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Maryland Senate Election Winner United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Maryland US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will re... | 0.75 | Polymarket |
Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman: Who will win? Nic Carter (@nic__carter ) and David Hoffman (@TrustlessState) are scheduled for a Karate Combat fight for May 30, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nic Carter wins the scheduled Karate Combat fight between himself and David Hoffman. Otherwise, this market will reso... | 0.38 | Polymarket |
Florida Senate Election Winner United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Florida US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will ... | 0.13 | Polymarket |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May? This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between March 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
An official ceasefire agreement re... | 0.39 | Polymarket |
Maryland Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Maryland in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has ... | 0.92 | Polymarket |
Ben Shapiro + Candace Owens debate by Friday? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Shapiro and Candace Owens debate by April 12, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The debate must occur after this market's start date (April 5), and can be virtual or in person. The debate merely needs to be c... | 0.14 | Polymarket |
India Election: Modi reelected? The 2024 Indian general election is scheduled to take place between April and May 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Narendra Modi is the next prime minister of India following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An interim/caretaker prime ministership wi... | 0.96 | Polymarket |
Oregon Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Oregon in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ba... | 0.92 | Polymarket |
Tennessee Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Tennessee in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or ha... | 0.08 | Polymarket |
Netanyahu out by June 30? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any length of time between December 27, 2023, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any length of tim... | 0.18 | Polymarket |
US inflation >0.2% from Feb to March 2024? This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from February to March 2024. Inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by the U.S. Bu... | 0.75 | Polymarket |
Box Office: April 5-7 This is a market on how much 'Monkey Man' (2024) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt9214772/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 5 - April 7) are final (i.e. not st... | 0.01 | Polymarket |
Will Trump mention $boden before May? This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly mentions the cryptocurrency $boden by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ‘mention’ includes the following:
-A verbal usage of the word ‘boden’ specifically in reference to the cryp... | 0.02 | Polymarket |
Maryland Senate Democratic Primary Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Trone wins the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maryland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maryland Democratic P... | 0.71 | Polymarket |
Mississippi Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Mississippi in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, o... | 0.08 | Polymarket |
Ohio Senate Election Winner United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Ohio US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will resolve to... | 0.5 | Polymarket |
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Adam Neumann or a company owned by Adam Neumann acquires WeWork before December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an announcement by Adam Neumann or his official representa... | 0.4 | Polymarket |
Trump's worst state on March 19? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arizona Republican primary compared to all March 19 Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Tru... | 0.96 | Polymarket |
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? On Feb 23 a Uniswap proposal to switch its protocol fees was posted to its governance forum, stating if there were no major blockers, an on-chain vote would occur by March 8 (see https://gov.uniswap.org/t/rfc-activate-uniswap-protocol-governance/22936/1).
This market will res... | 0.69 | Polymarket |
How many "Squad" members will lose their primaries? "The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no listed members of "The Squad" l... | 0.26 | Polymarket |
California Senate Primary Margin of Victory This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Garvey wins the 2024 California Senate Primary by between 0% (inclusive) and 2% (inclusive) of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers to the vote ... | 0.01 | Polymarket |
Will ENA hit $2 in April? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethena's token $ENA reaches a price of $2.000 or greater according to Binance's candlestick prices before May 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the 30-min candlestick high price... | 0.28 | Polymarket |
EigenLayer airdrop by April? This market will resolve to "Yes" if EigenLayer launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve thi... | 0.17 | Polymarket |
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? The House Ethics Committee is investigating Matt Gaetz over allegations he paid for sex with women and an underage teenager.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Gaetz is expelled from Congress by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolv... | 0.49 | Polymarket |
Will Biden pardon SBF? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Bankman-Fried (SBF) receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve, for any crime of which he is convicted, by Joseph Biden, before the time the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this mark... | 0.06 | Polymarket |
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill is passed by both the US House and Senate by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, that has the effect of banning use of TikTok under its present ownership (ByteDance) by at least a majority of Americans. Otherwise, this market will res... | 0.04 | Polymarket |
English Premier League Top Scorer This market will resolve to “Yes” if Erling Haaland is the top goalscorer for the 2023/2024 English Premier League season. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If multiple players tie for the most goals scored during the 2023/2024 English Premier League season, this market will... | 0.69 | Polymarket |
Nebraska Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Nebraska in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has ... | 0.08 | Polymarket |
Trump and Biden both win nomination? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Biden wins the Democratic nomination for president of the United States and Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for president of the United States in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
... | 0.87 | Polymarket |
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of South Korea by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be will b... | 0.08 | Polymarket |
2024 NFL Draft: 3rd Pick This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake Maye is taken with the 3rd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consensus o... | 0.39 | Polymarket |
Wisconsin Senate Election Winner United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Wisconsin US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will ... | 0.71 | Polymarket |
Ukraine aid package in April? This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new bill containing at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law in the US between April 1 and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukra... | 0.4 | Polymarket |
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? This market will resolve to "Yes" if dogwifhat (WIF) reaches a price of 5.0000 or greater for the first time according to Binance between March 6, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be ... | 0.47 | Polymarket |
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Meissner effect claimed in the paper https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.00999 is replicated by December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible source... | 0.12 | Polymarket |
Do Kwon extradited before May? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Do Kwon is extradited to any country by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
"Extradited" to a country means Do Kwon must be extradited and physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the country.
The... | 0.19 | Polymarket |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmatio... | 0.08 | Polymarket |
Delaware Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Delaware in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has ... | 0.92 | Polymarket |
South Korea election: Which party wins the most seats? The next legislative elections in South Korea are provisionally scheduled to be held on April 10, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPK (Democratic Party of Korea) controls a greater number of seats in the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea th... | 0.95 | Polymarket |
First FTX bankruptcy payout? This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q2 2024 (between April 1 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resol... | 0.07 | Polymarket |
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump before May? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley explicitly endorses Donald Trump by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Nikki Haley, her social media, and/or her of... | 0.02 | Polymarket |
California Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in California in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or ... | 0.92 | Polymarket |
Trump violates gag order? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the presiding judge in "THE PEOPLE OF THE STATE OF NEW YORK -against- DONALD J. TRUMP" explicitly states that Donald Trump has violated the gag order imposed on him by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the gag ord... | 0.42 | Polymarket |
Biden drops out before May? This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of any extenuating circumstances that p... | 0.01 | Polymarket |
zkSync airdrop by April? This market will resolve to "Yes" if zkSync launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market... | 0.23 | Polymarket |
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama, former First Lady of the United States, announces that she is running for president of the United States of America in 2024 by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For t... | 0.05 | Polymarket |
2024 NFL Draft: 2nd Pick This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is taken with the 2nd pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, however a consens... | 0.04 | Polymarket |
New Mexico Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in New Mexico in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or ... | 0.9 | Polymarket |
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between Feb 28 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This announcement can pertain to a first pur... | 0.41 | Polymarket |
Canada federal election in 2024? The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to be held... | 0.13 | Polymarket |
Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024? This is a market on whether the market capitalization of Ethena's $USDe will surpass that of Circle's $USDC within this market's timeframe, according to CoinGecko. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at htt... | 0.09 | Polymarket |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Taylor Swift is engaged to be married between February 11 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Taylor Swift or her o... | 0.38 | Polymarket |
Pennsylvania Senate Election Winner United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 US Pennsylvania US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this mar... | 0.77 | Polymarket |
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first decision made by the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit results in the reduction of the damages awarded to E. Jean Carroll, totaling $83.3 million in her defamation lawsuit against Donald J. Trump, “E. Jean Carroll... | 0.13 | Polymarket |
How many Jobs added in April? Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 303,000 in March 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 150,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April, scheduled to be released on May 3, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. ... | 0.11 | Polymarket |
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this mar... | 0.52 | Polymarket |
Mexico Presidential Election Winner The 2024 Mexican presidential election is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2024.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum wins. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market w... | 0.94 | Polymarket |
Aave removes DAI as collateral before June? This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Aave governance proposal with the effect of eliminating DAI's collateral status (i.e. 0% LTV) within the ecosystem passes by May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for thi... | 0.03 | Polymarket |
South Carolina Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in South Carolina in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nomi... | 0.08 | Polymarket |
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces he's running to be on the Libertarian Party ticket (as POTUS or VP) before the 2024 Libertarian National Convention decides the ticket. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution s... | 0.13 | Polymarket |
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2024? This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin remains the President of Russia without interruption from March 25, 2024 through December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the CIA Wor... | 0.93 | Polymarket |
Iowa Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Iowa in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot... | 0.1 | Polymarket |
Ethereum all time high wen? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) reaches a price greater than $4,891.70 for the first time according to Binance between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be th... | 0.25 | Polymarket |
Who will win California Special Election to replace McCarthy? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vince Fong wins the 2024 special election for California's 20th Congressional District to replace former Representative Kevin McCarthy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a runoff, this market's... | 0.95 | Polymarket |
Will Israel invade Lebanon before May? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Lebanon by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirm... | 0.5 | Polymarket |
Taylor Swift + Travis Kelce break up before May? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and/or Travis Kelce end their romantic relationship by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Confirmation can come in various forms, including, but not limited to, social media posts, ... | 0.04 | Polymarket |
Eagles guilty of tampering with Saquon Barkley? This market will resolve to “Yes” if the NFL announces disciplinary measures against the Philadelphia Eagles for impermissible contact (tampering) relating to the signing of Saquon Barkley by September 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Di... | 0.5 | Polymarket |
Will $boden hit $1b FDV in April? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the FDV of $boden reaches $1,000,000,000.00 or greater for five consecutive minutes between April 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be 1 minu... | 0.26 | Polymarket |
Will 2024 have the hottest April on record? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior April when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
At the point the data for April 2024 is first rel... | 0.76 | Polymarket |
Ohio Presidential Election Winne This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Ohio in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-... | 0.1 | Polymarket |
Premier League Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City is the 2023-24 Premier League Champion. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No".
If it is a mathematical certainty Man City will win, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." Likewise, if it becomes mathematically impossible for Man Cit... | 0.36 | Polymarket |
Solana all time high wen? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Solana (SOL) reaches a price greater than $259.90 for the first time according to Binance between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the 30-m... | 0.28 | Polymarket |
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024? This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly one SpaceX Starship launch successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is def... | 0.04 | Polymarket |
Shohei Ohtani suspension by April 30? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB announces a suspension of Shohei Ohtani for any length of time by April 30, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
Note: An announcement before the resolution date that Shohei Ohtani is being suspended will suffic... | 0.02 | Polymarket |
Senate control after 2024 election? The 2024 United States Senate elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested.
This market will resolve to "Democrats" if following the 2024 U.S. Senate elections, Democrats have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half ... | 0.25 | Polymarket |
Solana ETF approved in 2024? This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Solana ETF receives approval from the SEC by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting ... | 0.09 | Polymarket |
Which team will draft Caleb Williams? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caleb Williams is taken by the Chicago Bears in the 2024 NFL Draft. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL, or announcements from specific NFL teams, h... | 0.97 | Polymarket |
Falcons guilty of tampering with Kirk Cousins? This market will resolve to “Yes” if the NFL announces disciplinary measures against the Atlanta Falcons for impermissible contact (tampering) relating to the signing of Kirk Cousins by September 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Disciplin... | 0.5 | Polymarket |
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? On February 26, 2024, Emmanuel Macron stated that sending troops to Ukraine has not been ruled out, reinforcing other recent statements by by the Slovakian prime minister to similar effect. (https://apnews.com/article/paris-conference-support-ukraine-zelenskyy-c458a1df3f9... | 0.09 | Polymarket |
Nevada Senate Election Winner United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senatorial elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Nevada US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will re... | 0.59 | Polymarket |
Tyson Fury vs. Oleksandr Usyk: Who will win? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the boxing match against Oleksandr Usyk, titled "Ring of Fire", currently scheduled for February 17, 2024 in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this fight... | 0.52 | Polymarket |
Diddy sex tapes confirmed by April 15? This market will resolve to “Yes” if sex tapes filmed at properties owned by Sean Combs, a.k.a. P Diddy, are made public between March 26 and April 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if U.S. law enforcement agencies officially acknowledge the existence of sex tapes during their investigati... | 0.03 | Polymarket |
Michigan Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Michigan in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has ... | 0.51 | Polymarket |
Taylor Swift engaged by May 1? This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Taylor Swift is engaged to be married by May 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Taylor Swift or her official representatives, h... | 0.05 | Polymarket |
Mike Johnson out as Speaker before May? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between March 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwi... | 0.09 | Polymarket |
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
A... | 0.44 | Polymarket |
Colorado Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Colorado in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has ... | 0.91 | Polymarket |
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on...? This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on June 1, 2024, 12 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US gov... | 0.97 | Polymarket |
Michigan Senate Election Winner United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. Regular senate elections are presently scheduled for 33 states.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 Michigan US Senate election is a Democrat. Otherwise, this market will re... | 0.74 | Polymarket |
Base airdrop by May 1? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between December 10, 2023 and May 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to... | 0.25 | Polymarket |
Court temporarily allows Texas to arrest migrants? On March 20 a 3-panel judge heard arguments on whether Texas should temporarily be permitted to enforce its immigration law which allows state officials to arrest people they suspect of entering the country illegally.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SB4 Texas... | 0.5 | Polymarket |
Diddy arrested before May? This market will resolve to "Yes" if American rapper Sean Combs (a.k.a. "Diddy") is arrested between March 25, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporti... | 0.23 | Polymarket |
Trump DC election interference trial date? Trump's election interference trial was initially set to begin on March 4, but the judge postponed it with no new date set due to Trump's immunity appeals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the new start date for the trial for the election interference case against Trump (... | 0.03 | Polymarket |
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race.
In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will al... | 0.18 | Polymarket |
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30? This market will resolve to “Yes” if by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM Palestine Standard Time (UTC +2), the New York Times or WSJ reports that Israel has initiated a ground offensive within Rafah. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Reports of small raids or special op... | 0.18 | Polymarket |
US bank failure in April? This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between April 1 and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be in April 202... | 0.1 | Polymarket |
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2024 shows an increase of 1.18°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of 1.18°C or greater for 2024 is necessary and sufficient to re... | 0.51 | Polymarket |
Arizona Presidential Election Winner This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Arizona in the 2024 US presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ... | 0.45 | Polymarket |
Trump convicted of felony before Election? This market will resolve to "Yes" if former US president Donald J. Trump is convicted of any felony by any US court between March 22, 2024, 10:00 AM ET, and November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any subsequent appeals will not be consider... | 0.84 | Polymarket |
Steeler's week 1 starter? This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Fields is listed as the starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2024 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the official NFL gamebook or team announcement for the Steelers' Wee... | 0.17 | Polymarket |
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