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forecasting

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mani-M4fgA90Ebuq5ZKWLrTVN
Will "The Office" (TV Show) actually get a reboot that would be ready to air before 2025?
It has been recently rumoured that a reboot of "The Office" is being discussed. However, this has been prophesized multiple times to no fruition. Will a pilot episode drop before 2025 or not?
2023-10-03T11:28:29
2024-12-31T13:59:00
2025-01-02T15:24:53
no
MANIFOLD
mani-ffB6LxPnksy7hWiaslzn
If McCarthy is ousted, will he be reinstated?
Resolves N/A if McCarthy is not removed. Close time will be extended until a house speaker is elected.
2023-10-03T11:06:43
2023-10-25T11:39:54
2023-10-25T11:39:54
no
MANIFOLD
mani-iSSmrJXPmEq3JKlQKQFD
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record before November 2023?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-03T11:02:20
2023-10-20T12:01:05
2023-10-20T12:01:05
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-dlnv9u91LV52p7oRDaUN
Will Kevin McCarthy cry on television by the end of October?
I feel bad for the guy. Hearding assholes like Matt Gaetz is impossible. Spoiled brat thinks he is entitled to power, probably because his daddy bought him some and now he likes to huff it in the Cannon Building bathrooms with Palmer Lucky's sister (aka his wife). Karma has a busy few months ahead of her...
2023-10-03T10:38:56
2023-10-31T20:59:00
2023-10-31T22:09:18
no
MANIFOLD
mani-hJtQxmkuSrrWpFkU4orW
Will Steve Scalise be elected Speaker of the House by the end of October?
Currently I believe Scalise is undergoing treatment for cancer and is not in the chamber nor intends to return this month. But he might become Speaker in absentia.
2023-10-03T10:35:06
2023-10-25T10:57:39
2023-10-25T10:57:39
no
MANIFOLD
mani-bbgNYYoUcoHY2oEHVkav
Biden vs Trump Polling Average - Will Biden retake the lead by the end of the month?
Average will be taken from RCP: [image]Trump took the lead on September 11th, but Biden had been ahead for a few months before that. Will biden retake the lead by the end of the month?
2023-10-03T09:39:32
2023-10-31T23:59:00
2023-11-01T06:13:49
no
MANIFOLD
mani-lIMEhJy9zxm510zLMUSo
Will the Las Vegas Sphere have a PR disaster by the end of 2024? [Ṁ300 Pool]
There is no requirement for a specific kind of incident to occur; this market is based on the reaction. Resolves Yes if any of the following three events occur: *MSG, the Venetian, or another interest hire a crisis PR firm in response to an incident with the Sphere. *MSG, the Venetian, or another interest sue a party for damages to the Sphere's brand. *A major national or international media outlet reports on an incident at the Sphere using language such as "public relations disaster," "massive damage to their brand," or similar wording in a sincere context.
2023-10-03T09:37:58
2024-12-31T21:26:30
2024-12-31T21:26:30
no
MANIFOLD
mani-fsmzUX2K014VQxvlUlYs
Will the Las Vegas Raiders pillage the Detroit Lions? 🏈 MNF
YES if Raiders wins. NO if Lions win or tie.
2023-10-03T09:37:35
2023-10-30T20:29:22
2023-10-30T20:29:22
no
MANIFOLD
mani-hmVYL4cmlFu11hk7utKP
Will the Green Bay Packers ship out the Las Vegas Raiders? 🏈 MNF
YES if Green Bay wins. NO if Raiders win or tie.
2023-10-03T09:30:51
2023-10-09T20:13:44
2023-10-09T20:13:44
no
MANIFOLD
mani-a34P3WEryHATkUccP4I2
Will Netflix begin offering a "free with ads" tier before 2025?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-03T09:29:14
2025-01-01T21:59:00
2025-01-02T15:24:24
no
MANIFOLD
mani-AcZ8mWWtIjy0RM7IGdM1
Will Taylor Swift attend the Chiefs/Vikings game on October 8th 2023?
Resolves "YES" if there are credible reports that she is in U.S. Bank Stadium, regardless of whether the broadcast shows her at all.
2023-10-03T07:00:08
2023-10-08T19:17:35
2023-10-08T19:17:35
no
MANIFOLD
mani-YvVbvUVGT1QoiK9dkwJO
Kevin McCarthy "motion to vacate" vote - will at least ten Republicans vote against McCarthy?
Matt Gaetz has filed a "motion to vacate" against the House speaker Kevin McCarthy: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/oct/02/matt-gaetz-remove-kevin-mccarthy-speaker-government-shutdown The vote is due to take place "within two legislative days". Will at least ten Republicans vote against McCarthy? This does not include any Republicans abstaining, voting "present" or otherwise expressing their oppositionn to McCarthy without actually voting against him. Related markets: @/SimonGrayson/mccarthy-vote-will-any-democrats-vo Resolution notes: Any yes/no vote where House members go on the record will qualify if the purpose is to vote on whether to declare the speaker position vacant or to dismiss the attempts to remove McCarthy If the motion to vacate is somehow decided without a yes/no vote where House members go on the record with their votes (eg. McCarthy resigns, the motion is withdrawn, there is a procedure to strike the motion down without an explicit vote, etc) this market will resolve to N/A If there are multiple votes, this market only applies to the first formally counted vote
2023-10-03T06:54:21
2023-10-03T14:11:59
2023-10-03T14:11:59
no
MANIFOLD
mani-7S1o4z2W5RgjShIgFijJ
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé'?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' has a higher domestic opening weekend gross than Beyonce's concert tour movie (whatever the final name may be). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Will use box office mojo data, market resolves when all data is final - no studio estimates. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
2023-10-03T05:53:51
2023-12-04T09:44:41
2023-12-04T09:44:41
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-zmfEXJtdzYyl9rbNd900
Will the fine in the Trump civil fraud trial exceed 249 million?
The number $250 million has been thrown around. It's up to the judge. Will it turn out to be lower than projected? Only the evidence and the judge will know. If Judge Engoron participates in this market it would be grounds for a mistrial and HUGE for Manifold.
2023-10-03T04:31:59
2024-02-16T12:22:46
2024-02-16T12:22:46
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-0eTODs1ndQrDoMJNA76L
Will Folding Ideas‘ video „This is Financial Advice“ reach 2 million views by the end of this week?
Folding Ideas uploaded a new video called "This is Financial Advice" on october 1. (https://www.youtube.com/embed/5pYeoZaoWrA?si=zcDOSWswR1WTJ3J_)Question will resolve to YES if said video reaches 2 million views on youtube by the end of this week. (2023-10-08 23:59)
2023-10-03T00:04:16
2023-10-08T14:59:00
2023-10-08T23:46:54
no
MANIFOLD
mani-zhCUk8WQ6dhO7wQR5Y8W
Will "The Marvels" flop at the North American box office? (<$220m by 12/31)
Will the upcoming movie The Marvels, due to be released on November 10, 2023, earn less than $220m in North American box office through Dec 31, 2023? Box office reporting will be used on January 1st to determine the winner. "Flop" is a matter of opinion obv, but the budget is reported to be $220m, so earning less than its budget would be quite bad. So we'll go with that! Less than $220m at the NA box office = YES, its a flop More than $220m at the NA box office = NO, not a flop
2023-10-02T20:04:33
2023-12-10T09:02:47
2023-12-10T09:02:47
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-o2rS1uTYBC19W61P7YGc
Will Taylor Swift be featured in more than ten Super Bowl LVIII commercials?
Could be her music or likeness but needs to be featured. Only original content counts (no footage of her at games or anything previously broadcast etc).
2023-10-02T20:00:54
2024-02-12T09:51:20
2024-02-12T09:51:20
no
MANIFOLD
mani-6CG6sPe0e088nbGu3wZp
Kevin McCarthy "motion to vacate" vote - will any Democrats vote for McCarthy?
Matt Gaetz has filed a "motion to vacate" against the House speaker Kevin McCarthy: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/oct/02/matt-gaetz-remove-kevin-mccarthy-speaker-government-shutdown The vote is due to take place "within two legislative days". Will any Democrats vote to keep McCarthy as speaker? This does not include any Democrats abstaining, voting "present" or otherwise acting to support McCarthy without actually voting to keep him in office. Related markets: @/SimonGrayson/mccarthy-vote-will-at-least-five-re @/SimonGrayson/kevin-mccarthy-motion-to-vacate-vot @/SimonGrayson/mccarthy-vote-will-any-democrats-vo Resolution notes: Any yes/no vote where House members go on the record will qualify if the purpose is to vote on whether to declare the speaker position vacant or to dismiss the attempts to remove McCarthy If the motion to vacate is somehow decided without a yes/no vote where House members go on the record with their votes (eg. McCarthy resigns, the motion is withdrawn, there is a procedure to strike the motion down without an explicit vote, etc) this market will resolve to N/A If there are multiple votes, this market only applies to the first formally counted vote
2023-10-02T19:23:09
2023-10-03T14:08:06
2023-10-03T14:08:06
no
MANIFOLD
mani-CoPFi4HvjTX3friJmWFX
Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind suffer a significant security incident by the end of 2024?
This question will resolve YES if any of the following are reported: Some unauthorized actor was able to breach an AI lab's network security. For example, if an AI lab's model weights are exfiltrated. A capability improvement that an AI company was shared without authorization For example, if an engineer is publicly accused of sharing secrets with another company. A data breach that involves customer data, like ChatGPT bugs in 2023, will not trigger a YES resolution. This market will resolve NO if, by Jan 1, 2025, there exist no public reports of a significant incident. This is a near-identical market to Rob Wiblin's 2023 market here.
2023-10-02T18:17:56
2025-01-01T20:59:00
2025-01-30T14:29:42
no
MANIFOLD
mani-S88OsscJWLfcDw3MxY33
Will all the men wear the "standard Republican uniform" to the November 8, 2023 Republican presidential debate?
Republicans have a habit of wearing a "standard uniform" of a dark jacket, white shirt, and red tie. In fact, at the September 27, 2023 debate, all of the candidates adhered to this dress code, and if such a question would have been posted then, it would have resolved to YES. This market will be determined by what every male candidate who is onstage at the time the first candidate speaks his or her first word during the November 8, 2023 Republican presidential debate is wearing. If all the male candidates are wearing black or dark grey suit jackets with a luminance of roughly 10% or less, white dress shirts with a luminance of roughly 90% or greater, and ties where at least 50% of the fabric is dyed somewhere in the red portion of the color wheel, this market will resolve to YES. If the debate is cancelled, the market will resolve to N/A. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO. If there is controversy over the resolution of this market, an image of the controversial candidate will be input into GPT-4 Vision along with the market text, and the model will be asked to resolve the market.
2023-10-02T16:20:04
2023-11-08T20:59:00
2023-11-09T03:50:36
no
MANIFOLD
mani-Lm2I56QWkN4OSiPoawWc
Will the VIX (INDEXCBOE: VIX) close at or higher than 20.00 during October 2023? [Ṁana Leaderboard]
Resolves according to the display at Google Finance at the end of the day. If Google Has A Visual Error (eg. Green chart/negative closing price ; Red chart/positive closing price) This Will Resolve To The Closing Price Of Majority Same Numbers Reported By Yahoo/Marketwatch/WSJ/CNBC DASHBOARD SIMILAR MARKETS LEADERBOARD STATS I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE
2023-10-02T13:45:26
2023-10-19T15:43:55
2023-10-19T15:44:05
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-W8caKEhBHQu3lreriyBN
Will Texas experience blackouts this Fall?
Market will resolve yes if: multiple cities in Texas experience rolling or large scale blackouts due to widespread power generation or distribution failures due to grid strains. as reported by major news organizations. Needs to be major national headline news searching google news for texas blackout from a non-local news source.
2023-10-02T13:42:04
2023-12-21T06:04:15
2023-12-21T06:04:15
no
MANIFOLD
mani-pV1DRNnR6L5U7jnlNqW2
Will Taylor Swift be seen sitting next to Roger Goodell at an NFL game by the end of the 2023 season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-02T13:14:38
2024-02-11T20:00:02
2024-02-11T20:00:02
no
MANIFOLD
mani-GzBYbbEz80c2P8Vq5OXX
Will Taylor Swift wear a Travis Kelce jersey on stage while performing by the end of 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-02T13:12:32
2024-12-31T20:59:00
2025-01-02T01:01:12
no
MANIFOLD
mani-7Jb05rgjGxatqMIfv6DG
Will Jason Kelce be sitting in a box with Taylor Swift at the 2023 Super Bowl?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-02T13:04:16
2024-02-11T21:53:19
2024-02-11T21:53:19
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-dqKsLvmetr3FgoAXhj1O
Will Taylor Swift be the featured halftime performer at the 2024 Super Bowl?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-02T13:01:01
2025-02-10T08:33:31
2025-02-10T08:33:31
no
MANIFOLD
mani-xUpE7Z2slSoewlqsW8Wm
Will the US government be shut down on 18 Nov 2023
On 30 Sept 2023, the US government was funded by a continuing resolution until 17 Nov 2023. Will it shut down when that continuing resolution expires (that is, will it be shut down at 12:01 AM on 18 Nov 2023)? Since I should be asleep or otherwise occupied at 12:01 AM, I plan to resolve this by what the OPM website (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/) says on 18 Nov 2023. But I'll use my best judgment and news reports for odd situations.
2023-10-02T11:51:55
2023-11-17T20:59:00
2023-11-18T12:58:16
no
MANIFOLD
mani-FyMZxyI4mczuBzkf9kxP
Will Jimmy Carter survive the Winter?
Astronomical Winter Dec 21 2023 to March 19 2024
2023-10-02T10:50:43
2024-03-19T07:04:25
2024-03-19T07:04:25
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-NXyHNLfHtgCyetGtV2Ar
Will Destiny reach 722k subscribers in October?
https://socialblade.com/youtube/c/destiny related markets: Will Destiny reach 723k subscribers in October? Will Destiny reach 724k subscribers in October? Will Destiny reach 725k subscribers in October? Will Destiny's YouTube channel reach 750k subscribers by the end of October?‌ How many subscribers will Destiny have by the end of October?
2023-10-02T10:40:02
2023-10-28T15:56:03
2023-10-28T15:56:03
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-lPnamxI3Zhr93sKs2Ola
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers cannonball the Buffalo Bills? 🏈 TNF
YES if Tampa Bay win. NO if Bills win or tie.
2023-10-02T10:35:12
2023-10-26T20:21:44
2023-10-26T20:21:44
no
MANIFOLD
mani-19K0M6eNdhDQOKHoaRtn
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars rip apart the New Orleans Saints? 🏈 TNF
YES if Jaguars win. NO if Saints win or tie.
2023-10-02T10:31:49
2023-10-19T20:25:38
2023-10-19T20:25:38
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-OwiOStZbM5t0QaQIhWwV
Will the Denver Broncos trample the Kansas City Chiefs? 🏈 TNF
YES if Broncos win. NO if Chiefs win or tie.
2023-10-02T10:28:04
2023-10-12T20:11:21
2023-10-12T20:11:21
no
MANIFOLD
mani-18HRXo2LWzDqizrj8FEY
Will Destiny get unbanned from Twitch before October 2024?
Resolves to yes if Destiny's twitch account is officially unbanned. Even if he gets banned again the next day.
2023-10-02T10:15:55
2024-10-01T14:59:00
2024-10-01T20:36:59
no
MANIFOLD
mani-AlWuy3OXEGrgngYGKj14
Will the Chicago Bears maul the Washington Commanders? 🏈 TNF
YES if Bears win. NO if Commanders win or tie.
2023-10-02T10:13:25
2023-10-05T20:21:56
2023-10-05T20:21:56
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-SnmvgR6JMRA2LoFujpyX
Will Google Home Assistant have LLM integration by March 31, 2024? [1000M subsity]
Resolves YES if at any point before March 31, 2024 google home assistant has LLM integration. Must be available to all users, not via a whitelist. Can be an update automatically pushed to all users or a opt-in update available to all users. In the case of an opt-in update if evidence is not posted in the comments section and I can't find any evidence then Resolves NO on march 31, 2024. I will ask my google home: "write me a poem about a baby carrot going on a journey" if it cannot do that it's safe to say there is no LLM integration and resolves NO on march 31, 2024.
2023-10-02T09:38:06
2024-03-31T20:59:00
2024-04-01T03:24:18
no
MANIFOLD
mani-EoUYbNXp2SSY1f4ieyVs
Will Girona win the 2023/24 La Liga?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-02T09:34:49
2024-05-05T05:45:12
2024-05-05T05:45:12
no
MANIFOLD
mani-4ApPggXwRvCQhyp1bMEs
Will Argentina beat Peru? ⚽ World Cup Qualifiers
Argentina wins = yes / Peru wins or draws = no
2023-10-02T09:17:04
2023-10-17T21:05:32
2023-10-17T21:05:32
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-KBpkraPKYBRZi9MuWuHb
Will Argentina beat Paraguay? ⚽ World Cup Qualifiers
Argentina wins = yes / Paraguay wins or draws = no
2023-10-02T09:16:26
2023-10-12T18:13:59
2023-10-12T18:13:59
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-M1tgK6TFKrTtiUFL0SoJ
Will Inter Miami beat Charlotte? ⚽ MLS (Oct 18)
Inter Miami wins = yes / Charlotte wins or draws = no
2023-10-02T09:12:49
2023-10-18T19:08:52
2023-10-18T19:08:52
no
MANIFOLD
mani-la2ik4Bvun3E8AxaahyE
Will Inter Miami beat Chicago? ⚽ MLS
Inter Miami wins = yes / Chicago wins or draws = no
2023-10-02T09:10:45
2023-10-04T19:31:07
2023-10-04T19:31:07
no
MANIFOLD
mani-PEXoWXCuXogCI9GKKHG3
Will the UK's FTSE 100 close higher on 3rd October than it closed on 2nd October?
Will the FTSE 100 close higher on Tuesday 3rd October than it did on Monday 2nd October? The market closes at 16:30 UK time when trading stops on the FTSE. The official source of truth is the official FTSE 100 page but this is delayed by around 15 minutes so many traders use Google to track up to the minute prices, either by Googling "FTSE 100" or at this page. Note this is not guaranteed to be perfectly up to date - the numbers occasionally stall entirely and quite often shift very slightly after the market has closed. These movements aren't usually significant but can make the difference between an up day and a down day if the margin is close enough! Some longer term FTSE 100 markets: @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2023-abov @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2024-abov @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2025-abov
2023-10-02T09:10:29
2023-10-03T08:30:00
2023-10-03T09:07:02
no
MANIFOLD
mani-0wDahhqYpYn2hyPXTBGN
Will Messi score 5 or more goals in October?
All goals scored count, for club or country in any match played October 2023.
2023-10-02T09:08:31
2023-10-23T05:31:50
2023-10-23T05:31:50
no
MANIFOLD
mani-cFQWXIpgY2Bh92nRH0Po
Will Messi score 3 or more goals in October?
All goals scored count, for club or country in any match played October 2023.
2023-10-02T09:08:01
2023-10-17T20:20:00
2023-10-17T20:20:00
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-97Ubi0SGKMAisBY9dett
Will Donald Trump express ambiguous support for removing Kevin McCarthy as speaker before Oct 31?
So far, Trump has avoided commenting on whether or not he supports Matt Gaetz's attempt to remove Kevin McCarthy as speaker. "I don't know anything about those efforts, but I like both of them very much," Trump told reporters in Iowa. "I think it's too early [to comment], it just happened a little while ago. I've always had a great relationship with [McCarthy], he said very nice things about me and the job I've done, so I appreciate that." Before October 31st, will it be reported or captured on video that Trump expresses support for getting rid of Kevin McCarthy even if the statement is only ambiguously in support of removal? For instance , this would resolve as yes with the statement, "I think Kevin's done a great job but a lot of people are saying the it's time for Kevin to move on." Please see my related market about weather Trump makes a statement unambiguously supporting removal. Only statements created after the creation of this market will count. (https://manifold.markets/embed/WrongoPhD/will-donald-trump-express-unambiguo?r=V3JvbmdvUGhE)
2023-10-02T07:27:59
2023-10-13T13:45:07
2023-10-13T13:45:19
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-M35htaAZ2ryuhZiuhCAe
Will Donald Trump express unambiguous support for removing Kevin McCarthy as speaker before Oct 31?
So far, Trump has avoided commenting on whether or not he supports Matt Gaetz's attempt to remove Kevin McCarthy as speaker. "I don't know anything about those efforts, but I like both of them very much," Trump told reporters in Iowa. "I think it's too early [to comment], it just happened a little while ago. I've always had a great relationship with [McCarthy], he said very nice things about me and the job I've done, so I appreciate that." Before October 31st, will it be reported or captured on video that Trump expresses support for getting rid of Kevin McCarthy? For this resolve as yes, the statement of support has to be unambiguous. It cannot be, for instance , a statement that Trump has heard a lot of people say it's time for Kevin to move on. Please see my related market about weather Trump makes a statement ambiguously supporting removal. Only statements created after the creation of this market will count. (https://manifold.markets/embed/WrongoPhD/will-donald-trump-express-ambiguous?r=V3JvbmdvUGhE)
2023-10-02T07:24:04
2023-10-31T20:59:00
2023-10-31T21:01:57
no
MANIFOLD
mani-CaOUYx7CQof1z6sNgHUk
Will the S&P 500 increase in Q4 2023?
Will the S&P 500 close at 4288.05 or higher on 2023-12-29 ()? See also: @/XComhghall/will-the-sp-500-increase-in-decembe-d07e0755a99b @/XComhghall/will-sp-500-increase-overall-in-202S&P 500 close level from Q3 2022 to Q3 2023 3955.00, 3839.50, 4109.31, 4450.38, 4288.05 https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices
2023-10-02T06:07:21
2023-12-29T17:44:54
2023-12-30T15:56:01
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-XBHo4QI7Gc9wioXPAOvI
Will any Democrat vote to support keeping McCarthy as speaker?
If there is a motion to vacate, will any Democrat vote to keep McCarthy as speaker. This would include YES vote or any tactic that helps get McCarthy over the line such as D's voting PRESENT.
2023-10-02T04:56:29
2023-10-03T13:48:52
2023-10-03T13:48:52
no
MANIFOLD
mani-bYW7JS01TU8dW7owscCg
Will Barbie gross $1.45 billion worldwide by the end of 2023?
The Barbie film has been a huge success, already grossing $1.43 billion worldwide. It looked like $1.5 billion was on, but Manifold thinks that the film is going to fall a bit short of that number: @/SimonGrayson/will-barbie-gross-14-billion-worldw @/SimonGrayson/will-barbie-gross-15-billion-worldw Will it manage $1.45 billion? I will use this page at Box Office Mojo as the source. If the worldwide total hits $1.45 billion (unless there's some sort of obvious glitch on the site), this will resolve to YES. If we reach the end of the year and it hasn't hit that number, the market will resolve to NO. Weekly progress (worldwide gross as reported by Box Office Mojo each week): 7th August - $1.030 billion 14th August - $1.184 billion 21st August - $1.279 billion 28th August - $1.340 billion 4th September - $1.381 billion 11th September - $1.403 billion 18th September - $1.417 billion 25th September - $1.427 billion 2nd October - $1.433 billion
2023-10-02T02:24:24
2024-01-01T03:23:37
2024-01-01T03:23:37
no
MANIFOLD
mani-9ARIOtNLjeW7wOodbxIM
Will Poland 2023 elections be repeated?
If, after parliamentary elections on October 15 2023, and before April 15 2024, there are another parliamentary elections announced in Poland(the date officially known), this will resolve to YES.
2023-10-02T02:17:45
2024-04-16T14:59:00
2024-04-23T12:10:46
no
MANIFOLD
mani-fdz1mzy1zqJ77oWpaRci
Will Humane sell 10k AI Pins before 2025?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-02T00:36:50
2024-12-31T23:59:00
2025-01-01T14:48:11
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-SUDtr4BJqyn5PEdEVCml
Will the Bengals beat the Seahawks Oct 15th?
I'm not a big sports follower. But it's a home game and I have some family friends flying in to see it. Will we be drinking in celebration or in sorrow at the end of the game?!? Resolves yes if they Win. Resolves no if they lose or tie. A tie is not winning, lol.
2023-10-01T18:26:10
2023-10-15T20:59:00
2023-10-17T08:17:19
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-BUvTGtmfArtm61LjpT6E
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from or resign his seat in Congress before Market closes?
Matt Gaetz is under investigation by the House Ethics Committee. He's also not making friends. This will resolve as YES is he is expelled, or resigns for any reason.
2023-10-01T17:26:28
2024-01-15T20:59:00
2024-01-16T05:22:08
no
MANIFOLD
mani-AIkmtcmMMOYH9u1l9RDx
Will Donald Trump still be alive on November 1st, 2023?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-01T13:44:53
2023-10-31T22:59:00
2023-10-31T23:01:53
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-CKZDk1Drh721NAur2MmU
Will Cruise announce 6 million driverless miles before the end of October 2023?
Any annoucement including a blog post, company/employee social media post, press release, or news article is fine. Time ends at 23:59:59 on October 31, 2023, Pacific Time. Note that this market depends on a public announcement, so it still resolves to NO if the miles are announced after closing time even if those miles were achieved before closing time. (Note that driverless miles are NOT the same as self-driving miles. The later includes safety driver miles)
2023-10-01T09:07:09
2023-10-31T23:59:00
2023-11-01T00:37:50
no
MANIFOLD
mani-beO7vne4UAZIR1j4Vo9W
October 2023: Will Bitcoin hit $30,000?
If in October 2023 (ET timezone), at least one 30min Coingecko candle hits a high $30,000 or more, this will resolve YES [image]--- ➡️ check markets at Tomek's Specials! 😎
2023-10-01T08:41:29
2023-10-20T15:51:48
2023-10-20T15:51:48
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-Vz3oXDrDBLBx0cGiXQO0
Will Bitcoin (BTC) close October higher than it opened?
October 1st Open: $26,970 vs October 31st Close... resolves based on Coingecko Historical Data https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/historical_data#panel [link preview]
2023-10-01T08:39:26
2023-11-01T08:30:09
2023-11-01T08:30:09
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-uSJf9ymrDcqzd655ZrfL
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2024?
Resolves YES it at any time within 2024, mainstream news sources (e.g. Dutch NOS News) report that the Dutch cabinet has fallen (in said year). Resolves NO otherwise.
2023-10-01T08:30:04
2024-12-31T14:59:00
2025-01-01T02:34:40
no
MANIFOLD
mani-v6gM2Ub3jNGuYaVvvNyG
Will Joe Biden be alive on November 1, 2023?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-10-01T08:12:58
2023-10-31T23:01:00
2023-10-31T23:01:23
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-n5CrbeIbGgYYVG7mOvfa
Will a hurricane in the Atlantic make landfall anywhere in the month of October 2023?
Landfall as defined by the NHC. Atlantic storms could strike the US, islands in the Caribbean, Bermuda, etc. The storm has to have had hurricane strength according to the NHC at the time of landfall.
2023-10-01T04:16:55
2023-10-21T18:47:54
2023-10-21T18:47:54
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-R6EHtESZnP2rHDABBMGv
Poland 2023 elections: will PiS + Konfederacja win the majority of seats in Sejm?
Resolves to YES if the total number of seats in Sejm (the lower chamber) won by PiS and Konfederacja in the 2023 Polish parliamentary elections is at least 231 (corresponding to an absolute majority). This is regardless of whether these two parties enter a coalition and will resolve once the final official results are published
2023-10-01T03:15:49
2023-10-17T00:38:46
2023-10-17T00:38:46
no
MANIFOLD
mani-18QdbNRDpAtRy24sNuWH
Is eugenics bad?
Resolves YES/NO to majority vote of poll I will hold around market close. If the poll is 50/50 I will resolve to PROB=50%.
2023-10-01T03:09:40
2023-10-22T14:59:00
2023-11-27T20:10:16
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-HkD9wFEesZnK1tPq0bbY
Will AI wipe "out" before end of 2023?
This resolves to YES if I'm provided with credible video evidence of a robot controlled by an AI intentionally wiping the word "out" off of a whiteboard, chalkboard, or other wipeable writing surface.
2023-10-01T02:48:46
2023-12-31T13:36:33
2023-12-31T13:36:33
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-nsfcwLEEPiuhxXsPWuqU
Will the S&P 500 increase in October 2023?
Will the S&P 500 close at 4288.05 or higher on 2023-10-31 ()? See also: @/XComhghall/will-the-sp-500-increase-in-q4-2023 @/XComhghall/will-sp-500-increase-overall-in-202S&P 500 close level from January to September 2023 4076.60, 3970.15, 4109.31, 4169.48, 4179.83, 4450.38, 4588.96, 4507.66, 4288.05 https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices
2023-10-01T02:37:36
2023-10-31T21:02:08
2023-10-31T21:02:08
no
MANIFOLD
mani-iu9VlpzoSK4zU5GTeX8h
Will Kenyan troops be in Haiti by 2025?
Resolves YES if Kenya sends troops into Haiti. https://apnews.com/article/haiti-un-armed-force-resolution-8dd702880e3a3838e3d406c1e52c09cc [link preview]
2023-09-30T23:06:05
2024-08-15T20:18:48
2024-08-15T20:18:48
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-X0dJPHVsybKRyhBgsndD
Will the New York Giants beat the Seattle Seahawks in their Week 4 matchup in the 2023 NFL Season?
Yes - Giants win No - Seahawks win or tie N/A - Game gets canceled
2023-09-30T17:49:02
2023-10-02T20:19:19
2023-10-02T20:19:54
no
MANIFOLD
mani-LcQzHtaWFcw0bU2SDbSG
Will Scott Alexander publish his Manifest writeup on a Monday?
Scott has mentioned working on a piece about the Manifest conference, will this come out Monday in PT? EDIT Oct 1: This market resolves YES if it comes out on any Monday in Pacific Time, not necessarily Oct 2nd. I mostly created this market because I'm curious if he'll title it Manifest Monday or Mantic Monday: Manifest Mode or sth
2023-09-30T16:39:54
2023-10-30T23:25:54
2023-10-30T23:25:54
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-xnYZT26Q9gKgd0NfZeZS
Will forsen beat XQC's record before the end of 2023
Time to beat: 16:38:377
2023-09-30T15:58:39
2023-10-20T12:29:39
2023-10-20T12:29:39
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-jWTWewpyFPMcmHZpxoFk
will we still be talking about LLM Hallucinations this time next year?
will hallucinations still be the headline topic this time(october 1st 2024) next year?
2023-09-30T15:07:50
2024-10-07T15:59:00
2024-10-08T09:35:57
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-reWmbDyNUav08K9YZD1X
Will Destiny reach 725k subscribers in October?
https://socialblade.com/youtube/c/destiny related markets: @/johnleoks/will-destinys-youtube-channel-reach-4b61755ab6e1 @/Agh/how-many-subscribers-will-destiny-h-5ae7c1915f0f
2023-09-30T14:39:03
2023-11-01T01:00:00
2023-11-01T01:00:53
no
MANIFOLD
mani-0tn7rxvGQbaeW5RrbubU
Will Jamaal Bowman be charged for pulling the fire alarm?
Congressman Jamaal Bowman is accused of pulling a fire alarm to delay proceedings. Will he be legally charged? https://www.foxnews.com/politics/progressive-squad-democrat-accused-of-pulling-fire-alarm-amid-tense-shutdown-talks.amp
2023-09-30T12:10:27
2023-10-26T16:29:50
2023-10-26T16:29:50
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-zS1N5jZbVrZ7IlG5znuq
Will a new Destiny video reach 500k views in October 2023?
Resolves yes if a video posted in October on Destiny's main channel reaches 500k views before this market closes Livestreams and Youtube shorts don't count.
2023-09-30T09:49:36
2023-10-23T09:15:39
2023-10-23T09:15:39
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-8086SGL1J3FXrHNxalkk
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-29T17:43:32
2024-11-06T05:29:00
2024-11-12T10:52:22
no
MANIFOLD
mani-2obRchqs7An6hcadl1mZ
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-29T17:43:14
2024-11-06T05:29:00
2024-11-22T04:12:51
no
MANIFOLD
mani-aXGZT0DI0ee6GinaYnrD
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-29T17:42:52
2024-11-06T05:29:00
2024-11-22T04:13:12
no
MANIFOLD
mani-Sy9yiWbHVTcaZ7UvRY2y
Will Google's Gemini be released on Wednesday, October 4th?
This tweet predicts that Google's new Gemini model will be released next Wednesday (10/04/2023). This will resolve to yes if Google "releases" Gemini in the sense of opening up public access to a model called Gemini on or before next Wednesday. A beta release will count if it's publicly announced and opened to consumers not just companies.
2023-09-29T16:38:50
2023-10-05T08:08:06
2023-10-05T08:08:06
no
MANIFOLD
mani-XF35psu0xG4C2uDBbYSh
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 1?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom announces who will be replacing Dianne Feinstein's vacant US Senate seat by October 1, 2023, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be any definitive announcement by Gavin Newsom and/or his official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
2023-09-29T15:20:39
2023-10-01T20:51:10
2023-10-01T20:51:10
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-8oBAFe9uDWtIQRmF3LG8
Will Anthropic automate AI research in 2024?
[image]Will this happen? If Anthropic succesfully automates AI research in 2024 this market resolves YES. Otherwise this market resolves NO at close (start of 2025). I will ultimately be using my own judgement and deciding based on the spirit of this market. I plan to be heavily watching Anthropic, investigating what AI researchers believe, and getting input and feedback from others. A minor amount of irrelevant tasks automated won't count, we are talking about a meaningful amount of AI research automation. I will NOT bet in this market.
2023-09-29T15:00:43
2025-01-01T23:59:00
2025-01-02T15:20:19
no
MANIFOLD
mani-6xnFKqqhCVUxqFt0neqB
Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and NATO/Kosovo in 2023? [Ṁ1000 Pool]
https://apnews.com/article/kosovo-serbia-clashes-raid-police-f671bd21560f60bdca72d2daf7ce50ef This is a developing story. Feel free to ask clarifying questions, as there will likely be edits in the early stage of this Question. Will resolve to Yes if at any point in the next 3 months, Serbian state troops or munitions inflict any casualties on NATO or Kosovo troops or civilians, or vice versa. Resolves No if there are only civilian-on-civilian or civilian-on-military casualties. [link preview]
2023-09-29T14:20:50
2024-01-01T05:02:02
2024-01-01T05:02:02
no
MANIFOLD
mani-w1TS8ILhS3513TbLB7nO
Will every digit 0-9 appear in the S&P 500 closing price for 12 days from Oct 2 - Oct 17?
We only care about the integer part cutting off any fraction without rounding.. We are only referring to the closing price. This is for a timespan of 12 days. If there is a holiday or other day without a unique closing price in the interval due to the market not having been open, we will extend the deadline to get another day until there are 12 days included. If after the week, from within the ten closing prices, every decimal digit appears at least once, this resolves YES. Otherwise NO. It can resolve early. Example prices: day 1: closes at 127.45 -> 1,2,7 seen day 2: closes at 139.9907 -> 1,2,3,7,9 seen Etc If all seen by the end, YES, otherwise NO
2023-09-29T13:31:52
2023-10-17T13:41:13
2023-10-17T13:41:13
no
MANIFOLD
mani-E4JK43umdDqTAbz0rGOH
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q1 2024? (Closes Friday Mar 29 above 5246.813)
Edit: If it closes end of march at over 5246.813, then YES otherwise no Calculation: 4769.83 * 1.1 = 5246.813 The title says OVER 10% so it has to beat that Edit: added March 11. This refers to whether the percentage change from the start to the end of the time period is over the limit. So it cannot resolve early. Edit March 27: To make sure we contain all global change, this will be measured from the last instant of the prior quarter (close price end of 2023) to the last instant of Q1 2024, (closing price) this is because the starting price on a day isn't always the same as the closing price the prior day. If we only did within-interval times, then adding up the quarterly gains for the 4 quarters of a year, say, would be seriously off from the number you'd get if you calculated the full year change directly. To avoid that, we use an open interval at the start and end on a closed one, i.e. [prior interval start=A, prior interval end=B],[this interval start=C, this interval end=D] we are measuring B =>D.
2023-09-29T13:23:45
2024-03-29T12:39:12
2024-03-29T12:39:12
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-wkWdtesDTEZYAcsKXSWR
Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in one day in October 2023?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-29T13:22:01
2023-10-31T23:59:00
2023-11-01T09:37:58
no
MANIFOLD
mani-sqTVJ60nlGKV763HfAGm
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2?
Resolves the same as https://polymarket.com/event/will-newsom-announce-feinsteins-replacement-by-october-2 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom announces who will be replacing Dianne Feinstein's vacant US Senate seat by October 2, 2023, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be any definitive announcement by Gavin Newsom and/or his official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. [link preview]
2023-09-29T12:00:30
2023-10-02T05:18:49
2023-10-02T05:18:49
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-ehAqP6KgHX77QWafkQSo
Will There Be Another Apple Event in 2023?
"It is typical for Apple to hold up to four events per year: one in the spring, WWDC in June, the fall iPhone event, and a fourth fall event that's Mac and/or iPad focused." - MacRumors They have held an event in October or later in 8 out of 12 years since Tim Cook took over. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Apple_Inc._media_events Just a press release doesn't count, but if they announce a video ahead of time and play it live (even if there are no in-person participants), I will resolve this as YES.
2023-09-29T11:35:07
2023-10-30T17:07:34
2023-10-30T17:07:34
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-rZee25uEgIDNIOltT2rY
Will the UK's FTSE 100 close higher on 2nd October than it closed on 29th September?
Will the FTSE 100 close higher on Monday 2nd October than it did on Friday 29th September? The market closes at 16:30 UK time when trading stops on the FTSE. The official source of truth is the official FTSE 100 page but this is delayed by around 15 minutes so many traders use Google to track up to the minute prices, either by Googling "FTSE 100" or at this page. Note this is not guaranteed to be perfectly up to date - the numbers occasionally stall entirely and quite often shift very slightly after the market has closed. These movements aren't usually significant but can make the difference between an up day and a down day if the margin is close enough! Some longer term FTSE 100 markets: @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2023-abov @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2024-abov @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2025-abov
2023-09-29T08:59:16
2023-10-02T08:30:00
2023-10-02T09:10:52
no
MANIFOLD
mani-iUCAwgAlFr1TKMv1DjgW
Will Caleb Williams and Drake Maye be the first two picks, in order, in the 2024 NFL Draft?
Resolves Yes if Caleb Williams is selected with pick No. 1 and Drake Maye is selected with pick No. 2. Otherwise resolves No.
2023-09-29T08:51:22
2024-04-28T18:59:13
2024-04-28T18:59:13
no
MANIFOLD
mani-ghLWd5b0PtPKFgzgRCKe
Will a member of United States congress die in 2024?
If they are elected at any point in the 30 days prior to death, or the day they die, it will resolve YES. House & Senate
2023-09-29T08:05:43
2024-08-31T09:26:38
2024-08-31T09:26:38
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-qw68dAPzUMpoWXbzj0N3
Will Tesla deliver more than 50000 Cybertrucks in 2024?
Market will remain open until we know clearly how many were delivered.
2023-09-29T07:46:47
2025-01-03T20:25:22
2025-01-03T20:25:22
no
MANIFOLD
mani-Au8EmpJmQ0jFxiRmXUor
Will Google Bard be publicly available in Canada by the end of 2023?
If Google Bard is renamed, or if it's deprecated but a very similar product is released in its stead (e.g. "Google Gemini"), the question would shift to that new product. If the entire product is deprecated with no replacement, such that it's not publicly available anywhere globally by the end of 2023, the question will still count as NO.
2023-09-29T06:17:57
2023-12-31T20:59:00
2023-12-31T21:06:49
no
MANIFOLD
mani-aM8xScdh1CZrpgFq96fx
Will a hurricane make landfall anywhere in the continental US before the end of October?
The storm has to have had hurricane strength according to the NHC at the time of landfall. I may wait a couple of days to resolve in case of uncertainty but I will not wait until the next year's NHC report which sometimes includes reassessments. Landfall: The intersection of the surface center of a tropical cyclone with a coastline. Because the strongest winds in a tropical cyclone are not located precisely at the center, it is possible for a cyclone's strongest winds to be experienced over land even if landfall does not occur. Source: National Hurricane Center.
2023-09-29T06:03:36
2023-10-31T15:03:59
2023-10-31T15:03:59
no
MANIFOLD
mani-Ed5vx23heYOycqAta4XD
Will Twitter/X change its logo from the current '𝕏' by the end of 2024?
The poll closes as YES if the current Twitter/X logo will be changed to something that does not resemble the mathematical 𝕏 symbol.
2023-09-29T03:14:26
2024-12-31T14:59:00
2025-01-01T12:26:57
no
MANIFOLD
mani-8oeUq0fvBB66DyEnvIBn
Will Destiny talk to Nick Fuentes again in 2023?
Beginning 9/28/23, ends at the end of the year.
2023-09-28T20:58:50
2023-12-31T22:59:00
2023-12-31T23:08:50
no
MANIFOLD
mani-qoQ7BQgJpSsDdcFWNW15
Will Matt Gaetz file a challenge to remove McCarthy as speaker by Halloween?
Gaetz wants to do it but can he muster enough outrage/support that the vote is significant enough to weaken the speaker even further if McCarthy survives the vote?
2023-09-28T14:24:30
2023-10-02T16:33:03
2023-10-02T16:33:03
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-1ObUniVTMLyuxIuyGvLj
Will destiny relapse on Factorio before July 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-28T13:49:24
2024-07-02T12:00:26
2024-07-02T12:00:26
no
MANIFOLD
mani-5oE9lF022jEYITpuvME1
Will every digit 0-9 appear in the S&P 500 closing price for 15 days from Oct 2 - Oct 20?
We only care about the integer part cutting off any fraction without rounding.. We are only referring to the closing price. This is for a timespan of 15 days. If there is a holiday or other day without a unique closing price in the interval due to the market not having been open, we will extend the deadline to get another day until there are 15 days included. If after the week, from within the ten closing prices, every decimal digit appears at least once, this resolves YES. Otherwise NO. It can resolve early. Example prices: day 1: closes at 127.45 -> 1,2,7 seen day 2: closes at 139.9907 -> 1,2,3,7,9 seen Etc If all seen by the end, YES, otherwise NO
2023-09-28T12:22:20
2023-10-18T13:21:18
2023-10-18T13:21:18
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-C3q9xXBYixspO4tSPIS9
Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's Prime Minister on January 1, 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-28T10:36:13
2024-01-02T23:59:00
2024-01-03T00:11:35
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-k1m04GrrZ7sR5w3xLNUn
Will Destiny talk to ChudLogic by the end of 2023?
Title. Must be on stream, or in a youtube video. Released after this market was created & before the close date.
2023-09-28T10:29:10
2023-11-06T14:20:05
2023-11-06T14:20:05
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-qInh1689XvQ2pFo4trP3
Will a hardware AI device by Jonny Ive and OpenAI be released before 2025?
https://www.ft.com/content/4c64ffc1-f57b-4e22-a4a5-f9f90a7419b7 [link preview]
2023-09-28T10:28:18
2024-12-31T14:59:00
2025-01-19T20:54:41
no
MANIFOLD
mani-8FpewH70GHPeI6TadHV9
Will the Manchester Leg of HS2 be scrapped before the end of the year?
High Speed 2 was originally meant to stretch to Manchester, however recent talk has put that stretch into doubt. Will resolve "YES" if the Manchester portion of HS2 is scrapped, or if the entire project is cancelled.
2023-09-28T09:52:59
2023-10-04T06:54:20
2023-10-04T06:54:20
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-VEMelfGW3ozObSRADzUl
Will the social media site formerly known as Twitter be profitable "early 2024"?
Context: https://www.wsj.com/tech/x-ceo-linda-yaccarino-says-platform-should-turn-profit-in-2024-8575a1c [link preview]> X Corp. Chief Executive Linda Yaccarino said on Wednesday the company is “just about break even” in terms of operating cash-flow and should turn a profit early next year. Resolves YES if they are profitable in either Q1 or Q2, 2024.
2023-09-28T08:05:45
2024-07-01T14:59:00
2024-07-22T10:08:27
no
MANIFOLD
mani-MJ83GjVZFw4RPLI7dRtF
Will NIFTY 50 (NIFTY) close higher on October 9 than it closed on October 6?
What is NIFTY 50? The NIFTY 50 is an index of the country’s top 50 companies by market capitalization that are listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). It is one of the two most referenced barometers used by investors to track how the “Indian stock market is doing”. The other is the Sensex – a similar index of 30 stocks managed by the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE).  Question closes at 9.30 am GMT i..e. 3 pm IST Resolves based on below website at 11.30 am GMT i.e. 5 pm IST - https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NIFTY_50:INDEXNSE [link preview]
2023-09-28T03:36:06
2023-10-09T02:30:00
2023-10-09T03:05:25
no
MANIFOLD