id stringlengths 8 25 | question stringlengths 13 209 | description stringlengths 0 7.87k | open_date stringlengths 19 20 | close_date stringlengths 19 27 | resolve_date stringlengths 19 20 | resolution stringclasses 2
values | source stringclasses 2
values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
meta-13725 | Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before March 1, 2023? | The [Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ZNPP) (ZNPP) is the largest nuclear power plant in Europe, with an electric output of 5.7 GWh. After invading Ukraine in February 2022, Russian forces took control over the plant. In recent months, there have been multiple shelling incidents at the si... | 2022-12-18T05:00:00Z | 2023-03-01T08:00:00Z | 2023-03-01T16:08:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-13700 | Will Philip Davis cease to be Prime Minister of the Bahamas before January 1, 2024? | [Philip Edward "Brave" Davis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philip_Davis_(Bahamian_politician)) KC MP, born 7 June 1951, is a Bahamian lawyer and politician serving as the Prime Minister of the Bahamas since September 17 2021. His Progressive Liberal Party won [the 2021 general election](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2... | 2022-11-23T22:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T01:09:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-13540 | Will Tweets be inaccessible on Twitter.com for any seven days starting before 2024? | Resolution Criteria: ####*See also:*
* #### *[>60 minute Twitter outage before mid-2023](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13538/twitter-outage-before-mid-2023/)*
* #### *[>6 hour Twitter outage before mid-2023](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13499/6-hour-twitter-outage-before-mid-2023/)*
----
[Elon Musk](http... | 2022-11-19T17:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T04:59:00Z | 2024-01-01T08:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-13531 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | In late February and March 2014, following the Euromaidan uprising and removal of pro-Russian Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, thinly disguised Russian military and paramilitary forces seized control of the Crimean peninsula in the far South of Ukraine and of most of the provinces of Donetsk and Luhansk in its Ea... | 2022-11-17T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T21:59:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-13527 | Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) be passed before 2025? | In August 2022, Sens. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) and John Boozman (R-AR) officially introduced the [Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA)](https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/senate-bill/4760/text), a bill aimed at providing a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies within the context of the Commod... | 2022-11-19T23:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | 2025-01-21T16:47:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-13518 | Will Twitter have a corporate credit rating in the "C"s or worse before July 2023? | [Elon Musk](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elon_Musk) is a technology company founder and business executive whose net worth, depending on the fortunes of the stock market, has often ranked him as the world’s wealthiest person. He first made a fortune as a member of “[the Paypal Mafia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PayP... | 2022-11-19T17:00:00Z | 2023-07-01T03:59:00Z | 2023-07-01T15:40:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-13514 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | [Coinbase Global, Inc.](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coinbase), branded Coinbase, is an American publicly-traded company incorporated in Delaware that operates a cryptocurrency exchange platform. It is the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the United States by trading volume.
In May 2022, amid a broad rout in the cr... | 2022-11-10T20:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T04:59:00Z | 2024-01-01T05:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10791 | Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to COVID vaccination? | In recent months there have been dozens of reported cases of severe [hepatitis](https://www.cdc.gov/hepatitis/abc/index.htm) in young children in which the cause is of [unknown](https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.15.2200318) origin.
In an outbreak [report](https://www.who.int/emergen... | 2022-04-26T04:00:00Z | 2023-03-31T16:00:00Z | 2023-04-01T16:43:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10790 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | [Dnipro](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dnipro) experienced its [first missile attack](https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/11/europe/russia-invasion-ukraine-03-11-intl/index.html) in early March 2022 since the beginning of the Russo-Ukrainian war in February, resulting in at least one death. Former NATO commander in Europe, We... | 2022-04-27T16:00:00Z | 2023-05-31T21:00:00Z | 2023-06-01T17:12:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10787 | Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to adenovirus infection? | In recent months there have been dozens of reported cases of severe [hepatitis](https://www.cdc.gov/hepatitis/abc/index.htm) in young children in which the cause is of [unknown](https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.15.2200318) origin.
In an outbreak [report](https://www.who.int/emergen... | 2022-04-26T04:00:00Z | 2023-03-31T16:00:00Z | 2023-03-30T11:44:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10747 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | When Ukraine applied for [NATO](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NATO) membership in [2008](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Bucharest_summit) their application was denied, though many NATO members (including the USA) were in favor of Ukraine's joining the alliance. In 2019, in a 334-51 vote, Ukraine amended their cons... | 2022-04-20T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T17:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10746 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | In 2019, in a 334-51 vote, Ukraine amended their constitution to include their intentions of joining the EU and NATO (Ukraine Constitution, [Стаття 116, 1-1](https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/cgi-bin/laws/main.cgi?nreg=254%EA%2F96%2D%E2%F0#Text). On February 28, 2022, during the [Russian Invasion of Ukraine](https://en.wikipe... | 2022-04-20T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T17:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10745 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | In February 2014, [Russia annexed the Crimean peninsula](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Annexation_of_Crimea_by_the_Russian_Federation) from Ukraine. While not officially annexed in 2014, some regions of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts have [remained under the control](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_Donbas) of two... | 2022-04-20T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T17:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10738 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | In February 2014, [Russia annexed the Crimean peninsula](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Annexation_of_Crimea_by_the_Russian_Federation) from Ukraine. While not officially annexed in 2014, some regions of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts have [remained under the control](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_in_Donbas) of two... | 2022-04-20T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T17:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10737 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | The city of [Sevastopol](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sevastopol) in Crimea currently holds the Russian [Black Sea Fleet](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_Sea_Fleet) in its naval base, which has been crucial to [Russia's operations in Syria](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_military_intervention_in_the_Syrian_... | 2022-04-20T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T17:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10735 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Ukraine and Russia entered peace negotiations in March 2022, with the [most recent round](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/29/world/europe/peace-talks-russia-ukraine.html) of negotiations in Istanbul on March 29.
[According to Newsweek](https://www.newsweek.com/france-ukraine-macron-nato-russia-security-guarantee-russ... | 2022-04-20T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T17:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T22:10:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10734 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Prior to the [2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine), Russian President Vladmir Putin formally recognized the [Donetsk](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donetsk_People%27s_Republic) and [Luhansk People's Republics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luhansk_People%27s_... | 2022-04-20T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T17:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10674 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | [Kamala Devi Harris](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kamala_Harris), born October 20, 1964, is an American politician and attorney who is the 49th and current vice president of the United States. She is the first female vice president and the highest-ranking female official in U.S. history, as well as the first African A... | 2022-04-30T05:00:00Z | 2022-08-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-11-05T12:01:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10673 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | [Peter Paul Montgomery Buttigieg](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pete_Buttigieg), born January 19, 1982, is an American politician and former military officer who is currently serving as the United States secretary of transportation. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the 32nd mayor of South Bend, Indiana from 201... | 2022-04-30T05:00:00Z | 2022-08-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-11-05T17:38:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10621 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | [Elon Reeve Musk](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elon_Musk), born June 28, 1971, is a serial entrepreneur and business executive. He is the founder, CEO, and Chief Engineer at SpaceX; early-stage investor, CEO, and Product Architect of Tesla, founder of The Boring Company, and co-founder of Neuralink and OpenAI. With an... | 2022-04-14T07:00:00Z | 2025-01-01T00:00:00Z | 2022-10-31T22:41:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10577 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [Will Donald Trump regain a Twitter account in 2022?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9163/trump-back-on-twitter-in-2022/)
* [Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6322/trump-gain-10m-followers-on-new-platform/) [closed]
... | 2022-04-07T04:00:00Z | 2024-11-01T00:00:00Z | 2022-11-20T01:15:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10541 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | [Robert Hunter Biden](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hunter_Biden), born February 4, 1970, is an American attorney who is the second son of current U.S. President Joe Biden and his first wife Neilia Hunter Biden. Biden is also a hedge fund, venture capital, and private-equity fund investor who formerly worked as a lobby... | 2022-04-03T04:00:00Z | 2024-11-04T00:00:00Z | 2023-09-14T17:28:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10490 | Will the TSA extend or reimpose a mask mandate on public transportation before 2024? | Mask mandates were widely introduced following the coronavirus pandemic. Yet, because of vaccines, natural immunity, and effective anti-virals, many people now believe that the virus poses only a minor risk to life and health, and thus, wish to return to a normal life. As of March 2022 in the United States, nearly all ... | 2022-03-31T04:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T05:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T18:15:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10430 | Will the Social Democrats hold a position in government after the next Danish general election? | [General elections were held in Denmark on 5 June 2019](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Danish_general_election):
>The elections resulted in a victory for the "red bloc", comprising parties that supported the Social Democrats' leader Mette Frederiksen as candidate for Prime Minister. The "red bloc", consisting of t... | 2022-03-30T22:00:00Z | 2023-06-03T10:00:00Z | 2022-12-15T17:49:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10295 | Will Turkey declare sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Turkey, a NATO member, has been involved in [efforts to mediate](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/10/top-russia-ukraine-diplomats-arrive-in-turkey-for-talks) the war between Ukraine and Russia and has recently had a [rapprochement](https://www.dailysabah.com/business/economy/turkey-israel-to-weigh-in-on-deepening-... | 2022-03-25T23:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T21:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10294 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Israel, a [close US ally](https://www.jpost.com/international/article-701406), has [given humanitarian aid to](https://www.timesofisrael.com/israels-foreign-ministry-to-boost-aid-to-ukraine-including-generators-for-hospital/) and has [established a field hospital](https://israelpolicyforum.org/2022/03/10/zelenskys-appe... | 2022-03-28T07:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T05:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T00:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10293 | Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024? | Israel, a [close US ally](https://www.jpost.com/international/article-701406), has [given humanitarian aid to](https://www.timesofisrael.com/israels-foreign-ministry-to-boost-aid-to-ukraine-including-generators-for-hospital/) and has [established a field hospital](https://israelpolicyforum.org/2022/03/10/zelenskys-appe... | 2022-03-29T04:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T05:00:00Z | 2022-11-17T10:15:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10249 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Russia [invaded Georgia in 2008](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Georgian_War). Since the 2012 elections, pro-Russian candidates have been elected, and there's a growing perception that Georgia has slowly begun to move away from the West. One account of recent political events in Georgia can be found [here](https:/... | 2022-03-15T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T09:00:00Z | 2024-01-02T06:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10246 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coup_d%27%C3%A9tat) defines a coup in the following way:
> A coup [...] is a seizure and removal of a government and its powers. Typically, it is an illegal seizure of power by a political faction, rebel group, military, or a dictator.
[Their definition of regime change](http... | 2022-03-15T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T11:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T21:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10154 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | According to [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_and_radiation_accidents_and_incidents):
> "A nuclear and radiation accident is defined by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) as "an event that has led to significant consequences to people, the environment or the facility. Examples include letha... | 2022-03-07T08:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T20:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T15:45:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10147 | Will it become public that the FBI sought a warrant to launch an operation to disrupt web shells on private computers in 2022? | In April 2021, the Justice Department [announced](https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-announces-court-authorized-effort-disrupt-exploitation-microsoft-exchange#:~:text=WASHINGTON%20%E2%80%93%20The%20Justice%20Department%20today,%2Dlevel%20e%2Dmail%20service.) that the FBI had undertaken court-authorized o... | 2022-03-08T15:00:00Z | 2022-12-31T21:58:00Z | 2023-06-01T13:20:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10137 | Will there be a publicly reported cyberattack against the global navigation satellite systems between April 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023? | Both civilian and military processes rely heavily on space-based infrastructure -- a trend that is likely to increase. Space-based systems and their Earth-based components are [frequently subjected to cyberattacks](https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/11/30/space-race-china-david-thompson/) and other non-kinet... | 2022-03-22T15:00:00Z | 2022-12-31T20:52:00Z | 2023-06-01T13:33:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10111 | Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup? | Ellie Burns at [TechMonitor reports](https://techmonitor.ai/techonology/hardware/from-wimbledon-to-rio-2016-olympics-as-hackers-move-the-goalposts-its-no-time-for-sports-heavy-hitters-to-pull-cyber-security-punches-4950451) that major global sporting events such as the Olympics and World Cup have frequently been target... | 2022-03-15T15:00:00Z | 2022-11-20T19:55:00Z | 2023-03-01T19:10:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10109 | Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022? | In 2021, the Taiwanese Defense Minister warned that tensions between Taiwan and China -- which has repeatedly claimed that Taiwan is part of its territory -- were at a [40-year high](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-58812100). Similarly, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has [warned](https://www.reuters.com/wor... | 2022-03-15T15:00:00Z | 2022-12-31T18:48:00Z | 2023-03-31T16:14:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10105 | Will the US “Rewards for Justice” program pay the $10M reward offered for information on the interference in the 2020 presidential election? | On November 18, 2021, two Iranian nationals were charged for interference in the US 2020 election through their use of cyber-enabled misinformation and threat campaigns.
The [U.S. Department of Justice](https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-iranian-nationals-charged-cyber-enabled-disinformation-and-threat-campaign-desi... | 2022-03-08T15:00:00Z | 2022-12-31T18:35:00Z | 2023-06-01T17:25:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10085 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [Will Sweden join NATO before 2024?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10084/sweden-to-join-nato-before-2024/)
----
[NATO](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NATO) is an is an intergovernmental military alliance among 28 European countries and 2 North American countries. Established i... | 2022-03-06T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T23:01:00Z | 2023-04-04T14:30:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10084 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | [NATO](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NATO) is an is an intergovernmental military alliance among 28 European countries and 2 North American countries. Established in the aftermath of World War II.
NATO constitutes a system of collective security, whereby its independent member states agree to mutual defense in respons... | 2022-03-06T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-30T23:01:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10081 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Resolution Criteria: *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10043/ukraine-joins-eu-before-2030/)
----
Following the [Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine), Ukrainian President Zelens... | 2022-03-06T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10055 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Resolution Criteria: As Wikipedia states:
> “Viktor Volodymyrovych Medvedchuk is an Ukrainian politician, lawyer, business oligarch and [People's Deputy of Ukraine](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People%27s_Deputy_of_Ukraine) from 29 August 2019. He is the chairman of the pro-Russia political organization [Ukrainian Ch... | 2022-03-02T04:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:44:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10053 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | As [the New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/02/28/world/ukraine-russia-war) in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine reports:
> "President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine called for an international tribunal to investigate Russia for war crimes."
Also Lithuania’s prime minister, Ingrida Simonyte, ... | 2022-03-02T04:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:40:00Z | 2023-03-17T15:22:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10047 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | As [Politico](https://www.politico.eu/article/hungary-foreign-minister-peter-szijjarto-weapon-transit-ukraine/) reports:
> "Hungary will not allow the transit of lethal weapons to Ukraine through its territory."
>[...]
>"Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán — who is facing a tough parliamentary election on April 3, 2... | 2022-03-02T04:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:08:00Z | 2024-01-01T10:01:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10028 | Will the US Supplemental Poverty Measure be higher in 2022 than 2021? | The US Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics created the [Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM)](https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/supplemental-poverty-measure.html) in the 2000s to address shortcomings of the Official Poverty Measure (OPM). Unlike the OPM, the SPM adjusts for in-kind benefits, tax liabi... | 2022-04-05T07:00:00Z | 2023-01-01T07:59:00Z | 2023-09-12T22:51:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-10023 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | [Anti-Satellite (ASAT) weapons](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-satellite_weapon) are weapons that destroy or damage satellites in orbit. Several of these have been developed and [tested](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7644/asat-weapons-tests-and-space-debris-by-2023/). However, they have not been used in warfa... | 2022-11-01T04:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T07:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T19:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10008 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Moldova and Romania speak the same language and [reunification has been a possibility since independence](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unification_of_Moldova_and_Romania#Impact_of_a_unification_scenario). This Jan 2022 [article](https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/assessing-a-possible-moldova-romania-unification/) quo... | 2022-03-16T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-02T14:40:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10005 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | As the Conversation summarizes in its article [Ukraine invasion: should Russia lose its seat on the UN Security Council?](https://theconversation.com/ukraine-invasion-should-russia-lose-its-seat-on-the-un-security-council-177870):
> “The Security Council was established by the 1945 UN Charter and comprises 15 members.... | 2022-02-26T18:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T06:06:00Z | 2024-01-01T05:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10004 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | According to [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_power_in_Germany):
> Nuclear power in Germany accounted for 13.3% of German electricity supply in 2021, generated by six power plants, of which three were switched off at the end of 2021, the other three due to cease operation at the end of 2022 according t... | 2022-02-26T18:00:00Z | 2023-05-31T19:00:00Z | 2023-06-01T17:01:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-10003 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | On February 23, 2022, [Russia invaded Ukraine](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine). In January 2021, the [German Council on Foreign Relations](https://dgap.org/en/research/publications/russias-strategic-interests-and-actions-baltic-region) released a report on Russia's strategic interests i... | 2022-02-26T20:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T05:57:00Z | 2023-12-31T22:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9994 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | *Related Questions on Metaculus:*
* [How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10248/-of-ukrainian-refugees-by-july-1-2022/)
* [How many refugees will leave Ukraine in 2022?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10252/ukrainian-refugees-in-2022/)
* [How many Internally... | 2022-02-26T18:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T18:00:00Z | 2022-04-20T16:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-9981 | Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024? | China has long been [at odds with](https://www.coindesk.com/learn/china-crypto-bans-a-complete-history/) the growing cryptocurrency market. In September 2021, The People's Bank of China (PBOC) instituted a ban against all cryptocurrency transactions due to a capital flight of approximately $50B between 2019 and 2020 fr... | 2022-03-15T15:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T15:00:00Z | 2024-01-04T17:36:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9980 | Will Shanghai continue to subsidize up to 30% of investment in semiconductor materials and equipment projects within the city until 2024? | China remains incredibly reliant on the import of semiconductors to fuel its technological development and progress. To combat this perceived vulnerability, some urban, technological powerhouses are [offering subsidies](https://www.protocol.com/bulletins/shanghai-semiconductor-incentives) on semiconductor R&D investmen... | 2022-03-15T15:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:00:00Z | 2024-01-04T17:25:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-9977 | Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024? | China has long been [at odds with](https://www.coindesk.com/learn/china-crypto-bans-a-complete-history/) the growing cryptocurrency market. In September 2021, The People's Bank of China (PBOC) instituted a ban against all cryptocurrency transactions due to a capital flight of approximately $50B between 2019 and 2020 fr... | 2022-03-15T15:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:00:00Z | 2024-01-04T17:21:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9969 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Even before the Russian invasion of Ukraine, China has started making noteworthy statements about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict:
> China's foreign minister Wang Yi called Russia's security concerns "legitimate", saying they should be "taken seriously and addressed."
> Chinese ambassador to the UN Zhang Jun went furt... | 2022-03-01T15:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:00:00Z | 2024-01-04T16:52:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9963 | Will the UN open an investigation or otherwise intervene on the issue of the Xinjiang internment camps before 2024? | In 2017, the [Xinjiang internment camps](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xinjiang_internment_camps) were instituted for the Uyghur muslims by Xi Jinping. The topic of much controversy of the last several years for their reported human rights violations, the United Nations has yet to take any action to investigate or othe... | 2022-03-01T15:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T16:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9961 | Will China adopt any legislation or regulations to prevent contamination of the environment with antimicrobials by 2024? | Resolution Criteria: [Antibiotic resistance](https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/antibiotic-resistance) is one of the biggest threats to global security and health, having the potential for long-lasting effects on agriculture, food security, the environment, and human health.
This effect is [felt dispropo... | 2022-03-08T15:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:00:00Z | 2022-10-31T18:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-9958 | Will a member of the Chinese Politburo be expelled or arrested in 2022 or 2023? | Resolution Criteria: The Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, formally known as the Central Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China, is the decision-making body of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Currently, the Politburo is a group of 25 top officials who oversee the CCP.
Xi Jinping, President of the ... | 2022-03-08T15:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T16:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9957 | Will China have approved cultivated meat for human consumption by 2024? | On November 26, 2020, Singapore became [the first country to approve the commercial sale of cultivated meat](https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/12/01/1012789/cultured-cultivated-meat-just-singapore-approved-food-climate/). China could be one of its successors.
As [the Good Food Institute](https://gfi.org/blog/chin... | 2022-03-08T15:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T00:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T16:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9948 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Russia invaded Ukraine, a non-NATO member. Ukraine borders Poland, Hungary, Slovakia and Romania, all NATO members.
It is possible that on the border between these countries, or elsewhere, Russian forces fight with NATO forces.
Resolution Criteria: This resolves positively according to 3 credible media accounts of 5 ... | 2022-03-01T08:00:00Z | 2023-06-29T23:01:00Z | 2023-07-01T15:42:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9797 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023? | On January 18, 2022, Microsoft, manufacturer of the Xbox video game console, [announced](https://news.microsoft.com/2022/01/18/microsoft-to-acquire-activision-blizzard-to-bring-the-joy-and-community-of-gaming-to-everyone-across-every-device/) an agreement to acquire Activision Blizzard for $68.7 billion, which would ma... | 2022-02-13T05:00:00Z | 2023-06-30T01:33:00Z | 2023-07-01T16:17:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-9783 | Will Peter Daszak be the president of EcoHealth Alliance on January 1, 2024? | From [Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Daszak):
> Peter Daszak is a British zoologist, consultant and public expert on disease ecology, in particular on zoonosis. He is the president of EcoHealth Alliance, a nonprofit non-governmental organization that supports various programs on global health and pande... | 2022-02-11T05:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T07:00:00Z | 2024-01-01T05:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20764 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024? | China has [repeatedly asserted](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/china/xi-warned-biden-summit-beijing-will-reunify-taiwan-china-rcna130087) a claim to Taiwan since the beginning of independent Taiwanese governance in 1949. The [tense relations](https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-taiwan-relations-tension-us-policy-biden... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-07T16:45:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20763 | Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024? | Blue Origin's [New Glenn](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Glenn) launch vehicle consists of two stages and is planned to be able to [launch 45 metric tons of payload into low Earth orbit](https://www.blueorigin.com/new-glenn). The first launch is [currently planned](https://spacenews.com/nasa-mars-smallsat-mission-to... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-05T04:47:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20762 | Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024? | The SSE Composite Index is a stock market index of all stocks on the Shanghai Stock Exchange. While the Chinese economy has grown significantly over the past two decades, the Shanghai Stock Exchange has had more humble returns. For reference, [China's GDP](https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/CHN/china/gdp-gross-domes... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T20:00:00Z | 2025-01-02T14:51:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20761 | Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024? | **Previous Questions on Metaculus**
- [Will Russian troops reach the center of Bakhmut, Ukraine before 0000 hrs local time on January 27th, 2023?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/14607/russian-troops-in-central-bakhmut-by-1-27-23/)
- [Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of May 2023?](https://... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-30T23:00:16.291000Z | 2025-01-02T14:42:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20760 | Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024? | NASA's [Artemis program](https://www.nasa.gov/specials/artemis/) is a series of missions to explore the moon. The first mission, [Artemis I](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artemis_1), was launched on November 16, 2022, and performed an uncrewed flyby of the moon.
The second mission, [Artemis II](https://en.wikipedia.or... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-02T14:31:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20759 | Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024? | In February of 2022 Google DeepMind [unveiled AlphaCode](https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/competitive-programming-with-alphacode/), an AI system that it claimed "writes computer programs at a competitive level". AlphaCode was assessed on challenges [Codeforces](https://codeforces.com/), a platform for competitive ... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-05T14:13:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20758 | Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024? | After the OpenAI board [temporarily removed Sam Altman as CEO](https://www.theverge.com/23966325/openai-sam-altman-fired-turmoil-chatgpt) in November 2023, rumors abounded regarding the reasons behind the decision. One such rumor was that the move was sparked by progress in a new AI system with potentially dangerous ca... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-05T14:18:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20757 | Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024? | Electric vehicles have seen significant sales growth in recent years, with plug-in vehicles (PEVs) making up less than 3% of light duty vehicle (LDV) sales in 2020, a figure that [has grown to above 9%](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates) through November 2023.
PEVs consi... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-11-30T23:00:00Z | 2024-12-23T01:54:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20754 | Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024? | The World Health Organization (WHO) [describes](https://www.who.int/news-room/questions-and-answers/item/emergencies-international-health-regulations-and-emergency-committees) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) as follows:
>A PHEIC is defined in the IHR (2005) as, “an extraordinary event which ... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2024-08-14T17:31:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20753 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024? | *The background information text from this question is taken from this earlier question: [When will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19813/next-prime-minister-of-israel/)*
---
[Benjamin Netanyahu](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benjamin_Netanyahu) is the cur... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-05T04:46:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20752 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024? | As of December 2023, the situation in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict remains complex and dynamic, with no clear indications of an imminent bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement. The war, which began when Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, has continued with varying intensity.
Recent developments include ongoi... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2025-01-30T18:00:00Z | 2025-01-01T00:00:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20751 | In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court? | As of the end of 2023, the U.S. Supreme Court comprises nine justices with lifetime appointments. The Court's composition includes:
1. Chief Justice John Roberts (appointed 2005)
2. Justice Clarence Thomas (appointed 1991)
3. Justice Samuel Alito (appointed 2006)
4. Justice Sonia Sotomayor (appointed 2009)
5. Jus... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-05T04:53:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20750 | Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in January 2024? | *Much of the text from this question is taken from this previous question: [Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/14601/bas-doomsday-clock-closer-to-midnight-in-2023/)*
The [Doomsday Clock](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Doomsday_Clock) is a symbolic representation of the... | 2024-01-08T16:00:00Z | 2024-01-20T23:00:00Z | 2024-01-23T15:15:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20749 | Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | In US presidential elections, voters vote for [electors](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Electoral_College) who then cast votes for the president and vice president. Typically, electors are pledged to vote for a specific candidate, but in principle it is possible (though illegal in some states) for elector ... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-16T18:00:00Z | 2024-12-18T05:01:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20748 | Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024? | In 2014, liraglutide was [approved as a drug for weight loss](https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/nda/2014/206321Orig1s000TOC.cfm) by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), then later by [the European Medicines Agency (EMA) in 2015](https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/medicines/human/EPAR/saxenda). It is a once... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T18:00:00Z | 2025-01-05T04:59:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20747 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2024? | Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency with the [highest valuation](https://coinmarketcap.com/), increased over 50% from mid-October 2023 until late December of 2023. While Bitcoin is still short of its November 2021 high of over $64,000, the recent rally has renewed interest in cryptocurrency and left [some analysts](https://www... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-02T14:50:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20741 | Will the ban on imports of Apple watches with blood oxygen sensors take effect before December 27, 2023? | [According to NPR](https://www.npr.org/2023/12/18/1220125508/apple-watch-series-9-ultra-2-masimo-patent):
>In October [2023], the U.S. International Trade Commission [ruled](https://www.usitc.gov/system/files?file=secretary/fed_reg_notices/337/337_1276_notice10262023sgl.pdf) that some Apple Watches violated Masimo's p... | 2023-12-20T19:00:00Z | 2023-12-24T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-26T18:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20739 | Will there be a US military combat death in the Red Sea before 2024? | Following the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel, Yemen's [Houthi rebels](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Houthi_movement) have launched a series of [ongoing attacks on vessels](https://apnews.com/article/red-sea-ship-attacks-bp-yemen-houthis-dcece18717aa59648ff9a6b04fbc798c) in the Red Sea including [against US war... | 2023-12-20T19:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2024-01-03T17:38:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20722 | Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? | OpenAI established the [Superalignment team](https://openai.com/blog/introducing-superalignment) to focus on developing ways to steer, regulate, and govern superintelligent AI systems.
Ilya Sutskever, a co-founder and chief scientist at OpenAI, leads this team alongside Jan Leike. The Superalignment team, formed in mi... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T18:00:00Z | 2025-01-05T04:54:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20720 | Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024? | The [CPI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consumer_price_index), or Consumer Price Index, is one of the most widely used measures of inflation by investors. Created by analyzing the price of a certain basket of widely used, urban consumer goods over time with relation to a base time, the CPI can show either monthly or ye... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2025-01-15T15:42:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20708 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | On December 19, 2023, the Colorado Supreme Court issued a ruling [barring Donald Trump from appearing on the state's ballot in 2024](https://www.sos.state.co.us/). In a [4-3 decision](https://www.courts.state.co.us/userfiles/file/Court_Probation/02nd_Judicial_District/Denver_District_Court/11_17_2023%20Final%20Order.pd... | 2023-12-20T00:30:00Z | 2024-09-01T18:00:00Z | 2024-11-06T18:37:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20707 | Will a major shipping company announce that they are resuming shipments through the Red Sea before 2024? | Most of the world's largest [container](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_container_shipping_companies) and freight shipping companies [have announced](https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/18/how-houthi-attacks-in-red-sea-threaten-global-supply-chain.html) that they will pause shipments through the Red Sea due to [... | 2023-12-20T19:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-26T19:30:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20695 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024? | The US [Bureau of Labor Statistics](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Labor_Statistics) (BLS) provides monthly estimates of the [unemployment rate](https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/080415/true-unemployment-rate-u6-vs-u3.asp) in the United States. The most commonly cited unemployment figure is U-3 u... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2024-11-30T23:00:00Z | 2024-12-15T22:22:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20694 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024? | The S&P 500, also known as the Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index that measures the stock performance of 500 large companies listed on the stock exchanges in the United States. It is one of the most widely followed equity indices and is considered to be one of the best representations of the U.S. stock mark... | 2024-01-01T07:00:00Z | 2025-01-01T05:59:00Z | 2025-01-02T14:47:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20592 | Will the US Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to the presidential immunity case before February 1, 2024? | On December 11, 2023, US Special Counsel [Jack Smith](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_Smith_(lawyer)) filed [a petition](https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/23/23-624/292946/20231211144948077_U.S.%20v.%20Donald%20J.%20Trump%20--%20final%20final.pdf) for a [writ of certiorari before judgment](https://en.wikipedia.... | 2023-12-16T15:30:00Z | 2024-01-15T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-22T19:50:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20569 | Will NASA re-establish communications with Voyager 1 before 1 Jan 2024? | [The Voyager probes](https://science.nasa.gov/mission/voyager/voyager-1/) are the human-made machines that have gone both the fastest and the furthest away from Earth. They were launched in the late '70s,
> Initially designed to last five years, the Voyager probes are the two longest-operating spacecraft in history. ... | 2023-12-20T19:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T11:00:00Z | 2024-01-03T17:29:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20568 | Before 2024, will it be announced that either of the Harvard or MIT presidents will vacate their positions? | Following the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel and Israel's military response, a number of [protests were held at US universities](https://abcnews.go.com/US/israel-hamas-war-college-campuses-edge-tackling-issue/story?id=105046118), some of which included students making [antisemitic threats](https://abcnews.go.c... | 2023-12-15T15:30:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2024-01-02T22:13:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20560 | Will the US Supreme Court issue a decision on hearing the case about presidential immunity before January 1, 2024? | On December 11, 2023, US Special Counsel [Jack Smith](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jack_Smith_(lawyer)) filed [a petition](https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/23/23-624/292946/20231211144948077_U.S.%20v.%20Donald%20J.%20Trump%20--%20final%20final.pdf) for a [writ of certiorari before judgment](https://en.wikipedia.... | 2023-12-14T15:30:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-22T19:27:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20559 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | The UK's Conservative Party [won control of Parliament in 2010](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_United_Kingdom_general_election) under David Cameron. Since then, the Conservatives have maintained control of Parliament. One of the key issues over the last decade was Britain's relationship with the European Union an... | 2023-12-14T18:14:00Z | 2025-01-20T00:00:00Z | 2024-07-05T07:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20547 | Will the Republican Party retain California's 20th District in the 2024 special election? | Rep. Kevin McCarthy has announced his intention to resign from the house before the end of 2023 (and before the end of his term). Subsequently, the Governor of California is mandated by CA state law to schedule a special election to replace McCarthy. [More information about the process can be found here](https://en.wik... | 2023-12-17T00:25:00Z | 2024-05-22T05:59:00Z | 2024-03-22T22:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20533 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | In late February and March 2014, following the Euromaidan uprising and removal of pro-Russian Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, thinly disguised Russian military and paramilitary forces seized control of the Crimean peninsula in the far South of Ukraine and of most of the provinces of Donetsk and Luhansk in its Ea... | 2023-12-13T16:23:00Z | 2024-12-31T21:59:00Z | 2025-01-17T17:32:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20468 | Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025? | Sam Altman is back as a CEO in Open AI, but there is a new board, investigation and many open questions about his behavior.
1. Washington Post: [OpenAI leaders warned of abusive behavior before Sam Altman’s ouster](https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/12/08/open-ai-sam-altman-complaints/)
2. New York Times:... | 2024-02-03T21:31:00Z | 2024-12-31T12:00:00Z | 2025-01-14T08:08:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20467 | If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2025, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using US cloud compute? | Presently, there is nothing to stop Chinese AI developers from carrying out training runs using US [cloud compute](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_computing)/infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS), on account of an [export](https://www.bis.doc.gov/index.php/documents/about-bis/newsroom/press-releases/3158-2022-10-07-bi... | 2024-01-11T18:00:00Z | 2024-12-31T23:59:00Z | 2025-01-23T17:02:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20383 | Will the German Train Drivers' Union (GDL) go on strike again before January 1, 2024? | The [Union of German Train Drivers](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gewerkschaft_Deutscher_Lokomotivf%C3%BChrer) (Gewerkschaft Deutscher Lokomotivführer or GDL) represents workers in train companies in Germany. The GDL has been negotiating with the national rail company [Deutsche Bahn](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deuts... | 2023-12-06T16:00:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-07T17:00:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20360 | Will the Republican Party retain New York's 3rd congressional district (previously held by George Santos) in the special election? | [George Santos was expelled from the US House of Representatives on the 1st of December 2023](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/george-santos-expulsion-congress-ny-house-ethics-committee-rcna127179). His expulsion leaves the position of house representative for New York's 3rd district vacant. [A special electio... | 2024-01-17T15:30:00Z | 2024-02-14T02:00:00Z | 2024-02-14T15:16:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20334 | Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur within four weeks of the combined peak for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV in the 2023-24 season? | The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) closely monitors respiratory illnesses, particularly when these illnesses increase in prevalence during the winter. One monitoring and data sharing tool the CDC uses is [RESP-NET](https://www.cdc.gov/surveillance/resp-net/dashboard.html), which it describes as fol... | 2023-12-01T22:30:00Z | 2024-05-25T22:00:00Z | 2024-07-12T17:05:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20261 | Will any additional Republican candidates for president drop out before 2024? | The Republican primary election will kick off [on January 15, 2024](https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/calendar), with the Iowa caucus, followed soon after by the New Hampshire primary on January 23rd. Several candidates have already [dropped out](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Republican_Party_presidential_primarie... | 2023-11-30T15:30:00Z | 2023-12-31T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-04T16:04:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20260 | Will a majority of voters approve Venezuela's referendum on incorporating Guayana Esequiba into Venezuela? | A [Venezuelan referendum asking five questions is scheduled for December 3, 2023](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Venezuelan_referendum). The subject of the referendum is the territory of [Guayana Esequiba](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guayana_Esequiba), administered by Guyana but claimed by Venezuela. Guyana [has ... | 2023-11-30T00:00:00Z | 2023-12-02T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-04T04:38:00Z | yes | METACULUS |
meta-20218 | Will there be a white Christmas in at least 4 of these 9 large European cities in 2023? | Many children wish for a white Christmas, i.e. snow on the days 24th or 25th December. Transit operators and homeless people enjoy it less. It is an important cultural event around the northern Atlantic, though; hence this question!
Cultural note: The majority of inhabitants of Instanbul do not celebrate Christmas at ... | 2023-12-06T16:00:00Z | 2023-12-16T11:00:00Z | 2024-01-03T18:07:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20133 | Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025? | In October 2022, the US instituted [new, wide-ranging export controls](https://www.csis.org/analysis/choking-chinas-access-future-ai) aimed at controlling a set of “chokepoint” technologies in the global semiconductor supply chain. China is one of the leading countries in AI, but AI advancements have historically run o... | 2023-12-06T11:00:00Z | 2025-01-01T11:00:00Z | 2025-01-10T00:44:00Z | no | METACULUS |
meta-20092 | Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023? | On November 21, 2023, the Program for Monitoring Emerging Diseases (ProMED) [published an alert](https://promedmail.org/promed-post/?id=8713261) regarding outbreaks of pneumonia with an unidentified cause in the city of Beijing and Liaoning Province in China. The alert quotes [an article](https://www.ftvnews.com.tw/new... | 2023-11-22T22:00:00Z | 2023-12-14T23:00:00Z | 2023-12-15T14:03:00Z | no | METACULUS |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.