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.77 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.62 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.71 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins New Hampshire, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.76 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins New Hampshire, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.66 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.89 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.59 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Texas, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.43 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Texas, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.95 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.43 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.93 | Manifold |
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2050? | 0.65 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.73 | Manifold |
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2040? | 0.48 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.77 | Manifold |
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2035? | 0.45 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Nevada, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.63 | Manifold |
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2030? | 0.33 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Nevada, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.71 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins North Carolina, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.41 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins North Carolina, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.86 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Pennsylvania, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.79 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Pennsylvania, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.84 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Georgia, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.55 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Georgia, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.83 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.59 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.78 | Manifold |
If the Republican nominee wins Wisconsin, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.66 | Manifold |
If the Democratic nominee wins Wisconsin, will they win the presidency (2024)? | 0.77 | Manifold |
Will >50% of the tasks in the WebArena benchmark be solved by EOY 2024? | 0.82 | Manifold |
Will someone send me a Managram of 5000 Mana by August 1st? | 0.1 | Manifold |
Will we find or make a wormhole to another observable universe that lets information flow both ways by the end of 2100? | 0.13 | Manifold |
Will the domain qwerztz7319165.audio (completely random and expensive) be registered by August 1st? | 0.04 | Manifold |
Будет ли побит рекорд стоимости BTC по отношению к USDT до 2027 года? | 0.44 | Manifold |
Will @danshipper have > 50k Twitter followers by the end of 2024 | 0.59 | Manifold |
Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2026? | 0.13 | Manifold |
Will Jonas Vinegaard take part in the 2024 Olympic Games in Paris? | 0.56 | Manifold |
By the end of 2028, will either Erling Haaland or Kylian Mbappé have played in an MLS league match? | 0.19 | Manifold |
If the room temp superconductor is real, will the US gov announce aliens before 2024? | 0.04 | Manifold |
How many members will there be in @autogynephilic's Sexology community by 2028? | 0.11 | Manifold |
Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049? | 0.19 | Manifold |
Will Riot's upcoming fighting game Project L have an open beta or be fully released before the end of 2024? | 0.67 | Manifold |
Will a Republican win the popular vote by 2037? | 0.48 | Manifold |
Will Riot's upcoming fighting game Project L have an officially announced name before the end of 2024? | 0.72 | Manifold |
Conditional on a Republican winning the 2024 POTUS election, will they have won the popular vote? | 0.2 | Manifold |
Will an autonomous AI agent become a self-made millionaire by the end of 2024? | 0.14 | Manifold |
Will manchester city will win chanpions league 2024 | 0.27 | Manifold |
Will the Elon Musk tweet "X will become the most valuable brand on Earth. Make my words." hold up before 2026? | 0.04 | Manifold |
Will Joe Rogan quit podcasting before 2030? | 0.17 | Manifold |
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