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mani-XqLbsKoMvRZBVfggr19n
NFL Week 9 (Nov 5): Will the Green Bay Packers beat the Los Angeles Rams?
The game will take place at Lambeau Field at 10:00 PST on November 5, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:28:05
2023-11-05T13:45:56
2023-11-05T13:45:56
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-80i8fGLYjF0vOd91KidN
NFL Week 9 (Nov 5): Will the Baltimore Ravens beat the Seattle Seahawks?
The game will take place at M&T Bank Stadium at 10:00 PST on November 5, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:28:02
2023-11-05T14:05:21
2023-11-05T14:05:21
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-ofAJU7EBOrOeYPIffMfr
NFL Week 9 (Nov 5): Will the Atlanta Falcons beat the Minnesota Vikings?
The game will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 10:00 PST on November 5, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:28:00
2023-11-05T14:04:22
2023-11-05T14:04:22
no
MANIFOLD
mani-SRyIbPky6U1CVOXBEO7V
NFL Week 9 (Nov 5): Will the Kansas City Chiefs beat the Miami Dolphins?
The game will take place at Deutsche Bank Park at 06:30 PST on November 5, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:57
2023-11-05T09:39:55
2023-11-05T09:39:55
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-UigJz3Yp0Npke4mGzcPC
NFL Week 9 (Nov 2): Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Tennessee Titans?
The game will take place at Acrisure Stadium at 17:15 PDT on November 2, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:55
2023-11-02T20:39:22
2023-11-02T20:39:22
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-S7lyn4EoDM5avf71Ct5E
NFL Week 8 (Oct 30): Will the Detroit Lions beat the Las Vegas Raiders?
The game will take place at Ford Field at 17:15 PDT on October 30, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:54
2023-10-30T20:16:41
2023-10-30T20:16:41
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-ZdbnHnuV4AuAXO6VBwWs
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Los Angeles Chargers beat the Chicago Bears?
The game will take place at SoFi Stadium at 17:20 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:51
2023-10-29T20:23:02
2023-10-29T20:23:02
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-mKSxmih1N5iom64DcQDd
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the San Francisco 49ers beat the Cincinnati Bengals?
The game will take place at Levi's® Stadium at 13:25 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:50
2023-10-29T16:29:49
2023-10-29T16:29:49
no
MANIFOLD
mani-qL3witNmNIfjnlgA1vWM
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Denver Broncos beat the Kansas City Chiefs?
The game will take place at Empower Field at Mile High at 13:25 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:48
2023-10-29T17:34:07
2023-10-29T17:34:07
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-8O5OfULAAwU8t5ma4vXK
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Arizona Cardinals beat the Baltimore Ravens?
The game will take place at State Farm Stadium at 13:25 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:46
2023-10-29T17:32:35
2023-10-29T17:32:35
no
MANIFOLD
mani-WanPmbKqnMKR4TdZdjvV
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Seattle Seahawks beat the Cleveland Browns?
The game will take place at Lumen Field at 13:05 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:45
2023-10-29T17:38:23
2023-10-29T17:38:23
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-tq4RkHB8XU6QmbCF01mG
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Washington Commanders beat the Philadelphia Eagles?
The game will take place at FedExField at 10:00 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:43
2023-10-29T14:01:24
2023-10-29T14:01:24
no
MANIFOLD
mani-rreeGIl5y76tvdICgPQ7
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Jacksonville Jaguars?
The game will take place at Acrisure Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:40
2023-10-29T14:00:58
2023-10-29T14:00:58
no
MANIFOLD
mani-4ldlIJCAMQxipPOhFMMa
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the New York Giants beat the New York Jets?
The game will take place at MetLife Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:38
2023-10-29T13:56:46
2023-10-29T13:56:46
no
MANIFOLD
mani-AY5O3nT3dpj7aZdQ0xSE
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Miami Dolphins beat the New England Patriots?
The game will take place at Hard Rock Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:36
2023-10-29T14:00:34
2023-10-29T14:00:34
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-UBllyVHOWzTica0LbX5j
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Green Bay Packers beat the Minnesota Vikings?
The game will take place at Lambeau Field at 10:00 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:33
2023-10-29T13:59:48
2023-10-29T13:59:48
no
MANIFOLD
mani-eISysPonQB8GVcKaT37Q
NFL Week 8 (Oct 29): Will the Dallas Cowboys beat the Los Angeles Rams?
The game will take place at AT&T Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 29, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:31
2023-10-29T13:57:56
2023-10-29T13:57:56
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-hGI8o2xo8fb7XyH3UJfb
NFL Week 7 (Oct 23): Will the Minnesota Vikings beat the San Francisco 49ers?
The game will take place at U.S. Bank Stadium at 17:15 PDT on October 23, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:24
2023-10-23T20:37:00
2023-10-23T20:37:00
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-24VHvR5PFMOy1JGWBgiZ
NFL Week 7 (Oct 22): Will the Philadelphia Eagles beat the Miami Dolphins?
The game will take place at Lincoln Financial Field at 17:20 PDT on October 22, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:23
2023-10-22T20:16:56
2023-10-22T20:16:56
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-5JVT5DmNF7EpGfv8kB4P
NFL Week 7 (Oct 22): Will the Denver Broncos beat the Green Bay Packers?
The game will take place at Empower Field at Mile High at 13:25 PDT on October 22, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:19
2023-10-22T16:26:06
2023-10-22T16:26:06
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-pIEAjrXmFhNh20DbWgq4
NFL Week 7 (Oct 22): Will the Los Angeles Rams beat the Pittsburgh Steelers?
The game will take place at SoFi Stadium at 13:05 PDT on October 22, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:16
2023-10-22T16:14:00
2023-10-22T16:14:00
no
MANIFOLD
mani-xsvulPoXja36QDj9uxdF
NFL Week 7 (Oct 22): Will the New York Giants beat the Washington Commanders?
The game will take place at MetLife Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 22, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:12
2023-10-22T13:14:39
2023-10-22T13:14:39
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-Dr3fmcqsjJFf7M0Bkslz
NFL Week 7 (Oct 22): Will the New England Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills?
The game will take place at Gillette Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 22, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:10
2023-10-22T13:04:49
2023-10-22T13:04:49
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-BsJsEd5JWoCJBCnC9BMn
NFL Week 7 (Oct 22): Will the Indianapolis Colts beat the Cleveland Browns?
The game will take place at Lucas Oil Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 22, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:09
2023-10-22T13:44:31
2023-10-22T13:44:31
no
MANIFOLD
mani-giFT7qRoOS0gU3xXirMR
NFL Week 7 (Oct 22): Will the Baltimore Ravens beat the Detroit Lions?
The game will take place at M&T Bank Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 22, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:05
2023-10-22T13:03:31
2023-10-22T13:03:31
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-veGYmjCPi8IVbC4zk1X8
NFL Week 6 (Oct 15): Will the Buffalo Bills beat the New York Giants?
The game will take place at Highmark Stadium at 17:20 PDT on October 15, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:27:00
2023-10-15T20:38:24
2023-10-15T20:38:24
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-FXmcGcac5ZB0J0EQJ64I
NFL Week 6 (Oct 15): Will the New York Jets beat the Philadelphia Eagles?
The game will take place at MetLife Stadium at 13:25 PDT on October 15, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:26:58
2023-10-15T16:41:33
2023-10-15T16:41:33
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-OEhpPKza3GT55LKgKFOa
NFL Week 6 (Oct 15): Will the Las Vegas Raiders beat the New England Patriots?
The game will take place at Allegiant Stadium at 13:05 PDT on October 15, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:26:53
2023-10-15T16:14:13
2023-10-15T16:14:13
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-T1tsNYlZ0L9Cc4yI6CGi
NFL Week 6 (Oct 15): Will the Miami Dolphins beat the Carolina Panthers?
The game will take place at Hard Rock Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 15, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:26:50
2023-10-15T13:23:11
2023-10-15T13:23:11
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-IZGKgVzgQtKyVjIEGRec
NFL Week 6 (Oct 15): Will the Cleveland Browns beat the San Francisco 49ers?
The game will take place at Cleveland Browns Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 15, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:26:44
2023-10-15T13:40:19
2023-10-15T13:40:19
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-x8iOkbBAfgCVCFx3SBiA
NFL Week 6 (Oct 15): Will the Chicago Bears beat the Minnesota Vikings?
The game will take place at Soldier Field at 10:00 PDT on October 15, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:26:40
2023-10-15T13:21:54
2023-10-15T13:21:54
no
MANIFOLD
mani-UISKpriXH2m1JZes15YC
NFL Week 5 (Oct 8): Will the Atlanta Falcons beat the Houston Texans?
The game will take place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 8, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:26:13
2023-10-08T13:07:12
2023-10-08T13:07:12
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-lOVmD21m7yLfbXQdg4Yj
NFL Week 5 (Oct 8): Will the Buffalo Bills beat the Jacksonville Jaguars?
The game will take place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium at 06:30 PDT on October 8, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on the spirit of the question. Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:26:11
2023-10-08T12:07:09
2023-10-08T12:07:09
no
MANIFOLD
mani-C7vASsZ62j1jrPUkgOPS
NFL Week 4 (Oct 2): Will the New York Giants beat the Seattle Seahawks?
The game will take place at MetLife Stadium at 17:15 PDT on October 2, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on _the spirit of the question._ Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:25:32
2023-10-02T22:24:32
2023-10-02T22:24:32
no
MANIFOLD
mani-Tp8fCWydHSMCvHNkpqdZ
NFL Week 4 (Oct 1): Will the New York Jets beat the Kansas City Chiefs?
The game will take place at MetLife Stadium at 17:20 PDT on October 1, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on _the spirit of the question._ Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:25:31
2023-10-01T20:20:27
2023-10-01T20:20:27
no
MANIFOLD
mani-f7EiKPOKIJxDilYlHijW
NFL Week 4 (Oct 1): Will the Dallas Cowboys beat the New England Patriots?
The game will take place at AT&T Stadium at 13:25 PDT on October 1, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on _the spirit of the question._ Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:25:26
2023-10-01T16:25:57
2023-10-01T16:25:57
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-cDHigyvQNr6OjUHEgxti
NFL Week 4 (Oct 1): Will the Philadelphia Eagles beat the Washington Commanders?
The game will take place at Lincoln Financial Field at 10:00 PDT on October 1, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on _the spirit of the question._ Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:25:21
2023-10-01T13:56:23
2023-10-01T13:56:23
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-IgWVWBaZ85Ln6q295CY6
NFL Week 4 (Oct 1): Will the Indianapolis Colts beat the Los Angeles Rams?
The game will take place at Lucas Oil Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 1, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on _the spirit of the question._ Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:25:18
2023-10-01T14:37:20
2023-10-01T14:37:20
no
MANIFOLD
mani-jID6rWr47ANJpgR2EExi
NFL Week 4 (Oct 1): Will the Carolina Panthers beat the Minnesota Vikings?
The game will take place at Bank of America Stadium at 10:00 PDT on October 1, 2023. A game ending in a tie will resolve NO. A game that does not have a winner (e.g. Bills-Bengals last year) will resolve N/A. Any uncontemplated edge cases will resolve using my best judgment based on _the spirit of the question._ Arguments that rely on technicalities like "the question said 'will they win on October 2' but technically the game ended at 12:01AM October 3" will not be received well.
2023-09-10T23:25:10
2023-10-01T13:02:24
2023-10-01T13:02:24
no
MANIFOLD
mani-kjSXsm1lkC4uJUBDVyYW
🏈 2023 NCAAF: Will Florida State defeat Clemson?
Kickoff: September 23, 2023 - 12 noon EDT Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC @/jks/-2023-ncaaf-will-the-ap-top-five-te-8a95ab97b4ab
2023-09-10T22:04:50
2023-09-23T12:37:57
2023-09-23T12:37:57
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-3fh1Z4rKdxXR8701hfzO
Will Tyreek Hill score 15 touchdowns this season?
Includes post season games.
2023-09-10T21:37:15
2024-01-13T20:22:21
2024-01-13T20:22:21
no
MANIFOLD
mani-BQYDfGbkgtHMLMpejVNH
Will any open-source model achieve GPT-4 level performance on MMLU through 2024?
GPT-4 currently leads the Multi-task language understanding benchmark [1] at 86.4% [2]. Will any open-source language model achieve at least 86.4% on MMLU average? A leaderboard of open-source models can be found here.
2023-09-10T13:26:59
2024-12-08T16:03:35
2024-12-08T16:03:35
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-MGpD9xKuRvba2LxkDoSx
Will Logan Paul beat Dillon Danis on their upcoming fight?
Resolves to Yes if Logan Win And NO if he looses....
2023-09-10T12:14:38
2023-10-14T15:32:46
2023-10-14T15:32:46
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-vR2o2odWKhjLq5wxafox
Will any nominee for the 2024 presidential election be removed from the ballot before the election?
For example, Joe Biden is nominated and then dies, or Donald Trump is nominated but then a court bans him from running or he chooses to withdraw. Only counts nominees from the democrats and republicans, not third parties. Being removed in any state is sufficient to resolve YES. If the candidate is physically on the ballot but everyone knows they can't win no matter how many votes they get (e.g. they died 1 day before the election and the ballots were already printed), that's also sufficient to resolve this to YES.
2023-09-10T11:41:03
2025-01-01T23:59:00
2025-01-02T18:47:54
no
MANIFOLD
mani-uNQzy4gbZKaS86Eitb0F
Will more acres burn during the 2023 California wildfire season than burned in 2022?
2022: 331,360 acres burned according to https://www.fire.ca.gov/incidents/2022 [link preview]
2023-09-10T10:08:31
2023-12-31T23:59:00
2024-01-06T14:54:46
no
MANIFOLD
mani-0bvLBIaXwd3ddMccnnmX
Will Trump's margin in republican primary polls fall below 20pp before the Iowa caucuses?
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. I will not be trading in those markets. If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread. [image]Resolves based on difference to second place candidate on FiveThirtyEight: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/national/
2023-09-10T09:23:02
2024-01-22T10:31:49
2024-01-22T10:31:49
no
MANIFOLD
mani-fN12OYGS30DGubdZuKEC
Will Vladimir Putin attend the G20 in Brazil in 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-10T08:57:13
2024-11-20T00:05:43
2024-11-20T00:05:43
no
MANIFOLD
mani-A5cwZlX7o9i3YVaBImNG
Will the United Auto Workers union strike major car makers this week?
Shawn Fain, president of the United Auto Workers union, has threatened General Motors, Ford and Stellantis with a strike if an agreement is not reached before the contracts with the union expires at 11:59 p.m. Eastern time on Thursday (September 15, 2023). Resolves YES if any of the three above mentioned contracts are not renewed due to disagreements with car makers before they expire on Thursday.
2023-09-10T08:55:09
2023-09-14T20:59:00
2023-09-14T21:04:43
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-fWAqoSHqn4jU884aY1uS
Will Astrobotic Technology's Peregrine lander successfully land on the moon?
Astrobotic Technology is a private spaceflight company. The Peregrine lander has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon. It should attempt a landing February 23, 2024. For a successful mission the Peregrine lander needs to soft-land on the moon, and the payloads on the lander need to be operational. The Peregrine mission is followed by two Griffin missions. [markets]
2023-09-10T07:20:42
2024-01-17T19:24:17
2024-01-17T19:24:17
no
MANIFOLD
mani-eWITNQOMqOI34hIY0ubS
Will Intuitive Machines' IM-1 mission successfully land on the moon?
Intuitive Machines is a private spaceflight company. The IM-1 mission has been contracted by NASA under the Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) program to build and fly a lander to the surface of the moon. For a successful mission the Nova-C lander needs to soft-land on the moon such that the landing does not interfere with the function of the payloads, and the mission timeline is not cut by more than 50%. IM-1 is followed by IM-2 and IM-3. @/Sailfish/will-intuitive-machines-im2-mission @/Sailfish/will-intuitive-machines-im3-mission IM-1 landed at February 22, 2024, 23:23:00 UTC, the mission is planned to continue until lunar night. The payloads that need to be confirmed to be functional for a YES resolution are: [ \ ] ROLSES: Radio Observations of the Lunar Surface Photoelectron Sheath [ \ ] LRA: Laser Retro-Reflector Array @/Sailfish/will-the-lunar-reconnaissance-orbit [ \ ] NDL: Navigation Doppler Lidar for Precise Velocity and Range Sensing [ ] SCALPSS: Stereo Cameras for Lunar Plume-Surface Studies [ \ ] LN-1: Lunar Node 1 Navigation Demonstrator [ \ ] RFMG: Radio Frequency Mass Gauge statement [ ] ILO-X: International Lunar Observatory Assosciation [ ] = Not confirmed to be functional [ \ ] = Claimed to be functional [ X ] = Mission requirements have been confirmed to be completed
2023-09-10T07:17:49
2024-03-01T05:01:15
2024-03-01T05:01:15
no
MANIFOLD
mani-ei4QYKr8SH8I5Hstcn9U
Will Tesla unveil their Robotaxi car design by the end of 2025?
Not deliver, but show the design of the future Robotaxi car (most likely without steering wheel, etc...)
2023-09-10T05:09:40
2024-10-30T23:05:18
2024-10-30T23:05:18
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-qY8wpKS5yQA85XIAswlg
Will a national majority of voters vote YES in the upcoming Voice referendum in Australia?
This market resolves YES if, in the upcoming referendum on an indigenous Voice to parliament, a national majority of voters vote YES, according to official sources such as the Australian Electoral Commission. A national majority is one of the requirements for a referendum to pass—the other being that the majority of voters in the majority of states must vote YES. If the rererendum is postponed to a specific date in the future this market's close date will be extended. If the referendum is called off or postponed but with no date set as of the end of 2023, this market resolves N/A.
2023-09-10T00:02:54
2023-10-14T03:24:31
2023-10-14T03:24:31
no
MANIFOLD
mani-mHrYApj6lkqDFiaAmxW4
Will Trump face off against Biden in the 2024 presidential election?
Resolves YES if they are competing in the presidential election. Resolves NO if either of them arent candidates for their party, or either die beforehand, etc. Resolves based off of: https://manifold.markets/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n and https://manifold.markets/BruceGrugett/will-donald-trump-be-the-republican (Unless either is certainly resolved incorrectly, by my judgement or consensus)
2023-09-09T21:07:35
2024-07-24T13:20:15
2024-07-24T13:20:15
no
MANIFOLD
mani-VIlKwn5qmA34CJ41419n
🏈 2023 NCAAF: Will Colorado defeat Oregon?
Kickoff: September 23, 2023 - 12:30 PM PDT Autzen Stadium - Eugene, Oregon Colorado next week: @/jks/-2023-ncaaf-will-usc-defeat-colorad Pac-12 Week 4 games: @/jks/-2023-ncaaf-will-arizona-defeat-sta @/jks/-2023-ncaaf-will-usc-defeat-arizona @/jks/-2023-ncaaf-will-california-defeat @/jks/-2023-ncaaf-will-colorado-defeat-or (this market) @/jks/-2023-ncaaf-will-oregon-state-defea @/jks/-2023-ncaaf-will-ucla-defeat-utah
2023-09-09T18:59:49
2023-09-23T16:30:00
2023-09-23T18:46:02
no
MANIFOLD
mani-WuaMJLUUSujc6E8ew5Xr
Will the "Destiny is a bad judge of character" allegations be addressed on stream (by him) by the end of the year
Context: Concerning Merc and any other wild cards from hereon till the end of 2023
2023-09-09T18:15:12
2023-12-31T15:59:00
2024-01-13T10:07:38
no
MANIFOLD
mani-keZCwDVCtX1ZogIPSiwz
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the NFC East in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T18:12:25
2024-01-07T16:17:21
2024-01-07T16:17:54
no
MANIFOLD
mani-NNcW1IHF8nVoYaYtoWrd
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T18:10:44
2024-01-07T16:17:17
2024-01-07T16:17:48
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-VK4Lyb97OqwkDQB9Lmq2
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the NFC North in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T18:10:13
2023-12-24T13:18:12
2023-12-24T13:18:22
no
MANIFOLD
mani-nzpjNqGkrkyzR6UMcVvX
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T18:08:13
2023-12-24T13:17:57
2023-12-24T13:18:04
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-P5qXbTFmh4LKzglN4zSM
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the NFC South in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T18:05:16
2024-01-07T12:38:37
2024-01-07T12:39:25
no
MANIFOLD
mani-ED9YDCYrpYaOPKw2kCCU
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T18:01:34
2023-12-31T16:25:28
2023-12-31T16:26:11
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-8aBUhLQgYpauEXlCB1WG
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T17:57:59
2024-01-07T12:58:26
2024-01-07T12:59:27
no
MANIFOLD
mani-xrPycipR2B6NiTHnQytQ
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T17:53:03
2023-12-31T13:14:17
2023-12-31T13:14:28
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-gz7ahzs5Pr7DZ6aaFdbq
Will the Miami Dolphins win the AFC East in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T17:51:04
2024-01-07T20:23:02
2024-01-07T20:23:12
no
MANIFOLD
mani-apci5BIZb2H7RrNZ3S4I
Will the Buffalo Bills win the AFC East in the 2023 NFL Season?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T17:50:36
2024-01-07T20:23:03
2024-01-07T20:23:17
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-jX9wl9HI3SdxKNC3jHJO
Will Democrat VP nominee be a woman?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman wins the 2024 nomination of the Democrat Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/ Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
2023-09-09T11:56:55
2024-08-18T11:45:36
2024-08-18T11:45:36
no
MANIFOLD
mani-iPvoaUFzLKaVNNhMSYFt
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
2023-09-09T11:56:21
2024-07-16T09:18:06
2024-07-16T09:18:06
no
MANIFOLD
mani-VeidijCRJ78NoiToLniz
Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2023?
Since 1927, Time magazine has annually chosen its Person of the Year, who "for better or worse... has done the most to influence the events of the year." While its choice is usually a human person, Time has also chosen inanimate objects in the past, specifically "The Computer" in 1982 and "Endangered Earth" in 1988. Since the release of ChatGPT, there seems to have been a significant increase in interest in topics related to artificial intelligence (AI). For example, Google searches for AI-related topics have increased significantly, and ChatGPT made it to the cover of Time.
2023-09-09T11:50:00
2023-12-06T11:04:59
2023-12-06T11:04:59
no
MANIFOLD
mani-C1rLYEIUUmnJbJcdOw0u
Will the Israeli High Court issue a ruling on the "reasonableness" law before October 15, 2023?
Resolution Criteria This question will resolve as Yes if, before October 15, 2023, credible sources report that the Israeli High Court has issued a ruling on the "reasonableness" law. The ruling must either uphold or strike down the law in whole or in part; a ruling not on the merits, such as freezing or delaying implementation, does not qualify. On July 24, 2023, Israel passed a new law that weakens the power of the courts. Known as the "reasonableness" law, the new law limits the ability of Israeli courts to hear cases brought on the grounds that an administrative decision was "unreasonable". The new law amends Israel's Basic Law regarding the judiciary. Israel does not have a formal written constitution, instead the Knesset has passed a series of Basic Laws that "established the foundations of the system of government and the rights of the individual." The translated full text of the new law reads: Notwithstanding what is stated in this Basic Law, whoever has judicial authority according to law, including the Supreme Court in its seating as the High Court of Justice, will not discuss the reasonableness of a decision of the government, of the prime minister or of another minister, and will not issue an order on the aforementioned matter. The Israeli High Court has agreed to consider a number of petitions against the law. The petitions will be heard on September 12, 2023.
2023-09-09T11:44:40
2023-10-15T21:59:00
2023-10-16T07:10:26
no
MANIFOLD
mani-svOhUIj1M415eDRD1zMG
Will the United Auto Workers call a strike against any of the Big Three Detroit automakers before September 19, 2023?
Resolution Criteria This question will resolve as Yes if, before September 19, 2023, credible sources report that the United Auto Workers (UAW) union has announced that they have called a strike against one or more of the Big Three Detroit automakers: General Motors, Ford, or Stellantis. Fine Print An announcement of a called strike is sufficient to resolve as Yes, even if the strike is later cancelled or delayed before taking place. A strike must be called by UAW to be sufficient, members of UAW conducting limited strikes that have not been called by UAW do not qualify. A strike authorization does not qualify, the strike must actually be called. The United Auto Workers (UAW) union represents more than 400,000 active members primarily from "autos and auto parts, health care, casino gambling, and higher education." On August 25, 2023, following negotiations with the Big Three US automobile manufacturers, General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis (formerly Chrysler; all three are headquartered in Detroit) the UAW announced that the union’s strike authorization vote passed with near universal approval from the 150,000 union workers at Ford, General Motors and Stellantis. . . The vote does not guarantee a strike will be called, only that the union has the right to call a strike if the Big Three refuse to reach a fair deal. The existing UAW contracts with the Big Three expire at 11:59 PM on September 14.
2023-09-09T11:33:54
2023-09-15T09:18:16
2023-09-15T09:18:16
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-NiKDOmXtNU6UuX7Mo6w5
Will Nasa land on the moon before 2025?
resolves yes if Nasa launches a craft that lands on the moon before 2025. The craft does not have to be manned. Crashing into the moon does not count as landing.
2023-09-09T11:33:50
2024-02-23T01:26:10
2024-02-23T01:26:10
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-zGsgcD15OgNTUcRO0Tr0
Will a SpaceX Starship be refuelled in orbit by the end of 2024?
For the question to resolve "YES" a Starship must receive propellant from another spacecraft: A test counts. Any amount of propellant transferred counts. It must survive the refuelling.
2023-09-09T09:28:27
2024-12-31T14:59:00
2024-12-31T15:15:56
no
MANIFOLD
mani-QuctXGdwp1vMISS7byNn
Will Mitch McConnell 'zone out' again by November 1?
[link preview]
2023-09-09T09:24:44
2023-11-01T19:52:02
2023-11-01T19:52:02
no
MANIFOLD
mani-v4uXdQHU0VFksoecHm5C
Will weed be rescheduled by the end of 2024?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. [link preview]
2023-09-09T09:21:29
2024-12-31T20:59:00
2025-01-05T21:40:04
no
MANIFOLD
mani-YJihIo8J40S3FJtWay4z
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the November 8, 2023 Republican Presidential debate?
A GOP Presidential debate will be held on November 8, 2023. This market resolves to YES if businessman Vivek Ramaswamy wins the debate, according to CNN.com. Otherwise, it resolves to NO. The most prominently featured article about the debate, linked from the homepage and posted the day after its conclusion, will be used as reference. "Live updates" about the debate are excluded. If the article covers "5 winners and 5 losers" or something similar, then Ramaswamy must be listed first (or last, if the order is counting down) in the list of winners. As long as he is referred to as the sole or the most prominent winner, the reason is irrelevant, even if all he did was meet expectations. If CNN does not post any articles about the debate on the day after the debate, if none of the articles about the debate offer an opinion as to who won or lost, or if the debate is cancelled, then the market resolves to N/A. A lack of articles or opinions is the ONLY grounds for N/A; attendance or campaign suspension is not relevant. When the time of the debate is announced, this market's close date will be changed to 11:59:59pm of the day after the debate. If the debate is postponed until November, this market's title will be changed but it will still be valid for the third debate in the cycle. NOTE: By these criteria, Nikki Haley was the winner of the August 23, 2023 debate and, if such a market had existed, that market would have resolved to YES. RESOLUTION: While the winner of the debate is hard to determine, it is clear that it was not Ramaswamy. None of the CNN commentators referred to Ramaswamy in a positive light; in fact, most of the commentary regarding him was criticism. One commentator called for him to leave the race. Therefore, this market resolves to NO.
2023-09-09T05:27:40
2023-11-09T20:59:00
2023-11-10T03:47:31
no
MANIFOLD
mani-GIo2sgHIkVYkp6Xych4d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Iowa caucuses?
On January 15, 2024, the Iowa caucuses will be the first contest in the 2024 Republican Presidential primary elections. This market resolves to YES if businessman Vivek Ramaswamy is projected to win or tie for the most delegates at the end of January. It resolves to N/A if the caucuses aren't held by then or if there is a tabulation error as occurred in the 2020 Democratic cacuses that delays ballot counting for longer than 17 days. It resolves to NO otherwise. As delegates are the only relevant metric for who may be elected President, it is possible that Ramaswamy could win the most votes and end up with a "NO" resolution, or suspend his campaign and end up with a YES resolution. This market permanently resolves before February 1 by counting the delegates estimated at that time no matter what, even if delegates later become unbound, and even if there is a contested convention. The market will be closed earlier than February 1 if it is clear and obvious that a blowout has occurred. If there is a discrepency between media outlets as to the number of delegates pledged and the caucus is close, CNN's tally will be preferred. The rules for the Republican nominating contests are located at https://ballotpedia.org/Republican_delegate_rules,_2024. [link preview]RESOLUTION: Ramaswamy finished fourth in the caucuses, so the resolution is NO.
2023-09-09T05:20:10
2024-01-16T04:09:14
2024-01-16T04:09:14
no
MANIFOLD
mani-w9GAs0KlS0v2vjYoHcPm
Will Bitcoin hit 35k at the end of 2023 ?
There are rumors on X, That btc can hit 35 at the end of 2023. How you see it
2023-09-09T03:48:07
2023-12-31T10:59:00
2023-12-31T22:36:05
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-E3wx44PwCGwUu8hN9AA6
Google Trends: Will "AI" search term popularity peak again in 2023?
This question will resolve YES, if global search rank for "AI" in Google Trends hits relative value 100, after creation of this market and before Dec 31 2023. Which means: if "AI" will be at its all-time-high again? https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=AI&hl=en [image][image]
2023-09-09T01:39:23
2023-11-27T11:01:51
2023-11-27T11:01:51
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-BaqsvJMJxxiA6VPR8IJu
Will there be another coup d'état in Africa before the end of this year 2023?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-09T01:21:03
2023-12-31T14:59:00
2024-01-08T01:14:50
no
MANIFOLD
mani-IW7qenqPoXhTD9EVQhML
[Ṁ200 subsidy] Will Hurricane Lee bring Tropical Storm force winds to Bermuda?
Background Hurricane Lee is a classic Cape Verde hurricane that formed off West Africa, in a process that often produces some of the strongest North Atlantic hurricanes. After an explosive growth into a Category 5 hurricane over favourable conditions, it has weakened somewhat into a Category 3 hurricane as of September 9, UTC 0600, but it is expected to restrengthen as it sweeps over the ocean to the north of the Antilles. Hurricane Lee is forecast to steer north after passing by the north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico, posing high winds, rain and potential threat to the island of Bermuda. [image]Resolution Criteria Resolves YES if Hurricane Lee brings tropical-storm-level winds (>34 knots, >39 mph) to any part of Bermuda while maintaining tropical characteristics. Resolves NO if Hurricane Lee dissipates or becomes extratropical before the fulfilment of the condition for YES. Will resolve based on Bermuda Weather Service and/or the National Hurricane Center data. This is a market with a lower wind speed requirement compared to the one below: (https://manifold.markets/embed/SarkanyVar/m200-subsidy-will-hurricane-lee-go) I will not bet on this market, but I will put Ṁ200 in as subsidy. Edit 1: Minor fix and clarifications.
2023-09-08T23:54:56
2023-09-14T07:00:00
2023-09-14T07:01:00
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-aeek93pUurzhkoO9i2cW
Will Anthony Fantano put "Rich Men North of Richmond" in his 10 worst songs of 2023?
Every year, Anthony Fantano makes a list of his 10 worst songs (see 2022). Frequently, he puts conservative leaning songs on this list. Rich Men North of Richmond is a viral conservative-coded song that Fantano has criticized. If the song makes his 2023 worst songs list, this market will resolve YES. If Fantano lists more than 10 worst songs, I will only resolve this YES if it makes the top 10.
2023-09-08T21:06:53
2023-12-20T21:47:41
2023-12-20T21:47:41
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-reFepmefBxAtbbg53Fxl
Will the S&P 500 close higher on September 11 than it closed on September 8?
Closes 2pm EDT. NYSE closes 4pm EDT. Resolves according to the display at https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP at the end of the day. This market is part of the S&P Forecasting tournament for the month of September (inspired by Alex B. Goode). At the end of the month top traders are eligible for a prize. Rank---Award 1 2000 2 1250 3 750 Good luck forecasting! Note: Keeping this market as similar to how Alex has been running it. Not trying to change what people are enjoying trading on. Trading in this market counts towards the ▲ SirCryptomind ▲ Crypto & Stock ▲ leaderboard. [link preview]
2023-09-08T20:08:42
2023-09-11T11:00:00
2023-09-11T14:42:49
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-TXq8sy2OCdOvUgYiBjEL
Will Djokovic beat Medvedev this Sunday?
In the USO Finals.
2023-09-08T19:57:41
2023-09-10T17:35:40
2023-09-10T17:35:40
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-upQ9fjzk1L0OIhz7vpMI
Will Myanmar's junta be overthrown by the end of 2024?
Will resolve YES if the junta loses control of 2 of the 3 largest cities.
2023-09-08T16:43:20
2024-12-31T23:59:00
2025-01-01T00:05:11
no
MANIFOLD
mani-0PolOVgMrOz0JzVbvgaZ
Parlay: Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Finals and Joe Biden win re-election in 2024?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-08T13:20:00
2024-09-03T20:38:19
2024-09-03T20:38:19
no
MANIFOLD
mani-VrFlQR7dkfOGXq8Rkffj
Will Lionel Messi play in Argentina's World Cup qualifier vs Bolivia on September 12th?
https://mlsmultiplex.com/2023/09/08/messis-uncertainty-injury-need-rest/ Subbed out of match v Ecuador on 7th in 88th minute due to fatigue. Playing against Bolivia in La Paz, worst ranked team (80+ in FIFA ranking) so is possible he may rest. Highly invested in this market because I will be in La Paz then... [link preview]
2023-09-08T12:00:18
2023-09-12T20:35:05
2023-09-12T20:35:05
no
MANIFOLD
mani-VQzEGJrqHYDbfAOYDEcf
Will Bitcoin drop below US$24,000 again before the end of the year?
Resolves YES if the price of Bitcoin drops below 24,000$ at any moment from the creation of this market to 2024 (Created Sept 8th) https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/ [link preview]
2023-09-08T10:16:58
2024-01-01T20:19:32
2024-01-01T20:19:32
no
MANIFOLD
mani-KacWjqOP1t9oSt7TmGW5
Will there be a non-Apple app store available on iOS by April?
Apple is considered a "gatekeeper" according to the Digital Markets Act. That means they need to open up until 6 March 2024. Resolves YES if there is an alternative app to Apple's AppStore which is as easy to install and use. E.g. no need to know about IPA files. Resolves NO in April. Reducing the availability of an app store EU countries is possible and would still resolve to YES.
2023-09-08T09:45:33
2024-03-31T14:59:00
2024-04-01T00:39:34
no
MANIFOLD
mani-fVPkiUKVlH2dh5wgkOjo
Will Kamala Harris be on the 2024 Democratic Party ticket?
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-08T09:14:43
2024-08-31T23:59:00
2024-09-01T11:35:11
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-wrAHG4Cv9DRpu23LMQsz
Will the UK's FTSE 100 close higher on 11th September than it closed on 8th September?
Will the FTSE 100 close higher on Monday 11th September than it did on Friday 8th September? The market closes at 16:30 UK time when trading stops on the FTSE. And some longer term FTSE 100 markets: @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2023-abov @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2024-abov @/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-2025-abov
2023-09-08T08:10:26
2023-09-11T08:30:00
2023-09-11T10:22:44
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-bv5Y8ItzsZ9SYrHlqqT2
Will Jumbo-Visma make 1, 2, 3 at the end of La Vuelta a España 2023?
Resolves YES if all the riders at the final podium (first, second and third place of the general classification) of La Vuelta a España 2023 belong to Jumbo-Visma.
2023-09-08T07:06:21
2023-09-17T20:59:00
2023-09-18T05:09:15
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-nlbpsPsjBalAUYYxU5Zt
Will ChatGPT plugins be available to non-plus users by June, 2024?
Resolves YES if at least some plugins are available to all ChatGPT users before June 1st, 2024
2023-09-08T03:06:05
2024-06-01T20:59:00
2024-08-20T23:01:23
no
MANIFOLD
mani-jY4XcfpHj8YMUDT8rzYI
Will the 2023 Speed Chess Championship final be between Hikaru Nakamura and Magnus Carlsen?
Hikaru is the top seed. Carlsen is the 2nd seed. More info about the bracket: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2023-speed-chess-championship [link preview]
2023-09-07T22:11:04
2023-09-20T16:16:23
2023-09-20T16:16:23
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-pnCPMlxP26gmSo1wubVd
Will the Kansas City Chiefs also lose their second game to be 0 in 2?
As per https://www.nfl.com/ [link preview]
2023-09-07T21:13:55
2023-09-17T21:42:03
2023-09-17T21:42:03
no
MANIFOLD
mani-SyAinXhxJV8P0wHHWy5V
Will Messi score against Bolivia? ⚽ World Cup Qualifiers
{'type': 'doc', 'content': [{'type': 'paragraph'}]}
2023-09-07T20:51:35
2023-09-12T13:33:45
2023-09-12T13:33:45
no
MANIFOLD
mani-p0EiS5u0cvEo1aHdFlyi
📖Will @ScottAlexander write a classic (over 1000 likes) before 2025?
Resolves YES if a post made on Astral Codex Ten between 2023-09-08 and 2024-12-31 (inclusive) receives more than 1000 likes by the end of 2024. UTC times will be used. The post will need to have this many likes long enough for me to confirm. Only posts by Scott count. For example, the book review contest submissions do not count (unless one of them is later revealed to have been written by Scott). See also: @/Tossup/will-scottalexander-write-another-b-8293250ed56d @/Tossup/will-scottalexander-write-an-alltim
2023-09-07T18:46:48
2024-01-14T15:26:52
2024-01-14T15:26:52
yes
MANIFOLD
mani-qYaQ0GGkgGKV3dMneA53
Will a 2024 presidential candidate die prior to the election?
To resolve YES, a noteworthy candidate listed on the site below must die prior to Election Day, November 5, 2024. https://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_candidates,_2024
2023-09-07T17:52:39
2024-11-05T20:59:00
2024-11-07T16:02:22
no
MANIFOLD
mani-FrBB8Lkc0E5VDbQN154O
Will the Miami Dolphins win against the Buffalo Bills? (Jan 7)
[image]Check out the rest of the Miami Dolphins markets!
2023-09-07T17:20:46
2024-01-07T20:24:15
2024-01-07T20:24:15
no
MANIFOLD
mani-izkuZ9Z9qGoihbeIpshS
Will the Miami Dolphins win against the Baltimore Ravens?
[image]Check out the rest of the Miami Dolphins markets!
2023-09-07T17:19:49
2023-12-31T14:56:17
2023-12-31T14:56:21
no
MANIFOLD
mani-qWxujkN9zvijjrTJEETG
Will the Miami Dolphins win against the Dallas Cowboys?
[image]Check out the rest of the Miami Dolphins markets!
2023-09-07T17:19:13
2023-12-24T16:29:19
2023-12-24T16:29:25
yes
MANIFOLD