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mani-BfnzXo4yPxP6WKaJ0RG6
With the lawyers that sued Tesla to block Elon Musk's pay receive at least $1 billion?
ERROR: type should be string, got "https://finance.yahoo.com/news/legal-team-voided-musks-tesla-230039595.html\n\nThe lawyers who voided Elon Musk's $56 billion compensation as excessive on Friday sought a record a $6 billion legal fee, payable in the electric car maker's stock.\n\nResolves YES if the law firms or associated lawyers get $1 billion paid to them in cash, Tesla stock, or anything else valued at that amount. Resolves NO if there is no active related case in any court(including appeals), no court filing for at least 1 month, and the total pay to all involved law firms is less than $1 billion. Resolves 50% if nobody provides me an article, court ruling, or other source proving either way or that the case is ongoing within 1 month of this market reaching its natural close date. Resolves NA if this market gets fewer than 20 traders.\n\nClose date will be extended by another year as long as the case is ongoing.\n\nTraders are responsible for locating evidence to extend or resolve this market.\n\nSee also: @/MiraBot/will-tesla-reincorporate-in-texas "
2024-03-02T07:22:14
2024-12-03T11:21:50
2024-12-03T11:21:50
no
MANIFOLD
mani-sm06tvNuiMyLIRDsZlOk
Will Destiny reach 782k subscribers in Mar 2024?
Resolves according to numbers reported on his socialblade page
2024-03-02T06:22:00
2024-04-01T21:47:30
2024-04-01T21:47:30
no
MANIFOLD
mani-tcqDf7XCbZOhmZCETMDL
Will Destiny reach 780k subscribers in Mar 2024?
Resolves according to numbers reported on his socialblade page
2024-03-02T06:21:45
2024-03-27T06:12:07
2024-03-27T06:12:07
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-B1Q9krW9wwhuIxSUvGFq
Will Lex Fridman reach 3.82M subscribers in Mar 2024?
Resolves according to numbers reported on his socialblade page https://socialblade.com/youtube/c/lex_fridman/monthly
2024-03-02T06:19:33
2024-03-22T19:05:23
2024-03-22T19:05:23
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-s1cd1ESU4D9QhkEMNNm2
Will NVDA beat 5.50 $/share analysts estimate in there next earnings on May 22 2024?
[image]
2024-03-02T05:50:05
2024-05-22T14:59:00
2024-05-30T18:57:59
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-rJygIJzpMXTNq0brBZUQ
Will Nvidia trade above $1000 in 2025?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-03-02T05:31:09
2025-01-17T14:18:52
2025-01-17T14:18:52
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-3pYE3FNVRhCXNQqtmrLU
Will Narendra Modi win 2024 parliamentry elections?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-03-02T04:19:41
2024-07-09T06:44:33
2024-07-09T06:44:33
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-JlO8bkrxdKQYULStFGST
ChatGPT 5 will be released before September 1 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-03-02T02:39:47
2024-09-01T13:59:00
2024-09-01T18:11:14
no
MANIFOLD
mani-HJH6lAXtvPmEVSnjecYB
Ethereum has an ETF approved this year in the USA
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-03-02T02:35:20
2024-05-31T01:44:50
2024-05-31T01:44:50
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-zlWej0xVwP1kK5Y57BTB
Will a youtuber with 50k+ subs or twitch streamer with 50k+ followers call Destiny a gusano in March 2024?
Far Leftists on twitter have gotten mad at Destiny recently over his inflammatory tweets on Aaron Bushnell (pro-palestine dude who immolated himself). [image][image][image]Will a youtuber with 50k+ subs or a twitch streamer with 50k+ followers call Destiny a gusano in a derogatory way? It must be used as an insult, it can't be used in a neutral/referential way. For example, "so all these people are calling Destiny a gusano, huh?" wouldn't count. This can be done on stream, video, voice call, or a written statement such as a tweet. Destiny's debate with Finkelstein is also set to release this month which may increase the odds of big content creators calling him a gusano. Here are the following big content creators that are most likely to call him a gusano if anyone wants to keep tabs. Central_Committee (twitch) Hasanabi (twitch and youtube) Denims (twitch) BadEmpanada (youtube) 2nd Thought (youtube) Kaceytron (twitch and youtube) frogan (twitch) carolinekwan (twitch) I will also accept referring to Destiny as a "worm" which is synonymous with "gusano" as a slur, but it must be done at least twice. If the content youtuber/streamer in question does this on another youtuber or streamer's video or stream that has less than 50k subs/followers, this will still resolve to a YES. If a voice call or dm leaks of the youtuber/streamer in question calling Destiny a gusano, that will not be enough to resolve to a YES. The spirit of this market is asking whether or not a big content creator will publicly call Destiny a gusano.
2024-03-01T23:04:03
2024-03-31T23:59:00
2024-04-03T20:12:03
no
MANIFOLD
mani-EK0ndYE1iCgdJxFXTCf5
Will MrBeast's channel be the most subscribed YouTube channel at the end of July first 2024?
I am only talking about MrBeast's main channel. https://youtube.com/@MrBeast At the time of writing, MrBeast is the second most subscribed YouTube channel. Approximately 20 million subscribers behind first Resolves YES if: The MrBeast YouTube channel is the most subscribed YouTube channel at 11:59 pm EST on July first 2024. Resolves NO if: The MrBeast YouTube channel is not the most subscribed YouTube channel at 11:59 pm EST on July first 2024. Resolves N/A if: โ€ข YouTube shuts down. โ€ข The MrBeast YouTube channel is deleted or banned. โ€ข It cannot be determined what YouTube channel has the most subscribers at 11:59 pm EST on July first 2024.
2024-03-01T20:33:57
2024-07-01T20:59:00
2024-07-02T00:22:25
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-roBO1r0gnxQ3wNmrItBv
Will Alphabet be run by an interim CEO before the end of 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-03-01T18:58:39
2024-12-31T20:59:00
2025-01-02T01:25:03
no
MANIFOLD
mani-TlitIe3vxJO0NIWq6dlb
Will Bitcoin hit 70,000.00 USD before it hits 45,000.00 USD?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-03-01T18:20:49
2024-03-11T08:34:06
2024-03-11T08:34:06
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-5QXHSBzsYuknmp1Z5Htp
Will Biden receive more than 80% of the vote in every state primary or caucus on Super Tuesday?
Resolves YES if Biden wins more than 80% of the vote in every state that holds their Democratic primary or caucus on March 5, 2024. So far, he has gotten more than 80% in every state except New Hampshire, where he wasn't on the ballot and won 64% as a write-in candidate.
2024-03-01T16:05:07
2024-03-05T20:24:46
2024-03-05T20:24:46
no
MANIFOLD
mani-VisZxej8ijcQgHJ2LF7P
Will Microsoft close higher than 415.50 on March 8?
Microsoft Corp Resolves according to Google Close Price MSFT closes at 4pm EST Resolves YES if stock closes higher than 415.50 Resolves NO if stock closes lower or flat. I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten
2024-03-01T13:58:49
2024-03-08T15:00:00
2024-03-08T15:04:16
no
MANIFOLD
mani-tMGYhyqECZ8mkptko8mZ
Will Facebook/Meta close higher than 502.30 on March 8?
Meta Platforms Inc Resolves according to Google Close Price META closes at 4pm EST Resolves YES if stock closes higher than 502.30 Resolves NO if stock closes lower or flat. I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten
2024-03-01T13:54:49
2024-03-08T15:00:00
2024-03-08T15:12:46
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-V4YXx7G07yX4e5iT0SAm
Will Luffy get captured or knocked out by the Gorosei? Chapter 1110+
Join the One Piece Dashboard, where you can see even more interesting questions! https://manifold.markets/news/one-piece-b2abad1c I will update the description/read comments. Essentially, this question is: Will Luffy lose vs the Gorosei? Yes = Luffy gets captured, ko'd, or gasses out while fighting Gorosei Getting knocked out includes simply gassing out from Gear 5 time limit, it does not have to be a significant hit from the Gorosei like Kaido vs Luffy round 1 in Kuri. If he gasses out and gets back up within the same chapter then I won't count it. Ends when Luffy leaves Egghead or when the Elders leave Egghead.
2024-03-01T13:53:25
2024-08-06T03:18:31
2024-08-06T03:18:31
no
MANIFOLD
mani-9cWBEs2l15oFmsPoT3n7
Will Google close higher than 138.08 on March 8?
Alphabet Inc Class C Resolves according to Google Close Price GOOG closes at 4pm EST Resolves YES if stock closes higher than 138.08 Resolves NO if stock closes lower or flat. I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten
2024-03-01T13:52:53
2024-03-08T15:00:00
2024-03-08T15:09:13
no
MANIFOLD
mani-zT9KJnNcl0eAPLtq5xby
Will Apple close higher than 179.66 on March 8?
Apple Inc Resolves according to Google Close Price AAPL closes at 4pm EST Resolves YES if stock closes higher than 179.66 Resolves NO if stock closes lower or flat I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten
2024-03-01T13:48:55
2024-03-08T15:00:00
2024-03-08T15:20:37
no
MANIFOLD
mani-g0gD8Czs8NTolEh5rDzE
Will Nvidia close higher than 822.79 on March 8?
NVIDIA Corp Resolves according to Google Close Price NVDA closes at 4pm EST Resolves YES if stock closes higher than 822.79 Resolves NO if stock closes lower or flat I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten
2024-03-01T13:46:56
2024-03-08T15:00:00
2024-03-08T15:15:48
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-UtdA380bgfvO0W19MbDX
Will the Destiny and Jordan Peterson debate release in March 2024?
It happened almost three weeks ago, but still no upload! Do you think it'll be released soon or be shelved?
2024-03-01T13:12:51
2024-03-21T17:07:38
2024-03-21T17:07:38
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-S0GU7ye0kweMANw7lzga
Will Bitcoin reach $76543.21 before the end of Cinco de Mayo?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-03-01T12:38:16
2024-05-05T20:59:00
2024-05-06T05:26:37
no
MANIFOLD
mani-h55ZXUs1m3VtjC9Spp3r
Will any protest vote against Biden receive more than 10% of the vote in the rest of the Democratic primaries?
In the Michigan primary, "Uncommitted" received 13% of the vote due to a campaign to vote "Uncommitted" as a protest against Biden's handling of the war in Gaza. In any of the remaining Democratic primaries or caucuses, will any single option other than Biden receive more than 10% of the votes? This could be another candidate, an option that represents no candidate (like "Uncommitted" or "None of these options"), or a specific write-in option chosen by more than 10% of voters (like "ceasefire"). This question includes all contests, including the ones in U.S. territories. If Biden dies or otherwise leaves the race before the primaries are over, but no option has received more than 10% of the votes before then, this question resolves N/A.
2024-03-01T11:10:42
2024-03-05T20:16:56
2024-03-05T20:16:56
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-arOrDm0ZuwgE9GqdmQrL
Will the price of Ether (Ethereum / ETH) exceed $5,000 in 2024?
Ether is the currency of the Ethereum network, denoted with the ticker of ETH. If during any 1 minute interval Ether trades at a price above $5,000 on at least 2 of the 3 exchanges: Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance, this resolves true. This must occur exactly on or before 12/31/24 at 23:59:59 EST. If Ether fails to reach the price by the above date this resolves false.
2024-03-01T08:50:42
2024-12-31T21:59:00
2025-01-01T12:24:46
no
MANIFOLD
mani-fdxoepD0o8EeCIT6BBvP
[Metaculus] Will Oppenheimer win the most Oscar awards?
Will Oppenheimer win the most Oscar awards? Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus. (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/21493/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria This question resolves to Yes if the official page of the 96th Academy Awards indicates that the Oppenheimer film has won more awards than any other film. It resolves to No if there is a tie or another movie has the most awards. Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus. Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
2024-03-01T07:39:55
2024-03-11T09:48:19
2024-03-11T09:48:19
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-Z5ZcwirDjnEpSjSYwE1t
Will chapter 1110 of One Piece have at least 3 two-page spreads?
Chapter 1109 had 3 of them (8-9, 10-11, and 13-15). What about 1110? I'll use the way TCB scans publishes pages as a metric for what constitutes a two-page spread (other groups may upload spreads as 2 separate pictures). It does not need to be a single panel that fills both pages. See chapter 1109 pages above for an example. Resolves whenever I read the chapter (around 14th/15th of March if TCB publishes as usual). Related Markets: @/NoyaV/will-chapter-1111-of-one-piece-have
2024-03-01T06:03:05
2024-03-15T10:06:18
2024-03-15T10:06:18
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-H8jwxwU7OuZmOQWIUoQU
๐Ÿ‘ป vs. ๐Ÿฆ: Will Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire have a larger opening weekend than Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire?
Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire opens on March 22nd, and Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire opens March 29th. Will Ghostbusters have a larger opening weekend (domestically) than the Kong/Godzilla team up? Resolves when the actuals come in (most typically on Monday/Tuesday). If youโ€™re seeing any numbers that look like 14,000,000, these are estimates.
2024-03-01T06:02:42
2024-04-01T23:59:00
2024-04-02T02:56:52
no
MANIFOLD
mani-KXsgrdmBDM9UkSwtoqPm
Will Balatro win Best Debut Indie Game at the Game Awards 2024?
https://thegameawards.com/ https://store.steampowered.com/app/2379780/Balatro/
2024-03-01T02:43:44
2024-12-12T18:31:45
2024-12-12T18:31:45
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-56mWmwuvEjXoodojceS6
Will Balatro win Best Independent Game at the Game Awards 2024?
https://thegameawards.com/ https://store.steampowered.com/app/2379780/Balatro/
2024-03-01T02:42:56
2024-12-12T19:31:35
2024-12-12T19:31:35
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-0zYOctgvPan56nd350gm
Will the collective effort to beat every single Super Mario Maker level before the servers shut down succeed?
ERROR: type should be string, got "https://www.issmmbeatenyet.com/\n\nAn informal collective of people known as Team 0% is trying to beat every single Super Mario Maker level before the servers for the game shut down on April 9th. \n\nOn April 1st, 2021, when level uploading was disabled, there were more than 48000 levels that still hadn't been cleared. This has been steadily whittled down over the years, and at the time of market creation, there are only 350 to go. \n\nHowever, the remaining levels seem like they could be near impossible. Clear rates have continued to drop, with fewer and fewer levels being cleared every day. \n\nIf the players succeed before server shutdown, this market will resolve YES. \n\nIf the players do not succeed, this market will resolve NO."
2024-03-01T02:02:15
2024-03-22T15:36:41
2024-03-22T15:36:41
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-E3g7Sv3SRPTfkfsl8G7Y
Will Benny Morris appear on Destiny's stream in 2024?
Has to be live on Destiny's official channel (youtube, kick or any applicable platform he might be using at the time). Both being guests in the same show on some other stream will not count. Recorded, non-live content will not count.
2024-03-01T01:56:10
2024-12-31T13:59:00
2024-12-31T16:46:27
no
MANIFOLD
mani-Mmef3Hyrrqu2cdA6fsce
Will the IM-1 Odysseus lunar lander survive lunar night?
Market will resolve YES if any signal is received from Odysseus after its first lunar night Resolves NO if no signal is received before its second lunar night Related markets: @/Nat/will-jaxas-slim-lunar-lander-surviv
2024-03-01T00:43:01
2024-03-29T05:59:00
2024-03-29T11:52:53
no
MANIFOLD
mani-ustfYb5tXMVeL4U6fM84
Will Bitcoin go below $58K in March 2024?
https://blockchain.info will be considered as oracle.
2024-03-01T00:36:30
2024-03-27T23:59:00
2024-04-01T00:02:48
no
MANIFOLD
mani-AafpTryeRZABnnJP8iOt
Will Bitcoin go below $55K in March 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-03-01T00:35:28
2024-03-31T23:59:00
2024-04-01T00:04:30
no
MANIFOLD
mani-zAv75hGNmQWMGIrjOpZX
Will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic announce a new model on Pi Day 2024?
Last year GPT-4 and Claude were officially announced on March 14. Will a similar announcement be made by one of these top AI labs this Pi Day? I will not bet in this market.
2024-02-29T21:03:20
2024-03-14T23:59:00
2024-03-15T01:21:04
no
MANIFOLD
mani-4agA0kVxUMxWfqserp5s
Will Apple close higher at the end of March than February?
Apple Inc - Daily Dashboard Resolves according to Nasdaq Close Price AAPL closes at 4pm EST This market closes at 3pm EST Resolves YES if stock closes higher than 180.75 Resolves NO if stock closes lower. Resolves 50% if stock closes flat. I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten
2024-02-29T18:44:23
2024-03-28T12:00:00
2024-03-28T15:14:12
no
MANIFOLD
mani-W8aVHNTaunSootQvQsyj
Conditional on Biden dropping out, will Trump be elected president?
This market attempts to determine whether Biden dropping out would result in Trump's chances improving or worsening. This market resolves: N/A if Biden is considered to be one of the two main presidential candidates on November 5, 2024 YES if Trump is elected President of the United States, and Biden is NOT considered one of the main candidates NO if Trump is NOT elected President of the United States, and Biden is NOT considered one of the main candidates
2024-02-29T17:36:43
2024-11-06T23:59:00
2024-11-07T09:22:57
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-4YYyPgRxDSCMQzzfw7E3
Will Bayern Munich beat Lazio during regular time on Tue, Mar 5, 2024? - UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
โšฝ Bayern Munich vs Lazio ๐Ÿ“… Date: Tuesday, March 5, 2024 โฐ Start Time (UTC): 20:00 ๐Ÿ† Competition: UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ”‘ Market Resolution: This market will resolve to YES if at the end of regular time plus stoppage time: - Bayern Munich has more goals This market will resolve to NO if at the end of regular time plus stoppage time: - Both teams have an equal number of goals - Lazio has more goals (Other legs, extra time and penalties do not influence the resolution) ๐Ÿ• Market Closing Time: This market will resolve as soon as possible once the resolution criteria is met. ๐Ÿ”Ž You can search for more match details on Google
2024-02-29T16:02:00
2024-03-05T15:00:00
2024-03-05T15:01:30
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-QXYWRIT3OM3NkmlZqrnw
Will Real Sociedad beat Paris Saint Germain during regular time on Tue, Mar 5, 2024? - UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
โšฝ Real Sociedad vs Paris Saint Germain ๐Ÿ“… Date: Tuesday, March 5, 2024 โฐ Start Time (UTC): 20:00 ๐Ÿ† Competition: UEFA Champions League ๐Ÿ”‘ Market Resolution: This market will resolve to YES if at the end of regular time plus stoppage time: - Real Sociedad has more goals This market will resolve to NO if at the end of regular time plus stoppage time: - Both teams have an equal number of goals - Paris Saint Germain has more goals (Other legs, extra time and penalties do not influence the resolution) ๐Ÿ• Market Closing Time: This market will resolve as soon as possible once the resolution criteria is met. ๐Ÿ”Ž You can search for more match details on Google
2024-02-29T16:01:55
2024-03-05T15:00:00
2024-03-05T15:01:27
no
MANIFOLD
mani-6oYtOh9x0kfHmoqqzvai
Will luffy leave egghead by the end of may?
Will they leave egghead?
2024-02-29T15:33:36
2024-05-31T06:59:00
2024-08-31T16:34:16
no
MANIFOLD
mani-ru2aSSPuQCMAXP1UzH1y
Will a New Nintendo Console be announced in 2024?
variation of the Nintendo Switch do not count
2024-02-29T15:11:25
2024-12-31T20:59:00
2025-01-01T12:29:27
no
MANIFOLD
mani-oeCQStzg4caMmMA17TgA
Will Elizabeth Warren win reelection in 2024?
Resolves YES if Elizabeth Warren wins the Massachusetts election for Senate, irrespective of whether she assumes office afterwards.
2024-02-29T15:08:07
2024-12-01T12:15:12
2024-12-01T12:15:12
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-CdBJo31LOnNuvb6XrPb8
Will a new supreme court justice be confirmed in 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-29T15:07:56
2024-12-31T20:59:00
2025-01-01T14:13:53
no
MANIFOLD
mani-CgwD7J1SLUDPJrlj5plY
Will Israel invade Rafah in March 2024?
Resolves as yes if the IDF spokesman declares the IDF has entered the city of Rafah in Gaza. Surgical raids of limited scope will not count. Only large scale clearing operation.
2024-02-29T15:07:15
2024-03-31T14:59:00
2024-03-31T18:07:04
no
MANIFOLD
mani-RVBguzHNITCc3sgv9WK2
Will Sweden join NATO before the end of Autism Awareness Day? (April 2)
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-29T15:06:55
2024-03-07T09:28:45
2024-03-07T09:28:45
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-4sjUrgg8uVX9CoNgaRFJ
Will Voyager 1 successfully resume scientific transmission by the end of March?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyager_1#Communications
2024-02-29T15:02:21
2024-03-31T20:59:00
2024-04-01T11:52:57
no
MANIFOLD
mani-ZBk6rHyH0lcxFuLr9CkM
Will Nvidia close higher at the end of March than February?
NVIDIA Corp - Daily Dashboard Resolves according to Nasdaq Close Price NVDA closes at 4pm EST This market closes at 3pm EST Resolves YES if stock closes higher than 791.12 Resolves NO if stock closes lower. Resolves 50% if stock closes flat. I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten
2024-02-29T13:36:08
2024-03-28T12:00:00
2024-03-28T15:14:25
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-Y8BvGnQ8Q9TGv2MXiqkY
Will Trump win the Utah Caucus by double digits?
>10.00%
2024-02-29T13:20:08
2024-03-14T16:46:47
2024-03-14T16:46:47
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-vhTMATgKKJ1QpjqDVaKE
Will Tesla close higher at the end of March than February?
Tesla Inc - Daily Dashboard Resolves according to Nasdaq Close Price TSLA closes at 4pm EST This market closes at 3pm EST Resolves YES if stock closes higher than 201.88 Resolves NO if stock closes lower. I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE Market Inspired by Haws, SirCryptomind, Christian, Simon Grayson, and Nickten
2024-02-29T13:05:18
2024-03-28T15:13:26
2024-03-28T15:13:26
no
MANIFOLD
mani-nIoTJTks4x5lSQNAw6Z9
Will Voyager 1 successfully resume scientific transmission?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voyager_1#Communications Resolves when scientific data resumes or power runs out.
2024-02-29T12:24:34
2024-05-23T22:16:01
2024-05-23T22:16:01
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-tPTVg4UozPQSvj5iItDc
Will Bitcoin hit $80,000 before $40,000?
Start courting from market creation Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history?p=BTC-USD Resolves Yes if Bitcoin hit $80,000first Resolves No if Bitcoin hit $40,000first Market close date will be extended as needed.
2024-02-29T06:31:13
2024-11-10T05:41:37
2024-11-10T05:41:37
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-GfUsU6sMwR4S8V6ORHfS
Will Bitcoin hit $70,000 before $50,000?
Start courting from market creation Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history?p=BTC-USD Resolves Yes if Bitcoin hit $70,000first Resolves No if Bitcoin hit $50,000first Market close date will be extended as needed.
2024-02-29T06:31:01
2024-03-09T08:10:13
2024-03-09T08:10:13
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-79liDr9RDnHypU62MEuo
Will Bitcoin hit $66,000 before $60,000?
Start courting from market creation Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history?p=BTC-USD Resolves Yes if Bitcoin hit $66,000first Resolves No if Bitcoin hit $60,000first Market close date will be extended as needed.
2024-02-29T06:30:36
2024-03-04T06:46:56
2024-03-04T06:46:56
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-ONoFGMEUm0cgSj4RZwc2
Will Ron DeSantis get the third highest number of votes in every Super Tuesday primary?
Note this is only counting the RNC primaries, not the RNC caucuses. The 12 eligible states are: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, and Virginia. Will Ron DeSantis get the 3rd highest vote count in each of the 12 Super Tuesday caucus states? This will Resolve once each state is at >=95% counted from at least one reputable data source (Iโ€™m planning to primarily use NYT unless they have delays or issues). If some states still arenโ€™t fully counted after 1 week, this will Resolve via the totals 7 days after the end of the primary.
2024-02-29T05:58:04
2024-03-06T23:59:00
2024-03-08T10:33:40
no
MANIFOLD
mani-aHSlNz2mkgN4DKf0Wt6X
When Jimmy Carter dies, will Donald Trump attend the funeral?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-29T03:56:54
2025-01-10T05:18:51
2025-01-10T05:18:51
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-SqIxw9fPtGqu9VanguCP
Will the crew reach elbaf in 2024?
Will the strawhats reach elbaf in 2024,or do you think there will be another place where the crew might visit first?
2024-02-29T03:05:28
2024-11-22T14:45:31
2024-11-22T14:45:31
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-iEgZfeGS4lzzXxEI5pU5
Will Bitcoin Hit 68k target before March End the all time high of 2021?
With 95% of BTC Supply in Profits, Can Bitcoin Price Form a New ATH Above $70,000? The post With 95% of BTC Supply in Profits, Can Bitcoin Price Form a New ATH Above $70,000? appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News In a splendid and unexpected move, the Bitcoin price soars by over $4000 in a day to hit a high of $64,000 during the previous trading day. Coinpedia Fintech News
2024-02-29T01:44:22
2024-03-04T23:37:18
2024-03-04T23:37:18
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-fNFZH2Pn6RHV8PwnI7he
Will Haley win any Republican counties on Super Tuesday?
Please read before betting Resolves YES if Nikki Haley wins any county won by Trump in 2020 in any stateโ€™s March 5 primary. Details: This market applies to any state holding a caucus or primary for the Republican presidential nomination on March 5. A county โ€œwon by Haleyโ€ is one that casts a plurality or majority of its votes for Nikki Haley. A county โ€œwon by Trumpโ€ is one that casted a plurality or majority of its votes for Donald Trump in the 2020 general election (NOT the 2020 primaries). Resolves NO if Nikki Haley does not win any counties on March 5. Resolves NO if Nikki Haley wins some number of counties on March 5, but none of them were won by Trump in 2020โ€™s general election. The market will remain active if Nikki Haley drops out prior to all polls closing on March 5. For the purposes of this market, county-equivalents including independent Virginia cities and Alaskan boroughs qualify as โ€œcountiesโ€. Extra important: The Unorganized Borough counts as one county, not the census areas within it! The unorganized Borough went Democratic in 2020. Massachusetts is automatically excepted from this market because Trump did not win any of its counties in 2020. (sorry Massachusetts) Beware: towns in Vermont, Massachusetts, etc. are NOT counties, only parts of counties!
2024-02-29T00:27:20
2024-03-06T21:59:00
2024-03-07T05:13:50
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-prUJVr4mygPE0n74jHbK
Will Jimmy Carter live to see the Atlanta Braves home opener? โšพ 2024 MLB Regular Season
Their home opener is set for Friday, April 5 and will begin a seven-game homestand against the Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets. Date will be updated if the game is postponed. President Jimmy Carter needs to be alive for the game start, does not need to be in attendance or watching.
2024-02-28T22:06:06
2024-04-05T20:59:00
2024-04-06T04:15:53
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-qhHhhlHI0UaNzgtkAQAJ
Will the United States beat Canada? ๐Ÿ 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup
[image]Group stage match Resolves no if score is tied (extremely rare), game is abandoned, or there is no result
2024-02-28T20:34:07
2024-06-02T02:46:36
2024-06-02T02:46:36
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-B4HbGfhBUeMluS6StUXD
Will India beat Pakistan? ๐Ÿ 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup
[image]Group stage match Resolves no if score is tied (extremely rare), game is abandoned, or there is no result
2024-02-28T20:32:17
2024-06-09T12:38:54
2024-06-09T12:38:54
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-WJh1zWHRKtk3h402hd05
Will Shohei Ohtani hit more than 50 home runs? โšพ 2024 MLB Regular Season
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-28T19:09:36
2024-09-19T21:06:16
2024-09-19T21:06:16
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-173wB4Xld3xJzSrurVLO
Will Bitcoin surpass $100,000 before the end of 2025?
Resolve according to Yahoo! Finance Historical Data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history start counting from market creation date
2024-02-28T17:39:50
2024-12-14T15:23:22
2024-12-14T15:23:22
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-dHqTzYBCM674TIfaQiTD
Will Bitcoin hit $66K in March 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-28T16:18:10
2024-03-04T10:21:28
2024-03-04T10:21:28
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-bDyubLiH6DmGI4va9Bwg
Will the Trump immunity case be decided unanimously by the Supreme Court?
This question will resolve YES if all of the Supreme Court Justices sign onto the majority opinion in the Trump immunity case. If a Justice recuses themselves or is otherwise not involved in the case, they will not be included in the count.
2024-02-28T14:43:06
2024-07-01T19:07:05
2024-07-01T19:07:05
no
MANIFOLD
mani-zK7CszH0aJcakrMLbDzf
Will there be another self immolation, for Israel Palestine purpose, this year?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-28T12:51:54
2024-09-14T04:56:46
2024-09-14T04:56:46
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-TIub5w7lxzpqMOfnlpOO
Will S&P500 hit $5300 before $4800?
Start courting from market creation Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history?p=%5ESPX Resolves Yes if S&P500 hit $5300 first Resolves No if S&P500 hit $4700 first Market close date will be extended as needed.
2024-02-28T12:14:36
2024-05-15T14:48:07
2024-05-15T14:48:07
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-1VYq36phZdkNUBJU6P27
Will S&P500 hit $5200 before $4800?
Start courting from market creation Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history?p=%5ESPX Resolves Yes if S&P500 hit $5200 first Resolves No if S&P500 hit $4800 first Market close date will be extended as needed.
2024-02-28T12:14:24
2024-03-20T17:28:21
2024-03-20T17:28:21
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-jbAC9ipoG2uY7a4yM3KX
โญSuper Tuesdayโญ: Will Donald Trump come within 20% of losing in any state?
Resolves YES if Nikki Haley (or theoretically anyone else) is within 20 percentage points of Donald Trump in any state on Super Tuesday. Otherwise, resolves NO. See also: @/DanMan314/super-tuesday-will-nikki-haley-come
2024-02-28T12:12:30
2024-03-05T20:53:02
2024-03-05T20:53:02
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-qN27zpkhmYzerkjnflsz
โญSuper Tuesdayโญ: Will Donald Trump come within 10% of losing any state?
Resolves YES if Nikki Haley (or theoretically anyone else) is within 10 percentage points of Donald Trump in any state on Super Tuesday. Otherwise, resolves NO. See also: @/DanMan314/super-tuesday-will-nikki-haley-come-efc0fdaf653f
2024-02-28T12:11:34
2024-03-05T20:52:34
2024-03-05T20:52:34
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-4I2Su24vkVGX5VRkgzEU
Will Trump win the Vermont Primary by double digits?
i.e. >10.00%.
2024-02-28T11:52:28
2024-03-05T19:25:46
2024-03-05T19:25:46
no
MANIFOLD
mani-rR1a8E6r9IKWRzfMy5u5
Will Nikki Haley win any Super Tuesday state?
Resolve Yes if Nikki Haley wins at least one state's Republican primary or caucus held on Super Tuesday (March 5). ("Win" for this question is defined as getting more votes than the other Republican candidates, e.g. Trump. In case that information is not published for a given state, then it is defined instead as getting more delegates for that state) The list from https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/02/26/which-states-vote-super-tuesday/72747123007/ Alabama Alaska (GOP only) Arkansas California Colorado Iowa Maine Massachusetts Minnesota North Carolina Oklahoma Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia For this question, the U.S. territory of American Samoa does not count because it is not a state. If she drops out before Super Tuesday, the question still resolves as specified. It is technically possible for a dropped-out candidate to win.
2024-02-28T11:51:57
2024-03-05T19:48:36
2024-03-05T19:48:36
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-WGsaZPDV58R2MyR6WSdS
Will the next Bitcoin Halving occur on April 20th, 2024 (EDT Time)
Determined if the Bitcoin halving happens between 00:00:01 EDT to 23:59:59 EDT on April 20, 2024. If you donโ€™t follow the date sequence, this is 12:00 (and 1 second) EDT to midnight on april 24th.
2024-02-28T11:51:15
2024-04-19T17:47:08
2024-04-19T17:47:08
no
MANIFOLD
mani-aYwagmdud3OG5fJpUJYy
Will a government be revealed this year to have been buying Bitcoin without having had disclosed that fact publicly?
https://x.com/Snowden/status/1762915456694784497
2024-02-28T11:05:32
2025-02-05T23:56:08
2025-02-05T23:56:08
no
MANIFOLD
mani-lBHBD1zTF65ggXSLe7wH
Will the next Republican Senate leader be named John?
Mitch McConnell has announced that he is stepping down as the Republican leader in the Senate: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/feb/28/mitch-mcconnell-step-down-republican-leader-senate The Guardian have named John Cornyn, John Barasso and John Thune among his most likely successors and they are among the early favourites on the Manifold market - @/PlasmaBallin/who-will-be-the-republican-senate-l Will his successor be one of these three or another John? The market resolves to YES if their first or their surname is John. Middle names donโ€™t count unless they go by their middle name as their main given name.
2024-02-28T10:24:27
2024-11-20T14:56:40
2024-11-20T14:56:40
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-YvGN19naxAchWoKeViDG
Will Trump be right, and win every Super Tuesday state by more than 42 points?
Trump asserts that Haley is doing even worse in super Tuesday states than in Michigan - is he right? [image]
2024-02-28T09:58:56
2024-03-05T05:29:00
2024-03-05T19:29:22
no
MANIFOLD
mani-FrzKn5knD72wiZBjmQYJ
Will Bitcoin be priced higher than $69,420 on April, 20th, 2024 at 4:20pm EST
Will the price of bitcoin be higher than $69,420 at 4:20 EST on April 20th, 2024? Will be using the CoinDesk price pages to determine success
2024-02-28T07:43:36
2024-04-21T12:17:38
2024-04-21T12:17:38
no
MANIFOLD
mani-AFkCvR9uqJLKueiBnsIU
Will Bitcoin reach $70K OR Sweden Join NATO OR Trump Announce VP OR Jimmy Carter passes away before EOM March?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-28T07:24:05
2024-03-07T09:32:39
2024-03-07T09:32:39
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-cgMrMZKwDr5XM4NDdT4G
Will Sweden Join NATO before Bitcoin reaches $70K?
Bitcoin price as reported by Google or overwhelming mainstream news consensus.
2024-02-28T07:10:09
2024-03-07T09:27:25
2024-03-07T09:27:25
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-Wba8buaeAEyy5bkJCvol
Will Bitcoin close above 70000 at the end of 2024?
Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history?p=BTC-USD
2024-02-28T07:03:19
2024-12-31T20:59:00
2025-01-01T18:09:08
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-YCpySAS5xueljNLmxVQ6
Will Bitcoin close above 60000 at the end of 2024?
Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history?p=BTC-USD
2024-02-28T07:03:04
2024-12-31T20:59:00
2025-01-02T15:41:24
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-kNV9qimtuZxHObSc9YuO
Will Bitcoin close above 50000 at the end of 2024?
Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history?p=BTC-USD
2024-02-28T07:02:47
2024-12-31T20:59:00
2025-01-02T15:41:27
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-ZapoBZgWlxhEQAFR5EqP
Will Bitcoin reach $65K before the end of the Ides of March? (March 15)
Using Google for the price.
2024-02-28T06:53:44
2024-03-04T00:44:47
2024-03-04T00:44:47
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-03HOZU0JGY1FbtBL6wt6
Will Dave Calhoun be Boeing CEO on April 1, 2024?
If Dave Calhoun is the CEO of Boeing on April 1, 2024, then the market resolves YES. If he is not CEO for any reason, the market resolves NO. Please note: An official announcement by Calhoun or Boeing of his retirement, resignation, or termination before April 1, 2024, will make the market resolve YES. Any unofficial leaks or speculation (media, internet, etc) will not count. The market closes at midnight ET on March 31, 2024. Background: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-22/longtime-aerospace-analyst-on-the-existential-questions-facing-boeing https://nypost.com/2024/02/26/business/faa-panel-rips-boeings-disconnect-between-management-workers-on-safety-culture/
2024-02-28T06:33:59
2024-03-31T20:59:00
2024-04-01T04:08:15
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-YcUTVvhNbGry2wD5I5Tv
โ˜˜๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ชโ˜‚๏ธ Will the Supreme Court rule on whether Trump is allowed on the Colorado primary ballot by St Pattyโ€™s Day?
March 17 Similar markets (https://manifold.markets/embed/BlueDragon/-will-the-supreme-court-rule-on-whe-c689ed887da7)[markets]
2024-02-28T06:18:53
2024-03-04T09:03:53
2024-03-04T09:03:53
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-7FT1PYahvXYLLDkCqkt9
Will Bitcoin hit $64,000 before $56,000?
Start courting from market creation Resolution according to Yahoo finance Historical data https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/history?p=BTC-USD Resolves Yes if Bitcoin hit $64,000first Resolves No if Bitcoin hit $56,000first Market close date will be extended as needed.
2024-02-28T06:14:48
2024-03-03T17:24:18
2024-03-03T17:24:18
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-sqJLaVo2pi90YOjTeMws
Will bitcoin reach $69420 before the end of march?
resolves yes if at any point in time before the end of march the bitcoin price reaches $69420 in https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
2024-02-28T03:10:03
2024-03-08T07:40:52
2024-03-08T07:40:52
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-XdhPY8nkSTNgDAtu4YHx
Will there be another self immolation, for any purpose, this year?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T23:41:41
2024-04-05T20:11:44
2024-04-05T20:11:44
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-BsSHcTFUO0CmSRIwMe6l
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump for the presidency after she loses the Republican primary?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T22:12:55
2024-05-22T14:27:09
2024-05-22T14:27:09
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-Ao69c4T6cYS6lUeQDCqx
Will Ussop show any haki feats by the end of egghead arc?
Its been a very long time since weโ€™ve seen Ussop use haki, and now with the giant pirates pulling up to egghead I feel like theres a chance that we can see some haki from him.
2024-02-27T20:04:48
2024-04-28T20:59:00
2024-11-22T14:45:13
no
MANIFOLD
mani-VTMqKxoq9nXAvhKeHGpW
Will more than 12% of Michigan Democratic primary votes on Feb. 27 be "uncommitted"?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T17:43:11
2024-02-28T09:26:09
2024-02-28T09:26:09
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-aQNVDw8ZXyXZoxF9lvSV
Will Nvidia have a higher market cap. then Amazon at the end of 2024?
Resolves by https://companiesmarketcap.com/
2024-02-27T16:19:52
2025-01-01T20:59:00
2025-01-03T04:15:16
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-iCn3w8GqGlrWAsssWcJe
Will Manchester City beat Manchester United during regular time on Sun, Mar 3, 2024? - Premier League
โšฝ Manchester City vs Manchester United ๐Ÿ“… Date: Sunday, March 3, 2024 โฐ Start Time (UTC): 15:30 ๐Ÿ† Competition: Premier League ๐Ÿ”‘ Market Resolution: This market will resolve to YES if at the end of regular time plus stoppage time: - Manchester City has more goals This market will resolve to NO if at the end of regular time plus stoppage time: - Both teams have an equal number of goals - Manchester United has more goals (Other legs, extra time and penalties do not influence the resolution) ๐Ÿ• Market Closing Time: This market will resolve as soon as possible once the resolution criteria is met. ๐Ÿ”Ž You can search for more match details on Google
2024-02-27T16:02:09
2024-03-03T10:01:31
2024-03-03T10:01:31
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-VZth39RMsxHI4gAsA00t
Will bitcoin reach $59999 before the end of March?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T14:03:06
2024-02-28T07:53:10
2024-02-28T07:53:10
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-R3lvy8hA5zZIFWcnoYRC
Will bitcoin reach $67890 before the end of March?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T14:01:58
2024-03-04T12:53:31
2024-03-04T12:53:31
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-nf9TwW3UfG5Eo31KNH4H
Will bitcoin reach $65432 before the end of March?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T14:00:46
2024-03-04T07:12:39
2024-03-04T07:12:39
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-oJptjheWMVFYO2wwmvef
Will Nikki Haley receive more than 18.0% of votes in the Michigan GOP primary on Feb. 27?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T11:55:17
2024-02-28T12:34:39
2024-02-28T12:34:39
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-ZxkyTTW1h3XuJRSLNz5i
Will Destiny watch Dune 2 before the end of March 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T11:47:05
2024-03-12T12:55:03
2024-03-12T12:55:03
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-3Ef5hNuCQ6lPKXzeh691
Will more than 5% of Michigan Democratic primary votes on Feb. 27 be "uncommitted"
Context here: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/27/us/politics/michigan-primary-biden-trump.html
2024-02-27T11:41:09
2024-02-28T12:34:52
2024-02-28T12:34:52
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-JzJe7sgc8tcbDLofMiC9
Will bitcoin reach $66666 before the end of March?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2024-02-27T11:40:04
2024-03-04T08:19:43
2024-03-04T08:19:43
yes
MANIFOLD